Service Charge Benchmarking Feasibility Study Context Report March 2013 Service charges: Context Report Contents 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................... 1 2 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................... 2 3 2.1 Background......................................................................................................................... 2 2.2 Who is backing this project? .............................................................................................. 3 2.3 Note on terminology .......................................................................................................... 3 ANALYSING THE SAMPLE............................................................................................................ 5 3.1 Sample size ......................................................................................................................... 5 3.2 Variability of service charges.............................................................................................. 5 3.3 The average building .......................................................................................................... 7 3.4 Expenditure by class ........................................................................................................... 8 3.5 The impact of size on service charges .............................................................................. 17 3.6 The impact of location on service charge ........................................................................ 18 4 THE MODEL EXPLAINED ........................................................................................................... 18 5 EMERGING ISSUES .................................................................................................................... 24 6 5.1 Rent versus service charge ............................................................................................... 24 5.2 Cost attribution ................................................................................................................ 25 5.3 Exceptional expenditure .................................................................................................. 26 5.4 Incidence of unused code categories ............................................................................... 27 Future of service charge benchmarking ................................................................................... 29 IPD | An MSCI Brand Page i Service charges: Context Report 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The RICS Service Charge Code recommends benchmarking to improve both transparency and communication between landlord, tenant and managing agent. IPD’s vision for service charge benchmarking is for independent cost analysis to be merged with service level analysis so that in due course value for money can be established for individual commercial buildings. The vision was tested in this Feasibility Study, which has widespread backing from the industry. It covers 145 Central London offices, 70 shopping centres and 127 retail/shopping parks. The overall aims of the Feasibility Study are to test the applicability of the reporting system as well as to produce high quality analysis. This report contains extensive analysis for each of the RICS cost categories for the selected property types. The main feature of the analysis is the considerable variability of the results which are difficult to explain to tenants. Participants in the feasibility study receive an individual property report and a short summary for each type of property. The feasibility study has tested regression models for each of the 22 cost categories for each property type. These models have explained about half the variability in service charge outturns. Of the factors examined, the major drivers of service charge costs were size, operating hours, and air-conditioning. There are a number of conclusions for the industry as a whole: 1. The connection between rent and service charge needs to be explored further. At present the connection between the two appears weak. 2. Property managers should ensure that all costs are attributed accurately to each cost category. This is not always happening. 3. The definition of all cost definitions and especially that of exceptional expenditure needs clarifying in the next edition of the RICS Service Charge Code. 4. Major questions need to be asked about the ability of the industry to maintain its building stock given that forward funding is not generally used and the levels of expenditure on repair are lower than we would expect. 5. Property managers need to consider further improvements to their information systems and processes. We believe that this feasibility study represents a major step forward in developing transparency. The study has also identified how to make major improvements to the model to improve the accuracy of predictions at individual property level, which augurs well for the future. The sample size in this feasibility study was sufficient for the purposes of testing the model but in due course the analysis needs to be applied to many more those commercial buildings. This would have the effect of being able to increase the accuracy of prediction and to improve the impact of benchmarking on the effective working of service charges. This would lead to substantial benefits for tenants, landlords and managers. