Climate Change, Poverty and Public Policy in Nigeria’s Niger Delta: The Role of Local communities1 Fidelis Allen Abstract Climate change has adverse implications for low-income communities. Like most of Africa, Nigeria does not seem prepared to deal with either adaptation or mitigation (even from notorious gas flaring in the Niger Delta). This paper highlights the relationship between climate change and poverty, and explores how communities are contributing to public policy, arguing that with Nigeria’s delta governments at the local, state and federal levels’ unwillingness or weakness to develop comprehensive climate change policies to enhance adaptation and ensure mitigation, local communities must find a responsible role to play through organising, awareness creation and effective demand on government to fight climate change. Introduction Climate change is a global reality, affecting humanity, changing weather events, threatening the existence of natural species of non-human life and cooking the earth at alarming proportions. It is one of the most troubling development issues of our time of which international and national public policy actors must address with seriousness. As well predicted, climate change will worsen poverty conditions of people in the vulnerable communities of the developing world. It will make the challenge of fighting or reducing poverty unachievable. As we will see, the Niger Delta is one exemplar of a region where the visible impact of climate change is already present. Already, farming communities, fisher folks, villagers and the general public in rural and city settlements have started to encounter this reality, manifesting as unusual warmth in weather, deaths, diseases, hardship and so on. 1 Fidelis is a post-doctoral fellow of the UKZN School of Development Studies, a lecturer in the University of Port Harcourt Department of Political and Administrative Studies. He obtained his doctorate in Politics at UKZN. He was a recipient of a doctoral research award from the International Development Research Centre to study implementation of oil-related environmental policy, and government inertia and conflict in the Niger Delta. He is also a member of the Board of Ethnicity and Politics Research Committee at the International Political Science Association and has been active in the Nigerian Political Science Association. Horrifying floods, storms, erosion and variations in rainfall are now before us as evidence. The worry is how to contain the increasing level of global temperature. For now, it appears that politicians in Africa, in fact, the global political and economic elites, cannot be trusted to address this problem alone with the seriousness it requires to quickly reverse the changing climate. Regarding the case of the Niger Dellta, the question arises as to what local communities in the region --where oil companies, known to be key contributors to poverty and global greenhouse gas emissions continue to violate the environment through gas flaring and massive oil pollution -- are doing to get the governments of Nigeria to decisively contribute to stemming the tide. This is in view of the notion that as relevant policy actors with potential for influencing policy preferences and outcomes, the role of local communities world-wide is important for a successful struggle for climate justice, something that is now being promoted in other parts of the world by the global civil society. I then argue that the Nigerian government is a late-comer in climate change policy with regards to adaptation and mitigation. As such, local communities must integrate climate change issues within known struggles for better life with governments and oil companies in the region, to the point of ensuring a comprehensive public policy response that clearly outlines the social, political, technological, cultural, educational and economic processes on which the attainment of alternative systems that support human and non-human life rests, while discouraging all forms of damage to the environment and atmosphere through pollution and emission of greenhouse gases in the Niger Delta. Climate Change The myth around climate change has either disappeared or reduced to the point of norecognition, as the divide between cynics and adherents has thinned away significantly over the last two decades, due to credible scientific clarity provided by climate scientists. This clarity, reinforcing the reality of rising temperatures in the universe with diverse negative results in the social, economic, political and environmental world of people, no doubt, is now largely responsible for the expanding campaigns for appropriate policy response of governments and the United Nations against causes of this problem -- mainly economic activities of man – by widening global environmental groups and networks framing the issues as that of climate justice. This development is serious enough to stir both local communities and governments of nations around the world into responsible actions. Appropriate roles by local communities whose governments have depended on the extraction of petroleum resources and on the neo-liberal development models for national prosperity is necessary to stem the already devastating social, economic and political consequences of climate change. Already, recent report of United Nation’s Environment Programme (UNEP) on Ogoni confirms an impending doom on the Niger Delta from oil company activities with regards to their overall contribution to climate change problems which the scientific literature has revealed time and again. Now, no one can in any measure of honesty or sincerity continue to doubt this reality, except as an ideological or political instrumental process of projecting barefaced interest of mindless neoliberalism. This debate has been on for more than two decades and has turned from a mere scientific, classified or technical issue to a public one because of the already existing anticipated dangerous effects of change in weather events. Linking up with this debate is not only necessary or required for pressing for massive global reduction of dangerous human activities on the environment, it is needed for pushing for the right policy and behaviour that support life and nature. To date, local communities in the Niger Delta have mainly canvassed for development that seems devoid of climate change adaptation and