National Incentives for International Governance of Space Applications Gilles Doucet Institute of Air and Space Law Faculty of Law - McGill University Problem: Safety & Sustainability of Outer Space Increasingly at Risk • Outer space is an international environment, but international governance has lagged technology and commercial innovations. – Space environment changed since 1967 (OST) – More actors, different actors, news applications, new threats to safety and sustainability • Four decades of: – International soft law measures – Some national regulations (variable, inconsistent) Why is that? • States act in their perceived best interests. – States are generally motivated to enter into international agreements by national incentives • Not the greater good of humankind – Governments tend to have a short term view • National incentives for international agreements have been illusive in outer space due to the international character of the environment (non-sovereign nature) Non-Space Model: Non-Proliferation Treaty • Key provisions – Weapon States agree to not proliferate. (art I) – Non-weapon States renounce nuclear weapons. (art II) – States share nuclear technology for peaceful use (art V) • “Bargain”: States agree to limits on their national actions in exchange for cooperation (under a verification regime) • Has been generally successful – 190 states parties – 4 nuclear states outside the regime – Numerous states with nuclear potential have refrained • What would the world look like without the NPT? Non-Space Model: Chemical Warfare Convention • States agree to: – destroy their weapons & production facilities (art IV, V) – allow international verification (art IV) and – facilitate cooperation for peaceful chemistry applications (art XI) • “Bargain”: States agree to limits on their national actions in exchange for cooperation (verification regime) • Has been generally successful – 192 states parties – only 4 UN states outside the regime • Imagine if Chemical weapons were part of all countries’ arsenals Non-Space Model: Chicago Convention • Regulatory pillar enabling the international civil aviation industry (1944) – Comprehensive Treaty; established ICAO • One key element: – States agree to recognize licenses & certificates issues by other States, provided that they meet or exceed mandated standards. (art 33) – States should adhere to uniform standards and recommended practices (SARPs). (art 37) • “Bargain”: States agree to limits on their national sovereignty in exchange for the cooperation of other States • SARPs are adopted by the ICAO Council (art 55) – Developed by the Air Navigation Commission – Not part of the Chicago Convention treaty (SARPs are Annexes) • SARPs have kept pace with technology Proposal: National Incentives for Outer Space Governance • Adopt proven model from successful treaties – “Bargain”: States agree to certain restrictions in return for cooperation of other States • Applicable to civil and commercial activities – Military activities excluded (unrealistic at this time) • Chicago Convention model is most applicable to space – New Convention based on Outer Space SARPs (as annexes) – States to comply with the SARPs in order to receive cooperation from other States (national incentive) Potential Areas for Outer Space SARPs (focus on safety & sustainability) • • • • • • • • Space Debris Mitigation Standards Space Traffic Management Passenger Services (Space Tourism) Registration Requirements for Space Objects Active Debris Removal ? Orbital Servicing ? Resource extraction ? …… What types of cooperation? • Examples are: – Exports of space technologies – Provision of space launches – Distribution of space remote sensing products – Ground station services (TT&C, data reception) – Licensing of communication services • (national spectrum allocations) • Nationally regulated activities – Existing mechanisms in many countries Why would anyone agree? • Most nations – Need cooperation of other States in order to conduct space activities • Major space-faring nations 1. Derive greatest benefits from space; have the most at risk if space activities become unsustainable 2. Will likely have the most influence on the SARPs • Commercial actors – More certainty, lower risk, level playing field • No incentive for “jurisdiction shopping” Everything happens for a reason, and that reason is usually physics! Gilles Doucet Space Security Consultant 613-794-4744 [email protected]
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