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 1 Service charges: Context Report 2 INTRODUCTION 2.1 Background The RICS Service Charge Code recommends benchmarking as a measure for improving transparency and to improve communication between landlord, tenant and managing agent. The vision for service charge benchmarking is for independent cost analysis (using the RICS Service Charge Code of Accounts) to be merged with analysis and understanding of cost drivers and service levels so that in due course value for money can be established for most types of commercial property. The ultimate benefits for the industry are to: 1. Demonstrate value for money and good practice in service charges with the backing of independent analysis 2. Increase transparency within the industry in an area known to foster mistrust 3. Develop a basis of communication between tenants, managing agents and landlords with fewer disputes and time savings 4. Support the generation of regular research reports on the market The vision was tested in this Feasibility Study, which covers Central London offices, shopping centres and retail/shopping parks. The overall aims of the Feasibility Study are to: 1. Test the applicability of the reporting system for individual property types and for individual properties 2. Produce high quality analysis of service charges and check the quality/availability of data for each property type Two different types of report are being produced: one, context report, for the market as a whole and one at property level. The reports are intended to inform landlords and tenants about the relative cost exposure of their properties on as like-for-like basis as possible. Context Report Property Report Overall trends and analysis Communication tool with tenants Focus on cost drivers Clear summary against benchmark Issued free of charge Key differences: overall £, costs/m2, %, cost This Context Report summarises the results across the benchmark types. It covers: Average benchmarks for each cost line in the Service Charge Code for each property and benchmark type IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 2 Service charges: Context Report Analysis of the major cost drivers of performance to include size, age, air-conditioning, intensity of use etc. The variability of results across property types Examination of key issues, such as the significance of exceptional expenditure The Property Reports will in due course be a key communication tool with the tenant. Within the Feasibility Study, these reports contain analysis that compare for each category line in the Service Charge Code (including for each class), showing: 1. Actual charge per square foot 2. Upper and lower cost per square metre difference from the prediction 3. total value of the cost difference from the prediction 2.2 Who is backing this project? IPD is very grateful to the following organisations for backing the Feasibility Study: British Land Broadgate Estates Capital & Regional Capital Symonds Derwent London DTZ Grosvenor Fund Management GVA Hermes Fund Management Lambert Smith Hampton Land Securities MJ Mapp In addition, we are also grateful for the widespread industry support we received from the British Council of Shopping Centres, which helped to finance this study and the following representative organisations endorsed this exercise: British Council for Offices British Retail Consortium CoreNet Global Property Managers Association Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors 2.3 Note on terminology The concept of cost classes and cost categories comes from the RICS Service Charge Code, 2nd Edition, April 2011. Each of the 22 cost categories is contained within one of the seven cost classes. See www.rics.org/standards for further information. In this document, reference to: IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 3 Service charges: Context Report Offices refers to offices in central London. Centres refers to shopping centres Parks mean both retail and shopping (fashion) parks unless specifically signalled otherwise. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 4 Service charges: Context Report 3 ANALYSING THE SAMPLE 3.1 Sample size Almost 350 properties were analysed in this Feasibility Study, amounting to 55 million square feet. Table 1 Mean of average £ per square foot, by property type Properties Million sq ft Average sq ft Central London Offices Shopping Centres Retail Parks Shopping Parks Total 145 12.3 85k 70 24.1 343k 110 3.9 131k 17 14.4 232k 342 54.7 159k 3.2 Variability of service charges The overall spread of service charges is shown in Figure 1 below. Median service charges are £8.80, £4.74, 81p and £1.66 for Central London offices, shopping centres, retail and shopping parks respectively. A major feature of other publications on service charges (JLL with OSCAR and the SCOR report by Property Solutions and others) is the variability of service charge results. