Critical Analysis of Technical and Allocative Efficiency in Indian Commercial Banks Uday Kumar Jagannathan1, Nagesha Holenasipur Nanjundaiah2 and Franco Chiryath3 1Assistant professor, 2Associate professor, 3MBA Student Faculty of Management and Commerce, Ramaiah University of Applied Sciences, Bengaluru 560054 E-Mail: [email protected] Abstract The banking sector in India was liberalized in 1991. Ever since, the sector has seen entrants from private as well as foreign banks. The public banks (nationalized as well as SBI group) continue to hold a majority share of deposits from the sheer size and presence (number of physical branches). As more of the population seeks financial inclusion from the system, it is obvious that while public banks will continue to grow, they will face increased competition from private and foreign banks. The Narashimham commission (1991) laid out guidelines for superior performance and improved productivity of the banking sector. Post implementation of this commission, commercial banks have seen great vitality and improved investments in private and public domain. This paper pertains to measurement of efficiency in the Indian banking sector between 2002-2010, a period of growth and consolidation in the sector. While revenues and costs are helpful in measuring the profitability of banks, another significant measurement is efficiency of banks. Though profit can contribute directly to the valuation of the banks, it leaves out certain important concerns pertaining to banking efficiency. Banking efficiency helps us in understanding how well the physical as well as human assets are being deployed in the banks’ operation. The measured efficiencies can provide insights into the relative position of any particular bank in the competitive space. Sub-efficient banks will possibly need to adapt their operations to match the efficient ones. There is also the opportunity of merging the sub-efficient bank with a larger/more efficient one to exploit economies of scale or best practices. Key words: Data Envelopment Analysis, Decision making Unit, Technical efficiency Salamouris [8] measured the Greek bank performance using DEA. Isik and Kabir [9] used a DEA-type Malmquist total factor productivity change Index to examine productivity growth, efficiency change, and technical progress in Turkish commercial banks whilst the deregulation of financial markets in Turkey, Guan and Dipinder [7] also used DEA in calculation of bank efficiencies. 1. INTRODUCTION The concern of whether any particular banking operation outputs can be simulated with a combination of inputs from other banking operations is an important one. This forms the basics of efficiency analysis. One of the techniques used in the determination of efficiency is “data envelopment analysis” or DEA. This technique was first used by Farell (1957) [6] . Details on data envelopment analysis may be obtained in the seminal work of “Measuring the efficiency of decision making units" by Charnes, Cooper & Rhodes (1978) [3]. It has been tradition to manage business (and banks) using ratio analysis. While ratios offer valuable insights, they do not consider aspects like economies of scale. Cook et al.(2000) [5] investigated the use of quantitative variable in bank branch evaluation using DEA. In the Indian context, some research has been done on the efficiency of Indian banking, notably Pardeep Kaur and Gian Kaur [10], who studied the cost efficiency of Indian banks between 1991-2008. They also examined the benefits of mergers of banks in the Indian landscape and improvements if any of efficiency scores post-merger. Milind Satyhye [13] examined the efficiency of Indian banks for 1997-1998. Bhattacharya et al [1] in 1997, as well as Chatterjee [4] in 1997 and Saha [12] have performed research on the efficiency of Indian banks. For the purpose of analysis and use of software to calculate technical, cost and allocative efficiencies, one can refer Coelli T.J [14] DEA technique is a non-parametric method in operations research used for the estimation of production frontiers. It empirically measures the productive efficiency of decision making units (DMU), for our purposes a DMU would be a given bank. While a variety of outputs and inputs can possibly be selected to perform DEA analysis, for purposes of finding inputs and outputs which are common to a diverse set of commercial banks, it is often helpful to use information from banks’ balance sheets and income statement to perform analysis. 