Update from
Washington, D.C.
Presented by:
The Franklin Partnership, LLP
August 2016
Your Team in Washington
Lobbying Firm – The Franklin Partnership, LLP
• Bi-partisan Washington, D.C.-based government relations firm
• 80 years combined experience
• Representing manufacturing industry since 2003
• Clients include: Manufacturing associations, defense manufacturers, hospitals, research
institutions, municipalities, non-profits
Public Relations Firm – Policy Resolution Group at Bracewell
• Wash, D.C.-based public affairs & strategic communications consultants
• Promote the Associations in print, digital and other media
• Manage social media for NTMA, PMA and related groups
• Support Franklin Partnership government relations efforts by designing
and implementing coordinated strategy
• Representing metalworking industry since 2003
Overview of Services
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Business Support Services
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Regulatory Compliance
New Market/Business Research
SBA, Government Loans
Capital Investment Tax Incentives
Energy Efficiency Opportunities
Exporting 101
Local Workforce
Educating the Public
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Strategic Communications Firm on Retainer
Expertise in Social Media – promoting the industry
Hosting Public Officials for Plant Tours/CEO Roundtables
Bringing Students, Parents to the shop
Manufacturing Day Oct. 7
Get Out The Vote (GOTV) – Mobilizing the Manufacturing Vote
One Voice 9th Annual Legislative Conference – May 2-3, 2017
www.metalworkingadvocate.org/resources - Voting Scorecards
Tax Wins – R&D, 179, Bonus
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December 18 – President Obama signed into law bill
delaying, extending, or making permanent tax provisions:
- Permanent 14% R&D with AMT Claim
- Permanent Section 179 Equipment Expensing
- Extends Bonus Depreciation through 2019 with AMT Claim
- Two-Year Moratorium on Medical Device Excise Tax
- Two-Year Delay of “Cadillac Tax” on Premium Health Plans
- Commercial Building Energy Efficiency Deduction Extended
- Extends Hiring Long-Term Unemployed Credit
- Extends Empowerment Zones for Two-Years
- Exclusion of Small Business Stock Held for Five Years
- Permanent Five Year Built-in Gains for S-Corporations
- S-Corporation Charitable Donations
- 501(c)(4) Gift Tax Exemption
Administration Not Slowing Down…
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Waters of the U.S. – May 2015
Micro-Unions – Upheld May 2015
NLRB “Joint Employer” for Temps Ruling – August 2015
Ground Level Ozone Emissions – October 2015
Existing Power Plant Regulation – October 2015
California Nickel Regulation as Harmful – November 2015
OSHA Safety and Health Program Guidelines – December 2015
EEOC Wage, Gender, Race Reporting – January 2016
NLRB Persuader Rule – April 2016
OSHA Electronic Recordkeeping – May 2016
Department of Labor Overtime Rule – May 2016
Heavy Duty Engine/Vehicle Emissions – August 2016
OSHA Slips, Trips, and Falls – August 2016
Combustible Dust Standards – September 2016
Lockout/Tagout – September 2016
Arc Flash – Ongoing
Combustible Dust Standards – October 2016
Volks Decision – Keep 5 years of Records – October 2016
OSHA, DoJ and Increased Enforcement
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OSHA, DoJ sign MOU in December
OSHA now subject to DoJ Environmental Crimes Division
DoJ changing internal guidelines to prioritize workplace
25 years in prison (was 6 months) for contributing to death
Effective August 1 – New OSHA Fine Levels
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Repeat and Willful increases from $70,000 to $127,400
Serious and Failure-to-Abate increases from $7,000 to $12,744
- Lack of a document now also $12,744
OSHA shifting to fewer, but longer inspections for quotas
Political Update
2016 – GOP Likely Retains House
2016 – Republicans Battle to Hold Senate
2016 – Race for the White House
Key Races
AZ-01: OPEN, Kirkpatrick running for Senate (D) – Toss Up
Reps: Pinal Co. Sherriff Paul Babeu - $628,847 Raised/$250,644 COH
Frmr. Sec/Stae Ken Bennet - $409,968 Raised/ $262,064 COH
St. House Speaker David Gowan - $364,828 Raised/ $193,942 COH
‘14 Candidate Gary Kiehlne - $1,050,110 Raised/ $245,459 COH
Dem: Frmr. St. Sen. Tom O’Halleran - $791,147 Raised/$492,268 COH
AZ-02: Martha McSally (R) – Lean R
Rep: Incumbent Rep. Martha McSally - $5,068,864 Raised/$2,565,145
COH
Dem: Frmr. State Rep. Matt Heinz - $819,648 Raised/ $419,888 COH
St. Rep. Victoria Steele - $196,308 Raised/ $56,675 COH
Key Races
CA-25: Steve Knight (R) – Toss Up
Rep: Incumbent Rep. Steve Knight, - $1,041,479 Raised/$630,935 COH
