www .surreycc.gov.uk Making Surrey a better place Surrey Transport Plan: Climate Change Strategy April 2011 Alternative formats Surrey County Council has actively considered the needs of blind and partially sighted people in accessing this document. We are happy to give information in either large print or in another language. If you want this service please call us on 03456 009 009. If you have other needs in this regard please contact Surrey County Council in one of the following ways. In writing Surrey County Council Strategy Group (Room 420) Environment & Infrastructure Directorate County Hall Kingston upon Thames Surrey KT1 2DN By phone 03456 009 009 Minicom: 020 8541 9698 Online Email: [email protected] www.surreycc.gov.uk/surreytransportplan i Surrey Transport Plan, 2011-2026 Climate Change Strategy April 2011 Contents Executive Summary ......................................................................................................... 1 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 2 1.1 This Climate Change Strategy document............................................................ 2 1.2 The Surrey Transport Plan .................................................................................. 2 1.3 Why Surrey needs a Climate Change Strategy ................................................... 2 1.4 Aim of this strategy ............................................................................................. 3 1.5 What this strategy covers .................................................................................... 3 1.6 Terminology ........................................................................................................ 3 1.7 Climate change and local air pollution ................................................................ 3 1.8 Managing climate risks........................................................................................ 4 2 Objectives and targets ............................................................................................... 5 2.1 Objectives ........................................................................................................... 5 2.2 Indicators and targets ......................................................................................... 5 2.3 Contextual variables ........................................................................................... 6 3 Challenges and opportunities .................................................................................... 8 3.1 Challenges for reducing emissions ..................................................................... 8 3.2 Opportunities for reducing emissions .................................................................. 8 3.3 Challenges from changing environmental conditions .......................................... 9 4 Policy options and measures ................................................................................... 10 4.1 Appraisal of impact and cost effectiveness ....................................................... 10 4.2 Public support for measures ............................................................................. 11 5 Preferred strategy .................................................................................................... 12 5.1 Impact of preferred strategy .............................................................................. 12 5.2 Activities in the preferred strategy ..................................................................... 15 5.3 Activities in other strategies contributing to reducing CO2 emissions ............... 16 5.4 Further sustainable transport measures ........................................................... 18 Appendix 1: Some examples with links with other strategy areas .................................. 19 Appendix 2: Issues with measuring CO2 emissions, projecting business as usual and setting targets................................................................................................................. 20 Appendix 3: Climate change projections for Southeast England .................................... 25 Appendix 4: Options considered for appraisal ................................................................ 26 Appendix 5: Partner engagement................................................................................... 28 i Executive Summary The Climate Change Strategy of the Surrey Transport Plan sets out our ambition to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from transport in Surrey and to manage risks posed to the transport network arising from climate change. Our aim is to develop a lower carbon transport system that is more resilient to future climate risks and higher energy prices. Vehicles are becoming more efficient, but increasing mileage per capita and population growth will offset some of the benefits of technology improvements. Given these factors, it is estimated that the effect of central government and EU policies alone, will result in reduction of around 7% in carbon dioxide emissions in Surrey by 2020. The strategy sets out additional local actions to help reduce emissions further. The objectives of the strategy are to: 1. Reduce distance travelled by reducing the need to travel 2. Increase the proportion of travel by sustainable modes such as walking and cycling, maintain public transport patronage and increase vehicle occupancy 3. Switch to lower carbon vehicles, encourage efficient driving and manage traffic flows 4. Reduce energy use of highway infrastructure and transport services 5. Manage the risks posed to transport, by forecasted effects of climate change We will focus staff time and funding on options that will give greatest value for money. To inform these decisions we have considered the impact, cost effectiveness and deliverability, with respect to reducing carbon emissions and also the impact on the wider objectives of the Surrey Transport Plan. The main activities by the strategy partners are: Make sustainable land use planning decisions for new development Encourage providers to invest in faster broadband in rural areas Develop school and workplace travel plans to promote sustainable choices Maximise the benefits from developer contributions to infrastructure Expand car clubs for pay-as-you drive hire of lower carbon vehicles Enforce legislation for car salesrooms to provide fuel efficiency information to consumers Procure lower emissions vehicles within our own fleets Support electric vehicle use through provision of charging infrastructure at appropriate parking locations Upgrade street lights to include variable brightness controls for efficiency Use sustainable materials for highway maintenance Identify in greater detail the potential impacts of climate change through service risk registers and decide appropriate actions to avoid, reduce, share or accept risks 1 1 Introduction 1.1 This Climate Change Strategy document This is the Climate Change Strategy, one of the strategies which makes up the Surrey Transport Plan. A public consultation on the draft strategy was held between March and June 2010. The results of this consultation have helped to inform the strategy. A formal consultation report, to be published in 2011, will give details of who was consulted, the consultation feedback received and how it was reflected in changes to this final strategy. An outline of the public support for measures is set out below in section 4.2. 