Calderdale MBC
Wards Affected
ALL
Cabinet
14 November 2016
6
School Re-organisation Priorities 2017/18
Report of Director of Children and Young People’s Services
1.
Purpose of Report
1.1 To set out the Local Authority’s school re-organisation priorities for 2017/18 so
these can be shared with all appropriate groups.
2.
Need for a decision
2.1 Having agreed school re-organisation priorities will allow the Local Authority to be
able to plan its workload and work with schools on a clear direction of travel.
3.
Recommendations
3.1 Receive and evaluate expressions of interest from schools to provide
rationalisation opportunities and/or additional school places over the next five
years (5 to 16 year olds).
3.2 Undertake further work to project any further need for special school places, pupil
referral unit and mainstream school enhanced provision for special educational
needs places over the next five years.
3.3 Continue to work with secondary schools to support the best options for providing
sustainable post 16 provision across Calderdale until 31 March 2017 whilst we
await the outcome of free school applications for post 16 provision.
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4.
Background and/or details
4.1 The Local Authority has undertaken a piece of work over the summer to identify in
some detail the need for places (5 to 16 year olds) in mainstream schools across
Calderdale for the next five years. This work is set out in Annex1 and was shared
with all schools at their group meetings on 13 October 2016 where it was well
received. In summary the document identifies the need for additional places in the
following areas;
In Primary:
i.
Mytholmroyd area – additional places up to a ½ new form of entry (15
new places each year).
In Secondary:
i. Lighcliffe/Brighouse/Rastrick area – additional places rising to 1 new
form of entry (30 new places each year).
ii. Ryburn Valley/Sowerby Bridge area – additional places rising to 2 new
forms of entry (60 new places each year).
iii. Elland area - additional places rising to a ½ new form of entry
iv. North Halifax area – additional places rising to 1 new form of entry
4.2 The above work recognised the need to work with colleagues in early years,
special educational needs, and post 16 to develop an integrated approach and
that makes best use of all available funding.
4.3 In early years sufficient places exist for 3 and 4 year olds to be able to deliver the
current offer of 15 hours per week free entitlement to each child. However from
September 2017 all local authorities will be required to offer 30 hours of free
entitlement to eligible families and at this stage it is not known what the actual
take up will be or which providers will be able to offer the 30 hours enhancement.
4.4 Special educational needs places largely relate to places in the three special
schools (at Ravenscliffe, Highbury and Wood Bank), the Pupil Referral Unit (at
The Whitley Phoenix Centre) and resourced or enhanced provision places for
special educational needs in mainstream schools. Some place planning has
previously been done in both areas but this needs refreshing and extending over
the next five year period. There are known pressures on special school places
and currently no PRU provision at key stage 1 (5 to 7 years). Whilst the benefit
from such places generally has good outcomes, they consume considerable
resources (between £20k and £50k per place) and therefore it is important that
any additional requirement has a good evidence base.
4.5 Calderdale has a number of schools occupying old Victorian buildings that are
both structurally difficult and costly to maintain and these take a disproportionate
amount of capital funding to address both suitability and condition issues. For
some schools, recent flooding and storm damage has worsened the situation.
The schools capital team will need to monitor closely these schools in the
development of their programme of works.
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4.6 The review of Calderdale’s post 16 provision was completed earlier this year and
shared with all secondary schools and their governing bodies. Discussions
continue to take place in each school and collectively as a group (Calderdale
Association of Secondary Head Teachers) to establish the most attractive and
sustainable options going forward.
5.
Options considered
5.1 The Local Authority has funding of £16 million over the period to 2019/20
available to support the expansion of places (basic need). Schools have been
asked to submit expressions of interest by 31 December 2016 where any
expansion might meet the above requirement for places 5 to 16 year olds. These
might include increases to intakes that either remodel existing space or add
further space. It is thought that the use of any space previously used for post 16
provision may also play a part in this. The Local Authority then intends to
evaluate these expressions of interest with all schools and make a decision by 31
March 2017.
5.2 In early years Calderdale like all other local authorities will need to encourage
more providers to offer the enhanced 30 hours provision. It is difficult to anticipate
the actual take up and which providers are likely to be able to offer 30 hours
given their concerns that the national grant funding available does not cover all
their costs. Calderdale has recently submitted three bids for Government capital
funding that if approved will provide 95 additional places to offer 30 hours
provision.
5.3 Some internal remodelling is currently taking place at both Highbury and
Woodbank primary special schools and there is the provision of a new sixth form
facility for Ravenscliffe secondary special school at the Spring Hall site. These
may give rise to some additional places where there are pressures but the Local
Authority will be interested in pursuing other joint options with all schools that
maybe see satellite or resourced provision based at some schools.
5.4 There are already plans to look at providing some key stage 1 and 2 PRU
provision at in north Halifax and in Luddendenfoot. Two schools in north Halifax
are looking to set up a small joint unit of 12 initial places that will serve these and
neighbouring schools. This is being set up as a trading service model. In
Luddenfoot the Local Authority is currently undertaking a feasibility study to adapt
the Luddendenfoot Youth Centre so that this can be used in the day time for
some key stage 1 and 2 provision.
5.5 Where sixth forms are concerned a number of options are still being pursued that
include a free school bid, joint working between schools and Calderdale College,
and individual school options. There is no doubt that this will lead to some sixth
form closures where student numbers are small, “A” level choice is limited, and
therefore financial sustainability is a real issue. Secondary schools are funding a
school effectiveness officer to co-ordinate this work until 31 August 2017.
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6. Financial implications
6.1 The Local Authority has an estimated £16 million up to 2018/19 to provide
additional places in schools (basic need funding). This can support expansion at
either maintained schools or academies. None of this is yet committed. Where
maintenance work is undertaken on maintained school buildings the Local
Authority receives separate funding of approximately £2 million per annum. This
funding stream is now fully committed to the end of 2018/19. No further
maintenance work can be committed without the schools capital programme
either going into deficit or having to consider prudential borrowing.
6.2 School re-organisation may directly affect individual school budgets. Each case
will need to be looked at separately. However, most reorganisation cases
develop from situations that are no longer financially sustainable (small pupil rolls,
falling numbers, programmes of education where funding no longer covers costs)
and therefore re-organisation is often the solution to lack of finance.
