2.0 Why may local authorities need material sales guidance? This guidance is designed for almost all authorities, with the exception being those authorities with very long-term contracts that outsource ownership of recyclables with no provision for the value obtained to impact on the contract cost. However, the nature of an authority’s current material sales arrangements will affect the extent to which each section is applicable. In order to simplify the range of local authority circumstances, authorities can be considered to fall somewhere on the spectrum between: Those who take a risk-averse approach in order to ensure budget certainty and stability; and Those who seek to maximise income despite the impact this can have on budget certainty and exposure to downside risk. 2.1.1 Authorities who take a risk-averse approach Whilst this section acknowledges the benefits of budget certainty, it highlights the opportunities that taking a more flexible approach to local authority finance can bring. However, taking advantage of the potential for greater income from material sales may require a degree of change in attitude and will entail continuous monitoring and evaluation of markets and commercial risks. For many local authorities, receiving income from the sale of dry recyclables that is in line with an annual budget and maintaining a stable budget from year to year are important factors, allowing the funding of services to be planned for more easily. Clearly no budget holder likes to report that there is a shortfall in income in relation to budget. In some cases, ‘too much’ income in a given year can also present an issue if in budget setting in subsequent years it becomes an expectation. Achieving income stability is therefore an understandable objective for all local authorities. However, this section sets out the issues associated with requiring stability in material income within a budget. Obtaining fixed prices may result in the authority losing a significant opportunity for income generation, for example, when fixing prices before a period of increase in material values. When confidence in markets is low, contractors will reflect this by pricing against the risk of a downturn in a fixed price contract, so in practice that downside risk is simply priced in and paid whatever the market actually does. Many local authorities have to grapple with unpredictable budget/income lines in other service areas. Demand for front line services can fluctuate considerably (driven for example by changes in economic conditions or even winter weather conditions) and can be as unpredictable as market values for dry recyclables, if not more so. Yet local authorities are often more risk averse when it comes to material sales than they are in other fundamentally uncertain parts of their budget. Authorities accept that some services, such as winter gritting, are going to be susceptible to unpredictable cost variations due to a changing demand for the service. Arguably the same view should be applied to materials trading, because taking the fixed price approach often leads to less overall income in the longer term. By considering material sales revenue in the context of a local authority’s overall treasury management strategy, it may be possible for more commercial risk to be taken, to the long-term benefit of the authority. Some local authorities employ strategies to deal with significant fluctuations in material incomes from year to year, as well as some years where income does not match the set annual budget. Prior to determining the basis for selling materials, officers should engage senior finance team colleagues to ascertain the extent to which some fluctuation can be accommodated if it is felt that this will enable the best overall value to be obtained. Approaches to Materials Sales: A guide for local authorities 2.1.2 Authorities who are prepared to take more risk Those authorities already prepared to be exposed to risk in their materials trading strategies may obtain ideas from the guidance that helps to improve their approach to material sales. In times of austerity, budget savings are at the forefront of priorities for officers and elected members. In the past many authorities adopted a more risk-averse approach however, approaches to commercial risk (and opportunities for reward) are increasingly being reassessed. Many authorities no longer have the option of being as risk-averse, as the scale of financial savings required mean significant change and accompanying risks across the board. In an ideal world authorities would always be able to ensure they receive the best prices that the market has to offer. However, the point in time at which you agree the sale of recyclable materials will have a significant bearing on any fixed price you can get (this is further described in Section 3), as market prices fluctuate over time, driven by supply and demand in the marketplace. As much as you may try to forecast future prices, there is always an element of luck involved in securing a fixed price that turns out to represent good value for the duration of the contract. Authorities therefore need to recognise that there is a trade-off between budget stability and access to the best possible prices over a given period of time. The right trade-off for a particular authority should be based on an understanding of how much risk they are willing to accept (the concept of risk is described further in Section 4). This varies between authorities and may also vary over time, based on changing financial needs and budget pressures. The approach that was taken the last time a sale was made may not remain the best way to obtain the best value for your authority in the future. Sales strategies should be reviewed on a regular basis to ensure that the authority is successfully adapting to changing market conditions within the constraints of an acceptable risk profile. Part of this on-going evaluation should seek to understand current attitudes of key players in the market. For example, during the consultation process undertaken to develop this guidance, collection contractors indicated some significant recent changes in attitudes to risk (see Section 7 for details). Approaches to Materials Sales: A guide for local authorities
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