EC611--Managerial Economics Demand Elasticity Dr. Savvas C Savvides, European University Cyprus Determinants of Demand for a Product QX = f (PX, AX ,OX , FX … Yc , Tc , Ec …. Strategic vbls. Controlled vbls. Consumer vbls. Uncontrolled vbls. … PY, AY ,OY , FY … G, N, FX, W…) Competitor vbls. Uncontrolled Environmental vbls. Variables 1 Linear Demand Function QX = f(PX, N, I, PY, T) QX = a0 + a1PX + a2N + a3I + a4PY + a5T PX Intercept: a0 + a2N + a3I + a4PY + a5T Slope: ∆QX/∆PX = a1 QX 2 The price elasticity of demand …measures the sensitivity of the quantity demanded of a good to a change in its price It is defined as: % change in quantity demanded % change in price 3 Price Elasticity of Demand Point Definition ∆Q / Q ∆Q P = ⋅ EP = ∆P / P ∆P Q Linear Function P = a1 ⋅ Q E P 4 Price Elasticity –Example 1 Assume that the demand function for a commodity is: Q = 245 – 3.5P Recall that E P = a1 ⋅ Î What is Ep if P = 10? P Q To find Ep we need to find values for P, Q and α1 (or dQ/dP) At P=10, Q = 245 –3.5 (10) = 210 dQ/dP is found by the first derivative of the demand eq. Î dQ/dP = -3.5 Substituting in the elasticity eq. we get: Î Ep = (dQ/dP) (P/Q) = -3.5 (10/210) = -1/6 = - 0.167 Therefore, if P changes by 10%, Q will fall by 1.67%. Î The demand for this product is inelastic 5 Price Elasticity–Example 2 Assume the following demand equation: P = 125 –5Q Î What is Ep if Q = 10 units? To find Ep we must first invert the eq. in terms of P: Î -5Q = P – 125 At Q= 10 Î 5Q =125 –P Î 10 = 25 –0.2 P Î Q = 25 –0.2P Î 0.2P = 15 Î P =75 Substituting in the Ep expression we get: Î Ep = (dQ/dP) (P/Q) = -0.2 (75/10) = -1.5 Therefore, if P changes by 10%, Q will fall by 15%. Î The demand for this product is elastic 6 Relationship between Demand Curve and Marginal Revenue Curve The slope of MR is twice the slope of Demand curve AR = P = a – bQ TR = P * Q = Q (a – bQ ) = aQ – bQ2 MR = dTR / dQ = a –2bQ Îslope of demand curve (or AR) = - b ÎSlope of Marginal Revenue = -2b 7 Marginal Revenue, Total Revenue, and Price Elasticity TR MR>0 EP > 1 MR<0 EP < 1 EP = 1 MR=0 TR QX 8 Elasticity and Total Revenue Assume a price reduction (1) Elastic demand: Increase in revenue (due to more sales, Q) will exceed the fall in revenue (due to fall in P) Î MR is positive Î Total Revenue will rise. (+)TR > (-)TR (+)TR < (-)TR TR (2) Inelastic demand: Increase in revenue (due to more sales, Q) will be less than the fall in revenue (due to fall in P) Î MR is negative Î Total Revenue will fall. 9 Relationship Between Price Elasticity & Revenue Price Elastic Demand Unitary Elastic Price Inelastic Demand Demand Price Increase P X Q = TR P X Q = TR P X Q = TR Price Decrease P X Q = TR P X Q = TR P X Q = TR 10 Marginal Revenue and Price Elasticity of Demand PX EP > 1 ⎛ 1 ⎞ MR = P ⎜1 + ⎟ ⎝ EP ⎠ EP = 1 EP < 1 QX MRX 11 Application of Elasticity — Relationship between MR, P and Elasticity We know that TR =P*Q MR = dTR/dQ = d(P*Q)/dQ Using the Product Rule: Î P (dQ/dQ) + Q (dP/dQ) Multiplying and dividing through by P, we get: MR = P [ 1 + Q/P(dP/dQ)] Recall that Ep = (dQ/dP) (P/Q) Therefore, the second term in the MR expression above is the inverse of Ep ⎛ 1 ⎞ M R = P ⎜1 + ⎟ Î E ⎝ P ⎠ If, for example, P=24 and Ep = -2 Î MR = 4 (1 + 1/-2) = 2 In perfect comp., we know that Ep = ∞ and MR = P Î MR = P ( 1 + 1/ ∞ ) = P 12 Application of Elasticity — Elasticity and Pricing Policy for Profit Maximization We know that for profit max. MR must be equal to MC ⎛ 1 MC = M R = P ⎜ 1 + E ⎝ Solving for P, we get P ⎞ ⎟ ⎠ Î P = MC = [1 /(1+1/Ep)] If, for example, MC = £10 and Ep = -2 ÎSolving for P we get: P = 10 (1 /(1+1/-2)] = £20 If, on the other hand, Ep = -5, Then, Î P = 10 (1 /(1+1/-5)] = £12.5 Therefore, we see that for profit maximization, given MC, Î price is inversely related to its price elasticity 13 Real World Price & Income Elasticities Price Elasticity Income Elasticity Fresh meat 1.4 0.0 Alcoholic beverages 1.3 1.7 Services 1.0 1.8 Durable goods 0.9 1.5 Fresh vegetables 0.6 0.1 Housing* 0.5 2.0 Tobacco* 0.5 0.4 