Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 Applying Agent-Based Modeling to Integrate Bounded Rationality in Organizational Management Research Sven Meyer European Business School (EBS) [email protected] Henrik Simon European Business School (EBS) [email protected] Abstract Simulation models to analyze the dynamics of organizations have lately become more widely-used in organizational science. In contrast to traditional research, which is typically based on more stable and predictable characteristics, these computational models are better able to take into consideration the dynamics and complex interrelationships of today’s organizations. Addressing the methodological question of how to model organizations, we give an overview on different computational approaches such as Discrete Event Simulation, System Dynamics and Agent-Based models to map these complex interactions between organizations and their environments. Utilizing a variety of criteria, we discuss the use and value of different simulation approaches in organizational theory and present both their advantages and shortcomings. In particular, while focusing on the information processing view of organizations, we explain the concept of bounded rationality and its implementation in simulation approaches. In this context, we show that Agent-Based models represent strong methodological tools to analyze both the inherent organizational dynamics and the coevolution between organizations and their environments. 1. Introduction The interplay between organizations and their environments has been intensively studied during the last three decades. Business organizations evolve as their environments evolve around them while political, sociological and economic factors drive these changes in certain directions. Usually organizations not only adapt to these changes but also initiate them resulting in a dynamic coevolution between the organizations and their environments. This coevolution and especially the inherent interdependences between organizations and their Meike Tilebein European Business School (EBS) [email protected] environments represent central determinants of organizational behaviour. Most of the research focusing on coevolution is based on stable and predictable events either within the organization or in the environment. This assumption provides organizational researchers with a broad foundation for theory development, but disregards the complex dynamics of todays interconnected and continuously changing economies. The increased complexity of the business world creates a significant challenge to organizational research methods. In times of high change empirical work is difficult to conduct [7]. Moreover, the high complexity of existing organizational theories makes it difficult to develop appropriate research designs. Often further simplifications are needed in order to empirically evaluate these theories [20]. In particular, the modeling of the multifaceted interdependencies between organizations and their environments by intertwined variables impedes consistent results. There is a need for alternative research methods in organizational theory that explicitly consider the emergent character of an organization and its dynamic interplay with the environment. In answer to this methodological challenge the academic literature has proposed different computational approaches to model the dynamic interactions of coevolution. While empirically based methods solely reflect the current or past state of an organization, the computational models primarily focus on the dynamic interactions and interdependencies either within organizations or between organizations and their external environments. They tackle the question: What happens if? by simulating the processes of organizational adaptation and decision making under changing circumstances. As Gilbert [14] states, simulation models of organizations represent a legitimate way of analyzing the particular dynamics of organizational societies. Therefore, they provide researchers with an effective method to analyze 978-0-7695-3450-3/09 $25.00 © 2009 IEEE 1 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 organizational coevolution. The theoretical foundation of most computational simulation models in organizational theories builds on the information processing view that goes back to Simon [28]. His early studies of organizational behaviour show the importance and potential of analyzing communication streams within organizations. In this view organizational behaviour is determined by the capacity of information processing within the organization. When environmental changes promote changes in the organizational behaviour, organizations adapt to their environment by solving a series of information processing problems [23]. Since organizational problem solving incorporates large quantities of information, the task of information processing is too complex to be carried out by a single subset of the organization (e.g. a single member of the organization). Accordingly, Simon suggests that organizations are built to accomplish complex tasks. Organizations provide individuals with a formal structure for cooperation in order to achieve goals that are beyond their individual cognitive capabilities. In the academic literature these restrictions of the individuals information processing or cognitive capability are known as bounded rationality [28]. The concept of bounded rationality contrasts with the neoclassical understanding of organizations and rational choice. Because the individuals information demand and processing capacity is limited under bounded rationality, the individuals decisions seldom reflect rational choices. The decisions