1.2 The Surrey Transport Plan The Surrey Transport Plan is the county’s third Local Transport Plan (LTP3). The new plan covers the period from April 2011 and looks ahead to 2026. The Surrey Transport Plan replaces the Surrey Local Transport Plan second edition: 2006/07 – 2010/11 (March 2006), known as LTP2. Documents are available giving an introduction to the Surrey Transport Plan and its overarching vision and objectives and an explanation of key abbreviations and acronyms used in the Surrey Transport Plan. 1.3 Why Surrey needs a Climate Change Strategy There are many reasons to develop a transport system that uses less energy and in the longer term uses fuel from renewable sources and is prepared for climate change: • • • Tackling climate change by reducing carbon dioxide emissions Energy security - keeping Surrey's economy stable and prosperous in a future with high energy prices and energy insecurity Limiting cost of damage to infrastructure and disruption to services Tackling climate change is one of Surrey’s five priorities in the community strategy. At a national level, one of the five National Transport Goals1 is to reduce carbon emissions and for local networks to deliver quantified reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, taking account of cross-network policy measures. In January 2011, the Coalition Government published its Local Transport White Paper entitled ‘Creating Growth, Cutting Carbon: Making Sustainable Local Transport Happen’. The White Paper sets out the Government's vision for a sustainable local transport system that supports the economy and reduces carbon emissions, which are described as two key government objectives. Taking action locally to reduce carbon emissions from transport has many synergies with other strategy areas (Appendix 1). 1 Guidance on Local Transport Plans, DfT, 2009 2 1.4 Aim of this strategy To reduce carbon dioxide emissions from transport in Surrey and manage climate risks posed to transport infrastructure and transport services, that organisations in the Surrey Strategic Partnership (SSP)2 and the Transport for Surrey Partnership are responsible for. 1.5 What this strategy covers The scope of the strategy will cover those aspects of transport that we ‘own’ or a shared influence over. The county council has ownership of emissions from highway infrastructure emissions and council business travel. The county council has shared influence and responsibility, along with partner organisations and individuals, for emissions from road and rail transport arising from travel by Surrey residents, those working in Surrey and also freight transport delivered to/ from Surrey organisations. Through-traffic i.e. journeys that neither start nor finish in Surrey, must be tackled through partnership working with neighboring authorities. Emissions from air passenger travel, air freight, shipping passenger travel and shipping freight are considered out of scope of this plan and are covered by national strategies. 1.6 Terminology The term ‘emissions’ is used to refer to ‘emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases’, expressed in terms of the CO2 equivalent impact. 1.7 Climate change and local air pollution Along with CO2, both nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and particulate matter under 10 microns (PM10) are emitted by fossil-fuelled vehicles. All of the Air Quality Management Areas (AQMAs) in Surrey are declared in relation to excessive NO2, or both NO2 and PM10. The main source of both these pollutants in Surrey is road traffic. Air pollution describes the presence of contaminant or pollutant substances in the air at a concentration that interferes with human health or welfare, or produces other harmful environmental effects. The county’s Air Quality Strategy for tackling local air quality problems is linked to the Climate Change Strategy because many of the emissions sources are the same and the many measures to tackle these problems are complementary. However, due to specific monitoring obligations upon the borough and district councils and the localised nature of AQMAs, this issue is covered by a discrete strategy. Countywide, AQMAs will benefit from measures in the Climate Change Strategy which reduce the need to travel, encourage people to use lower carbon modes and 2 Surrey Strategic Partnership is comprised of Surrey County Council, Surrey's eleven districts and boroughs, Surrey Police, Surrey Primary Care Trust, The Learning and Skills Council, voluntary, community and faith sector and the business sector. 3 those which reduce tailpipe emissions. However, individual AQMAs will usually require additional interventions in order to achieve the national air quality objectives. 1.8 Managing climate risks Changing environmental conditions alter the risks posed to transport infrastructure and services. Whilst we must act to reduce future emissions to mitigate the most serious levels of climate change, the effect of already increased levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere means that we must also assess future risks and decide appropriate actions to avoid, reduce, live with or share challenges3. A methodology will be developed through Surrey Climate Change Adaptation Group using the UK Climate Impacts Programme Business Areas Climate Impacts Assessment Tool (BACLIAT). This tool has been selected, because it encourages a systematic approach for assessing the potential impacts of climate change and it encourages the consideration of both threats and opportunities. 3 UK government policy on climate change is based on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate th Change 4 Assessment http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/contents.html which remains a the most comprehensive and peer-reviewed information source on climate science. 4 2 Objectives and targets 2.1 Objectives There are five objectives for achieving a reduction in emissions from transport and managing climate risks: 1. Reduce distance travelled by reducing the need to travel; 2. Increase the proportion of travel by sustainable modes such as walking and cycling, maintain public transport patronage and increase vehicle occupancy; 3. Switch to lower carbon vehicles, encourage efficient driving and manage traffic flows; 4. Reduce energy use of highway infrastructure and transport services; and 5. Manage the risks posed to transport, by forecasted effects of climate change 2.2 Indicators and targets Indicators and targets have been selected that focus on the outcomes of reducing emissions and managing risks. These are summarised in Table 2-1 and commentary is provided below. CC1 – Carbon reduction from road transport Description: Carbon dioxide emissions from all road transport in Surrey except motorway traffic. Target & baseline: 10% reduction in absolute emissions by 2020 increasing to 25% reduction by 2035 on 2007 levels of 2,114 k tonnes (1.9 tonnes per capita). In 2007 emissions from transport in Surrey4 were: Total CO2 emissions = 2,114 k tonnes Per capita (i.e. per resident) emissions = 1.9 tonnes An absolute reduction, rather than per capita reduction target is proposed, because we recognise that in a global context of an increasing population, absolute emissions must be the ultimate measure. For a full discussion on the scope and issues with measuring, projecting and setting targets for emissions from transport, see Appendix 2. If government discontinues the compilation and publishing of NI 186 data, then emissions would be modeled using Surrey OMITRANS model for traffic movements, which uses the same source data as NI186. CC2 – Carbon reduction from SCC business travel Description: Carbon dioxide emissions from Surrey County Council business travel Target & baseline: 28% reduction by 2013/14 compared with 2008 baseline of 5.5 ktonnes CO2. 4 Local area figures for National Indicator 186 “CO2 emissions per capita”, DECC (2009). A new baseline figure may be used in future years for comparison, depending on latest published figures. 