Chalmers University of Technology Impact Assessment of Wind Power and Demand Side Management on DayAhead Market Prices Figure: http://greenbuildingelements.com/ David Steen, Pavan Balram, Le Anh Tuan, Lina Reichenberg and Lina Bertling Tjernberg Chalmers University of Technology Background • Wind power could affect the wholesale electricity prices – Lower wholesale electricity prices – Negative electricity price could occur • Customers have limited incentives to act on the day-ahead market – Too low price volatility Figure source: Green Building Council of South Africa 2 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Research question • • Could demand response have any positive effect for wind power producers? Could wind power increase the incentives for customers to become active? Figure source: Green Building Council of South Africa 3 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Outline • • Model description Results – Effects of wind power on the spot market price – Effects of demand response on wind power producers – Effects of wind power producers on demand response • Conclusions 4 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Model description Generator data -Marginal cost -Hydro energy Net transfer capacity data Wind power data Market Model Conventional demand data (Minimize total generation cost) Heat demand data - Generation schedule -Heat demand schedule -Market price -Wind power revenue -Heat demand cost 5 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Generation constrains • • • The electricity that can be produced from hydro power plant is limited by the water inflow and installed capacity. – In the model the electricity production was limited based on the actual production in 2012 – The production was spatially distributed between the bidding areas according to the installed capacity and in time based on the electricity demand. Nuclear power capacity factor was estimated to be 80% in winter and 40% in summer due to maintenance. – The output power variation was limited to 80-100%, i.e. 80% of the nuclear is a must run unit. Wind power is bidding 0 €/MWh. 6 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Demand Response • Only space heating considered flexible – Included in the market model and schedule to minimize the total system cost DK NO FI SE Number of houses With electric Total heating 1 527 391 91 643 2 449 210* 1 714 447* 1 200 246 540 715 1 939 710 481 000 Demand/household [kWh] Avg. all Avg. customers with customers electric heating 4 415 23 800 16 343 18 600 11 900 23 400 11 800 17 300 *includes multi dwellings 7 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Penetration level [%] Wind power penetration level 100 80 60 40 20 0 K2 K1 S SY D D FI 5 O N 4 O N 3 O N 2 O N 1 O N 4 SE 3 SE 2 SE 1 SE 8 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Effects on spot price Only wind power Rel. diff. in AAP [%] 0 -10 -20 K2 K1 S SY D D FI 5 O N 4 O N 3 O N 2 O N 1 O N 4 SE 3 SE 2 SE 1 SE Rel. diff. in AAP [%] DR with/without wind power 15 10 no WP with WP 5 0 -5 K2 K1 S SY D D FI 5 O N 4 O N 3 O N 2 O N 1 O N 4 SE 3 SE 2 SE 1 SE 9 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Effects on revenue for wind power and heating costs Rel.diff annual rev. [%] Only wind power 20 10 0 K2 K1 S SY D D FI 5 O N 4 O N 3 O N 2 O N 1 O N 4 SE 3 SE 2 SE 1 SE Rel. diff. in heat cost [%] DR with/without wind power 10 no WP with WP 0 -10 K2 K1 S SY D D FI 5 O N 4 O N 3 O N 2 O N 1 O N 4 SE 3 SE 2 SE 1 SE 10 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Conclusions • Increased wind power would generally decrease the electricity price and could cause a more volatile electricity price. – Demand response could reduce these price variation. • • By applying demand response the revenue for wind power producers are, on a system level increased although the revenue decreases in several price areas. The incentives to become an active customer are generally increased with increased wind power production within the system. 11 of 11 Chalmers University of Technology Conclusions • Increased wind power would generally decrease the electricity price and could cause a more volatile electricity price. – Demand response could reduce these price variation. • • By applying demand response the revenue for wind power producers are, on a system level increased although the revenue decreases in several price areas. The incentives to become an active customer are generally increased with increased wind power production within the system. 12 of 11
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