rather depend on the information availability and distribution within the organization which is set by the underlying social network and formal organizational structure [29]. Many theories of organizations do not consider bounded rationality of individuals as a driver of organizational behaviour. Theories establishing a clear connection between the level of individual behaviour and that of organizational behaviour are missing. As Lomi and Larsen [20] state, there exists no satisfactory theory of organizations that describes the organizational behaviour rather than the behaviour of selected organizational members. In order to take bounded rationality into account, one must describe the behaviour on both the individual and the organizational levels at the same time. Considering organizations as networks of information processing nodes, the information processing view can explain the interactions between individual and organizational behaviour as well as environmental change. Such networks enable the analysis of how the distribution of information in the organization and the information processing capacity affects both the individual and organizational behaviour: When environmental changes adjust the information distribution within the organization, the information processing view allows exploring the responses of the individuals and the organization to the changed circumstances. Conversely, change in the organizations information processing capability can result in different responses to the current environmental state. Consequently, networks of adaptive information processing units can lead to a sophisticated understanding of how organizational structure, social networks and the external environment impact both the individual and in sum the organizational behaviour [1, 18, 24]. In this paper we illustrate that computational modeling of organizations can be an appropriate method to analyze the dynamic interplay between the organizations and their environments, given bounded rationality of the organizational actors. Here we focus on the information distribution and processing capability on both the individual and the organizational levels. By considering organizations as complex systems we review the state of simulation in the field of organization theory and discuss their shortcomings and advantages. In particular, we focus on the ways of how bounded rationality is implemented in the different simulation approaches and discuss the impact to the simulation results. We will show that Agent-Based Modeling of organizations is a rich and promising approach of modeling organizations, but highly depends on the way of capturing bounded rationality. Finally, we identify areas for further research. This paper is organized as follows: The next section presents organizations as complex systems followed by an introduction to simulation approaches in organizational research. Following that we introduce and discuss the characteristics of different simulation approaches like Discrete Event simulation, System Dynamics and Agent-Based Modeling. In reviewing these simulation methods we evaluate their use in organizational research based on a qualitative framework. Finally, the article concludes with a discussion of the importance and implementation of bounded rationality within computational models of organizations along with some directions for future work. 2. Organizations as Complex Systems In order to introduce and compare different computational research methods, we first lay down our understanding of the research object organization in a coevolutionary context. We refer to the concept of coevolution by Baum and Singh [4] 2 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 and apply three theories; systems theory, evolutionary theory and complexity theory. Systems theory provides a framework to analyze the complex and dynamic interactions between systems and subsystems, respectively organizations and their environments. Evolutionary theory which is based on the two major mechanism variation and selection that result in adaptation is another important theory when dealing with coevolution. While in classical organizational theory selection and adaptation are often seen separate, in a coevolutionary perspective these mechanism are brought together as only those organizations survive which are able to adapt well to their environments. While evolution theory regards organizations as unique entities with characteristic behaviours, the combination of systems theory and evolutionary theory additionally takes account of knowledge, learning and decision-making on the individuals level within organizations. As change is driven by direct interactions as well as feedback from the rest of the organizationenvironment systems [4], the analysis of coevolutionary processes requires a multilevel feedback approach. At this point one can refer to complexity theory which describes the interconnection of all things in ever-expanding layers of nested wholes [34, p. 1385]. In this way the organizational system is a perceived whole whose elements hand together because they continually affect each other over time and operate towards a common purpose. [27, p. 90] Thus, research methods used in this context should be able to model the corresponding fundamental traits of organizations and their environments in a realistic and accurate way. In this context, Bandte [2] derives 11 constitutive characteristics of complex systems from literature studies. In the following these characteristics are briefly described and ranged into 4 sections: Structure view, evolvement view, multilevel view and existence view. The structure view stands for the characteristics that are given through the