Markovian equilibria in dynamic spatial legislative bargaining: Existence with three players ∗ Jan Zápal CERGE-EI & IAE-CSIC and Barcelona GSE [email protected] July 11, 2016 Abstract The paper proves, by construction, the existence of Markovian equilibria in a dynamic spatial legislative bargaining model. Three players bargain over onedimensional policies in an infinite horizon. In each period, a sequential protocol of proposal-making and voting, with random proposer recognitions and a simple majority, produces a policy that becomes the next period’s status-quo. An equilibrium exists for any profile of proposer recognition probabilities, any profile of players’ ideal policies, and any discount factor. In equilibrium, policies converge to the median’s ideal policy, players moderate and propose policies close to the median’s ideal in an attempt to constraint future proposers, but the tendency to moderate is a strategic substitute as the opponent of a moderating player does not moderate. JEL Classification: C73, C78, D74, D78 Keywords: dynamic decision-making; endogenous status-quo; spatial bargaining; legislative bargaining ∗ Some of the results presented in this paper originally appeared in my Ph.D. dissertation (Zapal, 2012, chapter 2) and were previously circulated as a working paper entitled ‘Simple equilibria in dynamic bargaining games over policies’. I owe special thanks to my advisors Ronny Razin and Gilat Levy. Further, I would like to thank Marco Battaglini and two anonymous referees, as well as Avidit Acharya, Vincent Anesi, Enriqueta Aragones, David Baron, Daniel Cardona, John Duggan, Jean Guillaume Forand, Tasos Kalandrakis, Antoine Loeper, Fabio Michelucci, Francesco Nava, Salvatore Nunnari, Clara Ponsati, Ronny Razin, Francesco Squintani and seminar and conference participants at IAE-CSIC, University of Waterloo, University of the Balearic Islands, the 2013 Barcelona GSE Summer Forum Workshop on Dynamic Decisions and the 2015 EEA-ESEM Annual Meeting in Toulouse for helpful comments and discussions. Some of the presented ideas took shape while visiting W. Allen Wallis Institute of Political Economy at the University of Rochester and their hospitality is appreciated. Financial support from the Post-Doc Research Fund of Charles University in Prague is gratefully acknowledged. All remaining errors are my own. 1 Introduction Legislative policy-making often concerns policies that are continuing in nature, evolve and change over time. Any change to a continuing policy is negotiated under the shadow of the extant legislation, leads to a revision of the extant legislation, and results in a shift of the status-quo. Dynamic legislative bargaining models reflect these features. The models embed a sequential protocol of proposal-making and voting from static non-cooperative legislative bargaining models as a stage game in an infinite horizon dynamic strategic situation. Two consecutive rounds of negotiations are linked; the decision from the former becomes the status-quo for the latter. Starting with Baron (1996), the dynamic legislative bargaining literature has been steadily growing. For a spatial setting, bargaining over policies, Baron (1996) develops partial equilibrium characterization and provides intuition for the strategic forces at play. For a distributive setting, bargaining over the allocation of benefits, Kalandrakis (2004) is the first to characterize a Markov equilibrium. In the absence of applicable existence theorems for Markovian equilibria, his characterization constitutes an existence proof. Due to the lack of similar characterization for the spatial model, and in the continuing absence of applicable existence theorems, the existence and properties of Markov equilibria in the dynamic spatial model remain unknown. In this paper we prove, using constructive arguments, the existence of Stationary Markov Perfect equilibrium (SMPE) in a dynamic spatial legislative bargaining model. Three legislators repeatedly set policy in a onedimensional policy space. Their preferences are quadratic around policy ideals, around bliss points. In each of an infinite number of periods, one legislator is randomly recognized to propose a policy. The legislature decides either to adopt the policy proposal or to maintain the status-quo policy under a simple majority vote. The winning policy determines the legislators’ utility for the period and becomes the status-quo for the next period. The equilibrium construction relies on two classes of (pure) stationary Markov proposal strategies. A proposal strategy maps the status-quo into a policy proposal. A proposal strategy in the first class depends on a single parameter, the policy a player proposes when the status-quo gives her ample bargaining power. In the static setting this parameter would be the player’s bliss point. In the dynamic setting we call this parameter the strategic bliss 1 point, the policy maximizing, in equilibrium, the dynamic utility of a player. Because a proposal strategy of a player is fully determined by her strategic bliss point, a profile of strategic bliss points fully determines a profile of proposal strategies, generates the dynamic utility of each player and induces a different profile of dynamic utility maximizers, a different profile of strategic bliss points. The SMPE construction using the proposal strategies in the first class can be seen as finding a fixed-point of this operation.1 An SMPE cannot be always constructed using the proposal strategies in the first class because those can be optimal only if the dynamic utilities are single-peaked. The proposal strategies in the second class can be optimal even for non-single-peaked dynamic utilities and allow us to prove the general SMPE existence result. That it is possible to construct an SMPE using the proposal strategies from the two classes is the main insight of the paper. Moderation and its strategic substitute nature are at the core of our equilibrium construction. A player moderates when she proposes her strategic bliss point, a more moderate policy—closer to the median—than her (static) bliss point. Moderation is driven by strategic considerations. The proposing player anticipates her proposal’s impact on the future policies. A moderate proposal constrains future proposers, most importantly the current proposer’s opponents, to propose moderate policies as well. Moderation is a strategic substitute; when a player’s opponents do moderate, they are constraining themselves and the player has no incentive to moderate; when a player’s opponents do not moderate, the player has an incentive to do so. The equilibrium extent of moderation is a result of two opposing forces. The first force is standard and pushes proposed policies towards the players’ ideal policies. The second force is strategic and pushes proposed policies towards the median’s ideal policy. The second force gains prominence and the equilibrium extent of moderation increases with the patience of the players and with the probability of recognition of their opponents. Our work is the most closely related to the dynamic spatial legislative bargaining literature. Baron (1996) is the first to study policy determination with an endogenous status-quo. We study a three-player version of 1 The proposal strategies in the first class closely resemble those of Romer and Rosenthal (1979). A player proposes her (strategic) bliss point for any status-quo for which it is accepted, and otherwise proposes the policy closest to it, from among those that are acceptable. 2 Baron’s (1996) model.2 The partial equilibrium characterization developed in Baron (1996) uncovers moderation as an equilibrium feature. By providing complete equilibrium construction, we uncover not only moderation, but also its strategic substitute nature.3 Kalandrakis (2015) considers a model identical to ours but assumes equidistant players’ bliss points and equal recognition probabilities.4 Forand (2014) explores an electoral competition model between two parties and a median voter. His key assumption, incumbent policy commitment, creates a link between periods and makes his model closely related to the model in Baron (1996), with an additional restriction that only two players possess agenda setting power and alternate in the proposer role.5 In a companion paper (Zapal, 2015), we study extension of the model considered here to a multi-player environment. The equilibrium existence result we prove there is limited to a certain class of games and utilizes only the first class of proposal strategies discussed above. The insight that the proposal strategies in the second class can be used to complete general existence result is specific to this paper. General characterization and existence results for Stationary Markov Perfect equilibria in dynamic legislative bargaining games are scarce. Kalandrakis is the first to characterize an SMPE in a dynamic distributive legislative bargaining model with three (Kalandrakis, 2004) or more than five (Kalandrakis, 2010) players. Duggan and Kalandrakis (2012) prove general SMPE existence result for a large class of dynamic bargaining games, relying on ‘smoothing’ due to shocks in players’ preferences and between-period status-quo transitions. The shocks significantly complicate equilibrium characterization and are absent in our model. Diermeier and Fong (2011) provide 2 We do not restrict the policy space to R+ , which is of little consequence, and we use quadratic stage utilities, which is necessary and cannot be dispensed with. See discussion following Theorem 1. Baron (1996) does not assume quadratic utilities, but assumes that the dynamic median voter theorem applies. Hence, assuming quadratic utilities does not decrease the generality of the model as compared with Baron (1996). 3 Baron (1996) includes informal discussion of an example of full equilibrium characterization for a five player game (his Table 1) with symmetric extent of moderation by all non-median players. For three players, Kalandrakis (2015, Proposition 1) shows that symmetric equilibria of the type characterized by Baron (1996) cannot exist. Our Proposition 2 has the same implication and Proposition A4 in Appendix shows that all non-median players moderating is incompatible with a large class of equilibria. 