6.3 School Support Services comprises Traded Services, Admissions, Transport,
Health and Safety, as well as the Capital Programme Team. The work generated
by the requirement to develop a school organisation strategic plan is dependent
upon the output of all of these functions. Any individual school proposals often
require a detailed four or five stage statutory process to be followed (this includes
a requirement for two cabinet reports and public consultation). The funding that
supports this area is likely to be reduced during 2017/18 whilst the team already
struggles to maintain the range of work streams required.
7.
Legal Implications
7.1 Education regulations require statutory consultation periods to be used and the
issue of formal notices to undertake many school re-organisations. This includes
the closure of a school, and the consultation required on any future options.
7.2 Any resultant building works that follow a Cabinet agreement to re-organise a
school(s) will require formal contracts to be in place and overseen by Calderdale’s
Legal Team.
8.
Consultation
8.1
Schools have been consulted on the draft places document for 5-16 year olds in
mainstream schools (Annex 1). Schools welcomed the document being shared
and the plans to work together to find solutions that most schools would support.
The evaluation of any expressions of interest will be undertaken with schools in
the spring term of 2017. Similar sharing of plans will need to take place on special
school places and pupil referral unit places.
8.2
The need to consult beyond schools (parents and local communities) on any
school re-organisation will depend on the nature of each case (school type,
degree of expansion and whether that includes internal remodelling or substantial
space changes of 25% or more). School closures and free school bids will require
separate and wider consultation.
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9.
Environment, Health and Economic Implications
9.1 Depending on any re-organisation options, all works will be undertaken to meet
environmental and health requirements and will most probably provide work for
locally employed trades.
10. Equality and Diversity
10.1 There is a need to ensure all Calderdale pupils have equal access to education,
including having appropriate facilities where that education takes place. Any reorganisation of schools will have those aims in mind.
11. Summary and Recommendations
11.1
There is a need for additional school places in Calderdale over the next five
years, in particular in secondary schools and possibly special schools and the
Pupil Referral Unit.
11.2
Further work needs to take place to establish the number of additional places
required in special schools, the Pupil Referral Unit and enhanced provision in
mainstream schools for special needs, or where post 16 provision should continue
and on the potential for further reorganisation of small schools.
_______________________________________________________________________
For further information on this report, contact:
Mark Woolley
Service Manager – School Services
Learning Services
Children and Young People’s Service
Telephone:
01422 392539
E-mail:
[email protected]
The documents used in the preparation of this report are:
1.
2.
3.
The documents are available for inspection at:
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Annex 1
CPHA – 13 October 2016
CASH – 13 October 2016
CYPS DLT / Heads – October 2016
Lead Member / CYPS Scrutiny – October 2016
School Place Planning in Calderdale – 2016/17 to 2020/21
1) Purpose
a) To set out the number of school places currently available across Calderdale in primary and
secondary schools, to project the number of places required over the next five years and to plan
how any increase in places can be met.
2) Background
a) Calderdale has always projected the number of places required over a rolling five year period
(Calderdale’s Planning of School Places document). This is recommended practice for all local
authorities in meeting their statutory responsibility to provide sufficient places. From this data local
authorities also provide the DfE with an annual return (the Schools Capacity Survey – or SCAP
return). The birth rate in 2014/15 and 2015/16 has continued to rise but shows some signs of
levelling off. Coupled with an increase in local net migration and a number of impending local
housing developments, primary and secondary school pupil rolls are expected to continue to
increase in the next five years.
b) Local authorities receive funding to provide additional school places but only where a shortfall
exists (Basic Need funding). The DfE consider an appropriate allocation of funding based upon the
statutory annual SCAP return submitted by all local authorities. Calderdale’s returns to date have
provided a further £16 million to be used for Basic Need over the next 4 years. It is possible this
figure will increase if further allocations are provided by the DfE but this will not be known until
early 2017. It will be important to demonstrate that this funding is being used in the most cost
effective manner when adding places. More advice on this can be found on the EFA baseline
designs. Whilst this exercise is aimed at providing places for statutory school age, it will also be
important to work with other Local Authority colleagues in Early Years, Post 16 and SEN to coordinate any developments to make the best use of all available funding.
c) Where this report identifies areas where additional places are required, schools will be invited to
submit expressions of interest in providing those additional places. The Local Authority will then be
able to evaluate any options in best meeting those places, in consultation with all schools, and
formulate a plan to deliver those places.
d) This paper was started ahead of the DfE issuing its consultation on ‘Schools that Work for
Everyone’. It may be that any solutions have to take on the Government’s latest thinking on the
better or preferred models of education. The process of reviewing the number of places required is
an annual process. Things can and will change over time around the numbers of child births,
Page | 6
migration and the parental preferences for individual schools. Whatever the outcome in this round
of considerations these will need to be kept under review and maybe modified each year.
3) Places Currently Available
a) The capacity of all schools to accommodate pupils was originally determined using Net Capacity
Assessment; a formula produced by the DfE applicable to all maintained schools in England. The
formula involves carrying out a curriculum analysis (looking at the different use of rooms for
teaching) as well as a measurement of the physical space available for teaching purposes.
b) In simplistic terms, every 1.8 square meters of standard teaching space equates to 1 pupil place.
Under this formula, individual room capacity is capped at 30 pupil places and in other rooms, such
as rooms used for workshop activities or in libraries or I.T. suites, the maximum number of pupils is
significantly reduced from those used for standard teaching use. The sum total of all places within
a school is divided over the number of year groups in order to determine an appropriate admission
number for a school.
c) Whilst the formula still applies to maintained schools, there is now more flexibility in its application,
for example to exceed the calculated total capacity within an individual school and admit additional
pupils. For autonomous schools such as Free Schools or Academies there is no requirement to
adhere to the formula. Such schools enter into a funding agreement with the EFA (Education
Funding Agency) based upon the number of places that they wish to make available rather than
based upon a calculation of the physical capacity for accommodating pupils.
d) For the purpose of primary school place planning Calderdale adopts 15 geographical areas centred
on the main villages and conurbations of Halifax. These are shown in Appendix 1. Due to the
nature of secondary school admissions, secondary school projections are calculated at individual
school level. Not all schools have a natural catchment area – grammar schools for example, draw
from a wide area due to the nature of their admission arrangements. Others use feeder schools.
e) The number of primary school places currently available in each school, within these 15
geographical areas, is shown in Appendix 2. The number of places shown is largely derived from the
Net Capacity Assessment in maintained schools and the number of places specified in funding
agreements for academies with any changes in Published Admission Numbers (PANs) that have
taken place since those original assessments. The total number of places available in Calderdale
primary schools from September 2016 is 20,584.
f) For secondary schools the total number of places available from September 2016 in years 7 to 11 is
13,835 places. As a result of recent changes to PANs at some secondary schools, the total number
of secondary school places will rise to 14,090 by September 2019. Sixth form numbers are not
taken into account here but referred to later in this report. The actual number of places available in
anyone year for secondary schools is looked at later alongside the projected number of pupils there
are likely to be. At this stage Appendix 3 shows for secondary schools the number of pupils each
school has taken in the last 4 years (2012/13 to 2015/16).