mitigation measures with revenues generated from the exploration and sale of oil (sometimes referred to as resource control). Ironically, oil exploration and production is highly implicated in the massive pollution of the environment in the Niger Delta and by scientific conclusions contribute immensely to climate change. Climate change is a global problem which has in the past two decades or so transformed from being merely an issue that attracted a few climate change scientists and academics loyal to neoliberals who thought that the problem was a fallacy or at best a misleading scientific idea. Of course, over time, as earlier noted, a controversial divide between those who saw climate change, causes and effects on humanity or welfare of citizens as illogical, and those who saw it as a reality which the world must accept and systematically respond to by behaviour and policy has pushed the debate forward and increased its importance with regards to its social, environmental, political, economic and conflict implications at multilateral and national levels for many nations. It is interesting to note that the controversy fed a gap in public awareness and appreciation of the link between climate change, poverty and public policy at the national level and may have been partly responsible for the current inadequate response of the Nigerian state to the risk of climate change for the world and local communities in the Niger Delta. Apparently, it has had extensive implications for the poor for which national or local governments and local communities must play a role in tackling. This link has been drawn by scholars, activists and acknowledged by governments around the world. But, like several other countries in Africa, Nigeria does not seem prepared (even with notorious oil and gas pollution of the environment by oil companies in the Niger Delta) to deal with the problem of climate change with regards to adaptation and mitigation (See for example, Uyigue and Ogbeibu 2007; Zabbey and King 2000). Therefore, the main objective of this paper is to demonstrate the link between climate change, poverty and public policy in Nigeria’s delta region, with an eye on the role of local communities. This will be achieved by drawing from experiences of my previous research, interviews and data obtained from secondary sources and workshops on environmental issues in the Niger Delta. Rising trend in global temperatures have long been observed by scholars (See for example Hensen et al 2006). As shown in Graph 1, between 1960 and 2000, the trend became even sharper, suggesting a faster rate at which global temperature was rising. Now, we are even told that all climate is local (Rosenzweig 2011: 7)), suggesting how affected everyone can be, concerned every community should be about it and its impact, as sea level rises, floods devastate communities and heat-waves reshuffle nature. Graph 1: Global Temperature Source: Hensen et al (2006) Climate change means a long period of time in which a region experiences variation in weather events. There is no standard time, but certainly it is sufficiently long, perhaps within a range of 30-35 years in which specific attention is paid to the patterns of weather events, episodes and extent of storms, cloud, rainfall, drought and so on (Zabbey and King 2007). The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) defines climate change as any change in the climate over time that may result from natural occurrences or human activities. Its manifestations include modification in average weather conditions, variation in frequency of rainfalls, rise in sea levels, deforestation, erosion and so on, and the extent to which these events threaten life (Eboh, 2009). The IPCC was established by the World Meteorological Organisation and the United Nations Environment Programme in 1988. It would appear that the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change remains the background international policy direction for countries’ climate change policies. To further illustrate what the IPCC means by climate change, one must note that weather conditions vary on a regular basis, say from day to day. So also does the climate from year to year, sometimes without notice by ordinary people except by climatologists. Nevertheless, climate change occurs when these changes take the form of sustained patterns in weather conditions over fairly long time (Anyadike 2009). The theory of climate change as contained in the literature reviewed for this paper points to three principal causes, namely: astronomical, volcanic eruptions, and human socio-economic activities. Our focus is on the latter, accounting mainly for build-up of extensive carbon dioxide (CO2); methane (CH4); Sulphure oxide (So2) and so on in the atmosphere. These are greenhouse gases, chiefly responsible for global warming. The North – USA, Europe and other big economic and industrial powers-- contribute great amount of global greenhouse gas emissions, scientifically proven to be a major cause of global warming. Developing countries like Nigeria with low adaptive capacity, poor technologies, rising poverty and least ready for tackling climate change impacts remain major victims (Ozor 2009). As a result, Nigeria faces diverse climate related environmental challenges, including desert encroachment, deforestation and drought as in some states (11 out of the 36 states) in the northern part of the country. Flooding and threat of being swallowed by it due to rising sea levels continue to associate with the coastal communities including the Niger Delta. For instance, by 1985, deforestation, had eaten up about 1,544 sq miles of Nigeria’s land. Shortly, in 2008, the late President, Umaru Musa Yar’ Adua announced during an Earth Summit that the Nigerian government had spent or lost USD5.1 billion to reverse the trend of climate change (Agwu and Okhimambe 2009). Presently, observable impact of climate change in Nigeria includes: low agricultural productivity, deepening poverty; food insecurity; water stress; death; unemployment; health problems and so on. The next section will elaborate. Climate Change, Poverty, Public Policy Climate change affects livelihoods, employment and sustainable economies. This is very pronounced in the Niger Delta where coastal communities are seriously vulnerable to diverse occurrences linked to climate change such as