4 Footnote 13 explores the relationship between his mixed strategy and our pure strategy equilibrium constructions. 5 A working paper version of Forand (2014) (Forand, 2010) draws the analogy between his electoral model and the legislative bargaining model of Baron (1996). Footnote 14 explores the relationship between his and our equilibrium constructions. 3 an algorithm that delivers an SMPE in a model with persistent agenda setter, discrete policy space and vanishing impatience (see Anesi and Duggan, 2015a, for more general results). Anesi and Duggan (2015b), utilizing the ‘simple solutions’ developed by Anesi and Seidmann (2015), construct a continuum of SMPE in a general dynamic spatial legislative bargaining model with patient players. Their construction requires a policy space with enough dimensions and fails in the one-dimensional model considered here. We proceed as follows. The next section introduces our model, notation and solution concept. Section 3 provides the main result, explains the intuition behind its constructive proof and provides further results concerning the equilibria constructed. Section 4 presents concluding remarks. All proofs are relegated to Appendix. 2 Model A game G = hx, r, δ, Xi is fully specified by x, r, δ, and X all satisfying the assumptions we introduce next, and which are maintained throughout. A stage utility of i ∈ N = {1, 2, 3} from policy p is ui (p) = −(p − xi )2 where xi is the bliss point of i. x = {x1 , x2 , x3 } denotes the profile of bliss points of the players and we assume all the bliss points are distinct. It is thus without loss of generality to assume x2 = 0, x3 < 0 and x1 ≥ |x3 |.6 Hence player 1 is more extreme than player 3 and player 2 is the median. In each discrete period of infinite horizon, i ∈ N is recognized to propose policy p ∈ X, where X ⊆ R is a closed convex interval. If X ( R then we require X to be symmetric about x2 and include x1 . r = {r1 , r2 , r3 } with ri ≥ 0 ∀i ∈ N is the profile of probabilities of recognition such that P i∈N ri = 1. Given the status-quo x ∈ X and policy proposal p ∈ X by recognized i ∈ N , a majoritarian vote between x and p follows. The winning alternative determines the utility of the players and becomes the new status-quo. The utility of player i ∈ N from an infinite path of policies p = {p0 , p1 , . . .} is Ui (p) = ∞ X δ t ui (pt ) (1) t=0 6 The game is shift invariant and setting x2 = 0 amounts to setting the origin. Any game with x1 < |x3 | can be accommodated by exchanging the non-median players. 4 where δ ∈ [0, 1) is the common discount factor.7 A pure stationary Markov strategy of each i ∈ N is a pair (p̂i , v̂i ). The first element, p̂i : X → X, is the proposal strategy specifying a policy proposal given status-quo x, p̂i (x). The second element, v̂i : X 2 → {yes, no}, is the voting strategy specifying a vote given status-quo x and proposal p, v̂i (x, p). A profile of pure stationary Markov strategies is σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N . Any σ̂ induces a continuation value function of player i ∈ N , Vi : X → R. Vi (x|σ̂) denotes the expected utility of i from an infinite future of play according to σ̂, starting with status-quo x, before the identity of the proposer in the next period has been determined. Denote the dynamic (expected) utility of i from accepted x, Ui : X → R, by Ui (x|σ̂) = ui (x) + δVi (x|σ̂). The social acceptance set for given x ∈ X, A(x|σ̂), is the set A(x|σ̂) = {p ∈ X|2 ≤ |{i ∈ N |v̂i (x, p) = yes}|}. (2) Definition 1 (Stationary Markov Perfect Equilibrium). A stationary Markov perfect equilibrium (SMPE) is a profile of stationary Markov strategies σ̂ ∗ = ((p̂∗i , v̂i∗ ))i∈N such that, ∀i ∈ N , ∀x ∈ X and ∀p ∈ X, p̂∗i (x) ∈ arg max ui (s) + δVi (s|σ̂ ∗ ) s∈A(x|σ̂ ∗ ) and v̂i∗ (x, p) = yes if and only if Ui (p|σ̂ ∗ ) ≥ Ui (x|σ̂ ∗ ). Definition 1 requires strategies to be best-responses and adds several restrictions on the proposal and voting strategies. Concerning the latter, we assume that all players use the stage-undominated voting strategies of Baron and Kalai (1993) when voting between the proposed p ∈ X and the status-quo x ∈ X and vote deferentially, that is, vote for p when indifferent between p and x.8 Concerning the former, we assume that proposals with zero probability of acceptance are never made.9 This no-delay property 7 Specification of G does not require an initial status-quo, which we leave unspecified. Stage-undominated voting is a standard assumption in voting literature and rules out implausible equilibria that can support arbitrary outcomes that are accepted because no voter is pivotal. Assuming deferential voting avoids any open set complications. 9 Given status-quo x, the proposing player whose utility maximizing proposal is x can obtain this utility either by proposing x or by making a proposal she knows would be rejected. We assume she does the former. This assumption does not change the set of 8 5 implies that Vi (x|σ̂) is the unique solution to the recursion10 Vi (x|σ̂) = X rj [ui (p̂j (x)) + δVi (p̂j (x)|σ̂)] . (3) j∈N Our equilibrium concept is a pure stationary Markov perfect equilibrium in stage-undominated deferential voting and no-delay proposal strategies, which we refer to more succinctly as to an SMPE. 3 SMPE existence Theorem 1. For any G, an SMPE exists. The proof of Theorem 1 is in Appendix A1. For any G, it constructs a profile of strategies σ̂ that constitutes an SMPE. In the remainder of this section we demonstrate key features of the construction. The first step of the construction is an observation that for any profile σ̂ such that v̂i (x, p) = yes if and only if Ui (p|σ̂) ≥ Ui (x|σ̂) ∀i ∈ N and ∀(x, p) ∈ X 2 , a policy proposal p ∈ X is accepted under status-quo x ∈ X if and only if U2 (p|σ̂) ≥ U2 (x|σ̂). That is, if and only if it is preferred by the median player. This ‘dynamic median voter theorem’ significantly simplifies the SMPE construction. It implies that the social acceptance set A(x|σ̂) under status-quo x ∈ X is {p ∈ X|U2 (p|σ̂) ≥ U2 (x|σ̂)}; it is the set of policies player 2 prefers to x. The dynamic median voter theorem critically depends on the quadratic stage utilities. The median is the player with x2 since player 2 is decisive in the vote over any (deterministic) policies x ∈ X and p ∈ X. However, in G voting between x and p means voting over lotteries over future outcomes. That the decisiveness of the median extends from deterministic to stochastic alternatives, under quadratic preferences, is a well known result (Banks and Duggan, 2006; Cho and Duggan, 2003). Equally well known is the fact that this result does not extend beyond quadratic utilities (see example following proof of Lemma 2.1 in Banks and Duggan, 2006). equilibria that are observationally (outcome) equivalent and is standard in the dynamic bargaining literature. 10 For a profile of proposal strategies (p̂i )i∈N , the right hand side of (3) provides continuation value function calculated assuming that proposals generated by (p̂i )i∈N are always accepted. When we say that a continuation value function, and dynamic utility, is induced by a profile of proposal strategies, via (right hand side of) (3), we refer to this procedure. 6 The SMPE construction proceeds by defining a class of proposal strategies with a particular threshold property, which we call c-strategies. For status-quo x ∈ X, the c-strategy of i ∈ {1, 3} states that i proposes either her strategic bliss point x̂i , when |x̂i | ≤ |x|, or the policy in [−|x|, |x|] with minimal distance to x̂i , when |x̂i | > |x|. The c-strategy of player 2 states that she proposes x̂2 for any status-quo x ∈ X. Formally, the c-strategy pi of i ∈ N is11 pi (x|x̂i ) = min {x̂1 , |x|} if i = 1 x̂2 max {x̂ , −|x|} 3 if i = 2 . (4) if i = 3 A strategic bliss point x̂i fully determines the proposal strategy of i. Any profile of strategic bliss points x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } thus induces a profile of proposal strategies. A useful property of any x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } with x̂1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 is that it induces V2 via (3) such that the social acceptance set given status-quo x ∈ X is [−|x|, |x|]. Because, ∀i ∈ N and ∀x ∈ X, p(x|x̂i ) ∈ [−|x|, |x|] when x̂1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 , the SMPE construction reduces to finding x̂, if possible, such that the proposal strategies induced by x̂ satisfy Definition 1. Showing that an SMPE can be constructed using the c-strategies, and under what conditions, is the crux of the SMPE construction. The c-strategies do not deliver SMPE for any G, but when the c-strategies do not, an alternative class of d-strategies, discussed below, does. That it is possible to construct SMPE for any G using either the c-strategies or the d-strategies is the main insight of the paper leading to Theorem 1. To understand the SMPE construction using the c-strategies, consider G0 with x = {1, 0, −1}, r = { 31 , 13 , 31 }, δ = 9 10 and X = R. From the proof of Theorem 1, one of the profiles of strategic bliss points that constitutes an SMPE is x̂ = {x1 , 0, x3 (1 − 2δr1 )} = {1, 0, − 25 }. Figure 1 shows the profile of proposal strategies induced by x̂. We call x̂i a strategic bliss point since it is the policy i proposes for any status-quo x such that x̂i ∈ [−|x|, |x|], that is, when i is not constrained by the median’s acceptance. Not being constrained, i can propose the policy maximizing her dynamic utility Ui , her strategic bliss point. In Figure 1, 11 The c-strategies are in the spirit of the strategies used by Baron (1996). See his third equilibrium property on page 321 and the discussion leading to his Proposition 5. 