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4) Projected Places Required
a) The way in which Calderdale projects future demand for places is based on a sophisticated model
that has provided accurate data in the past for Calderdale primary and secondary sectors. For
primary schools its based predominantly on data provided by the Health Authority, an assessment
of local housing developments, and consideration of the impact of migration from neighbouring
local authorities, nationally and internationally. The primary model projects the number of pupils
per year factoring in birth data and parental preferencing patterns to estimate the impact on
individual schools in a planning area. This is explained in Appendix 4 for each age group.
b) Projections for the secondary sector are based on the number of pupils attending primary schools
and factors in parental preferencing patters, new housing and migratory considerations.
c) Calderdale’s Local Plan (housing development plan) could see the creation of up to 18,000 houses
across Calderdale by 2032. Their distribution across Calderdale is shown in Appendix 5.
d) Calderdale’s latest SCAP return to the DfE in August 2016 characterises the demand for places in
Calderdale going forward as follows:
i.
Calderdale has seen a significant increase in the birth rate over recent years with a slight
dip for 2015/16. The data provided by the NHS indicates that the numbers will reduce
overall for 2017/18 and 2018/19 although not significantly.
ii.
Nearly 13% of the pupil’s allocated places at Calderdale secondary schools for September
2016 came from neighbouring or other local authorities and only 3.3% of Calderdale pupils
were allocated a school outside of Calderdale. The selective grammar schools attract pupils
from a significant distance away; however the majority of extra district pupils will come
from Kirklees, Bradford, Rochdale and Lancashire.
iii.
Certain parts of the borough continue to see a higher mobility rate with large number of
families moving in and out of certain areas. This brings significant challenge and makes it
difficult to plan and to predict pupil numbers in some areas.
iv.
The number of housing developments in Calderdale is anticipated to increase over the
forthcoming period to 2032 as outlined in the Local Authority’s Local Plan (currently under
development).
v.
The growth that we have seen in the primary sector will feed through to secondary schools
where numbers are set to increase for the foreseeable future.
e) Using all the above data modelling techniques, Calderdale’s Planning of School Places document
shows the following requirement for primary places in each of the 15 geographical planning areas
over the next 4 years. It is not possible to project with any degree of accuracy beyond that point as
this process largely depends on actual births rather than following trend and looking at projected
births which have either not yet happened, or the data has not yet been gathered and provided.
Page | 8
2016/17
Greetland and West Vale
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
973
972
0
2016/17
Todmorden
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
1,407
1,318
0
2016/17
Rastrick
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
1,368
1,235
0
2016/17
Brighouse
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
1,288
1,226
0
2016/17
Lightcliffe
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
630
608
0
2016/17
Mytholmroyd
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
375
398
23
2016/17
Luddenden
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
497
416
0
2017/18
973
961
0
2017/18
1,407
1,340
0
2017/18
1,368
1,208
0
2017/18
1,288
1,207
0
2017/18
630
619
0
2017/18
375
392
17
2017/18
497
414
0
2018/19
973
955
0
2018/19
1,407
1,331
0
2018/19
1,368
1,206
0
2018/19
1,288
1,200
0
2018/19
630
612
0
2018/19
375
383
8
2018/19
497
409
0
2019/20
973
948
0
2019/20
1,407
1,299
0
2019/20
1,368
1,182
0
2019/20
1,288
1,173
0
2019/20
630
612
0
2019/20
375
382
7
2019/20
497
396
0
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2016/17
Elland
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
1,036
1,041
5
2016/17
Northowram and Shelf
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
1,050
1,044
0
2016/17
Sowerby Bridge
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
Ryburn Valley and Norland
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
1,050
1,052
2
2017/18
2018/19
1,050
1,048
0
2018/19
1,036
1,017
0
2019/20
1,050
1,037
0
2019/20
1,057
960
0
1,057
944
0
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
991
966
0
991
972
0
991
962
0
991
961
0
896
733
0
555
579
24
2016/17
North Halifax
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
2017/18
1,036
1,018
0
2019/20
1,057
951
0
2016/17
Siddal and Southowram
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
1,036
1,025
0
2018/19
1,057
943
0
2016/17
Hebden Bridge/villages
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
2017/18
3,185
3,008
0
2017/18
896
720
0
2017/18
555
598
43
2017/18
3,185
3,078
0
2018/19
896
681
0
2018/19
555
622
67
2018/19
3,185
3,073
0
2019/20
896
633
0
2019/20
555
645
90
2019/20
3,185
3,070
0
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2016/17
Central Halifax
Available places
Projected Requirement
Additional Places Required
4,946
4,797
0
2017/18
4,946
4,782
0
2018/19
4,946
4,906
0
2019/20
4,946
4,896
0
f) The above analysis suggests there are now sufficient primary school places for the next 4 to 5 years
although this does not allow for margins of surplus place safety in case of any inward migratory
patterns (this is looked at later). Based on the above analysis Calderdale now largely has sufficient
primary places across the majority of the borough with the exception of the Mytholmroyd, Siddal
and Southowram areas.
g) Using the above data modelling techniques for secondary schools the number of available places
and the projected number of pupils for Year 7 to 11 has been compared for a 10-year period in
Appendix 6. This shows some larger shortages in 4 schools; Lightcliffe Academy (rising to 150 places
by 2020 partly due to a reduced PAN), Ryburn Valley (rising to 250 places by 2020), The Brooksbank
School (rising to 70 places by 2020) and Trinity Academy (rising to 140 places by 2020) and some
smaller short term shortages at Brighouse High. The projections for the two grammar schools will
increase now that their PANs have increased and whilst there are some increases at other schools
there are no real issues over the next 5 years.
h) Looking at overall numbers in a primary or secondary school, or an area, does not necessarily give
the whole picture when looking at available places and future demand. It may be the case that
there are similar albeit smaller pressures on some school year groups, in particular intakes.