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 5 Service charges: Context Report Figure 1 Quartile distribution for total service charge per sq ft Quartile distribution for total service charge psf £12.00 £10.77 £10.00 £8.48 £8.00 £7.32 £6.21 £6.00 £4.83 £3.80 £4.00 £2.00 £1.05 £0.60 £0.75 £1.36 £1.73 £2.12 £0.00 Offices Shopping centres Lower Quartile Median Retail parks Shopping Parks Upper Quartile Figure 2 shows that the upper quartiles for total costs per square foot (per sq ft) are about 65% higher for offices and shopping centres, whereas retail parks are more variable at 90%. The following observations emerge: These are high variations, although cost classes are nearly always less variable than their component category costs. There seems to be a strong suggestion that high costs are only passed through in one category when it is lower in another to ensure that the overall service charge is not too expensive. This suggestion is borne out by discussions with property managers. Management fees typically display variability of 70% across all three categories Utility costs show a wide variability of about 160%, similar across all property types. This reflects a range of different building ages, purchasing power and specification within the sample Soft services have variability of about 120% for offices, 80% for shopping centres and 150% for retail parks Hard services variability is also much lower for shopping centres (70%) than for offices (100%) and retail parks (165%). IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 6 Service charges: Context Report Mark-up of upper quartile over lower Figure 2 Variability of results by selected cost category Variability of results 5.00 4.50 4.00 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 - Offices Retail Parks Shopping Centres Shopping Parks 3.3 The average building Table 2 below shows the mean of the costs per square foot for each cost category for each of the four property types. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 7 Service charges: Context Report Table 2 Mean of average £ per square foot, by property type Central London Offices Shopping Retail Parks Shopping Parks Centres Management £.53 £1.27 £0.16 Management Fees £0.68 £0.38 £0.08 Accounting Fees £0.04 £0.02 £0.01 Site Management £0.68 £0.84 £0.04 Health & Safety £0.13 £0.04 £0.04 Utilities £1.57 £0.47 £0.06 Electricity £1.10 £0.37 £0.05 Gas £0.31 £0.04 £0.00 Fuel Oil (Heating) £0.02 £0.00 £Water £0.14 £0.06 £0.00 Soft Services £2.96 £2.51 £0.43 Security £1.81 £0.97 £0.17 Cleaning & environmental £1.15 £1.21 £0.25 Marketing & promotions £0.00 £0.33 £0.00 Hard Services £2.69 £0.91 £0.24 Mech. & Elect. Services £1.95 £0.46 £0.05 Lift & Escalators £0.28 £0.08 £0.00 Suspended Access £0.02 £0.00 £0.00 Fabric Repairs £0.44 £0.35 £0.19 Income -£0.00 -£0.11 -£0.02 Interest -£0.00 -£0.00 -£0.00 Commercialisation £-£0.11 -£0.02 Insurance £0.05 £0.06 £0.01 Engineering Insurance £0.03 £0.01 £0.00 All risk Insurance Cover £0.02 £0.05 £0.01 Sub-total £8.81 £5.11 £0.88 Exceptional spend £0.38 £0.21 £0.05 Major Works £0.38 £0.21 £0.05 Forward funding £0.00 £0.00 £0.00 Total £9.18 £5.32 £0.93 Note: £0.00 indicates an actual amount less than 0.5p. £- indicates no recorded amount. £0.37 £0.14 £0.00 £0.20 £0.02 £0.12 £0.10 £0.00 £0.00 £0.01 £0.99 £0.62 £0.35 £0.02 £0.18 £0.06 £0.00 £0.00 £0.12 -£0.03 -£0.00 -£0.03 £0.00 £0.00 £0.00 £1.63 £0.11 £0.11 £0.00 £1.74 3.4 Expenditure by class The graphs overleaf shop the average expenditure on each class of service charge expenditure for each of the property types. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 8 Service charges: Context Report Figure 3 Average class expenditure, by property type £ per square foot Average service charge make-up, Central London offices £3.50 £3.00 £2.50 £2.00 £1.50 £1.00 £0.50 £- £2.96 £1.53 £2.69 £1.57 £0.05 £0.38 £ per square foot Average service charge make-up, shopping centres £3.00 £2.50 £2.00 £1.50 £1.00 £0.50 £-£0.50 £2.51 £1.27 £0.91 £0.47 £0.06 £0.21 £0.01 £0.05 -£0.11 £ per square foot Average service charge make-up, retail parks £0.50 £0.40 £0.30 £0.20 £0.10 £-£0.10 £0.43 £0.24 £0.16 £0.06 -£0.02 £ per square foot Average service charge make-up, shopping parks £1.20 £1.00 £0.80 £0.60 £0.40 £0.20 £-£0.20 £0.99 £0.37 IPD | An MSCI Brand £0.12 £0.18 £0.00 £0.11 -£0.03 Page 9 Service charges: Context Report The cost composition of service charges at class level (excluding any income) is shown in Figure 4 below. Features of this chart include: Management costs vary between 17% (offices) and 23% (centres) Utilities costs are 17% for offices, 9% for centres and 7% for parks Soft services are seen to be the biggest contributor for all property types and vary between 32% (offices) and 56% (shopping parks) Hard services vary from 10% (shopping parks) to 29% (offices) Insurance is 1% for shopping centres and retail parks and does not feature for offices and shopping parks Exceptional expenditure is between 4% (offices and centres) and 6% (shopping parks) Figure 4 Composition of service charge costs Make up of service charge costs, by property type 100% 90% 80% 70% Exceptional spend 60% Insurance Hard Services 50% Soft Services 40% Utilities Management 30% 20% 10% 0% CL offices Shopping centres Retail parks Shopping parks On the following six pages, Figures 5-7 contain further analysis of how service charges costs are distributed across the sample under the following headings: 1. Management costs 2. Utility costs 3. Soft services costs 4. Hard services costs 5. Total costs (including insurance, income and exceptional expenditure. Readers should note that we are particularly interested in the shape of the lines to see whether there are any discontinuities. Generally, we are expecting a straight line rising from left to right but we see in many of the charts a marked change to the slope where top quartile provision is seen to be distinctly more costly. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 10 Service charges: Context Report Figure 5 Central London offices: service charge composition Management cost in Central London offices Main elements are management fees and site management resources costs Site management tends to increase very sharply as overall management costs increase Electricity the predominant costs in utilities category No sudden increase in any one factor as overall utilities costs rise £3.50 £3.00 £ per square foot £2.50 £2.00 £1.50 £1.00 £0.50 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Distibution of results % Management Fees Accounting Fees Site Management Health & Safety Utilities cost in Central London offices £3.00 £ per square foot £2.50 £2.00 £1.50 £1.00 £0.50 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Distribution of results % Electricity Gas Fuel Oil (heating) Water Soft services in Central London offices £6.00 £5.00 £ per square foot £4.00 £3.00 £2.00 Very little marketing expenditure in offices Security the major element in Central London offices Cleaning costs go up more sharply as soft services costs increase. £1.00 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Distribution of results % Security IPD | An MSCI Brand Cleaning & Environmental Marketing & Promotions Page 11 Service charges: Context Report Hard services cost in Central London offices £5.00 £4.50 £4.00 £ per square foot £3.50 £3.00 £2.50 £2.00 £1.50 £1.00 M&E services the predominant cost in Central London offices These rise slightly with increases in overall costs Fabric repairs rise sharply with rises in overall costs Lift costs rise steadily £0.50 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Distribution of results M&E Services Lift etc Suspended Access Fabric Repairs Total service charge in Central London offices £16.00 £14.00 £ per square foot £12.00 £10.00 £8.00 £6.00 £4.00 £2.00 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Distribution of results % Management IPD | An MSCI Brand Utilities Soft services Hard services 80% 90% Most costs rise steadily as overall service charges increase Soft and hard services have the biggest spike for more expensive properties Other costs only come into play at the 50% level. These go up quite sharply at the top end of the range. Other Page 12 Service charges: Context Report Figure 6 Shopping centres: service charge composition Management cost in shopping centres £2.50 £ per square foot £2.00 £1.50 £1.00 £0.50 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Site management resources are the predominant cost in shopping centres These costs rise sharply for the top 20% of centres Other costs go up steadily. Distribution of results % Management Fees Accounting Fees Site Management Resources Health, Safety & Environmental Utilities cost in shopping centres £1.20 £ per square foot £1.00 £0.80 £0.60 £0.40 £0.20 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Distribution of results % Electricity Gas Fuel Oil (heating) Water Soft services cost in shopping centres £4.50 £4.00 £ per square foot £3.50 £3.00 £2.50 £2.00 £1.50 £1.00 £0.50 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Distribution of results % Security IPD | An MSCI Brand Cleaning & Environmental Electricity costs are predominant in this category The costs rise steadily as overall utilities costs increase Gas and water feature at the top end of the range. Marketing & Promotions 90% Security and cleaning are the two major elements Both go up steadily within shopping centres Marketing and promotions start from a low base but go up sharply with overall costs. Page 13 Service charges: Context Report Hard services cost in shopping centres £2.00 £1.80 £ per square foot £1.60 £1.40 £1.20 £1.00 £0.80 £0.60 £0.40 £0.20 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Distribution of results % M&E services Lifts etc Suspended access Fabric repairs Total service charge in shopping centres £10.00 £9.00 £ per square foot £8.00 £7.00 £6.00 £5.00 £4.00 £3.00 £2.00 £1.00 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Distribution of results % Management IPD | An MSCI Brand Utilities Soft services M&E services and fabric repairs are the predominant hard services cost Both these and lift/escalator spend go up sharply as overall hard services costs increase Hard services Other 90% Soft services are the major costs in shopping centres All costs go up strongly as overall service charges increase Other costs are mainly major works which operate at the 50% level and become quite significant at the top end. Page 14 Service charges: Context Report Figure 7 Retail parks: service charge composition Management cost in retail parks £0.35 £ per square foot £0.30 £0.25 £0.20 £0.15 £0.10 £0.05 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Management fees are the major element in management costs All categories go up quite sharply as overall class costs increase Distribution of results % Management Fees Accounting Fees Site Management Health & Safety Utilities cost in retail parks £0.14 £ per square foot £0.12 £0.10 £0.08 £0.06 £0.04 £0.02 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Electricity