5 Emissions in the baseline year of 2009/10 financial year were 2,796 tonnes CO25. This figure only includes car and motorcycle mileage as we do not yet have a methodology for calculating emissions from public transport journeys as we do not record their distance. Through our corporate travel plan, we are committed to finding ways to reduce the environmental and time costs of travel and find a better balance between the benefits of travel and the downsides. Business travel is more directly within the council’s control and also cost savings can be identified from some sustainable travel measures. We also implement travel plan measures to encourage sustainable commuting. There are many other emissions arising from Council operations, including contracts such as Highways maintenance, street lighting, mobile libraries, Fire and Rescue vehicles and school transport services. In some areas we have set a reduction target through contractual terms e.g. Highways contract has a target to reduce emissions by 25% over 6 years from a 2011/12 baseline. CC3 – Climate Change adaptation Description: Measures how well developed SCC’s plans are for Climate Change adaptation (formerly NI188) Target & baseline: Awaiting clarification from central government for single data list. The former National Indicator 188 was a self-assessed, process-based measure, of how well developed our plans for adapting to climate change are. A longer term target will be set as part of the Surrey Climate change adaptation action plan. This will be incorporated into the Transport Plan, at an appropriate review stage. 2.3 Contextual variables The level of CO2 emissions from transport depends on distance travelled, speed, mode of travel, occupancy level, the vehicle's engine efficiency and driver behaviour. We do not intend to set specific targets for changes in each of these variables, but we will monitor some changes against known baselines, so that we can evaluate the contribution of different measures to the overall aim of reducing emissions. Specific to the climate change strategy, i.e. not covered in other strategies, the main indicators that we will monitor are: • Profile of cars across CO2 emissions bands (recorded by DVLA ); and, • Electric vehicle charging points, installed and usage. Also, we will monitor energy consumption of highways infrastructure and the embodied energy of materials used for highway constructions and maintenance. 5 Part of NI185 submission 6 Table 2-1: Indicators and targets for Climate Change Strategy Indicator name Topic Strategy promoter Climate Change Description Target & Baseline Rationale Carbon dioxide emissions from all road transport in Surrey except motorway traffic 10% reduction in absolute emissions by 2020 increasing to 25% reduction by 2035 on 2007 levels of 2,114 k tonnes (1.9 tonnes per capita) CC2 – Carbon reduction from SCC business travel Climate Change Carbon dioxide emissions from Surrey County Council business travel 28% reduction by 2013/14 compared with 2008 baseline of 5.5 ktonnes CO2 CC3 – Climate Change adaptation Climate Change Measures how well developed SCC’s plans are for Climate Change adaptation (formerly NI188) Awaiting clarification from central government for single data list. Specific – clear target set Measurable – data collected centrally under NI 186, which is intended to continue. Achievable – based on modelling on Business as usual and various scenarios. 10% is only half of the ‘fair share’ for transport, based on National carbon budgets, but this reflects economic appraisal showing other areas are more cost effective to target first. Relevant – Yes – intrinsic outcome to reducing Surrey’s contribution to climate change and increasing resilience to higher energy prices Time-based –Yes Specific – clear target set Measurable – a basic calculation is made using staff vehicle mileage claims and direct fuel purchases where known, which is calculated annually for NI185. Achievable – challenging, but target is not per employee, so staff reductions are likely to contribute to reduction, in addition to more efficient working per person. Relevant – Yes - especially showing leadership Time-based – Yes If nothing is prescribed on a statutory basis we will consider developing a local target. CC1 – Carbon reduction from road transport 7 3 Challenges and opportunities 3.1 Challenges for reducing emissions We are faced with considerable challenges in achieving the aim of reducing emissions from transport and managing climate risks. In particular in Surrey, key challenges are: • Population is predicted to grow by 11% to 1.208 million by 20206, compared to the population in 2007. This means that in order to achieve a 20% reduction in total CO2 emissions by 2020, per capita emissions must reduce by 25%; • Surrey has higher than average levels of car ownership, with 86% of households in Surrey owning a car, compared to 73% on average across England7. Although cars have become more fuel efficient, they are still only half as efficient, at current occupancy rates, as a bus and one quarter as efficient as a train8. The increase in car ownership has, to date, been coupled with lower levels of walking and cycling9; • Distances to amenities and lower population densities in rural areas affect the viability of high frequency public transport. Less frequent public transport in rural areas combined with higher than average income levels, contribute to the car often being the preferred option for travel; and • Travel for leisure and retail purposes has shown the largest increase in the past 10 years but relatively few current measures are designed or resourced to address these trips. 3.2 Opportunities for reducing emissions There are also opportunities to reduce emissions, including: • Relatively high levels of households with internet access, enabling teleworking and other online communications to reduce the need to travel, although speeds in rural areas need to be increased; • Good rail links, with spare capacity at off-peak times; • Whilst higher than average affluence and car ownership levels present challenges for increased use of sustainable modes, this is an opportunity for a more rapid uptake of lower carbon vehicles, compared to other areas of the country; • Several multinational automotive companies have sites in Surrey and there are a number of smaller companies at the forefront of low carbon vehicle engineering. 6 Office of National Statistics (2008), Population projections for years up to 2031. Available on line from: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/product.asp?vlnk=997 7 Office of National Statistics (2010) 2001 Census http://www.statistics.gov.uk/Cci/nscl.asp?ID=8168 8 Defra (2010) Greenhouse gas conversion factors. http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/business/reporting/conversion-factors.htm 9 DfT (2009) National travel survey 2008 http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/statistics/datatablespublications/personal/mainresults/nts2008/ 8 3.3 Challenges from changing environmental conditions Long term climate predictions are complicated, even at a global scale, and there is a further element of uncertainty when projecting how the climate will change on a regional level. Based on current research, projections for 2050s are: • Average temperature increasing by around 2oC, in both winter and summer. • Heatwaves more frequent in summer • More rain in winter (up to 18% more) but less in summer to an equal magnitude For further background, see Appendix 3. Impacts on transport infrastructure and services Whilst 2050 may seem like a long time away, the infrastructure, such as roads that are resurfaced today, will need to be resilient to new conditions in the coming decades. We must therefore try to anticipate the most significant potential impacts on transport. These have so far been identified as: Highways impacts • Increased flooding during winter, disrupting traffic movements and damaging road surfaces. The risks are greater in flood plains and where urban drains are overloaded. If the Thames barrier is raised more often due to higher impact storm surges (with sea level change), combined with high rainfall, this could lead to higher flood risks around the Thames for areas in Runnymede, Spelthorne and Elmbridge; • More frequent heatwaves in summer increasing road surface deformations e.g. cracking and potholing, when driven on in high temperatures. This could shorten the lifespan of roads, by allowing more water to get in to the base of the road and further erode the structure; • Additional costs relating to highways clean ups and diversions required by extreme weather events; • Legal costs for injury or loss of life, or damage to public property, due to extreme weather; and, • Even though the number of days of frost and snow will decrease, it will be important to retain experience in dealing with sub-zero temperatures. Bridges and other structures impacts • Sudden structural failures are extremely uncommon, but, if no action were taken, the risk of such failures could increase with flooding, due to soil saturation and the scouring action of higher volume river flows. Passenger conditions • More extreme heat during summer could lead to possible heat exhaustion for vulnerable travelers in cars, buses and trains; • Delays to scheduled services if disrupted by severe weather events; and • Reliability problems, for example speed restrictions (to retain safety when higher temperatures in summer lead to buckling) or track flooding with increased rainfall in winter. 