Appendix 7 analyses for primary schools the percentage of surplus places in Reception against
demand for the 15 geographical areas of Calderdale. With some smaller exceptions in 2016/17 the
analysis shows considerable pressure on Reception places in Siddal and Southowram.
i) A similar analysis of secondary school projected intakes against available places in Year 7
(effectively their PAN) over the next 10 years can be found at Appendix 8. That shows insufficient
places across Calderdale by up to 7% across that period. There are forecast pressures at Lightcliffe
Academy (30 to 40 places short each year), Ryburn Valley (40 to 70 places short), The Brooksbank
School (10 to 20 places) and Trinity Academy (20 to 60 places short). There are some lesser issues
at Brighouse High, Park Lane and Sowerby Bridge that occur around 2020 onwards.
j) It may be that these pressures can be managed within whole schools by using space differently or
alternatively this may need looking at in more detail. As a guide, and the past working practice in
Calderdale, any planning area where projected places reach 98% or more of total places available
probably exceeds the required margin of safety to be able to comfortably manage all issues
(including in year issues). Appendix 9 analyses for primary schools the percentage of all surplus
places against demand for the 15 geographical areas of Calderdale. The analysis again shows a
considerable shortage of places in Siddal and Southowram, with Northowram and Shelf falling just
under the 2% margin of safety.
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5) Additional Places Required
a) The data and analysis above indicates the following shortage of places over the next five year
period in both primary and secondary schools. These figures would increase if more places were
added to provide at least a 2% cushion in each primary planning area and secondary school;
Primary
Mytholmroyd
Elland
Northowram and Shelf
Siddal and Southowram
Total
2016/17
23
5
0
24
52
2017/18
17
0
2
43
62
2018/19
8
0
0
67
75
2019/20
7
0
0
90
97
Secondary
Brighouse High School
Lightcliffe Academy
Ryburn Valley
The Brooksbank School
Trinity Academy Halifax
Total
2016/17
38
0
43
21
0
102
2017/18
25
0
91
46
13
175
2018/19
3
46
141
51
56
297
2019/20
0
83
210
61
84
438
2020/21
0
154
250
72
140
616
b) These projections can only be regarded as best indications of the need for additional places. There
are a number of factors that could affect these projections over time from cross boarder parental
preferencing (both in and out of Calderdale) to changes in the popularity of individual schools and
areas. For that reason this process should not be regarded as an exact science, and whilst some
schools may have a differing view on some aspects of the process being used, what will be
important is responding to the more significant need for places that is being identified at this stage.
c) Whilst the above analysis shows a shortfall in primary school places there now some plans in place
to increase provision over time in some Calderdale schools. In addition to the recent expansions in
primary provision at Halifax Academy and Savile Park, the Local Authority has facilitated the
following arrangements to add additional primary school places:
i. Siddal Primary has taken 3 ‘bulge year’ classes of up to 30 extra places from each of
September 2014, 2015 and 2016 (by adding 2 modulars and space reorganisation).
ii. Ripponden J & I has taken 4 ‘bulge year’ classes (of up to 15 extra places) from each of
September 2013, 2014, 2015 and 2016. The school’s PAN will now reduce to original
intake of 30 (by adding 2 modulars).
iii. Withinfields will increase their intake from 45 to 60 from September 2016 (by adding 2
modulars).
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d) The Local Authority is currently consulting on moving Cragg Vale J&I pupils off their current site.
Some options involve the possible use of the current Calder High site. This might also provide more
places to start to address any increase in demand in the Mytholmroyd area over and above those
required by Cragg Vale School.
e) Triangle (VC) is also in the process of a school led expansion, adding teaching space that will
facilitate an increased intake from September 2017. Other schools maybe planning similar
expansions that the Local Authority needs to be made aware of that might support the above need
for places.
f) In addition, a number of secondary schools have increased their PANs in recent years to
accommodate extra places. This has reduced the pressure for secondary school places that is now
being seen. It maybe that further increases in PAN will further assist this process.
g) Secondary schools with sixth forms are currently reviewing their sixth form provision with a view to
ensuring on-going provision is sustainable. To the extent that any sixth forms close (or any places
are removed) this could provide an opportunity for more pre-16 places at these schools.
6)
Expressions of Interest
a) Based on the analysis in this report the Local Authority would like to invite expressions of interest
from head teachers and their governing bodies for expansion plans that would assist (wholly or in
part) any of the following requirements over the next 5 years:
In Primary:
ii.
Mytholmroyd area – additional places up to a ½ new form of entry
In Secondary:
v.
vi.
vii.
viii.
Lighcliffe/Brighouse/Rastrick area – additional places rising to 1 new form of entry
Ryburn Valley/Sowerby Bridge area – additional places rising to 2 new forms of entry
Elland area - additional places rising to a ½ new form of entry
North Halifax area – additional places rising to 1 new form of entry
b) Expressions of interest will be considered from all schools, maintained schools, academies, and free
school applications. Local Authority Basic Need funding will be provided to meet the capital costs of
projects that best match the Local Authority’s requirements (subject to Council Member
agreement) and are the most cost effective options. Where academy projects are concerned, the
Local Authority will encourage an EFA bid. Where these are unsuccessful or require part funding,
the Local Authority would provide funding (again subject to Council Member agreement). Where
any school wishes to progress an enlarged scheme (beyond a Basic Need remit) the school will be
required to raise funds for costs beyond the Basic Need element. Revenue funding through the
funding formula will follow each year for any additional pupil numbers.
Page | 13
c) This report will be discussed by various groups and possibly refined during October depending on
any feedback. As a broad plan the Local Authority would expect to receive any expressions of
interest for expansion plans by 31 December 2016. The aim would be to evaluate any expressions
of interest (or other Local Authority schemes in the absence of appropriate options) by 31 March
2017 (this will also allow for Council Member decisions to be made). Expressions of interest should
recognise the lead in times to any required adaptations to align with any increase in demand (as a
broad rule minor adaptations could probably be achieved within 2 terms, modular and lower level
works up to a year and new build projects up to 2 years).
7) Recommendations
a) Respective groups comment on the analysis in this report that projects additional pupil places.
b) Respective groups either support or refine the areas this report requires additional pupil places.
c) Head teachers and governing bodies consider submitting expressions of interest that would assist
(wholly or in part) in meeting the additional pupil places set out in paragraph 6 (a) above.
