The primal approach The dual approach Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] February 11, 2016 Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Ranking income distribution and Lorenz curves: Partial and complete orderings (i) Partial orderings: Stochastic and inverse stochastic dominance, Lorenz dominance (ii) Complete orderings: a. Social welfare criteria based on expected utility theory b. Rank-dependent social welfare criteria Important issue in both policy work, descriptive analysis and causal inference: Statistical oces and gov agencies compare distribution functions and Lorenz curves across countries, subgroups and time Research compares distributions of earnings, income, consumption and wealth to evaluate economic policies and social welfare 1 2 Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach The cumulative distribution function and its inverse Let F be a member of the set F of cumulative distribution functions with mean µF and left inverse dened by F −1 (t) = inf {x : F (x) ≥ t} Note that both discrete and continuous distribution functions are allowed in F , and though the former is what we actually observe, the latter often allows simpler derivation of theoretical results and is a valid large sample approximation. Thus, in most cases below F will be assumed to be a continuous distribution function, but the assumption of a discrete distribution function will be used where appropriate. To x ideas, we will refer to F as the income distribution, although our framework can be applied to any type of distribution functions. In order to rank distribution function we introduce the ordering relation Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Ranking distribution functions: Examples Suppose we want to rank two distributions, F1 and F0 Assume that the ordering relation satises rst-degree stochastic dominance, i.e. F1 (x) ≤ F0 (x) for all x ∈ [0, ∞)⇔F1−1 (t) ≥ F0−1 (t) for all t ∈ [0, 1]. Can be used as a ranking criterion when distribtion don't cross. But how do we deal with intersecting distribution functions (Figures 2 and 3)? Conventional approach in empirical work: Using summary measures like the mean, the median and the variance or weighted means. Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Second-degree stochastic and inverse stochastic dominance Denition A distribution function F1 is said to second-degree stochastic dominate a distribution function F0 if and only if Zy F1 (x)dx ≤ 0 Zy F0 (x)dx for all y ∈ [0, ∞) 0 and the inequality holds strictly for some y ∈ (0, ∞). A distribution function F1 is said to second-degree inverse stochastic dominate a distribution function F0 if and only if Zu −1 F1 (t)dt ≥ 0 Zu F0−1 (t)dt for all u ∈ [0, 1] 0 and the inequality holds strictly for some u ∈ (0, 1). Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach As was demonstrated by Atkinson (1970), second-degree stochastic dominance is equivalent to second-degree inverse stochastic dominance, which is called generalized Lorenz dominance by Shorrocks (1983). Moreover, under the restriction of equal mean incomes second degree inverse stochastic dominance is equivalent to the criterion of non-intersecting Lorenz curves. Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Third-degree stochastic dominance Since situations where second-degree dominance does not provide unambiguous ranking of distribution functions may arise, it will be useful to introduce weaker ranking criteria than second-degree dominance. To this end it appears attractive to consider third-degree stochastic and inverse stochastic dominance. Denition A distribution function F1 is said to third-degree stochastic dominate a distribution function F0 if and only if Zz Zy 0 0 Zz F1 (x)dxdy ≤ Zz Zy 0 F0 (x)dxdy for all z ∈ [0, ∞) ⇔ 0 (z − x) (F1 (x) − F0 (x)) dx ≤ 0 for all z ∈ [0, ∞) 0 Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Third-degree inverse stochastic dominance Denition A distribution function F1 is said to third-degree inverse stochastic dominate a distribution function F0 if and only if Zv Zu 0 −1 F1 (t)dtdu ≥ 0 0 Zv Zv Zu F0−1 (t)dtdu for all v ∈ [0, 1] ⇔ 0 (v − t) F1−1 (t) − F0−1 (t) dt ≤ 0, for all v ∈ [0, 1] 0 and the inequality holds strictly for some v ∈ (0, 1). Note that third-degree stochastic and inverse stochastic dominance do not coincide. Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Transfer principles associated with second- and third-degree dominance Denition (The Pigou-Dalton principle of transfers). Consider a discrete income distribution F . A transfer δ > 0 from a person with income x + h (or F −1 (t)) to a person with income x (or F −1 (s)) is said to reduce inequality in F when h > 0 (s < t) and to raise inequality in F when h < 0 (s > t). (i) If µF1 = µF0 , the condition of second-degree inverse stochastic dominance is identical to the Pigou-Dalton transfer principle. Denition (The principle of diminishing transfers, Kolm,1976). Consider a discrete income distribution F . A transfer δ > 0 from a person with income x + h1 to a person with income x is said to reduce inequality in F more than a transfer δ from a person with income x + h1 + h2 to a person with income x + h2 . (ii) If µF1 = µF0 , the condition of third-degree inverse stochastic dominance is identical to the principle of diminishing transfers. Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Rank-preserving transfers Denition (The principle of positional transfer sensitivity, Mehran, 1976). Consider a discrete income distribution F . A rank-preserving transfer δ > 0 from a person with income F −1 (s + h) to a person with income F −1 (s) is said to have a stronger equalizing eect on F than a transfer δ > 0 from a person with income F −1 (t + h) to a person with income F −1 (t) when s < t . (iii) If µF1 = µF0 , the condition of third-degree inverse stochastic dominance is identical to the principle of rst-degree downside positional transfer sensitivity. Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Lorenz dominance Denition A Lorenz curve L1 is said to rst-degree dominate a Lorenz curve L0 if L1 (u) ≥ L0 (u) for all u ∈ [0, 1] and the inequality holds strictly for some u ∈ [0, 1]. First-degree Lorenz dominance is identical to the Pigou-Dalton transfer principle. A social planner who prefers the dominating one of non-intersecting Lorenz curves favors transfers of incomes which reduce the dierences between the income shares of the donor and the recipient, and is therefore said to be inequality averse. Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Second-degree Lorenz dominance To deal with situations where Lorenz curves intersect a weaker principle than rst-degree Lorenz dominance is called for. To this end it is normal to employ second-degree upward Lorenz dominance dened by Denition A Lorenz curve L1 is said to second-degree upward dominate a Lorenz curve RL0 if Ru u 0 L1 (t)dt ≥ 0 L0 (t)dt for all u ∈ [0, 1] and the inequality holds strictly for some u ∈ [0, 1]. Second-degree upward Lorenz dominance is identical to the principle of rst-degree downside positional transfer sensitivity. Under the restriction of equal mean incomes third-degree (upward) inverse stochastic dominance is equivalent to the criterion of seond-degree upward Lorenz dominance. Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Higher degrees of inverse stochastic dominance and Lorenz dominance Since situations where second-degree (upward or downward) inverse stochastic and Lorenz dominance do not provide unambiguous ranking of distribution functions and Lorenz curves may arise, it is useful to introduce weaker dominance criteria than third-degree inverse stochastic dominance and second-degree Lorenz dominance. To this end two hierarchical sequences of nested inverse stochastic (Lorenz dominance) criteria might be introduced; one departs from third-degree upward inverse stochastic dominance (second-degree upward Lorenz dominance) and the other from third-degree downward inverse stochastic dominance (downward Lorenz dominance). More on this in Aaberge (2009, SCW). Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Complete orderings: Social welfare criteria based on expected utility theory The problem of ranking income distributions formally corresponds to the problem of choosing between uncertain prospects. This relationship has been utilized by e.g. Kolm (1969) and Atkinson (1970) to characterize the criterion of second order (upward) stochastic dominance. Atkinson reinterpreted the standard theory of choice under uncertainty and demonstrated that inequality aversion can in fact be viewed as being equivalent to risk aversion. This was motivated by the fact that in cases of equal mean incomes the criterion of non-intersecting Lorenz curves is equivalent to second-degree stochastic dominance, which means that the Pigou-Dalton transfer principle is identical to the principle of mean preserving spread introduced by Rothschild and Stiglitz (1970). To choose between F0 and F1 we can then use the following criterion R∞ 0 u(x)dF1 (x) ≥ Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] R∞ 0 u(x)dF0 (x) Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Axiomatic justication of the primal approach Assume that the preference relation of the social planner satises the following axioms: (Order). is a transitive and complete ordering on F . (Continuity). For each F ∈ F the sets {F ? ∈ F : F F ? }and {F ? ∈ F : F ? F } are closed (w.r.t. L1 -norm). (Dominance). Let F0 , F1 ∈ F . If F1−1 (t) ≥ F0−1 (y ) for all t ∈ [0, 1] and the inequality holds strictly for some t∈ (0, 1) then F1 F0 . (Independence). Let F0 , F1 and F2 be members of F and let α ∈ [0, 1]. Then F1 F0 implies (αF1 (x) + (1 − α)F2 (x)) (αF0 (x) + (1 − α)F2 (x)). Von Neuman and Morgenstern (1936) proved that a preference relation that satises Axioms 1-4 can be represented by the following family of social welfare functions Z Eu(X ) = u(x)dF (x) Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Measures of inequality based on the primal approach Atkinson (1970) proposed to use Iu (F ) = 1 − u −1 (Eu(X )) µ as a measure of inequality, where u −1 (Eu(X )) is denoted the equally distributed equivalent income and µIu (F ) is measure of the loss in social welfare due to inequality in the distribution F . Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach The relationship between dominance criteria and primal social welfare functions Theorem Let F1 and F0 be members of F . Then the following statements are equivalent. (i) F1 second-degree upward inverse stochastic dominates F0 (ii) EF u(X ) > EF u(X ) for all increasing concave u 1 0 Theorem Let L1 and L0 be members of L. Then the following statements are equivalent. (i) L1 rst-degree dominates L0 (ii) Iu (F1 ) < Iu (F0 ) for all increasing concave u Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Complete orderings: The family of rank-dependent social welfare functions The general family of rank-dependent measures of social welfare introduced by Yaari (1987,1988) is dened by Z WP (F ) = 1 P 0 (t)F −1 (t)dt, 0 and can be interpreted as the equally distributed equivalent income. The weighting function P 0 is the derivative of a preference function that is a member of the following the set of preference functions: P = {P : P 0 (t) > 0 and P 00 (t) < 0 for all t ∈ (0, 1), P(0) = P 0 (1) = 0, P(1) = 1} WP preserves 1st-degree dom, since P 0 (t) > 0, and WP preserves P 00 (t) < 0 2nd-degree dom (and Pigou-Dalton), since WP ≤ µF , and WP = µF i F is the egalitarian distribution Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Complete orderings: The family of rank-dependent social welfare functions The general family of rank-dependent measures of social welfare introduced by Yaari (1987,1988) is dened by Z WP (F ) = 1 P 0 (t)F −1 (t)dt, 0 and can be interpreted as the equally distributed equivalent income. The weighting function P 0 is the derivative of a preference function that is a member of the following the set of preference functions: P = {P : P 0 (t) > 0 and P 00 (t) < 0 for all t ∈ (0, 1), P(0) = P 0 (1) = 0, P(1) = 1} WP preserves 1st-degree dom, since P 0 (t) > 0, and WP preserves P 00 (t) < 0 2nd-degree dom (and Pigou-Dalton), since WP ≤ µF , and WP = µF i F is the egalitarian distribution Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Dual measures of inequality Since WP (F ) can be interpreted as the equally distributed equivalent income the dual family of inequality measures is dened by JP (F ) = 1 − WP (F ) , µ where µ = EX = xdF (X ). Note that µJP (F ) is a measure of the loss in social welfare due to inequality in the distribution F . R Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Axiomatic justication of the dual approach Assume that the preference relation of the social planner satises the following axioms: (Order). is a transitive and complete ordering on F . (Continuity). For each F ∈ F the sets {F ? ∈ F : F F ? }and {F ? ∈ F : F ? F } are