9 4 Policy options and measures A range of current and further options and measures has been considered (Appendix 4), some of which are already being implemented and others which are new to Surrey. These options and measures were assessed at a strategic level in a two stage process. In stage one, options and measures were assessed for their potential impact on reducing emissions and their cost effectiveness (Colin Buchanan, 201010). In stage two, potential measures were assessed using a simple appraisal framework against the following criteria: Policy compatibility, by assessing the contribution measures will make to meeting policy objectives, including impacts in relation to climate change and air quality; Cost of implementation and requirement for future maintenance/operation, and potential funding opportunities; Deliverability and risk, considering the likelihood of being able to implement interventions successfully. This analysis helped to inform the preferred strategy. 4.1 Appraisal of impact and cost effectiveness The most cost effective measure for emissions reduction in the long term is sustainable land use planning i.e. locating developments in places that are close to good public transport services, and local shops and key services. The layout of new developments is also important to encourage local journeys to be done on foot or by bicycle, instead of short distance car trips e.g. ‘Manual for Streets’ guidance11. However new development only accounts for a small proportion of emissions arising, therefore most emissions reductions by 2020 must be achieved in the context of existing developments. Making better use of existing infrastructure by influencing people's travel behaviour through education, marketing or financial mechanisms are the most cost effective methods. For example, freight quality partnerships, workplace and school travel plans, enforcing existing national speed limits and ecodriving education are all highly cost effective measures. ‘Tweaks to improve existing public transport services can also contribute in a cost effective way, such as waiting facilities and frequency of services to strategic locations. Workplace parking levy, road user charging and Low Emissions Zones (for HGVs and vans) and other ‘polluter pays’ pricing policies can be designed to be cost neutral, or even revenue generating for the council, with costs transferred to end users. However, we are not planning to develop such schemes. New infrastructure for cycling and electric vehicles has been modeled as the most cost effective of infrastructure improvement options. Additional infrastructure (as 10 11 Critical appraisal of the emerging Surrey Climate change strategy for Transport, Colin Buchanan, 2010 Manual for Streets and Manual for Street 2: http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/sustainable/manforstreets/ 10 opposed to making better use of currently provided) for walking is lower in cost effectiveness, possibly due to shorter distances travelled. Constructing new public transport infrastructure e.g. trams and guided electric buses is the most expensive option, over a relatively short evaluation period such as ten years. However, this should not reduce the importance of such improvements in the long term and large scale public transport infrastructure projects, seeking central government funding, would be subject to dedicated cost/benefit appraisal, using the new approach to appraisal (NATA), as described in WebTAG. To achieve even higher emissions reductions, more measures would be required, including the introduction of more ‘sticks’ to discourage travel, especially by car. For example a Workplace Parking Levy and/or the introduction of emissions based parking changes, consistently across all off-street and on-street parking. The funding raised above and beyond administration and enforcement costs would need to be reinvested in public transport and improvements to cycling and pedestrian facilities and promotion, in order to have a positive contribution to reducing emissions. 4.2 Public support for measures Consultation on a draft version of this strategy was undertaken from 25 March to 17 June 2010. Views were sought on the whole strategy. There was considerable support from groups representing cycling, for more and higher quality cycle routes, especially targeting school and commuting routes. Respondents representing workplaces and commercial sector stated support for car sharing and measures to address freight transport emissions and movements. Of the options posed, greatest support (over 70% of all respondents to the question) was given to safe walking and cycling routes to schools, other cycle improvements to parking facilities and routes as well as smart-card ticketing for buses. The least supported measures (less than 40% of question respondents) were increasing parking charges in public car parks, introducing charging for workplace parking, variable parking prices (based on emissions) and a programme for personalised travel planning advice. The level of support received for various measures, on the most part was consistent across different groups of respondents (public, private and third sector), but the numbers of respondents in each category were too small to draw statistically significant conclusions about any variations in levels of support depending on perspective. 11 5 Preferred strategy Resources are more limited than at any point in the previous decade. Therefore we must focus staff time and funding on options that will give greatest value for money. Reducing emissions and adapting to new environmental risks will involve and affect a wide range of organisations and individuals. In the development of actions for this strategy, we have engaged with many partners, but there is still much more to do. We have identified some action points, and will continue to work with the relevant partners whose support is critical for turning the objectives of this strategy into reality (see Appendix 5 for more information). 5.1 Impact of preferred strategy The target of a 10% reduction in emissions by 2020, compared to a 2007 baseline, is expected to be composed of approximately 7% from national measures and 3% from local measures (Figure 5.1). Emissions reductions for highway maintenance and streetlighting are not shown in this figure, because the majority of emissions in these areas are either in commercial sector electricity use or they are not accounted for in NI 186 figures in relation to Surrey e.g. embodied energy of materials used. Contribution of measures to reducing CO2 emissions by 2020 National measures, inc vehicle efficiency Measures to reduce need to travel Measures to support switch to walking, cycling, public transport and car sharing Efficient vehilces and driving, in additional to national measures Figure 5.1: Contribution of measures to reducing CO2 emissions by 2020 A summary of the actions that we will take and those options that we will consider further, is shown in Table 5.1. 