Ecology, 89(1), 2008, pp. 280–288 Ó 2008 by the Ecological Society of America BETWEEN DISCRETE AND CONTINUOUS: CONSUMER–RESOURCE DYNAMICS WITH SYNCHRONIZED REPRODUCTION E. PACHEPSKY,1 R. M. NISBET, AND W. W. MURDOCH Department of Ecology, Evolution and Marine Biology, University of California, Santa Barbara, California 93106 USA Abstract. In many consumer–resource systems the consumer population has synchronized reproduction at regular intervals (e.g., years) but consumes the resource and dies continuously, while the resource population grows continuously or has overlapping generations that are short relative to the time between consumer reproductive events. Such systems require ‘‘semi-discrete’’ models that have both discrete and continuous components. This paper defines and analyzes a canonical, semi-discrete model for a widespread class of consumer–resource interactions in which the consumer is a discrete breeder and the resource reproduction can be described continuously. The model is the analog of the Nicholson-Bailey and Lotka-Volterra models for discrete and continuous systems, respectively. It thereby develops the basis for understanding more realistic, and hence more complex, semi-discrete models. The model can display stable equilibria, consumer–resource cycles, and single-specieslike overcompensation cycles. Cycles are induced by high maximum fecundity in the consumer. If the resource grows rapidly and the consumer has high maximum fecundity, the model reduces to a single-species discrete-time model of the consumer, which can exhibit overcompensation cycles. By contrast, such cycles in discrete consumer–resource models typically occur only in the resource once the consumer is extinct. Also unlike a common class of discrete models that do not display consumer–resource cycles with periods below four years, semi-discrete models can exhibit consumer–resource cycles with periods as short as two years. Key words: consumer–resource cycles; consumer–resource dynamics; impulsive differential equations; overcompensation; pulsed differential equations; semi-discrete models. INTRODUCTION Consumer–resource theory has two well-developed approaches: discrete-time models and continuous-time models. Discrete-time models describe the change of the consumer and resource populations from one reproductive event to the next. They are designed to describe systems where interaction between consumer and resource occurs over a short period of time, and both species breed at the same interval. The Nicholson-Bailey model applied to host–parasitoid systems is the bestknown example. Continuous-time models, such as the Lotka-Volterra model, are designed to describe systems where consumer and resource interactions occur continuously, and reproduction in both consumer and resource can be described as a continuous process (for example, when both populations have overlapping generations). Many consumer–resource systems do not fit either framework. This paper focuses on one type of these systems where the consumer is a discrete breeder (reproducing typically once per year) while the resource reproduces more or less continuously and has several, Manuscript received 20 April 2007; accepted 21 May 2007. Corresponding Editor: D. C. Speirs. 1 Present address: Microsoft Research, Computational Ecology and Environmental Science Group, Roger Needham Building, 7 JJ Thomson Avenue, Cambridge CB3 0FB UK. E-mail: [email protected] 280 often overlapping, generations per year. Examples include planktivorous fish continuously consuming zooplankton in lakes, ungulates consuming grass (where increase in biomass is continuous), ladybugs feeding on aphids, and weasels attacking voles or other rodents. Prey reproduction is usually not entirely continuous (it is interrupted by winter, diapause, or some other seasonal phenomenon), but a physiological time scale (e.g., degree days) can translate such phenology into resource growth that is reasonably approximated by continuous dynamics. Traditionally formulated, discrete-time models are not appropriate for such systems because it is not possible to compact the interactions between consumers and resource into a short time each year. Continuoustime models also cannot readily describe these systems because consumer reproduction is not continuous, but occurs in a burst every reproductive period, which for convenience we hereafter refer to as one year. To capture these life histories we need a hybrid model that describes the continuous interactions of resource and consumer throughout the year, punctuated by the discrete reproduction event of the consumer. We refer to these as ‘‘semi-discrete models.’’ We investigate how the mix of continuous and discrete life histories affects their dynamics; when they resemble continuous models and when discrete. We ask if they can display the full range of dynamics of continuous and discrete models, and whether new dynamical features appear. January 2008 SEMI-DISCRETE CONSUMER–RESOURCE DYNAMICS We also examine the properties of population cycles, which are of particular interest because their periods have been used to infer the processes driving population dynamics. For example, Murdoch et al. (2002) showed that for a class of discrete models, the cycle period can be used to sharply delineate ‘‘single-species’’ cycles from twospecies ‘‘consumer–resource’’ cycles. Single-species cycles for the models they examine generally have a period of one to four years if consumer reproduction occurs every year, and can arise through direct or indirect density dependence in consumer birth or death rates (Murdoch et al. 2003). There are many biological mechanisms capable of generating single-species dynamics, the best known being delayed feedback that leads to overcompensation and cycles with a period of at least two years. By contrast, consumer–resource cycles have a period of at least six years if both consumer and resource reproduce every year. The equations for our semi-discrete consumer–resource model are examples of ‘‘impulsive equations’’ or ‘‘pulsed differential equations’’ (e.g., Lakshmikantham et al. 1989). Several previous studies used this formalism to examine the dynamics of predator–prey interactions (e.g., Liu and Chen 2004, Liu et al. 2004, Zhang and Chen 2005), bacteria in a chemostat (Funasaki and Kot 1993), and epidemiological systems (Hui and Chen 2004). In these works, the equations are sufficiently simple that the differential equations for the within-year dynamics can be solved explicitly; so the system is expressed as a discrete-time model. Unfortunately, this approach is not applicable to the nonlinear models that arise with even a modicum of ecological realism. Semi-discrete consumer–resource models are also appropriate in systems where the consumer reproduces approximately continuously and the resource discretely. The most obvious members of this class are true parasites and their hosts. Semi-discrete models have been applied to insect host–pathogen systems (Briggs and Godfray 1996, Bonsall et al. 1999) and a nematode– host system (Dugaw et al. 2004). Briggs and Godfray (1996) and Bonsall et al. (1999) found stability and consumer–resource cycles, while Dugaw et al. (2004) found overcompensation cycles. These studies had to rely mainly on numerical analysis (sometimes with help of analytical treatment of limiting situations) to understand the behavior of the model, because the analysis of full models was not possible. This paper presents an analytical treatment of local stability and oscillations in a semi-discrete model, designed to incorporate the minimum degree of realism, and that elucidates the range of possible dynamics. The resource grows logistically and is eaten by the consumer at a linear rate (type 1 functional response) throughout the year. The consumers accumulate biomass used for reproduction and also suffer mortality throughout the year. At the end of each year, the surviving consumers reproduce using the accumulated biomass. The analysis of this model is more complex than for previous models because the nonlinearity of the logistic function describing 281 the resource growth rate makes it impossible to translate the model explicitly into a set of discrete-time equations. Our overall aim is to propose a baseline, semi-discrete model (in the nature of the Lotka-Volterra and Nicholson-Bailey models) for interactions in which the consumer is a discrete breeder and the resource breeds continuously. We explore the possible dynamical behavior of this model (the stability of the equilibria and the properties of population cycles), and constrain possible dynamics by establishing reasonable ranges of parameter values. To elucidate the effects of the semi-discrete life history on the stability and the likelihood and period of population cycles, we compare the dynamics of our semi-discrete model to continuous (damped LotkaVolterra) and discrete (Neubert and Kot 1992) models with similar interactions, and finally to a limiting case of the semi-discrete model under the assumption of fast resource growth (Geritz and Kisdi 2004). MODEL The key distinguishing feature of our model is a time interval, denoted by T, between pulses of consumer reproduction. In many cases this interval is one year and, though other intervals such as a lunar month are possible, for simplicity we refer to annual reproduction as ‘‘within-year’’ and ‘‘between-year’’ dynamics. Within the year, the resource population grows, individual consumers eat, store resource for