SSAC2007:HF5415.GTF1.3 The Price is Right - Or is it? How can we find the right sale price to actually increase profits? You see them on TV, you hear them on the radio, and you read them in the paper: stores advertising big sales. Maybe it’s a holiday special, maybe they’re overstocked, maybe they just want to get you in the front door. How can they make money at these prices? Well, sometimes less is really more. Core Quantitative Issue Optimization Supporting Quantitative Concepts Quadratic Functions Linear Modeling Graphing Prepared for SSAC by Gary Franchy – Davenport University © The Washington Center for Improving the Quality of Undergraduate Education. All rights reserved. 2007 1 Overview of Module Business will have “sales” for a variety of reasons. Sometimes stores will price an item below cost, known as a loss leader, with the goal of getting people into the store with the hope they will make additional purchases. Examples of this include Day-After-Thanksgiving (a.k.a.“Black Friday”) specials and grocery stores’ milk prices. Sometimes the goal is simply to get rid of inventory before a product spoils. For example, in Michigan and other northern states you can find many plants and flowers at “giveaway” prices at the end of summer. The stores would rather sell it below cost than have to throw it away and get nothing. Most of the time, however, the goal is to increase the profit made from an item. This can be accomplished if the increase in sales more than offsets the decrease in price. 2 Overview of Module We will be examining two cases: The first is a movie theater owner who, having paid a fixed amount to secure the movie, is trying to maximize ticket revenue. The second involves a store owner trying to maximize profit on an item that also has a per-unit cost to consider. In both cases there will be two items changing: the retail price and the quantity sold. For simplicity, both will change at a constant rate (i.e., linear) with an increase in sales corresponding to each drop in price. Slides 2-3 provide an overview of module. Slides 4-5 ask you to set up your worksheet and format the cells. Slides 6-7 have you create a scatter plot and observe the results. Slides 8-9 ask you to set up your worksheet and format the cells. Slides 10-12 have you create a scatter plot and observe the results. Slides 13-14 give the assignment to hand in. 3 Question 1 If the movie theater gets an additional 25 customers for every 25-cent drop in price, at what ticket price will the theater owner maximize his revenue? You must use “Discount” and “Discount Number” in computing “Price” and “Sales”. Recreate this spreadsheet. = Cell with a number in it Initial Condition: 1. Original ticket price: $10 2. Original sales: 500 = Cell with a formula in it B C D E 2 Original Price $10.00 3 Discount $0.25 4 Original Sales 500 5 Sales Gain per Discount 25 7 Discount Number Price Sales Revenue 8 0 $10.00 500 $5,000 9 1 $9.75 525 $5,119 10 2 $9.50 550 $5,225 Each Discount Taken: 1. Subtracts $0.25 from the price 2. Adds 25 to the sales 6 In order to be able to “cut and paste” additional rows into the table, use absolute cell references in building your Price, Sales, and Revenue formulas. 4 Question 1 (cont.) At what ticket price will the theater owner maximize his revenue? Expand the table until it matches the one below. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 B Original Price Discount Original Sales Sales Gain per Discount C $10.00 $0.25 500 25 D E Discount Number 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Price $10.00 $9.75 $9.50 $9.25 $9.00 $8.75 $8.50 $8.25 $8.00 $7.75 $7.50 $7.25 $7.00 $6.75 $6.50 $6.25 $6.00 $5.75 $5.50 $5.25 $5.00 Sales 500 525 550 575 600 625 650 675 700 725 750 775 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 1000 Revenue $5,000 $5,119 $5,225 $5,319 $5,400 $5,469 $5,525 $5,569 $5,600 $5,619 $5,625 $5,619 $5,600 $5,569 $5,525 $5,469 $5,400 $5,319 $5,225 $5,119 $5,000 To “Copy Drag” additional rows 1. Highlight the bottom two rows of the table. 2. Move cursor to bottom right of highlighted area until cursor looks like “+”. 3. Hold the left mouse button and roll the mouse down until the number 20 appears. 4. Release the left mouse button. To format cell(s) as dollars: 1.Highlight cell(s). 2.Right-click mouse. 3.Choose “Format Cells”. 4.Click on “Number” tab. 5.Choose “Currency”. 6.Press “OK”. 5 Question 1 (cont.) At what ticket price will the theater owner maximize his revenue? Find the largest revenue value and its corresponding ticket price. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 B Original Price Discount Original Sales Sales Gain per Discount C $10.00 $0.25 500 25 D E Discount Number 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Price $10.00 $9.75 $9.50 $9.25 $9.00 $8.75 $8.50 $8.25 $8.00 $7.75 $7.50 $7.25 $7.00 $6.75 $6.50 $6.25 $6.00 $5.75 $5.50 $5.25 $5.00 Sales 500 525 550 575 600 625 650 675 700 725 750 775 800 825 850 875 900 925 950 975 1000 Revenue $5,000 $5,119 $5,225 $5,319 $5,400 $5,469 $5,525 $5,569 $5,600 $5,619 $5,625 $5,619 $5,600 $5,569 $5,525 $5,469 $5,400 $5,319 $5,225 $5,119 $5,000 Next, create a scatter plot of Price (x-axis) and Revenue (y-axis) to see what, if any, pattern emerges. This row contains the largest revenue ($5625). It occurs when the ticket price is reduced to $7.50 (i.e., after 10 discounts). 