erosion, flooding, variation in rainfall, occurring quite frequently. In October 2010, more than 5000 people, mainly rural dwellers, were internally displaced in two communities in Sagbama and Kolokukuma/Opokuma local government areas of Bayelsa State.2 Water overflowing from River Nun through swamps, creeks, ground and tributaries, flooded the communities – Okorozi and Odi. Not only did children stop going to school for weeks, farms and living houses, fishing settlements were devastated. The one of 1997, as recalled by Mr. Owoupele Owuous, a youth leader in one of the communities was even worse. Ironically, the Speaker of the Bayelsa State House of Assembly, Nestor Binabo who visited the communities merely called on well meaning citizens to assist the affected communities. One would imagine that as Speaker, he is number three man in the state who should begin to think of tabling these issues in the context of climate change in the House for discussion. To date, neither the Bayelsa State House of Assembly nor any other state in Nigeria has done so. Agriculture is a major victim. The community where I was born and grew as a child – Isua Joinkrama in Rives State – provides a touching experience of the connection between climate change and poverty. Floods are yearly events in Nigeria but in this case, regarding the coastal communities and magnitude, they invade like enemy attackers in the night. It happens once in about every decade and is usually devastating. The one of 1999 rendered people homeless and worsened poverty. Not only did a good majority without alternative homes to relocate were internally displaced (climate refugees) in communities far away, but had no food to live on. Farms were devastated and sicknesses threatened to wipe out the very vulnerable who had no support from the government or buoyant relatives. 2 See The Nigerian Voice (2010) Friday 22 There is no question that agriculture remains a major provider of employment for local communities, although mainly at subsistence levels. Sustenance has long turned very difficult for coastal communities of the Niger Delta. By all accounts, poverty in these communities presents strong burden to community adaptive capacity to climate change. Poverty in the region is basically human-induced, of which the oil industry has been implicated through its massive oil pollution and regular flaring of gas. As at 2005, Nigeria had over 600 oil fields, 5, 284 oil wells, 75 oil flow stations, 10 gas plants, 10 export terminals, 1 liquified natural gas project and over 10,000 kilometers of oil pipelines ((Ikelegbe 2010: 26; Watts 2008). Oil companies, through this oil complex and processes have long introduced severe burden of unproductive farming and fishing to the people and produced a bloated and corrupt state system and governmental agencies, weak and unwilling to respond adequately to the needs of the people. Instead, steady emissions of greenhouse gases have continued with no known serious attempt by the government to curb, in the interest of the climate. To date, even with the oil economy, agriculture remains the main occupation of the rural population of the Niger Delta. But, whether as inadequate income, poor consumption level, exclusion from the social, political and economic processes, poor access to affordable health care and education, unemployment level, or underemployment, incidence of poverty is high in the region (see table 1 and 2). Table 1. Unemployment Rate on the basis of Geo-Political Zones in Nigeria Zones 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 National 487.2 467.4 525.6 468.2 774.5 North 60.7 61.9 57.0 62.3 56.3 South 39.3 38.1 43.0 37.7 43.7 South-west 19.3 16.8 17.8 27.4 26.9 South-East 37.9 38.5 33.9 29.8 23.4 South-South 35.8 38.0 42.3 34.5 43.9 Source: Nigeria’s National Bureau of Statistics 2009 The framing of climate change impact as climate justice, from socio-economic, security, political, technological and cultural perspectives in literature, by climate change nongovernmental actors clearly identify poverty as a key component. This is even more pronounced as the global movement for climate justice prepares and mobilise for UNFCCC COP17 holding in Durban November 28- 9 December 2011. Of course these issues are interlinked, cutting across a range of human and environmental problems. Table 1 above on levels of unemployment in the Niger Delta states serves the purpose of showing shifting signals to the high incidence of poverty in the Niger Delta, christened as South-South region of Nigeria. As earlier noted, specifically, climate change impact in the Niger Delta manifests in several ways including: coastal erosion and floods; flooding; variation in rainfall patterns; loss of livelihoods; conflict and so on. The social consequences are even more alarming. This is more like saying that the IPCC’s linking of rising sea level to climate change has been truly reflected in the experiences of the region. Between 1960 and 1970, barely a decade, the coastal communities in Nigeria experienced 0.462m rise in sea levels (Uyigue 2007). This is responsible for increasing cases of erosion of farmlands and human settlements. By rough estimates, this will worsen by the year 2100 with a meter rise in sea levels, of which more than 15,000 square kilometres of land are expected to be lost to erosion. There is every reason to believe this estimate as the trend shown in Graph 1 below points, similarly, to rising level of global ocean temperature and loss of land. It is further estimated that more than 80 per cent of people in the region will be displaced by that year, while Nigeria will lose about US$9 billion. Already, the impact on livelihood and human settlements in the region remain deplorable. Total land loss due to increasing erosion estimated under different climate change scenarios of rise in sea level is alarming as shown in table 2 below. Again, Graph 2 aligns with data in table 2 for the fact that both capture the same trend, time in sea pressure or rise and loss of land, although the former is specific to the Niger Delta. Graph 2: Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index Source: Hensen et al (2006) Table 2: Total land loss (Km2) due to coastal erosion estimated from different scenarios of sea level. Low Estimate High Estimate Rise in sea level Niger Delta 0.2m 0.5m 1.0m 2.0m 0.2m 0.5m 1.0m 2.0m 2,846 7,453 7,453 15,125 2,865 