Existence and Uniqueness Theory for the Black-Scholes Equation in Stochastic Volatility Models Erik Ekström Joint work with Johan Tysk Department of Mathematics, Uppsala University May 8, 2008, Pitesti A Motivating Example Assume that dX (t) = X 2 (t) dW , and that u(x, t) = Ex,t X (T ). Then X is a strict local martingale so that u(x, t) < x. The corresponding BS-equation is ut + 21 x 4 uxx = 0 u(x, T ) = x. However, v ≡ x is also a solution! A Motivating Example Assume that dX (t) = X 2 (t) dW , and that u(x, t) = Ex,t X (T ). Then X is a strict local martingale so that u(x, t) < x. The corresponding BS-equation is ut + 21 x 4 uxx = 0 u(x, T ) = x. However, v ≡ x is also a solution! Uniqueness of solutions does not hold! A Classical PDE Result The PDE ut (x, t) + a(x, t)uxx (x, t) + b(x, t)ux (x, t) + c(x, t)u(x, t) = 0 u(x, T ) = g(x) has a unique solution of at most polynomial growth if the coefficient a is of at most quadratic growth: 0 < a(x, t) ≤ C(1 + x 2 ) (b of linear growth and c bounded). The Classical Set-Up Stock price process: dX (t) = α(X (t), t) dW , absorbed at 0. Assume that |α(x, t)| ≤ C(1 + x). Given a pay-off function g, define the option price by u(x, t) = Ex,t g(X (T )). The corresponding Black-Scholes equation is ut + 12 α 2 (x, t)uxx = 0 u(x, T ) = g(x) u(0, t) = g(0) Existence of Solutions Theorem If |α(x, t)| ≤ C(1 + x), then all moments of X (T ) are finite. Existence of Solutions Theorem If |α(x, t)| ≤ C(1 + x), then all moments of X (T ) are finite. Corollary Assume that |α(x, t)| ≤ C(1 + x) and |g(x)| ≤ C(1 + x N ). Then the function u(x, t) = Ex,t g(X (T )) is a classical solution to the corresponding Black-Scholes equation ut + 12 α 2 (x, t)uxx = 0 u(x, T ) = g(x) u(0, t) = g(0). Uniqueness of Solutions via the Maximum Principle Theorem Assume that |α(x, t)| ≤ C(1 + x). Then u = 0 is the unique classical solution of at most polynomial growth to the equation ut + 12 α 2 (x, t)uxx = 0 u(x, T ) = u(0, t) = 0. Uniqueness of Solutions via the Maximum Principle Theorem Assume that |α(x, t)| ≤ C(1 + x). Then u = 0 is the unique classical solution of at most polynomial growth to the equation ut + 12 α 2 (x, t)uxx = 0 u(x, T ) = u(0, t) = 0. Proof. For the proof one looks for a supersolution h(x, t) which grows faster than the candidate solution u as x → ∞. Since u is of at most polynomial growth, say |u(x, t)| ≤ C(1 + x N ), the function h(x, t) = eMt (1 + x N+1 ) will do. h is indeed a supersolution if M is large enough: ht = MeMt (1 + x N+1 ) and 1 2 α hxx ∼ α 2 x N−1 ∼ x N+1 . 2 General Local Volatility Models As before, dX (t) = α(X (t), t) dW , with absorption at 0. WE NO LONGER ASSUME THE LINEAR BOUND ON α!! Clearly, X is a non-negative local martingale, hence a supermartingale. Therefore Ex,t X (T ) ≤ x. Models in which the stock price is a strict local martingale has been proposed to model bubbles, see Cox-Hobson (2005) and Heston-Loewenstein-Willard (2007). Existence Theorem If g is of at most linear growth, then u(x, t) = Ex,t g(X (T )) is a classical solution to the BS-equation ut + 12 α 2 (x, t)uxx = 0 u(x, T ) = g(x) u(0, t) = g(0). The Stochastic Solution is the Smallest one Theorem (Heston-Loewenstein-Willard) Let g be lower bounded. Then the stochastic solution u(x, t) = Ex,t g(X (T )) is the smallest solution to the Black-Scholes PDE which is bounded from below. The Stochastic Solution is the Smallest one Theorem (Heston-Loewenstein-Willard) Let g be lower bounded. Then the stochastic solution u(x, t) = Ex,t g(X (T )) is the smallest solution to the Black-Scholes PDE which is bounded from below. Proof. Let v be a solution to the Black-Scholes PDE which is bounded from below. By Ito’s Lemma, v (X (s), s) is a local martingale. Since it is lower bounded, it is a supermartingale. Hence v (x, t) ≥ Ex,t v (X (T ), T ) = Ex,t g(X (T )) = u(x, t). The Stochastic Solution is the Smallest one Theorem (Heston-Loewenstein-Willard) Let g be lower bounded. Then the stochastic solution u(x, t) = Ex,t g(X (T )) is the smallest