Gasoline* 0.25 0.75 Residential Electricity* 0.2 0.1 Beer* 0.5 0.6 Good * Estimates for Cyprus 14 Elasticity and Air Fares How should air fares be changed to increase revenues? Holiday travellers can use boats, and cars or trains (for domestic travel). They can also plan their vacation and shop around for discounts and special prices. so demand may be elastic (greater than one, e.g. - 1.3) and an increase in fares will reduce the number of journeys demanded and total spending Business travellers do not have good travel options demand may be inelastic (less than one, e.g. - 0.5) so raising fares will have less effect on journeys demanded and revenue will improve 15 Price & Income Elasticities for Airline Travel Price Elasticity Income Elasticity First Class 0.45 1.50 Regular Economy 1.30 1.38 Excursion fare 1.83 2.37 Type of Ticket 16 Determinants of Price Elasticity of Demand Price elasticity is affected by: The number of close substitutes Î the more the substitutes, the higher EP How narrowly the product is defined Î EP (car industry) > EP (small car) > EP (1200 cc) The time available for adjustments in prices to take place; the more time available to adjust to price changes the more elastic the demand Î E long term > E short term 17 SR & LR Price Elasticities in US Commodity SR Elasticity LR Elasticity Radio & TV Repair 0.47 3.84 Motion Picture 0.87 3.67 Tobacco Products 0.46 1.89 Electricity (Household) 0.13 1.89 Bus Transport (local) 0.20 1.20 Medical Insurance 0.31 0.92 Gasoline 0.30 0.66 Stationery 0.47 0.56 18 Income Elasticity of Demand Point Definition ∆Q / Q ∆Q I EI = = ⋅ ∆I / I ∆I Q Linear Function I = a3 ⋅ Q Normal Good EI > 0 EI Inferior Good EI < 0 19 Income Elasticity of Demand Demand Response to 1% Rise in Income Good Income Elasticity Quantity Demanded Normal Positive Rises -Luxury Above 1 -Necessity Inferior Budget Share Example Rises more than 1% Rises BMW 0< Ep <1 Rises less than 1% Falls Food Negative Falls Falls Bread 20 Application of Income Elasticity 1. Long-range planning of firm’s growth Over LR, we expect people’s incomes to rise. High income elasticities are good news for luxury good producers in the LR. Over the SR, however, there will more volatility. Î Income elasticity for cars was estimated to be 2.5 –3.9. This may explain why car sales fall dramatically during recessions and rebound strongly during recoveries 2. Developing Marketing Strategies Income elasticity of market segments influences •the location and nature of distribution outlets •The extent and focus of advertising •The choice of promotional activities Î Sellers of luxury items direct advertising and promotions to YUBBIE groups whose incomes are expected to rise 21 Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand Point Definition Linear Function Substitutes E XY > 0 E XY E ∆QX / QX ∆QX PY = = ⋅ ∆PY / PY ∆PY QX XY PY = a4 ⋅ QX Complements E XY < 0 22 Using Elasticity in Managerial Decision Making Knowing the elasticity of demand with respect to the major controlled and uncontrolled variables and forces, the firm can determine the optimal policies to maximize its objective function(s) If the demand for the product is inelastic (Ep < 1), the firm would be hesitant to lower prices, since this will lead to lower TR If the firm has estimated that the cross-price elasticity of its product w.r.t. a competitors product’s price is very high, it will be quick to respond to a competitor’s price reduction so that it does not lose sales and market share. Î Therefore, the first should first identify the important variables and then try to obtain estimates of the marginal effects of a change in each vbl. on demand. Î This will be accomplished using regression analysis. 23 Other Factors Related to Demand Theory International Convergence of Tastes Globalization of Markets Influence of International Preferences on Market Demand Growth of Electronic Commerce Cost of Sales Supply Chains and Logistics Customer Relationship Management 24
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