e x e c u t i v e f o r u m Micro Strategies The Key to Successful Planning in Uncertain Times Dave Logan and Halee Fischer-Wright I n the research for our recent book (Tribal Leadership, written with our coauthor John King), we collected data on 24,000 people over almost a decade. We heard many successful leaders describe their approach to setting strategies as “ad hoc,” and make comments such as: “we were flying by the seat of our pants,” “we didn’t know what we were doing,” and “we were following our instincts.” What we discovered in looking at all these cases is that these leaders were actually making plans that focused on specific outcomes with very narrow time horizons (often 90 days or less). They were moving from one short-term objective to another using what we came to call micro strategies. Despite their misgivings about the ad hoc nature of their planning, the individuals who used the micro strategy process were remarkably successful. And when they noticed that they were using a rational process, they often became more confident leaders. Further, when we taught this process to others, many of them were able to set and implement strategies to accomplish important goals, even in industries with rapid change or high degrees of ambiguity. Micro strategies allow leaders to course-correct their way in pursuit of a longer-term strategy, such as a company’s five-year strategic plan. In this article, we describe the micro strategy process, using crowdSPRING as a case study. The company runs a Web site that allows buyers seeking creative talent, such as graphic designers, to put out bids for projects. On January 5, 2009, Wired officially declared crowdSPRING the winner of the 2008 Small Business Competition. It also won the 2008 “overall audience choice” for best new company at the “Under the Radar” conference in Mountain View, California; the Newcomer Award from the Illinois Technology Association for best new start-up in 2009; and was named a finalist in the 13th Annual Webby Awards for “Community.” The Process The microstrategy approach is closely aligned with the way military strategists have been trained for hundreds of years—see, for example, the classic On War by von Clausewitz—a fact that made leaders more confident in the approach. (We’re indebted to our colleague John King for reformulating military strategy in business terms.) fall 2009 45 roughly takes the following course (summarized in Figure 1): The individuals who used 1. Leaders ask: What do we value? Answering this question can require deep reflection and clear thinking. the micro strategy process 2. Leaders ask: What do we want? They work until the answer is specific, with a due date, making sure that the goals are specific extensions of their values. This discussion results in defining the outcomes. were remarkably successful. A strategy, in the model we synthesized from our observations and military science, is a plan that answers three questions: “What do we want?” (resulting in outcomes), “What do we have?” (resulting in assets), and “What will we do?” (resulting in actions). A workable strategy, we argue in Tribal Leadership, is one in which each area—outcomes, assets, and actions—has sufficient support in the other two. The process of answering these three strategic questions 3. Leaders ask: What do we have? Here, they pool the collective wisdom of everyone involved to make a long list, resulting in their inventory of assets. As a habit, leaders and strategists add to their assets on a regular basis. 4. Leaders ask: Do we have enough assets for the outcomes? 5. If the answer is no, the leaders adjust the outcomes or develop an interim strategy to build the assets they need, or both. 6. If the answer is yes, they ask: What will we do? The result is a list of actions. Figure 1. S trategy M odel . 46 leader to leader 7. Leaders ask: Will the actions accomplish the outcomes? 8. If the answer is no, they add more actions, paying special attention to how assets can be translated into actions. We’re often asked how this model accounts for competitive advantage and other aspects of applied economics. The answer is that if the people engaged in setting a strategy (on our model) are knowledgeable of the competitive landscape, the answers they provide to the questions in steps 4 and 7 will take that knowledge into account. As the economic situation has changed over the last few months, uncertainty increased, resources decreased, and the need for innovation kept rising. As we observed what successful leaders were doing, we saw an important change: the time frame of successful strategies (as defined by outcomes-assets-actions) decreased, from months to weeks, and even to days. In work Dave Logan and Steve Zaffron later published as The Three Laws of Performance, we noted that people who were adept at using micro strategies developed a different view of themselves, their business, and entire industries. They saw that almost any situation was malleable, that opportunity was everywhere, and that they were prepared to make something important happen. In short, repeated use of micro strategies made leaders more confident and compelling, in stark contrast to many other leaders who froze in uncertainty as the economy changed. The time frame of successful strategies is decreasing. crowdSPRING demonstrates this process and the benefits of micro strategies almost perfectly, although, like many in our study, its leaders followed the method intuitively. The Birth of crowdSPRING Ross Kimbarovsky and Mike Samson, the co-founders