reproduction, and may die. Between years, consumers reproduce in a pulse. The within-year dynamics are described by a system of differential equations, and the between-year dynamics are described by a system of difference equations. Years are labeled by an integer, t, and we denote by s the time within a year since consumer reproduction (0 s T ). All state variables and parameters are defined in Table 1. Within-year dynamics are described by three differential equations: dF F dC dB ¼r 1 F aFC ¼ mC ¼ aF: ds K ds ds ð1Þ Here, F(s) is the density of resource, and C(s) is the density of consumers. The quantity B(s) is the total amount of resource eaten over a year by an individual consumer, some fixed proportion of which is assumed to be stored for reproduction at the transition between years. Parameter r is the intrinsic resource growth rate, K is the resource carrying capacity, a is the consumer attack rate, and m is the consumer death rate (Table 1). We define quantities Vt and Wt to be resource and consumer densities at the start of the year (i.e., immediately after consumer reproduction). Thus each year, the three equations are solved with the following initial conditions: Fð0Þ ¼ Vt Cð0Þ ¼ Wt Bð0Þ ¼ 0: ð2Þ Consumers reproduce at the transition between years. We assume this process to be instantaneous, so there is 282 E. PACHEPSKY ET AL. no change in resource density between years. At the transition, therefore: Vtþ1 ¼ FðT Þ Wtþ1 ¼ ½hBðT Þ þ 1CðT Þ ð3Þ where F(T ), C(T ), and B(T ) are the resource density, consumer density, and accumulated resource consumed, respectively, at the end of the year. Parameter h is the consumer conversion efficiency (Table 1). Scaled model We non-dimensionalize the model to reduce the number of parameters. Picking the scales for time within year and consumer and resource densities, ss ¼ T Fs ¼ K Cs ¼ Kh ð4Þ (where ss is the scale for time within year, Fs and Cs are scales for consumer and resource densities respectively), we define dimensionless quantities s¼ s ss b¼ BCs ¼ hB Fs l ¼ mT f ¼ F Fs c¼ vt ¼ C Cs Vt Fs q ¼ rT wt ¼ Wt Cs ð5Þ where s is the scaled time within a year, f is the scaled resource density, c is the scaled consumer density, b is the scaled amount of resource eaten by an individual consumer during the year, vt is the scaled resource density at the beginning of the year, wt is the scaled consumer density at the beginning of the year, l is the scaled consumer death rate, q is the scaled resource intrinsic growth rate, and a is the scaled consumer maximum fecundity (Table 1). The within-year equations then take the following form: df ¼ qð1 f Þf afc ds dc ¼ lc ds db ¼ af : ds ð6Þ The update rule between years is vtþ1 ¼ f ð1 Þ wtþ1 ¼ ½bð1 Þ þ 1cð1 Þ: ð7Þ The dynamics in the scaled model are controlled by three dimensionless parameter groups, q, l, and a. We can interpret these as follows. The quantity eq is the maximum (geometric) growth factor for the resource in a consumer year. That is, if there were no consumers, and no resource density dependence, this is the factor by which the resource would grow in a year. The quantity el is the year-to-year survival of the consumer. The quantity a is the maximum number of offspring (fecundity) produced by an individual consumer that survives the year; to see this, consider a hypothetical situation where throughout the year, F ¼ K, implying f ¼ 1. It is related to the maximum geometric growth factor, k, of the consumer population by k ¼ ða þ 1Þel : TABLE 1. Variables and parameters in the unscaled and scaled models. Parameter ð8Þ Definition Unscaled model t years, integer T duration of a year s time within a year, s 2 [0, T ] F resource density during the year C consumer density during the year B amount of resource eaten by an individual consumer during the year resource density at the beginning of the year Vt consumer density at the beginning of the year Wt r intrinsic growth rate of resource K resource carrying capacity a consumer attack rate m consumer death rate h consumer conversion efficiency Scaled model t f s c b vt wt a ¼ ahKT Ecology, Vol. 89, No. 1 q a l years, integer scaled resource density, F/K scaled time within a year, s 2 [0, T ] scaled consumer density, C/(Kh) scaled amount of resource eaten by an individual consumer during the year, hB scaled resource density at the beginning of the year, Vt/K scaled consumer density at the beginning of the year, Wt/(Kh) scaled resource intrinsic growth rate, rT scaled consumer maximum fecundity, ahKT scaled consumer death rate, mT MODEL DYNAMICS The model has three possible equilibria: the trivial (0, 0) equilibrium, with no consumer and no resource; the (1, 0) equilibrium, with no consumer, and resource at the carrying capacity; and the equilibrium (v, w), with both resource and consumer present. The derivation and the linear stability analysis of all three equilibria are presented in the Appendix. The zero equilibrium (0, 0) is unstable if q is positive. The no-consumer equilibrium (1, 0) is unstable if the consumer can grow when the resource is at the carrying capacity, which occurs when ða þ 1Þel . 