Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html AN EVALUATION OF EXTERNALITIES LINKED TO NIGERIAN FORESTS . Sulaiman AdesinaYusuf, Mistura Adedoyin Rufai , Joseph Oluwaseun Komolafe Department of Agricultural Economics,University of Ibadan, Nigeria e-mail: [email protected], [email protected], [email protected] ABSTRACT: Forests produce goods and services (externalities) which are not reflected in conventional market transactions and are rarely considered in government plans. Externalities can be positive (benefits) or negative (loss) with values often difficult to assess. The identification and valuation of forest externalities are essential for proper policy formulations and sustainable forest development in Nigeria. Using different evaluation methods positive externalities and negative externalities were valued. Positive externalities included are grazing, carbon sequestration, fuel wood and charcoal and biodiversity conservation. On the other hand negative externalities identified for Nigeria were erosion floods and landslides and forest fires. The positive externalities had a Total Economic Value (TEV) of N265.883 billion with fuel wood and charcoal having the highest contribution of 41.62 percent while the negative ones had a TEV ofN4.201billion. Both types of externalities had a net value of N261.682billion.From the foregoing, Nigerian forests made net positive externalities to the Nigerian economy. In order to sustain these net positive externalities to the Nigerian economy, there is need for forest conservation. Key Words: Evaluation, Externalities, Nigeria, and Forest INTRODUCTION an estimated forest area of 4.11 million hectares, comprising 2.72 million hectares of natural production forests, 1.01 million hectares of protection forest and 375,000 hectares of planted forest. Nigeria is characterized by different ecological zones ranging from a belt of mangrove swamps and tropical forest along the coast to open woodlands and savannah on the low plateau which extends through much part of the country to the semi-arid plains in the north and highlands in the east. The combined effect of temperature, humidity and rainfall and particularly the variations that occur in the rainfall pattern of the natural vegetation zone exerts a major influence on the types of indigenous plants that grow or can be introduced in any part of the country. However of all the ecological zones in Nigeria, forests harbor the bulk of the globally important biodiversity of the nation even though they are small in extent when compared to other ecosystems (USAID, 2008).According to the International Tropical Timber Organization (ITTO 2011), Nigeria has Nigeria’s forest provides significant economic, social and ecological benefits for citizenry. It is also of global importance as the canopies of its multiple plant species help in temperature modulation thus reducing the effects of climate change while the various crop races of grains originating from its core help feed the world. Nigeria’s forests have continued to make economic contributions to agriculture and the nation’s national income even though the real contributions from forestry may not have been totally captured due to data paucity within the country (Adekunle et al, 2010). Nigeria has lost a vast amount of its forests as a result of various human activities. Forests are cleared for 1 Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html environmental activities such as road projects, agriculture, subsistence activities, logging, mining and dam construction among others. Timber concessions have been granted in national parks and oil palm plantations are replacing the natural forest. Wild life populations decrease from poaching and destruction of their habitats as a result of increasing desertification and soil loss. Extreme activities such as forest fires, tractor logging and other methods of land clearing contribute to soil erosion and the reduction in forest productivity. The biodiverse ecosystems (old growth forests) are disappearing at an even faster rate and presently, forests now occupy about 923,767km2 or about 10 million ha which is about 10 percent of the Nigerian forest land area (IITA, 2010). Over dependence on forest resources and the subsequent prolonged deforestation has seriously threatened and depleted the biodiversity resource of the country’s forest ecosystem (Aremu et al, 2009). threshold value of these externalities for the year 2010. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK FORESTRY EXTERNALITY FOR As forests, forestry and the environment are concerned, externalities, public goods and market failures are closely related. Externalities and public goods represent two types of market failure i.e. situations where the assumptions of welfare theorems do not hold and as such market equilibrium cannot be relied upon to yield pareto optimal outcomes. The distinction between private and public or collective goods is often affiliated by externalities. Public goods are nondepletable and are mostly services (although sometimes called goods) with such characteristic that one persons use does not decrease the amount available to others while private goods are goods where consumption by one person prevents consumption by another. Pure public goods are non-excludable and non-rivalrious with external cost or benefits (externalities) not represented in markets. The examples of externalities and public goods tend to overlap (Miller, 2006). However, forests provide biodiversity, attractive landscape, clean air which can be referred to as public goods. As the Nigerian forests disappear, poverty continues to force people to exploit even the relics of the remaining forest. With the high rate of depletion, the importance of forest resources have become more apparent and people have become more sensitive about the benefits they get from forests and the possible losses if forest resources were destroyed. These contributions are made up of benefits and losses some of which are usually not priced at the market price and are referred to as externalities. Externalities associated with forest resources create a gap between the value and the notional price of forests either positively or negatively (Ozturk, 2009). The determination of negative and positive externalities in forests and forestry in Nigeria is an essential ingredient in promoting sustainable forestry developmentas there is an inadequate recognition of public goods and externalities for forestry (Croitoru, 2007) and as a result, governments often allocate inadequate funds for the maintenance of forests (Mathur and Sachdeva, 2003).This study therefore aims to examine some of the positive and negative externalities related to the Nigerian forest resources and forestry by determining the The idea of externality is quite complex and many definitions are found in literature (Merlo and Croitoru, 2005). In economics, an externality is a cost or benefit which results from an activity or transaction and which affects an otherwise uninvolved party which did not choose to incur that cost or benefit. Externalities are the actions of other agents in the economy which affect the preference of a consumer (Mas – collel et al, 1995). Pearse (1990) indicated that externalities are the market imperfections that occur when the impacts of actions are not compensated through markets. Such actions exclude those mediated by price and those which affect profitability (pecuniary externalities) which causes no inefficiency. 2 Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html In environmental economics, an externality exists when an agents utility or production function depends directly on inputs chosen by another agent without any particular attention given to the latter’s well being. For goods with externalities, unregulated market prices do not reflect the full social costs or benefits of the transaction as the benefits and overall cost of such goods do not reflect the total costs inflicted upon the society as a whole. Externalities can have both desirable and undesirable impacts and some have both. An externality favorable to the recipient is usually called a positive externality and conversely for a negative externality. The existence of positive externalities will lead markets to produce a smaller quantity of goods than is socially desirable while negative externalities will lead markets to produce a larger quantity of goods and services than is socially desirable. This refers to the market failure associated with externalities and implies a legitimate ground for government intervention (Friedman, 1955). and carbon sequestration. In erosion control they serve as shelter belts, dune fixation rehabilitation of eroded terrain and in land bank for soil nutrient and structure maintenance (Oriola, 2009).Nigerian forests are also known for wildlife and tourism, wildlife is particularly varied because of the country’s location, size and the ecological zones. The various species of trees and plants serve as raw materials for very many industries in the country and the wood, wax and oils generated from the trees could also be produced for export. Cash crops mainly cocoa, rubber and oil palm dominate agriculture in the forests as the area best supports the growing of commercial trees crops while roots and tuber crops are produced at subsistence levels.Forests are also a major source of fuel wood and charcoal (Oriola, 2009) and other non timber forest products such as leaves, fruits, nuts, resins, honey, mushrooms, chewing sticks, and cane among others. externalities and the total economic value of nigerian forests The total economic value is a concept in cost benefit analysis that refers to the value derived by people from a natural resource, a man made heritage resource or an infrastructure system, compared to not having it. The underlying logic is to assess all the different benefits and contributions of an asset into a single value estimate. The TEV value can be