of crowdSPRING, have been friends and collaborators since 1992. In 2006, Mike was seeking to acquire a video post-production firm in Chicago. His objective was to develop a method to outsource parts of the digital post-production process to India. In mid-2006, Ross observed that individuals and groups of nonprofessional designers throughout the world were creating designs that rivaled designs created by professionals. He shared this observation with Mike: “One group of student designers in Malaysia had an online competition for who could develop the best print ad. I compared the results to the best-designed professional print ads in the world, and couldn’t tell a difference.” Shortly afterward, Ross and Mike read the June 2006 Wired article by Jeff Howe, “Crowdsourcing,” which highlights cases in which “distributed labor networks are using the Internet to exploit the spare processing power of millions of human brains.” The two were interested in starting a venture that would somehow combine their unique backgrounds, love of technology, fascination with collaboration, Mike’s MBA, Ross’s experience with intellectual property, and their desire to be on the cutting edge. Their first steps were to talk with people in many types of industries that would benefit from connecting buyers to local design talent like that in Malaysia. The way they phrased their initial goal was to find some evidence that would disprove the viability of a company connecting buyers and creatives. The entrepreneurs focused their venture on bringing their core values to life. They identified a long list of these values to us, including transparency, community, innovation, creativity, and hard work. Businesses that didn’t involve these elements weren’t of interest to fall 2009 47 People adept at using micro strategies develop a different view of themselves, their business, and entire industries. them. Without thinking about it, the two moved in the direction of launching a cutting-edge business that would be molded by their values. In our observations, micro strategies grounded in people’s values generally lead to higher rates of motivation and a greater ability to work past obstacles. Although the two described their activity up to this point as just “kicking around the idea of starting a business,” they were following the strategy process. Their outcome was “to prove or disprove the viability of a company connecting buyers and creatives by late 2006.” Their assets were their knowledge (intellectual property law, collaboration methodology, creative services, outsourcing methodologies, the crowdsourcing model), experience (successful careers, early adopters of the Internet), networks of people, supportive families, a working relationship based on friendship, financial resources (albeit modest), passion, and energy. These assets were sufficient (in their view) to accomplish the outcome. Their actions were to talk the business idea through with people they knew, to explore existing sites such as guru.com and elance.com to examine similar business models, to start to construct a financial model of their own, and to evaluate whether that model was viable. In their minds, these actions were enough to get them to their outcome. 48 leader to leader Once the micro strategy was set—outcomes, assets, and actions all deemed sufficient—they moved into immediate execution of their action list. It was done within a few months. Overcoming Obstacles At this point, Mike and Ross hit an obstacle: they didn’t know enough about the community of designers to develop a business that they knew would be attractive to them. In terms of the strategy process, their outcome was “design a viable business model within two months.” But their assets were insufficient to get them what they wanted—specifically, they lacked knowledge about the psychology of the design community—so they launched what we call an “interim strategy.” It has the same anatomy as any other strategy, but its intent is to build the assets needed to accomplish the first strategy. To set an interim strategy, they had to define the interim outcome. It was: “to understand the psychology and pain points of designers by December 2006.” They had the same assets as in their first strategy, which were enough to move on to setting actions, which consisted of designing a survey, contacting designers they knew to fill it out, and to use their network to find more people to give them data. Their action list also included analyzing the survey data and collecting more anecdotal evidence about the design decision-making process. With the interim strategy ready for implementation (with sufficiency in outcomes, assets, and actions), the two created and sent a survey out to 200 people they knew or connected with in online forums. crowdSPRING received 130 completed surveys. Many of the respondents commented that no one had ever asked what the designers want, so, as Ross and Mike explained to us, people were eager to offer input and ideas. For the next several months, they continued to try to understand the psychology of designers. Creatives, they learned, wanted to compete head-on with peers they respect, to get quality feedback and sharpen their skills. They had now concluded the interim strategy and were back to the second strategy: “design a viable business model within two months.” (The first strategy—“to prove or disprove the viability of a company connecting buyers and creatives”—had been finished months earlier.) Also, they finished their interim strategy ahead of schedule, taking