1: ð9Þ When both consumer and resource are present, the model exhibits a range of behavior including a stable nonzero equilibrium, consumer–resource cycles, and consumer overcompensation cycles, including chaotic dynamics (Fig. 1). We performed a linear stability analysis and mapped out the boundaries of regions in parameter space where consumer–resource cycles and overcompensation cycles arise (Fig. 2). These stability boundaries delineate the regions of local stability and of potentially cyclic dynamics. We numerically checked that the behavior of the model in those regions is consistent with inferences from properties on the boundaries. Fig. 2 shows how the three parameter groups (i.e., scaled resource growth rate q, scaled consumer mortality January 2008 SEMI-DISCRETE CONSUMER–RESOURCE DYNAMICS 283 FIG. 1. Possible behaviors of the model: (a, b) stable dynamics (a ¼ 10.0, l ¼ 1.5); (c, d) overcompensation cycles (a ¼ 11.0, l ¼ 0.8); (e, f ) chaotic dynamics (a ¼ 13.5, l ¼ 0.7); and (g, h) consumer–resource dynamics (a ¼ 2.88, l ¼ 0.1). The density of the consumers is shown at the end of the year, before reproduction. For all panels q ¼ 20. The scaled densities are dimensionless (see Eq. 5). See Table 1 for parameter definitions. rate l, and scaled maximum consumer fecundity a) affect model dynamics. Fig. 2a is a plot of the stability boundaries as a function of the scaled consumer death rate l and the scaled maximum fecundity a for a fixed value of q ¼ 20. The equilibrium is stable for higher values of l and a (example in Fig. 1a and b). For high values of l and low values of a, the consumer cannot survive: the consumer extinction boundary is defined by the relationship between l and a in Eq. 9. For higher values of a, stable dynamics give way to consumer–resource and overcompensation cycles. For low values of l, the model displays consumer–resource cycles (example in Fig. 1g and h). The amplitude of the cycles is small close to the consumer–resource boundary, and increases away from the boundary, suggesting that the bifurcation is supercritical (e.g., Thieme 2003). The cycle period of the consumer–resource cycles is shown in Fig. 2b. On the boundary (i.e., as the cycles emerge), the period is long for low values of l and a and decreases to two at the point when the consumer–resource boundary meets the overcompensation stability boundary (which also has cycles with period 2; example in Fig. 1c and d), at around l ¼ 0.8. The overcompensation boundary has a U shape, with the right side facing the stability region and the left side crossing the region of consumer– resource cycles. In the region where the consumer– resource and overcompensation regions overlap, the model displays complex and possibly chaotic dynamics. Fig. 2c shows how the stability boundaries shift with changes in q. As q increases, the boundary for the onset of consumer–resource cycles shrinks, and the overcompensation cycles occur for lower values of l. However, when l is high enough, the overcompensation boundaries of the models for different values of q eventually converge to the same line (as can be seen for the plots with q ¼ 20 and 40). Ecologically, the overcompensation cycles in our model arise from delayed feedback involving indirect density dependence in consumer reproduction. When consumer density is above equilibrium at the start of a year, the resource density is more strongly suppressed throughout the year, each consumer accumulates less resource biomass, and per head consumer reproduction at the end of the year is lower, so consumer density at the start of the following year is lower. The opposite occurs the following year. Overcompensation cycles are more likely when the resource has rapid growth, for reasons explained in the next section. CONNECTIONS TO OTHER MODELS Semi-discrete models are a mix of continuous and discrete processes. We now draw connections and compare dynamics of the semi-discrete models to their continuous and discrete counterparts. We compare the dynamics of the model in this paper to three other models: a purely continuous consumer–resource model, a purely discrete analog of our model (Neubert and Kot 1992), and our model in a limiting situation of fast resource response. 