Trends and Transitions in old age support in Taiwan Alfred Ko-wei Hu Center for Survey Research, Academia Sinica Tsung-Chi Cheng Department of Statistics, National Cheng-chi University First Draft Paper presented in the Conference of Panel Studies of Family Dynamics in Taiwan, Dec 2-3, 2005. Like most societies in East Asia, the financial support from adult children to their elderly parents has been a practice critically acclaimed in Taiwan. It helps the elderly parents to face the forthcoming life cycle with less uncertainty and thus serves an important part of their well-being (Lee, Parish et al. 1994; Lilliard and Willis 1997; Frankenberg 2002). Such a pattern of family assistance for the elderly, however, is in doubt nowadays. As a result of shrinking in the size of the household and weakening ties to kin outside of household during economic development, there are growing concerns that the traditional safety valve built by the family in old age support may be dysfunctional. While state programs and market resources such as pensions, health care, and private insurance programs can provide a supplement or substitute for family support, unlike these institutions in developed countries, these extra-familial sources are limited and are still in the early stage of implementation at the time when Taiwan populations are ageing rapidly. Concentrating on intergenerational financial support of adult children for their parents in Taiwan, this study is motivated in large part by question of how the elderly parents is supported financially by their adult children in the face of the declining fertility rates and longer life expectancies that characterized population ageing. We use Taiwan at the beginning period of implementing social welfare schemes as a case to examine several theoretical models on intergenerational transfers. Taiwan provides excellent setting for the study of intergenerational transfers for the following reasons. First, there is a strong adherence to norms of filial piety and family continuity through the male line. The family in the eyes of its cultural tradition is viewed as the primary provider of social security and care for the elderly. Studies conducted over the past decades in one way or the other seem to confirm to one observation that financial transfers from adult children still comprise the main source of income for the majority of the elderly in Taiwan. Secondly, demographic change in Taiwan has been drastic over the past decades and has led to the increase in the relative size of the older population and decreases in the availability of children with whom to exchange resources. Fertility begun to fall in the late 1950s and since the mid-1980s, it has consistently remained below replacement level with an average of 1.8 children born per woman. On the other hand, the increasingly ageing population has been phenomenal in Taiwan. As of 2003, the proportion of the population aged 60 and older was about 10 percent. It is expected to rise to approximately 25 percent of the population by 2025, almost the same level expected in most advanced industrialized nations. Thirdly, while Taiwan has achieved rapid economic development over the past decades, the pace of economic growth has been significantly slowing down since the late 1990s and its growth rate has once hit below zero in the wake of East Asian economic crisis. At last, universal health insurance has been provided in Taiwan since the mid-1990s. Nowadays, it is fair to say that while this program, along with other public social security programs, is still in the early stage, the availability of such resources is growing. In the early 1990s, a study conducted by Lee, Parish, and Willis thoroughly reviewed the patterns of intergenerational support in Taiwan (1994). While the authors conclude that the traditional patterns of supporting system remained strong at the time when the research was conducted, they point out the ways open for change in the future: “With rapid economic growth, adult children have typically been more prosperous than their parents, with very few public social welfare benefits there have been few sources of old age support other than adult children (1994: p1034).” Ten years after, the situation is different: with the implementation of society-wide security programs and the decrease in economic growth, what are the conclusions about old age support that we can draw from this new setting in Taiwan? Motivations for transfer within families The literature on intergenerational transfer in developing countries has been studied extensive in which a number of models have been advanced concerning the financial transfers from adult children to their parents. The main motives that have been invoked to explain transfer behavior are: (1) insurance mechanisms of saving for old age; (2) the power and bargaining between elderly parents and their children; (3) voluntary quid-pro-quo exchanges of service between parents and children; (4) repayment to parents to their earlier investment in the child; and (5) altruism amongst family members. The Old Age Security Hypothesis The old age security hypothesis emphasizes the problems that individuals face in finding a reliable outlet for saving for old age in developing societies. In the early stage of development, financial institutions are primitive, property rights are insecure, and government social security schemes, private pension, and health insurance are nonexistent in this context, more children in the household would then be seen as an investment for the provision of security in a number of forms, including monetary transfers, help with housework, and care if the parent is frail or ill. As economic development takes place, markets emerge, and society develops more sophisticated financial institutions, the old age security hypothesis suggests that parents would increasingly rely on the saving mechanisms from market, but less on old age transfers from their children, and the economic values of having more children in the household will gradually decline. One hypothesis can be generated from this view: Hypothesis 1: Since Taiwan has undergone the