only a few weeks. The business model that gelled for the entrepreneurs was a network connecting designers and buyers focused on projects. In time, the model could grow to incorporate other creative products, such as copyrighting and video. Multiple Micro Strategies With a conceptual business model in place, Mike and Ross’s next goal was “a bulletproof investor pitch emphasizing financial projections.” Mike told us: “The half-joke was, we have to be able to prove to our wives that this new business is worth the opportunity cost and the risk” of walking away from two successful careers. The two again went through the strategy process: their outcome was “to prove to our wives the business is worth the risk by the end of 2006.” Their asset list included all those elements detailed earlier, including their new knowledge about designer psychology. The actions they listed included identifying about 15 people who ran businesses in different fields and asking them for feedback, reworking the financials based on what they said, and also asking for other recommendations about more people to speak with. Ross describes the next two months: “We had more and more of these meetings. We would go back and iterate, debate, change, get our heads slammed up against the wall again, and after several months, we were pretty comfortable that we had answered the tricky questions for ourselves, and for our potential investors.” Also, it’s important to note that Ross and Mike had set and were implementing three micro strategies at the same time. One was to “create a bulletproof investor pitch emphasizing financial projections.” The second was to create a management model based on these financial projections. The third was to satisfy their need for confidence—measured by convincing their spouses that the upside was worth the risk. Each had a due date that was only weeks or months away. One of the reasons the process felt “ad hoc” to Mike and Ross is that they didn’t think of these initiatives as separate strategies. Nor did they see that all these micro strategies served a larger strategy that was playing out over months: “Start a new business with a cutting-edge model that will allow us to work together on projects we love.” (They didn’t articulate this objective until months later, but when they did, both agreed it had been the goal.) As they designed the next micro strategy, their outcome wasn’t just to raise money ($3 million), but to build “a kitchen cabinet of engaged investors” (in their words), advising them on the direction of the business and offering ideas. They determined their assets were enough to get started but insufficient to raise their required amount of money. They thus launched two strategies at once—one to raise as much money as they could through their existing network, and also an interim strategy to increase their network. Mike and Ross made a list of people who, in their words, were smart and who would make good members of the cabinet. Virtually every investor asked some variant of “Why should I invest in you—what have you ever done?” Ironically, the experience that looked out of place in the technology field set these entrepreneurs apart. Mike answered that he had spent 20 years supporting the creative process and the collaborative nature of teamwork. Ross noted that, as an attorney, he had advised numerous technology start-ups and established companies around the world and had focused on intellectual property—and how to protect it—a core issue facing crowdSPRING designers and buyers. (In terms of micro strategies, the two had designed the business model with their unique assets in mind.) As they gained investors, they also asked for referrals to other individuals who would be good members of the kitchen cabinet. They completed both strategies with $3 million from 16 investors, converting about 50 percent of the people on the original list. Note again, the two followed the micro strategy model in its entirety. As they gained momentum, they were able to move on to bigger objectives faster. From the perspective of micro strategies, the reason is they were amassing more and more assets (including networks of people and fall 2009 49 knowledge), and becoming more nimble at leveraging these into actions. In the next few months, Mike and Ross had to halt some of their micro strategies when they hit an obstacle they didn’t anticipate, such as when they noted they didn’t understand enough about the psychology of creative talent. In each case, they developed an interim micro strategy that would get them back on track. We saw leaders do the same throughout our observations. Several of our clients pulled out a clean sheet of paper to figure out a new plan after 9/11, or in reaction to the seizing up of the credit markets in 2008. Within three months of its launch in May 2008, the crowdSPRING Web site had 7,000 total users. At the one year anniversary, the company has more than 25,000 registered creatives, more than 6,000 registered buyers, and 4,000 projects posted for which 300,000 submissions have been posted from more than 150 countries. Micro Strategy Best Practices As in the crowdSPRING case, behavior of strategists in uncertain times, although appearing disorganized, is easily explained by the micro strategy model. At any given moment, Mike and Ross were setting, implementing, modifying, and concluding several strategies at the same time. The case highlights several key actions that are not obvious to strategists but are essential for the micro strategy system: •• Define an outcome in