Tasmanian Greens State Election Campaign Summary Strategy Discussion Paper THIS IS NOT THE FULL STRATEGY DISCUSSION PAPER. Please see how to access the full document below. Prepared by Josephine Maguire-Rosier Tasmanian State Campaign Director Important Information on Distribution & Content We are currently in the process of developing a campaign strategy for the upcoming state election. This means we have some tricky decisions to make. To do this well, we must understand everyone’s concerns and perspectives to enable the membership to work together effectively over the course of the next year. Any campaign strategy has winners and losers, especially when we have a finite amount of resources to share in a limited amount of time. Thus I ask you to engage with this consultation process and submit your feedback in whichever way works for you. This will enable us to understand how to best meet the challenges you identify and to do so in a way which maximises the support we can give all members, branches and candidates over the course of this campaign. However… THIS IS NOT THE FULL DOCUMENT. Please see how to access the full document below. It is critical to note this document is a summary of the Tasmanian Greens confidential strategy discussion paper. This summary is a version prepared for electronic distribution, and as such excludes key pieces of information which are both media and politically sensitive. It is vital however, that members from across Tasmania deeply and meaningfully engage with the full paper (not simply the summary below). To ensure your access to this document, despite being unable to send electronic copies of the full paper, the Tasmanian Greens Executive has developed the following hard copy distribution strategy. HOW TO ACCESS THE FULL DOCUMENT 1. Each branch is to hold a special branch meeting in which the Campaign Director presents the full paper, at which you will be able to: a. Receive a summary of the content and purpose of the document. b. Read the full paper in person. c. Ask any questions you may have of the author. 2. Each branch has also identified between 3 and 6 members as ‘point people’, who any member can call and book a mutually convenient time to review the paper in person. a. There are also a number of people who are happy to ‘roam’ the state, as in drive to a location, should geography or transport impede your ability to access the full document through the regular ‘point people’. 3. Lastly, there is a ‘catch up’ presentation on the paper scheduled in Hobart, and the campaign director is happy to visit any groups of five or more people who would like to receive a similar presentation and are unable to attend either their local branch session or the catch up session in Hobart. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 2 of 23 SPECIAL BRANCH MEETING SCHEDULE The following events are so all members can receive a briefing on the discussion paper, and how they are able to read the full paper, ask any questions of the author and provide feedback. Please RSVP, as these events are subject to cancellation if not enough members attend. Branch Date Braddon Sunday May 14th Franklin Time Location Civi Event Link Contact Person 2:00pm Reseed, 30 King Edward St Penguin RSVP HERE. Tom Kingston, 0400 642 999 [email protected] Thursday May 4th 6:00pm Greens Shop, 208 Elizabeth St, Hobart RSVP HERE. Holly Ewan, 0408 631 831 [email protected] Denison Wednesday May 3rd 6:00pm Greens Shop, 208 Elizabeth St, Hobart RSVP HERE. Damien Irving, 0427 681 781 [email protected] Bass Sunday May 21st 10:00am Alison's House Welman St Launceston RSVP HERE. Alison Jales [email protected] Lyons Saturday April 22nd Further sessions happily provided on request. (So please request them!) For Everyone Wednesday May 24th 6:00pm TBC RSVP HERE. Josephine Maguire-Rosier, 0415 689 783 [email protected] Josephine Maguire-Rosier, 0415 689 783 [email protected] Further briefings can be scheduled on request. Please contact Josephine Maguire-Rosier (0415 689 783, [email protected]) to organise this. Should you be unable to attend the above meetings, or would simply like more time to review and digest the discussion paper, please contact the following people to organise to view a copy of the full paper. Please note feedback is due by Monday May 29th. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 3 of 23 VIEWING A COPY OF THE FULL PAPER The following people have generously agreed to facilitate access to a copy of the full paper in various local areas across Tasmania. The capacity for all members to meaningfully engage with the strategy development process is of the utmost importance to us. Should you not be able to organise a mutually convenient time to read the paper with the people closest to you, please contact Josephine Maguire-Rosier, State Campaign Director, or Rosalie Gorton-Lee, State Party Convenor, and they will personally organise a way for this to happen. Branch Person Phone Email Location State Josephine Campaig Maguire-Rosier n Director 0415 689 783 [email protected] Launceston & roaming across the state State Rosalie Convenor Gorton-Lee 0400 044 478 [email protected] Hobart & roaming across the state Franklin Holly