build-up and accoutrement of complex systems (e.g. entities, connections and differentiation from the corresponding environment): Plurality and variety refers to the numerous amounts and combinations of elements within a complex system. Plurality stands for the number of entities while variety describes their diversity [2]. As the individuals behaviours shape the organizational behaviour, plurality and variety plays an important role in modeling coevolution. Openness describes the ability of a system to exchange material, energy and information with the environment. Closed systems are bound to an internal focus and any influence from the outside is disabled by their design. In contrast, open systems either allow the exchange with their surroundings or even influence and adaptation [33]. Thus, we regard organizations and their environments as open systems. Bounded rationality contrasts to the idealistic assumption of complete knowledge distribution among every system element which enforces rational behaviour. Closer to reality is the confession of irrational behaviour within complex systems, which appears when elements are limited in their information processing capacities or have no access to complete information. The elements then act on the basis of their given limited range of knowledge and thus are supposed to form organizations in order to carry out complex tasks [2]. The evolvement view focuses on the characteristics incorporated with the interactions of the system elements and the resulting effects on the initial state: Dynamics capture the behaviour of a system as well as the change itself within an organizationenvironment system over time. Including time as a dimension refers to the possibility of system evolvement through intraorganizational activities [27]. The dynamics of a system can be described as periodic, at the edge of chaos or chaotic [15, 30]. Path dependence allows the analysis of past behaviour. The system history reveals the evolutionary paths which record how elements acted and communicated to form the present system state. As organizational behaviour is determined by past events, exploring past data enhances understanding and prediction of future system developments [25]. Feedback loops among the system entities are another constitutive element of complex systems and are as described an important concept for coevolutionary studies. For a system to be complex it must be connected in such a way that multiple causal loops are present that themselves interact with each other [25, p. 7]. Non-linearity takes into account that complex systems may include activities which are neither linear nor predictable and might result in varying or proportional activity outcomes. This is especially true, when organizational behaviour is set by the behaviour of all individual organizational members. In contrast, linear simulation approaches cannot trace or simulate wide range decision effects of either individuals or a group of entities [2]. The multilevel view refers to the characteristics of the independencies and internal activities between the micro and macro level in complex systems: 3 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 Self-organization refers to the appearance of system structure which is formed without any outside influences. The form is solely derived from the internal system elements. It reflects the need to build organizations in order to accomplish complex tasks. Evolvement in either time or space, maintenance of a stable structure or the appearance of transient phenomena might occur. Emergence [ ] refers to the arising of novel and coherent structures, patterns, and properties during the process of self-organization in complex systems [15, p. 49]. This can be started by simple processes on the micro level which lead to system adoptions on the macro level. In organizations a result of emergence are routines and informal organizational structures. The existence view captures the characteristics which enable an own perception and regulation of complex systems: Autopoieses describes an inherent renewal potential. Autonomous and complex systems are able to use internal networks. They build and control own elements and so form own boundaries to the surrounding environment [22]. Self-reference is the capability of a system to recognize its own system or organizational identity, which is coined by the activities of its elements [21]. 3. The Simulation Schools In the field of organizational theory there exist three main simulation principles up to now: Discrete Event Simulations, System Dynamics and AgentBased Simulations [8, 16]. In the following section we give a brief overview on how these methods can be applied to model organizational research problems and to which amount they succeed in modeling the described constitutive complex system traits. 3.1. Discrete Event Simulation Discrete Event Simulations model their underlying scope of analysis by system states. A state is defined by a single variable or a vector of variables which represent the entities on the system micro level. A value change in these variables causes a whole system state change. This can only happen at definite time points when an event is triggered. Events can be considered as an occurrence that changes the state of the system [3, p. 10]. So a change within the system is initiated by events to which the elements just react. They neither actively behave nor communicate. In the time phase between events the state variables remain unchanged. The duration of these phases can vary as the events can occur either in standardized or non-standardized time intervals. To describe this procedure formally, a set of consecutive events is used. If an event is triggered, the following events take the open place in this set. In consequence, the modeled organizational system evolves over time with every triggering [7, 8, 16]. 