Putting Behavioral Economics to Work: Using Field Experiments to Manage Residential Water/Energy Use Michael Price Department of Economics Andrew Young School of Policy Studies Georgia State University and NBER 1 Underlying Motivation – Broader Agenda Foster a deeper understanding of behaviors that generate public goods (bads) Charitable contributions Private provision of environmental quality (conservation and compensation) Identify influences that drive such actions Highlight what models best predict behavior and outline directions for new theories Provide guidance for policymakers and practitioners 2 Underlying Motivation – Broader Agenda Examine mechanisms – both monetary and non-monetary – to address underlying externality Charitable lotteries or characteristics of a solicitor Social comparisons or subsidies Provide an apples-to-apples comparison of commonly employed policies Uncover channels through which mechanisms influence behavior to inform theory and design of new policies Avoid policies or actions that are ineffective or promote unintended consequences 3 Experiment #1 – Compliance and Temporal Patterns of Use Restrictions that limit number of days a week household can water lawns Enforcement of regulations is problematic Infrequent water patrols Nominal fines for repeated violations in same calendar year 4 Experiment #1 – Compliance and Temporal Patterns of Use Daily monitoring project of 4,800 residential water consumers over eight week period in summer 2007 Readings are taken overnight from households with smart meter technology Households face mixture of flat-rate and increasing block pricing Households randomly assigned to either a control group or one of three treatment conditions Schedule reminder Drought letter with pro-social appeal Monitoring letter highlighting unusual patterns of use in the area 5 Experiment #1 – Compliance and Temporal Patterns of Use Treatment letters mailed during fourth week of project Identification of treatment effects based on difference-indifferences approach Compare change in use after intervention across treatment and control group Subset of households are monitored following summer to examine persistence 6 Experiment #1 – Compliance and Temporal Patterns of Use Estimate an approximate 23% likelihood of watering on unassigned day in pre-intervention period Post-intervention rates of compliance No difference in rates of compliance amongst control group Schedule reminder generates 9.5% reduction in rate of noncompliance Normative appeal generates a 6.5% reduction in rate of noncompliance Monitoring letter generates a 15.2% reduction in rate of noncompliance 7 Experiment #1 – Compliance and Temporal Patterns of Use Average daily use on unassigned days No discernible difference in use after intervention amongst control group Significant reduction in use after intervention – 6.4 to 11.9 percent – amongst treatment groups Average daily use on assigned days Significant increase in use for households assigned the schedule and monitoring letters Significant reduction in use for households receiving normative appeal 8 Experiment #2 – Promoting Conservation Efforts Cobb County Water System Second largest user of public water supplies in state Distributes treated surface water to approximately 170,000 customers Partnered with CCWS to implement norm-based conservation campaign in summer 2007 (drought) Information campaigns highlighting how and why to conserve water Apples-to-apples comparison of appeal to civic duty and social comparisons 9 Experiment #2 – Promoting Conservation Efforts Households randomized into four treatment cells and use tracked for three year period Control group Group that received technical advice letter on how to conserve Group that received technical advice letter and norm-based appeal to conserve Group that received technical advice letter and norm-based appeal that included social comparison 10 Experiment #2 – Promoting Conservation Efforts Messages focusing on why to conserve more effective than those stating how to conserve No significant reduction in use amongst HHs in technical advice treatment HHs in social comparison treatment consume approximately 4.8 percent less than those in the control group Impacts are heterogeneous and more pronounced amongst highest user groups 11 Experiment #2 – Promoting Conservation Efforts Examine persistence of effects by looking at use during summer 2008 and summer 2009 Social comparisons have lasting impact on water consumption Consume 2.6 percent less than counterparts in control during summer 2008 Consume 1.3 percent less than counterparts in control during summer 2009 Unable to detect long-run effect for normative appeal 12 Experiment #3 – Adoption of Green Technologies Two motivations for adoption of green technologies Altruism Social pressures Is adoption decision supply or demand driven? Welfare implications and “costs” to utility differ across motives Altruism and welfare enhancing whereas social pressures can be welfare reducing 13 Experiment #3 – Adoption of Green Technologies Consider two specific policy instruments Price reductions ($5 or $1) Use of a descriptive norm (social comparison – local or national) Households in suburbs of Chicago approached by a paid solicitor and offered opportunity to purchase CFLs Allow subset of the households ability to sort into or out of interaction Households are warned in advance of visit but vary ease with which they can avoid solicitor 14 Experiment #3 – Adoption of Green Technologies Conditioned on answering the door, HHs who received warning are more likely to purchase CFLs Importance of altruism for subset of individuals Prices and social norms influence purchase decision Prices influence both the decision to purchase and number of packages purchased Normative appeals only influence the decision to purchase 15 Experiment #3 – Adoption of Green Technologies Increase in price from $1 to $5 generates an approximate 62.5% reduction in purchases Suggests that demand for CFLs is inelastic Comparison of prices and descriptive norms Inclusion of “high” social norm statement is equivalent to approximate 70% reduction in prices ($5 to $1.50) Inclusion of a “low” social norm statement is equivalent to an approximate 30% reduction in prices ($5 to $3.50) 16 Experiment #4 – Salience, Norms and Energy Demand 17 Experiment #4 – Salience, Norms and Energy Demand 18 Experiment #4 – Salience, Norms and Energy Demand Information intervention to HHs with historical average consumption between 100 and 125 kWh Random assignment to 3 treatment (16K HHs in each) Make the 111 kWh price notch salient Include a social comparison with reference consumption at notch Cross the two messages 19 Experiment #4 – Social Comparisons and Norms… 20 Experiment #4 – Price Salience…. 21 Major Lessons Learned Both neo-classical and behavioral motives are important drivers of behavior Norms matter Salience (or lack thereof) reduces the sensitivity to prices Prices matter…. Important complementarities between motives and policies 22 Major Lessons Learned Impacts of behavioral interventions are more pronounced in short-run and tend to wane over time Out of sight, out of mind Boy who cried wolf Significant heterogeneity in the effects of such strategies across observable dimensions 23 Some Take Away Thoughts…. No one size fits all policy to promote demand management Drivers of behavior are heterogeneous Impacts differ across households and over time Partnerships between public utilities and academics have proven highly successful Informed policy and helped achieve desired outcomes Furthered our understanding of household behavior and factors that drive demand 24
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