3. NOMENCLATURE θ λi Yi Xi ci Efficiency of DMU0 Weight of a particular DMUi Vector of Output of DMUi Vector of Input of DMUi Unit Cost of Inputi Abbreviations 2. LITERATURE REVIEW DEA DMU SBI Camanho and Dyson [2] examined the bank branch performance under price uncertainty. Halkos and 6 Data envelopment analysis Decision making unit State Bank of India RBI Reserve Bank of India 4 MODELS SOLUTION BEING USED (deposits, advances, investments) along with two sets of inputs (interest expended, operational expenses) and (employees, capital and reserves) were selected for the purpose of the analysis. For the second set of inputs, corresponding cost information was wage per employee, cost of funds. FOR The banking sector in India can be broadly classified into public banks, foreign banks, private banks and banks under the SBI group. Under these different categories, a study has been initiated to measure the banking efficiency of each bank using data envelopment analysis. Once the efficiency is assigned to a given bank for each of the years between 2002 and 2010, one can observe trends in upward/lateral or downward movement of efficiency indices. Although the foreign, private, public and SBI group of banks operate under different regulatory conditions, they are analyzed together for calculating efficiency scores. The first model (hereafter model 1) measured the intermediation efficiency of commercial banks in India. The second model (model 2) measured production efficiency and costs of the inputs were cost of funds and wage per employee respectively. Thus, model 1 yielded technical efficiency alone, because it did not contain cost information. Model 2 contained physical inputs and also their costs and therefore was possible to obtain technical efficiency as well as cost efficiency from this model. Allocative efficiency which is a ratio of cost efficiency to technical efficiency was another output of this model. Efficiency as measured by DEA can be divided into two aspects, viz. technical efficiency and cost efficiency. Technical efficiency measures how best a decision making unit (in our context, a DMU or a bank in particular) is able to maximize its output for a given set of inputs. It is that point where the DMU cannot achieve more output with a given level of input or cannot produce the same level of output by decreasing one or more inputs, while holding the other inputs the same. Technical efficiency can be obtained by finding the combination of DMUs with the least input for the output evidenced by the DMU in question. The analysis was run for all banks in a given year, from 2002 to 2010 both included. Therefore the software was run 9x 2 = 18 times (9 years, 2 models) and 9 sets of efficiency scores result from processing each model. Each time the software was run; all banks for a fiscal year were taken as one batch. Model 1 output included the technical efficiency of each bank, while model 2 outputs included cost efficiency, technical efficiency and allocative efficiencies. Cost efficiency can be determined by finding the combination of DMU which yield the lowest possible cost for the output evidenced by the DMU in question. For purposes of analysis, the average efficiencies for a year were used by bank category. By category we mean foreign banks, public banks, private banks and SBI group. Therefore a set of 9x4 = 36 data points are available for each type of efficiency. Model 1 yielded 36 data points while model 2 yielded 36x3 = 108 data points for analysis (3 different types of efficiencies in model 2) Shown below are the definitions for the calculation of technical efficiency and cost efficiency. Basic model & definition: Technical efficiency Data used for each fiscal by bank category is given in Table 4a-4d. These data summarize the number of banks per period by category, the interest income and other income, deposits and associated cost of funds, employees and wage per employee respectively. It may be noted that for the actual analysis, per bank data was used for obtaining efficiency of each DMU. Min θ Subject to ∑ λi Xi <= θX0 (i = 1,…., n) ∑ λi Yi >= Y0 (i = 1,…., n) λi >= 0 Basic model & definition: Cost efficiency Min ∑ ci0 x0 (i = 1,…., m) s.t xi0 >=∑xij λj (i =1,….,m, j=1….n) yr0 <= ∑ yrj λj (r = 1,…., s, j=1…. n ) ∑ λj= 1 (j = 1,…., n) The software used for the