1 Resolving patterns of population genetic and phylogeographic structure to 2 inform control and eradication initiatives for brown rats (Rattus norvegicus) on 3 South Georgia. 4 5 Stuart B Piertney1*, Andy Black2, Laura Watt1, Darren Christie2, Sally Poncet2, Martin 6 A Collins2 7 8 1Institute 9 Building, Tillydrone Avenue, Aberdeen AB24 2TZ, UK of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Zoology 10 11 2Government 12 Stanley Falkland Islands of South Georgia & South Sandwich Islands Government House 13 14 *Corresponding author 15 Stuart Piertney, School of Biological Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen 16 AB24 2TZ, UK 17 18 Tel: 01224 272864 19 Fax: 01224 272396 20 Email [email protected] 21 22 23 Running title: Rat eradication units on South Georgia 24 25 Summary 1. The control and eradication of invasive species is a common management 26 strategy to protect or restore native biodiversity. On South Georgia in the 27 Southern Ocean, the brown rat Rattus norvegicus was brought onto the island 28 with the onset of whaling and sealing activity in the 1800s, and has had a 29 significant detrimental impact on key bird species of conservation concern. 30 Efforts to eradicate rats from South Georgia using poisoned bait are ongoing. 31 2. Despite the South Georgia rat eradication programme being the 32 geographically largest and most ambitious eradication initiative to date, its 33 success is facilitated by the potential that rat populations are effectively 34 isolated by glacial barriers. This allows for localized eradication effort at 35 manageable scales, leading to sequential eradication of individual populations 36 with minimal risk of incursion from neighbouring areas. 37 3. Here we use the levels of population genetic divergence estimated from 299 38 single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) loci and DNA sequence variation 39 across 993 base pairs of the mitochondrial DNA cytochrome B locus to 40 examine whether rat populations from nine glacially isolated areas on South 41 Georgia are genetically distinct and so can be treated as independent 42 eradication units. 43 4. Bayesian clustering of individuals based on SNP similarity identified seven 44 different genetic groups, which were confirmed using analyses based on 45 pairwise genetic distance estimates and ordination of individuals using 46 principal coordinate analysis. From a management perspective, these seven 47 groups represent individual targets in baiting operations. 48 5. Two mtDNA haplotypes were resolved across South Georgia, with a distinct 49 geographic separation between the north-western and south-eastern 50 populations. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) was used to identify 51 that this divergence was a consequence of two separate historical 52 colonization events. 53 6. Synthesis and applications. We illustrate that molecular markers are a 54 valuable tool in species management and pest eradication given that the 55 spatial distribution of genetic diversity can: i) identify demographically and 56 genetically independent populations on which local eradication effort can be 57 focussed; ii) distinguish between incomplete eradication and immigration in 58 situations where individuals remain after eradication has been attempted and 59 iii) identify the source of migrants when dispersal occurs over large spatial 60 scales. 61 62 Introduction 63 The spread of invasive alien species represents the most insidious threat to the long- 64 term persistence of native biodiversity (Genovesi 2009; Mack et al. 2000; Veitch et 65 al. 2011; Vitousek et al. 1996). Mitigating the effects of alien species through active 66 control or eradication has long been considered an absolute priority in management 67 and conservation (Genovesi 2011). There is a large and growing list of successful 68 eradication initiatives targeting different pest species (Genovesi & Carnevali 2011; 69 Keitt et al. 2011) that have resulted in dramatic positive responses of resident 70 populations of native species and recolonization by species that had been extirpated 71 (Bellingham et al. 2010; Howald et al. 2010). However, because of the perception 72 that large-scale eradication programmes are prohibitively expensive, logistically 73 difficult to undertake and carry too high a risk of failure (Howald et al. 2007), most 74 eradication initiatives have targeted small island populations where eradication 75 efforts can be focussed (Cruz et al. 2009; Genovesi 2011; Howald et al. 2010). 76 There remain very few attempts at population eradication over broader geographic 77 areas (Fraser et al. 2013; Genovesi 2005; Howald et al. 2007; McClelland 2011). 