12 Table 5.1: Strategy toolkit Infrastructure Measures Upgrade streetlights and include dimming management for reduced energy consumption Specify use of sustainable materials for highways maintenance and minimise waste to landfill Climate change adaptation planning to identify risks, most effective responses and take action in prioritized areas eg wet spots database Procure lower emissions vehicles for Surrey County Council fleet and incorporate into tenders for contracted works New and/or improved cycle lane New and/or improved cycle track Cycle parking Infrastructure to support use of hybrid/electric vehicles Management of Infrastructure Providing supported bus services using prioritisation methodology Freight Quality Partnerships Continuation and development of partnership arrangements between the county council and bus operators Integrated Demand Management Police enforcement including speed limits Smart card ticketing 13 Strategy which is the main promoter of the measure Sustainable Safe Reliable Contribution to Surrey Transport Plan objectives Effective Measures Asset Management Asset Management Climate Change Climate Change Cycling Cycling Cycling Climate Change Local Bus Freight Local Bus Congestion Road Safety Local Bus Measures Urban Traffic Management and Control (UTMC) Promotional and behavioural measures Workplace travel planning Car share database Promotion of eco-driving Encourage fuel efficient driving through voluntary use of intelligent speed adaptation technology on satnavs Car clubs School travel planning Cycle training Wheels to Learn Encourage internet use to facilitate access to services Home working Information Provision Advisory signage (e.g. turn off engine at level crossings) Pricing Measures Differential parking charges Other Measures (including Land Use Measures) Working with partners to consider climate change issues: in Local Development Framework process to plan location and type of development and local infrastructure improvements and controls, in identification of appropriate developer-funded mitigation schemes, in providing guidance on parking provision Include sustainable travel accessibility in decision-making criteria of the Surrey Strategic Partnership “Estates Review” Enforcement of fuel vehicle labeling in car showrooms Encourage boroughs and districts to consider adopting minimum emissions standards or vehicle age restrictions into taxi licensing procedures 14 Contribution to Surrey Transport Plan objectives Strategy which is the main promoter of the measure Travel Planning Travel Planning Climate Change Climate Change Travel Planning Travel Planning Travel Planning Accessibility Travel Planning Travel Planning Congestion Air Quality Parking Climate Change Climate Change Climate Change Climate Change Climate Change Air Quality 5.2 Activities in the preferred strategy The Surrey Transport Plan includes other strategies that will support the achievement of the objectives of the Climate Change Strategy, especially the objective to support travel by public transport, cycling and walking. These related strategies are summarised in section 5.3. Activities that are more specific to the climate change strategy are as follows: 5.2.1 To support reducing the need to travel: Broadband speeds in rural areas The Surrey Economic Partnership will continue to facilitate the liaison with telecoms providers including Open Reach and potential business customers in order to demonstrate the market demand in rural areas. If sufficient additional demand and willingness to pay can be shown, it is anticipated that the necessary investments to improve speeds will be made. As well as supporting small businesses, this could also benefit residents in these areas. As a short term solution for business users, The County Land and Business Association (CLA) is working with communication equipment distributor 'Eurostat' to provide its members with a satellite broadband service known as 'CLA Rural Broadband’. Community hubs Within the Estate Public Value Review, we will investigate whether there is a business case for providing 'community hubs' in Surrey County Council offices i.e. shared facilities that enable employees from other organisations to work closer to home than their standard workplace. Sustainable travel considerations for public sector properties Surrey County Council in partnership with the 11 district and borough councils, Surrey Police, the Office of Government Commerce and the Primary Care Trust, and with sponsorship from Improvement and Efficiency South East, are reviewing all public owned land and buildings. The aim is to identify opportunities to reduce operating costs and to collectively manage the public sector estate more effectively. All land and property has now been mapped to locate clusters of buildings. Data is being collected for all operational buildings, on the occupancy, suitability, energy efficiency, lease breaks and running costs. Where opportunities are identified, sustainable transport accessibility information will also be gathered and used in within any decision-making criteria. 5.2.2 To switch to lower emissions vehicles: Procure lower emissions vehicles for own fleet We will continue to select lower emissions vehicles for our pool cars, via the use of a car club and we will review the fuel consumption across our other purchased and hired fleet vehicles and include fuel efficiency in the key decision-making criteria. 15 Enforcement of Fuel efficiency vehicle labelling At Surrey’s new car showrooms, Trading Standards will research compliance levels and educate traders and enforce where necessary, to ensure minimum vehicle labelling standards are met for new cars and participation in the voluntary scheme for second hand vehicles is encouraged. Electric vehicles We will develop proposals and funding bids for electric vehicle recharging points, and determine appropriate locations e.g. workplaces, public car parks and on-street, future-proofing infrastructure as far as possible and encouraging take-up through demonstration schemes and promotional campaigns. Lower emissions taxis We will encourage the use of lower emissions vehicles as taxis through contracts for Special Educational Needs transport. This could be through introducing a maximum emissions limits for specific vehicle passenger capacity or through other mechanisms to be developed. Car club with lower emissions cars for hire by staff and residents We will expand the existing car club scheme to cover Elmbridge, Epsom and Ewell and Leatherhead, Reigate and Redhill, Woking and Guildford. We will continue to use a car club system to provide staff pool cars for lower carbon business travel and to avoid the need for staff to commute to work by car. Speed Management Exceeding a 60mph or 70mph limit on national speed limit roads would indicate driving at less than maximum fuel efficiency. Effective speed management with an emphasis on driver education is a core part of Surrey County Council and Surrey Police's Drive SMART road safety and anti-social driving strategy. Where there are speed related casualties or where residents are concerned over speeding, a number of interventions such as vehicle activated signs, community speed watch, school speed watch or roadside education and enforcement days may be considered. Engineering improvements, police enforcement and safety camera enforcement may also be implemented at the worst locations. Low-end speeders detected by camera will be offered the opportunity to attend speed awareness courses. Advisory Intelligent Speed Adaptation (ISA) is emerging as a feature in some satellite navigation systems, so we will explore the opportunity to promote its use among council colleagues and businesses. 5.3 Activities in other strategies contributing to reducing CO2 emissions Landuse planning We will recommend that new development is located in close proximity to existing transport infrastructure and amenities and new streets are designed to support cycling, walking and electric vehicle charging facilities. 