7 Figure 1: G 0 : c-strategies for x = {1, 0, −1} and x̂ = {1, 0, − 25 } pi (x|x̂i ) x1 = x̂1 = 1 p1 (x|x̂1 ) 1 x2 = x̂2 = 0 p2 (x|x̂2 ) x̂3 = − 52 p3 (x|x̂3 ) x3 = −1 -1 -1 0 1 x this happens when x ∈ / (−1, 1) for i = 1 and x ∈ / (− 25 , 25 ) for i = 3. Because x̂i maximizes dynamic utility Ui = ui + δVi while xi maximizes static utility ui , x̂i and xi in general differ. Consider player 3 and status-quo x = −1. We claim p3 (−1) = − 52 while the policy maximizing u3 is x3 = −1. With x = −1, A = [−1, 1] so that x3 = −1 would be accepted, if proposed. The reason x̂3 = − 25 6= x3 = −1 is that in the dynamic setting player 3 anticipates the impact of her proposal on the distribution of future policies. Two such distributions, induced by proposing x3 = −1 and p3 (−1) = − 52 , are indicated by the (red) circles left of x = 0 in Figure 1. By proposing p3 (−1) = − 52 in lieu of proposing x3 = −1, player 3 fails to maximize her static utility but brings the future policy of player 1 from p1 (−1) = 1 to p1 (− 25 ) = 25 . Player 3 moderates and it is optimal for her to do so; the moderate policy she proposes increases her future utility by constraining the future policy of player 1 (at the cost of current static utility). The incentive to moderate is purely strategic; absent the intertemporal link created by persistent policies, player 3 would propose x3 = −1. Furthermore, we claim that it is optimal for player 1 not to moderate and her strategic bliss point x̂1 = 1 = x1 . Certainly, the strategic force to moderate is present for player 1 as well. Consider status-quo x = 1. We claim player 1 proposes p1 (1) = 1 in lieu of moderating and proposing, using the same extent of moderation as player 3, p0 = 52 . Given x = 1 both p1 (1) = 1 and p0 = 2 5 would be accepted and induce the distribution over 8 future policies indicated by the (blue) circles to the right of x = 0 in Figure 1. Player 1 does not moderate because proposing p1 (1) = 1 or p0 = identical policy by player 3, p3 (1) = p3 ( 25 ) = − 25 . 2 5 induces In order to constrain the future policy of player 3, player 1 would have to moderate to some policy in [0, 25 ), which is too costly for her in terms of current utility. In other words, moderation is a strategic substitute; when player 3 moderates, the best response for player 1 is not to moderate, and when player 3 does not moderate, player 1 best responds by moderating. The following proposition shows that moderation is a strategic substitute in any SMPE in the c-strategies; in any SMPE exactly one player does and exactly one player does not moderate. The equilibrium extent of moderation of the player who does is given by the desired extent of moderation, which equals x̃1 = max{0, x1 (1 − 2δr3 )} and x̃3 = min{0, x3 (1 − 2δr1 )}. To state the proposition, denote by σ(x̂) the profile of proposal strategies induced by x̂ along with a profile of stage-undominated deferential voting strategies constructed from dynamic utilities induced via (3).12 Proposition 1. Suppose δ ∈ (0, 1) and ri > 0 for i ∈ {1, 3}. Suppose σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } constitutes an SMPE. Then either x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } or x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 }. The equilibrium extent of moderation of the moderating i increases with her patience, with δ, and with the probability of recognition of her opponent, with r−i ; δ and r−i determine the strength of the strategic force to moderate. When 2δr−i ≥ 1, the strategic force is so strong that i moderates to the largest extent possible, she proposes pi (x|0) = 0 = x2 for any status-quo x ∈ X. Proposition 1 is silent about the possibility of co- or non-existence of SMPE in the c-strategies the following proposition clarifies, using parameter √ shorthand T1 = √ 1 2 1−δr3 −1 when δr3 ≥ 1 2 and T1 = δr3 √ 1− δr3 when δr3 < 12 . Proposition 2. Suppose δ ∈ (0, 1) and ri > 0 for i ∈ {1, 3}. 1. σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } constitutes an SMPE if and only if x̃1 ≥ |x̃3 |. 2. σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } constitutes an SMPE if and only if x̃1 ≤ |x̃3 | and x1 |x3 | ≤ T1 . 12 Proposition 1 assumes δ ∈ (0, 1) and ri > 0 for i ∈ {1, 3} in order to avoid special cases that complicate the exposition and add little in terms of additional insights. 9 Proposition 2 implies that the moderating player in any SMPE in the c-strategies is the one with the smaller |x̃i | and if |x̃1 | = |x̃3 |, two SMPE might exist. In G 0 above, x̃1 = |x̃3 | = 2 5 and x1 |x3 | = 1 ≤ T1 ≈ 1.49. Hence, in addition to an SMPE based on x̂ = {1, 0, − 25 } from Figure 1, there is a ‘mirror’ SMPE based on x̂ = { 25 , 0, −1}.13 Moreover, Proposition 2 implies that there does not exist an SMPE in the c-strategies based on x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } with x̂1 = |x̂3 |; the equilibrium extent of moderation is never symmetric. The intuition why σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } does not constitute an SMPE when x̃1 < |x̃3 | is the following. x̃i is the best-response extent of moderation of i to a non-moderating −i, leaving open the question of what is the best-response extent of moderation of i to a moderating −i. When x̃1 ≥ |x̃3 |, player 3 moderates more than what player 1 would like to constrain player 3 to if player 3 did not moderate; player 1 has no incentive to constrain player 3 further. When x̃1 < |x̃3 |, player 3 moderates less than what player 1 would like; player 1 still has an incentive to moderate to constrain player 3 further. That is, when x̃1 < |x̃3 |, the only remaining possibility for an SMPE in the c-strategies is the one based on x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 }. However, Proposition 2 shows that even x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } fails to induce an SMPE when x1 |x3 | > T1 . An example of such failure is G 00 with x = {2, 0, −1}, 1 1 9 , 2 , 20 }, δ = r = { 20 9 10 and X = R. In G 00 , player 1 has the more extreme x1 > |x3 |, but r3 is large enough to bring x̃1 = 38 100 below |x̃3 | = any SMPE in the c-strategies has to be based on x̂ = x̂ = 38 { 100 , 0, −1} fails to induce an SMPE since x1 |x3 | 91 100 . Hence, 38 , 0, −1}, { 100 but = 2 > T1 ≈ 1.84. The intuition behind the failure needs to consider player 1. Given status-quo x ≥ 2, x1 = 2 would be accepted and moderating, proposing p1 (x|x̃1 ) = x̃1 = 38 100 , involves large static-utility cost, making deviation to x1 profitable. It is only when the status-quo x is close to x̃1 that player 1 optimally moderates to x̃1 ; x1 would no longer be accepted and the staticutility cost of x̃1 , relative to the policies acceptable under x, is modest. G 0 with general δ ∈ [0, 1) is the game studied in Kalandrakis (2015). Since T1 ≥ 1 ∀δr3 ∈ [0, 1), Proposition 2 implies that it admits two pure SMPE in c-strategies with x̂ = {1, 0, −(1 − 23 δ)} and x̂ = {1 − 23 δ, 0, −1}. Those have been independently derived by Kalandrakis (2015) (see his Proposition 2). Moreover, the values 1 − 32 δ and −(1 − 23 δ) are the boundaries of his ‘mixing regions’. Therefore, G 0 with δ ∈ [0, 1) admits at least three SMPE; two in pure c-strategies considered here and one in mixed strategies derived in Kalandrakis (2015). Interestingly, the mixed strategy SMPE is Pareto inefficient while the c-strategy SMPE is Pareto efficient (see Kalandrakis, 2015, for details). 13 10 This suggests a way to construct an SMPE in games akin to G 00 . The key idea starts with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } and finds a point of adjustment xa such that, for player 1, the cost of moderation is modest for any status-quo in [−|xa |, |xa |] and it is large for any status-quo not in [−|xa |, |xa |]. We then allow player 1 to use a d-strategy; to propose p1 (x|x̂1 ) for any x ∈ [−|xa |, |xa |], to moderate, and to propose p1 (x|x1 ) for any x ∈ / [−|xa |, |xa |], not to moderate. Let p1 (x|x̂1 , xa ) be the policy proposed by player 1 using her dstrategy with (x̂1 , xa ) given x ∈ X. For i ∈ {2, 3} the d- and c-strategies coincide. Thus, any profile of strategic bliss points with an adjustment x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 } induces a profile of proposal strategies. Figure 2 shows a d-strategy profile that induces an SMPE. The value of xa in the figure equals x̃a , where x̃a is a complex expression of the model parameters derived in the proof of Theorem 1 (see Definition A3) evaluated at G 00 .14 In analogy to Propositions 1 and 2, we present two propositions for the d-strategies. The first one restricts the d-strategies to satisfy x̂1 6= x1 and |xa | ∈ (min{x̂1 , x1 }, sup X). This condition separates the two strategy classes; the c-strategies are a strict subset of the d-strategies and, if and only if x̂a satisfies the condition, x̂ such that the c-strategies with x̂ replicate the d-strategies with x̂a does not exist (see Lemma A5 in the Appendix). Proposition 3. Suppose δ ∈ (0, 1) and ri > 0 for i ∈ {1, 3}. Suppose σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 }, x̂1 6= x1 and |xa | ∈ (min{x̂1 , x1 }, sup X) constitutes an SMPE. Then x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } either with unique |xa | ∈ 14 Figure 2 lets us explain the relation between Forand (2014)’s equilibria and ours. The pertinent features of his electoral model are parties L and R with bliss points 0 and 1, policy space [0, 1], the parties (endogenously) alternating in proposing (opposition) and the proposer having an option to pass (stay out of an election). The bounds on extremism in Forand’s Proposition 3, l∗ and r∗ , are closely related to x̃3 and x̃1 ; when r1 = r3 = 21 , l∗ with x̃3 and r∗ with x̃1 possess identical δ → 1 limit (adapting the bliss my my l∗ r∗ points and using quadratic stage utilities). Hence, Forand’s (σL , σR ) and (σL , σR ) and our x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } and x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } profiles are closely related and, also, constitute an equilibrium based on l∗ or r∗ being closer to the median’s bliss point M . Importantly, and differently from our model, one of Forand’s profiles always constitutes an equilibrium. The reason is a combination of his parties passing, party L when x ≤ M and party R when x ≥ M , with policy space bounded by the parties’ bliss points. Heuristically, in terms of Figure 2, this implies policy space [−1, 2], party 1 proposing only for x < 0 and party 3 proposing only for x > 0. That is, Forand need not consider d-strategies for equilibrium existence. Moreover, the consistent equilibria supporting convergence paths towards M underlying Forand’s Proposition 4, unlike our d-strategies, always start with a moderating step to l∗ or r∗ and are built on one party’s moderating step (discontinuity) being reciprocated in future by its opponent. In terms of Figure 2, the entire set of discontinuities in the proposal strategies of these equilibria is restricted to [−x̃1 , x̃1 ]. 