purpose of calculating DEA is called DEAP version 2.1 and is downloadable for free from the centre for efficiency and productivity at The University of Brisbane, Queensland, Australia. All outputs are a result of the use of this software. λj>= 0 for s outputs, m inputs and n DMUs 5. METHODOLOGY 6. RESULTS AND ANALYSIS Data from the RBI web site, “a profile of Indian banks” [14] was used to obtain data for fiscal years 2002 to 2010 and the DEA analysis was run on the dataset. Two models were used in the analysis, each model yielding a different set of efficiency results. The two sets of vector outputs – one for each of two models (interest income, other income) and The results obtained from the study were tabulated and shown as the average technical efficiency by fiscal year for model 1 and the average technical, cost and allocative efficiency by fiscal year for model 2. Graphs (Fig 1 & Fig 2a-2c) were plotted to 7 display the various efficiency outputs from the 2 models. banks. Private banks at present measured lowest in cost efficiency terms across all categories. Positive correlation in cost efficiency was observed between public, SBI group and foreign banks. The standard deviation of cost efficiency from Table 2c was lowest for foreign banks (0.05) and highest (0.15) for public banks. Referring Fig 1 (model 1 results), technical efficiency in the years between 2002 and 2010 followed a non-linear pattern, not indicative of any systematic increase or decrease in the time frame. The foreign banks were ahead in terms of technical efficiency, exceptions include year 2003 to 2005, when SBI group and public banks’ efficiencies were higher than the foreign banks. Then again in 2009, the SBI group and public banks showed efficiency levels higher than that of the foreign banks. Private banks were clearly behind the public banks and SBI group in technical efficiency, however not by a lot. Efficiency measurements across bank categories show positive correlation over the measured time frame and more so among public, SBI group and private banks. The correlation of efficiencies between foreign banks and other categories was low. The standard deviation of technical efficiencies (Table 1) shows lowest values for foreign banks (.06) and highest for public banks (0.09). Allocative efficiency measures showed that the private banks performed consistently well or better than other bank categories. Also noteworthy is that public banks and SBI group lagged foreign banks in allocative efficiency until 2005 after which foreign banks became the laggard in this measure. Allocative efficiencies were strongly correlated across categories especially among SBI group, public and private banks. The standard deviation for foreign banks’ allocative efficiency was lowest (0.03) versus (0.15) for public banks (Table 2b). Table 1: Technical efficiency+ by year and category (Model 1) Foreign Private SBI * 2002 0.72 0.68 0.64 2003 0.84 0.80 0.85 2004 0.74 0.74 0.78 2005 0.70 0.70 0.74 2006 0.87 0.77 0.79 2007 0.86 0.77 0.79 2008 0.79 0.62 0.64 2009 0.72 0.67 0.73 2010 0.81 0.57 0.62 Correlations between technical efficiency from model 1, cost of funds, advance to deposit ratio and profit per employee showed little correlation between any two variables with the exception of profit per employee and advance to deposit ratio (0.53), cost of funds and efficiency (-0.42), suggesting that decreases in cost of funds are beneficial to improving technical efficiency scores of the bank. Referring Fig 2a, (model 2 results) technical efficiency in the years between 2002 and 2010 again followed a non-linear pattern with SBI group and public banks ahead of others in terms of technical efficiency, without any exception in any fiscal year. All categories consistently showed an efficiency of 0.5 or higher, though the foreign and private banks scored relatively lower in technical efficiency than the SBI group and public banks. This implies that SBI group and public banks exhibited better production efficiency than their foreign and private peers. However, foreign and private banks were more effective at turning deposits into advances, as depicted in table 4b. Also noteworthy is that private banks’ technical efficiency was on the ebb, while all other bank categories showed stability in levels of technical efficiency. 