closed (w.r.t. L1 -norm). (Dominance). Let F0 , F1 ∈ F . If F1−1 (t) ≥ F0−1 (y ) for all t ∈ [0, 1] and the inequality holds strictly for some t∈ (0, 1) then F1 F0 . (Independence). Let F0 , F1 and F2 be members of F and let α ∈ [0, 1]. Then F1 F0 implies −1 −1 αF1−1 (t) + (1 − α)F2−1 (t) αF0−1 (t) + (1 − α)F2−1 (t) . Yaari (1936) proved that a preference relation that satises Axioms 1-4 can be represented by the following family of social welfare functions Z WP (F ) = 1 P 0 (t)F −1 (t)dt, 0 Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Normative justication of the general family The normative justication of WP can be made in terms of a (a) Theory for ranking distribution functions: With basic ordering and continuity assumptions, the dual independence axiom characterizes WP (Yaari, 1988) (b) Value judgement of the trade-o between the mean and (in)equality in the distributions (Ebert, 1987; Aaberge, 2001) WP = µF [1 − JP (F )] where µF is the mean of F and JP (F ) is the family of rank-dependent measures of inequality aggregating the P 0 -weighted Lorenz curve of F Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach The Gini subfamily If we choose P1k (t) = 1 − (1 − t)k−1 , k > 2 then WP is equal to the extended Gini family of social welfare functions (Donaldson and Weymark, 1980) WG k = µ [1 − Gk (F )] =, k >2 where Gk (F ) is the extended Gini family of inequality measures G3 (F ) is the Gini coecient and WG = µ 2 Note that {µ, WGi (F ) : i = 3, 4, ...} uniquely determines the distribution function F (Aaberge, 2000) Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach The Lorenz subfamily If we instead choose P2k (t) = (k − 1) t − t k−1 ,k >2 k −2 then WP is the Lorenz family of social welfare functions (Aaberge, 2000) WDk = µ [1 − Dk (F )] , k >2 where Dk (F ) is the Lorenz family of inequality measures D3 (F ) is the Gini coecient Note that {µ, WDi (F ) : i = 3, 4, ...} uniquely determines the distribution function F (Aaberge, 2000) Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach The relationship between dominance criteria and dual criteria of social welfare and inequality Theorem Let F1 and F0 be members of F . Then the following statements are equivalent. (i) FR1 second-degree upward inverse stochastic dominates F0 R (ii) 01 P 0 (t)F1−1 (t)dt > 01 P 0 (t)F0−1 (t)dt for all increasing concave P (P 00 (t) < 0) Theorem Let L1 and L0 be members of L. Then the following statements are equivalent. (i) L1 rst-degree dominates L0 (ii) JP (F1 ) < J(F0 ) for all increasing concave P Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Partial dual ordering - Third degree upward dominance Note that second degree inverse stochastic dominance is dened by 2 ΛF (u) ≡ Z u F −1 (t)dt, 0 u ∈ [0, 1] To dene third degree upward inverse stochastic dominance, we use the notation Λ3F (u) ≡ Z u 0 Λ2F (t)dt = Z u (u − t)F −1 (t)dt, 0 u ∈ [0, 1] Denition A distribution F1 is said to third degree upward inverse stochastic dominate a distribution F0 if and only if Λ3F (u) ≥ Λ3F (u) for all u ∈ [0, 1] 1 0 and the inequality holds strictly for some u ∈ (0, 1). Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Transfer principle ∆s WP (δ , h): change in WP of a fixed progressive transfer δ from an individual with rank s + h to an individual with rank s. ∆1st WP (δ , h) ≡ ∆s WP (δ , h) − ∆t WP (δ , h). Denition (Zoli, 1999; Aaberge, 2000, 2009) WP satises the principle of rst degree downside positional transfer sensitivity (DPTS) if and only if ∆1st WP (δ , h) > 0, when s < t. Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare The primal approach The dual approach Equivalence result Let P3 be the family of preference functions dened by n o 000 P3 = P ∈ P : P (t) > 0, Theorem Let F1 and F0 be members of F . Then the following statements are equivalent. (i) F1 third-degree upward inverse stochastic dominates F0 (ii) WP (F1 ) > WP (F0 ) for all P ∈ P3 (iii) WP (F1 ) > WP (F0 ) for all P ∈ P where WP satises rst-degree DPTS ⇒ (i) and (ii): least-restrictive set of social welfare functions that unambiguously rank in accordance with 3-UID ⇒ (i) and (iii): normative justication for 3-UID Rolf Aaberge, Research Department,Statistics Norway E-mail address: [email protected] Measurement of Inequality and Social Welfare
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