early stage of economic development, family size of at children level will be less likely to affect the possibility for parents to receive financial support. The Power and Bargaining Model An alternative view on intergenerational transfers is from the perspective of power and bargaining status between elderly parents and their children. While the power and bargaining view generally agrees that having children is less profitable or more costly during economic development, the sources of such a change in attitude of having more children in household have less to do with saving consideration, but more to do with the fact that, with declining economic status during economic development, most parents tend to lose their power to extract obedience and resources from children. The transfers from adult children to parents can be found only from those parents who have more resources, and power as well, to elicit children’s attention and support (Bernheim, Schleifer, and Summer 1985). Other than the resources owned by parents, household economies of children’s families are considered in this perspective. In this view, when husband and wife have more resources, they may use their financial resources to exempt themselves from coresiding with parents. Two hypotheses are developed from older parents’ and children’s perspectives, respectively: Hypothesis 2: The elderly with more economic resources are more likely to receive the support from their children. Hypothesis 3: A child with relatively higher family income or wife having a job is more likely to provide monetary support to elderly parents. The Mutual Aid Model The third theoretical model to be studied is the mutual aid model, focusing on the financial assistance among family members, involving voluntary quid-pro-quo exchanges of service between parents and children. According to the type of assistance provided among family members, mutual aid can be divided into short and long term exchange. In the short term, aid may include help with various kind of housework and the sharing of goods with substantial scale economies. A long term view of mutual aid puts emphasis on the role of family members in providing implicit insurance and loan principles used to reduce income risks of between parents’ and children’s family. While long-term aspect of family assistance may be more crucial in the Taiwan context, the focus of the present discussion is limited to short term exchange and the hypothesis developed here is: Hypothesis 4: Children are more likely to provide financial support, when parents have health problems or when parents are able to run errand for children’s family. Parental Repayment and Altruistic Hypothesis In the parental repayment hypothesis, the emphasis is on borrowing rather than saving constraints. Old age support for parents is seen as repayment of loans and grants that their children received in the previous period. Based mainly on Becker’s human capital theory, this perspective assumes that there is an implicit family capital market in which parents finance human capital investment in their children and old age support made by children is seen as repaying the loans component (Becker and Tomes 1976). According to this model, we may have the following hypothesis: Hypothesis 5: Individuals who received more early investment (e.g., more education) within the family network are more likely to provide old age support for their parents. While the parental repayment hypothesis assumes the existence of an implicit arrangement functioning to enforce children to repay their parents’ investment, the altruism hypothesis peers inside this “black box” by treating family as a closely related network that cares for the well-being of all family members and seeks optimal distribution of resources within the family network. An altruistic head of the household will transfer resources to other family members so as to maximize utility functions of all family members. Developed from the Becker-Tomes (1976) model, the altruistic model proposes that supporting elderly parents financially becomes part of optimal distribution of wealth in the family: the more altruistic the household head, the more likely he will provide support for old aged parents. In Hypothesis 6: Children whose families are in a better economic condition are more likely to provide monetary transfers to their parents. Hypothesis 7: Distance of residence would not sever transfers from adult children to parents. For those children who live father are more likely to provide monetary help, regardless whether parents run errands for their families or not. Hypothesis 8: A more altruistic individual is more likely to continue to provide monetary support for their parents. Gender According to the Chinese patrilineal norms, there are difference in the obligations toward parents between sons and daughters. For instance, the rights to a woman’s labor and reproduction were transferred to the husband’s family at marriage. This also means the end of daughter’s formal obligations toward parents, even if they gave a lot before marriage (Greenhalgh 1985). The link between daughters and parents, nevertheless, may not be so severe. There are ample anecdotal evidence from ethnographic studies that daughters will continue to be important family members after marriage, both materially and emotionally. In this study, we will differentiate the patterns of support by gender on old age support. Data Data from Panel Studies of Family Dynamics in Taiwan between 2001 to 2004 provide an island-wide representative sample of men and women aged 35-65. We restrict our analysis to currently married men and women, with at least one parent surviving in 2004. With wives typically younger than their husbands, more wives have surviving parents, giving 349 observations for the husbands’ sample and 404 observations for the wives’ sample. Dependent Variables In Panel Studies of Family Dynamics, questions of mutual support were asked in 2001, 2002 and 2004. In the survey conducted in 2004, after detailed questions on parents’ current status, each respondent was asked whether there had been monthly support to