2005 was a year of efficiency declines for all categories of banks. Positive correlation in technical efficiency was exhibited between SBI group, public and foreign banks. The standard deviation (Table 2 a) shows lowest values for public banks (0.04) and highest values for private banks (0.07) Stdev 0.06 0.08 0.08 * SBI indicates SBI and group banks + average values for year and category Table 2a: Technical efficiency by year and category (Model 2) Foreign Private SBI * 2002 0.56 0.73 0.76 2003 0.58 0.77 0.79 2004 0.58 0.77 0.78 2005 0.44 0.71 0.77 2006 0.61 0.75 0.83 2007 0.61 0.74 0.87 2008 0.60 0.67 0.91 2009 0.63 0.67 0.88 2010 0.60 0.56 0.80 Stdev. 0.06 0.07 0.05 Table 2b: Allocative efficiency+ by year and category (Model 2) Foreign Private SBI 2002 0.71 0.81 0.67 2003 0.73 0.82 0.70 2004 0.70 0.80 0.60 2005 0.72 0.79 0.70 2006 0.80 0.90 0.91 2007 0.78 0.90 0.91 2008 0.78 0.90 0.96 2009 0.73 0.91 0.98 2010 0.75 0.89 0.90 Stdev. 0.03 0.05 0.13 In terms of cost efficiency represented in Table 2c and depicted in fig 2c, the private banks were leaders between 2002 and 2005 but lost this position to the public banks and SBI group, both of which have been at the top of the cost efficient measures since. Foreign banks lagged in cost efficiency showed improved performance as compared to private banks, whose efficiency levels in 2010 were low enough to displace the earlier lagging foreign 8 Public 0.60 0.81 0.76 0.76 0.80 0.83 0.65 0.73 0.62 0.09 Public 0.76 0.80 0.78 0.76 0.80 0.82 0.85 0.87 0.84 0.04 Public 0.63 0.63 0.60 0.69 0.85 0.88 0.95 0.97 0.93 0.15 Table 2c: Cost efficiency+ by year and category (Model 2) Foreign Private SBI Public 2002 0.42 0.60 0.50 0.46 2003 0.45 0.64 0.55 0.49 2004 2005 2006 0.44 0.32 0.50 0.62 0.56 0.66 0.53 0.53 0.76 0.49 0.52 0.68 2007 0.48 0.66 0.79 0.72 2008 0.48 0.61 0.87 0.81 2009 2010 Stdev 0.45 0.46 0.05 0.61 0.50 0.05 0.86 0.72 0.15 0.84 0.78 0.15 Table 4a: No. of commercial banks by fiscal & category Table 3b: Correlation, allocative efficiency, model 2 Foreign Private SBI Public Foreign 1 0.69 0.69 0.59 Private 1 0.97 0.94 SBI 1 0.98 Public 1 Private SBI Public 1 0.46 0.63 0.54 1 0.17 -0.10 1 0.96 Private SBI Public Private 29 SBI 8 Public 19 2003 2004 32 32 29 29 8 8 19 19 2005 2006 32 28 29 22 8 7 19 20 2007 2008 28 28 22 22 7 7 20 20 2009 2010 31 31 22 22 7 7 20 20 Year Foreign Private SBI Public 2002 2003 0.77 0.74 0.69 0.66 0.47 0.48 0.51 0.52 2004 2005 0.75 0.86 0.63 0.70 0.51 0.56 0.52 0.61 2006 2007 0.86 0.84 0.74 0.75 0.69 0.76 0.68 0.70 2008 2009 0.84 0.77 0.77 0.78 0.77 0.73 0.72 0.72 2010 0.69 0.77 0.77 0.71 Table 4c: Cost of funds by fiscal & category Table 3c: Correlation, cost efficiency model 2 Foreign Foreign 32 Table 4b: advance to deposit ratio by fiscal & category Table 3a: Correlation, cost efficiency, model 2 Foreign Private SBI Public Foreign 1 0.46 0.63 0.54 Private 1 0.17 -0.10 SBI 1 0.96 Public 1 Foreign Year 2002 1 Year Foreign Private SBI Public 2002 2003 6.44 5.46 7.15 6.34 7.49 6.70 6.69 5.96 2004 2005 3.97 3.65 5.33 4.63 5.56 4.78 4.98 4.40 2006 2007 4.49 4.21 4.78 5.30 4.71 5.09 4.36 4.87 2008 2009 4.17 4.33 6.34 6.77 6.32 6.54 5.88 6.17 2010 3.12 5.91 5.70 5.47 Table 4d: avg. profit/employee fiscal & category Table 3d: Correlation, allocative efficiency model 2 Foreign Private SBI Public Foreign Private SBI Public 1 0.69 0.69 0.59 1 0.97 0.94 1 0.98 1 9 Year 2002 2003 Foreign 9.16 13.91 Private 2.50 2.73 SBI 1.36 1.89 Public 0.97 1.57 2004 2005 20.42 11.06 4.35 1.18 2.96 2.43 2.31 2.31 2006 2007 27.33 26.92 3.12 3.63 2.28 2.94 2.75 3.26 2008 2009 45.18 39.61 4.74 5.24 3.56 4.39 4.19 4.79 2010 18.02 5.15 4.81 5.75 Table 5: Measurement of correlation coefficients between technical efficiency from model 1, cost of funds, advances to deposits and profit per employee Cost of Funds Adv. to Dep. Profit per empl. 1.00 -0.42 -0.07 0.28 1.00 -0.35 -0.51 1.00 0.53 AE Tech Eff. Cost of funds Adv. to dep. Profit per empl. Tech Eff. Allocative efficiency Model 2 1.00 1.05 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 2001 Foreign Public Private SBI 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year Fig 2b – Allocative efficiency: model 2 Technical Efficiency Model 1 Cost efficiency Model 2 1.00 0.80 Foreign 0.40 Private CE Nationalized TE 0.60 SBI 0.20 0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 2001 Foreign Public Private SBI 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year Fig 1 Technical efficiency: model 1 Fig 2c – Cost efficiency: model 2 TE Technical efficiency