THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET “European Hardwood Conference” Versailles, Friday 4 November 2005 Teresa Gargiulo, Federlegno-Arredo Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 2 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET A HUGE GLOBAL BUSINESS Fig. 1. WORLD FURNITURE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION BY REGIONS. Per cent, 2004. consumption production 36,9% EU15 37,3% 35,9% NAFTA 27,7% 27,2% OTHERS 0% 35,0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Furniture is the largest low-tech sector worldwide with an estimated total production of about 220 billions of euros. Europe is the largest furniture producer, but Asia is performing increasingly better. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 3 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET THE FAST OPENING OF INTERNATIONAL MARKET Fig. 2. WORLD FURNITURE IMPORT. Million dollars, 1985-2000. 68.342 70.000 60.000 49.229 50.000 30.488 40.000 30.000 20.000 12.760 10.000 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 In the last ten years furniture trade grew faster than others traditional products trade. Last year the total global furniture trade worth was 70 billion euros. The opening rate (Import/Consumption) of furniture international market reached more than 30%. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 4 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET DEVELOPING REGIONS ARE LEADING THE MARKET GROWTH Tab. 1. WORLD FURNITURE IMPORT BY REGION. Billion euro, 2004 . Regions/Countries EU 15 Value Growth rate in 2004 (%) 29,4 5,5% 2,5 19,5% NAFTA 25,6 3,9% Russia 1,3 22,0% OTHERS EUROPE 3,2 7,6% China 0,6 15,1% Japan 3,1 -0,1% OTHERS ASIA AND PACIFIC 2,6 15,5% MIDDLE EAST 1,3 9,4% LATIN AMERICA 0,2 45,1% AFRICA 0,4 28,6% 70,2 6,1% EU New members WORLD EU15 is the most important market, followed by NAFTA; together they cover the 80% of total world import… …but Asia, Russia and EU10 are leading the market growth. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 5 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET SUPPLIERS Fig. 3. WORLD FURNITURE IMPORT BY SUPPLIERS. Billion euro, 2000-2004. 20,0 80,0 70,2 64,0 62,5 66,8 70,0 66,1 14,4 15,0 WORLD 60,0 50,0 11,5 12,2 10,0 CHINA 7,9 7,3 ITALY 9,1 7,7 40,0 30,0 7,3 7,3 7,3 5,0 20,0 5,4 GERMANY 5,5 5,5 5,6 6,1 2001 2002 2003 2004 0,0 10,0 0,0 2000 China, Italy, Germ any WORLD The main three players are China, Italy and Germany. In the last five years China doubled its market share. Traditional main playerslike, Italy and Germany show relatively low trends. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 6 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET DEVELOPING COUNTRIES ARE BECOMING WORLDWIDE MAIN PRODUCERS Tab. 2. WORLD FURNITURE IMPORT BY SUPPLIERS. Billion euro, 2004. Suppliers 1° 2° 3° 4° 5° 6° 7° 8° 9° 10° Value % China Italy Germany Canada Mexico Poland Usa France Indonesia Denmark Others 14,4 7,3 6,1 4,1 4,0 3,5 2,9 1,8 1,6 1,6 22,7 20,5% 10,4% 8,8% 5,9% 5,7% 4,9% 4,1% 2,6% 2,3% 2,3% 32,4% WORLD IMPORT 70,2 100,0% Growth rate 2000-2004 62,3% -11,3% 1,9% -31,7% -4,6% 33,2% -45,3% -18,8% -19,3% -6,9% -0,5% China and Poland are the more dynamic new players. Labour cost, design and forest resources are the key-leading factor in international furniture production specialization. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 7 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET WORLD FURNITURE LEADERSHIP BY REGIONS Tab. 3. LEADER’S FURNITURE IMPORT SHARES BY REGIONS. Shares (%), 2004. Regions/Countries Leaders Share EU 15 Italy 14,1% EU New members Germany 24,7% NAFTA (Usa, Canada, Messico) China 34,2% Russia Italy 30,8% OTHERS EUROPE Germany 23,3% China Germany 33,7% Japan China 37,7% OTHERS ASIA AND PACIFIC China 34,8% MIDDLE EAST Italy 20,4% LATIN AMERICA Usa 22,9% AFRICA Italy 20,8% WORLD China 20,5% China is the leader supplier in NAFTA and others Asian countries. Italy is the leader supplier in EU25, Middle-East and Africa. Germany is the leader supplier in EU10, in Other Europe countries and in China. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 8 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET NEW PLAYERS IN EUROPE (1) Tab. 4. EU15’S MAIN FURNITURE SUPPLIERS. Billion euro, 2004. Suppliers Value % 1° Italy 4,2 14,1% 2° Germany 3,8 12,9% 3° Poland 2,6 8,9% 4° China 2,6 8,9% 5° France 1,2 4,1% 6° Denmark 1,1 3,6% 7° Spain 1,0 3,3% 8° Czech Republic 0,9 2,9% 9° Indonesia 0,8 2,8% 10° Netherlands 0,8 2,8% Others 10 35,7% 29,4 100,0% EU 15 IMPORT China and Poland are increasingly gathering quotas on European import. Western Europe Countries play a major role in European furniture Industry. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 9 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET NEW PLAYERS IN EUROPE (2) Fig. 4. EXTRA-UE15 FURNITURE SUPPLIERS OF EUROPEAN IMPORT. Per cent, 2004. Romania Indonesia 5,0% 5,8% Slovenia Vietnam 3,6% 3,2% South Africa 3,0% Switzerland 2,9% Turkey 2,8% Czech Republic 6,1% Others 30,0% China 18,7% Poland 18,8% If we look at import data without considering EU15 members trade, China and Poland have similar quotas of about 19 per cent. Main followers are Czech Republic, Indonesia and Romania. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 10 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET MAIN EUROPEAN PLAYERS Tab. 5. LEADER’S FURNITURE IMPORT SHARES BY EU15’S COUNTRIES. Shares (%), 2004. Countries Leaders Share 1° Germany Poland 21,1% 2° United Kingdom Italy 20,9% 3° France Italy 22,5% 4° Belgium Germany 23,5% 5° Netherlands Germany 28,1% 6° Austria Germany 48,1% 7° Spain France 17,6% 8° Sweden Denmark 15,1% 9° Italy Germany 13,5% 10° Denmark Sweden 17,2% 11° Portugal Spain 37,4% 12° Ireland united Kingdom 41,1% 13° Greece Italy 34,7% 14° Finland Sweden 31,3% 15° Luxembourg Germany 59,3% Italy 14,1% EU15 Poland is the leader supplier in Germany. Germany is the leader supplier in Central Europe. Italy is the leader supplier in France, United Kingdom and Greece. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 11 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET PRODUCTS Fig. 5. WORLD FURNITURE IMPORT BY PRODUCTS. Per cent, 2004 Chairs 12,9% Office furniture 4,4% Special furniture 1,7% Parts 27,7% Upholstered 12,5% Other wood furniture 19,4% Kitchens 3,7% Bedroom furniture 7,2% Others 10,6% Parts and Upholstered furniture have the most important quotas. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 12 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET LEADERS BY PRODUCTS Tab. 6. LEADER’S FURNITURE IMPORT SHARES BY PRODUCTS. Shares (%), 2004. Products Leaders Shares Bedroom furniture Cina 26,6% Kitchens Germania 28,0% Other wood furniture Cina 22,8% Upholstered Italia 23,7% Office furniture Canada 16,7% Chairs Cina 29,9% Special furniture Germania 19,8% Parts Messico 16,2% Others Cina 35,7% Tot Furniture Cina 20,5% Traditional players win in more specialistic products Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005 13 THE GLOBAL FURNITURE MARKET A NEW GLOBAL VALUE CHAIN Traditional players aim at lowering their costs, increasing the added value, opening new markets (i.e. to have a better access to third country markets). New players aim at increasing theirs weight on international trade and to upgrading the quality of their productions. These forces, via FDI, are defining a new global value chain in the world furniture market. Centre for wood and furniture industry studies Versailles, 04/11/2005
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