Presentation for Region X - Northern Mindanao December 1, 2005 Socioeconomic Profile of the Philippines Prepared by: Celia M. Reyes Ronina D. Asis Lourdes M. Catacutan Ma. Blessila G. Datu Outline Objectives Profile Decomposition of poverty Summary Objective of the Presentation Present the poverty profile using the PIDS online database List of Indicators Poverty Incidence Magnitude of Poor Subsistence Incidence GDP Growth Rate Population Population Density Unemployment Rate Access to Safe Water Access to Sanitary Toilet Facilities Access to Electricity List of Indicators Proportion of Families living in Makeshift Housing Materials Infant Mortality Prevalence of Malnutrition among 0-5 Year-old Children, 2001 (International Standard) Elementary Participation Rate Secondary Participation Rate Elementary Cohort Survival Rate Secondary Cohort Survival Rate Functional Literacy Rate Poverty and Subsistence Thresholds, 2003 Provinces Philippines Region X Bukidnon Camiguin Lanao del Norte Misamis Occidental Misamis Oriental Poverty Thresholds Food Thresholds All Areas Urban Rural All Areas Urban Rural 12,267 14,177 11,581 8,134 9,008 7,937 11,609 12,898 11,216 7,999 8,719 7,807 11,065 12,014 10,937 7,693 8,200 7,619 12,247 11,476 13,017 8,617 8,827 8,260 12,091 13,715 11,672 8,381 9,316 8,121 11,745 13,334 11,139 7,906 8,624 7,667 11,594 12,672 11,014 7,987 8,502 7,792 Poverty Incidence, 1985-2003 Philippines 50 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1988 1991 Old Methodology 1994 1997 2000 New Methodology 2003 Poverty Incidence, 2003 Source: FIES 2003, NSCB I 24.4 CAR 24.8 II 19.3 III 13.7 NCR Philippines – 24.7 5.0 IVA 14.9 IVB 39.7 V 40.5 VIII 35.5 VI 31.3 VII 23.7 CARAGA 47.3 X 37.9 IX 44.1 XI 28.1 XII 32.0 ARMM 45.7 Poverty Incidence, 2003 Region X 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1988 1991 Old Methodology 1994 1997 2000 2003 New Methodology Poverty Incidence, 2000 Camiguin 53.1 Misamis Occidental 43.4 Misamis Oriental 27.6 Bukidnon 32.2 Lanao del Norte 50.8 Region X – 36.9 Based on Estimates released in 2003. Poverty Incidence, 1997-2000 Region X 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 REGION X BUKIDNON CAMIGUIN 1997 LANAO DEL NORTE MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 2000 New Methodology MISAMIS ORIENTAL Magnitude of Poor, 1985-2003 Philippines 6000000 5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 1985 1988 1991 Old Methodology 1994 1997 2000 New Methodology 2003 Magnitude of Poor Families, 2003 Philippines I CAR Philippines – 3,966,396 206,641 73,008 II 115,903 III 225,285 NCR 114,516 IVA 290,740 IVB 188,131 V 382,890 VIII 274,123 VI 401,743 VII 277,957 CARAGA 207,066 X 278,543 IX 265,134 XI 216,579 XII 225,852 ARMM 222,284 Subsistence Incidence, 1985-2003 Philippines 30 25 20 15 10 5 Old Methodology 20 03 20 00 19 97 19 94 19 91 19 88 19 85 0 New Methodology Subsistence Incidence, 2003 Philippines – 10.4 I 8.1 CAR 9.8 II 5.6 III 2.9 NCR 0.4 IVA 3.7 IVB 17.7 V 20.3 VIII 15.5 VI 12.9 VII 11.2 CARAGA 24.5 X 19.7 IX 27.9 XI 13.5 XII 14.0 ARMM 18.6 Subsistence Incidence, 2000 Camiguin 20.3 Misamis Occidental 22.7 Misamis Oriental 11.7 Bukidnon 14.5 Lanao del Norte 30.5 Region X – 18.5 Based on Estimates released in 2003. Subsistence Incidence, 1997-2000 Region X 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 REGION X BUKIDNON CAMIGUIN 1997 LANAO DEL NORTE MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 2000 MISAMIS ORIENTAL Annual Population Growth Rate, 1960-2000 Philippines 3.5 3.08 2.78 3 2.71 2.35 2.5 2.32 2.36 