Ewin 0408 631 831 [email protected] Blackmans Bay, Hobart & roaming across Franklin Franklin Rosalie Gorton-Lee 0400 044 478 [email protected] Hobart & roaming across the state Franklin Richard Atkinson 0407 209 129 [email protected] Kingston and city Franklin Jen Van-Achteren 0401 054 003 [email protected] Clarence Area & Eastern Shore Franklin Martine Delaney 0417 530 621 [email protected] Clarence Area & Eastern Shore Franklin Rosalie Woodruff 0458 123 478 [email protected] ov.au Cygnet Area Denison Damien Irving 0427 681 781 [email protected] Hobart Denison Rosalie Gorton-Lee 0400 044 478 [email protected] Hobart & roaming across the state Denison Grant Finlay 0417 340 050 [email protected] Montrose Denison Bill Harvey 0428 243 964 [email protected] Hobart Lyons Fraser Brindley 0417 557 477 [email protected] Evandale & Roaming Lyons Gary Whisson 0439 522 479 [email protected] Orford, occasionally Derwent Vallley area Lyons Glenn Millar 0457 604 631 (text only) [email protected] Forcett Sorell Area Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 4 of 23 Lyons Peter Taylor 0406 155 487 [email protected] Midway Point Area Lyons Hannah Rubenach-Quinn 0417 528 088 [email protected] St Marys area and roaming Lyons Helen Preston 0458 536 090 [email protected] Bicheno area Lyons Helen Hutchinson 0438 233 576 [email protected] Deloraine area Lyons Stephanie Taylor 0419 180 461 [email protected] Rowella West Tamar (until 8 May only) Lyons Paul Wright 0427 444 008 [email protected] St Helens area Bass Alison Jales 0488 000 602 [email protected] Launceston Bass Josephine Maguire-Rosier 0415 689 783 [email protected] Launceston & roaming across the state Bass Christine Booth 0407 501 137 [email protected] Branxholm Bass Anne Layton-Bennett 0429 221 243 [email protected] Swan Bay Bass Irene Macfarlane 0417 721 840 [email protected] Bridport Bass TBC Patersonia Bass TBC Hillwood Bass TBC Flinders Island Braddon Tom Kingston 0400 642 999 [email protected] Burnie Braddon Carol Donaghy 0448 451 000 [email protected] Myalla, Wynyard Braddon Patrick Johnson 0429 002 341 [email protected] Melrose Braddon Sally O'Wheel 0419 243 579 [email protected] Ulverstone Braddon Tammy Milne 0488 385 971 [email protected] Devonport Braddon Scott Jordan 0428 300 324 [email protected] Burnie & Roaming around Smithton, Stanley etc. Braddon Helen Ryan-Skyes 0476 609 413 [email protected] Roseberry Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 5 of 23 Table of Contents Background 7 Consultation & Strategy Development Process 7 Key Topic Areas: Targets & Win Numbers 8 Campaign Strategies, Tactics and Methodology 10 Budget and Resourcing 11 Key Campaign Issues 12 Roles of Branches and Central Campaign Team 13 Campaign Phases & Timeline 15 How to Submit Feedback 15 References 16 Appendices 1: Details on Consultation and Strategy Development Process. 17 2: Changing Minds, Research on politics and implications for action 19 : A Brief Literature Review of the Research examining the efficacy of Organising 3 and Field Campaigning 22 Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 6 of 23 Background In the next two years, five different elections are scheduled: 1. May 2017: State Legislative Council (Launceston, Rumney & Murchison). 2. March 2018: State House of Assembly. 3. May 2018: State Legislative Council (Hobart & Western Tiers) 4. From August 2018: Federal Parliament 5. September & October 2018: Local Councils. Whilst this paper is only concerned with the upcoming State election, due in early 2018, it is important to note, any work done during this campaign period will directly feed into the strategy for, and impact on, these upcoming campaigns. Thus it is important that any work done in this state election campaign also be viewed as part of (and hopefully integrated into) the foundation building process for these upcoming campaigns. Consultation & Strategy Development Process The consultation and strategy development process is not perfect – we are working with an inflexible deadline – namely an election. However, the Tasmanian Greens’ foresight to hire a State Campaign Director with a year to go has likely facilitated the most consultation the state party has ever seen. The process is outlined below: 1. Consult with as many highly involved members as possible. 2. Develop strategy discussion paper, based on these initial conversations and the research available. 3. Distribution and collect feedback on the discussion paper. 4. Strategy Development & Approval For more information please see appendix 1: Details on Consultation and Strategy Development Process. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 7 of 23 Targets & Win Numbers This section of the full discussion paper includes the following information: 1. Which seats should we target? 