and from their parents as well as the amount of the support (upward vs. downward flow of support). The positive net value of upward transfers minus the downward transfer provides the central data the analysis below1. In addition, the net values of monetary support in 2001, 2002, and 2004 are used in latent growth model to evaluate the initial status and the change of support in association with family incomes respectively. Independent variables In addition to background variables such as age of respondents and parents’ surviving status, there are five sets of variables related to competing models of intergenerational support. The old age security hypothesis is tested mainly from number of children. In the power and bargaining model, parents’ socioeconomic status, its condition in the division of properties and sources of income are used to measure the power owned by parents to extract financial support from their children. It is expected that the more parental power, the more likely children will provide support. With regard to children’s bargaining power, the couple with more income should provide more resources to parents; particularly, if wife has a job, it is more likely for them to provide the support in exchange of separate residence. Health condition of parents and whether parents provide housework help are variables used to test the mutual aid model. It is expected that monetary intergenerational support is more likely to be found when parents had health problem in previous years, or parents provided help in housework, such as baby sitting, and other family chores. The variable of whether respondent has more schooling than other siblings is used to test both the repayment hypothesis and the altruistic hypothesis, for both model assume that the more education one received, relative to other sibling, it is more likely for parents to receive old age support. A thorough test of the altruistic hypothesis, however, has to take other factors into consideration. Here the income of child’s family, his/her residential condition, and the condition of parents’ health are used as variables to evaluate the altruistic hypothesis. 1 Children who are net recipients or nongivers are classified as zero. Table 1 here Results (1) The Initial status and change of support Figure 1 presents family income to trajectories of elderly support. Without controlling for other variables, it is found that the initial status between family income and parental support is positive and significant (0.27), meaning that the more income one has, the more support for parents. The initial status of providing financial support for parents, however, is negatively and significantly related to the rates of change (-0.41), suggesting that, for those who provide more financial support in the initial period, the amount of change in the following years will be less in comparison with the amount of change among those who paid less. The above findings, in association with the finding that family income and its growth rates have little impact on the amount and growth rates of financial support for parents, implies a primitive summary of an inelastic pattern of old age support provided by adult children from 2001 to 2004: the period in which Taiwan’s economy for the first time began to slow down. Figure 1 here (2) The Determinant of Intergenerational Transfers A. Public-Based Social Security Programs and Old Age Support Taiwan began to introduce a universal health program since the mid-1990s and, in about the same period, several subsidies programs were initiated to provide income to special segments of the older populations (Hermalin 2003). While it is still too early to evaluate the impact of these public-based programs on old age support, figure 2 shows that the redistribution effect is very little with the result that those whose main sources of income come from employment pension at old age are still in a better status to earn more support from their children in terms of the amounts received. Figure 2 here B. Determinants of support Table 2 presents the result of logistic and regression analysis by dividing into males and females. The analysis is first to differentiate the factors affecting whether old age support is presented , then to distinguish the amount of support. Generally, Table 2 shows a high level of old age support in Taiwan at the early stage of introducing society-wide social security programs. Economic recession during the survey period, 2001-2004, had little impact on the level of support in the sense that the patterns of support in previous years were strong and in a continuous fashion. While males are the main caregiver of elderly parents2, female children continue to play a significant part in taking care of their parents. In addition, the results here are also consistent with earlier observation that change of family income has little impact on old age support in both male and female respondents. Among males and females, the size of siblings has different effects. For males, having more female siblings can substantially help reduce about one fourth of the likelihood of providing support for parents, but for females, having more sisters means the increasing chance of providing support. For both, the effect of having more brothers is weak and insignificant, suggesting that traditional old age security hypothesis which would puts more emphasis on the roles played by males in providing support is not supported in the current analysis. In Table 2, other factor which inhibit old age support include: (1) Whether wife has a job would not increase the bargaining status among males and females. In contrast to the result that more resourceful parents (Parents’ 2 The logistic analysis not shown in Table 2 shows that male children are more likely to provide support than female by 64% higher. socioeconomic status) are more likely to elicit support from their children, this finding suggests that even if the power and bargaining model works in Taiwan’s context, parents tend to achieve strong position in bargaining. (2) The power and bargaining model may not be an effective model in Taiwan context is