11 Figure 2: G 00 : d-strategies for x = {2, 0, −1}, x̂a = 38 {( 100 , 2 − 59 q 13 119 ), 0, −1} pi (x|x̂i ) p1 (x|x̂1 , xa ) x1 = 2 1 x̂1 = 38 100 p2 (x|x̂2 ) x2 = x̂2 = 0 x3 = x̂3 = −1 -1 -2 −xa -1 0 1 xa 2 p3 (x|x̂3 ) x (|x3 |, x1 ) or with an arbitrary |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X). Proposition 3 shows that any SMPE in the d-strategies, unless it is an SMPE in the c-strategies, essentially embeds the proposal strategies induced by x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 }, but allows player 1 to propose p1 (x|x1 ) for x∈ / [−|xa |, |xa |], for any extreme status-quo when moderation to x̃1 is too costly. Proposition 4. Suppose δ ∈ (0, 1) and ri > 0 for i ∈ {1, 3}. 1. σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 }, where |xa | = x̃a ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ), constitutes an SMPE if and only if x̃1 ≤ |x̃3 | and x1 |x3 | > T1 . 2. σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 }, where |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X), constitutes an SMPE if and only if x̃1 ≤ |x̃3 | and x1 |x3 | = T1 . The sufficient conditions for SMPE existence from Proposition 2 and 4 exhaust the entire set of possibilities, which is, in fact, why Theorem 1 can be proven using only the c- and d-strategies. 4 Discussion The existence result in Theorem 1 relies on several assumptions concerning the primitives of the model — quadratic stage utilities, homogeneous 12 discounting, simple majority voting and three players. The quadratic preferences are both convenient, by facilitating the algebraic manipulations throughout, and necessary, by ensuring that the player with the median bliss point is decisive. The latter property can be alternatively achieved by giving, for example, the player with the median bliss point veto power. In this alternative model, with general stage utilities, a construction analogous to the one used above would be to construct a profile of proposal strategies using the desired extent of moderation of the player for whom the incentive to moderate is the strongest.15 The same applies to homogeneous discounting. With heterogeneous discount factors, the player with the median bliss point need not be decisive, but can be made so by assumption. The player with the median bliss point is the only decisive player due to the simple majority. The only more demanding quota voting rule with three players is unanimity. With unanimity, straightforward argument shows that in any SMPE, starting with any status-quo located between the bliss points of the players, the equilibrium policy has to remain constant. That is, any status-quo between the players’ bliss point is absorbing in a similar way as the median’s bliss point is absorbing with a simple majority. However, a preliminary investigation of the model with unanimity suggests that the way policies approach the absorbing set over time can be complex, unlike in the model with a simple majority. With more than three players the c-strategies used in this paper can be used to construct an SMPE in a certain class of games (Zapal, 2015). The construction relies on an algorithm that constructs strategic bliss points. For three players, the strategic bliss points the algorithm produces coincide with those in Proposition 2. For more than three players, the algorithm and the entire analysis is significantly more complex and, yet, may fail to deliver an SMPE. With three players, this paper uses the d-strategies to complete the existence proof. Whether the same is feasible for games with more than three players remains an open question, the key difficulty being the (potentially many) discontinuities in the d-strategies. Similarly, it remains an open question whether the mixed strategy SMPE construction in Kalandrakis (2015) generalizes beyond his three-player game with equidistant 15 The desired extent of moderation is found by taking a profile of strategies with infinite strategic bliss points of the two non-median players and finding the maximizer of the induced dynamic utilities. 13 bliss points and equal recognition probabilities. While Theorem 1 establishes an existence result, Propositions 1 through 4 provide an answer to the uniqueness question, if only for the class of strategies considered. G 0 underlying Figure 1 admits two pure SMPE, however, the propositions show that this multiplicity is specific to games with identical desired extent of moderation, x̃1 = |x̃3 |, or to games with x1 |x3 | = T1 . As a result, any multiplicity of SMPE in the c- or d-strategies can be perturbed away, by perturbing the bliss points or the recognition probabilities, and is non-generic. Furthermore, Propositions 1 and 3 jointly imply that any SMPE in the c- or d-strategies has at least one non-median player whose equilibrium proposal strategy is a c-strategy with a strategic bliss point equal to her static bliss point. At least one non-median player not moderating is at the core of the strategic substitute nature of moderation and extends beyond the c- and d-strategy SMPE. In Appendix A6 we show that, for games with 3 (Proposition A4) or more (Proposition A5) players, there does not exist a consistent SMPE, defined as in Forand (2014), with all non-median players moderating. Whether this property extends to all SMPE; whether moderation is always a strategic substitute, remains an open question.16 On a more substantive level, common themes emerging from our analysis are convergence to the policy preferred by the median player, convergence path alternation of policies around this policy and asymmetric tendency for moderation towards this policy, even in symmetric games. With the exception of the first theme, these predictions concern dynamics of policies and cannot be addressed in static legislative bargaining models. Moderation, strategic manipulation of policy in an attempt to influence future policies, is a standard observation in dynamic political economy literature. Its strategic substitute nature is, to our knowledge, novel. References Anesi, V. and J. Duggan (2015a). Dynamic bargaining and external stability with veto players. mimeo. 16 Absent any restriction on the strategies considered, the strategies can induce dynamic utilities exhibiting complex patterns, rendering any attempt to build a contradiction between all players moderating and SMPE futile. 14 Anesi, V. and J. Duggan (2015b). Existence and indeterminacy of Markovian equilibria in dynamic bargaining games. CEDEX Discussion Paper Series No. 2015-01. Anesi, V. and D. J. Seidmann (2015). Bargaining in standing committees with an endogenous default. Review of Economic Studies 82 (3), 825–867. Banks, J. S. and J. Duggan (2006). A social choice lemma on voting over lotteries with applications to a class of dynamic games. Social Choice and Welfare 26 (2), 285–304. Baron, D. P. (1996). A dynamic theory of collective goods programs. American Political Science Review 90 (2), 316–330. Baron, D. P. and E. Kalai (1993). The simplest equilibrium of a majorityrule division game. Journal of Economic Theory 61 (2), 290–301. Cho, S.-J. and J. Duggan (2003). Uniqueness of stationary equilibria in a one-dimensional model of bargaining. Journal of Economic Theory 113 (1), 118–130. Diermeier, D. and P. Fong (2011). Legislative bargaining with reconsideration. Quarterly Journal of Economics 126 (2), 947–985. Duggan, J. and A. Kalandrakis (2012). Dynamic legislative policy making. Journal of Economic Theory 147 (5), 1653–1688. Forand, J. G. (2010). Two-party competition with persistent policies. University of Waterloo Department of Economics Working Paper Series No. 10-011. Forand, J. G. (2014). Two-party competition with persistent policies. Journal of Economic Theory 152, 64–91. Kalandrakis, A. (2004). A three-player dynamic majoritarian bargaining game. Journal of Economic Theory 116 (2), 294–322. Kalandrakis, A. (2010). Minimum winning coalitions and endogenous status quo. International Journal of Game Theory 39 (4), 617–643. Kalandrakis, A. (2015). Pareto efficiency in the dynamic one-dimensional bargaining model. forthcoming in Journal of Theoretical Politics. 15 Romer, T. and H. Rosenthal (1979). Bureaucrats versus voters: On the political economy of resource allocation by direct democracy. Quarterly Journal of Economics 93 (4), 563–587. Zapal, J. (2012). Dynamic Group Decision Making. Ph. D. thesis, London School of Economics and Political Science. Zapal, J. (2015). Simple Markovian equilibria in dynamic spatial legislative bargaining. mimeo. A1 Proof of Theorem 1 We prove Theorem 1 using the following procedure. First, we state and prove a dynamic median voter theorem (Proposition A1). Second, we formally define two classes of proposal strategies, the c-strategies and the d-strategies (Definitions A1 and A2). Third, we prove several useful technical properties of the value functions and of the dynamic utilities for any profile of the cstrategies and of the d-strategies (Lemma A1). Fourth, we state condition E on the parameters of G. The condition guarantees that an SMPE in the c-strategies exists (Proposition A2). Finally, we show that when E fails, an SMPE can be constructed using the d-strategies (Proposition A3). Proposition A1. For any profile of pure stationary Markov strategies σ̂ such that, ∀i ∈ N and ∀(x, p) ∈ X 2 , v̂i (x, p) = yes if and only if Ui (p|σ̂) ≥ Ui (x|σ̂), a policy proposal p ∈ X is accepted under status-quo x ∈ X if and only if U2 (p|σ̂) ≥ U2 (x|σ̂). Proof. The proposition is an implication of Banks and Duggan (2006) (Cho and Duggan, 2003, prove a similar result). We present full proof in order to demonstrate the dependence of the result on the quadratic utilities used. Fix a profile of pure stationary Markov strategies σ̂. Consider two policies p0 ∈ X and p00 ∈ X generating stochastic sequence, via σ̂, of policies p = {p0 , p1 , . . .