284 E. PACHEPSKY ET AL. Ecology, Vol. 89, No. 1 Connection to a continuous consumer–resource model A continuous counterpart of the semi-discrete model is a model with logistic resource growth and linear consumer functional response: dF F dC ¼ rF 1 aFC ¼ eaFC lC ð10Þ dt K dt where F is the resource density, C is the consumer density, r is the intrinsic resource growth rate, a is the consumer attack rate, l is the death rate of the consumer, and e is the consumer conversion efficiency. Note that the conversion efficiency, e, in the continuous model is not the same as the conversion efficiency, h, in the semi-discrete model because the former is instantaneous and the latter is invoked only once a year. The expression for the resource equilibrium value of the semi-discrete model (see Appendix: Eq. 13) involves variables describing resource growth as well as consumer growth. This is different from the continuous model where the resource equilibrium value does not depend on the parameters for resource growth, but is consistent with results for discrete models (Murdoch et al. 2003: Chapter 4). In the continuous model the nonzero equilibrium of consumer and resource is always globally stable (Nisbet and Gurney 1982) if it exists (i.e., if K . l/(ea)). In the semi-discrete model, the discrete consumer reproduction adds a time lag to the dynamics of the consumer. This can destabilize the equilibrium leading to the appearance of consumer–resource cycles, as well as other possibilities discussed previously. Connection to a fully discrete model with density-dependent resource growth A discrete model counterpart to our model is one with density-dependent resource growth and linear functional response in the consumer. A model of this type was considered by Neubert and Kot (1992). It is described by the following set of equations: Ft aFt Ct Ftþ1 ¼ Ft þ rFt 1 K Ctþ1 ¼ eaFt Ct þ ð1 dÞCt FIG. 2. (a) The stability boundaries of the semi-discrete model as a function of a and l; CR ¼ consumer–resource cycles boundary (heavy solid line and dotted line), OC ¼ overcompensation cycles boundary (heavy dashed line), and consumer extinction boundary (light solid line); scaled resource growth rate q ¼ 20. (b) Cycle period along the consumer–resource stability boundary. The period is shown as a function of l. (Note that a changes for each value of l so that the model remains on the consumer–resource boundary). Scaled resource growth rate q ¼ 20. (c) Stability boundaries for different values of q; consumer–resource cycles boundary (heavy solid line), overcompensation cycle boundaries (heavy dashed line), and consumer extinction boundary (light solid line). See Table 1 for parameter definitions. ð11Þ where Ft is the resource density, Ct is the consumer density, r and K are parameters for the Ricker resource growth, a is consumer foraging efficiency, e is the conversion efficiency of the consumer, and d is the proportion of the consumer that dies over the year. This model also displays consumer–resource cycles, stable dynamics, and overcompensation cycles, but the overcompensation cycles in this model are in the resource, not the consumer population, and they typically occur only when the consumer goes extinct. That is, this model becomes a single-species model of the resource with delayed density-dependent growth, which produces overcompensation cycles. These cycles are not January 2008 SEMI-DISCRETE CONSUMER–RESOURCE DYNAMICS 285 stable equilibrium, overcompensation cycles, or other nonlinear ‘‘Ricker-like’’ dynamics (including chaos) depending on the values of model parameters. It is similarly possible to derive a one-species discrete map that approximates the consumer dynamics in our model when the resource responds quickly to consumer densities (i.e., for very high values of q and a). Provided the consumer density, wt, at the start of any given year is not too high, pseudo-equilibrium implies that at all times s, f(s) ’ 1 (awtels)/q and hence that awt l ð12Þ ðe 1Þ : bð1 Þ ¼ a 1 þ ql Substituting in Eq. 7 then yields wtþ1 ¼ kwt ð1 kwt Þ ð13Þ where k¼ a2 ð1 el Þ qlð1 þ aÞ and k is the consumer geometric growth factor introduced in Eq. 8. Thus the consumer dynamics are approximated by the logistic map, popularized in ecology by May (1976) and analyzed in detail in many textbooks (e.g., Kot 2001). For this map, the onset of instability due to overcompensation occurs when k ¼ 3; that is, when a ¼ 3el 1: FIG. 3. Stability boundary plots of maximum resource fecundity vs. the resource growth rate for (a) the fully discrete model from Neubert and Kot (1992: after their Fig. 1), and (b) the semi-discrete model. Note that the stability plot is not along the a and l axes as in previous plots, because when calculating the stability boundaries in their paper, Neubert and Kot assume that the consumer death rate d is 1, so they do not examine changes of the stability boundaries as a function of the consumer death rate. See Table 1 