solution to the Black-Scholes PDE which is bounded from below. Proof. Let v be a solution to the Black-Scholes PDE which is bounded from below. By Ito’s Lemma, v (X (s), s) is a local martingale. Since it is lower bounded, it is a supermartingale. Hence v (x, t) ≥ Ex,t v (X (T ), T ) = Ex,t g(X (T )) = u(x, t). Corollary If g is bounded, then the Black-Scholes equation has a unique bounded solution given by Ex,t g(X (T )). A General Uniqueness Result We also have the following stronger uniqueness result. Theorem The Black-Scholes equation has a unique solution in the class of functions of strictly sublinear growth. A General Uniqueness Result We also have the following stronger uniqueness result. Theorem The Black-Scholes equation has a unique solution in the class of functions of strictly sublinear growth. Example Any pay-off function of the form g(x) = x 1−ε gives a unique solution (unique in the class of strictly sublinear functions). A General Uniqueness Result We also have the following stronger uniqueness result. Theorem The Black-Scholes equation has a unique solution in the class of functions of strictly sublinear growth. Example Any pay-off function of the form g(x) = x 1−ε gives a unique solution (unique in the class of strictly sublinear functions). Proof. Note that h(x, t) = eMt (1 + x) is a supersolution. Indeed, 1 ht = MeMt (1 + x) > 0 = α 2 hxx . 2 Thus we have uniqueness in the class of functions which grow slower than x. A Condition for X(t) to be a Strict Local Martingale Uniqueness is lost in the class of linear functions if x − Ex,t X (T ) > 0. Theorem Assume that |α(x, t)| ≥ x 1+δ for large x. If δ > 0, then Ex,t X (T ) = o(x ε ) as x → ∞ for any ε > 0. If δ > 1/2, then Ex,t X (T ) is bounded in x. Proof. It can be checked that the function h(x, t) = eMt x 1 + t nx β is a supersolution if M, n and β are chosen appropriately. The result follows since the option price is the smallest solution to the BS-equation. Stochastic Volatility Models Stock price: dX (t) = p Y (t)α(X (t)) dW , where the variance process Y follows dY (t) = β (Y (t)) dt + σ (Y (t)) dV , dW dV = ρdt. Stochastic Volatility Models Stock price: dX (t) = p Y (t)α(X (t)) dW , where the variance process Y follows dY (t) = β (Y (t)) dt + σ (Y (t)) dV , dW dV = ρdt. We assume that X is absorbed at 0, and that Y stays nonnegative automatically. X is a nonnegative local martingale, hence a supermartingale so Ex,y,t X (T ) ≤ x. Linear growth on the coefficients: |β (y )| ≤ C(1 + y) |σ (y )| ≤ C(1 + y) and |α(x)| ≤ C(1 + x). The BS-equation for Stochastic Volatility Models The option price is defined as u(x, y, t) = Ex,y,t g(X (T )). The corresponding Black-Scholes equation is √ 1 2 1 2 ut + 2 yα (x)uxx + ρ yσ (y)α(x)uxy + 2 σ (y)uyy + β (y)uy = 0 u(x, y, T ) = g(x) u(0, y , t) = g(0) ut (x, 0, t) + β (0)uy (x, 0, t) = 0 The BS-equation for Stochastic Volatility Models The option price is defined as u(x, y, t) = Ex,y,t g(X (T )). The corresponding Black-Scholes equation is √ 1 2 1 2 ut + 2 yα (x)uxx + ρ yσ (y)α(x)uxy + 2 σ (y)uyy + β (y)uy = 0 u(x, y, T ) = g(x) u(0, y , t) = g(0) ut (x, 0, t) + β (0)uy (x, 0, t) = 0 The diffusion coefficient grows superquadratically, so neither existence or uniqueness of solutions to the equation is covered by the standard PDE-theory! Existence We expect to prove: Theorem If g is of at most linear growth, then the function u(x, y , t) = Ex,y,t g(X (T )) is a classical solution of the BS-equation √ ut + 21 yα 2 (x)uxx + ρ yσ (y)α(x)uxy + 12 σ 2 (y)uyy + β (y)uy = 0 u(x, y, T ) = g(x) u(0, y , t) = g(0) ut (x, 0, t) + β (0)uy (x, 0, t) = 0 Uniqueness If X is a strict local martingale, then uniqueness of solutions is lost for linear contracts. Uniqueness If X is a strict local martingale, then uniqueness of solutions is lost for linear contracts. Theorem Uniqueness always holds in the class of functions of strictly sublinear growth in x and polynomial growth in y . Uniqueness If X is a strict local martingale, then uniqueness of solutions is lost for