www.pwc.com BSEE Aviation Safety Support Services Contract - Final Report Brief For Helicopter Safety Advisory Conference (HSAC) HSAC Meeting Houston, TX October 21-22, 2015 Information contained herein is for the sole benefit and use of PwC's Client and the US Government. Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement • Promote safety, protect the environment, and conserve resources offshore through regulatory oversight and enforcement programs. • PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) was commissioned to conduct an aviation safety study with the goal of reducing the risk of injury and damage from OCS helicopter operations. • PwC’s report is currently undergoing a 3rd party Peer Review and is being discussed solely for the purpose of a courtesy review. The Report’s contents are deliberative and pre-decisional. Any comments received will be addressed and treated as appropriate. Because this information has not yet been approved, it does not represent an official Bureau finding or policy. © 2015 PwC Why Charter a Study? Mishap Realities & BSEE Safety Culture Since 1999, there have been 23 accidents in the Gulf of Mexico of which 5 were fatal (22%), with 13 fatalities and 15 injuries. The leading causes were: Engine related Loss of control or improper procedures Helideck obstacle strikes Controlled flight into terrain Other technical failures Reflects proactive and collaborative BSEE leadership culture & mantra of safety © 2015 PwC 2 Study Team Team PwC – 12 Key Personnel + Firm Leadership (PwC, ABSG Consulting, HRS Consulting, & VectorCSP) Project Leadership Stu Merrill – Project Manager Harl Romine – Deputy PM Task 1 Smith Kalita Ann Christoffersen Task 2 Jeff Pettitt Darrel Creacy © 2015 PwC Task 3 Butch Flythe Task 4 Dan Deutermann Task 5 Dave Hollaway Jake Johnson Task 6 Rex Hayes Mike Stewart 3 Project Overview BSEE commissioned the Aviation Safety Support Services project to analyze aspects of aviation safety encompassing 6 task areas: Task 1 – Develop Helideck Inspection Procedures, Guidance, & Training Module. Task 2 - Assess aviation fueling network for the OCS oil & gas aviation support industry. Task 3 - Study egress, water survival, personnel training, and personal protective equipment. Task 4 - Study available helicopter systems and equipment to improve BSEE aircraft and passenger safety in OCS environment. Task 5 - Assess the potential effects to helicopter operations of methane and other combustible gases Task 6 –Perform a comprehensive review of both domestic and international literature related to offshore aviation safety. © 2015 PwC 4 Aviation Safety is Paramount “The conclusions and Regs & Standards Bench Marking Fuel & Servicing Aviation Safety PPE & Survival Operational Hazards Aircraft Equipment © 2015 PwC recommendations generated in this report are the product of extensive aviation safety review. While programmatic issues such as current Federal regulations, DOI and BSEE policy, workforce capacity, budget constraints, cultural entrenchment, and organizational change management aspects were considered, the overwhelming aspect of flight safety dominates the analysis. The consistent perspective conveyed throughout this report is to enhance safe mission performance for offshore oil & gas aviation support.” Final Report To BSEE Unbranded Report – Commissioned by BSEE BSEE is commissioning a Third-Party Peer review The consistent perspective conveyed throughout this report is to enhance safe mission performance for offshore oil & gas aviation support. 92 Recommendations …. And on to Task 5- Hazards Associated with Combustible Gasses and Helicopter Operations… © 2015 PwC 6 Task 5 - Explore hazards of oil & gas flight operations Work centered on evaluating the engineering and scientific merit of the proposed methane ingestion hazard. A first-of-its-kind study addressed this issue through a systematic simulation of various methane ingestion effects on three common turboshaft engines. The mathematical engine models were derived from a combination of reasonable parametric assumptions, aerospace engineering expertise, and engine OEM proprietary technical data. Methane ingestion needs to be specifically targeted by each engine manufacturer for engineering study and results provided to BSEE. The industry needs to adopt a much more conservative attitude about helicopter operations in the OCS. © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Offshore Helicopter Mishaps (accidents and near miss incidents) • Baker, Shanahan & Haaland, et al (2011) GOM Mishap Study • 1983 – 2009 = 178 accidents (~7 year) • 54 (30%) Involved Fatal Injuries (139) • Predominant root cause was partial or total loss of engine power (31% fatal, 71% nonfatal) © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Offshore Helicopter Mishaps • Bell 407 at Ship Shoal 208H (2013) • Bell 206-L3 at Main Pass 61A (2011) • 9 other mishaps consistent with APG ingestion were identified from 1992 - 2014 • NTSB Safety Recommendation to DOI, USCG, and API to mitigate APG ingestion hazard © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • BSEE Task 5 – APG Ingestion Hazard • Conduct technical analysis of associated petroleum gas (APG) hazard to rotorcraft • Identify if each helicopter engine manufacturer has a known percentage of APG hazardous to operations • Evaluate effect of ingestion of each combustible gas on each helicopter at