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1960-1970 1990-1995 1970-1975 1995-2000 1975-1980 1980-1990 Population, 2000 (in millions) Philippines – 76.5 I 4.2 CAR 1.4 II 2.8 III 8.2 NCR 9.9 IVA 9.3 IVB 2.3 V 4.7 VIII 3.8 VI 6.2 VII 5.7 CARAGA 2.1 X 3.5 IX 2.8 XI 3.7 XII 3.2 ARMM 2.9 Population, 2000 Camiguin 0.1 Misamis Occidental 0.5 Misamis Oriental 1.1 Bukidnon 1.1 Lanao del Norte 0.8 Region X – 3.5 Population Density, 2000 I CAR 95 II 105 III 382 NCR Philippines – 255 327 15,617 IVA 574 IVB 84 V 265 VIII 173 VI 307 VII 381 CARAGA 111 X 205 IX 188 XI 186 XII 170 ARMM 225 Population Density, 2000 Camiguin 323 Misamis Occidental 251 Misamis Oriental 208 Bukidnon 128 Lanao del Norte 196 Region X – 205 Unemployment Rate, 2000-2004 Philippines 11.5 11 10.5 10 9.5 9 8.5 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Unemployment Rate, 2004 I Philippines – 10.9 10.6 CAR 9.0 II 5.3 III 12.5 NCR 18.4 IVA 13.3 IVB 8.0 V 7.7 VIII 9.3 VI 8.8 VII 11.9 CARAGA 9.3 X 6.5 IX 5.9 XI 8.7 XII 9.6 ARMM 7.2 Access to Safe Water, 1985-2002 77.4 80 78.5 80.0 76.9 78 73.7 76 71.9 74 72 69.9 70 68 66 64 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2002 Access to Safe Water, 2002 Source: Data-APIS (Annual Poverty Indicator Survey), NSO Philippines – 80.0 I 87.2 CAR 80.2 II 83.3 III 96.1 NCR 84.1 IVA 86.5 IVB 84.0 V 73.7 VIII 81.2 VI 69.1 VII 68.5 CARAGA 80.2 X 83.3 IX 68.2 XI 76.5 XII 80.6 ARMM 36.5 Access to Safe Water, Region X, 2002 Source: Data-APIS (Annual Poverty Indicator Survey), NSO Camiguin 97.8 Misamis Occidental 78.2 Misamis Oriental 96.1 Bukidnon 68.1 Lanao del Norte 86.8 Region X – 83.3 Access to Safe Water, 1994-2002 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 REGION X BUKIDNON 1994 CAMIGUIN 1997 LANAO DEL NORTE 2000 MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 2002 MISAMIS ORIENTAL Access to Sanitary Toilet Facilities 1985-2002, Philippines 82.5 90 80 68.8 69.1 71.6 74.9 77.2 86.1 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 Access to Sanitary Toilet Facilities, 2002 Source: Data-APIS (Annual Poverty Indicator Survey), NSO Philippines – 86.1 I 96.0 CAR 83.1 II 96.4 III 92.7 NCR 98.1 IVA 92.1 IVB 81.7 V 78.6 VIII 77.8 VI 77.4 VII 73.4 CARAGA 86.7 X 85.3 IX 82.4 XI 85.4 XII 86.7 ARMM 45.5 Access to Sanitary Toilet Facilities, 2002 Source: Data-APIS (Annual Poverty Indicator Survey), NSO Camiguin 87.8 Misamis Occidental 86.1 Misamis Oriental 92.3 Bukidnon 75.8 Lanao del Norte 87.2 Region X – 85.3 Access to Sanitary Toilet Facilities 1994-2002, Region X 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 REGION X BUKIDNON 1994 CAMIGUIN 1997 LANAO DEL NORTE 2000 MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 2002 MISAMIS ORIENTAL Access to Electricity, 1985-2002 Philippines 75.4 80.0 70.0 57.0 59.9 61.7 66.0 79.0 70.4 60.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2002 Access to Electricity, 2002 Philippines – 79.0 I 86.4 CAR 71.8 II 78.4 III 96.5 NCR 99.5 IVA 93.7 IVB 58.7 V 64.7 VIII 64.0 VI 67.2 VII 68.2 CARAGA 67.5 X 72.9 IX 56.9 XI 71.1 XII 73.2 ARMM 46.4 Access to Electricity, 2002 Camiguin 63.7 Misamis Occidental 75.5 Misamis Oriental 86.6 Bukidnon 55.5 Lanao del Norte 75.4 Region X – 72.9 Access to Electricity, 1994-2002 Region X 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 REGION X BUKIDNON CAMIGUIN 1994 LANAO DEL NORTE 1997 2000 MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 2002 MISAMIS ORIENTAL Infant Mortality Rate, 1983-2003 Philippines 45.3 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 36.8 35.3 29.0 