78 Over larger scales, effective species management and eradication programmes 79 must make sufficient recourse to the patterns of population structure and dispersal to 80 ensure that local eradication efforts are not swamped by larger-scale population 81 processes. For successful eradication, the target populations must be clearly 82 delimited with no potential for re-establishment through recolonization (Myers et al. 83 2000). Population genetic analysis of the spatial distribution of intra-specific genetic 84 variation is an extremely powerful approach for identifying population structure and 85 defining management and conservation units (Fewster et al. 2011). Demographically 86 independent population units can be inferred from high levels of population 87 differentiation, with subsequent eradication effort focussed on populations with no 88 potential for immigration. Conversely, populations that are exchanging individuals via 89 dispersal will have similar allele frequencies and thus low genetic divergence, and 90 must be treated with a combined target for eradication. Moreover, the diagnostic 91 genetic signatures associated with distinct populations can be used to assign 92 individuals to their source population and, as such, to identify the provenance of any 93 migrants and the associated dispersal propensity for a given population. 94 95 Here we demonstrate the utility of molecular genetic markers for defining populations 96 as eradication units for the brown rat Rattus norvegicus on the sub-Antarctic island 97 of South Georgia (54°S 37°W) in the Southern Ocean. Rats were unintentionally 98 introduced to South Georgia in the early 1800s with the onset of land-based sealing 99 and whaling activities on the island, and have subsequently colonized approximately 100 two-thirds of South Georgia’s coastal habitat, primarily on the north-east side of the 101 island. As is the case with invasive rats on many islands (Towns et al. 2006) they 102 have had a significant impact on species of conservation importance, including the 103 South Georgia pipit Anthus antarcticus, the South Georgia pintail Anas georgica, 104 common diving-petrel Pelecanoides urinatrix, Antarctic prion Pachyptila desolata and 105 blue petrel Halobaena caerulea (Pye & Bonner 1980), as well as the South Georgia 106 diving petrel Pelecanoides georgicus, black-bellied storm-petrel Fregetta tropica, 107 grey-backed storm-petrel Garrodia nereus and Wilson’s storm-petrel Oceanites 108 oceanicus. There are ongoing initiatives to eradicate rats from South Georgia 109 through the use of poisoned bait dropped from helicopters. Effort has been 110 organized around three main phases of activity: the first was a geographically 111 restricted initial trial centred around the Greene and Thatcher Peninsulas in March 112 2011, the second covered the western half of the island in 2013, and the third 113 covered the south-eastern portion of the island in early 2015. Combined, these three 114 episodes covered the entire area over which rats had colonized and represent the 115 geographically single largest invasive species eradication initiative yet attempted. 116 The likelihood of overall success was considered enhanced because the rat-infested 117 areas are potentially individually isolated coastal units, separated by glaciers, 118 permanent snowfields and large bays. Targeted eradication in one area would 119 therefore not be subsequently negated by recolonization from a neighbouring region, 120 and as such the island could become rat free by sequential local eradication effort. 121 This assumption that glaciers operate as barriers in preventing dispersal of rats 122 between areas has previously been confirmed from significant levels of genetic 123 divergence at microsatellite DNA polymorphisms between two adjacent, but glacially 124 isolated rat populations on the Greene and Thatcher peninsulas (Robertson & 125 Gemmell 2004), which were the targets in the initial trial phase of the eradication 126 initiative. 