1 Problem set 4 This homework is due on April 19th (Wednesday) in class. For Q2 and Q3, you have to submit your matlab codes to Yu. 1) (Uncertainty) Consider an economy in which there is a representative consumer who lives forever. In each period t = 0, 1, ..., one of two random events occurs, st = θ1 or st = θ2 . A state is represented by s. At t = 0, the initial state is s0 and a stationary Markov process given by a 2 × 2 matrix with elements πi,j = prob(st+1 = j|st = i) governs the probability of future states. Let πt (st ) be the induced probability of a particular event history. The representative consumer has the utility function, X β t πt (st )u(ct (st ), 1 − lt (st )). st ∈S t Here S is the all possible event histories and 0 < β < 1. Assume the nice and usual properties about u. The consumer is endowed with one unit of labor in each state and k¯0 units of capital in the initial state. Feasible consumption/investment plans satisfy the following feasibility: ct (st ) + kt+1 (st ) − (1 − δ)kt (st−1 ) ≤ θt (kt (st−1 ))α (lt (st ))1−α , ∀st ∈ S t , where θt takes on one of two values as determined by the current event, where θ1 < θ2 . a) Define an Arrow-Debreu (AD) equilibrium for this economy. b) Define a sequential market (SM) equilibrium for this economy. Carefully state a proposition or proporsitions that establish the essential equivalence between the objects in the AD equilibrium and those in the SE equilibrium. c) Specify the dynamic programming (DP) problem that such an allocation must satisfy by writing down its Bellman’s equation. Suppose that you have a solution to this DP problem. Explain carefully how you could calculate the values of the variables in the definition of an AD equilibrium in any state. Explain carefully how you could calculate the values of the variables in the definition of an SM equilibrium in any state. d) Consider an economy with two types of consumers, rather than one, but otherwise identical to that in parts (a)–(c). Define a SM equilibrium. e) Does the equilibrium allocation in part (d) solve a DP problem? Carefully explain why or why not. 2) (Life-cyle model) Solve for the life-cycle model where agents live up to 90 years (assume they are born at 16) and have the wage profile (the data are posted on the website: epsilon − f ile.txt for wages). Agents are assumed to have standard log utility over consumption (u(c) = log(c)). Set a real interest rate to .0525, and a discount factor to .98. Make sure that your accuracy criteria is 2 .0001. Solve this problem by the three methods that we discussed in class. Plot age profiles for consumption and assets. 3) (Life-cyle model) Now, we extend the life-cycle model we used in the previous problem. Solve for the steady state of an economy where agents live up to 90 years (assume they are born at 16) and have the wage profile (again, posted on the website). Each period there is an inflow of new borns of measure 1. In other respects, the economy is a standard growth model. Let the agents have standard per period preferences over consumption (log utility). Let the labor share of output be .67, the depreciation rate .05, the wealth to output ratio 4, and the discount rate be .99. Make sure that your accuracy criteria is .0001. Solve the problem of the agents by the ‘backward recursion’ (Method 2). Plot age profiles for consumption and assets. 4) (Baseline RBC model) Suppose the standard stochastic business cycle model with two inputs of production capital and labor. Yt = ezt Ktθ Nt1−θ . The shock z follows AR(1) process: zt+1 = ρzt + , is i.i.d. random variable. Per period utility function is log(c) + α(1 − n). a) Write down a Competitive equilibrium in a recursive form. b) Write down equilibrium conditions to characterize equilibrium. (at this stage, you don’t need to characterize equilibrium).
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