6 Question 1 (cont.) At what ticket price will the theater owner maximize his revenue? How would you describe the shape of the graph? $5,700 $5,600 $5,500 $5,400 $5,300 $5,200 $5,100 $5,000 $4,900 $0.00 $2.00 $4.00 $6.00 $8.00 $10.00 $12.00 Notice that the y-axis of the graph has been rescaled. 7 Question 2 If the store owner gets an additional two sales for every $1 drop in price, at what price will the store owner maximize his profit? You must use “Discount” and “Discount Number” in computing “Sales” and “Price”. Recreate this spreadsheet on a new worksheet. = Cell with a number in it Initial Condition: 1. Original price: $30 2. Original sales: 20 = Cell with a formula in it B C 2 Original Price 30 3 Cost 10 4 Discount 1 5 Original Quantity Sold 20 6 Sales Gain per Discount 2 D E F Each Discount Taken: 1. Subtracts $1 from the price 2. Adds 2 to the sales 7 8 9 Discount Number Sales Price Revenue Profit 10 0 20 30 600 400 11 1 22 29 638 418 12 2 24 28 672 432 Will maximizing revenue equate to maximizing profit like it did in the fixed-cost model? 8 Question 2 (cont.) At what price will the store owner maximize his profit? B C Original Price 30 3 Cost 10 4 Discount 1 5 Original Quantity Sold 20 6 Sales Gain per Discount 2 9 Discount Number Sales Price Revenue Profit 10 0 20 30 600 400 11 1 22 29 638 418 12 2 24 28 672 432 13 3 26 27 702 442 14 4 28 26 728 448 15 5 30 25 750 450 16 6 32 24 768 448 17 7 34 23 782 442 18 8 36 22 792 432 19 9 38 21 798 418 20 10 40 20 800 400 21 11 42 19 798 378 22 12 44 18 792 352 23 13 46 17 782 322 24 14 48 16 768 288 25 15 50 15 750 250 2 D E F Expand the table until it matches the one to the left. 7 8 To “Copy Drag” additional rows 1. Highlight the bottom two rows of the table 2. Move cursor to bottom right of highlighted area until cursor looks like “+” 3. Hold the left mouse button and roll the mouse down until the number 15 appears 4. Release the left mouse button 9 Question 2 (cont.) At what price will the store owner maximize his profit? B C 2 Original Price 30 D E F 3 Cost 10 4 Discount 1 5 Original Quantity Sold 20 6 Sales Gain per Discount 2 9 Discount Number Sales Price Revenue Profit 10 0 20 30 600 400 11 1 22 29 638 418 12 2 24 28 672 432 13 3 26 27 702 442 14 4 28 26 728 448 15 5 30 25 750 450 16 6 32 24 768 448 17 7 34 23 782 442 18 8 36 22 792 432 19 9 38 21 798 418 20 10 40 20 800 400 21 11 42 19 798 378 22 12 44 18 792 352 23 13 46 17 782 322 24 14 48 16 768 288 25 15 50 15 750 250 7 8 This row contains the largest profit ($450). It occurs when the sale price is reduced to $25 (i.e., after five discounts). This row contains the largest revenue ($800). It occurs when the ticket price is reduced to $20 (i.e., after ten discounts). 10 Question 2 (cont.) At what price will the store owner maximize his profit? B C 2 Original Price 30 3 Cost 10 4 Discount 1 5 Original Quantity Sold 20 6 Sales Gain per Discount 2 D E F Next, create scatter plots with 7 8 9 Discount Number Sales Price Revenue Profit 10 0 20 30 600 400 11 1 22 29 638 418 12 2 24 28 672 432 13 3 26 27 702 442 14 4 28 26 728 448 15 5 30 25 750 450 16 6 32 24 768 448 17 7 34 23 782 442 18 8 36 22 792 432 19 9 38 21 798 418 20 10 40 20 800 400 21 11 42 19 798 378 22 12 44 18 792 352 23 13 46 17 782 322 24 14 48 16 768 288 25 15 50 15 750 250 Revenue (y-axis) and Discount Number (x-axis) and Profit (y-axis) and Discount Number (x-axis) to see what, if any, patterns emerges. 11 Question 2 (cont.) At what price will the store owner maximize his profit? 900 800 700 600 500 Revenue Profit 400 300 200 100 0 0 5 10 15 20 How would you describe the shape of each graph? 12 End of Module Questions Save your completed Excel file and e-mail it to your instructor. Looking back at Case #1 1. Create the revenue equation by multiplying the price formula by the sales formula. For each formula, let Discount Number be the only variable (i.e., Let discount number be x and use the actual values for original price, original sales, discount, and sales gain per discount). 2. At what other price do we get revenue the same as our original price? 3. After seeing the table created from case #1, the theater owners decide to price tickets at $5 each and knowingly forgoe the extra $625 in ticket revenue. Give a likely reason for such a strategy. 4. Change the Sales Gain per Discount to 20. What is the maximum revenue and at what price (or prices) do we attain it? 13 End of Module Questions Looking back at Case #2 5. Was maximizing revenue the same as maximizing profit? 6. What is the lowest price you could sell the item for and still make a profit? 7. What sale price would yield the maximum profit in the following scenario: Original price: $50 Discount amount: $2 Unit cost: $25 Original quantity sold: 30 Sales gain per discount: 5 8. Sometimes a company would like to raise prices (Hint: use negative numbers for both discount amount and sales gain per discount) What sale price would yield the maximum profit in the following scenario: Original price: $50 Discount amount: $2 Unit cost: $45 Original quantity sold: 30 Sales gain per discount: 5 14
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