127 128 Here we extend this initial proof-of-concept study of Robertson & Gemmell (2004) to 129 cover most of the rat-infested area of South Georgia, and expand from a relatively 130 small number of microsatellite loci to a broad suite of single nucleotide 131 polymorphisms (SNPs) from across the rat genome that provide greater resolving 132 power for delimiting populations. Rat samples from nine different putatively glacially 133 isolated regions were genotyped, from which the levels of genetic differentiation and 134 demographic isolation can be assessed. Two geographically separate samples were 135 analysed from one of these glacially isolated regions to assess any extent of genetic 136 structure in the absence of glacial barriers. We test the hypothesis that rats from 137 each of the glacially isolated regions form genetically and demographically distinct 138 populations. If this is confirmed, then areas can be considered to be effectively 139 isolated and therefore, may be suitable targets for eradication with little or no risk of 140 re-invasion. Moreover, the geographic source of any individuals found following 141 eradication efforts can be identified as being survivors of initial eradication efforts in 142 that area, or immigrants from a different population. 143 144 We resolve the geographical patterns of genetic structure using various approaches 145 including pairwise comparison of genetic divergence between a priori defined 146 populations, and the non-a priori assignment of individuals to one of a statistically 147 inferred optimal number of genetic clusters. We also utilize approximate Bayesian 148 computation (ABC; reviewed in Bertorelle et al. 2010) approaches to test competing 149 demographic and biogeographic scenarios about the invasion of South Georgia and 150 subsequent spread and admixture of individuals that best explain the spatial 151 distribution of genetic diversity across the island. 152 153 In parallel to analyses based on SNP loci, we also resolve the patterns of 154 phylogeographic structure of the rat populations across South Georgia from 155 mitochondrial DNA sequence variation. Given the initial colonization of the island by 156 rats occurred approximately 250 years ago, any discontinuities in a phylogeographic 157 topology must reflect input from different source populations rather than accumulated 158 differences caused by mutation. As such, combined information from both nuclear 159 and mitochondrial markers can provide insights into the invasion history of the island 160 and the long-term patterns of population expansion and movement following initial 161 invasion that can inform effective species management. 162 163 Materials and methods 164 165 Sampling and DNA extraction 166 167 Tissue samples were obtained from a total of 349 individuals from across 10 putative 168 populations (Table 1; Figure 1). The samples were taken before the onset of any 169 eradication efforts, in the Austral summers of 2010–2011 (Greene, Maiviken and 170 Grytviken) and 2011–12012 (all other populations). Nine of the populations are 171 effectively geographically isolated by surrounding glaciers, permanent snowfields or 172 large stretches of water. The Maiviken and Grytviken populations represent samples 173 from two different locations on the same peninsula and are used to gauge genetic 174 differentiation caused by geographical separation but in the absence of glacial 175 barriers to gene flow. All samples were 3-mm tail-snips preserved in >90% ethanol 176 and taken from animals snap-trapped in situ. 177 178 DNA was extracted from tissue samples using Qiagen DNeasy Blood and Tissue 179 Extraction Kit according to the manufacturer’s instructions. 180 181 SNP genotyping 182 183 Individuals were genotyped at 299 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) by 184 KBiosciences Ltd, using their KASPar technology. The SNPs examined were a 185 subset of those described in Nijman et al. (2008) and were chosen to be as equally 186 spread across the autosomes as possible (average interval distance between 187 markers of 7.5Mb) and be polymorphic between the Wistar race and wild-caught 188 samples from the Netherlands (see http://cascad.niob.knaw.nl/snpview). The list of 189 markers used is provided in Appendix S1 in Supporting Information. 190 191 The programme FSTAT 2.9.3.2 (Goudet 1995; 2002) was used to calculate: i) allele 192 frequencies per population; ii) deviation from Hardy-Weinberg expectations by 193 calculating whether FIS differs from zero by randomizing alleles within populations 194 and enforcing a strict Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold to account for 195 multiple tests; iii) pairwise genetic differentiation between populations using FST with 196 significance tested by randomizing multi-locus genotypes between each population 197 pair (1100 permutations) and incorporating a strict Bonferroni correction. 