measurable terms. Mike and Ross’s original outcome was to prove or disprove (to themselves) the viability of a business model; their judgment was thus the success indicator. Later, they sought to create a financial model that would be bulletproof for investors (meaning, investors would be persuaded of its value and thus invest); the influx of their required $3 million was the measurable indicator. Examples (from our research) of nonmeasurable outcomes include “improve sales by June” (no quantity) and “double net revenue on product X” (no due date). •• Ensure the outcome is a direct extension of the values of the people who will implement the plan. 50 leader to leader Without a strong connection to values, strategies often become “just another thing to do,” rather than a plan that captures what’s most important to the group. •• If the group doesn’t have the required assets for an outcome, launch an interim strategy. Many unsuccessful strategists we observed attempted to overcome an asset deficit by “rallying the troops” or working harder. Such approaches almost always fail. Mike and Ross, by contrast, created a new micro strategy to learn about the psychology and pain points of designers. Once they understood this population, their new knowledge asset allowed their original plan to move forward. •• Micro strategies work together in a system of superordinate and subordinate plans. Mike and Ross’s real goal was to create a company that would allow them to work together on projects they loved. Accomplishing this strategy took years. Instead of planning all the required steps in advance, they “micro strategized” their way to the original goal. Their approach allowed them to learn and adjust on the fly. •• Focus on building and leveraging assets. Mike and Ross do not fit the profile of twenty-something Stanford-educated entrepreneurs who start most IT ventures. But instead of seeing their backgrounds as a hindrance, they focused on a business that their assets would allow them to launch and run. Further, they were relentless in their addition of assets, be they financial models, adding investors, adding knowledge, or reaching out to people who had contrary opinions. •• Before going forward with the micro strategy, make sure proposed actions are enough to produce the outcome. As is typical of many entrepreneurs, Mike and Ross were thinking of the actions as they were implementing them. It’s important to note, though, that they stopped and asked the question about whether they had the means to accomplish what they had in mind. Unsuccessful strategists (in our studies) said they believed hard work and diligence would make up for any lack of assets. Mike and Ross made sure they had enough before allowing their enthusiasm to carry them away. •• Once a micro strategy is ready, focus on actions and also on signs that the strategy might fail. Toward the end of the Web development process, Ross and Mike knew their plan wasn’t working. Instead of giving each other pep talks or simply working harder, they confronted the situation as it was. •• Build an executive group with people who have successfully executed micro strategies in the past. Implicit in this story is the way the two worked with people who shared their optimism and sense of audacity. Those who were frightened by the market, put off by the lack of security in a start-up, or needed certainty about what they’d be doing six months from now didn’t make it. The team has to share the view that business is malleable, and that they are well suited to accomplish goals others thought of as impossible. This confidence comes from having successfully implemented micro strategies before. Using Micro Strategies to find Success One way to build confidence in the approach is to notice that when people have been successful, they were following the model and adhering to the mindset, often intuitively. When Mike and Ross saw that their story conformed to a best practice, they were both surprised and delighted. “Surprised” because it felt ad hoc. “Delighted” because they could use the method to continue the momentum and multiply their successes. We believe micro strategies can help leaders at all levels, and in all situations, to find success when more conventional, long-term approaches don’t work. Dave Logan is co-founder and senior partner at CultureSync (www.culturesync.net), a management consulting firm specializing in delivering performance by aligning strategy and culture. He is author or coauthor of five books, including the best-selling “The Three Laws of Performance: Rewriting the Future of Your Organization and Your Life.” Logan is also on the faculty of the Marshall School of Business at the University of Southern California, and is a former associate dean. He holds a Ph.D. in organizational communication from the Annenberg School at USC. fall 2009 51 Halee Fischer-Wright is a partner of CultureSync (www.culturesync.net). Prior to joining the firm in 2005, she spent 10 years as an owner, manager, and physician in private practice. She has served on several executive hospital boards and is currently president of a 400-physician group in Denver. She holds an M.D. from the University of Colorado, a master’s of medical management from USC, and a certificate in executive leadership coaching from Georgetown University. This article is adapted from “Tribal Leadership: Leveraging Natural Groups to Build a Thriving Organization” by Dave Logan, John King, and Halee Fischer-Wright. 52 leader to leader
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