The probability of any event is the sum of the probabilities pi of the values of X that make up the event. A bottle cap is tossed three times. We define the random variable X as the number of number of times the cap drops with the open side up. What is the probability that at least two Value of X 0 1 2 3 times the cap lands with the open side Probability .027 .189 .441 .343 UDD DUD DDU UUD UDU UUD UUU up ( at least two means two or more )? P(X ≥ 2) = P(X=2) + P(X=3) = .441 + .343 = 0.784 DDD What is the probability that cap lands with the open side up fewer than three times? P(X<3) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2) = .027 + .189 + .441 = 0.657 or P(X<3) = 1 – P(X=3) = 1 - 0.343 = 0.657
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