198 199 Bayesian inference of genetic structure among samples was performed using 200 Structure 2.3.3 (Pritchard et al. 2000). Individual membership coefficients for K 201 genetic clusters were inferred using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach 202 with 200 000 burn-in iterations and 100 000 MCMC iterations. Simulations were 203 performed using the standard admixture ancestry model with correlated allele 204 frequencies. The simulated number of clusters ranged from K = 2 to K = 10, and 205 simulations for each K were run 20 times. Structure harvester v 0.6.7 (Earl 2011) 206 was used to collate the results and infer the statistically best-supported K using both 207 the maximum-likelihood method of Pritchard et al. (2000) and the ∆K approach of 208 Evanno et al. (2005). Replicate runs for each K were aligned and averaged using 209 Clumpp v1.1.2 (Jakobsson & Rosenberg 2007), and the resulting membership 210 coefficient matrix for each K was visualized using Distruct 1.1 (Rosenberg 2004). 211 The relationships among individuals and populations were visualized using a 212 principle component analysis approach using the SNPRelate package (Zheng et al. 213 2012) for R (R Core Team, 2013). 214 To evaluate between different ecological scenarios that could explain the observed 215 spatial distribution of the SNP genetic diversity across South Georgia, we utilized an 216 approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) based approach using DIYABC v2.0 217 (Cornuet et al. 2008; 2014). ABC compares between the observed data set and 218 multiple simulated data sets generated under different hypothetical scenarios of 219 population history and ancestry in a multidimensional space of summary statistics 220 (Bertorelle et al. 2010). Those simulated data sets that are closest to the empirical 221 data set are then used for posterior probability estimation of the scenarios and 222 associated parameters to identify the most realistic scenario. The different 223 hypotheses that were examined reflected alternative explanations for the patterns of 224 genetic structure resolved using STRUCTURE and FST-based approaches, and are 225 described in full in the results. Details of input parameters for the DIYABC analysis 226 are provided in Appendix S2. 227 228 Mitochondrial DNA sequencing 229 230 A 993 base pair (bp) fragment of the rat mitochondrial DNA cytochrome B gene was 231 PCR-amplified in 16 individuals from each of the ten putative populations using the 232 primers H15915 5’-TCTCCATTTCTGGTTTACAAGAC-3’ and L14723 5’- 233 ACCAATGACATGAAAAATCATCGTT-3’ (Pages et al. 2010). PCR reactions were 234 performed according to Piertney et al. (2005) with products purified using the 235 QIAquick PCR Purification Kit according to the manufacturer’s instructions. DNA 236 sequencing was undertaken by Eurofins MWG using the same primers as used in 237 PCR. Electropherograms were confirmed by eye and aligned in MEGA5. Basic Local 238 Alignment Search Tool (BLAST) analysis was used to confirm the homology of 239 sequences to the R. norvegicus mitochondrial cytochrome B. 240 241 Results 242 243 244 SNP genotyping 245 All individuals returned unambiguous genotypes for each of the 299 SNP markers. A 246 total of 238 of these markers were polymorphic across South Georgia. Levels of 247 diversity were variable across the populations (Table 1) with observed 248 heterozygosity ranging from 0.097 (Salisbury) to 0.244 (Grytviken) and proportion of 249 polymorphic loci at the 99% level ranging from 0.321 (Right Whale) to 0.662 (Barff). 250 No measure of genetic diversity was significantly positively correlated with sample 251 size, inferring that differences among populations reflect actual natural variance and 252 are not an artefact of the sampling. Three of the populations (Barff, Busen and 253 Greene) showed a significant deviation from Hardy-Weinberg expectations as a 254 consequence of a deficiency of heterozygote genotypes (Table 1). 255 There was a considerable level of population genetic structure among populations 256 (Table 2). Pairwise FST values ranged from 0.08 (Maiviken vs. Grytviken) to 0.59 257 (Maiviken vs. Salisbury). All pairwise comparisons between populations were 258 significantly greater than zero after sequential Bonferroni correction, except for: i) 259 Prince Olav vs. Salisbury populations and ii) Maiviken vs. Grytviken. 260 The pattern inferred from the FST analysis, which is based upon comparison among 261 individuals assigned a priori to populations, was echoed by analysis without any pre- 262 assignment of individuals to location. The optimal number of populations identified 263 from across the overall sample was k=7, and this was consistent irrespective of 264 whether the Evanno et al. (2005) or highest likelihood criteria was used. These 265 seven groups equated to the sampled populations except that individuals from 266 Prince Olav, Salisbury and Right Whale were combined as a single population, as 267 were individuals from Grytviken and Maiviken (Figure 2). 