linear contracts. Theorem Uniqueness always holds in the class of functions of strictly sublinear growth in x and polynomial growth in y . Proof. The function h(x, t) = eMt (1 + x + y m ) is a supersolution (if M is large enough). The Heston Model In the Heston model, p dX (t) = Y (t)X (t) dW p dY (t) = (b − aY (t)) dt + Y (t) dV . The corresponding Black-Scholes equation is 2 ut + 12 yx 2 uxx + ρyxuxy + σ2 yuyy + (b − ay )uy = 0 u(x, y, T ) = g(x) u(0, y , t) = g(0) ut (x, 0, t) + buy (x, 0, t) = 0. Results for the Heston Model Theorem Uniqueness holds in the class of functions that are linear in x and polynomial in y. Results for the Heston Model Theorem Uniqueness holds in the class of functions that are linear in x and polynomial in y. Proof. The function h(x, y , t) = eMt (1 + x ln x + y m + xy) is a supersolution if M is large enough. Results for the Heston Model Theorem Uniqueness holds in the class of functions that are linear in x and polynomial in y. Proof. The function h(x, y , t) = eMt (1 + x ln x + y m + xy) is a supersolution if M is large enough. Corollary In the Heston model, X (t) is a true martingale. The SABR Model In the SABR model, dX (t) = p Y (t)X γ (t) dW dY (t) = σ Y (t) dV . The corresponding BS-equation is 2 u + 1 yx 2γ (x, t)uxx + ρσ y 3/2 x γ uxy + σ2 y 2 uyy = 0 t 2 u(x, y, T ) = g(x) u(0, y , t) = g(0) ut (x, 0, t) = 0 Results for the SABR model (γ < 1) Theorem If γ < 1 in the SABR model, then there is uniqueness for the BS-equation in the class of functions of at most polynomial growth. Results for the SABR model (γ < 1) Theorem If γ < 1 in the SABR model, then there is uniqueness for the BS-equation in the class of functions of at most polynomial growth. Proof. The function h(x, y, t) = eMt (1 + x n + y m ) is a supersolution provided m and M are chosen large enough. Corollary (Andersen-Piterbarg) If γ < 1, then X (t) is a true martingale. Results for the SABR Model (γ = 1) Theorem Let γ = 1. If ρ ≤ 0, then uniqueness holds in the class of functions which are linear in x and polynomial in y . Note: If ρ > 0, then Ex,t X (T ) < x as is shown by Sin (1998). Thus there is no uniqueness in the linear class in this case. Results for the SABR Model (γ = 1) Theorem Let γ = 1. If ρ ≤ 0, then uniqueness holds in the class of functions which are linear in x and polynomial in y . Note: If ρ > 0, then Ex,t X (T ) < x as is shown by Sin (1998). Thus there is no uniqueness in the linear class in this case. Proof. If ρ ≤ 0, then h(x, y , t) = eMt (1 + x ln x + y m + xy) is a supersolution. Corollary If α = 1 and ρ ≤ 0, then X (t) is a true martingale. References I I I I I I I Andersen and Piterbarg: Moment explosions in stochastic volatility models. Finance Stoch. (2007). Cox and Hobson: Local martingales, bubbles and option prices. Finance Stoch. (2005). E. and Tysk. Bubbles, convexity and the Black-Scholes equation. Manuscript (2008). E. and Tysk. Existence and uniqueness theory for the term structure equation. Manuscript (2008). E. and Tysk. Existence and uniqueness theory for the pricing equation in stochastic volatility models. In progress. Heston, Loewenstein, Willard. Options and bubbles. Rev. Financial Studies (2007). Sin. Complications with stochastic volatility models. Adv. Appl. Probab. (1998). References I I I I I I I Andersen and Piterbarg: Moment explosions in stochastic volatility models. Finance Stoch. (2007). Cox and Hobson: Local martingales, bubbles and option prices. Finance Stoch. (2005). E. and Tysk. Bubbles, convexity and the Black-Scholes equation. Manuscript (2008). E. and Tysk. Existence and uniqueness theory for the term structure equation. Manuscript (2008). E. and Tysk. Existence and uniqueness theory for the pricing equation in stochastic volatility models. In progress. Heston, Loewenstein, Willard. Options and bubbles. Rev. Financial Studies (2007). Sin. Complications with stochastic volatility models. Adv. Appl. Probab. (1998). Thank you for your attention!
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