3.2. System Dynamics System Dynamics goes back to the sociotechnical system movements in the fifties and is heavily influenced by cybernetics and systems theory. The approach was developed by Forrester [12]. As a holistic approach to simulate complex dynamic decision problems it offers the possibility to analyze causal structures and their accompanied behaviours. Hereby it takes the complexity, the internal feedback loops and the non-linearity and of social systems into account [16, 31]. Similar to Discrete Event Simulation, System Dynamics uses variables to describe system states. A specific characteristic is that these variables (here called stocks) are not limited to entities or physical items and that their type can be inconsistent [8]. Links (here called flows) to relate the state variables with each other are realized via functional equations. The flows are defined in terms of the first derivates of the stocks. So the flows describe how the rate of change in one variable impacts the rate of change in another or even further linked variables. In consequence, the simulation captures a dynamic nature that otherwise could not be obtained [7, 8]. Essentially, a System Dynamic model is a set of coupled equations, namely ordinary differential equations and partial differential equations, which represent changes to systems over time [14]. Additionally, non-linear flows, stochastic elements, or events can be added for more complexity [7, 8]. The application of System Dynamics is in particular useful for simulating a great number of quantifiable and related variables. A transparent display of relations on the macro level is given while redundant influencing factors are eliminated. Overall System Dynamics represents not a pure continuous description of a trend but offers assumptions over the dynamic co-operation of objects [2, 8]. 3.3. Agent-Based Modeling Agent-Based Modeling has its background in the artificial intelligence area of modern computer science. This simulation approach differs from Discrete Event Simulations and System Dynamics by its fundamental simulation technique, as systems are not simulated through their states, but through their 4 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 internal autonomous elements (so called agents). So the analysis takes place on the micro level instead of the macro level of a modeled system. Agents are designed to represent the individual objects of a system (e.g. members of an organization). Franklin and Graesser [13, p. 25] define an agent as a system situated within and a part of an environment that senses that environment and acts on it, over time, in pursuit of its own agenda and so as to effect what it senses in the future. So an agent is placed in some environment and is able to autonomously act in this environment in order to achieve its individual objectives [35]. The definition links the construct agent with certain classification profiles. These profiles are important for the application in broader simulation approaches and are described in the following: Autonomy: Agents are designed to have a certain unique behaviour, which is determined by individual, directly assigned goals. Idealistically, this implanted order to fulfill their own needs lets them act egoistically. So they do not necessarily account for other agents at first sight [5, 13, 26]. Communication: Agents are not solely equipped with individual goals that correspond with their duty fulfilling behaviour. Additionally, they also have embedded schemata which determine their communication behaviour to other agents. If an agent cannot reach his prescribed individual goals by himself, he might be forced to communicate with his environment, or more precise with other agents via a formal language in order to find another acceptable solution. So if it serves the attempt to reach his given goals, the programmed schemata enables an agent to teamwork or to bargain [36]. Reactivity and proactivity: Agents maneuver in a special simulation environment in which the agents Bounded Rationality Openness Plurality & Variety Table 1. The Structure View Discrete Event Simulations • The system elements can be multifaceted modeled • They face no limitations • They fulfill the need for plurality and variety System Dynamics • Only the state of one changing object the system - is described • Within the system the modeling of several parallel entities is possible Agent-Based Modeling • Agents can be equipped with different goals and behaviours to represent intended system heterogeneity • Limited by the growing need for computer processing power to handle the increasing amount • Only allow the modeling of closed systems • Because of the lack of communication abilities, influence from the outside cannot be considered • Environmental impacts can be included via state variables • But this means they become a part of the simulated structure and so of a closed system • New agents can be added successive • The accoutrement with entities is not fixed • Communication with the systems environment can be modeled • All possible events are deterministic or stochastic • No modeling of limited information distribution and non-rational decisions (bounded rationality) • Changes within a system are determined by mathematical unchangeable dependencies • Bounded rationality cannot be displayed • Agents can be confronted with limited information access and restricted information processing capacity • Even under such simulated limitations they have to make decisions • This allows the implementation