broken down into the use value, non use value, option value, bequest value and existence value. externalities associated with Nigerian forests Externalities are those forest goods and services which are not actively marketed but are also valuable to other people other than forest owners. Such goods and services are known to have value but the value is often difficult to assess. There are many positive and negative externalities associated with forests which are not normally reflected in conventional market transactions. Forests perform natural functions such as watershed protection to control run off, soil nutrient maintenance and contribute to atmospheric regulation as in evapotranspiration 3 Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html Fig 1: Total Economic value of forests adapted from Croitoruet al, (2007). TEV Use value Non use value DIRECT INDIRECT OPTION VALUE BEQUEST VALUE EXISTENCE VALUE (Removable products from nature e.g fish, timber, water e.t.c) (Non removable products in nature e.g watershed, soil conservation e.t.c) (Potential/ diverse use e.g source of energy, raw material, recreation e.t.c) (Potential source of energy, raw materials and biodiversity for future generations (Conservation of biodiversity habitat and species for future generation) Damages by forest fires Erosion, floods and avalanches due to poor or no forest management Pollen and other allergic factors While there is a widespread consensus on the TEV concept, the boundaries between its various components remain somewhat less clear (Randall 1997, Bateman 1994) made up of both positive values (which add to the TEV) and negative values (which decrease the TEV) generated from forest activities. Benefits such as biodiversity conservation, direct use values (such as raw materials, fish, timber etc) and carbon sequestration are named positive externalities while all social costs incurred from damages caused by forest fires, erosions and floods etc. are negative externalities. externalities as a component of the tev: Externalities are an important consideration in cost benefit analysis as both positive and negative externalities and other forest outputs are related to the TEV of forests (Croitoru et al, 2001). Within the theoretical concept of the TEV, the entire range of forest outputs can be more practically seen as markets, potential markets and non market values. The TEV is METHODOLOGY Following Ozturket al, (2009) the major externalities estimated in this study are carbon sequestration, biodiversity conservation, grazing, 4 Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html fuel wood and charcoal, erosion, floods and landslides and forest fires. relative weight to attach to carbon compared with other positive and negative impacts of potential policies (Friends of the Earth, 2008). sources of data: Data was gotten from various literature and sources which include the (FAOSTAT), National Biodiversity Strategy and Action plan 2010, International Food policy Research Institute, USDA National Agricultural statistics and the Agricultural Development Project (ADP) Annual Report 2010. cost based approach: This method involves the use of market prices and the quantity of the good traded in the market. Market prices reflect the willingness to pay for costs and benefits of forest land use options. This may be affected by market imperfections and seasonal variations (FAO, 1996) VALUATION METHODS: Different methods were used in this study to estimate the values for externalities related to Nigerian forest. The valuation methods include substitute goods, shadow price, cost based approach, benefit transfer approach, replacement cost approach and restoration cost approach. benefit transfer approach: This method entails valuation using similar but extraneous information. It involves the use of information obtained on the valuation of environmental goods and services elsewhere. Context or locational attributes of the initial study may not fully match the exercise at hand it may however provide some measure to the importance and benefits of environmental goods and services (Mishra, 2006). substitute goods: Substitute goods are goods that are similar and can be used to satisfy the same needs (Piana, 2005). The prices of substitute methods are used to impute value for a good or service when there is no developed market or when market fails to capture its total value, (Hutschimdt et al, 1983; Emerton, 2001). As fodder grazed in forests does not have prices, it is converted using the value of hay or barley based on a comparism of their nutrient contents and then its value is estimated using the price of those products (Croitoru, 2008). replacement cost: The replacement cost technique generates a value for environmental goods or services by estimating the cost of replacing them i.e. they attempt to estimate the additional cost that would be incurred were the forest not present compared with the situation in which forests are present,(Center for Agricultural