16 The Local Bus Strategy sets out how the council aims to deliver and maintain an effective, safe and sustainable bus network. Delivery will be achieved through the following areas of work: Focussing on improvements to bus punctuality and journey time reliability through Bus Punctuality Partnerships Restructuring the supported bus service network to deliver better value for money and a better service for passengers Continued support for Park & Ride in Guildford Coordinating and supporting community transport and demand responsive transport provision in areas where it is more effective and sustainable than regular bus services Working with partners to ensure that passenger information and infrastructure is delivered in a cost effective manner We will also continue other schemes to support access to education targeting the people with greatest need. Examples include the ‘Wheels to learn’ scheme for pupils in rural areas and independent travel training for young people with special education needs, to help them develop key life skills to travel independently (Accessibility strategy). The Freight Strategy sets out how we will implement freight quality partnerships and other similar initiatives, to manage freight movements, share deliveries and improve freight vehicle fuel efficiency. The Travel Planning Strategy sets out plans for support for schools and workplaces to target school, commuting and business travel journeys. This focuses on the provision of self-help resources, tools and events to encourage behaviour change and sharing best practice and more supported targeted interventions such as cycling and pedestrian training on a prioritised basis. Activities to encourage more people to cycle safely and more often, are outlined in the Cycling Strategy, for example our commitment to fully consider cyclists in the design of new highways schemes, to recommend good provision for cycling in new developments, and to work with Train Operating Companies, to highlight investment needs at Surrey stations. The Parking Strategy makes reference to the potential to link parking charges to vehicle CO2 emissions i.e. lower prices for low emission vehicles and equivalently higher prices for higher emissions vehicles to maintain a cost neutral budget overall. Some Boroughs, for example Woking, already implement variable pricing on season tickets. In any review of parking prices for county council managed parking, we will consider the benefits and feasibility of a pricing mechanism that rewards lower emissions vehicles. The Congestion Strategy sets out activities aiming to smooth traffic flows, and thus reduce emissions from idling traffic, including improving the management of incidents, road maintenance and other road works. Also, Surrey’s travel website will be developed with real time traffic information included to encourage journey planning and reduce congestion. 17 The Asset Management strategy will be developed to include measures to reduce energy consumption of transport infrastructure. In particular: We will manage our eight highways maintenance contracts with regard to high standards of environmental sustainability. For example in the Core maintenance contract, three targets for sustainability have been agreed: 1. Diversion of waste from landfill, for at least 90% of waste arising 2. Use of recycled products at a level of 15% of all highways materials 3. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions arising from highways maintenance by 25%, including embodied energy in materials and fleet transport emissions. We will work collaboratively with the appointed highway maintenance contractor and the county council will maintain an in-house intelligent client to ensure contract performance against targets and to drive continuous improvement through the ‘Innovations Group’. A street lighting replacement programme began in March 2010 and will be complete by 2015, replacing 20% of lights each year. The new lighting units will be more energy efficient, but in order to reach the required lighting standards, there will be an increase in the number of lighting units installed. The net result from the increased units will counter the efficiency improvements, negating any potential savings. However, energy and emissions savings of 19% are planned overall, as a result of a variable lighting regime agreed. This involves half brightness between 11pm and 5.30am in standard urban residential areas, with shorter dimming hours for town centre areas with late closing and no dimming in some priority urban residential areas. The new infrastructure, including an intended dimming regime for the county will save 65ktonnes of CO₂ over 25 years via reduced electricity consumption. LED traffic signals can reduce energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 60%, compared to incandescent bulbs. They can also reduce CO2 emissions, lifetime running costs and have a ten-fold longer lifespan, thus reducing long term maintenance costs. Currently a minority of signals have LEDs, but there is a high upfront capital cost of upgrading. Given reduced budgets set for 2010/11 to 2013/14 it is not expected that a significant number of upgrades will be possible within allocated budgets. 5.4 Further sustainable transport measures We will bid for external funding to support larger public transport and low carbon vehicle infrastructure projects, for example the Local Sustainable Transport Fund. Should we be successful, we will revisit our current 10% emissions reduction target, in light of additional measures to support change. 18 Appendix 1: Some examples with links with other strategy areas Strategy area Climate change inter-dependencies Asset management Energy use to run network e.g. street- lighting, traffic lights Renewable energy supply Embodied energy of products used e.g. Warm asphalt Electric vehicle charging points Demand management: amount of parking provided Pricing: Higher and Variable charging for parking Car clubs and electric vehicles are additional consideration Less stop-start and higher average traffic speeds (up to 50mph) reduces emissions per mile travelled (positive) but, increasing network capacity induces more car trips (negative) Potential for modal shift to public transport reduces CO2 emissions (positive) and potential to influence vehicle specification and driver behaviour Parking Congestion Passenger transport strategy: Part 1 – Local Bus and Part 2 Information Road safety Modal shift to cycling and walking reduces CO2 emissions (positive) ‘Eco-driving’ is safer, smoother driving resulting in higher fuel efficiency Enforcing 60 and 70mph speed limits (positive) Electric vehicles too quiet – pedestrians do not look before crossing (but overall small negative in relation to larger scale positive health benefits of reduced air pollution) 19 Appendix 2: Issues with measuring CO2 emissions, projecting business as usual and setting targets Estimates of CO2 emissions from transport are based on vehicle kilometres observed and emissions factors for a range of vehicle types. At the time of writing the Government compiles a dataset of local area emissions for CO2 emissions, for both absolute and per capita, for National Indicator 186 (NI186). This includes ‘transport’ along with two other main sectors of ‘domestic’ and ‘industry and commercial’. Food and consumer goods impacts are not covered at the point of use, but the point of production i.e. mostly excluded if produced abroad. This data is collected and analysed by AEA Technology and published by Department for Energy and Climate Change (DECC)12. For the transport sector, NI 186 emissions include through traffic, but not emissions from Surrey residents when travelling outside of Surrey. All road transport is included, except motorway traffic. Non-road transport i.e. rail, shipping and air