of bounded rationality aspects • Agent-based Modeling is clearly a powerful tool in the analysis of spatially distributed systems of heterogeneous autonomous actors with bounded information and computing capacity [10, p. 56] Non- Feedback linear. Loops Path dependence Dynamics Table 2. The Evolvement View Discrete Event Simulations • Realized via the event set method • Not in a continuous form but in a time discrete manner System Dynamics • Models system changes over time by linking the state variables via functional equations Agent-Based Modeling • Modeled systems are dynamic • Agents steadily react to internal or outside impacts • Dynamic effects can be controlled by the amount of agents or by changing local rules • Event set allows the analysis of past behaviour • System evolvement can be traced • Identical initial states always lead to the same result • It does not matter which paths were taken to reach the final state • Therefore, the analysis of past behaviour is not necessary • Communication among the system elements is not designed • This disallows the establishment of feedback loops • Feedback loops on the macro level are an important factor • But feedback loops on an individual level cannot be taken into account • Agents can memorize simulation steps (impacts, communications etc.) and adapt them on new situations • Predicting agent behaviour requires complete acquaintance of the individual experiences • These experiences determine the whole system experience • Communication is a part of the agent behaviour and can be established directly from agent to agent or to the environment • Can be taken into account by stochastic time phases between triggered events • Non-linear equations can easily integrate non-linearity • Rule-based behaviour implementation allows easily installation of non-linear rules 5 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 Emergence SelfOrgaization Table 3. The Multi-Level View Discrete Event Simulations • Event set steers and dominates the actions of the system elements • Self-organization cannot be modeled System Dynamics • The macro level perspective only allows an aggregated view on the individual behaviours and the interactions of the elements • Self-organization cannot be taken into account Agent-Based Modeling • Agent systems are based on individual independent entities • Top-down control is not necessary • New agents are influenced by the established behavioural habits and experiences of the former agents • Focus lies on the micro level • An aggregated impact on the macro level structure cannot be displayed • The macro level perspective only allows an aggregated view on the individual behaviours and the interactions of the elements • Emergence cannot be taken into account • The interactions among agents on the micro level of a system can lead into emergent structures up to the macro level • Local rules can so have an impact on the whole system • This can be strong enough to affect the whole system behaviour SelfReference Autopoieses Table 4. The Existence View Discrete Event Simulations • Focus lies on the micro level • An aggregated impact on the macro level structure cannot be displayed System Dynamics • The macro level perspective only allows an aggregated view on the individual behaviours and the interactions of the elements • Autopoieses cannot be taken into account Agent-Based Modeling • Systems can be designed to build and renew themselves under the condition to reobtain the systems identity • Event set steers and dominates the actions of the system elements • Self-reference cannot be modeled • The macro level perspective only allows an aggregated view on the individual behaviours and the interactions of the elements • Self-reference cannot be taken into account • Agents can be equipped with the ability of selfreflection • And with the ability of self-judgment depending on the implanted rules can be designed to interact not only among themselves, but also with their surrounding area. So agents sense their environment and react adaptively. If this is combined with a learning capability, their situational behaviour cannot be determined and not pre-estimated. So each agent follows an individual, goal-oriented, and self-induced behaviour [13]. Goals and planning: Agents independently plan and organize to achieve their purposes. They can decide on which acting brings them further and which self-defined sub-goals are worthwhile. They do not tend to optimize their behaviour but try to satisfy their incentives. So they are capable to accept non-optimal solutions. Agents adapt by moving, imitating, replicating, or learning, but not by calculating the most efficient action. [17, p. 43] Emotions: An interesting characteristic of AgentBased Modeling is the attempt to include realistic aspects drawn closer to human behaviour. Agents can be equipped with indicators that try to emulate emotions like anger, joy, or fear. For instance, an indicator could affect the agents communication behaviour (e.g. lowered information content to simulate anger). So behavioural regulations, which obey to reliable psychological rules, are implied [2]. Heterogeneity: Each agent is designed to simulate an individual entity. This avoids the need to aggregate an average agent dummy to estimate data about the single system elements. This narrows the room for data cutting generalizations [2]. Anthropomorphism: Agent-Based models allow to transfer human character traits into a digital model. This can include for example the modeling of human mindsets (e.g. goals, wishes, or attitudes) with attributes like talkativeness or loyalty. The attempt to install anthropomorphism offers a great research potential for organizational