Bioscience International, 2005). shadow price: This method of valuation uses restoration cost: This method measures the market prices but adjusts for transfer payments, value of environmental goods by using the cost market imperfections and policy distortions of recreating (restoring) the original (FAO, 1996). The use of shadow prices in environmental goods or services. It is a variant of carbon valuation are applied by governments in the replacement cost technique,(Center for policy and project appraisal to determine the Agricultural Bioscience International, 2005). Table 1: The use of valuation techniques for forest externalities in Nigeria Externality Value type Output Positive externalities Direct value use Grazing Indirect value use Carbon sequestration Shadow price Fuel wood and charcoal Cost based approach Options value Valuation technique Substitute goods 5 Physical indicators Quantity of forage produced Net change of carbon sequestrated Quantity of wood Monetary Indicators Price of hay Shadow price of carbon Market price of fuel wood Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html Negative externalities Bequest– existence value - - Benefit – transfer approach Change in production function and replacement cost Restoration cost Biodiversity conservation Erosion, floods and landslides Damages forest fires by Protected area Loss of nutrients - soil Cost of preserving biodiversity Cost of fertilizer Cost restoration of and grain all year round. It is estimated that only 3 percent of its 101 million animals are reared on improved pastures while the remaining are grazed. Veterinary costs are also reduced because animals on pastures have fewer health problems than those that feed in the barnyard (Federal Ministry of Agriculture and water resources, 2008). carbon sequestration Trees in the forest incorporate carbon from the atmospheric Co2 into biomass. This function is a component of indirect use value of forests and a type of positive externality associated to it. Carbon pricing takes many forms e.g the market price per ton, shadow price applied by government in policy and project appraisal or the relative weight attached to carbon compared with other positive and negative impacts of potential policies. The value of Carbon sequestration is estimated in this study using the shadow price of carbon which is determined by estimating the marginal abatement costs and social (damage costs) for a range of different levels of emissions. Nigeria has an estimated forest area of about 4.105 million hectares and the average grassland productivity for the different ecological zones in Nigeria per season in is 2,626.8kg/ha (Aregheore, 2009). Total grass production in Nigerian forests is therefore estimated conservatively to be approximately 10.783 billion kilograms (10.783 milliontons). The average price of all hay in US in 2010 was $109.58 per ton (USDA National Agricultural Statistics). Following Ozturk (2009), we assume that hay from pastures have half the value of hay from meadows i.e $54.79. From this information, a conservative value of hay produced in Nigerian forests in 2010 is thus valued. Momodu el al, 2011 reveals that the cumulative carbon uptake from Nigerian forests in 2010 is approximately 10.40mtc while the shadow price of carbon according to Friends of the Earth, 2008 is ₤26.5/t C , from these information we derive the economic value of carbon sequestration. grazing fuel wood and charcoal Nigeria has a land area of 92.4 million hectares of which about 44 percent are under permanent pastures which supports its domestic ruminants (Federal Ministry of Agriculture and water resources, 2008). Nigerian forests provide a substantial amount of forage and fodder which are of vital importance in Nation’s drive towards self sufficiency in agricultural production.Nigeria still has a vast amount of forage to be explored and as such feed costs are reduced as farmers do not have to buy hay and ranchers do not have to grow or purchase forage Wood obtained from forests apart from being used for commercial purposes in various forms such as saw wood, paper products, furniture making and electrical poles are also a major source of energy especially in developing countries. In Nigeria, wood fuel is an important source of energy for domestic cooking and heating in rural areas and the urban poor. However, the demand for fuel wood in Nigeria’s urban areas has been on the increase as a result of major factors such as rural – urban migration, 6 Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html Biodiversity conservation is a bequest – existence value of forests i.e. the value that people place on the existence of forests independent of the value of other uses. This study used the benefit transfer approach in valuing biodiversity conservation. Pearce et al, 2003 suggested that tropical forests have biodiversity values that range between US $0.01 and US $21 per hectare. Even with the forest losses, Nigerian forests are still high in biodiversity