Mark Woolley
Service Manager – School Services
Children and Young People’s Services
26 September 2016
Richard Morse
Senior Commissioning Officer – School Organisation & Planning
Children and Young People’s Services
26 September 2016
Page | 14
Appendix 1
Map of Calderdale’s Primary School Places Planning Areas
Page | 15
Appendix 2
Individual Primary School Places by Planning Area – School Year 2016/17
Greetland, Stainland and West Vale
School
Bowling Green Primary School
The Greetland Academy
Holywell Green Primary School
West Vale Primary School
Total
Published Admission Number
23
60
30
26
139
Total Places
161
420
210
182
973
Published Admission Number
37
30
30
28
22
29
25
201
Total Places
259
210
210
196
154
203
175
1,407
Published Admission Number
45
60
27
66*
60
192*
Total Places
315
180
189
264
420
1,368
Published Admission Number
30
60
67*
30
30
30
Total Places
210
180
268
210
210
210
180*
1288
Todmorden
School
Castle Hill Primary School
Cornholme Junior, Infant & Nursery School
Ferney Lee Primary School
Shade Primary School
St Joseph's RC Primary School (Todmorden)
Todmorden CE (VA) Junior & Infant School
Walsden St Peter’s CE (VC) Primary School
Total
Rastrick
School
Carr Green Primary School
Castlefields Infant School**
Field Lane Primary School
Longroyde Junior School**
Woodhouse Primary School
Total
**Amalgamated from Sept 2016
Brighouse
School
Bailiffe Bridge Junior & Infant School
St Andrew's CE (VA) Infant School
St Andrew's CE (VA) Junior School
St Chad's CE (VA) Primary School
St John's CE Primary Academy (Clifton)
St Joseph's Catholic Primary School
(Brighouse)
Total
Page | 16
Lightcliffe
School
Cliffe Hill Community Primary School
Lightcliffe CE (VA) Primary School
Total
Mytholmroyd
School
Burnley Road Academy
Cragg Vale Junior & Infant School
Scout Road Academy
Total
Published Admission Number
30
60
90
Total Places
210
420
630
Published Admission Number
30
10
15
55
Total Places
240
60
105
405
Published Admission Number
30
26
15
71
Total Places
210
182
105
497
Published Admission Number
45
30
56
17
148
Total Places
315
210
392
119
1,036
Published Admission Number
60
15
45
30
150
Total Places
420
105
315
210
1,050
Published Admission Number
30
40*
21
30
30
40
151*
Total Places
210
160
147
210
210
120
1,057
Luddenden
School
Luddenden CE School
Luddendenfoot Academy
Midgley School
Total
Elland
School
Cross Lane Primary School
Elland CE (VA) Junior, Infant & Nursery School
Old Earth Primary School
St Patrick's Catholic Primary School (Elland)
Total
Northowram and Shelf
School
Northowram Primary School
Salterlee Academy Trust
Shelf Junior & Infant School
St Michael & All Angels CE Primary School
Total
Sowerby Bridge
School
Bolton Brow Primary Academy
Christ Church CE (VA) Junior School
New Road Primary School
Sacred Heart Catholic Voluntary Academy
Sowerby Village CE (VC) Primary School
Tuel Lane Infant School
Total
Page | 17
Ryburn Valley and Norland
School
Barkisland CE (VA) Primary School
Norland CE (VC) Junior & Infant School
Ripponden Junior & Infant School
St John's CE (VA) Primary School (Rishworth)
St Mary's CE (VC) J & I School (Sowerby
Bridge)
Triangle CE (VC) Primary School
Total
Published Admission Number
30
15
45
20
15
Total Places
210
105
270
140
105
23
148
161
991
Published Admission Number
30
17
21
15
15
60*
30
128*
Total Places
90
119
147
105
105
240
90
896
Published Admission Number
30
45
75
Total Places
240
315
555
Published Admission Number
30
60
45
30
50
30
60
30
30
90
455
Total Places
210
420
315
210
350
210
420
210
210
630
3,185
Hebden Bridge and surrounding villages
School
Central Street Infant & Nursery School
Colden Junior & Infant School
Hebden Royd CE (VA) Primary School
Heptonstall Junior, Infant & Nursery School
Old Town Primary School
Riverside Junior School
Stubbings Infant School
Total
Siddal and Southowram
School
Siddal Primary School
Withinfields Primary School
Total
North Halifax
School
Abbey Park Academy
Ash Green Community Primary School
Bradshaw Primary School
Dean Field Community Primary School
Lee Mount Primary School
Moorside Community Primary School
Rawson Junior, Infant & Nursery School
St Joseph's Catholic Primary School (Halifax)
St Malachy's Catholic Primary School
Whitehill Community Academy
Total
Page | 18
Central Halifax
School
All Saints' CE (VA) J & I School
Beech Hill School
Christ Church (Pellon) CE (VC) Primary School
Copley Primary School
Holy Trinity Primary School (COEA)
Ling Bob J, I & N School
Mount Pellon Primary Academy
Parkinson Lane Community Primary School
Salterhebble J & I School
Savile Park Primary School
St Augustine's CE (VA) J & I School (Halifax)
St Mary's Catholic Primary School (Halifax)
The Halifax Academy
Wainstalls School
Warley Road Primary School
Warley Town School
Total
Published Admission Number
30
90
30
32
60
45
75
60
30
60
30
40
60
21
75
20
758
Total Primary School Places Available
Total Places
210
570
210
224
420
315
525
420
210
420
210
280
420
147
525
140
5,246
20,584
* indicates this does not reflect most recent changes to PAN.
Page | 19
Appendix 3
Individual Secondary Schools – Historic Pupil Numbers on Roll
Total Historic Pupil Numbers
(January Census Data)
Total Places
School
(Years 7-11)
September 2016
2012/13
2013/14
2014/15
2015/16
Brighouse High School
1050
1075
1081
1102
1095
Calder High School
1160
1122
1084
1027
965
Lightcliffe Academy
1350
1251
1243
1262
1249
Park Lane Learning Trust
600
462
426
417
434
Rastrick High
1290
1193
1178
1215
1238
Ryburn Valley High
1200
1187
1193
1192
1209
Sowerby Bridge High
900
838
798
762
700
The Brooksbank School
1410
1409
1415
1414
1409
The Crossley Heath School
825
777
778
777
804
The Halifax Academy
900
805
841
859
904
The North Halifax Grammar
775
779
776
774
778
Todmorden High
875
582
549
542
554
Trinity Academy Halifax
1500
1016
1389
1379
1389
Total
13835
12496
12751
12722
12728
6%
7%
8%
8%
Surplus places /Additional demand
Page | 20
Appendix 4
School Places – Calderdale Forecast Methodology 2016
Primary Schools Forecasts:
Reception:
The data used to forecast the number of children in Reception class is provided by the Health Authority
which is taken from the patients’ register. The information provided includes the number of pre-school
aged children and their dates of birth living in every postal sector of the Local Authority.
