PG Funding and Management Strategies Task M4: The Impacts of Road Pricing on the Socio-Economy Kristín H. Sigurbjörnsdóttir and Anton Goebel Reykjavik 4.12.2008 Authors • • • • • Anton Goebel and Juha Tervonen, Finland Oscar Alvarez Robles, Spain Morten Welde and Inger Andrea Thrane, Norway Laurent Donato, Belgium Wallonia Samira Irsane-Semaan, France 04.12.2008 CEDR 2 Starting point for the task • CEDR's strategic plan 2005-2009 - Task M4 "Show the effects of road pricing (RP) on socio-economics" - to show that RP is only one tool in tool kit of public authorities - the objectives of road pricing must be defined - to analyse the nature of the toll systems applied - identify and examine existing studies on the impact of RP 04.12.2008 CEDR 3 Starting point for the task • Group's judgment - There are already endless amount of general reviews of existing systems and pricing theory, but not so many papers on general impacts of RP -> The group decided to be loyal to the original task title and concentrate on impacts of RP. - Objectives, equity and acceptability should also be treated as they are closely related to impacts of RP. - Also a short review of current EU policy development would be useful, but no reviews or case studies of existing systems -> they are only used as examples of impacts! 04.12.2008 CEDR 4 Starting point for the task The following content was agreed: 1) Introduction 2) Objectives of RP 2) RP in Europe 3) Socio-Economic Impact Chains of RP 4) Equity of RP 5) Acceptability of RP 7) Conclusions 04.12.2008 CEDR 5 Objectives of road pricing • Two primary objectives - Regulation: users pays all the costs (including all external cost) they induce for the whole society -> demand management. - Funding: generating revenues for construction and maintenance of roads or in some cases e.g. revenues for promotion of public transport. • Other objectives - to limit CO2 emissions - increase the quality of living environment - decrease the fluctuation of travel time One remark: the aim of RP is not to promote social fairness, but to avoid distortions that lead to an inefficient allocation of resources and, in turn, to a situation where the whole society is worse off!!! 04.12.2008 CEDR 6 Road pricing in Europe • EU policy - Taxes and fees must be related to level of pollution, congestion and wear and tear of infrastructure -> polluter pays principle! - Since the publication of the White paper in 1998, the Commission has taken several legislative initiatives. 04.12.2008 CEDR 7 Road pricing in Europe - Eurovignette directive (1999) gives the legal basis for the implementation of RP: - HGV's over 12 tonnes for designated parts of network, - HGV’S over 3,5 tonnes since 2012 (amended in 2006) - minumum levels for taxes on HGV's and maximum levels for user charges - tolls should be proportionate to the cost of building, operating, maintaining and developing the infrastructure and may also include a return on capital or a profit margin 04.12.2008 CEDR 8 Road pricing in Europe - 2008 proposal for revision of Eurovignette directive - option for internalisation of external costs - the revenue from internalisation of externalities will be earmarked for reduction of externalities - the scope is the entire network (national and local roads). - The member countries have submitted their opinions on the proposal and the final decision making process is in progress. 04.12.2008 CEDR 9 Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing - the impacts of different road pricing instruments (including taxation) - no quantitative measurement of impacts, but some examples of existing systems - application of "The Impact Map of Road Management" and causal impact chain approach developed by FINNRA 04.12.2008 CEDR 10 Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing THE IMPACT CHAIN APPROACH Concept analysis: the strategy level impacts (e.g.. environment, accessibility, regional development...) are divided into partial impacts. Causation: the change in state that follows directly from RP (output) and the impacts that follows from it in logical progression. Strategy level impacts Road pricing instruments Result: the higher level abstract impacts are presented in more concrete way for illustration of impacts of RP. 04.12.2008 CEDR 11 04.12.2008 Direct impacts Volume of travel & consumption Travel costs (households) GNP Employment RP Price of goods & services Freight costs (companies) Production German HGV road tax: supplementary prices 0.15 - 0.90 €/100kg for shipment from Finland to Germany. Use of revenue General economic perspective Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing Funding of the transport system CEDR Tax compensations 12 ACCESSIBILITY Travel and transportation costs Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing 04.12.2008 Cost of using passenger car RP Change in travel & freight costs Tax compensations Fixed cost, fuel cost, km cost Funding of the transport system Cost of operating bus services Cost of operating freight services German HGV road tax: supplementary prices 0.15 - 0.90 €/100kg for shipment from Finland to Germany. Empty runs of HGV reduced by 15% since 2005. Revenue CEDR 13 ACCESSIBILITY Functionality Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing 04.12.2008 London: travel time savings 37 000 hours per day. Stockholm: number of entered vehicles 22%. Charges Average speed Volume, timing, route, mode of travel / delivery Funding of the transport system Smooth flow of traffic Travel time Fluctuation of travel times Disruptions Predictability of travel and delivery times Need to plan travel and consider certainty margins Revenue CEDR 14 ACCESSIBILITY Travel convenience Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing Experience of travel environment Charges Volume, timing, route, mode of travel No valid examples available, only some indicative statements. Convenience of travel Experience of travel situation Funding of the transport system Revenue 04.12.2008 CEDR 15 Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing Vehicle taxes ACCESSIBILITY Traffic safety Traffic regulation penalties Insurance system Traffic behaviour Fatalities Charges Volume, timing, route, mode of travel/ delivery Changes in traffic flow Accident risk & risk perception Number and severity of accidents Stockholm: personal injury accidents reduced 5-10% inside the