is to all extents and pruposes the only utilities cost to feature in this class for retail parks There is a sharp increase in these costs for the most expensive 20%. Distribution of results % Electricity Gas Fuel Oil (heating) Water Soft services cost in retail parks £0.90 £0.80 £ per square foot £0.70 £0.60 £0.50 £0.40 £0.30 £0.20 £0.10 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Distribution of results % Security IPD | An MSCI Brand Cleaning & Environmental 90% Cleaning is the major cost in this area Both cleaning and security go up sharply as overall class costs increase Marketing and promotions do not feature significantly Marketing & Promotions Page 15 Service charges: Context Report Hard services cost in retail parks £0.50 £0.45 £ per square foot £0.40 £0.35 £0.30 £0.25 £0.20 £0.15 £0.10 £0.05 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Fabric repairs are the major category under this class Both fabric repairs and M&E services go up sharply as overall costs rise, the latter from a low base 90% Distribution of results % M&E Services Lifts etc Suspended Access Fabric Repairs Total service charge in retail parks £1.80 £1.60 £ per square foot £1.40 £1.20 £1.00 £0.80 £0.60 £0.40 £0.20 £0.00 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Distribution of results % Management IPD | An MSCI Brand Utilities Soft services Hard services 90% All classs costs go up sharply as total service charge increases Other costs (mainly major works) are still a small element for the top quartile parks but do not feature at the 50% level Other Page 16 Service charges: Context Report 3.5 The impact of size on service charges One feature of the project is to take more account of the individual characteristics of the building than has occurred in the research on service charges to date. Figure 8 below examines the extent to which overall service charges for Central London offices are influenced by the size of the building. It is immediately clear that the smaller offices attract much more variable results than the larger ones over 70,000 sq feet. This appears to be due to a combination of diseconomies of small scale combined with much greater variability in the availability or level of services (for example in lifts, air-conditioning, reception etc). Figure 8 Variability by size band, by property type Shopping centre service charge, by size band Central London offices, variability by size band £12.00 £8.50 £11.00 £7.50 £ per sq ft £ per sq ft £10.00 £9.00 £8.00 £7.00 £6.50 £5.50 £4.50 £3.50 £6.00 £2.50 £5.00 0-20k sf 20k-40k sf Lower Quartile 40k-70k sf 70k-150k sf 0-100ksf 150k sf + 100k-250ksf Lower Quartile Upper Quartile 250k-350ksf 350k-500ksf 500k sf + Upper Quartile Retail parks, variability by size band £1.30 £1.20 £1.10 £ per sq ft £1.00 £0.90 £0.80 £0.70 £0.60 £0.50 £0.40 0-50k sf 50k-90k sf 90k-136k sf Lower Quartile 136k-208k sf 208k sf + Upper Quartile Shopping centres too are influenced by size with median £ per sq ft figures reducing from the second size category onwards. Like offices, the spread of results tends to decline with size. With retail parks, the spread is not so consistent. The largest parks display quite a high spread, indicating a wider range of facilities provided, which are covered by the service charge. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 17 Service charges: Context Report 3.6 The impact of location on service charge Figure 9 Service charges, by property type and location Shopping centre service charge, by broad region £7.50 £12.00 £7.00 Service charge, £ per sq ft Service charge, £ per sq ft Central London Office service charges, by market area £13.00 £11.00 £10.00 £9.00 £8.00 £7.00 £6.00 £6.50 £6.00 £5.50 £5.00 £4.50 £4.00 £3.50 City Lower Quartile Mid-town West End South & East England Upper Quartile Lower Quartile Rest of UK Upper Quartile Retail park service charges, by broad region Service charge, £ per sq ft £1.20 £1.10 £1.00 £0.90 £0.80 £0.70 £0.60 £0.50 £0.40 London Southern and Eastern England Lower Quartile 4 Rest of UK Upper Quartile THE MODEL EXPLAINED One of the main purposes of the Feasibility Study is to test the ability of the model to predict overall service charges for individual properties. The model, as used in the Feasibility Study, calculates a predicted value for each of the component 22 Cost Code categories using input data (see below) for each building. The predicted overall value for each building is the sum of the predictions for the individual categories. The inputs tested are shown in Table 3 and Figure 10. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 18 Service charges: Context Report Table 3 Inputs used Address Comments and proposed changes Used to categorise region/area Floorspace Typically, this is the net internal area on which the rent is charged. However, a number of factors can cause this number to be adjusted. Age of building Decade of original construction date. This needs to be changed to take the year of the last major refurbishment, and particularly the date on which the mechanical and electrical equipment last received major attention. Region/area The IPD regional classification was used. This uses fairly tight geographical definitions in London, especially in the centre but use broader definitions elsewhere. VAT election The election to charge VAT should allow the 20% VAT element