also found in the situation where providing old age support is not affected by whether parents have properties or not, or whether family properties have been divided or not. This finding suggests that traditional old age security is problematic in Taiwan’s context. There are some supports of the mutual aid model, but mainly with females. For instance, when she has more children, it is more likely that she can be exempt from providing parents’ financial support and the amount given can be reduced significantly. Nevertheless, when the economic situation her married family is improved, the likelihood of providing support increases significantly by 15 percent, and the increase in amount given as well. Moreover, she is more likely to provide support and to give more when her parents are able to provide help in her household work. All of the above findings imply that there is a clear gender difference with regard to the generalizability of the mutual aid model. To certain extent, the role of females in providing old age support is also found in accordance with the prediction of the altruistic/repayment model, particularly to those urbane females: as long as they live in urban areas, they have more obligations to take care of their parents in financial terms than females in rural village. In contrast, the altruistic/repayment model seems to be a more effective explanation for males: they are more likely to take care of their parents if they received more education than other siblings and they are more likely to provide financial support if parents live with other married siblings. Conclusion Based on Taiwan’s Panel Studies of Family Dynamics surveyed in 2001, 2002, and 2004, this paper explores the determinants of old age support in Taiwan at the juncture of economic recession and early stage of launching society wide social security programs. Data show that the impact of such a change in public programs of old age support has little effect. Instead, sons and daughters are managed at the time of economic recession to continue to provide support for elderly parents in monetary terms. Family support for the elderly is still strong and pervasive. The results clearly show some reservation on the power and bargaining model, which can hardly explain the ways of support provided among females, and has very little power to explain what male adult children will be doing their parents. The only effective factor to provide a explanation is socioeconomic status of parents, but it only applies to male children. What is worth special attention is the difference in providing support between males and females. While both the mutual aid model and the altruistic/repayment model are supported in the analysis, that the mutual aid model works better well among females strongly suggests a role played by women in striking a balance of taking care of the needs of her married family and her own parents. References Becker, G. S. (1991). A Treatise on the Family. Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press. Becker, G. S. & Nigel Tomes. (1979) “An Equilibrium Theory of the Distribution of Income and Intergenerational Mobility.” Journal of Political Economy 87 (6): 1153-89. Bernheim, B. D., Schleifer, A. & L. Summers (1985). “The Strategic Bequest Motive.” Journal of Political Economy 93 (6):1045-76. Frankenberg, E., Lillard, L., & Willis, R. J. (2002). "Patterns of Intergenerational Transfers in Southeast Asia." Journal of Marriage and Family 64(3): 627-641. Greenhalgh, S. (1985). “Sexual Stratification: The Other Side of ‘Growth with Equity’ in East Asia.” Population and Development Review. 11:265-314. Hermalin, A. I. (2000). Challenges to Comparative Research on Intergenerational Transfers, Comparative Study of the Elderly in Asia: Research Report, no.00-56. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan. Lee, Y., W. L. Parish, et al. (1994). "Sons, Daughters, and Intergenerational Support in Taiwan." American Journal of Sociology 99(4): 1010-1041. Lilliard, L. A. and R. J. Willis (1997). "Motives for Intergenerational Transfers: Evidence from Malaysia." Demography 34(1, The Demography of Aging ): 115-134 Table 1: Means and Percentage Distributions of Variables Age Group: Respondent 1) 37-46 45.73 2) 47-56 39.77 3) 57-66 14.51 Gender (%) 46.76 Both parents surviving (%) 36.27 Number of children 2.72 II. Respondent 's need Whether parents provide help (%) 52.98 2.19 III. Respondent's availability Number of brother Number of sister 2.16 Years of having more education than -0.41 siblings Wife had job (%) 58.68 Income of Respondent family NTD58,233 female NTD54,683 male NTD62,271 Health of living parent(s)(%) 32.64 IV. Parents’ need Socio-economic status of Parents (*100) -0.6 V. Parents’ availability Financial Resource of Parents I. Demographic Variables VI. Other N of observations 1) Pension (%) 2) Subsidy (%) 3) Other (%) Family property (%) 1) no family property 2) not divide family property yet 3) have divided family property Migration (%) 1) stay at city 2) stay in rural--base 9.79 64.97 38.21 2) rural to city Coresidence (%) 1) live alone/with um-kid(s) 2) live with other m-kid(s) 3) live with R--base Provide support in 2001 (%) Provide support in 2002 (%) 40.41 33.42 30.96 35.62 31.70 27.89 48.70 30.57 20.73 72.41 68.26 753 Figure 1: Latent Growth Model of Family Income and Old Age Support Effects between Family Income and Old Age Support Total sample Correlation between family income slope and old age support slope 0.01 0.10 Correlation between family income intercept and old age support intercept 0.27* Correlation between old age intercept and old age support slope -0.41* Effects of income intercept on old age support Correlation between family income intercept and family income intercept 0.01 X2 9.973 RMSEA N 0.024 738 % Figure 2: Public-Based Social Security Programs and Old Age Support (Amount of giving) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 pension 0 5 10 15 20 Amount of Old Age Support 25 unit:NTD1,000 subsidy other none Table 2: Determinants of Giving to Parents and Amounts Given: Logged Values
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