area. Funding of the transport system Injuries Damage to property Norway: if traffic moves from high quality toll road to "free" lower class roads, safety impact is not necessarily positive. Revenue 04.12.2008 Vehicle characteristics CEDR 16 Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing ENVIRONMENT Vehicle/fuel taxes Charges Volume, timing, route, mode of travel / freight Vehicle characteristics/fuel consumption Emission volumes and noise levels Funding of the transport system Environmental risks and the quality of the local and global environment Stockholm:CO2 emissions reduced by 14%. Health and comfort, global economy Revenue 04.12.2008 CEDR 17 COMMUNITY STRUCTURE Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing 04.12.2008 Vehicle/fuel taxes Charges Cost of travel & freight Funding of the transport system Community planning Location of services, workplaces and housing London: sales reduced by 5.58.2% in tolled area during the year after the charge. Number and/or length of trips and deliveries Size and density of community Accessibility Revenue CEDR 18 QUALITY OF THE LIVING ENVIRONMENT Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing 04.12.2008 Vehicle/fuel taxes Charges Changes in travel and freight Funding of the transport system No valid estimates, but e.g. in Stockholm general "feeling" is positive. Green areas Townscape Quality of living environment Environmental nuisances Security Revenue CEDR 19 REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing 04.12.2008 Availability of labour Vehicle/fuel taxes Charges Cost of trips & deliveries Firms Location advantage/ disadvantage Households Funding of the transport system Access to markets Costs of logistics Choices in labour markets Öresund bridge: major integration of the Öresund region in the employment market, housing, business, shopping and leisure activities. (Not direct impact of RP, but RP made the project possible.) Access to services Quality of living environment Revenue CEDR 20 Socio-economic impact chains of road pricing Finland: 11% of the State revenue from road user taxation. ROAD FINANCE Vehicle/fuel taxes State budget Transport system funding (maintenance / investment) Charges Norway:25 % of the State / total road local budget construction budget Revenue comes from toll road revenues. 04.12.2008 CEDR 21 Equity of road pricing • Equity could be defined as the fair distribution of impacts across the whole population. • RP does not have to be regressive (take larger percentage of income from the poor that the rich), but there are always some loser and winners. Winners Losers Motorists who value time Public transport passengers who experience shorter travel times and service improvements Receivers of net revenues Motorists who do not value time and have no alternative modes of travel Motorists who change destination Residents in areas that experience increased traffic Source: Gomez-Ibanez (1992) 04.12.2008 CEDR 22 Equity of road pricing • Equity implications are sensitive to the scheme's specification and the location of workplaces and residential areas, car ownership and travel patterns in different cities. • The use of revenue is crucial from equity viewpoint - Small (1992) and Goodwin (1989) tripartition of the revenue: - general tax cuts or cuts in car taxes - public transport improvements - road investments. 04.12.2008 CEDR 23 Acceptability of road pricing • In general RP is not acceptable! 100% 96 92 84 81 91 86 84 75% 59 50% 41 25% 19 4 16 8 0% Improve public transport 16 P&R Ac c es Reducing Inc reasing parking restric tion parking c ost spac e Acceptable 14 9 Cordon Congestion Distanc e based pric ing pric ing pric ing Not acceptable Source: Schade 2001. 04.12.2008 CEDR 24 Acceptability of road pricing • Acceptability of RP increases when road users start to benefit from impacts of RP (improved traffic conditions, roads, quality of living environment, public transport etc). 80% 72% 70% 70% 64% 41 60% 54% 19 50% 40% 37% Ac c es restric tion 16 48% Cordon Congestion pric ing pric ing 30% 20% 10% 0% Bergen (open 1986) Oslo (open 1990) Negative attitudes in percent before opening Trondheim (open 1992) Negative attitudes in percent a year after opening Source: Odeck and Brathen 2002. 04.12.2008 CEDR 25 Acceptability of road pricing • Three main forms of acceptability are public, business and political acceptability. • The acceptability of RP increases with the clarity of the perceivable positive impacts. Cost of travel and freight Functio nality of road links Public acceptability --- + Business acceptability -- + Political acceptability -- + Traffic Safety Environment Commun ity structure Quality of living environm ent Regional development Funding ++ + + - +++/- - - --- ++/- - - -- ++ -- + + + +++ very important positive factor, ++ important positive factor, + small positive factor, - - - very important negative factor, - - important negative factor, - small negative factor, blank = very little or meaningless factor 04.12.2008 CEDR 26 Conclusions • When designing the pricing system, there must be an understanding of the impacts of pricing and what impacts are important for the acceptability of the system. • The socio-economic impacts of RP are diverse and far reaching -> it is much easier to estimate the amount of direct impacts (e.g. user costs, accident level, etc.), but estimating the broader impacts (e.g. regional development, impact on GNP, etc. ) is challenging and often only at an indicative level. • The magnitude of the impacts depends on the level of fees that are set. • RP can have both regressive and progressive impacts and it does not necessarily have to hurt the poor and have negative impacts on mobility and thus lead to social exclusion. 04.12.2008 CEDR 27 Conclusions • The acceptability of RP has a clear connection to its impacts: acceptability increases when the actual impacts are similar to what was predicted. • Although road management in Europe is usually funded from the general State budget, road user charges are becoming increasingly important in the regulation of traffic and the funding of road management. • Vehicle and fuel taxes are effective instruments only for obtaining funding, but are very ineffective in producing other impacts. 04.12.2008 CEDR 28 Thank you! [email protected] [email protected] 04.12.2008 CEDR 29
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