travel is not included. Emissions factors are applied for a ratio of petrol and diesel vehicles in the following vehicles categories: Passenger cars / Motorcycles / Light goods vehicles / Rigid HGVs / Articulated HGVs / Buses / coaches. Aviation and shipping are not included in NI186. Several significant land transport sectors (motorways and railways) are excluded. Motorways – these are considered to have too many inter-authority trips to be fairly attributable to the county within which they occur. Electric railways are included in ‘Industrial and commercial’ emissions because electricity use is not distinguishable from other users. Diesel railways are included in the national statistics data set, but are excluded from the NI 186 figures. Surrey average change to date Between 2005 and 2007 there was a 3% absolute reduction in CO₂ emissions from transport in Surrey and a 5% per capita reduction. Since the period of research, figures have been released for 2008. These show 2,029ktonnes for total transport CO2 emissions (Fig 2.1) and 1.84tonnesCO2 per capita. This equates to a 7.8% reduction since 2005 in absolute figures and 10% per capita reduction.13 12 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/localgovindicators/ni186.htm Note: CO2 emissions figures for 2005 are re-baselined, each year, if the latest years data used a more refined methodology. This happened for the 2008 dataset, published in Sep 10, therefore, 2007 figures should not be directly compared with the 2008 figures, except within the same published dataset. 13 20 CO2 emissions from transport (ktonnes) Surrey transport CO2 emissions, 2005 to 2008 (DECC, 2010) 2500 2000 1500 Surrey total Linear (Surrey total) 1000 500 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 Figure 2.1: Changes in CO2 emissions from transport sector 2005 to 2008 (DECC, 2010) Surrey Borough and District variations In two-tier authorities, data is provided at a borough and district level (see Figure 2.2). However, these figures are not representative of the carbon efficiency of travel behaviour within the area. This is because through traffic is included and outweighs other variations such as the proportion of trips made by non-car modes by residents of these boroughs. For example, Guildford’s emissions were 3.2 tonnes CO 2 per capita, compared to Epsom and Ewell with 1.3 tonnes CO2 per capita, in 2007. It would be most unlikely that a variance of this magnitude between areas is solely due to differences in travel behaviour of residents. Differences are actually due to the ratio of residents compared to through traffic.14 Therefore, it is important to treat figures cautiously, when making comparisons between areas. 14 An extreme example of this is the data for the City of London. With the lowest car ownership of all boroughs, and high levels of public transport use by residents, it would be reasonable to expect 21 Elmbridge Epsom and Ewell Guildford Mole Valley Reigate and Banstead Runnymede Spelthorne Surrey Heath Tandridge Waverley Woking Surrey (Total or Average) Total transportPopulation emissions (tonnes) 253,990 131,000 91,060 70,900 427,920 134,400 188,010 81,200 213,840 132,300 123,210 82,600 127,420 90,900 155,600 83,300 169,420 82,500 253,190 117,800 110,590 91,400 2,114,250 1,098,300 Per capita (tonnes CO2) 1.9 1.3 3.2 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.1 1.2 1.9 Figure 2.2: CO₂ emissions from transport in Surrey in 2007 (DECC, 2009)15 Limitations of NI 186 At the time of writing, the national average profile of vehicle fuel consumption and fuel type is used to calculate emissions per vehicle km. Therefore local variations to this national average, gained from local measures to encourage a switch to lower emissions vehicles16 and measures to increase fuel efficiency per mile driven17, would not be shown in monitoring results. The Department for Energy for Climate Change (DECC) and the consultant responsible for analysing NI186 data, AEA Technology, were contacted regarding these issues18 to explain whether future monitoring method revisions will take better account of local variation in vehicle emissions. It was agreed this will be considered, but would have to weighed-up against the resources required for the additional complexity of analysis. Modelling future projected changes Analysis has shown that national measures, combined with population growth for Surrey, indicate that without additional local interventions a reduction in the region of 7%19 is anticipated. There are two main influencing factors: 1. vehicle efficiency improvements estimates vary widely, but the model assumes a 14% savings per km travelled20. 2. vehicle kms i.e. distance travelled, by all vehicle modes, per capita, combined with population growth, is estimated to result in an 8% increase in total vehicle kms by 2020. Traffic volumes were modelled using data for Surrey from the national TEMPRO database which estimates future journey distances and numbers. This dataset has a 15 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/localgovindicators/ni186.htm Data is available for all authority areas from DVLA records for motorcycles, cars and light goods vehicles, but only for London for HGV due to Low Emissions Zone. 17 These are calculated on the basis of nation fuel sales and some element of analysis of ‘fuel card’ users mileage records. 18 This issue was discussed with Nicola Brophy, DECC and AEA Technology, Nov 2011. 19 Colin Buchanan (2010) Transport Climate Change Strategy Peer review. 20 Stockholm Environment Institute, 2008 16 22 considerably different scope to NI186 e.g. motorways are included but through traffic is not, since the data is based on origin and destination figures. This is the opposite of NI186, so makes it more difficult to make accurate estimates about changes in CO2 emissions. Since the TEMPRO model includes a population growth figure of 6.7%, if absolute emissions are to reduce by 10%, then per capita emissions will need to reduce by around 12%, but if the Office of National Statistics population growth figure is used, then per capita reductions would need to be higher again. National context of targets for CO2 reduction There were no quantified target reductions for CO₂ emissions from transport in the LTP2 for 2006 to 2011. The Local Area Agreement for Surrey sets a target to reduce per capita emissions (National Indicator 186) across all sectors i.e. transport, domestic and industry and commercial, by 10% by 2011, compared to 2005 levels. Timescale Reduction Short-term To be achieved by 2011 Medium-term 2020 34% or 20% 1990 80% 1990 Long-term 2050 10% Compared to i.e. baseline yr 2005 2007 Policy origin Local Area Agreement (LAA) National Carbon budgets, developed from Climate Change Bill Climate Change Bill Fig 2.3: Summary of targets for reducing emissions, by various timescales Setting targets for period of LTP3 There are no statutory targets for reducing carbon dioxide emissions specifically from the transport sector in Surrey, for the period of the third Local Transport Plan i.e. for 2011 onwards. LTP3 guidance sets the objective of ‘reducing carbon emissions’ but (as with some other objectives), it does not prescribe any particular level of reduction. Instead this strategy must look to other higher level strategies to define what level of reduction needs to be achieved. Note also, that LTP guidance does not define a date that the LTP3 should extend to. For the period covering Surrey’s transport plan (2011-2026), the country as a whole is committed to legally binding emissions (total emissions, not per capita) reductions within the Climate Change Act 2008 and carbon budgets for 2008-12, 2013-17 and 2018-22, following the Carbon Budgets Order 2009. The LTP3 is required to contribute significantly to these national targets. The Climate Change Act 2008 targets require changes in total national carbon dioxide emissions of: 23 • • 34% reduction by 2020, compared to 1990 baseline (or 20% compared to 2007 baseline) 80% reduction by 2050, compared to 1990 baseline National Carbon Budgets’ have been set, which involve reducing absolute (not per capita) emissions across sectors by 34% by 2020, compared to 1990 baseline or 20% by 2020, compared to 2007 baseline. This percentage reduction (i.e. 20% reduction, by 2020, vs 2007) could be applied to local transport emissions. This scenario is shown in Fig 2.4. 