Lesson 5 using a tree diagram.notebook April 25, 2016 4/25 Problem of the Day Jaydion is one of 8 skaters competing in the Skateland Skating Championship. If each skater is equally likely to win the contest, what is the probability that Jaydion will NOT win the skating championship? Express your answer as a fraction and as a decimal. Feb 49:06 PM 1 Lesson 5 using a tree diagram.notebook April 25, 2016 4/25 Lesson 5: Using a Tree Diagram In How Likely Is It?, you learned to find all the possible outcomes of a situation by making an organized list. April uses a tree diagram to show all the possible outcomes for the Match/NoMatch game. First, she lists the equally likely outcomes of the first spin. From each result of the first spin, April draws and labels two branches to show the possible results of the second spin. April can read all the possible outcomes of a turn by following the paths from left to right. For example, she can follow the upper branch from start to blue, and then from there, she can follow the upper branch to blue. This path represents the outcome blueblue. The right column below lists the possible outcomes. The outcomes are all equally likely. Apr 223:21 PM 2 Lesson 5 using a tree diagram.notebook April 25, 2016 A carnival committee is considering using the Red and Blue game. The game involves choosing one marble at random from each of two buckets. The first bucket contains one green, one blue, one red, and one yellow marble. The second bucket contains one green, one red, and one yellow marble. Without looking, a player chooses one marble from each bucket in the Red and Blue game. If the player gets a red and a blue marble (the order makes no difference), the player wins. Each player pays $1 to play and receives $3 for each win. A. Before playing the game, do you predict that the school will make money on this game? Explain. B. Make a tree diagram to show the possible outcomes for this game. Explain how your tree shows all the possible outcomes. C. What is the theoretical probability of choosing a red and blue marble on a turn? D. Suppose the game is played 36 times. 1. How much money can the school expect to collect? 2. How much money can the school expect to pay out to the winners? 3. Did the school make money? If so, how much? E. Suppose one marble is chosen from each bucket. Find the probability of each situation. 1. You choose a green marble from Bucket 1 and a yellow marble from Bucket 2. 2. You do not choose a blue marble from either bucket. 3. You choose two blue marbles. 4. You choose at least one blue marble. Apr 223:28 PM 3 Lesson 5 using a tree diagram.notebook April 25, 2016 tree diagram each path shows a possible outcome. Each branch of the tree shows the probability of an event. A travel agent plans trips for tourists from Chicago to Miami. He gives them three ways to get from town to town: airplane, bus, train. Once the tourists arrive, there are two ways to get to the hotel: hotel van or taxi. The cost of each type of transportation is given in the table below. 1. Draw a tree diagram to illustrate the possible choices for the tourists. Determine the cost for each outcome. 2. If these six outcomes are chosen equally by tourists, what is the probability that a randomly selected tourist travel in a bus? 3. What is the probability that a person's trip costs less than $300? 4. What is the probability that a person's trip costs more than $350? 5. If the tourists were flying to New York, the subway would be a third way to get to the hotel. How would this change the number of outcomes? Feb 49:36 PM 4 Lesson 5 using a tree diagram.notebook April 25, 2016 Andy has asked his girlfriend to make all of the decisions for their date on her birthday. She will pick a restaurant and an activity for the date. Andy will choose her gift for her. The local restaurants include Mexican, Chinese, and Italian. The activities she can choose from are miniature golf, bowling, and movies. Andy will buy her either candy or flowers. 1. Draw a tree diagram to illustrate the choices. 2. How many outcomes are there for these three decisions? 3. What is the probability that Andy's girlfriend will choose Mexican, bowling, and flowers? 4. What is the probability that they will NOT choose Italian, choose miniature golf, and choose candy or flowers? Feb 49:38 PM 5 Lesson 5 using a tree diagram.notebook April 25, 2016 Assignment: Lesson 5 Using a Tree Diagram Worksheet Feb 49:39 PM 6
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