APPA Business & Financial Conference Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Helen Kehrt Director, Treasury Services JEA, Jacksonville, Florida September 19, 2006 Hilton Minneapolis Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Overview • • • • • • Proper upfront planning Timeliness of information The “right” individuals presenting Format of presentation material Content Follow up after presentations 1 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Proper Upfront Planning • Schedule meeting with analysts early (date, time, location) – At rating agency offices in New York – At the utility offices – At a third party location (i.e. hotel conference room, consultant facility) 2 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Proper Upfront Planning • Develop outline of topics – Determine what the rating agencies think is important • From your utility’s rating agency reports and other utility’s rating reports • From rating agency general summary pieces on Ratings Criteria – Review strengths and weaknesses of your credit • Highlight strengths • Explain your strategy to improve weaknesses 3 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Proper Upfront Planning • Review presentation materials – Look for errors or inconsistencies – Missing or duplicate pages – Check quality of material • Coordinate or “practice” with presentation team – Each presenter should know their role and understand the information that they are presenting – Smooth transition between presenters 4 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Proper Upfront Planning • For presentations at utility home offices – Arrange to meet wider group of key management staff, governmental and business leaders – Arrange for tours of large facilities and service territory (ask analysts for recommendations) 5 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Timeliness of Information and Meeting • Annual update meeting shortly after year end and audit completion • Update meeting mid-year if necessary • Any major changes, communicate immediately 6 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations The “Right” Individuals Presenting • Key utility managers, Board members, Mayor and City Council • Show support of the Board, City Council • Do not rely on consultants (financial advisor, underwriters), the rating agencies want utility managers that understand the business. 7 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Format of Presentation Material • Determine type of presentation material – books, power point, etc • All charts with same standard format for headings and fonts • Make a point with each chart or page • Have backup version of presentation 8 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content • • • • • • • • Overview and Governance Management, Strategy and Competitive Strengths Electric System Operations Water and Sewer Operations Pricing Philosophy and Rates Enterprise Risk Management Financial Performance Service Territory Demographics 9 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content • Overview and Governance – Summary and interconnection of key business units – Members and background of board of directors or oversight body – Relationship to other governmental units in local area – Legal restrictions 10 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: JEA Overview Corporately organized independent agency of the City of Jacksonville, FL. Governing body consists of a seven member Board appointed by the Mayor and confirmed by the City Council. Established in 1968 to own and operate the electric utility which had been owned by the City since 1895. Effective June 1, 1997, the City transferred to JEA the City’s combined water and sewer utility system. Effective October 1, 2004, the District Energy System was formed. • • • • Electric System 397,000 customers 900 square miles of service area 5,300 miles distribution 730 miles transmission • • • • • Electric Generation St. Johns River Power Park Northside Generating Station Brandy Branch Kennedy Scherer • • • • • Water and Sewer System 287,000 water customers 214,000 sewer customers 903 square miles of service area 3,600 miles distribution 3,200 miles collection Water and Sewer Treatment Plants • 18 Major water plants 282 MGD max daily capacity • 6 Regional sewer plants 238 MGD max daily capacity 3,275 MW net capacity District Energy System • Three Chilled Water Plants 20,700 tons capacity 11 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Board of Directors Current members of the JEA Board, their occupations and the commencement and expiration of their current terms are as follows: Ernest Isaac, Jr. Chair