268 Ordination of individual genetic differences on a PCA plot again highlighted genetic 269 clusters among the populations (Figure 3). Four clearly demarcated groups of 270 individuals were resolved: i) Busen; ii) Blue Whale; iii) Prince Olav, Salisbury and 271 Right Whale and iv) Greene, Barff, Gold, Maiviken and Grytviken. The first two of 272 these groupings were consistent with population groupings resolved using 273 STRUCTURE and pairwise FST comparison. However, PCA did not identify Maiviken 274 plus Grytviken, Greene, Barff and Gold populations as separate entities. An 275 equivalent PCA analysis that just includes these five populations still does not yield 276 individual population grouping that mirror the k=7 groups (plot not shown). 277 278 Mitochondrial DNA sequencing 279 280 The 993 bp cytochrome B fragment was sequenced without any ambiguities for all of 281 the 160 individuals examined. A total of two haplotype sequences were resolved 282 across all individuals, defined by five variable nucleotide sites (positions 72, 301 and 283 775 were C to T transition mutations; position 619 was an A to T transversion 284 mutation; and position 937 was an A to G transition mutation). All 48 individuals 285 across the Prince Olav, Salisbury and Right Whale populations were fixed for one 286 haplotype, whereas all 112 individuals across all the other populations were fixed for 287 the other haplotype. As such, there was no sequence polymorphism within any 288 population. 289 290 Colonization scenario assessment using ABC 291 292 ABC was used to compare between scenarios of colonization of South Georgia with: 293 i) a single colonization of the island by an unsampled ancestral population with no 294 subsequent admixture but shared ancestral polymorphism among populations; ii) a 295 single colonization of the island with admixture among populations; iii) two 296 colonization events (consistent with the occurrence of the two mitochondrial DNA 297 haplotypes across the island) with admixture within each group to explain the k=7 298 distribution and iv) two colonization events with no admixture but shared ancestral 299 polymorphism for the k=7 distribution. The models involving a single colonization 300 performed poorly within the analysis, returning posterior probability distributions with 301 mode <0.3. The highest posterior probabilities were obtained for scenario iv that 302 included two colonization events and a lack of contemporary exchange across a 303 population structure that mimicked the k=7 suite of clusters identified by the 304 STRUCTURE analysis (P=0.68; 95% CI = 0.67–0.69). Model checking using six 305 summary statistics not used in model selection as test statistics was performed using 306 principle components analysis (PCA). The PCA ordination cloud derived from the 307 posterior predictive distribution was tightly clustered and well centred on the target 308 point corresponding to the real data set. This reaffirms that scenario iv is most 309 appropriate to explain our observed pattern of genetic diversity. 310 311 Discussion 312 313 314 Patterns of population genetic structure 315 The spatial distribution of genetic diversity across the 299 SNP markers examined 316 within this study indicates high levels of genetic differentiation among populations of 317 Rattus norvegicus on South Georgia. However, the underlying hypothesis that each 318 of the glacially isolated regions on the island would represent a genetically and 319 demographically independent unit was rejected, with putatively isolated populations 320 that are separated by glacial barriers showing a lack a genetic differentiation that 321 could only be explained by dispersal. 322 323 All of the different analyses used to identify genetic differentiation (based upon FST, 324 PCA and STRUCTURE-based assignment) found no genetic differences between 325 the Grytviken and Maiviken samples. This is expected given that these two sampling 326 locations are only 3-km apart on the same peninsula with no glacial barriers to gene 327 flow separating the two locations. Rat populations in mainland populations have 328 been shown to display genetic differentiation over scales of a few kilometres (e.g. 329 Calmet et al. 2001), so a lack of genetic structure between Maiviken and Grytviken 330 populations indicates dispersal of individuals in the absence of large-scale physical 331 barriers. 