theory [13]. Intelligence: The intelligence of an agent is influenced by the quality and quantity of the processed knowledge as well as the ability of using this knowledge to draw conclusions. It comprises the ability of using gained experiences fostering continuous improvement and adaptation to the environment [13]. Moreover, agents can also be distinguished into three classes. The reactive agent receives information from his environment or other agents, responds to this and updates his inner state according to his implied rules [9]. Intentional agents have the same reaction potential of reactive agents but are additionally endued with the ability to set and modify sub-goals driven by motivational aspects (metarules). They can uncover conflicts, set priorities and plan their way to reach their goals [9]. Social agents additionally have the accoutrement to recognize the strategies of other agents and take this knowledge into account for their own planning. The first two classes are already used by researchers, but the third class is to this day still an ideal, which has not been realized yet [2]. 6 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 3.4. Summary The adapted table 5 summarizes the characteristics of the discussed simulation approaches [2]. While it seems that Agent-Based Modeling is the sole tool for organizational studies, we will emphasize that both Discrete Event Simulation (e.g. simulation questions tackling the structure view section) and System Dynamics (e.g. simulation questions tackling the evolvement view section) are also important modeling tools in organizational theory but are not sufficient to represent the complex dynamics of coevolution. The results of our evaluation which reflects the requirements for modeling coevolution show the suitability of AgentBased-Simulation. However, Agent-Based Modeling have several shortcomings in modeling coevolution as we describe in section 4.1. 4. Bounded Rationality in Simulation Models of Organizations The discussed approaches of modeling organizations based on the information processing view differ in their capabilities to embody bounded rationality. As Simon [28] characterizes, bounded rationality describes to which extent the behaviour of a person or an organization depart from pure rationality in the sight of classic and neoclassic theories. Often organizations show an irrational and unexpected behaviour which contrasts to the classical and neoclassical understanding of organizations as intentional and rational systems. While the rational choice paradigm of the classic theories explains most economic problems like market and price determinations well, it fails to describe the frequently irrational behaviour of organizations. In particular, rational models of organizations neither explain the sharing of information processing tasks as a main characteristic of organizations nor the existence and functioning of administrative apparatus within organizations [32]. If in respect to classical theories information access and information processing capabilities are unrestricted, there is no need to collaborate within an organization: An agent alone can manage a firm of arbitrary size since his capability of information processing is unlimited. The concept of bounded rationality can help to overcome this shortfall and thus has become an influential concept in organizational theory. A reason for the importance mainly lies in the characteristics of human decision [19]. In contrast to classical and neoclassical theories, the concept of bounded rationality assumes restrictions on the information Table 5. Overview of the simulation abilities Structure view Plurality & Variety Openness Bounded rationality Evolvement view Dynamics Path dependence Feedback loops Non-linearity Multilevel view Self-organization Emergence Existence view Autopoieses Self-reference Discrete Event Simulation System Dynamics AgentBased Modeling yes no no no no no yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes No yes yes yes yes yes yes no no no no yes yes no no no no yes yes processing capacities. These restrictions affect the deciders ability to make rational decisions and foster intraorganizational collaboration in order to achieve a higher information processing capacity. Information imbalances within organizations can amplify this effect, even though they do not automatically lead to irrational choices [19]. In particular, it is the combination of information imbalances and restricted information processing capacities that drives the sharing of information processing tasks and so the behaviour of organizations. Consequently, bounded rationality can help researchers to understand organizational decisions from a different perspective than the one of classical and neoclassical theories. In order to overcome bounded rationality, decision making in organizations strongly depends on information exchange and sharing of information processing tasks [23]. Although bounded rationality promotes collaboration between organizational members, it simultaneously hinders the members to make rational decisions in the sight of the entire organization, e.g. maximizing the given organizational goals. The resulting diversity in individual decisions does not only shape organizational behaviour but also makes it more irrational and unexpected. Therefore, bounded rationality becomes an essential element in computational models of organizations when organizational decision making and interaction as well as organizational behaviour lie in the main research focus. The impact of changes in the external environment on organizations is such a case. As external changes in the environment affect dynamically the information