A pattern of allocations from each postal sector is built up which indicates what proportion of children in a
given postal sector is likely to go to a certain primary school. This is done by taking a weighted average of
the previous 3 years’ allocations and applying it to the Health Authority’s data and thus a number derived
for each primary school’s Reception class. In the weighted average, a weight of 0.5 is given to the most
recent allocations and 0.3 and 0.2 to the previous two years’ allocations respectively.
Year 1-6:
This is based on January Annual School Census and is derived by moving pupils in one year group into the
next.
Secondary Schools Forecasts:
Year 7:
A pattern of allocations from each primary school is built up which indicates what proportion of children in
a given primary school are likely to go to a certain secondary school. This is done by taking a non-weighted
average of the previous 3 years’ allocations and applying it to the current Year 6 pupil population of each
primary school and thus a number derived for each secondary school’s Year 7.
Year 8-11:
This is based on January Annual School Census and is derived by moving pupils in one year group into the
next.
Year 12-13:
Previous (3 years’ non-weighted average) stay-on rate is applied to the current Year 11 and 12 pupil
population of each school to derive numbers for Year 12 and 13.
Primary Feeder Schools
The following schools have feeder status. This list shows which primary schools are afforded feeder status
into which secondary provision.
Brighouse High School
St Andrew’s CE (VA) Junior School
St Chad’s CE (VA) Primary School
St John’s (CE) Primary Academy, Clifton
Withinfields Primary School
Page | 21
Lightcliffe Academy
Bailiffe Bridge J & I School
Cliffe Hill Community Primary School
Lightcliffe CE (VA) Primary School
Northowram Primary School
Rawson J, I & N School
Salterlee Academy
Shelf J & I School
St Joseph’s Catholic Primary School (Halifax)
St Michael & All Angels CE Primary School
Rastrick High School
Carr Green Primary School
Field Lane Primary School
Fixby Junior and Infant School
Longroyde Junior School
Woodhouse Primary School
Ryburn Valley High School
Barkisland CE (VA) Primary School
Bolton Brow Academy
Christ Church CE (VA) Junior School
Copley Primary School
New Road Primary School
Norland CE (VC) J & I School
Ripponden J & I School
Sacred Heart Catholic Primary School
Sowerby Village CE (VC) Primary School
St John’s CE Primary School (Rishworth)
St Mary’s CE (VA) J & I School
Triangle CE (VC) Primary School
Warley Town School
The Brooksbank School
All Saints CE (VA) J & I School
Bowling Green Primary School
Cross Lane Primary School
Elland CE (VA) J & I School
Holywell Green Primary School
Old Earth Primary School
St Patrick’s Catholic Primary School
The Greetland Academy
West Vale Primary School
Page | 22
Appendix 5
Impact of Local Housing Developments
Supplementary housing data is provided alongside pupil projections. The data reflects housing
developments that are underway – it does not allow for all planning applications on the basis that a very
high percentage of these never actually proceed. Nevertheless it is important to consider the background
data around housing. Developments such as the Copley Valley / Sowerby Bridge Development (200+
houses) will proceed shortly, and a longer term plan for the Authority is currently in development.
Whilst the exact impact is difficult to determine, the average pupil yield from new housing nationally is 0.36
pupils per home which equates roughly to 1 pupil for every 3 to 4 houses. Additional pupil yield will not
arrive all at one time and will be spread across all school year groups (4 years to 18 years).
It is unclear at this stage as to what funding (if any) will be generated by any new developments - any new
policy has yet to be adopted (the Community Infrastructure Levy is set to replace the former Section 106
arrangements that saw developer contributions requested where a new housing development had an
impact on the existing infrastructure – this included school place provision).
Expectations around contributions should however be measured. Experience of previous Section 106
developer contribution requests is that these are uncertain receipts. Many other considerations go into
policy development as the need for additional funding for school places will be balanced against broader
social and economic considerations (eg the benefit of job creation where financially viable developments
progress versus the cost to the Local Authority for additional infrastructure).
Calderdale’s Local Plan
‘The Local Plan’ (currently in development) will see the creation of up to 17,651 houses across the borough
by 2032. These will be distributed as follows:
Planning Area
Brighouse
Elland
Halifax
Hebden Bridge
Mytholmroyd / Luddenden
Northowram / Shelf
Ryburn Valley
Sowerby Bridge
Todmorden
Calderdale Total
Planned Housing
6,909
1,800
6,601
252
282
636
71
600
500
17,651
Page | 23
The anticipated pupil yield from the above housing developments by 2032 might be:
Planning Area
Brighouse
Elland
Halifax
Hebden Bridge
Mytholmroyd / Luddenden
Northowram / Shelf
Ryburn Valley
Sowerby Bridge
Todmorden
Calderdale Total
Primary Pupils
1339
349
1280
49
55
123
14
116
97
3422
Secondary Pupils
1148
299
1096
35
46
106
12
100
83
2925
Page | 24
Appendix 6
Calderdale Secondary Schools – Available Places Compared to Projected Pupil Numbers (Excluding 6th Form) 2016/17 to 2025/26
Total Projected Numbers against Places Available
2017/18
2018/19
2018/19
2019/20
Projected
Places
Projected
Places
Numbers
Available
Numbers
Available
2016/17
Places
Available
2016/17
Projected
Numbers
2017/18
Places
Available
2019/20
Projected
Numbers
2020/21
Places
Available
2020/21
Projected
Numbers
Brighouse High School
1050
1088
1050
1075
1050
1053
1050
1029
1050
1023
Calder High School
1160
970
1160
956
1160
995
1160
1048
1160
1092
Lightcliffe Academy
1350
1271
1330
1296
1310
1356
1290
1373
1270
1424
Park Lane Learning Trust
600
445
600
500
600
548
600
577
600
592
Rastrick High
1290
1288
1320
1332
1350
1359
1350
1357
1350
1363
Ryburn Valley High
1200
1243
1200
1291
1200
1341
1200
1410
1200
1450
Sowerby Bridge High
900
712
900
762
900
793
900
839
900
905
The Brooksbank School
1410
1431
1410
1456
1410
1461
1410
1471
1410
1482
The Crossley Heath School
825
828
850
831
875
827
900
834
900
813
The Halifax Academy
900
919
920
956
940
955
960
986
980
974
The North Halifax Grammar
775
782
800
785
825
782
850
785
875
791
Todmorden High
875
611
875
682
875
747
875
797
875
813
Trinity Academy Halifax
1500
1474
1500
1513
1500
1556
1500
1584
1500
1640
Total
13835
13062
13915
13435
13995
13773
14045
14090
14070
14362
Surplus places /Additional
demand
6%
3%
2%
0%
-2%
Additional demand (new
housing)
120
120
120
120
120
13182
13555
13893
14210
14482
5%
3%
1%
-1%
Revised Total