} and p0 = {p00 , p01 , . . .} respectively. The utility of i ∈ N from voting either for p0 or p00 is Ui (p0 |σ̂) = E Ui (p00 |σ̂) =E hX∞ hXt=0 ∞ t=0 16 −δ t (pt − xi )2 i i −δ t (p0t − xi )2 . (A1) Differentiating Ui (p0 |σ̂) − Ui (p00 |σ̂) with respect to xi gives i h X∞ ∂[Ui (p0 |σ̂) − Ui (p00 |σ̂)] −δ t (p0t − pt ) =E 2 t=0 ∂xi (A2) which is independent of xi and hence Ui (p0 |σ̂) − Ui (p00 |σ̂) is linear in xi . Now assume U2 (p0 |σ̂) ≥ U2 (p00 |σ̂). Then Ui (p0 |σ̂) ≥ Ui (p00 |σ̂) for at least one i ∈ {1, 3} and p0 is accepted. Conversely, if U2 (p0 |σ̂) < U2 (p00 |σ̂), then Ui (p0 |σ̂) < Ui (p00 |σ̂) for at least one i ∈ {1, 3} and p0 is rejected. Definition A1. The c-pure stationary Markov proposal strategy (c-strategy) of i ∈ N is min {x̂1 , |x|} pi (x|x̂i ) = x̂2 max {x̂ , −|x|} 3 if i = 1 if i = 2 if i = 3 where x̂i is the strategic bliss point of i. A profile of strategic bliss points is x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 }. Definition A2. The d-pure stationary Markov proposal strategy (d-strategy) of i ∈ N is p (x|x̂ ) if x ∈ [−|x |, |x |] 1 1 a a p1 (x|x̂1 , xa ) = p (x|x ) if x ∈ / [−|xa |, |xa |] 1 1 x̂ if i = 2 2 pi (x|x̂i ) = max {x̂ , −|x|} if i = 3 3 where x̂i is the strategic bliss point of i and xa is the point of adjustment. A profile of strategic bliss points with an adjustment is x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 }. An arbitrary x̂ or x̂a fully determines a profile of proposal strategies. Denote by Vi (x|x̂) and Vi (x|x̂a ) the continuation value of player i ∈ N from status-quo x ∈ X calculated using the proposal strategies induced by x̂ and x̂a , respectively, assuming that any proposal generated by the profile of proposal strategies is accepted. That is Vi (x|x̂) = X rj [ui (pj (x|x̂j )) + δVi (pj (x|x̂j )|x̂)] (A3) j∈N and similarly for x̂a . Denote by Ui (x|x̂) and Ui (x|x̂a ) the corresponding 17 dynamic utilities. Straightforward modification of the argument used to prove Proposition A1 shows that, for any x̂0 ∈ {x̂, x̂a }, ∀x ∈ X and ∀p ∈ X, |{j ∈ N |Uj (p|x̂0 ) ≥ Uj (x|x̂0 )}| ≥ 2 if and only if U2 (p|x̂0 ) ≥ U2 (x|x̂0 ). The set of policies player 2 weakly prefers to status-quo x ∈ X thus constitutes the social acceptance set, which we denote, for x̂0 ∈ {x̂, x̂a }, by A(x|x̂0 ) = {p ∈ X|U2 (p|x̂0 ) ≥ U2 (x|x̂0 )}. For an arbitrary profile of strategic bliss points x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } denote by N D(x̂) = {−|x̂1 |, |x̂1 |, −|x̂3 |, |x̂3 |, 0} the points at which the proposal strategies induced by x̂ are not differentiable and by D(x̂) = X \ N D(x̂) its complement in X. With this notation, ∂pi (x|x̂i ) ∂x = p0i (x|x̂i ) exists ∀x ∈ D(x̂) and ∀i ∈ N , and satisfies p0i (x|x̂i ) ∈ {−1, 0, 1}. For x ∈ D(x̂) denote by C(x|x̂) = {i ∈ N |p0i (x|x̂i ) = 0} the set of players who at x are on the constant part of their strategy. For i ∈ {1, 3} and x ∈ D(x̂) define ri,nc (x|x̂) = ri if p0i (x|x̂i ) 6= 0 and ri,nc (x|x̂) = 0 if p0i (x|x̂i ) = 0. FiP nally, define rnc (x|x̂) = i∈{1,3} ri,nc (x|x̂). In words, rnc is the sum of the recognition probabilities of the non-median players who are on a nonconstant part of their proposal strategies at x ∈ D(x̂). Define similar objects for an arbitrary profile of strategic bliss points with an adjustment x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 }. The only definition that does not apply in an identical way is that of N D(x̂) = {−|x̂1 |, |x̂1 |, −|x̂3 |, |x̂3 |, −|xa |, |xa |, 0, −|x1 |, |x1 |}.17 The lemma below establishes several properties of Vi (x|x̂0 ) induced by x̂0 ∈ {x̂, x̂a }. To state the lemma we need x̂0 to satisfy Condition A1, the adjustment point xa in x̂a to be defined as in Definition A3 and the strategic bliss point x̂1 in x̂a to be defined as in Definition A4. Condition A1. A profile of strategic bliss points x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } satisfies Condition A1 if x̂1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 . A profile of strategic bliss points with an adjustment x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 } satisfies Condition A1 if x̂1 ∈ [0, |x3 |), x̂2 = 0, x̂3 = x3 and |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ). 17 C, rnc , r1,nc and r3,nc are left undefined at the points in N D(x̂). Nevertheless, below we often take one-sided limits at these points. For rnc , r1,nc and r3,nc this is standard since these objects are functions. For C this is unusual since C(x|x̂) is a set of players. For any x ∈ N D(x̂), define limz→x+ C(z|x̂) = C(z 0 |x̂) taking arbitrary z 0 ∈ U in an open U such that inf U = x and U \ N D(x̂) is convex. Similarly, limz→x− C(z|x̂) = C(z 0 |x̂) taking arbitrary z 0 ∈ U in an open U such that sup U = x and U \ N D(x̂) is convex. Because C is constant on any interval induced by N D(x̂), both limits are well defined. 18 Definition A3. Suppose x1 |x3 | T1 = > T1 and x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) < |x3 |, where √ 1 2 1−δr3 −1 √ √δr3 1− δr3 if δr3 < 1 2 if δr3 ≥ 1 2 . Then, a point of adjustment x̃a is defined by q x1 − 4δr3 x2 − δr3 (x1 − x3 )2 1 1−δr3 q x̃a = δr3 1 x − 2 2 1 1−δr3 x1 − 1−δr3 (x1 − x3 ) Defining x̃a only if x1 |x3 | if δr3 < 1 2 if δr3 ≥ 1 2 . > T1 ensures that x̃a ∈ / C. The same condition ensures that x̃a < x1 . Finally, x̃a > |x3 | rewrites as [x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) + x3 ]2 > 0 when δr3 < 21 , which holds, and as 2x1 (2δr3 − 1) − x3 > 0 when δr3 ≥ 12 , which also holds. Therefore, when x̃a is defined it satisfies x̃a ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ) required by Condition A1. Definition A4. The desired extent of moderation of player i ∈ {1, 3} is x̃1 = max{0, x1 (1 − 2δr3 )} and x̃3 = min{0, x3 (1 − 2δr1 )}. The significance of x̃i in Definition A4 is that in any SMPE we construct the strategic bliss point of one of the non-median players equals x̃i . Note that x̃1 = x̃3 = 0 is not possible as it implies 1 − 2δr3 ≤ 0 and 1 − 2δr1 ≤ 0, which implies δ(r1 + r3 ) ≥ 1 and is not possible. Lemma A1. Let x̂0 ∈ {x̂, x̂a } satisfy Condition A1. If x̂0 = x̂a , let |xa | = x̃a from Definition A3 and x̂1 = x̃1 from Definition A4. Then, ∀i ∈ N , 1. Vi (|x| |x̂0 ) = Vi (−|x| |x̂0 ) ∀x ∈ X; 2. U1 (−|x| |x̂0 ) < U1 (|x| |x̂0 ), U2 (−|x| |x̂0 ) = U2 (|x| |x̂0 ) and U3 (−|x| |x̂0 ) > U3 (|x| |x̂0 ) ∀x ∈ X \ {0}; 3. if x̂0 = x̂, Ui is continuous on X; 4. if x̂0 = x̂a , U1 is continuous on X, Ui is continuous on X \{−|xa |, |xa |} and Ui (|xa | |x̂a ) ≥ limx→|xa |+ Ui (x|x̂a ) for i ∈ {2, 3}; 5. Ui0 (x|x̂0 ) exists ∀x ∈ D(x̂0 ); 6. A(x|x̂0 ) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. 19 Proof. To see part 1, any c-strategy with any strategic bliss point x̂i ∈ R satisfies pi (−|x| |x̂i ) = pi (|x| |x̂i ) ∀i ∈ N and ∀x ∈ X. The same applies for any d-strategy with any strategic bliss point and any point of adjustment. The claim then follows from (A3). Part 2 follows easily from the symmetry, ∀i ∈ N , of Vi about 0, asymmetry, ∀i ∈ {1, 3}, of ui and symmetry of u2 . To prove parts 3 and 4, as Ui (x|x̂0 ) = ui (x) + δVi (x|x̂0 ), it suffices to prove the claimed properties for the continuation value functions. In order to consider parts 3 and 4 jointly, we abuse the notation somewhat and write p1 (x|x̂1 ) instead of p1 (x|x̂1 , xa ) when x̂0 = x̂a . By the symmetry of the continuation value functions about 0 and by pi (x|x̂0i ) ∈ {−|x|, |x|} ∀x ∈ D(x̂0 ) and ∀i ∈ N \ C(x|x̂0 ), we can write Vi (x|x̂0 ) using (A3), ∀x ∈ D(x̂0 ), as P j∈N 0 Vi (x|x̂ ) = rj ui (pj (x|x̂0j )) + δ 0 0 j∈C(x|x̂0 ) rj Vi (pj (x|x̂j )|x̂ ) . (x|x̂0 ) P 1 − δrnc (A4) Because pj (x|x̂0j ) is constant in x when j ∈ C(x|x̂0 ), because rnc (x|x̂0 ) and C(x|x̂0 ) are constant in x on any interval induced by N D(x̂0 ), and because pj (x|x̂0j ) is continuous in x ∀j ∈ N and ∀x ∈ D(x̂0 ), it follows that Vi (x|x̂0 ) is continuous in x on D(x̂0 ). What remains are the claimed properties at x ∈ N D(x̂0 ). In the limit arguments that follow, for f : X → R denote limx→z − f (x) = f (z − ) and limx→z + f (x) = f (z + ). First, we claim that, ∀i ∈ N , Vi (0− |x̂0 ) = Vi (0|x̂0 ) = Vi (0+ |x̂0 ). Because Vi (0|x̂0 ) = ui (0) 1−δ ∀i ∈ N and because Vi (0− |x̂0 ) = Vi (0+ |x̂0 ) ∀i ∈ N by part 1, it suffices to prove that Vi (0+ |x̂0 ) = ui (0) 1−δ ∀i ∈ N . From (A4) we have P 0 + Vi (0 |x̂ ) = j∈N rj ui (pj (0+ |x̂0j )) + δ + 0 0 j∈C(0+ |x̂0 ) rj Vi (pj (0 |x̂j )|x̂ ) (0+ |x̂0 ) P 1 − δrnc i (0) ui (0) + δ(1 − rnc (0+ |x̂0 )) u1−δ ui (0) = = + 0 1 − δrnc (0 |x̂ ) 1−δ (A5) 1 1 where = follows from pj (0+ |x̂0j ) = 0 ∀j ∈ N and from the fact that if j ∈ C(0+ |x̂0 ) then x̂0j = 0 and hence there has to exist an open neighbourhood U 3 0 such that pj (x|x̂0j ) = 0 ∀x ∈ U . Second, we claim that Vi (x− |x̂0 ) = Vi (x|x̂0 ) = Vi (x+ |x̂0 ) ∀i ∈ N for any x ∈ {−|x̂1 |, |x̂1 |, −|x̂3 |, |x̂3 |, −|x1 |, |x1 |}. If x = 0 the claim follows by the previous step, so consider x > 0. When x < 0 the argument is similar and 20 omitted. Using (A3) we can write, ∀i ∈ N , Vi (x|x̂0 ) = X rj ui (pj (x|x̂0j )) + δVi (pj (x|x̂0j )|x̂0 ) j∈N 1 = X X rj ui (pj (x− |x̂0j )) + δ rj Vi (pj (x− |x̂0j )|x̂0 ) (A6) j∈C(x− |x̂0 ) j∈N + δrnc (x− |x̂0 )Vi (x|x̂0 ) = Vi (x− |x̂0 )(1 − δrnc (x− |x̂0 )) + δrnc (x− |x̂0 )Vi (x|x̂0 ) 1 where = follows from i) pj (x|x̂0j ) = pj (x− |x̂0j ) ∀j ∈ N ; ii) Vi (pj (x|x̂0j )|x̂0 ) = Vi (pj (x− |x̂0j )|x̂0 ) ∀j ∈ C(x− |x̂0 ), which holds since j ∈ C(x− |x̂0 ) implies that there exists an open neighbourhood U 3 x on which pj is constant; and iii) Vi (pj (x|x̂0j )|x̂0 ) = Vi (x|x̂0 ) ∀j ∈ N \ C(x− |x̂0 ). Similarly, ∀i ∈ N , Vi (x|x̂0 ) = X rj ui (pj (x|x̂0j )) + δVi (pj (x|x̂0j )|x̂0 ) j∈N 1 = X rj ui (pj (x+ |x̂0j )) + δ rj Vi (pj (x+ |x̂0j )|x̂0 ) j∈C(x− |x̂0 ) j∈N +δ X X + rj Vi (pj (x |x̂0j )|x̂0 ) (A7) + 0 0 + δrnc (x |x̂ )Vi (x|x̂ ) j∈C(x+ |x̂0 )\C(x− |x̂0 ) = Vi (x+ |x̂0 )(1 − δrnc (x+ |x̂0 )) + δrnc (x+ |x̂0 )Vi (x|x̂0 ) 1 where = follows from i) pj (x|x̂0j ) = pj (x+ |x̂0j ) ∀j ∈ N ; ii) Vi (pj (x|x̂0j )|x̂0 ) = Vi (pj (x+ |x̂0j )|x̂0 ) ∀j ∈ C(x− |x̂0 ); iii) Vi (pj (x|x̂0j )|x̂0 ) = Vi (pj (x+ |x̂0j )|x̂0 ) ∀j ∈ C(x+ |x̂0 ) \ C(x− |x̂0 ), which holds since j ∈ C(x+ |x̂0 ) \ C(x− |x̂0 ) implies that there exists an open neighbourhood U 3 x such that pj is constant on U ∩ [x, ∞);18 and iv) Vi (pj (x|x̂0j )|x̂0 ) = Vi (x|x̂0 ) ∀j ∈ N \ C(x+ |x̂0 ). The arguments above show, ∀i ∈ N , that Ui is continuous on X when x̂0 = x̂, part 3, and that Ui is continuous on X \ {−|xa |, |xa |} when x̂0 = x̂a , part 4 except for properties at {−|xa |, |xa |}. What remains is to consider x̂0 = x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 } with x̂1 = x̃1 and |xa | = x̃a . By Condition A1 and Definitions A3 and A4 we have x̂1 = max{0, x1 (1 − 2δr3 )} ∈ [0, |x3 |), x̂2 = 0, x̂3 = x3 , and |xa | = x̃a ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ). Suppose xa = x̃a . When xa = −x̃a , the argument is similar and omitted. 