332 333 More difficult to reconcile is the lack of genetic differentiation between Prince Olav, 334 Salisbury and Right Whale samples. These are areas separated by glacial barriers 335 and as such are expected to show distinct genetic differentiation with no connectivity 336 through dispersal. Both STRUCTURE-based analysis and PCA identified these three 337 populations as a single genetic unit, and pairwise comparison of FST returned a non- 338 significant value for Prince Olav vs. Salisbury, and only marginally significant values 339 for comparison between Right Whale and Prince Olav or Salisbury. There are 340 several mechanisms through which dispersal could be facilitated among these 341 regions despite apparent barriers to dispersal. Firstly, there has been a documented 342 recession and thinning of almost all of South Georgia’s glaciers as a consequence of 343 global warming (Gordon & Timmis 1992; see also Cook et al. 2010). Within the last 344 50 years, the Morris Glacier that separates Salisbury and Prince Olav has retreated 345 to the extent that there is now a large area of open moraine and beach across which 346 rats may pass. Similarly, the Brunonia glacier that is a putative barrier between Right 347 Whale and Salisbury has also retreated considerably. However, it is only within the 348 past five or so years that the foot of the glacier has hit bedrock that would form an 349 obvious corridor over which rats could move. This would suggest that genetic 350 similarity between Right Whale and Salisbury may have been mediated by longer- 351 term movement of rats crossing the fjord during winter. 352 353 The initial colonization of Prince Olav, Salisbury and Right Whale could have been 354 mediated by fur sealing activity. When fur sealing was at its peak in the early 1800s, 355 the 'mother ships' used Prince Olav as their home base, from where small sailing 356 vessels were dispatched, usually to the west end where the fur seals were most 357 abundant. These shallops, carrying men, stores, food and skins may also have 358 carried rats, thereby providing a dispersal route. Also, sailing ships were frequently 359 wrecked along the coastline of South Georgia, and particularly at the north-west end 360 of the island en route to and from the island’s main port in Prince Olav Harbour. This 361 in itself could facilitate movement of rats over large geographic distances crossing 362 glacial barriers to dispersal. However, whilst this may facilitate the initial colonization 363 of rats over large areas, it is unlikely to explain the current lack of genetic divergence 364 between these areas, as the time since this initial colonization is such that genetic 365 drift would be expected to generate significant genetic structure between effectively 366 isolated populations. 367 368 The other populations of rat on South Georgia (Gold, Barff, Greene, Busen and Blue 369 Whale) each showed significantly high levels of pairwise genetic divergence from 370 FST, and formed separate genetic units in a STRUCTURE analysis to indicate that 371 the samples represent genetically independent populations. That said, the PCA 372 analysis did overlay the Greene, Barff and Gold samples with the Grytviken and 373 Maiviken samples as a single cloud in ordination, indicating more genetic similarity. 374 This highlights a potential limitation of using patterns of population genetic structure 375 to infer dispersal following a relatively recent and small founder event: extant and 376 truly isolated populations can share sufficient ancestral polymorphism over local or 377 regional scales so that they do not appear as distinct. Approaches such as ABC offer 378 the capacity to tease apart the relative effects of contemporary dispersal from 379 ancestral polymorphism by examining whether the genetic data best fits a model with 380 or without ongoing admixture of populations. In this case models that best fit the 381 genetic data for those populations within the PCA-identified cloud were those that 382 had ancestral polymorphism but not admixture, indicating that in accordance with 383 STRUCTURE and FST based analyses, they do represent isolated populations with 384 minimal dispersal. 