MEMORY SUBSTITUTION Supplementary Material for: When past is present: Substitutions of long-term memory for sensory evidence in perceptual judgments Judith E. Fan, J. Benjamin Hutchinson, & Nicholas B. Turk-Browne Supplemental Figure 1: Model Comparison Results. (a) On visible test trials, the three-component mixture model (“swap”) provided the best overall fit to the data across experiments, relative to reduced models containing only the original-color component or only the current-color component, plus the uniform component. Differences in AIC are plotted relative to the null model containing only the uniform component. The blend model, while performing well, did not exceed the swap model in any experiment. b) On invisible test trials, where there was no current color, the two-component model containing the original-color and uniform components significantly outperformed the null model. The performance of the swap model was comparable, except for the penalty due to the additional parameter. Error bars indicate 68% confidence intervals. 1 MEMORY SUBSTITUTION Supplemental Figure 2: Model fits and residuals for each experiment and condition. The mixture modeling approach used throughout these studies assumes that a report follows either a von Mises distribution or a uniform guessing distribution (Zhang & Luck, 2008). However, recent studies of visual short-term memory (van den Berg et al., 2012; Fougnie, Suchow, & Alvarez, 2012; van den Berg, Awh, and Ma, 2014) have found that this basic mixture model leaves a structured residual: the observed response distribution tends to be ‘peakier’ than the model fit. In these cases, an alternative ‘variable-precision’ model, in which precision is not fixed but can take on values in a continuum, has been found to provide a better fit. In the current study of interactions between visual long-term memory and current sensory information, however, there was not strong evidence for ‘peakiness’ in the data relative to the model fit. In all panels, dotted lines represent 95% confidence bounds based on simulated data from model. 2 MEMORY SUBSTITUTION References Fougnie, D., Suchow, J. W., & Alvarez, G. A. (2012). Variability in the quality of visual working memory. Nature Communications, 3, 1229. van den Berg, R., Shin, H., Chou, W.-C., George, R., & Ma, W. J. (2012). Variability in encoding precision accounts for visual short-term memory limitations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109(22), 8780–8785. van den Berg, R., Awh, E., & Ma, W. J. (2014). Factorial comparison of working memory models. Psychological Review, 121(1), 124–149. Zhang, W., & Luck, S. J. (2008). Discrete fixed-resolution representations in visual working memory. Nature, 453(7192), 233–235. 3
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