distribution within an organization, the patterns of collaboration and decision making on both the individual and the organizational level evolve correspondingly. In order to model these inherent dynamics of the adaptation process, simulation approaches are required that first are able to represent bounded rationality, and second 7 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 can model the dynamic interplay between organizations and their environment. As the overview of different simulation techniques in section 3 shows, only one of the discussed simulation techniques allows first to integrate bounded rationality into a simulation model, and second to embody the complex relations between external and internal organizational determinants. While in Discrete Simulations and System Dynamics bounded rationality of single actors cannot be represented, Agent-Based models of organizations offer techniques to implement bounded rationality with a high degree of freedom. In Agent-Based models information processing capacities can be individually restricted as well as information imbalances can be realized. Moreover, Agent-Based models permit to represent complex, intertwined relationships between organizational members as well as between organizations and their environments. Thus, they are the first choice when studying organizational behaviour which is governed by organizational decision making and intraorganizational interaction 4.1. Bounded Rationality in Agent-Based Models In the literature on Agent-Based models of organizations there are two major methodological variants of modeling bounded rationality. Van Zandt [32] calls them the constrained-optimal approach and the non-optimal decision rule approach in respect to their effects on organizational information distribution and processing. The constrained-optimal approach is generally based on limiting either the information flow between organizational agents or regulating the individual information processing capacity. So it explicitly affects the organizational behaviour by confining the information processing capacities within the organization. Regularly, it consists of two elements: First, different constraints are introduced in the decision procedure of an agent, e.g. restricting the agents maximum amount of processable information. For example, a possible decision rule would be: Only react to last three transactions or Only react to information of your direct neighbours (e.g. directly connected nodes in the information processing network). Second, under given circumstances the modeler identifies the optimal decisions, characterizes them and evaluates them with different probabilities. The constrained-optimal approach is especially useful for analyzing organizational designs, because restrictions on the individual information processing capacities do not directly influence organizational design settings, the connections between the nodes in the information processing network. The second variant, the non-optimal decision rule approach, does not limit the information processing capacities either of an individual agent or of the organization. Rather it incorporates non-optimal decision rules into the simulation model. In contrast to the constrained-optimal approach the non-optimal decision rules are independent from changing circumstances. In particular, the non-optimal decision rule approach is useful when either decision rules should not be immediately influenced by changing organizational circumstances, or when restrictions in the organizational information processing are difficult to realize. Especially in Agent-Based models of organizational learning the non-optimal decision rule approach has been widely used. While both approaches are independent solutions to model bounded rationality in Agent-Based models, both methods are often combined in order to extend the existing models by so far unmodeled bounds of rationality [32]. A combination of both methods allows to model bounded rationality on different functional and organizational levels. On the one hand, the constrained-optimal-approach can continuously influence the information processing capability of the organization. For example, this approach would be appropriate for characterizing evolutionary organizational processes. On the other hand, the non-optimal decision rule approach incorporates further decision rules which hardly adapt to changing circumstances. It enables modelers to incorporate further mechanisms or trends that directly modify the computed decision rules of the constrained-optimal approach. When considering the impact of the external environment to an organization, the combination of the two described approaches would be well suited. Stable environmental trends can be modeled by nonoptimal decision rules, whereas the dynamics of organizational adaptation are realized by the constrained-optimal approach. The combination of the two approaches offers several advantages. On the one hand non-optimal decision rules make it possible to simulate long-term trends. This might be especially useful when considering that the change in organizations due to environmental impacts does not occur immediately but takes place on a longer time-scale. For example, in modern organizations the adaptation of decision procedures to changed environmental circumstances evolve over several years in a slow, but continuous process of incremental learning, imitation and 8 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 adaptation [32]. On the other hand, constraints in the information processing capacities (constrainedoptimal approach) induce the evolution of organizational designs by altering the sharing of the information processing tasks