385 386 Management implications for the eradication of rats on South Georgia 387 388 Such an understanding of the patterns of population genetic structure across South 389 Georgia greatly informs efforts to eradicate rats from the island. Any attempt to 390 extirpate rats from across South Georgia in a single concerted effort is logistically 391 impracticable (Robertson & Gemmell 2004). These genetic data however identify 392 smaller eradication units that are effectively isolated, and as such more localized 393 eradication efforts can be utilized with low risk of recolonization from neighbouring 394 areas during the interval between successive baiting operations. That said, this 395 assumes that genetic isolation is caused by barriers to dispersal rather than intrinsic 396 density-dependent priority effects (Fraser et al. 2015) whereby immigrant rats are 397 excluded by resident populations. Local extirpation would relax such effects, allowing 398 for large-scale recolonization. Given the density of rats on South Georgia, this 399 appears an unlikely scenario. Notwithstanding, the data have definitively identified 400 seven separate eradication units – i) Right Whale, Salisbury and Prince Olav; ii) Blue 401 Whale; iii) Busen; iv) Maiviken and Grytviken; v) Greene; vi) Barff and vii) Gold. 402 Clearly, identification of the three most northerly populations (Prince Olav, Salisbury 403 and Right Whale) as a single genetic cluster highlights a major challenge for 404 eradication given the large area these populations encompass. Moreover, if their 405 historical isolation has been removed by the retreat of glaciers and the opening up of 406 channels for dispersal, then any overall strategy to focus on more localized 407 eradication units is clearly time limited given ongoing global warming continues to 408 reduce glacial extent across the island (Cook et al. 2010). Given that the three 409 phases of eradication that have been undertaken on South Georgia to date have 410 covered all of the populations identified by the genetic data as belonging to the same 411 eradication unit, there is no reason to believe that eradication should not be 412 successful. In the event that rats are subsequently found following eradication 413 activity, the high levels of genetic divergence between the populations provides 414 diagnostic genetic profiles for each eradication unit that allows the provenance of 415 any individuals that may be found in future to be ascertained. As such it can be 416 established whether eradication efforts were insufficient to remove all rats from a 417 given area, or whether there is dispersal across barriers leading to recolonization 418 from elsewhere. 419 420 Historical patterns of colonization 421 422 Analysis of the mitochondrial DNA sequence data provides another level of 423 information on genetic structure above that yielded from the SNP loci. Only two 424 mitochondrial haplotypes were resolved across all the 160 individuals examined. 425 These were separated by five mutations, indicating that one haplotype is not derived 426 from the other in situ, but they are a consequence of different colonization events 427 into South Georgia. The two haplotypes are very distinctively structured across the 428 island with all the individuals from Prince Olav, Salisbury and Right Whale being one 429 haplotype, and all other individuals from Blue Whale in the north to the Gold 430 population in the south-east being the other haplotype. These patterns are consistent 431 with one colonization being associated with sealing activity centred on Prince Olav, 432 and the other with whaling activity centred on Grytviken. Indeed, levels of SNP 433 diversity (both observed heterozygosity and mean number of alleles per locus) are 434 greatest for the two different mitochondrial groupings in Prince Olav and Grytviken. 435 There is also a significant negative correlation between distance from these focal 436 populations and levels of SNP diversity within populations. The Blue Whale and Gold 437 populations have relatively low levels of allelic diversity as the most northerly and 438 southerly populations from Grytviken, and there is a gradual reduction in number of 439 alleles from Prince Olav to Salisbury to Right Whale Bay. These geographically 440 peripheral populations did not show a deficiency of heterozygote genotypes across 441 the SNPs as may have been expected following sequential founder events and 442 inbreeding in small populations. Three other populations, however (Barff, Busen and 443 Greene) did show significant deviations from Hardy-Weinberg expectations, which 444 provides further evidence that these populations are effectively isolated given the 445 effects of drift and inbreeding are not negated by gene flow. Whilst relative levels of 446 SNP diversity in the two mitochondrial groupings could be used to infer the size of 447 the initial founding populations, this could be affected by an ascertainment bias 448 associated with SNPs being chosen based upon their diversity among European 449 populations, and the true provenance of the rats from whaling and sealing activity 450 being unclear. 