18 As a matter of convention, for some a ∈ X, we use shorthand ‘∀x ∈ [a, ∞)’ or ‘on [a, ∞)’ instead of the somewhat longer ‘∀x ∈ X such that x ≥ a’. If X = R, the statements are equivalent. If X ( R, our use of the shorthand creates minimal chance of confusion. 21 From Definition A2 of the d-strategies and from x̂2 = 0 ≤ x̂1 < |x̂3 | < xa , ∀i ∈ N , pi (x|x̂i ) is constant on [|x̂3 |, xa ]. Hence, ∀i ∈ N , Vi (x|x̂a ) is a a constant on [|x̂3 |, xa ] and thus Vi (x− a |x̂ ) = Vi (xa |x̂ ). By part 1, we also a a have Vi (−x+ a |x̂ ) = Vi (−xa |x̂ ) ∀i ∈ N . a a + a Next, we claim that V1 (xa |x̂a ) = V1 (x+ a |x̂ ) and Vi (xa |x̂ ) ≥ Vi (xa |x̂ ) P ∀i ∈ {2, 3}. Note that (A3) writes as Vi (x|x̂a ) = j∈N rj Ui (pj (x|x̂j )|x̂a ) ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N . Since x̂2 < |x̂3 | < xa < x1 , there exists an open neighbourhood U 3 xa such that pj (x|x̂j ) = x̂j ∀x ∈ U and ∀j ∈ {2, 3}. a a + a Therefore Vi (xa |x̂a ) − Vi (x+ a |x̂ ) = r1 [Ui (p1 (xa |x̂1 )|x̂ ) − Ui (p1 (xa |x̂1 )|x̂ )]. We also have p1 (xa |x̂1 ) = x̂1 and p1 (x|x̂1 ) = x for any x ∈ (xa , x1 ) so that a a + a Vi (xa |x̂a ) − Vi (x+ a |x̂ ) = r1 [Ui (x̂1 |x̂ ) − Ui (xa |x̂ )] ∀i ∈ N . a Next we calculate Ui (x̂1 |x̂a ) and Ui (x+ a |x̂ ). For the former, because x̂2 ≤ x̂1 < |x̂3 |, we have Ui (x̂1 |x̂a ) = ui (x̂1 ) + δ [r1 Ui (x̂1 |x̂a ) + r2 Ui (0|x̂a ) + r3 Ui (−x̂1 |x̂a )] = (A8) ui (x̂1 )(1 − δr3 ) + δr2 Ui (0|x̂a ) + δr3 ui (−x̂1 ) 1 − δ(r1 + r3 ) where we have used Ui (x|x̂a ) − Ui (−x|x̂a ) = ui (x) − ui (−x) ∀x ∈ X. For the latter, ∀x ∈ (xa , x1 ), we have Ui (x|x̂a ) = ui (x) + δ [r1 Ui (x|x̂a ) + r2 Ui (0|x̂a ) + r3 Ui (x̂3 |x̂a )] = ui (x) + δr2 a 1−δr3 Ui (0|x̂ ) + δr3 1−δr3 [ui (x3 ) + δr1 Ui (x̂1 |x̂a )] (A9) 1 − δr1 where we have used Ui (x̂3 |x̂a ) = ui (x̂3 )+δr1 Ui (x̂1 |x̂a )+δr2 Ui (0|x̂a ) . 1−δr3 Carrying out the algebra gives, ∀i ∈ N , a Ui (x̂1 |x̂a ) − Ui (x+ a |x̂ ) δr3 = ui (x̂1 ) −ui (xa ) − 1−δr [ui (x3 ) − ui (−x̂1 )] . (A10) 3 (1 − δr1 )−1 When i = 1, x̂1 = x̃1 and xa = x̃a , straightforward algebra shows that a the right hand side of (A10) is zero so that U1 (x̂1 |x̂a ) = U1 (x+ a |x̂ ) and hence a a + a V1 (xa |x̂a ) = V1 (x+ a |x̂ ). To prove that Ui (x̂1 |x̂ ) ≥ Ui (xa |x̂ ) ∀i ∈ {2, 3}, it suffices to show that the derivative of the right hand side of (A10) with respect to xi is non-positive. The derivative reads h 2 x̂1 − xa − δr3 1−δr3 (x̂1 22 i − |x3 |) . (A11) When δr3 1−δr3 ≤ 1, from x̂1 < |x3 | < xa , −xa < −|x3 | ⇔ x̂1 −xa < x̂1 −|x3 | < 0 δr3 and thus x̂1 − xa < (x̂1 − |x3 |) 1−δr . When 3 δr3 1−δr3 > 1, δr3 > 12 . Substituting x̂1 = x̃1 = 0 and xa = x̃a from Definition A3 into (A11), along with routine a algebra, shows that (A11) is non-positive. Thus, Ui (x̂1 |x̂a ) ≥ Ui (x+ a |x̂ ) a ∀i ∈ {2, 3} and hence Vi (xa |x̂a ) ≥ Vi (x+ a |x̂ ) ∀i ∈ {2, 3}. To show part 5, that Ui0 (x|x̂0 ) exists ∀x ∈ D(x̂0 ) and ∀i ∈ N , from (A4) we have, ∀x ∈ D(x̂0 ) and ∀i ∈ N , P Vi0 (x|x̂0 ) = j∈N rj u0i (pj (x|x̂0j ))p0j (x|x̂0j ) 1 − δrnc (x|x̂0 ) . (A12) We have p0j (x|x̂0j ) ∈ {−1, 1} ∀x ∈ D(x̂0 ) and ∀j ∈ N \ C(x|x̂0 ) ⊆ {1, 3}, p0j (x|x̂0j ) = 0 ∀j ∈ C(x|x̂0 ), p1 (x|x̂01 ) = |x| if 1 ∈ / C(x|x̂0 ) and p3 (x|x̂03 ) = −|x| if 3 ∈ / C(x|x̂0 ). Using Ui0 (x|x̂0 ) = u0i (x) + δVi0 (x|x̂0 ) we thus have 2 0 − 1−δrnc (x|x̂0 ) [x − xi (1 − 2δr1,nc (x|x̂ ))] 0 0 Ui (x|x̂ ) = 2 − [x − x (1 − 2δr (x|x̂0 ))] 1−δrnc (x|x̂0 ) i 3,nc if x < 0 (A13) if x > 0 so that Ui0 (x|x̂0 ) exists ∀x ∈ D(x̂0 ) and ∀i ∈ N . 2x To show part 6, from the previous part we have U20 (x|x̂0 ) = − 1−δrnc (x|x̂0 ) ∀x ∈ D(x|x̂0 ). By the continuity of U2 at the points in N D(x̂0 )\{−|xa |, |xa |} and the direction of discontinuities at {−|xa |, |xa |}, it follows that A(x|x̂0 ) = {p ∈ X|U2 (p|x̂0 ) ≥ U2 (x|x̂0 )} = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. Any profile of strategic bliss points (with an adjustment) x̂0 ∈ {x̂, x̂a } induces, via (A3), Vi (x|x̂0 ) and Ui (x|x̂0 ) ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N . For each i ∈ N , Ui induced by x̂0 determines the voting strategy of i as v̂i (x, p|x̂0 ) = yes if and only if Ui (p|x̂0 ) ≥ Ui (x|x̂0 ) ∀(x, p) ∈ X 2 . Denote the profile of proposal and voting strategies induced by x̂0 by σ(x̂0 ) = ((pi (·|x̂0i ), v̂i (·, ·|x̂0 )))i∈N (where p1 (·|x̂1 , xa ) replaces p1 (·|x̂01 ) if x̂0 = x̂a ). Under the supposition of Lemma A1, x̂0 also determines the social acceptance set A(x|x̂0 ) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X via the voting strategy of player 2. Note that for any x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } that satisfies Condition A1 we have, ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N , pi (x|x̂i ) ∈ [−|x|, |x|]. For any x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 } with x̂1 = x̃1 and xa = x̃a that satisfies Condition A1 we also have, ∀x ∈ X, p1 (x|x̂1 , xa ) ∈ [−|x|, |x|] and pi (x|x̂i ) ∈ [−|x|, |x|] ∀i ∈ {2, 3}. Therefore, any x̂0 ∈ {x̂, x̂a } that satisfies Condition A1 (and with x̂1 = x̃1 and xa = x̃a if x̂0 = x̂a ) induces σ(x̂0 ) such that the policy proposed by any i ∈ N 23 for any x ∈ X under the proposal strategies in σ(x̂0 ) is accepted under the voting strategies in σ(x̂0 ). This implies that, ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N , Vi (x|σ(x̂0 )) = Vi (x|x̂0 ), Ui (x|σ(x̂0 )) = Ui (x|x̂0 ), and A(x|σ(x̂0 )) = A(x|x̂0 ). The following condition is a parametric condition on G. Depending on whether it holds or fails, an SMPE in the c-strategies or the d-strategies exists. Definition A5. G satisfies condition E if either x̃1 ≥ |x̃3 | or x̃1 < |x̃3 | and x1 ≤ T1 . |x3 | (E) Proposition A2. Suppose G satisfies condition E. Then σ(x̂) constitutes an SMPE, where x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } if x̃1 ≥ |x̃3 | and x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } if x̃1 < |x̃3 |. Proof. Fix x̂ ∈ {{x1 , 0, x̃3 }, {x̃1 , 0, x3 }}. Lemma A1 applies to x̂ since it satisfies Condition A1. The voting strategies in σ(x̂) thus satisfy Definition 1. What remains to be shown is that pi (x|x̂i ) ∈ arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) Ui (p|σ(x̂)) ∀i ∈ N and ∀x ∈ X. Recall that A(x|σ(x̂)) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. For i = 2, by Lemma A1 parts 2 and 4 and from (A13), U20 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 ∀x ∈ [0, ∞) \ N D(x̂), U2 is continuous and symmetric about 0. Therefore, ∀x ∈ X, arg maxp∈[−|x|,|x|] U2 (p|σ(x̂)) = {0}. The proposal strategy induced by x̂2 = 0 thus satisfies the required property. For i ∈ {1, 3}, by Lemma A1 part 2, U1 (|x| |σ(x̂)) > U1 (−|x| |σ(x̂)) and U3 (−|x| |σ(x̂)) > U3 (|x| |σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ X \ {0} and hence i under status-quo x ∈ X facing an acceptance set [−|x|, |x|] never finds it optimal to propose p < 0 if i = 1 and never finds it optimal to propose p > 0 if i = 3. Now consider x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 }. Note that since x̃3 = min{0, x3 (1 − 2δr1 )}, |x̃3 | ≤ |x3 | ≤ x1 . By the supposition of the proposition x̃1 ≥ |x̃3 |, which implies that x̃1 > 0 and hence x̃1 = x1 (1 − 2δr3 ). We claim that p1 (x|x1 ) ∈ arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) U1 (p|σ(x̂)). To show this we study U1 on [0, ∞). From Lemma A1, U1 is continuous on X. From (A13), sgn[U10 (x|σ(x̂))] = sgn[−x+x1 (1−2δr3,nc (x|x̂))], where r3,nc (x|x̂) = r3 ∀x ∈ (0, |x̃3 |) and r3,nc (x|x̂) = 0 ∀x ∈ (|x̃3 |, x1 ) ∪ (x1 , ∞). Hence U10 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 on (0, |x̃3 |) if x < x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) = x̃1 , which holds since |x̃3 | ≤ x̃1 , U10 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 on (|x̃3 |, x1 ) if x < x1 , which holds, and U10 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 on (x1 , ∞) if x > x1 , which holds. Therefore, arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) U1 (p|σ(x̂)) equals |x| ∀x ∈ [−x1 , x1 ] and equals x1 ∀x ∈ X \ [−x1 , x1 ], that is, it is identical to the policy generated by the c-strategy induced by x̂1 = x1 . 