anticipated concentration levels © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • APG Flare System © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Gas Turbine Brayton Cycle © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Category B Departure Wind Critical Decision Point Emergency Return To Takeoff Point CDP Vertical Climb Rejected Takeoff Minimum 15 Feet Pinnacle Takeoff Helideck Accelerate to Best Rate of Climb (Vy) To Clear HV Diagram Restrictions Minimum 35 Feet Autorotation Forced Ditching © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Category A Departure Accelerate to Best Rate of Climb (Vy) When Clear of Obstacles All Engines Operating (AEO) Climbout Path Wind Accelerate to Takeoff Safety Speed (VTOSS) Critical Decision Point Emergency Return To Takeoff Point CDP Vertical Climb Rejected Takeoff Minimum 15 Feet Pinnacle Takeoff Helideck Minimum 35 Feet One Engine Inoperative (OEI) Climbout Path Autorotation Forced Ditching © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Pinnacle or Confined Space Approach High Reconnaissance Initial Approach Vector Wind Low Reconnaissance One Engine Inoperative Before LDP LDP Landing Decision Point Normal or One Engine Inoperative After LDP Pinnacle Landing Helideck © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Rolls-Royce Allison was only manufacturer with a methane recommendation (CSL-1230 dated 19 September 2001) • Applies only to M250 turboshaft engines • Recommends a maximum methane/air mixture of 3% by volume. • Will minimize to risk of methane igniting inside of engine, outside of the combustion area (sic) • Advises flying upwind and above “known” methane vapor clouds © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • UK CAP-437 Standards for Offshore Helicopter Landing Areas (2013) • Advises a 10% Lower Flammability Limit (LFL) for Unignited APG (CAA 2008/03) • APG is ~90% methane LFL is 4.4% by Volume • 10% LFL 4.4% x 0.1 = 0.44% APG by Volume • Concentrations above 0.44% have potential to cause compressor surge or flameout • Could not determine how Rolls-Royce or CAA determined these parameters © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • NORSOK C-004 Helicopter Decks on Offshore Installations (2013) • Section 5 requires CFD analysis or wind tunnel test for mitigation of APG and temperature hazards • Possible momentary stalling of compressor due to sudden air density changes (2 °C isotherm) • Free airspace above the helideck should not be exposed to > 2 °C temperature increase • 10% LFL (0.44%) APG restriction © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study Analytic investigation of methane ingestion on power output of three turboshaft engines. Assess the change in engine operating point, compressor stall, power loss, and resistance of fuel control units. © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study Engine B 6A-1C © 2015 PwC Engine A 1C Engine C 1A-1C Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study Table 10 Real Cycle for Turboshaft Engine A Without and With Methane Ingestion by Mass State Enthalpy, 𝒉 [kJ-kg-1] Temperature, T [K] Entropy, s [kJ-(kg-K)-1] Pressure, p [bar] Without Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 288.3 288.3 288.3 505.1 551.1 288.2 288.2 288.2 502.1 546.5 6.6608 6.6608 6.6666 6.6666 6.7545 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 6.9580 6.9580 With 5% Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 304.2 304.2 304.2 528.1 575.7 288.2 288.2 288.2 494.1 536.2 6.9047 6.9047 6.9107 6.9107 7.0031 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 6.9580 6.9580 With 10% Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 320.0 320.0 320.0 551.3 600.4 288.2 288.2 288.2 487.4 527.6 7.1486 7.1486 7.1549 7.1549 7.2517 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 6.9580 6.9580 With 15% Methane Ingestion © 2015 PwC H H* 1* 2i* 2* 335.8 335.8 335.8 574.5 625.1 288.2 288.2 288.2 481.7 520.3 7.3925 7.3925 7.3990 7.3990 7.5002 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 6.9580 6.9580 Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study Table 11 Real Cycle for Turboshaft Engine B Without and With Methane Ingestion by Mass State Enthalpy, 𝒉 [kJ-kg-1] Temperature, T [K] Entropy, s [kJ-(kg-K)-1] Pressure, p [bar] Without Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 288.3 288.3 288.3 543.8 588.9 288.2 288.2 288.2 539.5 582.8 6.6608 6.6608 6.6666 6.6666 6.7471 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 9.0160 9.0160 With 5% Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 304.2 304.2 304.2 567.7 614.2 288.2 288.2 288.2 529.2 569.9 6.9047 6.9047 6.9107 6.9107 6.9956 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 9.0160 9.0160 With 10% Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 320.0 320.0 320.0 591.7 639.7 288.2 288.2 288.2 520.6 559.4 7.1486 7.1486 7.1549 7.1549 7.2439 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 9.0160 9.0160 With 15% Methane Ingestion © 2015 PwC H H* 1* 2i* 2* 335.8 335.8 335.8 615.9 665.3 288.2 288.2 288.2 513.4 550.5 7.3925 7.3925 7.3990 7.3990 7.4921 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 9.0160 9.0160 Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study Table 12 Real Cycle for Turboshaft Engine C Without and With Methane Ingestion by Mass State Enthalpy, 𝒉 [kJ-kg-1] Temperature, T [K] Entropy, s [kJ-(kg-K)-1] Pressure, p [bar] Without Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 