7,500 15,332 18,803 Source: Uyigue (2007) The above scenarios spell danger for the farming communities of the coastal areas of the region, who are certainly not prepared to cope with impacts of climate change. As earlier noted, flooding and erosion are major, compounding the problem of survival for the 31 million people of the region, such that farming and fishing, which are the main occupations of rural dwellers, have declined greatly. Variation in patterns of rainfall has further compounded the problem. Agriculture in this part of the world is predominantly rain-fed. But, rainfall has become unpredictable since the beginning of the 1960s, such that farmers who depend on it to start planting, say in March being the dry season, expect the first phase of seasonal rains in April to wet the soil. This is expected to continue until July-August when some break is observed, thereafter comes the second phase of the season. This is to say that rainfall is expected to start and end towards the end of September to give way to the dry season which begins sometime in October. This trend has changed, making it difficult for farmers to access rainfall during farming seasons. The net result includes food insecurity, hunger, poverty and local adaptation measures that hardly yield good results for alternative means of livelihood. Change of occupation, internal migration, use of locally fabricated pedestrian bridge to cope with flooding, youth engagement in criminal activities and service to local political leaders for money, as well as involvement in oil bunkery are some of the main adaptive measures taken. These experiences have fuelled campaigns by the civil society and non-governmental organisations, including ethnic mobilisations led by Ogoni environmentalist, late Ken Saro Wiwa, against the Nigerian state and oil companies who have been linked to various oil-related environmental problems resulting from activities of the global oil industry for which Nigeria has been highly implicated, even by the failure of the oil companies and Nigerian governments to use huge amount of money generated from exploration and sale of the oil to address the consequences of change in the environment and damage caused by activities of the oil companies. This social disorder, unemployment, poverty and so on in the region, might as well have been the multiplier effects on the unrestrained years of degradation of the environment by big polluters like those in the oil industry for which public policy is required to address in order to save the earth from a final cataclysm (Eregha and Irughe (2009: 160). The next section gives some details on the role of the oil industry in this discourse. The Oil Factor Despite 50 years of mining oil, generating over US$600 billion by oil companies in joint venture with the Nigerian federal government, social and economic conditions of the people of the Niger Delta have not improved. Instead, it gave birth to a very corrupt state, with interest in constructing and maintaining economic, social and political institutions that have to make the oil industry sustainable in order to depend on it for funding. The net result has been decades of damage to the environment through regular oil spillages and gas flaring by oil companies. Currently, Nigeria flares more gas than any other oil producing country in the world. From the background of the environmental consequences of oil company activities, underdevelopment and difficult living conditions amidst the so called oil wealth, developed various theses, such as Affluence versus Affliction; Paradox of Plenty; Resource Curse and so on in the analyses of oil-related issues in the Niger Delta (Ibeanu 2008). For example, as Ibeanu notes ...Niger Delta’s poverty is in part the consequence of oil production, especially in the environmental consequences, which have destroyed livelihoods by destroying farmland and fishing waters. More than 30million barrels of oil were spilled in Ogoniland in 1970 alone. Substances (metals) dangerous to human health such as cadmium, mecury, lead and chromium that cause damage to effective functioning of human metabolism are constantly discharged from oil refineries into fresh water and farmland in the region. Sadly, food crops are able to absorb these substances, including fish which is able to store the substances in its brain and move around until it is caught and eaten by man. This way, metals are easily transferred to man, causing serious health damage to human metabolic activity. Between 1985 and 1993 when Shell pulled out of Ogoni as a result of the crisis there, over 5,352 barrels of oil, scattered in 87 cases had spilled in Ogoniland. In three seminars held with participants from Ogoniland and other oil producing communities in Rivers, Bayelsa and Delta states in 2009, 2010 and 2011 which I facilitated, issues raised which reinforced grievances against oil companies in Nigeria’s delta region include: damage to the ecosystem; underdevelopment; poverty, social and political exclusion of these communities. They do not only feel cheated, mistreated, oppressed and abused, the issues are framed as environmental injustice and underdevelopment. It does not quite matter that climate change is not common in their language, the incidence of climate change impact itself is a complex web of socio-economic and political dynamics that sustain practices that pollute the atmosphere while generating wealth for industries and their sidekicks in government. Public Policy The Nigerian government is a late-comer when it comes to climate change policy, in national combat of climate change. Tackling the problem – adaptation and mitigation -- have come seriously on the political agenda of politics but politicians have remained basically reserved. Despite its direct and indirect manifestations through decline in health, economy and livelihoods of people in the region, politicians seem only at best, able to have commended the North’s tricky market fix which treat the issue from the point of levity, and by so doing have been more concerned about economic growth than development. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in a recent report argues that global greenhouse gas emissions must reduce by at least 80 percent in order to keep temperatures below 2.O degrees Celsius (Ujah 2009). Despite being the main culprits, signs following decisions and dispositions of the industrialised countries show open lack of political will to follow through on binding commitments for target reductions in greenhouse gas emissions as initiated in the Kyoto Protocal. Subsequent UNFCCC Conferences of these countries –COPS -- especially ones of 2009 (Copenhagen) and 2010 (Cancun) have clearly shown that the industrialised countries are unwilling to tackle the threats of climate change with the seriousness it deserves as they have mainly rested their policy responses on voluntary regimes. It appears that these countries have formed a “fossil fuel oligarchy” with their sidekicks in national political spaces of the developing countries and multinational business world to frustrate the desire of the mass of global citizens who want the earth protected from greenhouse gas emissions, from dangerous activities of fossil fuel energy companies. Incidentally, it would appear that there are a number of climate-related laws in Nigeria that might be useful for fighting climate change in the Niger Delta. For example, in Chapter 2, Article 28, of the 1999 Constitution of the federal republic of Nigeria “the state shall protect and improve the environment and safeguard the water, air and land, forests and wildlife of Nigeria.” By implication, this puts the burden of proactive actions in protecting the environment in the Niger Delta on governments at the local, state and federal levels. Sadly, this has not been invoked by any levels of the government to address climate change issues. There are several other related laws and regulations as shown below. Table 3. Some Climate Change Related Environmental Laws and Regulations Awaiting Federal Government Gazetting in Nigeria. 1. The Constitution of Federal Republic of Nigeria, 1999 2. Federal Environmental Protection Agency, FEPA 3. National Environmental Standards and Regulations Enforcement Agency (NESREA) 4. Water Resources Act of 1993. 5. National Park Services Act of 2004. 6. Endangered Species (Control of International Trade and Traffic) Act 2004. Regulations facilitated by NESREA for gazetting by the federal government. 1. Watershed, Mountainous, Hilly and Catchment Areas Regulations of 2009. 2. Wetlands, River Banks and lake Shores Regulations of 2009. 3. Ozone Layer Protection Regulations of 2009. 4. Desertification Control and Drought Mitigation Regulations of 2010. 5. Soil Erosion and Flood Control Regulation 2010. 6. Coastal and Marine Area Protection Regulation 2010. 7. Control of Bush Forest Fire and Open Burning Regulations 2010. 8. Surface and Ground Water Quality Control Regulations 2010. The Federal Environmental Protection Agency, FEPA, the first institutional manifestation of environmental concern in Nigeria, had responsibility for protecting the environment in Nigeria, but was soon integrated with the Federal Ministry of Environment. In its short time of existence, climate change issues were marginally considered within its operations. This was understandable as there was no formal framework within its operations, even though climate change remains largely part of the frame of environmental issues. But much more, is the fact that climate change is beyond mere environmental concern, encompassing diverse socio-economic and political wellbeing of society. The National Environmental Standards and Regulations Enforcement Agency (NESREA) was established by an Act in 2007 as an agency of the Federal Ministry of Environment to oversee enforcement of all environmental laws, policies and regulations and standards meant to protect people and the environment in Nigeria. It has responsibility to ensure sustainable extraction of natural resources, conservation of biodiversity and use of proper technology for adequate protection of the environment in Nigeria. At the national level, this role can be exploited to pursue massive reduction of greenhouse gas emissions which have contributed to global climate change. But one continues to wonder what could be hindering it from pursuing such goals vigorously. Again, this may not be unconnected with the way the Nigerian state has been wired to protect its source of national revenue –oil – by those it is supposed to regulate and extract compliance to relevant environmental laws. NESREA’s effort at ensuring gazette of various regulations considered to be climate change impact related is commendable, given the objectives of some of the regulations. For example, Watershed, Mountainous, Hilly and Catchment Areas Regulations of 2009 is intended to regulate economic activities in order to ensure best practice in mountains and hilly areas that are fragile and sensitive to climate change impact. Wetlands, River Banks and Lake Shores Regulations of 2009 has objectives of conserving, and ensuring good use of wetlands and their resources, control of water catchment and flood and minimizing of pollution for the purpose of tourism and ecological habitation of species and fauna and flaura. The Ozone Layer Protection Regulations seem even more useful for addressing climate change with its objective of prohibition of production and utilization of ozone-depleting substances such as greenhouse gases. Regarding regulations directly related to adaptation to climate change impact, now before the federal government for gazetting include: the Desertification Control and Drought Mitigation Regulation of 2010. This regulation clearly mentions climate change in its objectives, to ensure 25 per cent forest cover as a way of improving the adaptive capacity against climate change impact by ensuring sustainable agricultural practice, addressing poverty and preserving livelihoods of local communities in areas prone to climate change impact. The regulation also aims to encourage use of modern technologies in the practice of agriculture in order to improve yields of which the problem of food insecurity would be less troubling as climate change impact frills (Oladipo 2010). Soil, Erosion and Flood Control Regulation 2010, tackles protection of human life and the environment, through reduction in erosion related losses and regulation of distribution of land. Its work includes helping to avoid pollution of water and build up of sediments accelerated by erosion and flooding. Coastal and Marine Area Protection Regulation 2010 is perhaps one of the most suitable for addressing climate change issues in the coastal communities of the Niger Delta; whereas