19831987 19881992 19931997 19982002 30.0 2003 Infant Mortality Rate, 2003 Philippines – 30.0 I 29 CAR 14 II 28 III 25 NCR 24 IVA 25 IVB 44 V 28 VIII 36 VI 39 VII 28 CARAGA 35 X 38 IX 27 XI 38 XII 27 ARMM 41 Prevalence of Malnutrition Among 0-5 Year Old Children (International Standard), Philippines, 2003 34.5 34.0 29.9 35.0 30.8 32.0 30.6 27.6 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 19891990 1992 1993 1996 1998 2001 2003 Prevalence of Malnutrition Among 0-5 Year Old Children (International Standard), Philippines, 2001 Philippines – 30.6 I 31.5 CAR 23.4 II 31.2 III 25.9 NCR 20.3 IVA 27.8 IVB 27.8 V 37.8 VIII 32.0 VI 35.2 VII 28.3 CARAGA 33.5 X 34.1 IX 31.8 XI 32.3 XII 30.2 ARMM 27.9 Elementary Participation Rate SY 2002-2003 Philippines – 90.3 I 89.4 CAR 90.3 II 85.7 III 92.5 NCR 97.4 IVA 98.2 IVB 91.4 V 90.8 VIII 85.8 VI 85.9 VII 88.1 CARAGA 92.7 X 88.5 IX 89.4 XI 84.8 XII 82.0 ARMM 80.7 Secondary Participation Rate SY 2002-2003 Philippines – 58.3 I 68.1 CAR 55.3 II 55.3 III 65.3 NCR 74.3 IVA 72.2 IVB 57.2 V 54.5 VIII 48.3 VI 56.6 VII 57.1 CARAGA 49.4 X 52.1 IX 47.7 XI 50.5 XII 50.8 ARMM 23.6 Cohort Survival Rate, Elementary Level SY 2002-2003 Philippines – 69.8 I 86.6 CAR 68.4 II 77.8 III 79.5 NCR 79.4 IVA 74.0 IVB 69.2 V 72.6 VIII 65.5 VI 62.7 VII 67.9 CARAGA 61.9 X 68.0 IX 61.6 XI 69.9 XII 54.0 ARMM 48.1 Cohort Survival Rate, Secondary Level SY 2002-2003 Philippines – 65.8 I 76.5 CAR 85.4 II 64.8 III 64.9 NCR 63.4 IVA 65.3 IVB 69.8 V 65.1 VIII 69.5 VI 68.5 VII 64.7 CARAGA 65.1 X 58.2 IX 65.6 XI 58.8 XII 63.2 ARMM 75.2 Functional Literacy Rate, 2003 Philippines – 84.1 I 88.6 CAR 85.4 II 84.4 III 86.9 NCR 94.6 IVA 90.4 IVB 82.3 V 80.1 VIII 76.7 VI 81.5 VII 81.7 CARAGA 81.0 X 83.7 IX 74.8 XI 77.8 XII 77.1 ARMM 62.9 Decomposition for the Philippines 1991-1994 1994-1997 1997-2000 Total Change in Poverty -3.92 -3.81 1.38 Growth Component -2.19 -9.21 1.65 Redistribution Component -1.75 4.74 -0.37 1991-2000 -6.36 -9.75 2.62 Period Residual 0.02 0.66 0.09 0.77 Decomposition of Poverty Incidence Philippines 6.00 4.7 4.00 2.6 1.4 1.7 2.00 0.00 -0.4 -2.00 -4.00 -1.8 -2.2 -3.9 -3.8 -6.00 -6.4 -8.00 -9.7 -9.2 -10.00 1991-1994 1994-1997 1997-2000 total change in poverty incidence growth component redistribution component 1991-2000 Decomposition for Region X Total Change in Growth Poverty Component 1991-1994 -4.40 -4.00 1994-1997 -4.35 -14.45 1997-2000 -0.25 1.14 Period 1991-2000 -9.00 -17.31 Redistribution Component -0.46 6.94 -0.75 5.73 Residual 0.06 3.16 -0.64 2.58 Decomposition of Poverty Incidence Region X 10.00 6.9 5.7 5.00 1.14 0.00 -5.00 -0.25 -0.5 -4.00 -4.40 -0.8 -4.35 -10.00 -9.00 -15.00 -14.45 -17.31 -20.00 1991-1994 1994-1997 1997-2000 total change in poverty incidence growth component redistribution component 1991-2000 Average Annual Growth Rate of Real GDP Period Growth Rate 1960s 4.9 1970s 5.9 1980s 1.7 1990s 2.9 2000s 3.9 Growth Rate of GDP and GDP per Capita Growth 1982-2004 19 82 19 84 19 86 19 88 19 90 19 92 19 94 19 96 19 98 20 00 20 02 20 04 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 Per Capita GRDP, 2004 (at Constant 1985 Prices In Pesos) 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 IVB CA R NC R X XI VII III VI XII IX II I V VII I XII I IVA Ph ilip pin es AR MM 0 Current Rate of Poverty Reduction vs. Rate Needed to Reach the MDG Target 25 20 15 10 5 0 1991 2000 2015 Subsistence Incidence of Population Projected Subsistence Incidence MDG Target Current Rate of Poverty Reduction Rate Needed to Reach MDG Target
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