24 We now claim that p3 (x|x̃3 ) ∈ arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) U3 (p|σ(x̂)). To show this we study U3 on (−∞, 0]. From Lemma A1, U3 is continuous on X. From (A13), sgn[U30 (x|σ(x̂))] = sgn[−x + x3 (1 − 2δr1,nc (x|x̂))], where r1,nc (x|x̂) = r1 ∀x ∈ (−x1 , x̃3 ) ∪ (x̃3 , 0) and r1,nc (x|x̂) = 0 ∀x ∈ (−∞, −x1 ). Hence U30 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 on (−∞, −x1 ) if x < x3 , which holds since −x1 ≤ x3 , U30 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 on (−x1 , x̃3 ) if x < x3 (1 − 2δr1 ), which holds since x̃3 ≤ x3 (1 − 2δr1 ), and U30 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 on (x̃3 , 0) if x > x3 (1 − 2δr1 ), which holds since x̃3 = x3 (1 − 2δr1 ) if x̃3 < 0. Therefore, arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) U3 (p|σ(x̂)) equals −|x| ∀x ∈ [x̃3 , |x̃3 |] and equals x̃3 ∀x ∈ X \ [x̃3 , |x̃3 |], that is, it is identical to the policy generated by the c-strategy induced by x̂3 = x̃3 . As a result σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } constitutes an SMPE. Now consider x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 }. By the supposition of the proposition x̃1 < |x̃3 |, which implies that x̃1 < |x̃3 | ≤ |x3 | ≤ x1 and x̃3 = x3 (1 − 2δr1 ). We first claim that p3 (x|x3 ) ∈ arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) U3 (p|σ(x̂)), which is the easier case. We again study U3 on (−∞, 0]. From Lemma A1, U3 is continuous on X. From (A13), sgn[U30 (x|σ(x̂))] = sgn[−x + x3 (1 − 2δr1,nc (x|x̂))], where r1,nc (x|x̂) = r1 ∀x ∈ (−x̃1 , 0) and r1,nc (x|x̂) = 0 ∀x ∈ (−∞, x3 ) ∪ (x3 , −x̃1 ). Hence U30 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 on (−∞, x3 ) if x < x3 , which holds, U30 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 on (x3 , −x̃1 ) if x > x3 , which holds, and U30 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 on (−x̃1 , 0) if x > x3 (1 − 2δr1 ) = x̃3 , which holds since x̃3 < −x̃1 . Therefore, arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) U3 (p|σ(x̂)) equals −|x| ∀x ∈ [x3 , |x3 |] and equals x3 ∀x ∈ X \ [x3 , |x3 |], that is, it is identical to the policy generated by the c-strategy induced by x̂3 = x3 . We now claim that p1 (x|x̃1 ) ∈ arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) U1 (p|σ(x̂)). We again study U1 on [0, ∞). (A13) we know that From Lemma A1, U1 is continuous on X. sgn[U10 (x|σ(x̂))] From = sgn[−x + x1 (1 − 2δr3,nc (x|x̂))], where r3,nc (x|x̂) = r3 ∀x ∈ (0, x̃1 ) ∪ (x̃1 , |x3 |) and r3,nc (x|x̂) = 0 ∀x ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ) ∪ (x1 , ∞). Hence U10 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 on (0, x̃1 ) if x < x1 (1 − 2δr3 ), which holds since x̃1 = x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) if x̃1 > 0, U10 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 on (x̃1 , |x3 |) if x > x1 (1 − 2δr3 ), which holds since x̃1 ≥ x1 (1 − 2δr3 ), and, skipping momentarily (|x3 |, x1 ), U10 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 on (x1 , ∞) if x > x1 , which holds. If |x3 | = x1 then (|x3 |, x1 ) need not be considered and as above σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } constitutes an SMPE. To show that x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } induces an SMPE we need to show that U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) ≥ U1 (x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ [|x3 |, x1 ] when |x3 | < x1 . U10 (x|σ(x̂)) Note that > 0 on (|x3 |, x1 ) if x < x1 , which holds. It thus suffices to show 25 that U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) ≥ U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)). Since U1 is differentiable on (x̃1 , |x3 |) ∪ Ra (|x3 |, x1 ) and continuous on X and since f (a) − f (b) = b f 0 (x)dx for any differentiable f : X → X, we have x̃+ 1 Z U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) − U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)) = |x3 Z + |− U10 (x|σ(x̂))dx |x3 |+ x− 1 (A14) U10 (x|σ(x̂))dx. From (A13) we have Z x̃+ 1 |x3 |− Z |x3 |+ x− 1 2 U10 (x|σ(x̂))dx = − 1−δr 3 U10 (x|σ(x̂))dx = − 12 h x2 2 h x2 2 − x · x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) − x · x1 ix̃+ 1 |x3 |− i|x3 |+ (A15) x− 1 and U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) − U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)) can be rewritten, after some algebra, as − When δr3 ≥ equivalent to 1 1−δr3 (x̃1 − x1 )2 − δr3 (x1 − x3 )2 + 4δr3 x1 x̃1 . 1 x̃1 2 we have √ δr x1 √3 |x3 | ≤ 1− δr3 = = 0 and U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) − U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)) ≥ 0 is T1 . When δr3 < 1 2 we have x̃1 = x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) and U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) − U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)) ≥ 0 is equivalent to T1 . In both cases x1 |x3 | (A16) x1 |x3 | ≤ √ 1 2 1−δr3 −1 = ≤ T1 holds since G satisfies condition E. Therefore, arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) U1 (p|σ(x̂)) equals |x| ∀x ∈ [−x̃1 , x̃1 ] and equals x̃1 ∀x ∈ X \ [−x̃1 , x̃1 ], that is, it is identical to the policy generated by the c-strategy induced by x̂1 = x̃1 . As a result σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } constitutes an SMPE. Proposition A3. Suppose G does not satisfy condition E. Then σ(x̂a ) constitutes an SMPE, where x̂a = {(x̃1 , x̃a ), 0, x3 }. Proof. Fix x̂a = {(x̃1 , x̃a ), 0, x3 }. Because G does not satisfy condition E, we have x̃1 < |x̃3 | and x1 |x3 | > T1 . From x̃1 < |x̃3 |, x̃3 = x3 (1 − 2δr1 ). Since x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) ≤ x̃1 < |x̃3 | ≤ |x3 |, x̃1 ∈ [0, |x3 |) and x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) < |x3 |. The latter inequality and x1 |x3 | > T1 , from Definition A3 and the subse- quent remark, imply that x̃a is well defined and x̃a ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ). Therefore, Lemma A1 applies to x̂a since it satisfies Condition A1. The voting strategies in σ(x̂a ) thus satisfy Definition 1. What remains to be shown is that 26 pi (x|x̂i ) ∈ arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂)) Ui (p|σ(x̂a )) ∀i ∈ N and ∀x ∈ X. Recall that A(x|σ(x̂a )) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. For i = 2, by Lemma A1 parts 2 and 4 and from (A13), U20 (x|σ(x̂a )) < 0 ∀x ∈ [0, ∞) \ N D(x̂a ), U2 is continuous except at {−x̃a , x̃a }, U2 is syma metric about 0, and U2 (x̃a |σ(x̂a )) ≥ U2 (x̃+ a |σ(x̂ )). Therefore, ∀x ∈ X, arg maxp∈[−|x|,|x|] U2 (p|σ(x̂a )) = {0}. The proposal strategy induced by x̂2 = 0 thus satisfies the required property. For i = 3, we study U3 on (−∞, 0]. From Lemma A1, U3 is continuous a except at {−x̃a , x̃a } and U3 (−x̃a |σ(x̂a )) ≥ U3 (−x̃− a |σ(x̂ )). From (A13), sgn[U30 (x|σ(x̂a ))] = sgn[−x + x3 (1 − 2δr1,nc (x|x̂a ))], where r1,nc (x|x̂a ) = r1 ∀x ∈ (−x1 , −x̃a )∪(−x̃1 , 0) and r1,nc (x|x̂a ) = 0 ∀x ∈ (−∞, −x1 )∪(−x̃a , x3 )∪ (x3 , −x̃1 ). Hence U30 (x|σ(x̂a )) > 0 on (−∞, −x1 ) if x < x3 , which holds since −x1 ≤ x3 , U30 (x|σ(x̂a )) > 0 on (−x1 , −x̃a ) if x < x3 (1 − 2δr1 ) = x̃3 , which holds since −x̃a < x3 ≤ x̃3 , U30 (x|σ(x̂a )) > 0 on (−x̃a , x3 ) if x < x3 , which holds, U30 (x|σ(x̂a )) < 0 on (x3 , −x̃1 ) if x > x3 , which holds, and U30 (x|σ(x̂a )) < 0 on (−x̃1 , 0) if x > x3 (1 − 2δr1 ) = x̃3 , which holds since x̃3 < −x̃1 . Therefore, arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂a )) U3 (p|σ(x̂a )) equals −|x| ∀x ∈ [x3 , |x3 |] and equals x3 ∀x ∈ X \ [x3 , |x3 |], that is, it is identical to the policy generated by the d-strategy induced by x̂3 = x3 . For i = 1, we study U1 on [0, ∞). From Lemma A1, U1 is continuous on X. From (A13), sgn[U10 (x|σ(x̂a ))] = sgn[−x + x1 (1 − 2δr3,nc (x|x̂a ))], where r3,nc (x|x̂a ) = r3 ∀x ∈ (0, x̃1 ) ∪ (x̃1 , |x3 |) and r3,nc (x|x̂a ) = 0 ∀x ∈ (|x3 |, x̃a ) ∪ (x̃a , x1 ) ∪ (x1 , ∞). Hence U10 (x|σ(x̂a )) > 0 on (0, x̃1 ) if x < x1 (1 − 2δr3 ), which holds since x̃1 = x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) if x̃1 > 0, U10 (x|σ(x̂a )) < 0 on (x̃1 , |x3 |) if x > x1 (1 − 2δr3 ), which holds since x̃1 ≥ x1 (1 − 2δr3 ), U10 (x|σ(x̂a )) > 0 on (|x3 |, x̃a ) ∪ (x̃a , x1 ) if x < x1 , which holds, and U10 (x|σ(x̂a )) < 0 on (x1 , ∞) if x > x1 , which holds. Recall U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) = U1 (x̃a |σ(x̂a )) we have shown when proving Lemma A1 part 4. Therefore, arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂a )) U1 (p|σ(x̂a )) equals |x| ∀x ∈ [−x̃1 , x̃1 ], equals x̃1 ∀x ∈ (−x̃a , −x̃1 ] ∪ [x̃1 , x̃a ), equals |x| ∀x ∈ [−x1 , −x̃a ) ∪ (x̃a , x1 ], and equals x1 ∀x ∈ X \ [−x1 , x1 ]. For the statusquo in {−x̃a , x̃a }, 1 is indifferent between two optimal proposals x̃1 and x̃a . Hence, ∀x ∈ X, p1 (x|x̃1 , x̃a ) ∈ arg maxp∈A(x|σ(x̂a )) U1 (p|σ(x̂a )). As a result σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , x̃a ), 0, x3 } constitutes an SMPE. 27 A2 Proof of Proposition 1 Lemma A2. Suppose σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N constitutes an SMPE. Then p̂2 (x) = 0 ∀x ∈ X and p̂i (0) = 0 for i ∈ {1, 3}. Proof. Fix σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N that constitutes an SMPE. Proposal p̂i (0) by any i ∈ N under status-quo x = 0 is accepted and by Proposition A1 satisfies u2 (0) + δV2 (0|σ̂) ≤ u2 (p̂i (0)) + δV2 (p̂i (0)|σ̂). Since V2 (0|σ̂) = P i∈N (A17) ri [u2 (p̂i (0))+δV2 (p̂i (0)|σ̂)], multiplying the inequality by ri and summing over i ∈ N gives u2 (0) + δV2 (0|σ̂) ≤ V2 (0|σ̂), so that u2 (0) ≤ (1 − δ)V2 (0|σ̂). Because Vi (x|σ̂) ≤ 0 ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N and u2 (0) = 0, V2 (0|σ̂) = 0 and thus U2 (0|σ̂) = 0. Moreover, U2 (x|σ̂) < 0 ∀x ∈ X \ {0} so that A(0|σ̂) = {0} and A(x|σ̂) 3 0 ∀x ∈ X and the lemma follows. Now, fix σ(x̂) that constitutes an SMPE. By Lemma A2, p2 (x|x̂2 ) = 0 ∀x ∈ X, and hence x̂2 = 0. By the same lemma, pi (0|x̂i ) = 0 for i ∈ {1, 3} and hence, from Definition A1, x̂1 ≥ 0 ≥ x̂3 . Therefore, by Lemma A1 and the subsequent discussion, A(x|σ(x̂)) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. Properties of dynamic utilities in the following lemma are instrumental in what follows. Lemma A3. Suppose σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } and x̂1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 satisfies, ∀i ∈ N and ∀x ∈ X, pi (x|x̂i ) ∈ A(x|σ(x̂)). 1. Ui (x|σ(x̂)) is continuous ∀x ∈ X and Ui0 (x|σ(x̂)) exists ∀x ∈ D(x̂), ∀i ∈ N . 2. For any x ∈ D(x̂) ∩ R+ , U10 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 if x < c1 , U10 (x|σ(x̂)) = 0 if x = c1 and U10 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 if x > c1 , where c1 = x̃1 if x < |x̂3 | and c1 = x1 if x > |x̂3 |. 