fighting emission of gaseous substances through burning of bush or forest fire will be handled with implementation of the Control of Bush Forest Fire and Open Burning Regulations 2010. Despite existing environmental laws and regulations Nigeria is yet to make appreciable mark in addressing climate change impact in the Nigeria’s delta with regard to adaptation and mitigation. The basic problem though, is that these policies or laws are neoliberal in nature and promote rather than discourage fossil fuel industrial activities. By the nature of neoliberalism even the laws and policies must meet basic requirement of unrestricted activities of the private sector. In most cases, foreign investors indirectly design such laws to ensure protection of their interests. Nigeria does not yet have a comprehensive climate change policy that focuses on adaptation and mitigation. None of the regulations mentioned is intended to comprehensively handle adaptation and mitigation of climate change impact in the coastal communities, let alone Nigeria. It would appear that any policy meant to handle the climate problem as it affects the Niger Delta is needed. Far from it. A comprehensive policy that will not short-change the interest of the environment and socio-economic wellbeing of the people is needed. Such a policy will depart from the business as usual practice of government seeing the oil companies as source of revenue for Nigeria as the emphasis will shift from fossil fuel production to an alternative regime that depends on renewable energy. Such a policy will promote modest growth of the economy to harmonise with nature and give attention to implications of every economic activity to the depletion of the ozone-layer. Such a policy will promote employment through provision of climate jobs and will de-emphasize over-consumption which the rich capitalist class is known for. It then encourages minimal levels of consumption sufficient for living well in the Nigerian society. The value of agriculture would have been more than doubled for such society as use of relevant technology and ecological integrity will be part of the entire process. The flaring of gas and oil pollution by oil companies would have gradually reduced or eliminated completely. It should tackle the problem of development of agriculture which is currently hindered. The overall gain for the climate will be gain for the Niger Delta people who are currently under threats from seasonal rise in water from the ocean through flooding. How might this policy be? The next section explains some of the challenges in the way on the basis of which rural dwellers and local community groups must find a responsible role to play. Challenge for Policy It was only in the month of April 2010 that the House of Representative Committee on Climate Change convened a roundtable of professionals to give direction to a climate change policy in Nigeria. Again, this is a wrong approach—market approach.3 One of the greatest challenges facing the emergence of a comprehensive climate change policy is the market approach of commodifying the environment which flows from the global economic capitalist traditions of making every effort to make sure the growth economy survives. The rich people and political class are threatened by the economic implications of a climate change policy that threatens growth. Sadly, growth has never meant development or wellbeing for the mass of people in developed nor emerging markets of the developing world. Sorrowfully, the cost of growth with regards to climate change impact is sounding out very clearly against everyone. While such a policy should aim to substantially reduce greenhouse gas emissions to about 1.05 degrees Celsius as recommended by climate scientists in order to avoid the danger of a boiling earth in the years ahead, one doubts the seriousness of the step taken whether the lawmakers have any sense of the risk ahead as characteristic of climate change cynics. Such a policy should aim to also create strong institutional framework with command-and-control powers over greenhouse gas emissions such as the one generated by burning of fossil fuels by oil companies operating in the Niger Delta. Much more will be expected with regards to the vulnerability and adaptive capacity of local communities which the law should incorporate as components. Such a policy should aim at protecting the ecosystem and address the problem of climate change implications of dependence on oil resources for national growth. Nigeria’s institutional capacity to respond effectively to climate change is inadequate and weak. Apart from the Special Climate Change Unit (SCCU) at the Federal Ministry of Environment and the Climate Centre in Minna at the national level, there are no institutions for combating climate change impact at the state and local government levels. Apparently, Nigeria does not presently have the structure for climate change adaptation. In short, as yet, Nigeria does not have a climate change policy which comprehensively addresses the socioeconomic consequences of change in weather patterns or of the effects such as extensive flooding, deforestation, desertification and so on. Climate change policy in Nigeria requires complete end to gas flaring, control of automobile emissions, ban on machineries that emit gaseous and hazardous substances into the atmosphere, effective check on burning of biomas by farmers, elimination of pollution 3 They were mainly consultants with profit making motives. A public good such as the climate cannot be commodified and marketized as is being done at both the international and national policy levels. through oil spillages, establishment of framework for alternative sources of energy such as solar, biofuel, wind and mini hydros at all levels of government. Local and state governments, as well as relevant agencies and commissions must be involved in the entire process by formulating and implementing climate change laws, regulations that are based on the contributions of the poor and those most affected by the problems of climate change impact in Nigeria. Such policies and regulations must interlink sectorally and encourage aforestation and planting of trees as part of a new culture of attaining the alternative economic, socio-political and cultural life that is based on ecological sanity. The biggest challenge is the character of the