and as such a value of US $18 per hectare was assumed. In the National Biodiversity Strategy and Action plan 2010, the Nigerian Government made a commitment to conserve 25 percent of the country’s forest area with emphasis on protected areas such as forest reserves, game reserves, National parks and wild life sanctuaries and from these values the value of biodiversity conservation is thus estimated. urbanization, poverty, hikes in prices of petrol and cooking gas among others (Babayaro et al, 2010). Fuel wood and charcoal are hardly traded internationally butits local value however can be significant in terms of the local economy (Pearse et al,2001). The total amount of fuel wood generated from Nigerian forests can be determined by summing the amount of fuel wood produced and the amounts of wood used for charcoal making,Ojo et al, 2011. According to the FAOSTAT, the amount of wood fuel produced in 2010 is about 63,214,728m3 which is about 19,754,602.5 tons while the amount of charcoal produced was about 3,940,089 tons. Following Ojo et al, 2011 a weight related conversion factor of 4.5 is applied for charcoal to give 17,730,400.5 tons of wood. Fuel wood in the US south sold for an average of $19.55 per ton in 2010, (Stuber, 2012) and from this the value of fuel wood produced in Nigeria in 2010 can be determined. erosion floods and landslides The Forest canopies provide undisturbed covers for soils below it and as such they are kept in the steady state with the thickness of the top soil maintained. Deforestation comes with negative implications on the soil as they are exposed to factors such as rainfall (which could lead to waterlogging, salinization and alkanization, floods and landslides), wind and human activities such as land clearing for domestic purposes, agriculture and mechanized farming. All of which contribute to the loss of soil nutrients. biodiversity conservation Biodiversity refers to the variety of life at all levels (from genes to ecosystems) and the ecological and evolutionary processes that sustain it. Biological diversity in forests allows species to evolve and dynamically adapt to changing environmental conditions, maintain the potentials for tree breeding and improvement and to support their ecosystem functions (FAO, 2010). The forests zones in Nigeria are known to serve as habitats for different mammals and various species of birds. The wild life in Nigeria is particularly varied because of the country’s location, size and the ecological zones. There are also many endemic plant species some of which are economically viable while many are yet to be scientifically discovered and utilized (USAID, 2008).High human activities in forests have led to rapid alterations of ecosystems and as such there is massive loss of biodiversity. The high rates of deforestation and poaching activities have led to the destruction of wild life habitats and loss of wild life populations. To estimate the value of such negative externality, the replacement cost of soil protection is employed. Erosion costs were estimated with the amount of fertilizer need to replace nutrients lost from the soil. The quantity of fertilizer imported to Nigeria in 2010 was 900,000 tons (International Food Policy Research Institute IFPRI, 2012) and the average price of fertilizer was N86.705/kg (ADP, 2010). The total cost of fertilizer imported is thus estimated to be 78.035 billion naira.This amount cannot be related to forests as there are no data relating them. Following Orztuck et al, 2001 we 7 Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html assume that poor forest management induces just 5% of the total erosion in Nigeria. However, it is worthy to note that the assumption of 5% of erosion to forestry is very beyond the real share considering that Nigeria has lost 95% of its forest cover and irreversible soil losses are not considered in this assessment. slash and burn and land clearing has been identified as a principal cause of fires. Fires areused for pasture management for livestock, honey gathering, animal tracking and hunting and disposal of wastes among others in agriculture and for other purposes such as land clearing for infrastructural and estate development. Annually cash crops such as rubber and cocoa, grasses, timber and other useful and non useful vegetation are destroyed by fires and as such the economic impact of forest fires cannot be overlooked in analyzing forest externalities. However, there are no forest fire statistics allowing for an analysis of the causes, risks and extent of damage done by fires (IFFN, 2006). Deforestation and environmental degradation costs the country over 6 billion naira annually (Butler, 2006) and as such this study conservatively assumes that 5% of this cost is as a result of forest fires. Forests fires in Nigeria are not managed and so no extra costs are incurred for controlling them. forest fires In Nigerian forests and savannah bush lands, wild fires are a constant threat particularly in the