for parameter definitions. ð14Þ In Fig. 4 we compare the stability boundary calculated from Eq. 14 with that of the full semi-discrete model for a large, but still ecologically plausible, value of q. Agreement is excellent, except for the smallest values of a, when the semi-discrete model predicts consumer–resource, not overcompensation, cycles. possible in our model because in the absence of the consumer the resource has continuous logistic growth and hence has a stable equilibrium. In Fig. 3 we illustrate the difference by comparing stability boundaries for the two models in terms of the resource growth rate and maximum consumer fecundity. Semi-discrete model with fast resource response Geritz and Kisdi (2004) examine semi-discrete models with a similar structure to the model presented in this paper. In their analyses, they assume that the resource responds to the consumer density very quickly. This translates into an assumption that the resource is in pseudo-equilibrium with the consumer throughout the year. They show that the consumer dynamics then resemble those of a single-species discrete model, with a FIG. 4. Comparing stability boundaries for the semidiscrete model (heavy solid and dashed lines) with approximation of fast resource dynamics (dotted line); consumer extinction ¼ light solid line; q ¼ 40. See Table 1 for parameter definitions. 286 E. PACHEPSKY ET AL. FIG. 5. (a) Stability boundaries for a range of l, k, and q. The area in white is the region of reasonable parameters. Solid lines (consumer–resource boundary) and dashed line (overcompensation cycle boundary) delineate stability for different values of q. Below the solid line is the stable region; above the line the system is unstable, having crossed either a consumer–resource boundary (heavy solid lines) or overcompensation boundary (heavy dashed lines). (b) Cycle periods on the boundary for the different values of q. See Table 1 for parameter definitions. INTERPRETING THE RESULTS To interpret our results, we define broadest possible ranges for the model parameters. First we find a range for the scaled intrinsic growth rate of the resource q. Within systems that fit our model, one of the fastest growing resources is zooplankton as prey for annual fish. Using the well-studied zooplankton Daphnia as an example, a reasonable maximum value of the intrinsic growth rate r for Daphnia under optimal conditions in nature is around 0.1–0.3/d. If these conditions were sustained all year, the maximum value of q would be about 100. Perhaps the slowest growing terrestrial prey animals that breed continuously and still have overlapping generations are organisms like voles, with an r of 6/yr and hence q ¼ 6 (Turchin and Hanski 1997). The range of q for animal resource species is thus between 6 Ecology, Vol. 89, No. 1 and 100. The growth rate of grasses may encompass that range. Nielsen et al. (1996) present the range of daily r values for various plants, and these translate into a range of q for sedges, herbs, and shrubs between 0.3 and 100. To estimate the scaled consumer death rate, l, it is useful to think of 1/l as the average life span of the consumer scaled by the time between reproductions. We assume the minimum value of 1/l to be 1/2; this means that by the end of the first year, 13% of the population survives. This gives a maximum value of l ¼ 2. Instead of estimating the range for the maximum consumer fecundity, a, we constrain it using its interpretation in Eq. 8. The relationship k ¼ (a þ 1)el gives a relationship between a and l. There is already a constraint that k must be .1 for consumer to survive (Eq. 9). The largest biologically reasonable value for yearly intrinsic growth rate, k, observed in natural population is around 10 (Murdoch et al. 2002). This is an upper constraint on a and l. Fig. 5a shows the stability boundaries (as in Fig. 2c) for parameter values in the specified ranges. Notice that for q ¼ 5, the overcompensation cycles boundary does not appear in the figure since overcompensation cycles only arise for extremely large values of a and l. A biological summary of our key results is as follows. Consumers with short adult life spans (l large) and low maximum fecundity enhance stability, provided they can persist (Fig. 5a). When cycles exist, they are likely to be consumer–resource cycles when the resource rate of increase is low (e.g., q ¼ 5 in Fig. 5a). Shorter consumer adult life span and higher consumer fecundity move the cycles to the overcompensation type (e.g., q ¼ 20 in Fig. 5a). Note that our model is not appropriate for univoltine predators because of the exponential survival term (i.e., no matter how large the death rate of the consumer, some proportion of consumers will survive to the next year). DISCUSSION