General Economic Influences Demand: Price, Income, Price/availability of substitutes and complements, Market size (pop), Quality attributes, … Supply: Price, Price of Inputs (materials, …), Technology, Competitive/Strategic Influences… Supply: OPEC Supply: Oil exploration+Tech Demand: China-India Gas Buddy Map coefficient -0.5 3.7 0.7 -0.9 p-value 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.45 Pop2 pop density 0.3 6e-3 0.03 0.01 (popdensity)2 4e-7 0.01 2e-2 0.01 8e-5 5 5 4 0.17 0.03 0.15 0.05 Intercept Oil Price ($) State Tax (cents) Pop (mil) Distance Production (mi) Distance Pipeline (mi) Refinery BG KY Crude oil $10 increase 3.7 cent gas State Tax $10 cent increase 7 cent gas Production 100 miles increase 2 cent gas Kentucky 4 cent increase BG not sig different from zero Omitted Variables: Distribution network complexities; strategic pricing; … Nakamura Studies: Only 16% price changes fundamentals driven (higher with raw materials key) Consumer Preferences & Transactions Costs Golden Gate Bridge; Disney; SW Bell (price as product attribute) NYSE; Supermarkets (smoothing v. inventory) Fixed Costs Pharmaceutical Drugs v. Supermarkets Cable Bundling (+ price discrimination) Uncertainty Long Run: MLB, Apple Short Run: Selling Bagels NYSE Specialist Supermarkets
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