STATISTICAL SERVICE OF CYPRUS 1444 NICOSIA REPUBLIC OF CYPRUS MINISTRY OF FINANCE 4th May, 2017 PRESS RELEASE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI):APRIL 2017 Inflation 2,0% In April 2017, the Consumer Price Index increased by 0,25 units to 100,01 units compared to 99,76 units in March 2017. Compared to April 2016,CPI is increased by 2,0% while for the period between January and April 2017, CPI is also increased by 1,5% compared to the corresponding period of the previous year.(Table 1) In the twelve-month period from May 2016 to April 2017, in comparison to the period from May 2015 to April 2016, the annual average rate of change of the CPI was-0,2%. The corresponding annual average rate of change of the CPI in the previous twelve month period was -2,3%. As regards the economic origin, the largest change was observed in Electricity with an increase of 39,9% when compared to the index of April 2016.(Table 2) Address: MichalakisKaraolis Str., 1444 Nicosia, Cyprus Tel.: 22 602129, Fax No.: 22 661313, E-mail: [email protected] Web site: http://www.cystat.gov.cy Analysis of changes Compared to April 2016, the categories with the biggest positive change were the Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (10,6%), Transport (3,7%) and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (3,1%). (Table1) In comparison to the CPI of March 2017, the category with the largest increase was the Clothing and Footwear (2,4%) while decrease was monitored in Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-1,9%).(Table 1) For the period between January-April 2017, compared to the corresponding period of the previous year, the largest positive changes were noted in Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (7,1%) and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (3,1%).(Table 1) Analysis of effects The categories with the largest positive effect on the change of the CPI of April 2017 when compared to April 2016 were the following: Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (1,20), Transport (0,52) and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (0,49).(Table3) The categories with the largest positive effect on the change of the CPI compared to the previous month, were the Transport (0,25) and Clothing and Footwear(0,21). The most negative effect was observed in Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-0,32). (Table 3) The following products/services had the most notable positive effect on the change of the CPI of April 2017 compared to April 2016: electricity (0,94), petroleum products (0,47) and vegetables (0,43).(Table 4) Finally, airtickets (0,25) and clothing (0,16) had the most positive effect on the change of the CPI of April 2017 compared to the previous month, while meat (-0,10) had the most negative effect. (Table5) Table 1 CPI (2015=100) Categories of Goods and Services Change (%) Mar20 17 Apr201 7 Apr 17/Apr 16 Apr17/Mar 17 Jan -Apr 17/ Jan -Apr 16 101,06 99,10 3,13 -1,94 3,08 99,50 99,39 -2,20 -0,11 -1,75 102,35 104,78 -1,82 2,37 -0,63 101,45 101,66 10,57 0,21 7,12 98,01 98,22 -1,11 0,21 -1,83 101,43 101,66 0,68 0,23 0,78 Transport 95,96 97,63 3,67 1,74 2,83 Communication 97,82 97,64 -2,46 -0,18 -2,21 Recreation and Culture 99,58 99,47 0,51 -0,11 0,33 Education 100,75 100,75 0,52 0,00 0,52 Restaurants and Hotels 100,49 100,84 0,85 0,35 0,56 99,40 99,83 -0,15 0,43 -0,43 99,76 100,01 2,00 0,25 1,52 Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco Clothing and Footwear Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House Health Miscellaneous Goods and Services General Consumer Price Index -2- Table 2 Change (%) Economic Origin General Index Weights Apr17/ Apr 16 Apr17/ Mar17 10000 2,00 0,25 655 9,21 -1,92 4195 -1,18 0,18 Electricity 319 39,87 0,86 Petroleum products 550 10,58 -1,38 57 0,00 0,00 4224 1,03 0,84 Agricultural goods Industrial goods (excl. petroleum products) Water Services Table 3 Effect (units) Categories of Goods and Services Weights Apr17/ Apr16 Apr17/ Mar17 1615 0,49 -0,32 Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco 213 -0,05 0,00 Clothing and Footwear 848 -0,16 0,21 Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels 1230 1,20 0,03 Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House 750 -0,08 0,02 Health 660 0,05 0,02 1516 0,52 0,25 Communication 439 -0,11 -0,01 Recreation and Culture 645 0,03 -0,01 Education 369 0,02 0,00 Restaurants and Hotels 838 0,07 0,03 Miscellaneous Goods and Services 877 -0,01 0,04 General Consumer Price Index 10000 1,96 0,25 Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages Transport Note: Totals are calculated on the basis of the effects of the categories with infinite decimal figures and rounded up to two decimals when published. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding error. -3- Table 4 Effect (units) Goods/Services Apr17/Apr16 Positive effect Electricity 0,94 Petroleum products 0,47 Vegetables 0,43 Airtickets 0,19 Other goods and services 0,08 Negative effect Clothing -0,15 TOTAL 1,96 Table 5 Effect (units) Goods/Services Apr17/Mar17 Positive effect Airtickets 0,25 Clothing 0,16 Negative effect Meat -0,10 Other goods and services -0,06 TOTAL 0,25 -4- METHODOLOGICAL NOTES Definitions The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is compiled to measure the changes of prices over time of consumer goods and services acquired, used or paid by households. Specifically, the national CPI of Cyprus covers the consumption expenses of specific goods and services (shopping basket of goods and services), of the resident households and of the households that intend to live in Cyprus for at least one year. CPI is the official index for the estimation of inflation. The Inflation shows the change of the CPI when compared with the index of the corresponding month of the previous year. The Effect represents the amount of the overall change in the General Index which is accounted for by any given category. Collection The price collection is carried out only in urban districts of Nicosia, Larnaca, Limassol and Paphos. For each city, the fluctuations in the product prices each month, are weighted according to their population. Specifically, the weights for the four districts are: Nicosia 42%, Limassol 30%, Larnaca 18% and Paphos 10%. The prices of 850 goods and services are recorded once every month, except for some seasonal products (e.g vegetables and fruits), meat and fuels, whose prices are collected every week (every Thursday). Base year The index reference period was 2005=100 for the period between February 2006 and December 2015. From February 2016 and onwards, the base year is 2015=100. Classification Until December 2015, COICOP 4 classification was used for the calculation and the dissemination of the CPI. From February 2016 and onwards, CYSTAT is adopting the ECOICOP classification satisfying relevant Eurostat’s Regulation. In other words, the lowest level of detail for the classification used in CPI is COICOP 5-digits. Further information Constandia Papageorgiou: Tel: +35722602116, Email:[email protected] Andri Eftychiou: Τel: +35725878595, Email:[email protected] -5-
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