Revised Total (surplus places
/ additional demand
-3%
Page | 25
2021/22
Places
Available
2021/22
Projected
Numbers
2022/23
Places
Available
2022/23
Projected
Numbers
2023/24
Places
Available
2023/24
Projected
Numbers
2024/25
Places
Available
2024/25
Projected
Numbers
2025/26
Places
Available
2025/26
Projected
Numbers
Brighouse High School
1050
1039
1050
1043
1050
1050
1050
1053
1050
1046
Calder High School
1160
1108
1160
1099
1160
1098
1160
1058
1160
1019
Lightcliffe Academy
1250
1433
1250
1438
1250
1442
1250
1458
1250
1450
Park Lane Learning Trust
600
608
600
615
600
645
600
658
600
663
Rastrick High
1350
1352
1350
1318
1350
1305
1350
1293
1350
1290
Ryburn Valley High
1200
1494
1200
1494
1200
1504
1200
1488
1200
1477
Sowerby Bridge High
900
925
900
918
900
954
900
948
900
947
The Brooksbank School
1410
1466
1410
1455
1410
1479
1410
1460
1410
1444
The Crossley Heath School
900
801
900
798
900
809
900
799
900
795
The Halifax Academy
1000
1018
1000
1037
1000
1100
1000
1100
1000
1131
The North Halifax Grammar
900
794
900
794
900
800
900
797
900
789
Todmorden High
875
818
875
830
875
839
875
843
875
848
Trinity Academy Halifax
1500
1671
1500
1708
1500
1743
1500
1784
1500
1750
Total
14095
14527
14095
14547
14095
14768
14095
14739
14095
14649
Page | 26
Appendix 7
Calderdale Primary Schools – Intake Capacity versus Demand for Places
The following table shows each of Calderdale’s Primary Place Planning areas. RAG rating is used to
highlight where there is surplus place capacity in Reception for that area (Green), little or no surplus
(Amber) and a shortage of provision (Red).
Total
Places
Available
Historic Reception Figures
(January Census Data)
20122013
20132014
20142015
Projected Pupil Demand
20152016
20162017
2017-2018
20182019
20192020
Greetland and West Vale
139
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
142
144
132
133
139
129
134
130
-2%
-4%
5%
4%
0%
7%
4%
6%
0
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Todmorden
201
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
176
174
189
196
209
195
182
149
12%
13%
6%
2%
-4%
3%
9%
26%
8
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Rastrick
192
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
169
177
177
156
166
165
179
153
12%
8%
8%
19%
19%
14%
7%
20%
0
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Brighouse
180
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
Additional Places
Required
176
179
182
177
155
161
169
147
2%
1%
-1%
2%
14%
11%
6%
18%
0
0
0
0
Page | 27
Total
Places
Available
Historic Reception Figures
(January Census Data)
20122013
20132014
20142015
Projected Pupil Demand
20152016
20162017
2017-2018
20182019
20192020
Lightcliffe
90
87
81
84
82
81
92
84
91
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
3%
10%
7%
9%
10%
-2%
7%
-1%
0
2
0
1
Additional Places
Required
Mytholmroyd
55
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
49
69
55
49
53
52
46
54
11%
-25%
0%
11%
4%
5%
16%
2%
0
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Luddenden
71
68
52
71
54
50
58
55
54
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
4%
27%
0%
24%
30%
18%
23%
24%
0
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Elland
148
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
137
127
133
147
161
138
132
143
7%
14%
10%
1%
-9%
7%
11%
3%
13
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Northowram and Shelf
150
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
Additional Places
Required
145
151
149
145
153
156
146
132
3%
-1%
1%
3%
-2%
-4%
3%
12%
3
6
0
0
Page | 28
Total
Places
Available
Historic Reception Figures
(January Census Data)
20122013
20132014
20142015
Projected Pupil Demand
20152016
20162017
2017-2018
20182019
20192020
Sowerby Bridge
151
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
133
142
138
128
127
130
138
128
12%
6%
9%
15%
16%
14%
9%
15%
0
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Ryburn Valley and Norland
148
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
138
131
144
131
141
141
120
134
7%
11%
3%
11%
5%
5%
19%
9%
0
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Hebden Bridge and surrounding villages
128
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
123
96
108
85
100
78
70
75
4%
25%
16%
34%
22%
39%
45%
41%
0
0
0
0
Additional Places
Required
Siddal and Southowram
75
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
63
76
104
88
104
88
89
93
16%
-1%
-39%
-17%
-39%
-17%
-19%
-24%
29
13
14
18
Additional Places
Required
North Halifax
455
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
Additional Places
Required
415
451
437
441
455
465
401
394
9%
1%
4%
3%
0%
-2%
12%
13%
0
10
0
0
Page | 29
Total
Places
Available
Historic Reception Figures
(January Census Data)
20122013
20132014
20142015
Projected Pupil Demand
20152016
20162017
2017-2018
20182019
20192020
Central Halifax
758
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
Additional Places
Required
680
663
700
680
750
652
716
678
10%
13%
8%
10%
1%
14%
6%
11%
0
0
0
0
Page | 30
Page | 31
Appendix 8
Calderdale Secondary Schools – Projected Intake Against Places Available (PAN) 2016/17 to 2025/26
Total Projected Intake against Places Available
2016/17
PAN
2016/17
Projected
Intake
2017/18
PAN
onwards
2017/18
Projected
Intake
2018/19
Projected
Intake
2019/20
Projected
Intake
2020/21
Projected
Intake
2021/22
Projected
Intake
2022/23
Projected
Intake
2023/24
Projected
Intake
2024/25
Projected
Intake
2025/26
Projected
Intake
Brighouse High School
210
206
210
204
199
201
213
222
208
206
204
206
Calder High School
232
215
232
205
214
235
223
231
196
213
195
184
Lightcliffe Academy
270
285
250
281
283
282
293
294
286
287
298
285
Park Lane Learning Trust
120
120
120
122
113
117
120
136
129
143
130
125
Rastrick High
270
279
270
280
269
266
269
268
246
256
254
266
Ryburn Valley High
240
272
240
285
286
308
299
316
285
296
292
288
Sowerby Bridge High
180
174
180
187
161
191
192
194
180
197
185
191
The Brooksbank School
282
301
282
303
290
293
295
285
292
314
274
279
The Crossley Heath
School
180
176
180
159
157
162
159
164
156
168
152
155
The Halifax Academy
180
182
200
201
177
211
203
226
220
240
211
234
The North Halifax
Grammar
155
157
155
159
161
162
157
161
156
153
Todmorden High
175
164
175
157
172
166
154
169
169
181
170
159
Trinity Academy Halifax
300
321
300
314
327
323
355
352
351
362
364
321
Total
2794
2854
2819
2855
2803
2914
2936
3019
2875
3024
2885
2846
-1%
1%
-3%
-4%
-7%
-2%
-7%
-2%
-1%
Surplus places
/Additional demand
159
-2%
180
Page | 32
Appendix 9
Calderdale Primary Provision
Total Capacity in all Year Groups versus Demand for Places
The following table shows each of Calderdale’s Primary Place Planning areas. RAG rating is used to
highlight area where there is surplus capacity when looking at the total whole school capacity versus pupils
on roll (Green), little or no surplus (Amber) and a shortage of provision (Red).