dry season. Majority of these fires are caused by human activities as lightening fires are rare and occur in the rainy season. Nigeria is losing up to 400,000 hectares of forest land annually to deforestation (IITA, 2010b) and selective exploitation of forests for economic and social reasons. Fire is used as a work tool generally by rural populations and the expansion of low input small holder agriculture that depends on environmentally destructive practices such as Table 2: Summary of information used for valuing externalities. (Exchange rates: N 151 to $1, N 229.4 to £1, Source CBN, 2010) Carbon Sequestration Cumulative carbon uptake 26.5 million tons Shadow price of carbon £ 10.40 per ton Local value N 2,385.76 Grazing Grass productivity 10.783 million tons Price of hay from pastures( half price of hay from $54.79/ton meadows Local value N 8,273.29 Fuel wood and charcoal Wood fuel 19,754,602.5 tons Charcoal (conversion factor of 4.5 to wood) 17,730,400.5 tons Price of wood $ 19.55 Local value N 2,952.05 Biodiversity conservation Area of forest conserved 25% of forest area Value of conservation per hectare $ 18 Local value N 2,718.00 Erosion, Floods and Landslides Quantity of fertilizer imported 900,000 tons Value of fertilizer imported N 78.035 billion Forest Fires Annual cost of deforestation and environmental N 6 billion degradation 8 Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html RESULTS Table 3: Some positive and negative externalities in Nigerian forests and their values. Type of externality Positive Grazing externality Carbon sequestration Fuel wood and charcoal Biodiversity conservation TOTAL Negative Erosion, floods externality and landslides Damages by forest fires TOTAL Quantity (t) 10,783,000 10,400,000 Value (000 N) 89,210,886 63,222,640 Value/ha 21,705.81 15,382.64 percentage 33.55 23.78 21,670,489 110,657,603 26,923.99 41.62 - 2,792,745 679.5 1.05 900 265,883,874 - 3,901,725 64,691.94 -943.39 100 -92.86 - - 300,000 -72.99 -7.14 -4,201,725 -1,022.32 100 The value of some externalities associated with Nigerian forests and forestry were estimated conservatively to arrive at the total economic value (TEV) of the nation’s forest. Positive externalities had a value of approximately N265.833 billion while the negative ones had an approximate value of N4.201 billion, both with a net value of N261.682billion. Erosion, floods and landslides and forest fires (negative externalities) had contributions of92.8 and 7.14 respectively. Nigeria has lost a major part of its forests for various commercial purposes. The continuous destruction of vegetation in forests reduces infiltration and increase runoff thus increasing the dangers of erosion. Erosion generally reduces the productivity of forests by decreasing the soil water available for forest growth and through loss of nutrients in eroded sediment (Elliot et al, 1999). The degradation of the nation’s forests is also exacerbated by forest fires which contribute to erosion and reduce the long term productivity of forests by affecting the soil cover and structure. (Neriset al, 2012). The contributions of grazing, biodiversity conservation and fuel wood and charcoal carbon sequestration were 33.55, 23.78, 41.62 and 1.05 respectively with fuel wood and charcoal taking the highest contribution. The importance of the forage and fodder from Nigeria’s forests cannot be overemphasized as forests provide a major source of feed for both ruminant livestock and wildlife. According to Kallah (2004), ruminant livestock survival in Nigeria has depended largely on the extensive native pasture browses in forest reserves, natural wetlands and woodlands and farm crop residue across and within the various ecological zones.Fuel wood and charcoal also had a high contribution. According to Oriola (2009), the greatest single of forests and woodlands is the provision of wood fuel for domestic cooking and heating in rural areas and among the urban poor. CONCLUSION The results of this study reveal the economic value of some externalities associated with Nigerian forests and forestry. Positive externalities refer to the benefits derived from forests while negative externalities are the losses incurred from forest depletion. According to NBSAP (2010), the commercial value of biological diversity in Nigeria’s forests exceeds the cost of conservation and this is reflected with the high value of positive externalities and low 9 Nov. 2013. Vol. 1, No.1 ISSN 2311-2476 International Journal of Research In Agriculture and Food Sciences © 2013 IJRAFS & K.A.J. All rights reserved http://www.ijsk.org/ijrafs.html value of negative externalities in the results. The value of positive externalities estimated in this study can be considered as underestimated as other positive externalities such as climate regulation, soil protection, watershed protection and other forest products such medicinal plants and new grain varieties were not considered in this study. 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