2,500 Woking 2,000 Waverley Tandridge Surrey Heath 1,500 Spelthorne Runnymede 1,000 Reigate and Banstead Mole Valley 500 Guildford Epsom and Ewell 0 20 19 20 17 20 15 20 13 20 11 20 09 Elmbridge 20 07 20 05 CO2 emissions from transport per year (K Tonnes) 20% reduction in absolute emissions from road transport* in Surrey by 2020, applying National Carbon Budget (*based on NI 186) Figure 2.4: Application of 20% reduction, using 2007 baseline. 24 Appendix 3: Climate change projections for Southeast England In more detail, projections from the UKCP09 for Southeast England for three time periods under two emissions scenarios are shown in table 3.1. The high emissions scenario assumes little or no change in industrial or agricultural activity, whilst the low emissions scenario assumes a substantial reduction in GHG emissions due to shifts to greener technologies and more sustainable practices. Summer Mean Temperature Low Emissions Scenario High Emissions Scenario Winter Mean Temperature Low Emissions Scenario High Emissions Scenario Summer Precipitation Low Emissions Scenario High Emissions Scenario Winter Precipitation Low Emissions Scenario High Emissions Scenario 2020s + 1.6 C + 1.5 C 2050s + 2.5 C + 3.1 C 2080s + 3.0 C + 4.9 C + 1.3 C + 1.4 C + 2.0 C + 2.5 C + 2.6 C + 3.7 C - 6% - 3% - 13% - 18% - 14% - 28% + 7% + 7% + 13% + 18% + 18% + 30% Table 3.1: Predicted changes to climate for Southeast England (compared to average of 1970 to 2001 baseline climate)21 These predictions show that both estimates for the 2020s in both the low and high emission scenarios are very similar. This suggests that regardless of any mitigation measure, Surrey is very likely to see a continuing trend of hotter summers and milder winters coupled with lower summer and higher winter precipitation. It is also very likely that these trends will increase into the 2050s with a varying range dependant on the success of GHG mitigation measures. UKCP09 also projects an increased frequency of extreme weather events such as heat waves and heavy rainfall in the UK. 21 The figures given are the central estimate made by the UK climate projections and 50% probability of accuracy. For more detailed projections involving the range probabilities of climate projections see UKCP09. 25 Appendix 4: Options considered for appraisal A wide range of options were appraised before the preferred strategy was formed. These are included for reference purpose only. Reducing distance travelled and increasing walking, public transport and cycling (Objectives 1 and 2) • Personalised travel planning for households • More stringent maximum parking standards in new developments • Congestion (cordon) or road user charging • Workplace Parking Levy • Review location and provision of public services e.g. health and education to reduce need to travel, especially in rural areas • Provide 'community hubs' for local working • Bus smart-card ticketing to make bus use easier • Trams / guided electric buses (in long term)22 • Bike rental scheme • Freight quality partnerships used to share deliveries • Support opportunities for using rivers / canals for the movement of freight • More use of CPZs around business sites and transport hubs Lower emissions vehicles and efficient driving and traffic flows (Objective 3) • Electric car recharging network especially at workplaces, retail and public car parks23 • Procurement of alternative fuel vehicles for business travel, refuse lorries for Boroughs, bus contract terms for County etc • Trading Standards enforce vehicle labeling for consumers at point of sale and on-line national database of emissions from each car model (if evasion found to be high) • Low emissions zone (LEZ) for heavy goods vehicles • Local publicity of graduated VED based on emissions and company car tax based emissions • Roll out of variable parking charges based on emissions (currently only operated in Woking Borough Council public car parks for season tickets) • Lower emissions taxis, via licensing regulations • Specification of lower emissions and higher Euro engine standard buses • More stringent speed enforcement on national speed limit roads • Driver training and education • Local vehicle idling campaigns e.g. at level crossings 22 See Options appraisal – Surrey bus review Committee on Climate Change has estimated that for a target of 1.7 million electric/plug-in hybrid cars purchased by 2020, then 5% of work car park spaces and 25% of homes without access to offstreet parking should have standard charging points and there should be 2 publicly available fast charging points per 1000 vehicles. 23 26 Reducing energy use from infrastructure (Objective 4) • Energy efficient equipment e.g. street lighting • Off-grid renewable energy powered equipment e.g. solar powered bollards • Use of recycled products e.g. aggregates Managing climate risks (Objective 5) A risk appraisal is currently being developed to identify the possible options for dealing with the potential impacts identified in 'Challenges and Opportunities'. Options at a national scale (out of scope for local transport plan) In conducting the review, a range of further current and possible options for policy and action were highlighted, but that are out of scope of this strategy. Even though these are beyond the scope of this strategy, they are listed below, as local policies should be developed in the context (and certainly not in contrary to) such measures. This is not an exhaustive list of such measures. ‘Out of scope’ measures that are currently in place include: Fuel duty escalator Voluntary agreement with car manufacturers to reduce emissions of new cars (95gCO2/km by 2020) Variable Vehicle Excise Duty, dependent on CO₂ emissions Differential fuel tax in favour of biofuels Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (10% of fuel sold to be biofuel by 2020) Support for electric and hydrogen fuel cell vehicle technology Variable company car tax based on CO2 emissions Vehicle scrappage scheme ‘Out of scope’ measures that could be considered, by the appropriate organisations, in the future include: Include emissions from transport in ‘cap and trade’ schemes e.g. EU European Trading Scheme and Carbon Reduction Commitment Energy Efficiency scheme Distance based vehicle insurance Carbon intensity labelling of goods to encourage purchasing of local products Increase maximum permitted HGV trailer length Increasing rail electrification and high speed routes 27 Appendix 5: Partner engagement Organisation Discussion to date have been held with… Estates Management, Trading Standards, Various transport inc Safety, Parking, Highways maintenance, Network management Climate change officers group Climate change members group Woking BC on working group Main areas with ‘delivery’ role All areas Andrew Cross, ‘Innovation and Growth team N Hants and W Surrey ‘ Electric vehicles Alexia Darkis, IESE David Pryce-Jones, GOSE Emissions modeling and overall approach to reduction strategies Surrey Economic Partnership Mark Pearson On working group Business views Rural broadband speeds Electric vehicles Highways Agency No direct contact. Views taken from SCC Safety Camera Partnership Manager (Duncan K) Potential for use of average speed cameras as ‘carbon cameras’ instead of ‘safety cameras’ i.e. use in free flow conditions. Rail capacity and service improvements SCC Districts and Boroughs SEEDA and other regional orgs Surrey Police ATOC / Train operators No direct contact. Views taken from SCC Passenger Transport Group Parking Planning policy 28
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