Population and births……
• The ONS 2015 mid-year population estimates for Cornwall
and IoS put the total under-25 population at 148,976,
consisting of 76,308 males (51.2% of the total) and 72,668
females (48.8%).
• Between the 2001 and 2015, the number of under-24s in
Cornwall and IoS increased by 8.1% (11,135).
www.cornwall.gov.uk
Population and births…… and births……
Cornwall Small Area Projections [POPGROUP]:
2015
Male
76,308
Female
72,668
Total 0-24
Growth from previous
period
2020
2025
2030
77,505
80,210
83,917
73,687
76,442
80,091
148,976 151,192 156,652 164,008
1.5%
3.6%
4.5%
enable additional breakdowns for Cornwall…………
www.cornwall.gov.uk
www.cornwall.gov.uk
www.cornwall.gov.uk
www.cornwall.gov.uk
www.cornwall.gov.uk
Issue
There are broad service impacts
associated with the key population
trends:
•
Population and
births
•
•
Higher birth rates will impact on
the demand for children’s services
and school places
An increase in the number of
young people in our communities
has implications for health, social
care, housing and transport
services.
Growth patterns (not only the
where but also what is built) will
have impacts for service demand
www.cornwall.gov.uk
What does this mean for Children and
young people with SEND in Cornwall
More Children
The 0-25 age group is
set to grow by nearly
14% by 2030. An
additional 20,500
young people.
Small Settlements
40% live in settlements
with populations under
3,000. The spread of
settlements makes it
challenging to deliver
services equally.
Life Chances
People with SEND do not
always have the same
opportunities to access
learning, training, education
or independent living post
16.
Diversity
There are increasing migrant
worker and traveller
communities across
Cornwall. Services need to
recognise differences in
needs and customs.
Hidden Poverty
Over 16,800 children (under
19) live in poverty. In some
of our poorest areas
(Pengegon and Treneere)
more than 1 in 3 live in
poverty.
www.cornwall.gov.uk
Key Drivers of Demand for SEND Services
Increase in
the birth rates
Migration - Cornwall gains
Older and younger
parents are more
at risk of
complications this
Increase in Low birth
weight and survival
rate of preterm births
This will increase the
overall demand for
school places and
children’s services
can result in childhood
disability. More women are
aged 35+ are having babies
in Cornwall.
around 1,000 additional children
and young people between the
ages of 0-15 annually through
families moving to Cornwall.
–
Both have an increased risk of ill
health and disability throughout
their lives. Advances in medicine
and technology mean that more
children live with complex health
needs.
From September 2015 the
school leaving
age rose to 18.
This
will result in more pupils,
including those with SEND
remaining in education or
training for longer.
www.cornwall.gov.uk