International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 Figure 17.1 Mark Melitz (1968 – ) 1 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 2 Figure 17.2 Export orientation of US manufacturing firms, 2002 Export orientation of US manufacturing firms, 2002 Electrical Equipment Appliance Computer and Electronic Product Chemical Manufacturing Machinery Manufacturing Primary Metal Manufacturing Transportation Equipment Plastics and Rubber Products Textile Mills Paper Manufacturing Leather and Allied Product Beverage and Tobacco Product Petroleum and Coal Products Fabricated Metal Product Textile Product Mills Food Manufacturing Nonmetallic Mineral Product Wood Product Manufacturing Apparel Manufacturing Furniture and Related Product Printing and Related Support Miscellaneous Manufacturing Average for US manufacturing 0 5 10 15 20 25 percent of firms that export 30 35 40 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 3 Figure 17.3 Distribution by number of products and export destinations; USA, 2000 a. Share of exporting firms b. Share of export value 92.2 100 80 60 40.4 40 11.9 20 3 0 4 5+ 2 # countries 3 1 4 5+ 80 60 40 20 3 0 2 1 Share of export value Share of exporting firms 100 # products 4 5+ 2 1 2 # countries 1 3 4 5+ # products International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 Figure 17.4 Simultaneous exporting and importing; US manufacturing, 1997 US manufacturing; exporting and importing per sector 70 diagonal percent of firms that import 60 50 Leather and Allied Product Computer and Electronic Product 40 regression line 30 20 Aggregate Manufacturing average 10 Printing and Related Support 0 0 10 20 30 40 percent of firms that export 50 60 70 4 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 5 Figure 17.5 Trade and the gravity equation: composition of imports and exports Gravity, exports and imports; composition effects 0.31 -0.61 Log of distance (import) -0.43 -0.73 0.84 -1.06 -1.14 Log of distance (export) -1.36 -0.39 0.71 0.82 Log of GDP (import) 1.14 value per product per firm # products -0.25 # firms 0.52 value -1.5 0.71 Log of GDP (export) -1 -0.5 0.98 0 estimated elasticity 0.5 1 1.5 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 6 Figure 17.6 Exporter and FDI premia Exporter and FDI premia; ratio of considered variable for exporters over non-exporters or FDI makers over non-FDI makers 25 France export France FDI 20 Belgium export Belgium FDI 15 Norway export Norway FDI 10 5 0 employment value added wages capital intensity International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 Figure 17.7 Structure of the heterogeneous firms model Unlimited pool of potential entrants Men firms try to enter One-time entry costs fen Involved labor cost = fenMen equality in stationary equilibrium Revelation of firmspecific productivity i All uncertainty resolved Monopolistic competition; per period fixed costs f and marginal cost 1/i positive profit if i > co G(co)Men firms don’t make it to market Exit if i < co (1-G(co))Men firms enter the market equality in stationary equilibrium Exit through ‘bad luck’ probability M firms actually produce goods Total profit M firms exit 7 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 8 Figure 17.8 Impact of productivity and elasticity of substitution on firm profits Impact of elasticity of substitution on firm profitability; R = P = 1, f = 5 20 firm profits with elasticity of 6 15 firm profits with elasticity of 5 firm profits 10 5 co,6 0 0 -5 -10 1 2 fixed cost f = 5 productivity co,4 co,5 3 firm profits with elasticity of 4 4 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 9 Figure 17.9 Cumulative distribution function and probability density function cumulative distrubution function (right-hand-scale) distribution functions 2 1 g(x) probability density function (left-hand-scale) 1 G(x) 0 0 x 0 1 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 10 Figure 17.10 Ex ante productivity density function and ex post average productivities Ex ante productivity density function and ex post averages 0.6 ex ante weighted average productivity eawa ex ante density function g() density ex ante average productivity eaav cut-off level co share of entrants that do not produce G(co) ex post average productivity epav ex post weighted average productivity epwa 0 0 1 2 productivity level 3 4 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 11 Figure 17.11 Equilibrium; impact of elasticity of substitution Determination of equilibrium; impact of elasticity of substitution 1 ZCP condition e=6 firm profits ZCP condition e=4 FE condition co 0 0 1 2 productivity 3 4 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 Figure 17.12 Uniform distribution example Uniform distribution example 0.4 ex post density ex post average 0.3 (m +co )/2 ex post weighted average epwa density ex ante density 0.2 ex ante weighted average eawa 0.1 cutoff value ex ante average co m /2 m 0 0 1 2 productivity level 3 4 12 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 Figure 17.13 Impact of different ex ante distributions on equilibrium b. Impact on phi tilde a. Density of different distributions c phi tilde 1 b c a density a b b 2 c a 0 0 0 2 productivity 4 0 2 productivity 13 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 14 Figure 17.13 Impact of different ex ante distributions on equilibrium c. Impact on equilibrium 0.5 ZCPc ZCPa FEa FEc ZCPb a firm profit c b FEa FEb ZCPc 0.0 0 productivity 3 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 15 Figure 17.14 Autarky and trade equilibrium Autarky and trade equilibrium 0.4 ZCPautarky firm profits autarky equilibrium ZCPtrade trade equilibrium export cutoff productivity FE autarky cutoff productivity trade cutoff productivity 0.0 0 productivity 4 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 16 Figure 17.15 Firm sales and profit in trade and autarky a. Firm sales 8 autarky cutoff productivity trade cutoff productivity trade sales firm sales export cutoff productivity autarky sales 0 0 firm productivity 4 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 17 Figure 17.15 Firm sales and profit in trade and autarky b Firm profit 0.8 autarky cutoff productivity trade cutoff productivity trade profit firm profit export cutoff productivity autarky profit B trade profit A 0.0 0 firm productivity 4 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 18 Figure 17.16 Productivity distributions of Latin American firms, 2006 3 National Exporting density National Domestic Foreign Domestic Foreign Exporting 0 0 Normalized productivity by export- and ownership status 1 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 Figure 17.17 Firm productivity and mode of entry Mode of entry exit domestic export FDI multinational low modest high very high Firm productivity 19 International Economics: Theory, Application, and Policy, Ch. 17; Charles van Marrewijk, 2012 20 Figure 17.18 Comparative advantage, trade, and firm heterogeneity Comparative advantage industry A B C Firm productivity autarky cutoff trade cutoff export cutoff Comparative disadvantage industry A B’ C’ Firm productivity autarky cutoff trade cutoff export cutoff
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