national political process and global economic processes which deter effective and radical approaches to the issue of climate change. What Role for Local Communities? The sense of anger and mobilisation against oil companies for their destructive activities to the environment and government neglect of oil producing communities by local communities in the Niger Delta from the time of Isaac Adaka Boro in the 1960s to the 1990s have no match in matters of climate change impact in the region. They engaged the Nigerian state severally, turned violent at some point and secured for themselves international sympathy on the key issues of development and damage to the environment pursued. These later informed specific policy responses of the government such as the creation of the Oil Mineral Producing Commission (OMPADEC); Niger Delta Development Commission (NDDC); Niger Delta Ministry and, improvement in revenue allocation from the Federation Account from 3 to 13 percent. They came because of series of agitation and struggles for change in the region, even though one can hardly say the specific ways in which these institutions and policies of government have influenced change in the region. In a seminar held on 3 September 2011 at the Niger Delta Wetland Centre in Yenegoa, Bayelsa state of Nigeria on the theme: Facing the Reality of Climate Change in the Coastal Communities of the Niger Delta, participants, drawn mainly from the oil producing communities and government functionaries of the region, called for an end to exploration of oil until all oil-related polluted sites through oil spillages in the region have been properly cleaned up. This rose from exposition on the link drawn between contributions of the oil industry and climate change impact. They equally called for an end to gas flaring by oil companies in the region. It was however not surprising that some participants initially lagged, while government functionaries like law makers from State Houses of Assembly and local government councils expressed limited awareness of the problem of climate change, even as a serious policy problem for the Nigerian state. The seminar which was organised by Social Action, Ogoni Solidarity Forum and the Centre for Global Nonviolence Nigeria speaks volumes about the role that some non-governmental organisations have assumed over the past six to seven years in raising awareness on the issues of climate change as a serious policy problem in Nigeria. At the forefront of this is Environmental Rights Action/Friends of the Earth, working with local oil and non-oil producing communities in Nigeria over various environmental problems including climate change. ERA engages government officials at the Federal Ministry of Environment and other government officials in policy oriented seminars and workshops on climate change impact in Nigeria. There are a good number of other non-governmental organisations involved in research on climate change issue, helping to in raise awareness on the issue. In July 2011, arising from a conference in Port Harcourt, organised by Kebetkache Women Development Resource Centre under the leadership of Emem Okon, two hundred and fifty women threatened to start mobilising youths and communities in the region against oil companies if they fail to end gas flaring. They argued that the oil industry is responsible for the change in climate, already affecting local communities negatively. While it appears that a local environmental movement with climate justice as part of its frame is now developing or at its formative stages in the Niger Delta, it is worthy of note that as yet, the effort of the global community has not yielded significant result with regards to measurable massive reduction of global greenhouse gas emissions except for the fact that climate change has come seriously on the global political and policy agenda and declarations. The global climate justice movement is active, but all climate is local, meaning that the emerging local movement for climate justice should think both locally and globally in these matters. Emerging local climate justice group in the Niger Delta should to link up with the global climate justice movement and press the local political system operators to respond to the problem of climate change. This is urgent, as the government will not on its own, without pressure, protect the environment from the gaseous emissions affecting the earth system. It is true that this may be very difficult to achieve as it is even difficult to tell whether or not sections of the global climate justice movement have not reconciled with capitalist strategies of productive and consumption patterns that sustain the incidence of climate change impact as the developed North devises escapist routes through market-based and voluntary mechanisms of handling climate change threats. Patrick Bond calls it ‘climate capitalism.’ By the way, it is now clear that carbon dioxide is number one greenhouse gas that warms the earth and changes nature in ways that creates negative socio-economic, environmental and political consequences especially for the poor in the developing world. Knowing this truth, including the fact that the developed countries are unwilling to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions at the rate required to save the planet, as they seek to maintain lifestyles that run contrary to the climate and the poor, local communities, including farmers, students, labour, rural dwellers should be actively mobilised to the stakes, so that it does not take the government too long a time to pursue, not only policies that can help vulnerable communities cope or adjust to the reality of climate change (adaptation) but also prevent actions and behaviours responsible for change in the climate (mitigation). At the multilateral levels of negotiations, the developed countries are manifesting this in their behaviours despite their collective resolve in 1972 in Rio de Janero, Brazil and later in Kyoto, to address the problem of climate change. Since Kyoto, there has been enough evidence to show that the developed North is rather not prepared to comprehensively address the problem of climate change. Ensuing Conferences of the Parties have shifted from the proposed legally binding format that the Kyoto Protocol provided to voluntary non-legally binding strategies master-minded by a few developed countries