President/Owner Ernie Isaac Electric Co., Inc. September 17, 1996 – February 28, 2007 Julian E. Fant Vice Chair President & CEO First Guaranty Bank March 24, 2004 – February 28, 2008 Dr. Leroy R. Polite Secretary Medical Doctor - Dentistry January 29, 1996 – February 28, 2007 J.D. Collins Owner-Real Estate Developer The Collins Group May 23, 2000 – February 28, 2008 William P. Foley Chairman & CEO Fidelity National Financial, Inc. March 1, 2005 – February 28, 2009 Cynthia B. Austin Attorney Austin & Austin May 19, 2006 – February 28, 2010 Cathy B. Whatley Realtor Buck & Buck, Inc. June 19, 2006 – February 28, 2010 The Board’s primary responsibilities include strategy, policy and rate making 12 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content • Management, Strategy and Competitive Strengths – Organization Chart – Experience of Management Team – Management participation in industry issues – Utility strategies (succession planning and workforce development, environmental issues, safety, community growth) – Key competitive strengths 13 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Management Team CEO – Jim Dickenson Market Strategy Utility Service Capacity Operations & Maintenance Customer Relationships Organizational Services Financial Services Electric System Generation Transmission Technology Services Environmental Services Government Relations Water & Sewer System Distribution Treatment Reclaimed Water Distribution & Collection District Energy System JEA is unique in its integrated process oriented management structure, which has led to lower costs and higher levels of customer satisfaction. 14 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Strategic Focus 1980 1990 2000 2010 Building Community Integrated Utility Water, Sewer, Reclaimed, District Energy Strategic Partnerships North Florida, Colectric, TEA, SJRWMD, WSEA Fuel Diversity Coal, pet coke, wind, biomass Generation Debt Scherer, Kennedy, BB1 and SJRPP Operational Excellence Dependability Environmental Stewardship Community Growth Risk Management (ERM) 2008 Target Integrated Resource Plan 2006-2024 Customer Satisfaction Workplace Environment Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content • Electric System Operations – Growth – peak demand, capacity, reserve margins – Power resource and fuel mix – Transmission assets – Electric distribution reliability – Environmental issues 16 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Electric System Growth – Peak Demand Peak Demand (MW) 4000 3% demand growth 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Winter Actual Winter Normalized Winter Forecast Summer Actual Summer Normalized Summer Forecast JEA has experienced an annual 3% peak demand growth over the last ten years 2010 17 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Electric Generation Unit Age Analysis Including Peak Demand versus Capacity Capacity Age 0-10 Capacity Age 11-20 Capacity Age 21-30 Capacity Age 30+ Firm Purchases Firm Peak Demand + 15% Reserve Firm Demand Peak 4,000 3,500 MW 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 • JEA owns and operates an electric generating fleet which is significantly younger, more efficient and environmentally friendly than industry norms. 18 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content • Pricing Philosophy and Rates – Rate structure (fuel recovery, base rates) – Rate planning and approval process – Recent rate actions – Rate comparisons 19 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Electric System Residential Rates Comparison Florida Residential Electric Rates 140.00 120.00 $124.0 $118.8 0 6 $118.7 $115.5 7 8 $113.1 $109.5 0 6 107.97 $107.8 8 $107.6 $107.55 6 $102.41 $101.28 $100.34 $99.95 $99.70 100.00 $97.90 $93.07 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 November, 2005 JEA Northwest Florida Ft. Pierce Clay County Orlando Jacksonville Beach Kissimmee Gainesville Miami Bartow Vero Beach Tampa St. Petersburg Key West Ocala Tallahassee Ft. Meade 0.00 Lakeland $/1,000 kWh $89.15 Proposed January, 2006 20 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content • Enterprise Risk Management – Fuel supply and price – Interest rates – Disaster recovery 21 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Electric System: Fuel Mix and Expense Actual Fiscal Year 2005 Proforma Fiscal Year 2006 10% 9% 32% 10% 5% 1% 13% 32% 12% 7% Proforma Fiscal Year 2010 32% 2% 6% 1% 10% 5% 5% 1% 16% 1% 2% 1% 3% 5% 26% 27% 26% Energy Generated and Purchased SJRPP (Coal/Petcoke) Gas: Steam N/S (Petcoke) Scherer 4 (Coal) Gas: Comb. Cycle Oil & Diesel Southern (Coal) Gas: CTs Other Purchased Power Fuel diversity reduces risk while providing opportunity and flexibility to effectively manage fuel costs. 