Aerosol Indirect Effects in CAM A. Gettelman (NCAR), F. Vitt (NCAR), P. Hess (Cornell) H. Morrison (NCAR), P. R. Field (Met Office), S.J. Ghan (PNNL) Outline • Model Description • Prescribed Aerosols – Global Aerosol Indirect Effects (AIE) – Global Sensitivity – Regional Sensitivity (Mid Lat Cyclones) • Prognostic Aerosols – Plans & Progress • Future Work Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 2 Model Description • Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) • New 2-moment stratiform microphysics – Morrison & Gettelman 2008, Gettelman et al 2008 • Aerosol activation forms cloud drops – Abdul-Razzak & Ghan (1998,2000,2002) • MOZART aerosol model – – – – Aerosols: Sulfur, Carbonaceous, Dust, Sea-salt Mass representation, assumed size distributions Off line (Prescribed) distributions (CAM3.5) On line (Prognostic) experiments Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 3 Prescribed Aerosols • 1870, 1990 Conditions derived off-line • Sensitivity tests with scaling aerosols, adding a minimum number of activated aerosols • 8 year runs with climatological SST & aerosol • SST & GHGs same for both runs Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 4 Global Maps (1990-1870) Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 5 Global Sensitivity: AIE IE= dln(re)/dln(ext) where ext=H*AOD Feingold et al 2003 observations = 0.02-0.16 CAM Simulated = 0.05-0.11 Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 6 Global AIE Sensitivity • LINSULF: different sulfate number • SOA (Secondary Organic Aerosol) : increase Hydrophilic Organic Carbon by factor of 100 • MIN: minimum Number conc of activated aerosol Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 7 Regional Sensitivity • Focus on mid-latitude cyclones – Large radiative forcing from Aerosols • Composite cyclones – Based on location of surface pressure min – Following Field & Wood 2007 (J. Clim) – Look at storm structure, microphysics, RF • Aerosols from 1990, 1870 • All other forcings (GHGs, SSTs) same Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 8 Effects on Radiation • N. Pacific Shortwave Cloud forcing SWCF = Fsw - Fclearsw • Cloud Forcing increases in present day 1990 1870 -80 -60 -120 Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 -110 9 Effects on Particle Size • N. Pacific maximum column Re (liquid) • Particle sizes get smaller with more aerosols 1990 1870 13 Gettelman-AIE 15 AMWG2008 10 Effects on Precipitation • N. Pacific Rain Rates (mm day-1) • Rain intensity decreases in present day 1990 1870 >15 10 Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 11 Effects on Liquid Water Path • N. Pacific LWP: peak similar • +50% LWP Away from center (trailing) 1990 Gettelman-AIE 1870 AMWG2008 12 Further Results: Cyclone AIE • S. Hemisphere is the control case – Little AOD change – Do not see effects in the S. Hemisphere • N. Atlantic can have different response – Working on understanding this now – May be due to different change in AOD – Different wind speeds – Need to look at cyclones by category Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 13 Results: Prescribed Aero • New Microphysics and Aerosol scheme indicates largest AIE in Mid-lat storm tracks • Sensitivities ‘reasonable’ relative to IE metrics • Results are sensitive to background aerosols – If more CCN available: sensitivity is reduced • Mid-latitude cyclones do show effects: – lower rain rates & smaller particles = more forcing – LWP in far field different (lower precip) • Note: Inconsistency with fixed aerosol – Needs to be fixed with ‘relaxation’ Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 14 Off Line Aerosol Inconsistency Clear Precip Clear Current fixed aerosols aerosol Time Desired (relaxation) aerosol Time Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 15 Prognostic Aerosols • Code runs with interactive (MZ) aerosols • Status: sorting out inconsistency in drivers for wet deposition • Wet deposition rates are slow – Aerosol lifetimes & burdens 2x over RK code – Also affects Modal Aerosols • Once resolved, continue tests • Comments on testing? Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 16 Aerosol Testing Issues • What is reference/benchmark? – MOZART and/or Modal Aerosols (present) • How do we understand pre-industrial? – Emissions? • How do we constrain aerosol-cloud interactions? – Process level? – Global/regional effects? – Observations not sufficient to constrain AIE Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 17 AIE Testing Plans • Sort out Prognostic Aerosols – Present day simulation – Run same code for pre-industrial (AIE) • Run prescribed aerosols from above – AIE: Does on-line aerosol matter? • May redo above with SOM • Add Relaxation to prescribed aerosols – Does this affect AIE? • 20th Century run (repeat CAM3.5 run w/ MG) – Prognostic – Prescribed (from above) ‘Relaxed’ • Could also include Modal aerosol in tests Gettelman-AIE AMWG2008 18
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