Housing data represents additional demand predicted but only for housing currently under construction.
Additional consideration for new housing is discussed later in this document.
Planning
Area
Total
Places
Available
Total Historic Pupil Numbers
(January Census Data)
20122013
20132014
20142015
Total Projected Pupil Numbers
20152016
20162017
20172018
20182019
20192020
Greetland and West Vale
973
940
950
966
962
962
951
945
938
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
3%
4%
10
10
10
10
972
961
955
948
0%
1%
2%
3%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Revised Total
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
Todmorden
1407
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
1227
1260
1269
1276
1305
1327
1318
1286
13%
10%
10%
9%
7%
6%
6%
9%
13
13
13
13
1318
1340
1331
1299
6%
5%
5%
8%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Revised Total
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
Rastrick
1368
1274
1262
1269
1253
1231
1204
1202
1178
7%
8%
7%
8%
10%
12%
12%
14%
4
4
4
4
Revised Total
1235
1208
1206
1182
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
11%
12%
12%
14%
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Page | 33
Planning
Area
Total
Places
Available
Total Historic Pupil Numbers
(January Census Data)
20122013
20132014
20142015
Total Projected Pupil Numbers
20152016
20162017
20172018
20182019
20192020
Brighouse
1288
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
1245
1237
1240
1250
1222
1203
1196
1169
3%
4%
4%
3%
5%
7%
7%
9%
4
4
4
4
1226
1207
1200
1173
5%
6%
7%
9%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Revised Total
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
Lightcliffe
630
578
586
605
612
601
612
605
605
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
8%
7%
4%
3%
5%
3%
4%
4%
7
7
7
7
Revised Total
608
619
612
612
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
3%
2%
3%
3%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Mytholmroyd
375
352
391
388
391
395
389
380
379
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
6%
-4%
-3%
-4%
-5%
-4%
-1%
-1%
3
3
3
3
Revised Total
398
392
383
382
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
-6%
-5%
-2%
-2%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Luddenden
497
403
408
435
425
412
410
405
392
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
19%
18%
12%
14%
17%
18%
19%
21%
4
4
4
4
Revised Total
416
414
409
396
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
16%
17%
18%
20%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Page | 34
Planning
Area
Total
Places
Available
Total Historic Pupil Numbers
(January Census Data)
20122013
20132014
20142015
Total Projected Pupil Numbers
20152016
20162017
20172018
20182019
20192020
Elland
1036
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
940
965
988
1017
1027
1011
1004
1003
9%
7%
5%
2%
1%
2%
3%
3%
14
14
14
14
1041
1025
1018
1017
0%
1%
2%
2%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Revised Total
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
Northowram and Shelf
1050
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
1019
1041
1044
1030
1038
1046
1042
1031
3%
1%
1%
2%
1%
0%
1%
2%
6
6
6
6
1044
1052
1048
1037
1%
0%
0%
1%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Revised Total
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
Sowerby Bridge
1057
796
833
869
914
930
938
947
931
25%
21%
18%
14%
12%
11%
10%
12%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
13
13
13
13
Revised Total
943
951
960
944
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
11%
10%
9%
11%
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
Ryburn Valley and Norland
991
850
886
925
943
951
957
947
946
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
14%
11%
7%
5%
4%
3%
4%
5%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
15
15
15
15
Revised Total
966
972
962
961
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
3%
2%
3%
3%
Page | 35
Planning
Area
Total
Places
Available
Total Historic Pupil Numbers
(January Census Data)
20122013
20132014
20142015
Total Projected Pupil Numbers
20152016
20162017
20172018
20182019
20192020
Hebden Bridge and Surrounding Villages
896
766
744
744
728
721
708
669
621
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
15%
17%
17%
19%
20%
21%
25%
31%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
12
12
12
12
Revised Total
733
720
681
633
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
18%
20%
24%
29%
Siddal and Southowram
555
474
478
522
536
575
594
618
641
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
15%
14%
6%
3%
-4%
-7%
-11%
-15%
4
4
4
4
Revised Total
579
598
622
645
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
-4%
-8%
-12%
-16%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
North Halifax
3185
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
2713
2837
2881
2937
2987
3057
3052
3049
15%
11%
10%
8%
6%
4%
4%
4%
21
21
21
21
3008
3078
3073
3070
6%
3%
4%
4%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Revised Total
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
Central Halifax
4946
Surplus Places /
Additional Demand
4439
4503
4612
4626
4757
4742
4866
4856
10%
9%
7%
6%
4%
4%
2%
2%
40
40
40
40
4797
4782
4906
4896
3%
3%
1%
1%
Additional Demand (New Housing)
Revised Total
Revised Total Surplus Places / Additional Demand
Page | 36