“The Economic Way of Thinking” 11th Edition © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Chapter 7: Profit and The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Loss Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko Chapter 7 Outline • Introduction • Wage, Rent and Interest: Incomes Established in Advance by Contract • Profit: Income That can be Positive or Negative • Calculating Profit: What Should be Included in Costs? • Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 2 of 59 Chapter 7 Outline • Uncertainty: A Necessary Condition for Profit • The Entrepreneur • The Entrepreneur as Residual Claimant • Where Does the Buck Stop? • Not-For-Profit Institutions • Entrepreneurship and the Market Process © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 3 of 59 Chapter 7 Outline • Mere Luck? • Profit and Loss as Coordinating Signals; The Role of Monetary Calculation • Varieties of Speculation • Consequences of Entrepreneurial Speculation • Commodity Speculators and Futures Markets • Prophets and Losses © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 4 of 59 Chapter 7 Outline • Beware of Experts • Restrictions on Competition • Competition on Other Fronts • Competition for the Key Resource • Competition and Property Rights • Appendix: Discounting and Present Values © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 5 of 59 Introduction “Perhaps no term or concept in economic discussion is used with a more bewildering variety of well-established meanings than profit.” -Frank Knight © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 6 of 59 Introduction • Profit (net revenue) – Total revenue minus total cost • To understand the concept of profit, it would be worthwhile to briefly consider the meaning of wage, rent, and interest. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 7 of 59 Wage, Rent and Interest • Wage is the payment to people for their labor service. • It is typically established by a contractual agreement between a firm owner and a labor supplier. • The contractual agreement removes uncertainty. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 8 of 59 Wage, Rent and Interest • Rent represents the payment to landlords and others who lease their property, such as tools and machinery. • Like wage, rent is also contractually established and reduces uncertainty. • No one would consider wage and rent payments as profit. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 9 of 59 Wage, Rent and Interest • Interest is NOT: – The price of money – Payment for the use of money • Interest IS: – Paid when we borrow – Ratio between what is paid back and what is obtained now © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 10 of 59 Wage, Rent and Interest • Wage, rent and interest are earned income in a market economy. – Wage rate = price for labor services – Rental rate = price for rental property – Interest rate = price for credit © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 11 of 59 Profit: Income that can be Positive or Negative • Profit = 4th form of income in a market economy (after wage, rent and interest) • Profit = total revenue – total cost • Profit is also termed Net Revenue • Negative Profit = Loss © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 12 of 59 Calculating Profit: What Should be Included in Costs? • From the perspective of the profit-seeker, wages, rent and interest are costs of production. • Remember…Profit is generally defined as total revenue – total cost. • Opportunity Cost Perspective – When business owners employ resources they own in their business, they will incur an opportunity cost. – The self employment of these resources does not involve monetary outlays. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 13 of 59 Calculating Profit: What Should be Included in Costs? • What is Profit? – Opportunity cost of owner’s labor? – Capital? • Produced goods that are used to produce future goods • Buildings – Interest? • Payment for use of money – The foregone income from these self-employed resources represent costs, not profits. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 14 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit • Accountants measure the explicit costs of production. • These costs flow out of the business and are incurred to produce a good or service. • Explicit costs from an economic perspective do not capture the total costs of production. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 15 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit • Economic profits include both explicit and implicit costs. • Implicit costs arise when business owners take into account the opportunity costs of using resources they own and commit to their businesses. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 16 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit An example will help illustrate these concepts. Consider Ann T., who earns $30,000 as a secretary. Suppose she also owns a building that she rents for $6,000 per year, and she has $23,000 in a certificate of deposit that earns 10% ($2,300) per year. These payments represent contracts that Ann has entered. They represent flows of income which reduce uncertainty in her life. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 17 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit • Now, suppose Ann quits her job and becomes her own boss. • She opens a pizzeria. – Uses her own building – Cashes out the $23,000 CD – Borrows $20,000 @ 10% © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 18 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit • 1st year total revenues = $85,000 • 1st year explicit costs = $45,000 – $43,000 hired labor – $ 2,000 loan interest • Accounting Profit = $45,000 © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 19 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit • However, Ann realizes: – Her own labor is not a free good as she previously earned $30,000 – The building previously earned Ann $6,000 – Her CD earned $2,300 © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 20 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit • Thus, her implicit costs are: – – – – $30,000 foregone wages $ 6,000 foregone rent $ 2,300 foregone interest $38,300 total © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 21 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit • Ann’s economic profit is: – $85,000 total revenue • $45,000 hired labor • $38,300 implicit costs – $83,300 total cost – $ 1,700 economic profit © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 22 of 59 Comparing Economic Profit and Accounting Profit • Economists claim that the accounting measure does not fully capture all the opportunity costs of production. • People should consider the opportunity costs of their choices. • Economists say that economic profits (and losses) matter. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 23 of 59 Uncertainty: A Necessary Condition for Profit • Business decisions are influenced by the presence or absence of economic profit. • If accounting profit were guaranteed, the competition would increase and profit would be reduced to zero. • Uncertainty is needed to sustain the possibility of profit. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 24 of 59 Uncertainty: A Necessary Condition for Profit • The same issues of uncertainty apply to accounting (and economic) losses. • No one would embark on a business venture if losses were guaranteed. • Profit (or loss) is the consequence of uncertainty. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 25 of 59 The Entrepreneur • Entrepreneurs – Try to organize things differently – Believe reorganization (change) will result in revenues in excess of costs – Have confidence in their foresight – Are the residual claimants © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 26 of 59 The Entrepreneur as Residual Claimant • Who gets to be boss? – The residual claimant is the boss. – They purchase the consent of everyone else on their team. – They make a deal with them by meeting their terms. – The entrepreneur must offer credible guarantees. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 27 of 59 Where Does the Buck Stop? • Residual Claimants (Owner) – The only party with an incentive to take into account everything relevant to costs and revenues. • The “owner” has an incentive to: – – – – Consider everything relevant to the business. Predict future events. Construct a balance of overall gains and losses. Has the authority to decide. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 28 of 59 Where Does the Buck Stop? • Example – “What? I can’t have my money back? I want to talk to the owner!” • Question – Why talk to the owner? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 29 of 59 Not-For-Profit Institutions • Questions – What effect does standing in a line have on quantity demanded? – Why? – When would the seller be motivated to reduce the length of the line? – Where are the lines longer, at the post office or the grocery store? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 30 of 59 Not-For-Profit Institutions • Question – Do nonprofit institutions have residual claimants? • Without residual claimants – Firms do not function effectively. – There is little incentive to reduce waste. – The buck stops nowhere. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 31 of 59 Entrepreneurship and the Market Process • Entrepreneurs engage in arbitrage. – They seek profit opportunities by attempting to buy goods at a low price and sell them at a higher price. • Profit is the intended consequence of entrepreneurship. • Entrepreneurship tends to correct for errors in the market place. • A loss is the unintended consequence of entrepreneurship. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 32 of 59 Entrepreneurship and the Market Process • Entrepreneurs also engage in innovation. – They discover new cost structures. • New less costly combinations of resources. – They are trailblazers. – They introduce new organizational strategies. • Entrepreneurs also engage in the imitation of previous trailblazing entrepreneurs. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 33 of 59 Mere Luck? • Not every entrepreneur enjoys economic profits. • Is it good luck or bad luck that will be determinate of profit or loss? • Some may be due to chance • But orderly market processes would not appear if only luck ruled. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 34 of 59 Profit and Loss as Coordinating Signals • Not every entrepreneur enjoys economic profits. • Successful entrepreneurs have a comparative advantage in spotting profitable business projects. • Market prices provide these signals. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 35 of 59 Profit and Loss as Coordinating Signals • The entrepreneur’s calculation of expected profits provides the information to decide to engage in arbitrage or launch a new enterprise. • Economic profits provide the incentive to act as an entrepreneur. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 36 of 59 Varieties of Speculation • Speculation is trading in the hope of profit from changes in the market price. • There are many types of speculators: – – – – Wall Street “Bear” Commodity Trader Students – buying education for future gain Motorists – timing of fuel purchases • Do speculators / profiteers take advantage? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 37 of 59 Consequences of Entrepreneurial Speculation • Commodity Markets – well organized – Facilitates buying or selling for futures – Speculators even out the flow of commodities • Thus, diminishing price fluctuations • And, in turn, reducing risk to others – Purchasing risk in hopes of profit – This is the speculator’s comparative advantage – Hedgers – sell to reduce their own risk © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 38 of 59 Commodity Speculators and Futures Markets • Futures Markets allow people to: – – – – Allocate their risks Deal with uncertainty Risk avoiders – hedgers Risk takers – speculators • Accept risk (at an agreed price) that hedgers avoid • Must respect their risk and pay close attention to the market conditions • Speculators are the distant early warning system © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 39 of 59 Prophets and Losses • Speculators provide information for all • Middlemen coordinate market exchanges across regions • Speculators coordinate market exchanges through time – Tend to bring quantity supplied closer to quantity demanded © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 40 of 59 Beware of Experts • The key to a robust and efficient market process is: – Open entry and exit for those who think that they have a comparative advantage in entrepreneurial activity – If their judgment is correct, they will earn economic profits – If not, they face economic losses. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 41 of 59 Beware of Experts • Open entry in the marketplace allows potential pioneers to test the claims of previous successful entrepreneurs to act on what they perceive as profitable, wealth generating, opportunities. – To discover comparative advantages • Closed markets stifle competition. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 42 of 59 Beware of Experts Entrepreneurship is … society’s source of change. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 43 of 59 Beware of Experts • Closed Markets – Stifle competition – Limit knowledge – Decisions as to market issues by lawmakers and bureaucrats – Beware of experts who have no risk © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 44 of 59 Restrictions on Competition • Profit – A consequence of uncertainty • Question – Why do special-interest groups seek protection from uncertainty? • Question – Are there costs associated with patent ownership? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 45 of 59 Competition on Other Fronts • When uncertainty disappears: – Profits are transformed into costs of production – By competitive bidding – It is the value of your foregone opportunity by not selling © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 46 of 59 Competition on Other Fronts • Question – How is the price of a “better” mousetrap patent determined? • Question – Loss or Profit? • If the interest earned from investing the proceeds from the sale of the mousetrap patent exceeds the profit you expect to earn if you keep it, it is a profitable investment. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 47 of 59 Competition on Other Fronts • Question – Does someone’s offer to buy your patent affect your costs? • Factors to Consider – Affect on net revenue – Nominal interest rates on riskless investments – Number of bidders © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 48 of 59 Competition on Other Fronts • When uncertainty disappears, profit gets transformed into costs of production by competitive bidding. • Question – How much must the buyer’s revenue increase in order for the purchase of the patent to be profitable? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 49 of 59 Competition for the Key Resource • Question – Do price supports have any effect on the price of land? • Questions – Do licenses affect costs? – Who gains from a new licensing system? • Examples – Taxicabs – VHF television broadcast rights © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 50 of 59 Competition and Property Rights • Under certainty, competition will eliminate profit. • Questions – Will the pursuit of profit lead to: • Better mousetraps or the attempt to prevent others from selling? • Production of wheat or higher-priced land? • Better taxi service or higher priced licenses? © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 51 of 59 Competition and Property Rights • Questions – Will the pursuit of profit lead to: • Exploration or retrenchment? • Innovations in technology or in social organization? • A wider range of choice or more restrictions on choice? • Answer – Depends upon the rules of the game and the property rights created. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 52 of 59 Appendix: Discounting and Present Values • Value of something expected to be received in 1 year – Must be discounted by interest rate to determine present value. © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 53 of 59 Appendix: What a Present Amount Grows To • At 12 percent per year and with compound interest, $4,000 will become $5,619.71 in 3 years. • $4,000 * 1.12 * 1.12 * 1.12 = $5,619.71 © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 54 of 59 Appendix: Present Value of Future Amounts • What present amount will grow to a specified amount in 1 year? – If the goal is $4,400 • $4,400 / 1.12 = $3,928.57 © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 55 of 59 Appendix: Present Value of Annuities • First, determine the amount expected at the end of each year • Second, determine the interest rate or discount rate – Real interest rate + risk rate = discount rate • Third, determine the present value by using the appropriate table © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 56 of 59 Once Over Lightly • Profit = TR – TC • Accounting Profit uses explicit costs • Economic Profit uses implicit costs • Profit arises from uncertainty • Economic Profit encourages Entrepreneurs • Entrepreneurship – arbitrage; innovation and limitation © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 57 of 59 Once Over Lightly • Uncertainty is a fact of life • Everyone is a Speculator in a world of uncertainty • Professional Speculators coordinate markets through time • Futures Markets allocate risk exposures • Competition forms are determined by rules of the game © 2006 Prentice Hall Business Publishing The Economic Way of Thinking, 11/e Heyne/Boettke/Prychitko 58 of 59 End of Chapter 7 Questions? 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