451 452 Overall, this study has demonstrated the utility of molecular markers for defining a 453 genetic landscape of demographically and genetically independent populations that 454 can be used as targets for eradication without the potential for recolonization 455 between areas. Moreover, it has identified population-specific genetic signatures that 456 can be used in future to identify the provenance of rats found in any area after an 457 eradication effort, and thus identify whether individuals survived initial eradication 458 efforts or are colonizers from neighbouring locations. This reinforces how useful 459 molecular techniques can provide an important tool in applied ecological issues and 460 can guide conservation and management (Fewster et al. 2011). 461 462 463 Acknowledgements 464 The project is indebted to Anton Wolfaardt, Darren Peters, Tom Hart, Leigh-Anne 465 Wolfaardt, Mark Tasker and Kalinka Rexer-Huber for their efforts in helping collect 466 samples in sometimes challenging conditions. Funding for the project was supplied 467 by the UK Government’s Overseas Territories Environmental Programme (OTEP). 468 Thanks to the Captains and crew of the FPV Pharos SG for deploying and retrieving 469 teams from various field camps around South Georgia and for providing support while 470 ashore. 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Levels of SNP variation in 10 populations of Rattus norvegicus from South 603 Georgia. n = number of samples genotyped; Hexp = expected heterozygosity; Hobs = 604 observed heterozygosity; FIS = Wright’s statistic for deviation from Hardy-Weinberg 605 expectations for panmixia; P(0.95 or 0.99) = proportion of the 299 SNP markers that 606 were polymorphic at the 95% or 99% level, respectively; Na = mean number of 607 alleles per locus 608 609 Population n Hexp Hobs FIS P(0.95) P(0.99) Na Right Whale 34 0.109 0.111 -0.006 0.291 0.321 1.321 Salisbury 34 0.098 0.097 0.034 0.274 0.328 1.328 Prince Olav 29 0.107 0.106 0.025 0.308 0.341 1.341 Blue Whale 54 0.124 0.128 -0.021 0.328 0.358 1.368 Busen 36 0.211 0.195 0.091 0.565 0.615 1.615 Maiviken 12 0.219 0.236 -0.038 0.575 0.615 1.615 Grytviken 36 0.236 0.244 -0.020 0.609 0.642 1.642 Greene 32 0.213 0.192 0.110 0.562 0.622 1.622 Barff 37 0.232 0.220 0.066 0.615 0.662 1.662 Gold 45 0.213 0.209 0.028 0.545 0.599 1.599 610 Table 2: Pairwise point estimates of genetic differentiation (unbiased estimator of 611 FST) for ten populations of R. norvegicus across South Georgia. Non-significant 612 values (after Bonferroni correction) are underlined 615 Blue Whale Grytviken Gold Greene Maiviken Prince Olav Right whale 0.17 0.47 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.52 0.52 0.53 0.43 0.18 0.21 0.21 0.20 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.46 0.47 0.49 0.51 0.48 0.46 0.49 0.16 0.14 0.08 0.50 0.51 0.52 0.13 0.18 0.53 0.53 0.55 0.17 0.56 0.56 0.58 0.56 0.57 0.59 0.26 0.15 0.28 Salisbury Busen 614 Busen Blue Whale Grytviken Gold Greene Maiviken Pronce Olav Right whale Salisbury Barff 613 616 Figure 1: Map of South Georgia showing locations of the sampled populations. 617 Numbers in parentheses indicate the eradication phase for which each population 618 was targeted. The shaded area identifies glaciers or regions with permanent snow 619 cover. 620 621 622 Figure 2: Individual membership coefficients inferred from Bayesian inference of 623 genetic structure within STRUCTURE across all ten populations of R. norvegicus on 624 South Georgia for the most likely number of genetic groups (k=7), which are defined 625 by seven colours. Black lines demarcate a priori populations and each individual is 626 represented by a single vertical line. Coefficients are averaged across runs due to 627 multiple solutions among replicates, using the standard admixture model including 628 sampling locations as prior information. 629 630 631 632 633 634 Figure 3: Principal component analysis (PCA) plot showing genetic relationships 635 amongst 349 R. norvegicus individuals from across ten populations on South 636 Georgia. Populations are colour coded, with values equating to those specified in 637 Figure 1. The two principal components account for 40.4% of the variation. 638 639 640 Supporting information 641 Additional supporting material may be found in the online version of this article: 642 Appendix S1. List of SNP loci genotyped, and locations within the rat genome. 643 Appendix S2 – input parameters for the DIYABC analysis. 644
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