Model 2 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.70 0.65 0.60 0.55 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 7. CONCLUSIONS AND FURTHER RESEARCH Banking environments around the world operate under different macroeconomic conditions of liquidity, inflation, interest rate, regulations on investment and ownership to name a few. Therefore, studies on efficiency are often conducted constrained by macroeconomic boundaries such as country. In India, the public banks and SBI group are owned by the government and operate under various regulatory constraints. In spite of these regulations, they showed efficiency levels close to other categories when measured for intermediation efficiency and higher scores when measured for production efficiency. Foreign Public Private SBI Technical efficiency scores are highly dependent on the types of inputs and outputs selected for analysis. In this study, two models are used, one to study efficiency of intermediation, and the other to study the efficiency of production. While in the former, the foreign banks emerged as leaders, in the latter model, the public banks and SBI group clearly had higher technical efficiency scores. Year Fig 2a - Technical efficiency: model 2 10 Public banks and SBI group scored higher on cost efficiency and this may be due to economies of scale enjoyed by them. Tests on capital and reserve versus cost efficiency scores may provide evidence on relationship between size and cost efficiency. [6] Farrell, M.J. (1957) "The Measurement of Productive Efficiency,"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society vol. 120, pp. 253–281 [7] Guan, H.L. and Dipinder, S.R. (2005), “Competition, Liberalization and Efficiency: Evidence from a Two-Stage Banking Model on Banks in Hong Kong and Singapore”, Managerial Finance 31, No. 1, 52-77 Further research can be conducted on impact of macroeconomic events like inflation and interest rates on efficiency scores of commercial banks. Research can also be done on measuring events like divestment, capital structure changes, and acquisitions on the efficiency scores of commercial banks in India. Impact of major events like the financial crisis of 2008 on efficiency scores can also be examined. [8] Halkos, G.E. and Salamouris, D.S. (2004) “Efficiency Measurement of the Greek Commercial Banks with the Use of Financial Ratios: a Data Envelopment Analysis Approach”, Management accounting Research 15, No. 2, 201-224 [9] Isik, Ihsan and Kabir Hassan, M (2003), “Financial Deregulation and Total Factor Productivity Change: An Empirical Study of Turkish Commercial Banks”, Journal of Banking and Finance 27, No. 8, 1455-1485 8. REFERENCES [1] Bhattacharya, A., Lovell, C.A.K., and Sahay, P. (1997) “The impact of liberalization on the productive efficiency of Indian commercial banks”, European Journal of Operational Research, 98, 332-345 [10] Kaur, Pardeep and Kaur, Gian (2010), “Impact of mergers on the cost efficiency of Indian Commercial Banks”, Eurasian Journal of Business and Economics 3(5), 27-50 [2] Camanho A.S., Dyson and R.G (2005) “Cost Efficiency Measurement with Price Uncertainty: a DEA Application to Bank Branch Assessments”, European Journal of Operational Research 161, No. 3, 432-446 [11] R.B.I, A Profile of Banks: viewed on February 5th 2011 http://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/AnnualPublicatio ns.aspx?head=A+Profile+of+Banks [3] Charnes, A., W. Cooper, & E., Rhodes (1978) "Measuring the efficiency of decision-making units," European Journal of Operational Research vol. 2, pp. 429–444 [12] Saha. A, and T. S. Ravishankar (2000). “Rating of Indian Commercial banks: A DEA approach”, European Journal of Operations Research, 124, 187-203 [4] Chatterjee, G. (1997) “ Scale Economies in Banking: Indian Experience in Deregulated Era”, RBI Occasional Papers, Vol. 18 No. 1, 25-59 [13] Satyhye, Milind (2003), “Efficiency of banks in developing countries: The case of India”, European Journal of Operational Research, ISSN 0377-2217 [5] Cook, W.D., Hababou, M. and Tuenter, H.J. (2000), “Multicomponent Efficiency Measurement and Shared Inputs in Data Envelopment Analysis: an Application to Sales and Service Performance in Bank Branches”, Journal of Productivity Analysis 14, 209-224 [14] T.J Coelli (1996), “A Guide to DEAP 2.1: A data envelopment Analysis Computer Program” 11
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