on some of the expenditure in a non-elected-for-VAT building to be reclaimed. Rental value Rental value was seen to be a major driver of a quite a few of the cost categories but could not be collected consistently for all the properties. This needs to be remedied in 2013. ERV was not therefore included in the final model. Hours of operation Hours of operation are found to be a significant factor. However, the definitions need to be more precise, especially into determining the time over which the M&E equipment is running. In retail, trading hours should be selected. Air-conditioning This was a significant factor (see below). However, in talking over the results with participants, the project will need to be more precise about the precise nature of the air-conditioning. Other utilities Other utilities directly paid for within the service charge All-risks insurance All risks insurance premia directly paid for within the service charge IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 19 Service charges: Context Report Figure 10 Main cost drivers examined Floorspace All-risks insurance Age of building Other utilities Region/area S/C £/psf Airconditioning VAT election Hours of operation Rental value Other factors, which we would want to test in 2013, will include: Number of entrances Lift/escalator provision Number of stories Existence of data centres Number of schedules Retail centre hierarchy and type Further detail where certain services are excluded from the service charge Building life-cycle indicators Ratio of common parts to rental floor area On-site management provision How selected drivers affect cost out-turns Table 4 below shows the impact of selected drivers on overall service charge out-turns1. Some of these differences are marked. It should be borne in mind that there is not necessarily a causal 1 The overall predicted service charge is derived from forecasts for each service line, using the 22 cost categories in the RICS Service Charge Code. Nevertheless, it is convenient to estimate the average impact of each factor on the total service charge levied. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 20 Service charges: Context Report relationship between these factors and the service charge amount. For example, older buildings are often more expensive to maintain for a given specification but prove to be less expensive in our sample because, we assume, the base specification is lower. The range of factors examined will have to be increased in the 2013 programme. Table 4 The impact of selected factors on total service charges Factor Floorspace Each 10% increase in sq ft reduces £ per sq ft by about: CL Offices 2% Shopping Centres 1% Retail Parks 2% Age of building Older buildings can see typical reductions from modern building of about: 20% 20% 45% Region/area Range / reduction possible 25% outside core CL area 35% compared with London +/-15% around the norm VAT election Effect of VAT election 30% cheaper Not relevant Not relevant Hours of operation Compared with 15-18 hours +/- 10% +/- 10% +/- 10% Air-conditioning Provided within service charge 60% where supplied to demise 10% higher where provided to common parts Not relevant Other utilities Provided within service charge Unclear 10% higher Not relevant All-risks insurance Provided within service charge 20% higher 10% higher Not relevant The relative contributions of the most important three or four factors for each property type for each of the category models developed for this Project are shown in Table 5. The table summarises the number of times each factor is shown to be making a high relative contribution to the out-turn for each service line. For Central London Offices, almost half of the cost categories analysed have the size of the building as the main influence on costs, showing economies of scale. For example, this applies to IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 21 Service charges: Context Report accounting fees but not to cleaning provision. Air-conditioning is also a very significant factor, followed by insurance and core operating hours. For Shopping Centres, size affects fewer of the category-out-turns but is still the most important factor of the ones examined. Operating hours, insurance and air-conditioning also feature in the top four, although in a slightly different order. Retail Parks are more straight-forward with operating hours, size and shopping park status being the main factors which feature in the service line models. Table 5 Analysis of most important factors affecting category costs All cost headings Central London Offices Service charge area A/C through SC to demise All-risks insurance included in SC Core operating hours Shopping Centres Service charge area Core operating hours All-risks insurance included in SC A/C through SC to common parts Retail/shopping parks Core operating hours Service charge area Shopping Park adjustment Top 2nd factor factor count count 3rd factor count Top 3 factor count 18 18 18 18 7 5 2 2 1 1 4 2 4 5 1 2 12 11 7 6 18 18 18 18 4 4 3 3 4 3 4 2 2 2 2 1 10 9 9 6 15 15 15 6 4 3 4 2 5 3 4 0 13 10 8 The strength of a relationship in a regression equation is normally tested through an R2 ratio. Table 6 below shows these ratios for each cost category for each property type. Those that are 35% and above are considered strong for a model that is attempting to explain a ratio, particularly as the variability in those ratios can be large from one property to another. Those with an R2 less than 25% are weak models with greater errors in their predictions and are not so reliable. We were not able to model those factors (principally in retail and shopping parks) without a stated R2. In 2013 most effort will need to be paid to the cost service lines with the lowest R2. It should be noted that the overall R2 typically rises to over 90% when the costs are modelled on the overall bill rather than the amount per square foot. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 22 Service charges: Context Report Table 6 Total R2 for individual cost categories Cost category Cost Classes - Grand Total Management Fees Accounting Fees Site Management Resources Health, Safety & Environmental Electricity Gas Water Security Cleaning & Environmental Marketing & Promotions Mechanical & Electrical Services Lift & Escalators Suspended Access Equipment Fabric Repairs & Maintenance Interest Income from Commercialisation Engineering Insurance All Risks Insurance Cover Major Works IPD | An MSCI Brand Central London office 41% 52% 87% 55% 67% 36% 31% 32% 47% 42% 61% 22% 30% 48% 24% 43% 68% 33% Retail park 28% 33% 89% 56% 49% 29% Shopping park 33% 34% 88% 45% 49% 28% 16% 39% 87% 17% 53% 83% 90% 90% 37% 91% 23% 79% 37% 80% 22% 72% Shopping Centre 49% 46% 95% 61% 61% 50% 76% 53% 83% 55% 57% 58% 48% 36% 69% 43% 28% 73% Page 23 Service charges: Context Report 5 EMERGING ISSUES 5.1 Rent versus service charge In reviewing the results, there are a number of issues that appear to be raised by the data collected. One of these issues is the variability of results already noted. This variability is difficult to explain to tenants. With a developing awareness of service charge issues, one might expect that buildings with high service charges would increasingly cause tenants to lower their rental bids. Figure 11 explores the apparent lack of connection between ERV and service charge per sq ft. It shows that the ratio between them for Central London offices tends to vary between 10% and 50%, averaging at about 25%. Put another way, for all the rental values in a £5 band around £40 per sq ft from £37.50 to £42.50, the service charge variation per sq ft is £7.70. If the 25% norm applied, the service charge variation might be expected to be £1.25 per sq ft. Figure 11 Service charges per sq ft versus rental value per sq ft, Central London offices £90 £80 £70 R² = 0.0707 ERV psf £60 £50 £40 £30 £20 £10 ££- £5.00 £10.00 £15.00 £20.00 £25.00 Service charge psf IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 24 Service charges: Context Report 5.2 Cost attribution If transparency, as envisaged by the RICS Service Charge Code, is to materialise in the market, the evidence collected in this feasibility study suggests that a much greater effort needs to be made to make all the individual component costs more consistent when producing service charge certificates. When asked to explain higher than expected results, we have heard the following explanations as set out in Table 7. Table 7 Cost attribution Reasons for cost variability A supplier provides more than one service and it is not possible to divide the costs accurately. This can result in both costs being wrong and misleading to the tenant and other users of the service charge certificate. Comment All suppliers should be required to provide a breakdown of all costs to the accepted cost categories in the RICS Code. Site management costs are high Sometimes site management costs are high because of a deliberately higher allocation of resource to service the building in the form of a slightly bigger on-site team (or one with higher skills). It may be more appropriate to put site management costs under the heading of “soft services” since the type of services provided normally relate to a higher level of service to the tenant customer. Indeed, there are management costs within most component cost categories. Some exceptional costs seem to be attributed to year-on-year costs Some year-on-year costs seem to more properly belong within the category of Major Works. It would be helpful if the rules could be made clearer. This applies particularly to the two major Hard Service costs: mechanical & electrical repairs and fabric repairs). IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 25 Service charges: Context Report 5.3 Exceptional expenditure Exceptional expenditure can be a very contentious subject as it is incurred in an unpredictable way from the tenant’s point of view, unless flagged in advance by the landlord/managing agent. Perhaps for that reason, only about half of the total number of office and shopping centre service charges analysed featured any exceptional expenditure at all. For retail and shopping parks that percentage falls to 39%. As a percentage of the total, about 15% of offices and parks and 5% of shopping centres had exceptional expenditure above 15% of the total service charge. Table 8 Incidence of exceptional expenditure (EE) Property type % nil % not nil Ave £ per sq ft where not nil Central London Offices 49% 51% £1.09 Approx % of sample where EE <15% of total 85% Shopping Centres 52% 48% £0.50 95% Retail/shopping parks 61% 39% £0.19 85% Figure 12 summarises the % of the service charge represented by exceptional expenditure across the range of properties in the sample as a whole. Figure 12 Exceptional expenditure, by property type There are two categories within Exceptional Expenditure: major works and forward funding. As noted in the next section, only 4% of all the service charges analysed involved any form of forward-funding. Our sample of landlords increasingly appear to be paying for major works themselves and then subsequently charging for these over a period of time through the major works element. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 26 Service charges: Context Report 5.4 Incidence of unused code categories It is interesting to observe the percentage of the properties analysed with nil entries for certain cost categories. The incidence of zero costs has been taken into account in the model but does need to be thought through more generally. Difficulties will arise where zero costs are the results of incorrect cost attribution, since the corollary of a wrong zero is that the costs elsewhere have been stated too high. The proportion of zero entries is surprisingly high. Perhaps of most interest are the following: Only 67% of service charges have an explicit accounting fee Marketing and promotions is not included as such in 11% of shopping centres Interest is only credited for 42% of offices and for about 15% of retail properties Some insurance is paid for about 55% of offices and parks but 71% of shopping centres Only 4% of these service charges involved any form of forward-funding IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 27 Service charges: Context Report Table 9 % of non-zero cost classes/categories Cost class/category CL offices Centres Parks Total Management 100% 100% 100% 100% Management Fees 100% 100% 99% 100% Accounting Fees 74% 63% 61% 67% Site Management Resources 96% 100% 81% 91% Health, Safety & Environmental 76% 94% 99% 88% Utilities Electricity Gas Fuel Oil (Heating) Water 97% 94% 78% 4% 89% 97% 96% 70% 1% 90% 94% 93% 6% 1% 36% 96% 94% 50% 2% 70% Soft Services Security Cleaning & Environmental Marketing & Promotions 99% 92% 98% 6% 100% 94% 100% 89% 97% 68% 95% 6% 98% 84% 97% 23% Hard Services Mechanical & Electrical Services Lift & Escalators Suspended Access Equipment Fabric Repairs & Maintenance 100% 99% 93% 41% 97% 99% 97% 84% 39% 96% Income Interest Income from Commercialisation 43% 42% 1% 79% 13% 77% 40% 16% 30% 49% 26% 27% Insurance Engineering Insurance All Risks Insurance Cover Terrorism Insurance 57% 55% 25% 1% 71% 54% 57% 10% 56% 3% 55% 2% 59% 36% 43% 3% Exceptional Expenditure Major Works Forward Funding 49% 48% 6% 47% 44% 6% 30% 29% 1% 42% 40% 4% IPD | An MSCI Brand 100% 100% 90% 95% 4% 58% 3% 26% 99% 98% Page 28 Service charges: Context Report 6 Future of service charge benchmarking This feasibility study has highlighted many key issues for the future of service charges in the UK. Perhaps top of these is the inherent variability of results that are seen in the analysis. This variability makes it very difficult for the industry to explain service charge out-turns clearly. Transparency is therefore required to reassure tenants, owners and managers that the service charges being levied are fair and appropriate in the context both of the building and the market. We believe that this feasibility study represents a major step forward in developing this transparency. However, there is room for much more progress in developing this work. In an effort to limit the data demands on data providers, the Steering Group decided to limit the amount of data being collected for each building. This limitation needs to be relaxed in future work as about a dozen extra data items need to be collected, as presented in Section 4 (see page 20). This extra data should increase the explanatory power of the model to increase from about 50% towards about 70%. The sample size in this feasibility study was sufficient for the purposes of testing the model but in due course this analysis needs to be applied to many more of those commercial buildings with service charges. This would have the effect of being able to increase: 1. The accuracy of the analysis 2. The impact of the benchmarking on the effective working of service charges 3. The benefits to tenants, landlords and managers IPD will investigate the appetite of the industry to continue down this road. IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 29 Service charges: Context Report Global enquiries +44.20.7336.9200 www.ipd.com @IPDNews Netherlands +31.88.328.22.00 www.ipd.com/netherlands [email protected] Australia +61.2.9248.1900 www.ipd.com/australia [email protected] Portugal +351.22.208.50.09 www.ipd.com/portugal [email protected] Canada +1.416.520.7250 www.ipd.com/canada [email protected] South Africa +27.11.656.2115 www.ipd.com/southafrica [email protected] France +33.1.58.05.36.90 www.ipd.com/france [email protected] Spain +34.917.610.271 www.ipd.com/spain [email protected] Germany +49.611.3344.990 www.ipd.com/germany [email protected] Sweden +46.8.400.252.30 www.ipd.com/nordic [email protected] Hong Kong +85.2.8175.4388 www.ipd.com/asia [email protected] UK & Ireland +44.20.7336.4783 www.ipd.com/uk [email protected] Japan +81.3.5211.1455 www.ipd.com/japan [email protected] USA +1.312.646.6240 www.ipd.com/usa [email protected] IPD | An MSCI Brand Page 30
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