We analyzed a semi-discrete model where throughout the year the resource grows and is consumed by the consumer, and consumers may die, but consumers reproduce once a year. Reproduction could be at different intervals (e.g., every month), but we use yearly reproduction to make the discussion simpler. The resource grows logistically, and the consumer has a type 1 functional response. Our analysis showed that this model can have a stable equilibrium with both consumer and resource present, and can also display both consumer–resource cycles (characteristic of two-species dynamics) and consumer overcompensation cycles (characteristic of one-species dynamics). The dynamics of the model are driven by the resource growth rate, q, death rate of the consumer, l, and a, the maximum consumer fecundity. For low values of the resource growth rate, q, consumer–resource cycles appear. For higher resource growth rates, short consumer–resource January 2008 SEMI-DISCRETE CONSUMER–RESOURCE DYNAMICS cycles and overcompensation cycles (of period 2) occur. Increased values of a destabilize the system. The semidiscrete model is less stable than the continuous model (which is always stable). That is, not surprisingly, the lag caused by discrete consumer reproduction has a destabilizing effect. The consumer overcompensation cycles in the semidiscrete model are caused by delayed indirect density dependence in the consumer. They occur when the consumer is effectively acting like a single species. This situation is promoted by a rapidly growing resource, which is then effectively in pseudoequilibrium throughout the year (see also Geritz and Kidsi [2004]). Our treatment of this limiting situation (the argument leading to Eq. 13) is similar to, but different in some important mathematical details from, Geritz and Kisdi (2004). We shall report on these in a subsequent publication (R. M. Nisbet and E. Pachepsky, unpublished manuscript). Single-species-like cycles have also been demonstrated in continuous-time consumer–resource models with developmental time delays in both species; these models are written as delay differential equations (Murdoch et al. 2003). Interestingly, the cycle periods on the consumer– resource boundary of our model range from very long all the way down to period-two cycles. This contrasts with results by Murdoch et al. (2002) who found that for a class of discrete-time consumer–resource models, the consumer–resource cycles will typically have a period larger than six. Our model suggests that within-season, continuous consumer–resource interaction eliminates this hard boundary. However, the results in Fig. 5b still suggest that consumer–resource cycles with a period less than four times the consumer development time may not be common in nature. Cycles this short require a combination of an extremely rapidly growing resource and a relatively short-lived, but nevertheless perennial, consumer. We suggest zooplankton attacked by planktivorous fish are among the most likely to meet these conditions. The examples we know about, however, are from northern lakes. In these circumstances the zooplankton are not likely to have q greater than about 20. Vendace is an example of a fish in such lakes that feeds only on zooplankton, and it may have an average life span of three to four years (individuals 13þ years have been recorded [G. Mittelbach, personal communication]; i.e., l ¼ 0.25–0.3). This combination of values gives consumer–resource periods equal to about four. These analyses suggest caution when the cause of cycles in real semi-discrete consumer–resource systems (i.e., in which one species is a discrete breeder and the other a continuous breeder) is inferred on the basis of cycles arising in consumer–resource models that are either fully discrete or fully continuous. The massive literature on vole cycles, which are commonly interpreted as weasel–vole cycles, provides many examples. Since, in season, voles breed more or less continuously, whereas weasels are annual breeders, this interaction is 287 best described by a semi-discrete model, which is likely to have different dynamical and cycle properties than either a fully discrete or a fully continuous analog. This further suggests that a match between the observed cycle period and that seen in a purely continuous model, for example, may be spurious. We expect that more realistic models based on the framework developed in this paper will provide insight into how the semi-discrete nature of a system affects the possible range of cycles. The model we explore has a very simple structure (a logistically growing resource and a linear functional response in the consumer); even so, its analysis is complicated. The analysis provides an analytical framework for investigating