Dem: Attn. Bryan Caforio - $583,867 Raised/$137,667 COH
CA-49: Darrell Issa (R) – Likely R
Rep: Incumbent Rep. Darrell Issa - $769,035 Raised/$3, 767,954 COH
Dem: Douglas Applegate - $186,104 Raised/$135,162 COH
CA-52: Scott Peters (D) – Likely D
Reps: Denise Gitsham - $728,653 Raised/ $306,567 COH
Carl Demaio - $1,704 Raised/ $50,047 COH
Dem: Incumbent Rep. Scott Peters - $2,725,494 Raised/$1,926,145 COH
Key Races
CO-03: Scott R. Tipton (R) – Lean R
Rep: Incumbent Rep. Scott Tipton - $1,163,053 Raised/$986,545 COH
Dem: St. Sen. Gail Schwartz - $622,960 Raised/$549,421 COH
CO-06: Mike Coffman (R) – Toss Up
Rep: Incumbent Rep. Mike Coffman - $ 2,334,014 Raised/$1,635,926
COH
Dem: St. Sen. Minority Leader Morgan Carrol - $1,378,497
Raised/$866,857 COH
TX-23: Will Hurd (R) – Toss Up
Rep: Incumbent Rep. Will Hurd - $2,636,118 Raised/$1,679,389 COH
Dem: Former U.S. Rep Pete Gallego - $1,310,393 Raised/$782,232 COH
Key Races
UT-04: Mia Love (R) – Toss Up
Rep: Incumbent Rep. Mia Love - $3,178,886 Raised/$1,490,389 COH
Dem: ‘14 Candidate Doug Owen- $1,447,657 Raised/$889,851 COH
NM Gov: Susana Martinez (R)
Term Limited – Vacant in Nov. 2018
Martinez: 47% Approve vs. 42% Disapprove
U.S. Senate Today…54R – 46D
2016: 24 Republicans Up vs. 10 Democrats
Dems Need 4-5 Seats for Control
Most Competitive Senate Races
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Mark Kirk (R-IL)
Ron Johnson (R-WI)
Rob Portman (R-OH)
Kelly Ayotte (R-NH)
Pat Toomey (R-PA)
Harry Reid (D-NV) – retiring
Marco Rubio (R-FL)
John McCain (R-AZ)
Michael Bennet (D-CO)
Roy Blunt (R-MO)
Richard Burr (R-NC)
Dan Coats (R-IN) – retiring
Johnny Isakson (R-GA)
Rand Paul (R-KY)
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)
Arizona Senate
Rep: Incumbent Sen. John McCain
Dem: Current U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick
McCain (R): $10,639,341 Raised/ $5,537,781 COH
Kirkpatrick (D): $2,196,058 Raised/$1,339,303 COH
McCain (R) 41% vs. 35.5% Kirkpatrick (D)
McCain: Approve 35% vs. 50% Disapprove
Primary: August 30, 2016
Rated Lean R
California Senate
OPEN – Sen. Boxer Retiring
AG Kamala Harris vs. U.S. Rep. Loretta Sanchez
Harris (D): $8,956,994 Raised/ $4,989,977 COH
Sanchez (D): $4,451,135 Raised/$2,329,895 COH
Harris (D) 38.5% vs. 22% Sanchez (D)
Rated Solid D
California Governor
Colorado Senate
Rep: Darryl Glenn, El Paso City Commissioner
Dem: Incumbent Sen. Michael Bennet
Glenn (R): $25,813 Raised/ $11,313 COH
Bennet (D): $14,342,936 Raised/$7,604,743 COH
Bennet (D) 49.5% vs. 37.3% Glenn (R)
Bennet: Approve 46% vs. 26% Disapprove
Rated Likely D
Utah Senate
Rep: Incumbent Sen. Mike Lee
Dem: Misty Snow, Transgender Rights Activist
Ind: Bill Barron, Environmental Advocate, Renewable
Energy Non-Profit founder
Lee (R): $3,262,583 Raised/$998,473 COH
Snow (D): $11,898 Raised/$6,266 COH
Barron (I): $1,512 Raised/$2,150 COH
Lee: Approve 45% vs. 37% Disapprove
Rated Solid R
2016:
Race for the
White House
Lesser of Two Evils…?
Trump Doubling Down on White Votes
Trump may need 67-70% of white males to win...
- Reagan won 63%
- Romney won 62%
- McCain won 57%
…1980 white male voters: 45% vs. 35% in 2012
Florida is 30% white male; Colorado 35%, Nevada 29%
Percentage of Hispanic voters won by GOP nominee:
- Romney 27%
- McCain 31%
- Bush 40% (2004)
General Election Match-Up
Nationally
• Clinton 47.8% vs. 42% Trump
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Clinton: Favorable 40.6% vs. 53.9% Unfavorable
Trump: Favorable 35.3% vs. 57.9% Unfavorable
Locally
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AZ: Clinton 43.5% vs. 43% Trump
CA: Clinton 52.6% vs. 30.4% Trump
CO: Clinton 44.6% vs. 36.6% Trump
TX: Clinton 33% vs. 41% Trump
UT: Clinton 33% vs. 38% Trump
President Obama Approval Rating: 51% Approve - 47% Disapprove
Possible Outcome: A Trump Win
Trump
could win
with IA,
NC, NV,
OH, PA, VA
but lose FL
Possible Outcome: A Total Blowout
Possible Outcome: Prediction
Mobilizing the Manufacturing Vote
Download the One
Voice GOTV Poster
Hang the poster in
your shops
Email it to other shop
owners
How You Can Become Involved
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Become involved with your trade association
Attend town hall mtgs
Attend fundraisers
Annual Manufacturing Day – Oct. 7
Support association’s PAC and Advocacy funds
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NTMA PAC 2014 Success Rate: 100%
Sign PAC Approval Forms
Participate in Media Outreach
Get Out The Vote (GOTV)!
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http://www.metalworkingadvocate.org/resources
Questions?
The Franklin Partnership, LLP
[email protected]
@mfglobbyist
@OneVoiceforMfg