in the organization. Consequently, in order to model the dynamic interplay between organizations and their external environments, bounded rationality is an important concept to cover these diverse adaptation processes. Without considering bounded rationality, AgentBased models would fail to explain organizational design and behaviour in correspondence to the external environment. However, since different methods exist to incorporate bounded rationality in Agent-Based models, bounded rationality does not rule out any specific behaviour [6]. If the simulation setting is kept constant, a different approach of incorporating bounded rationality in the model would provide changes in the simulation results. Thus, depending on the implementation of bounded rationality, a specific Agent-Based model can provide arbitrary and indeterminate results. Due to this variance in the results some researchers conclude that Agent-Based models of organizations with bounded rationality yield very little in terms of theory development [11]. Because theory development requires consistent and replicable simulation results, the different possibilities to model bounded rationality represent a significant weakness in Agent-Based models of organizations. Therefore, further concepts are required in order to better understand the effects resulting from the different ways of employing bounded rationality in organizational simulation models. In this context, the validation of Agent-Based models of organizations plays an important role. Agent-Based models of organizations, especially when including bounded rationality, require a thorough validation to what extent the simulation model reflects the organizational reality. Often organizational research that uses simulation techniques disregards this point [6]. When designing a research model, the challenge is to narrow the research problem down to a specific context instead of studying universal relationships [7]. In the latter case simulation will yield inconsistent and complex results, whereas in the first case simulation models which tackle a distinct, narrowed problem can establish a tight link between the real and simulation world. Such a link does not only support validation of the Agent-Based model but also yields a broad foundation for theory development. Therefore, Agent-Based models that address a distinct problem can be a strong analytical tool for analyzing the coevolution of organizations and their environments. 5. Conclusion In this paper we have given an overview about simulation techniques in organizational theory based on the information processing view and demonstrated that simulation can be considered as a promising additional approach of research. Simultaneously, we have discussed the need for a tighter link between the real and simulation world as well as have emphasized the importance of validating simulation models. In contrasting the different simulation approaches by a qualitative framework we have discussed their benefits and shortcomings. Especially, we have focused on how computational models can represent the coevolution between organizations and their environments. and highlighted the concept of bounded rationality. Finally, we have concluded that Agent-Based models not only provide a broad field of applications in organizational research, but also are applicable to model the dynamics of coevolution. The strength of Agent-Based models in organizational theories is their integrative character. Agent-Based models permit to unify different academic disciplines like social sciences, economics and natural sciences. The models, however, are not appropriate to explain universal relations between organizations and their environments; rather they are strong analytical tools to study complex dynamics of distinct problems out of the real world. The applied information processing view of organizations combined with the concept of bounded rationality has the distinctive advantage to explain specific characteristics of organizations like the interactions between organizational members, emerging organizational designs or the coevolution of organizations and their external environments. However, one should keep in mind that the concept of bounded rationality has a very general character compared to the strong rational choice paradigm of the classical and neoclassical theories. Event though the idea behind bounded rationality has proven to be realistic, the concept is too weak to determine a distinct behaviour. This shortcoming is reflected in the broad variety of modeling bounded rationality in organizational contexts. In particular, the different implementation techniques of bounded rationality in Agent-Based models can blur distinct simulation results. In frequent cases the choice by which technique bounded rationality is implemented seems arbitrary. Maybe this explains why neoclassical researchers still insist on the rational choice paradigm. Thus, further research is needed of what distinguishes different techniques to model bounded rationality and of how modeling techniques impact the simulation results. Answers to these research 9 Proceedings of the 42nd Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences - 2009 questions could improve not only the strength of simulation methods in organizational theories but also lead to a better understanding of how organizations evolve in highly connected and dynamic environments. 6. References [1] Ahuja, M.K., and Carley, K.M., "Network Structure in Virtual Organizations", Organization Science, 10(6), 1999, 741-757. [2] Bandte, H., "Komplexität in Organisationen", Deutscher Universitätsverlag, Wiesbaden, 2007. 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