2. Recommended Overarching Goals for Goals for this State Election Campaign & Qualifications 3. An explanation of what do these goals mean in reality 4. Recommended Goals for State Election, by Seat 5. Alternate Goals The first section “Which seats should we target” of “Targets and Win Numbers” in the full discussion paper, is a summary of the electoral statistics, supporter statistics and the feedback from the consultation period. The table below is included, with projections for how many new votes we need to hold or win each seat, plus branch membership, supporter and volunteer numbers. Previous Results Seat 2014 Votes* 2014 Votes Bass 6661 10.33% Braddon 3294 5.12% Denison Lead 9694 15.16% 1614* 2.52% Franklin 9013 13.43% Lyons 5140 7.75% Denison Second *Primary votes for ‘Lead’ Candidates It then goes on to outline some of the specific factors which have influenced the recommended goals, looking at both state and electorate specific issues. The next section outlines the goals recommended by the Campaign Director, along with qualifications required to understand how they may change in specific circumstances. The full paper then goes on to explain how these strategic goals would shape any campaign plan and relevant decisions - providing the framework upon which we as a party would have to evaluate any strategic decisions. This is why it is vital that all members fully back these goals, as each branch will need to be able to justify how their campaigning is supporting them. Then, this section of the full discussion paper follows up with recommended goals for each branch in the upcoming state election. This includes the number of new votes to win, and branch growth goals. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 8 of 23 The Executive have then proposed an alternate goal for the membership’s consideration. Lastly, this section is capped off with a series of feedback questions for the membership, who are requested to submit their personal, and branch based, responses. These questions include, but are not limited to: Background assumptions: ● In this analysis, it has been assumed that within a state election it is better to target fewer seats, and thus run better resourced, more effective campaigns in those one or two ‘targeted’ seats. (And thus, run less well resourced campaigns in non-target seats, and not spread our resources too thinly). ○ Do you agree with this assumption? Why? / Why not? Mechanics of Targeting: ● What are the minimum expected resources you would expect from the central campaign team? ○ For both targeted and non-targeted seats? ○ Who should be responsible for these resources? Suggested Goals - Overarching: ● What do you think of the recommended overarching goals? ○ Do you agree with them? Why? / Why not? How would you alter or refine them? ● What do you think of the proposed alternate goals? ○ Do you agree with them? Why? / Why not? How would you alter or refine them? ● Which of the two goals above do you prefer? ○ Why? Would you refine them or propose an alternative? Suggested Goals - by Branch: ● What do you think of the suggested goals? ○ What are the positives and negatives about having these goals? ○ How would you alter / refine them? ○ How would you define any branch or base growth goals? ● Should the overarching goals suggested above be accepted, how would you factor in any support needed from you (or your group) to reach those goals, especially those goals considered a higher priority? ○ Would they take priority over your local primary or tertiary goals? Why? / Why not? Flexibility of Goals: ● Political campaigns must be flexible and dynamic, as we must always respond to our ever changing political environment. Thus, under what circumstances should we review or alter any of the above goals? Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 9 of 23 Campaign Strategies, Tactics and Methodology For the past decade the Australian Greens have become increasingly more focused on building personal relationships with voters, through one-on-one personal conversations through things like door knocking, phone calling and other tactics. This has been, to a certain extent, to replace media focused campaign methods, and has some reasonably positive results across the country. (Re-electing Adam Bandt in 2013 & 2016, re-electing Scott Ludlam in 2014, electing Sam Hibbins for Prahran Vic in 2014, electing Tamara Smith for Ballina NSW in 2015, and so on). However, this form of campaigning has received a small amount of critical feedback. The full discussion paper goes into this feedback in more depth, and then does a full cost benefit analysis of each of the following campaign methodologies including, referencing international best practices, relevant academic research and, of course, the results of our field campaign in the 2014 state election. Summary of Field, Community and Media Campaign Styles Goals Tactics Associa ted Data Driven Field Campaigning Community Visibility Campaigning Media and Communications Style Campaigning To change votes through personal interaction with voters, in a recorded methodical way. To change votes through visibly engaging with communities. To change votes through utilising paid, owned and earned media. ● ● ● ● Doorknocking Calling Voters Hosting Kitchen Table Conversations Running Data Parties ● ● ● ● Market Stalls Leafleting Meeting with Community Groups Putting up posters ● ● ● ● Sending out press releases Buying TV advertisements Sending letters directly to voters Using Social Media For more information on effective campaigning methods, please see appendices 2 and 3, for brief summaries of some of the relevant literature on how and why certain campaign methods work. The full discussion paper then makes key recommendations on what methodologies might be more effective for our current political circumstances, and reviews how this would impact key resourcing and strategic decisions. Lastly, the discussion paper seeks feedback on the above by asking these questions: ● Do you support the recommendation above? Why / why not? ○ If not, how would you refine / alter it? Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 10 of 23 ● ● Would you support trying to find methodical, recorded and personalised ways of changing votes, which are customised to your local area? Should the strategy recommended above be implemented, how would you prioritise the various tactics available to your campaign team? With what qualifiers? ○ Tactics may include: Calling Voters, Doorknocking, Hosting Kitchen Table Conversations, Leafleting, Market Stalls, Meeting with Community Groups, Newspaper Advertisements, Putting up posters, Radio Commercials, Running Data Parties, Sending letters directly to voters, Sending out press releases, Television Commercials, Using Social Media, etc. Budget and Resourcing The full strategy discussion paper reviews the previous state election campaigns income and expenditure, presenting them on pie charts. It does not review the 2016 campaign budget as it was a very campaign different in a number of ways: ● It required a polling day effort, which we are not allowed to do in Tasmanian State Elections ● It was an extremely different time table, a few weeks compared to nearly a year. ● It had very different campaign method and goals due to the different time frame: ○ high impact visibility compared to main vote, compared to ○ personalised voter interactions to win new votes. The full discussion paper then describes a few notable elements of this budget. Namely, the distribution of resources and funding, compared to the stated strategy, the amounts allocated to support staff, candidates and volunteers., the amount of money allocated to messaging research, and the amount of money allocated to fundraising. In the full discussion paper, we can then read three key recommendations, each with an explanation as to why they are being made. Finally, the following questions are posed to seek member feedback: ● Would you support key recommendation one? ○ If not, how would you alter / refine it? ○ If so, under what circumstances should the campaign budget deviate from the member endorsed strategy? ● How would you prioritise the suggested budget lines noted above, and any expenses which you would normally expect to have on an election campaign into three categories: 1. Core (Top priority - nothing should come before this) 2. Key (Very important - we should always aim to include this) 3. Complementary (Extremely helpful - we want this but it will not undermine our campaign strategy if we do not have it). ● Would you support key recommendation two? ○ If not, how would you alter / refine it? ● Would you support key recommendation three? ○ If not, how would you alter / refine it? Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 11 of 23 Key Campaign Issues In this section of the discussion paper, we talk about the importance of messaging and how we want different people to react differently depending on which audience they belong to. This is a hard balance to find as it requires either guess work or expensive communications research. However, we can start finding which issues and framing inspire our volunteers, and fortify our base - with your help. We then present a table which outlines issues we may want to talk about in the upcoming campaign, they include: ● Climate Change / Global Warming ● Crown land grabs ● Development and Planning ● Fish Farming ● Forestry ● Jobs ● Pokies Reform ● Political Transparency & Accessibility ● Tourism ● Education & Early Years ● Health This table then provides a brief summary of the issues, and a range of suggested ways we as a political party could ‘frame’ them. That is, describe this issue as being an example of a broader goal, idea or concern. Then, this sections seeks member feedback by asking: ● Did we miss any key issues? (How could we frame them?) ● Which issues do you find motivating? (Which ones would make you want to get up in the morning and volunteer with us?) ○ Will those issues directly impact your undecided neighbours / friends / colleagues / in-laws vote? Why / Why not? ○ Which framing of those issues do you prefer, and why? ● Of the framings prefered, do any ‘themes’ emerge? Eg. Transparent and Accountable Government, Cronyism, Creating a Sustainable Economy, etc. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 12 of 23 Roles of Branches and Central Campaign Team One of the four pillars of the Tasmanian Greens is ‘Grassroots Democracy’. We are a grassroots political party. This means it is vital to understand and develop expectations of how the workload of running a political campaign is divided up between branches and local members and volunteers, and any ‘central’ campaign team. The following is a direct extract from the full discussion paper on this topic. Who is the ‘Central’ Campaign Team? Currently, when talking about the ‘central’ campaign team we are referring to: ● The Campaign Director ● The State Campaign Coordinator (a volunteer who is working near full time hours, on top of a full time job) ● One campaign coordinator from each branch (who you may know, and who is likely doing it on top of any local branch responsibilities, and their own family and work responsibilities) ● The State Party Convenor (a volunteer who is working near full time hours despite being in retirement) It is important to understand that the ‘central’ campaign team is not an all-powerful body with infinite resources. Rather, like every branch, we are working together, to the best of our abilities to support our local branches to run the best campaigns they can. The central team may evolve in the future to include other staff members, to provide more thorough support, but this will depend on how we decide to allocate resources. Division of Responsibilities It is envisaged that campaign responsibilities will be divided up accordingly: Top level Examples ‘Central’ Campaign Team Local Branches To support and coordinate the roll out of state wide campaign strategy across all electorates. To implement the campaign strategy within the electorate. ● Ensure data systems are in place and functioning well. ● Train key people in how to use data systems and support door knocking. ● To find, recruit and motivate local volunteers and supporters to do regular door knocks. ● To find, recruit and motivate local volunteers and supporters to do the requisite data entry to support those door knocks. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 13 of 23 Other Key Roles Branch Campaign Committee: While each branch may choose to organise their campaign differently, in general, the campaign committee are the people that the branch entrusts with the responsibility of the organisation and implementation of the campaign. These groups can meet as frequently, or infrequently, as they choose. However it is recommended they meet fortnightly once a candidate is preselected, and potentially more frequently as the campaign progresses. Please note that in general it has been found that the optimum number of people in this group is between 3 and 5. This is because the smaller the group, the easier it is to make quick decisions which is a necessary part of any dynamic, responsive campaign. Branch Campaign Coordinator: The campaign coordinator is one of the most important roles in this campaign. They may or may not also be the campaign manager. This is up to the campaign committee. Their key role is to ensure the seamless communication between the three groups they interact with on a regular basis: 1. SECC - the State Election Campaign Committee 2. The Branch Campaign Committee 3. The Branch Membership While this role does not require that the person take on other direct responsibilities, the task of ensuring seamless communication requires proactive and deliberate relationship building and a high commitment to attending as many of the relevant group meetings as feasibly possible. Feedback Questions ● ● Is this a helpful way of understanding how local campaigns and any ‘central’ team can work together? Would you endorse the above division of campaign roles and responsibilities? If not, how would to alter it? Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 14 of 23 Campaign Phases & Timeline In this section of the full discussion paper, a set of campaign phases, including dates, names and primary goals are recommended. These phases would be called: 1. Nail the basics 2. Build the base 3. Engage with our community 4. Change votes 5. Celebrate, commiserate, evaluate Campaign phases give us and the volunteers we work with a quick and easy way to understand the primary goals of our work at any given time. They help us to pace our work and give us an opportunity to evaluate and celebrate our work at each milestone. It should be noted that these phases do not dictate our work, but rather direct it. For instance, any good branch should be regularly engaging with their community, it should not be limited to this small time frame during a campaign. However, by naming a time period as “Engage with our Community” within our campaign, it will make it easier to direct all potential volunteer energy to that work in that critical time period. The following questions are then asked: ● Would breaking up an election campaign into such phases help to pace work and create focus for your campaign team? ● Do these phases roughly reflect the key things we should be doing across the campaign? ● Are the names of the phases reflective of the goals? Would alternative names be prefered? How to Submit Feedback Feedback, that includes responses to any or all of the questions below, from any individual or group within the Tasmanian Greens can be submitted via email. It is requested that: ● All branches submit written feedback ● All MPs and Local Councillors submit written feedback (either as a group or individually) All other groups and individuals are strongly and enthusiastically encouraged to provide feedback in a way which suits them, whether written, oral in person, via skype or phone meeting etc. Please contact Josephine, our Campaign Director, on [email protected] or 0415 689 783 to organise this. Text messages prefered. Feedback can be submitted to: [email protected] Feedback is due by Monday May 29th. Please note, submissions need not be anything other than a few dot points. The most important thing is your voice is heard. (Not whether the document could win an essay writing competition). Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 15 of 23 References ALP (2016) “Victorian ALP 2014 Victorian State Election Review”, as found at: https://www.viclabor.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Review.pdf, accessed April 2017. Arceneaux, Kevin & Nickerson, David 2010, “Comparing Negative and Positive Campaign Messages”, American Politics Research, Vol.38 (1), pp.54-83 [Peer Reviewed Journal] Blodgett, J and Lofy, B (2008) “Winning Your Election The Wellstone Way”, University of Minnesota Press: Minnesota, as found at: http://www.wellstone.org/resources/winning-your-election-wellstone-way accessed April 2017 Han, Hahrie & Mckenna, Elizabeth (2016) “The Untilled Field of Field Campaigns”, Perspectives on Politics, Vol.14(3), pp.750-757 [Peer Reviewed Journal] Liberal Party (2015) “Victorian Liberal Party 2014 State Election review”, as found at: http://australianpolitics.com/2015/11/04/liberal-party-review-2014-state-election.html, accessed April 2017 McGowan (2015) “Indi Report - Kitchen Table Conversations 2015”, as found at: https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/v4i/pages/1409/attachments/original/1438577295/KTC_Re port_2015.pdf?1438577295, accessed April 2017 Stickels, Luke (2014) “Tas Greens 2013-14 State Election Field Campaign Report”, as found at: https://members.greens.org.au/system/files/Tas%20Greens%202013-14%20State%20Election%2 0Field%20Campaign%20Report%20MERGED_1.pdf accessed April 2017 Wellstone (2017) “Rules and Tips for Creating and Managing Your Campaign Budget”, as found at: http://www.wellstone.org/resources/rules-and-tips-creating-and-managing-your-campaign-budget accessed April 2017 Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 16 of 23 Appendix 1: Details on Consultation and Strategy Development Process. Step 1: Consult with as many highly involved members as possible. Over 60 one on one meetings have been held by the campaign director, to understand the state of play within each electorate and the campaign as a whole. The people consulted include: ● Executive Members ● All Branch Convenors ● All Branch Campaign Coordinators ● 3-5 branch members as nominated by the Convenors and Campaign Coordinators ● All current Tasmanian Members of State and Federal Parliaments ● All previous Party Leaders ● Some previous Members of Parliament ● Some parliamentary staff ● As many Local Councillors as possible ● Other staff member ● Some Staff of the Australian Greens Please note some nominated people were unfortunately unable to be met with due to a number of factors, namely time constraints, pragmatics of travel, lack of availability and misadventure. Moreover – in this volunteer lead organisation – every member and supporter is key, and your participation is highly valued. (This means I’m very sorry I couldn’t meet with you and I can’t wait to hear your thoughts). Step 2: Develop strategy discussion paper, based on these initial conversations and the research available. The discussion paper, designed to facilitate deep and constructive conversations about our upcoming campaign’s strategy, is what you are currently reading. Step 3: Distribution of, and feedback on the discussion paper. One month has been dedicated to seeking feedback, both oral and written, on this discussion paper from all stakeholders. Feedback is not only welcomed, but actively sought from Branches, MPs offices, candidates, campaign coordinators, campaign committees, and any individual or group of member(s) who would like to constructively add to the strategy development process. All branch meetings within this one month time frame will be attended by someone (likely the State Campaign Director, State Campaign Coordinator, State Convenor or similar) to receive feedback in person. They will also be available to have telephone and in person meetings where appropriate. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 17 of 23 However, it is deeply encouraged that members and branches, where possible, submit written feedback. This is because written submissions can be easily referenced within our campaign strategy. Feedback can be submitted to: [email protected] A note on submissions: Submissions need not be anything other than a few dot points. The most important thing is your voice is heard. (Not whether the document could win an essay writing competition.) Step 4: Strategy Development & Approval Following the month long consultation period, the current plan is to amalgamate and review all feedback collected and use this to inform and develop the final campaign strategy. This will then be put to both the Executive and State Election Campaign Committee as soon as possible. Were there more time (for instance in Victoria they are currently doing an 8 month consultation process) this strategy would be put to the membership for direct feedback. Unfortunately we do not have this luxury. Thus, should you have dire concerns about any strategic trade offs that may be made in the final campaign strategy, please speak directly with your branch convenor or your state campaign committee coordinator, as they (through their memberships of the Executive or the State Election Campaign Committee respectively) will have the power to block consensus on any campaign strategy which does not manage the required strategic trade-offs effectively. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 18 of 23 Appendix 2: Changing Minds, Research on politics and implications for action This is a brief summary of research on how to change political opinions, together with pointers for further reading, as prepared by George Rosier, Academic and Greens Member, in September 2016. Drew Westen Psychologist at Amory University Westen conducted brain scans while people were given factual information that tended to undermine their political beliefs. What happened? The rational part of the brain shut down, so they could not process the information. The emotional part of the brain became very active, finding emotional arguments to support their original beliefs. Key messages: 1. You cannot win a political argument using facts and logic. The only way to even influence another person is to use an emotional hook (see “Public Narrative Theory” below). 2. Rational debate tends to reinforce pre-existing biases. Drew Westen (2008) The Political Brain Marshall Ganz Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University Ganz developed “Public Narrative Theory”. This is a formula for presenting political messages, used by Obama and others. Basically, it has three parts: 1. Story of self – a personal story with an emotional appeal which will lead to the message. 2. Story of us – what we can do about the issue if we act together. 3. Story of now – what each person must do now as a first step in dealing with the issue. Key Messages: 1. Structure your presentation or conversation using emotion as a hook and lay out a clear path for action. 2. Use the template for Public Narrative (story of self, story of us, story of now) in order to change minds. This can be used in speeches, written articles, performances, film or video or any form of presentation. Marshall Ganz. Various short papers available on line. See especially http://www.wholecommunities.org/pdf/Public%20Story%20Worksheet07Ganz.pdf Jonathan Haidt Stern School of Business, New York University Haidt makes two key contributions: Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 19 of 23 First, the brain has evolved for survival and the strongest reaction to any situation is based on instinct rather than reason. “Rational thinking” is then used to justify what has been instinctively decided. Rational thought does not generally guide action; it justifies actions or decisions already taken. Second, he researched the moral basis of political beliefs. His basic message is that progressives and conservatives think differently because their “moral compasses” are different. Progressives are guided by three basic moral “touchstones”: 1. Care/harm 2. Liberty/oppression 3. Fairness/cheating Conservatives are guided by the same three, but also by another three: 1. Loyalty/betrayal 2. Authority/subversion 3. Sanctity/degradation Generally progressives place less emphasis on the last three (will challenge authority if authority causes harm or oppression etc.). Conservatives are prepared to balance the first three against the last three. Thus they could accept doing harm to some if that reinforces authority; they might accept limits on liberty in order to preserve institutions they regard as sacred. Key messages: 1. Don’t rely on “rational argument” to change minds. 2. Understand and recognise patterns of moral thought to understand who you are dealing with and what they respond to. Jonathan Haidt (2012) The Righteous Mind. Pantheon Books (Random House) New York. See also his videos on TED and YouTube, especially http://www.ted.com/talks/jonathan_haidt_on_the_moral_mind?language=en Darren Schreiber Department of Politics, University of Exeter Schreiber and others have researched brain structures of people across the political spectrum. Key finding is that the amygdala, the part of the brain that manages the response to fear and risk, is generally larger in conservatives. This was found to correspond to an increased fear response when confronted with an unfamiliar concept, person or situation. Key message: Conservatives respond best to fear as a stimulus, and seek safety in familiarity. Darren Schreiber writes very technical academic papers, but his work was summarised neatly in several articles. See especially: http://www.livescience.com/27213-brain-scans-predict-political-party.html http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2013/02/brain-difference-democrats-republicans Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 20 of 23 Further Reading George Lakoff University of California, Berkley Lakoff is a linguist who explains the use of framing in political argument. EG: “tax relief” frames tax as a burden from which we need relief, whereas tax could be portrayed as a contribution we make to maintain and build a civilised, prosperous society. Lakoff has written many books and papers, but he is best known for “Don’t Think of an Elephant”. Anat Shenker-Osorio ASO Communications Shenker-Osorio is also a linguist, but her research has focussed on identifying words that resonate and are successful in conveying a message. She has identified ways of speaking about economics (especially inequality) and asylum seekers and refugees. See her book “Don’t Buy It”, or her short papers at: http://www.communitychange.