more complex and realistic versions, and we view it as the canonical case for mixed life histories, analogous to the Lotka-Volterra and the Nicholson-Bailey models for, respectively, continuoustime and discrete-time consumer–resource life histories. An analogous study that uses semi-discrete models to describe a host–parasitoid system where both species have one generation per year, but where there are continuous interactions within the year, has identified situations where previous models make misleading predictions regarding stability (Singh and Nisbet 2007). A useful extension of the present model will explore how the dynamics are altered if its structure is changed or made more detailed; for example, if we replace the type 1 with a type 2 functional response. Another interesting avenue of research will be to examine a model where the death rate of the consumer depends on the resource density through the year, or when the consumer growth is self-limiting. Such added realism will in particular allow us to determine whether, and if so when, we might see short-period consumer–resource cycles in the real world. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank Cherie Briggs and Mike Neubert for discussions, and Abhyudai Singh and two anonymous reviewers for commenting on an earlier draft of this paper. This research was supported in part by a grant from NSF to WWM. LITERATURE CITED Bonsall, M. B., H. C. J. Godfray, C. J. Briggs, and M. P. Hassell. 1999. Does host self-regulation increase the likelihood of insect–pathogen population cycles? American Naturalist 153:228–235. Briggs, C. J., and H. C. J. Godfray. 1996. The dynamics of insect–pathogen interactions in seasonal environments. Theoretical Population Biology 50:149–177. Dugaw, C. J., A. Hastings, E. L. Preisser, and D. R. Strong. 2004. Seasonally limited host supply generates microparasite population cycles. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology 66:583– 594. Funasaki, E., and M. Kot. 1993. Invasion and chaos in a periodically pulsed mass-action chemostat. Theoretical Population Biology 44:203–224. Geritz, S. A. H., and E. Kisdi. 2004. On the mechanistic underpinning of discrete-time population models with complex dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology 228:261–269. Hui, J., and L. Chen. 2004. Implusive vaccination of SIR epidemic models with nonlinear incidence rates. Discrete and Continuous Dynamical Systems–Series B 4:595–605. 288 E. PACHEPSKY ET AL. Kot, M. 2001. Elements of mathematical ecology. Cambridge University Press, New York, New York, USA. Lakshmikantham, V., D. D. Bainov, and P. S. Simeonov. 1989. Theory of impulsive differential equations. World Scientific, Singapore. Liu, B., and L. Chen. 2004. The periodic competing LotkaVolterra model with impulsive effect. Mathematical Medicine and Biology 21:129–145. Liu, B., Y. Zhang, and L. Chen. 2004. Dynamic complexities of a Holling I predator–prey model concerning periodic biological and chemical control. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 22:123–134. May, R. M. 1976. Simple mathematical models with very complicated dynamics. Nature 261:459–467. Murdoch, W. W., C. J. Briggs, and R. M. Nisbet. 2003. Consumer–resource dynamics. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, USA. Murdoch, W. W., B. E. Kendall, R. M. Nisbet, C. J. Briggs, E. McCauley, and R. Bolser. 2002. Single-species models for many-species food webs. Nature 417:541–543. Ecology, Vol. 89, No. 1 Neubert, M. G., and M. Kot. 1992. The subcritical collapse of predator populations in discrete-time predator–prey models. Mathematical Biosciences 110:45–66. Nielsen, S. L., S. Enriquez, C. M. Duarte, and K. Sand-Jensen. 1996. Scaling maximum growth rates across photosynthetic organisms. Functional Ecology 10:167–175. Nisbet, R. M., and W. S. C. Gurney. 1982. Modelling fluctuating populations. John Wiley and Sons, Chichester, UK. Singh, A., and R. M. Nisbet. 2007. Semi-discrete host– parasitoid models. Journal of Theoretical Biology 247:733– 742. Thieme, H. R. 2003. Mathematics in population biology. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey, USA. Turchin, P., and I. Hanski. 1997. An empirically based model for latitudinal gradient in vole population dynamics. American Naturalist 149:842–874. Zhang, S., and L. Chen. 2005. A Holling II functional response food chain model with impulsive perturbations. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals 24:1269–1278. APPENDIX Stability of the logistic semi-discrete model (Ecological Archives E089-017-A1). SUPPLEMENT Mathematica code to calculate the overcompensation and consumer–resource stability boundaries of the semi-discrete model (Ecological Archives E089-017-S1).
© Copyright 2024 Paperzz