and compromised by a few aid-seeking developing nations. As the next Conference of the Parties in Durban approaches, local communities in the Niger Delta and anywhere else in the world where carbon dioxide is emitted from sectors such as coal mining, oil and transport, must find the appropriate issues to pursue beyond the mere demand for improved revenues from natural resource extraction. Such issues must then inform politics with the local and national players. Apparently, knowing that the binding Kyoto Protocol is a threat to the major greenhouse gas emitting nations, and that a position that will complement the Copenhagen Accord by way of simply seeking replacement is likely in Durban with the big polluters, local communities in the Niger Delta should not fail to join the global climate justice movement to mobilise local social movements to insist on what the science of climate change is saying about safe levels of reductions in greenhouse gas emissions with ragards to the argument that temperature rise must go down at least to 1.05 degrees Celsius (Bond 2010). The failure of the market fix approach is distracting. They must put pressure on the Nigerian negotiators to ask for such reductions and use of ‘comand and control’ mechanisms at the negotiations and by the Nigerian state to move into a global post-carbon era. In constructing a responsible role, it is worth noting that the seeming failure of states in the North and South, with regards to climate change and poverty can partly by explained by the nature of the political economy of poverty. Climate change issues are basically political as much as economic. Who benefits from climate change? Certainly not the poor as climate change itself is expected to worsen the living conditions of thousands of poor people in the Niger Delta, not merely because livelihoods for these people are vulnerable, have depended on the climatic conditions as farmers and fisher folks, but because local communities have not understood the chronic nature of their poverty. Chronic in the sense that it can last all through life if nothing is done about it from the point of review of their understanding of poverty and second mobilising non-violently against socio-political and economic structures that drive and sustain poverty. Coming out of it will not depend on policy alone but on the understanding that poverty is equally a political problem that requires conscious mobilisation and pressure. Chronic poverty is the worse form of poverty which climate change orchestrates. In this sense, poverty is more of a socio-political relationship that resists change (Bebbington 2007). Local communities must move beyond accepted wisdom about poverty reduction strategies to understanding the crucial role of the political economy of climate change politics in public policy at the national and global levels. As properly conceptualised, chronic poverty is driven and sustained by political forces whose interest might reflect in behaviour and policy of which only the poor can consistently call for a change by mobilising to influence the content and direction of policy. Traditional notions of poverty reduction will make only little sense in the context of chronic poverty without the social mobilisation that challenges socio-political and economic structures that drive and sustain poverty. The idea of chronic poverty of local communities in the Niger Delta speaks volumes about looking beyond mere economic matters to the bigger issues of socio-political relationships that sustain climatic conditions that impact poor people, to understand those policies and political processes that make climate change issues difficult to handle, and keep people poor and unable to respond to consequent negative impacts. As Green and Hulme note, ‘poverty reduction does not simply require “good” policy: it requires creating the capacity of poorer people to influence and hold accountable, those who make policies’ (Green and Hulme 2005). Having identified serious flaws with the ‘Conference of Parties’ since Kyoto, with regards to the willingness of the parties to tackle the problem of climate change by reducing global greenhouse gas emissions to as low as 1.5 degrees Celsius, 35,000 civil society activists gathered in Cochabamba to design an agreement, now known as the ‘Peoples Agreement’ on the right global and national policy path that nations should follow to tackle climate change problems. Local communities should link up with the global environmental movement by incorporating these calls into their engagement with the Nigerian state over climate change impact with regards to policy. Specifically, communities can ask for a national reduction target in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. This can be achieved by drastic curtailing of investments in non-renewable energy, while substantial public spending or investment in alternative energy sources – renewable energy sources like solar, wind and mini hydro-power -- should begin. Best, press for conservation, withdrawal from planned investment in nuclear energy by the federal government and demand with vigour, decommodification of the environment, food security and keeping the oil in the soil. Conclusion It makes substantial analytical sense to link climate change, poverty in the Niger Delta and Public Policy in Nigeria. The effort shows that the Nigerian government is slow to making climate change policy to enhance both adaptation and mitigation. As yet, there are no political institutions at the state and local government levels to address the critical issue of climate change impact. Massive gas flaring and oil spillages are continuing in the Niger Delta. As potentially relevant policy actors, local communities should understand the implications of all this and work towards getting the government to act correctly. First this role should be embedded in the global environmental struggle for climate justice since climate change itself is a global phenomenon although threatening the existence of all including human and non-human life. The challenge therefore is for a non-violent consistent engagement with the Nigerian state within the context of the understanding that chronic poverty which more characterises the people of the Niger Delta is more of a socio-political relationship that is difficult to change. 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