22 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Enterprise Risk Management: Risk Inventory Financial • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Accounting Services Accounts Payable Budget Services Bulk Power Corporate Planning Customer Contact Management Customer Order Management Electric Production Employee Benefits Environmental Services JEA Fuels Material Distribution & Recovery Meter, Billing & Collections Payroll Procurement Services Rates Real Estate Reliability Engineering SJRPP Fuels SJRPP Production Services Talent Acquisition Technology Services Treasury Services USC Water, WW & Reuse Delivery/Collection Water, WW & Reuse Treatment Strategic and Operational • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Market/Price Credit/default Modeling/valuation Business continuity Operational Volumetric Staffing/organization Financing/financial Legal Regulatory Environmental Political Strategic/franchise Technological Financial/documentation reporting risk 23 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content • Financial Performance – Coverage levels (historical and projections) – Liquidity – Debt burden and mix – Capital requirements – Financial or debt policies 24 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Electric System Projected Capital Expenditures by Major Category Total Capital Expenditures Actual 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 $226 $253 $218 $203 $361 $569 Distribution 44% 35% 44% 37% 21% 11% Substation & Transmission 10% 18% 17% 19% 10% 8% New Generation 10% -- 4% 17% 51% 68% Generation 13% 29% 21% 13% 9% 7% Other 23% 18% 14% 14% 9% 6% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Total 25 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Electric System – Funding Plan Fiscal Year Capital Plan Internal Funds Construction Funds 2005 Debt Financing 2006-2010 Principal Repayment 2006 $253 $93 $41 $119 $82 2007 218 85 -- 133 87 2008 203 124 -- 79 112 2009 361 133 -- 228 118 2010 569 146 -- 423 123 Total $1,604 $581 $41 $982 $522 (In millions) 26 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content • Service Territory Demographics – Population statistics (growth, income, housing) – Workforce (unemployment, industry sectors) – Key customers – Residential and commercial development 27 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Service Territory Demographics Jacksonville’s Population and Labor Statistics Jacksonville MSA Population Year Labor Force Labor Force Growth Rate 1991 468,987 1993 1990 2004 Change 1990 to 2004 912,708 1,204,659 32% Employment Annual Employment Growth Rate Jacksonville Unemployment Rate National Unemployment Rate 1.5% 438,159 0.4% 6.1% 6.8% 480,401 2.1% 453,345 3.7% 5.5% 6.8% 1995 502,782 1.7% 484,139 3.2% 3.7% 5.6% 1997 532,507 2.8% 515,612 2.9% 3.6% 4.4% 1999 560,954 3.9% 544,342 3.6% 3.0% 4.1% 2001 567,164 1.5% 543,181 3.2% 4.2% 4.8% 2002 601,466 6.0% 569,726 3.9% 5.3% 5.8% 2003 605,174 0.6% 572,880 0.6% 5.2% 6.1% 2004 616,526 1.9% 587,322 2.5% 5.4% 6.0% 2.9% 4.7% 5.6% Average 2.3% Jacksonville’s seasonally adjusted MSA unemployment rate at June 2005 was 4.09%. Sources: Florida Research and Economic Database , US Census Bureau 2000 and Bureau of Labor Statistics. And DemographicsNow *2004 Labor force and employment data is year-to-date as of June, 2005. Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) 28 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Content Example: Customer Base – Growth Electric System Customers Commercial and Industrial Public Street Lighting 400, 000 350, 000 300, 000 250, 000 200, 000 150, 000 100, 000 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 Fi sc a l Ye a r 1997 50, 000 1996 Average Number of Accounts by Type Residential 450, 000 10 Year Average Annual Rate of Growth = 1.92% Water & Sewer System Customers Commercial and Industrial Irrigation Reuse 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 Fiscal Year 1997 50,000 1996 Average Number of Accounts by Type Residential 300,000 10 Year Average Annual Rate of Growth = 5.93% 29 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Follow Up After Presentation • Follow up with answers to any open questions as quickly as possible after presentation • Continue ongoing communication throughout the year 30 Strategies for Effective Rating Agency Presentations Summary • Develop close working relationship with rating analysts • Top three items for consideration: – Proper upfront planning – Timely communication – Relay key information for ratings analysis 31
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