Standards in Focus: 0 7.SP.6 - We need to be able to approximate the chance event. First, we will be collecting data from running multiple tests and recording the frequency of the event. Then, we will take our findings to predict the relative frequency given the probability. 0 7.SP.8a 0 7.SP.8b Standards in Focus: 0 7.SP.6 0 7.SP.8a – We need to understand that, just as with simple events, the probability of a compound event is the fraction of outcomes in the sample space for which the compound event occurs. 0 7.SP.8b Standards in Focus: 0 7.SP.6 0 7.SP.8a 0 7.SP.8b – We need to know how to represent sample spaces for compound events using methods such as organized lists, tables, and tree diagrams. Here’s the situation: Bill’s sock drawer contains 2 blue socks, 2 green socks, and 2 red socks. If he picks one sock at random, what is the probability it will be blue? If he then picks another sock (without returning the first sock), what is the probability the second sock will be blue? What is the probability that both socks will be blue? Do this… 0 Each bag has 2 blue, 2 green, and 2 red cubes to represent Bill’s socks. 0 One person should pick a cube at random. 0 The other person should record the color on the 30trial recording chart. 0 DON’T RETURN THE CUBE TO THE BAG! 0 Select another cube at random. Record its color. 0 Return the two cubes to the bag. 0 Repeat this procedure 30 times. st 1 Period 1. Mari & Deajah 2. Trent & Christian 3. Breanna, Nyla & 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Jamia Brandon & Ke’Luhv Kelleah & Tattiana Arian & Kyle James & Logan Nolan & Damir Jordyn & Kaitlin 4th Period 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. Westina & Denaji John & Parker Landen & Austin Treyton & Gerald Daniel & Alexander Hailey & Breyana Mikey & Angel Jorden & Ricardo Ericka & Haley Taylor & Jireh Gabrielle & Cyanna Stacey & Elana Novalee, Destiny, & Ashley Determine the probability… 0 What’s the probability of randomly choosing a blue sock from the sock drawer? 0 IF the first sock chosen is blue, what’s the probability of choosing a second blue sock from the drawer? 0 REMEMBER: the first blue sock wasn’t replaced. What effect does that have on your experiment? Conditional Probability The formula for a conditional probability: P(B,B) = 1/3 x 1/5 P(B,B) = 1/15
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