288.3 288.3 288.3 522.6 572.3 288.2 288.2 288.2 519.0 566.9 6.6608 6.6608 6.6666 6.6666 6.7584 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 7.8400 7.8400 With 5% Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 304.2 304.2 304.2 546.0 606.4 288.2 288.2 288.2 510.0 563.2 6.9047 6.9047 6.9107 6.9047 7.0176 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 8.0000 8.0000 With 10% Methane Ingestion H H* 1* 2i* 2* 320.0 320.0 320.0 569.5 631.9 288.2 288.2 288.2 502.5 553.1 7.1486 7.1486 7.1549 7.1486 7.2670 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 8.0000 8.0000 With 15% Methane Ingestion © 2015 PwC H H* 1* 2i* 2* 335.8 335.8 335.8 593.2 657.6 288.2 288.2 288.2 496.1 544.7 7.3925 7.3925 7.3990 7.3925 7.5163 1.0000 1.0000 0.9800 8.0000 8.0000 Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study • Methane ingestion slightly reduces temperature at the exit of compressor (2*) • In all cases, the temperature at the compressor exit is below the autoignition temperature of methane (810 K) • Even if temperature would exceed autoignition, flow strain would prevent methane ignition in the compressor • Methane will NOT ignite due to adiabatic compression in the compressor © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study • Methane will ignite in the combustor sharply increasing TIT • Back pressure on the compressor upsets the operating point beyond the surge line resulting in compressor stall or surge • Increase combustor pressure increases N1 and N2 turbine speeds uncommanded by fuel control unit • Fuel control unit senses overspeed and deschedules fuel flow causing power loss © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study • Resistance to power loss depends of type of fuel control unit, amount ingested, and control inputs from pilot. • Because effects are so rapid, insufficient reaction time for pilot to diagnose or recover during high power output flight regimes (takeoff and landing) • Pilot responds by initiating autorotation to preserve rotor RPM © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • TAMU Aerospace Engineering Study Even small mass fractions of methane, as low as 0.4% by volume, may cause a serious power loss in the representative turboshaft engines © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • API 2L-1 Planning and Designing Helidecks © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Task 5 Findings and Recommendations • Less than one-half percent methane ingestion may cause a mishap • Mishap (near miss incident) data on APG ingestion should be collected and analyzed (SafeOCS?) • CFD studies should be conducted on each facility to determine risk (APG vapor cloud propagation and 2°C isothermal line) • HSAC RP 92-4 should be substantially revised for hazard mitigation procedures © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Task 5 Findings and Recommendations • Helideck should be universally considered contaminated in certain wind directions and magnitudes with designation of no flight zones when flaring or venting APG • Designation of no flight zones for each facility • Helideck monitoring system (HMS) should be installed to provide wind, temperature, barometric pressure, and prevailing visibility advisories (similar to UNICOM) © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Task 5 Finding and Recommendations © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Task 5 Findings and Recommendations • Positive radio contact must be made to the facility prior and advisory received prior to approach or departure from helideck • No fly azimuths should be provided on a facility mimic at the HMS station. • Facility personnel must be trained on aircraft communications procedures • Gas flow monitoring to provide real-time APG outflow data to facility operations © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Task 5 Findings and Recommendations • Hot flaring does not provide a greater level of protection due to thermal effects on engine • CFD should be conducted for all legacy facilities for both unignited APG dispersion and ignited 2°C isothermal line determination • FADEC engines may be more resistant by must be confirmed by empirical testing. © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Metocean Prevailing Wind Rose © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • 20% LFL (Normal Cold Flare) © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • 20% LFL (Unignited Blowdown) © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • Visible Flare © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • 2°C Isothermal Line (Normal Flare) © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard • 2°C Isothermal Line (Ignited Blowdown) © 2015 PwC Methane Ingestion Hazard Questions? © 2015 PwC Contact Information For more information about BSEE efforts concerning operational risk management and aviation safety, please contact: Brad J. Laubach National Aviation Manager Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement Phone: 703.307.4865 [email protected] Mr. Steve Rauch BSEE Aviation Safety Manager [email protected] (208) 867-6867 For more information about PwC efforts concerning operational risk management and aviation safety, please contact: Mr. Harl Romine (703) 424-0252 [email protected] © 2015 PwC Mr. Scott Hale (503) 918-3682 [email protected] 45
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