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/CCC-Research-Brief.pdf http://nsp.ssi.org.au/images/Resources/Other/ASRC_Taking_Refuge_from_Our_Rhetoric.p df Frank Luntz Luntz Global Partners Luntz is a conservative political consultant who publishes the conservative communications manual “Words that Work” - worth reading to know how conservatives have learned to frame their appeal to voters. Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 21 of 23 Appendix 3: A Brief Literature Review of the Research examining the efficacy of Organising and Field Campaigning This is a brief literature review on the efficacy of community organising, and data-driven field campaigning, as prepared by Polly Morgan, Greens Member in April of 2017. Academic Research Hahrie Han University of California A political scientist, Hahrie Han’s research has examined three different models of engagement: Organising, Mobilising, and Lonewolf, and found that groups that use both organising and mobilising (and in particular use organising to then build capacity to mobilise) are more effective at transforming members and supporters motivations and capacities for taking action to achieve goals. Using such organising methods to build capacity for mobilisation was successfully used in the Obama campaign. Examples of her research include: Hahn, Hahrie (2014) “How Organizations Develop Activists”, Oxford University Press, New York McKenna, E & Han, H (2015) “Groundbreakers: how Obama's 2.2 million volunteers transformed campaigning in America” Oxford University Press, New York Han, Hahrie & Mckenna, Elizabeth (2016) “The Untilled Field of Field Campaigns”, Perspectives on Politics, Vol.14(3), pp.750-757 More can be found at: http://www.hahriehan.com Edward Deci & Richard Ryan University of Rochester Deci and Ryan are best known for their work on the Self-Determination Theory of Motivation. This is where autonomy, competence and relatedness seen as three innate psychological needs in someone’s motivation. They argue people are best motivated when they can make some autonomous decisions or make choices over ways to achieve specific goals, when they develop the skills need to meet these goals, and when they are related and connected to other people (such as supporting each other as part of a team, or when their actions/goals are helping other people). Examples of their research includes: Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 22 of 23 Deci, E. L., & Ryan, R. M. (1985). Intrinsic motivation and self-determination in human behavior. New York, NY: Plenum. Deci, E. L., & Ryan, R. M. (2000). The “what” and “why” of goal pursuits: Human needs and the self-determination of behavior. Psychological Inquiry, 11, 227-268. Ryan, R. M., & Deci, E. L. (2000). Self-determination theory and the facilitation of intrinsic motivation, social development, and well-being. American Psychologist, 55, 68-78. A good summary of motivation and Self-Determination Theory can be found in Dan Pink’s 2010 TED talk, Drive: The surprising truth about what motivates us. This can be accessed at: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u6XAPnuFjJc Papers from other Political Parties Both the Australian Labor Party and Liberal Party are shifting towards field campaigning and data drive canvassing of voters. Below are a few of the documents outlining their rationales for doing so, and the impact of their work. 1. Victorian ALP 2014 Victorian State Election Review: In Victoria, the ALP believes their localised field campaign was pivotal in them winning several marginal outer-suburban “sandbelt” seats in Melbourne, and thus government in 2014 Full review here: https://www.viclabor.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Review.pdf 2. Victorian Liberal Party 2014 State Election review: The Victorian Liberal party also believes the ALP field campaign took seats from them, and they recommended using data driven field campaigning data collection via canvassing of voters and setting up a “community campaign network” (i.e. field campaigning) Full review here: http://australianpolitics.com/2015/11/04/liberal-party-review-2014-state-election.html 3. ACT Labor field campaign in 2016: The ACT Labor Party also believes their field campaign enabled them to win in the ACT in 2016. Reference to the ALP field campaign here: http://www.canberratimes.com.au/act-news/act-election-2016/inside-the-field-campa ign-that-turned-labors-fortunes-around-20161020-gs7eus.html Summary Strategy Discussion Paper 23 of 23
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