3. For any x ∈ D(x̂) ∩ R− , U30 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 if x < c3 , U30 (x|σ(x̂)) = 0 if x = c3 and U30 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 if x > c3 , where c3 = x̃3 if x > −x̂1 and c3 = x3 if x < −x̂1 . Proof. Fix σ(x̂) with the stated properties. Because pi (x|x̂i ) ∈ A(x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N , Ui (x|σ(x̂)) = Ui (x|x̂) ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N . Part 1 then follows, since x̂1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 , by Lemma A1 parts 3 and 5. 28 To prove part 2, from (A13) we have 2 U10 (x|σ(x̂)) = − 1−δrnc (x|x̂) [x − x1 (1 − 2δr3,nc (x|x̂))] (A18) when x > 0 and x ∈ D(x̂). (Note that 0 ∈ / D(x̂) and thus x > 0 suffices.) When x > |x̂3 |, r3,nc (x|x̂) = 0 and the sign of U10 (x|σ(x̂)) is determined by the sign of x − x1 . When x < |x̂3 |, r3,nc (x|x̂) = r3 and the sign of U10 (x|σ(x̂)) is determined by the sign of x − x1 (1 − 2δr3 ). We have x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) = x̃1 when x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) ≥ 0. When x1 (1 − 2δr3 ) < 0, U10 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 for any x ∈ D(x̂)∩[0, |x̂3 |] and we can set c1 = x̃1 = 0. The proof of part 3 is similar and omitted. We now claim that x̂i ∈ {x̃i , xi } for i ∈ {1, 3}. We provide detailed argument for i = 1. For i = 3 the argument is similar and omitted. Since σ(x̂) constitutes an SMPE, p1 (x|x̂1 ) ∈ arg maxs∈[0,|x|] U1 (s|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ X, where we have already used U1 (−s|σ(x̂)) < U1 (s|σ(x̂)) for any s > 0, which follows by the symmetry of V1 (s|σ(x̂)) about 0. Notice that δ ∈ (0, 1) and r3 > 0 imply x̃1 < x1 . Suppose, towards a first contradiction, x̂1 < x̃1 . Since x̂1 ≥ 0, then, by Lemma A3, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U10 (x̂1 + |σ(x̂)) > 0 and hence p1 (x̂1 + |x̂1 ) = x̂1 ∈ / arg maxs∈[0,x̂1 +] U1 (s|σ(x̂)). Suppose, towards a second contradiction, x̂1 ∈ (x̃1 , x1 ). If |x̂3 | ≤ x̂1 , the argument just made leads to a contradiction. If |x̂3 | > x̂1 , then, by Lemma A3, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U10 (x̃1 + |σ(x̂)) < 0 and hence p1 (x̃1 + |x̂1 ) = x̃1 + ∈ / arg maxs∈[0,x̃1 +] U1 (s|σ(x̂)). Suppose, towards a third contradiction, x̂1 > x1 . Then, by Lemma A3, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U10 (x1 + |σ(x̂)) < 0 and hence p1 (x1 + |x̂1 ) = x1 + ∈ / arg maxs∈[0,x1 +] U1 (s|σ(x̂)). What remains to be shown is that σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x3 } or x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x̃3 } cannot constitute an SMPE. Consider σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x3 }. Notice that δ ∈ (0, 1) and r1 > 0 imply x3 < x̃3 and hence −x1 ≤ x3 < x̃3 . By Lemma A3, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U30 (x̃3 − |σ(x̂)) > 0 and hence p3 (x̃3 − |x3 ) = x̃3 − ∈ / arg maxs∈[x̃3 −,0] U3 (s|σ(x̂)). (Where we have simplified the optimization problem for i = 3 in a similar fashion as for i = 1 above.) Consider σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x̃3 }. If |x̃3 | ≤ x̃1 , then, by Lemma A3, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U10 (x̃1 + |σ(x̂)) > 0 and hence p1 (x̃1 + |x̃1 ) = x̃1 ∈ / arg maxs∈[0,x̃1 +] U1 (s|σ(x̂)). If, |x̃3 | > x̃1 , 29 we have x3 < x̃3 < −x̃1 . Then, by Lemma A3, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U30 (x̃3 − |σ(x̂)) < 0 and hence p3 (x̃3 − |x̃3 ) = x̃3 ∈ / arg maxs∈[x̃3 −,0] U3 (s|σ(x̂)). This concludes the proof of Proposition 1. We remark here and use in the proof of Proposition 2 that i) if x̃1 < |x̃3 |, then σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } cannot constitute an SMPE; and ii) if x̃1 > |x̃3 |, then σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } cannot constitute an SMPE. To see the first claim, suppose, towards a contradiction, that σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } constitutes an SMPE and x̃1 < |x̃3 |. Then, by Lemma A3, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U10 (x̃1 + |σ(x̂)) < 0 and hence p1 (x̃1 + |x1 ) = x̃1 + ∈ / arg maxs∈[0,x̃1 +] U1 (s|σ(x̂)). To see the second claim, suppose, towards a contradiction, that σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } constitutes an SMPE and x̃1 > |x̃3 |. Then, by Lemma A3, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U30 (x̃3 − |σ(x̂)) > 0 and hence p3 (x̃3 − |x3 ) = x̃3 − ∈ / arg maxs∈[x̃3 −,0] U3 (s|σ(x̂)). A3 Proof of Proposition 2 Part 1, the if part, that σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } constitutes an SMPE when x̃1 ≥ |x̃3 |, follows directly from Proposition A2. The only if part, that σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x1 , 0, x̃3 } does not constitute an SMPE when x̃1 < |x̃3 |, follows from the remark we made at the end of the proof of Proposition 1. Part 2, the if part, that σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } constitutes an SMPE when x̃1 ≤ |x̃3 | and x1 |x3 | ≤ T1 , follows, when x̃1 < |x̃3 | and from Proposition A2. When x̃1 = |x̃3 | and x1 |x3 | x1 |x3 | ≤ T1 , ≤ T1 , an argument almost identical to the one made in the proof of Proposition A2 (while considering the x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } case) shows that σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } constitutes an SMPE. The only if part, that σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } does not constitute an SMPE when x̃1 > |x̃3 | or x1 |x3 | > T1 , follows, when x̃1 > |x̃3 |, from the remark we made at the end of the proof of Proposition 1. To conclude, we need to show that when x1 |x3 | > T1 , σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } cannot constitute an SMPE. To see this, proof of Proposition A2, namely (A16) and the subsequent discussion, shows that, for σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 }, x1 |x3 | > T1 is equivalent to U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) < U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)). Thus σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } cannot constitute an SMPE when x̃1 ∈ / arg maxs∈[0,x1 ] U1 (s|σ(x̂)). 30 x1 |x3 | > T1 as p1 (x1 |x̃1 ) = A4 Proof of Proposition 3 We first prove that the c-strategies are a subset of the d-strategies (Lemma A4) and that the condition on the d-strategies used in Proposition 3 separates the two classes of strategies (Lemma A5). Lemma A4. For any x̂c1 , p1 (x|x̂c1 ) = p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) ∀x ∈ X if x̂d1 = x̂c1 and xda = sup X. Proof. Definition A2 implies that p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) = p1 (x|x̂d1 ) ∀x ∈ X when xda = sup X. Lemma A5. There does not exist x̂c1 such that p1 (x|x̂c1 ) = p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) ∀x ∈ X if and only if x̂d1 6= x1 and |xda | ∈ (min{x̂d1 , x1 }, sup X). Proof. For the if part, by Definition A1, p1 (x|x̂c1 ) = min{x̂c1 , |x|} and thus, ∀x ∈ X, p1 (x|x̂c1 ) is continuous in x for any x̂c1 . Hence, if p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) is not continuous in x, x̂c1 such that p1 (x|x̂c1 ) = p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) ∀x ∈ X does not exist. Now, suppose x̂d1 6= x1 and |xda | ∈ (min{x̂d1 , x1 }, sup X). If |xda | = 0, then x̂d1 < 0 and, by Definition A2, p1 (0|x̂d1 , xda ) = x̂d1 < 0. By the same definition p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) = p1 (x|x1 ) ∀x ∈ X \ {0} and thus limx→0 p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) = 0. If |xda | > 0, by Definition A2, p1 (|xda | |x̂d1 , xda ) = p1 (|xda | |x̂d1 ) = min{x̂d1 , |xda |}. Because |xda | < sup X, by the same definition, limx→|xda |+ p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) = limx→|xda |+ p1 (x|x1 ) = limx→|xda |+ min{x1 , |x|} = min{x1 , |xda |}. As x̂d1 6= x1 , min{x̂d1 , |xda |} = min{x1 , |xda |} only when |xda | ≤ x1 and |xda | ≤ x̂d1 , or, equivalently, |xda | ≤ min{x1 , x̂d1 }. Therefore, min{x̂d1 , |xda |} 6= min{x1 , |xda |} when |xda | ∈ (min{x̂d1 , x1 }, sup X). For the only if part, suppose, towards a contradiction, that x̂d1 = x1 or |xda | ≤ min{x̂d1 , x1 } or |xda | ≥ sup X. If x̂d1 = x1 , p1 (x|x̂d1 , xa ) = p1 (x|x1 ) ∀x ∈ X for any xa directly from Definition A2. If |xda | ≤ min{x̂d1 , x1 }, p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) = |x| = p1 (x|x1 ) ∀x ∈ [−|xda |, |xda |] and p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) = p1 (x|x1 ) ∀x ∈ X \ [−|xda |, |xda |] from Definition A2. If |xda | ≥ sup X, p1 (x|x̂d1 , xda ) = p1 (x|x̂d1 ) ∀x ∈ X from Definition A2. The lemma now follows by setting x̂c1 = x̂d1 . We now proceed via a series of steps and lemmas. Throughout, fix σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 }, x̂1 6= x1 and |xa | ∈ (min{x̂1 , x1 }, sup X) that constitutes an SMPE. 31 Step 1: x̂1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 . By Lemma A2, p2 (x|x̂2 ) = 0 ∀x ∈ X, and hence x̂2 = 0. By the same lemma, pi (0|x̂i ) = 0 for i ∈ {1, 3} and hence, from Definition A2, x̂1 ≥ 0 ≥ x̂3 . The subsequent steps make use of the following lemma. We explain its usefulness after proving it. Lemma A6. Consider two profiles σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N and σ̂ 0 = ((p̂0i , v̂i0 ))i∈N . Suppose, ∀i ∈ N and ∀x ∈ X, p̂i (x) ∈ A(x|σ̂) and p̂0i (x) ∈ A(x|σ̂ 0 ). Consider any U ⊆ X such that i) x ∈ U ⇒ [−|x|, |x|] ⊆ U ; and ii) ∀i ∈ N and ∀x ∈ U , p̂i (x) = p̂0i (x) ∈ [−|x|, |x|]. Then, ∀i ∈ N and ∀x ∈ U , Vi (x|σ̂) = Vi (x|σ̂ 0 ). Proof. Because any proposal generated by σ̂ or σ̂ 0 is always accepted, it suffices to show that, for an arbitrary sequence of proposers starting from status-quo x ∈ U , the resulting sequences of policies pσ̂ = {pσ̂0 , pσ̂1 , . . .} and 0 0 0 pσ̂ = {pσ̂0 , pσ̂1 , . . .} generated by σ̂ and σ̂ 0 respectively are identical. Since 0 x ∈ U , for the first proposer i, p̂i (x) = p̂0i (x) = pσ̂0 = pσ̂0 ∈ [−|x|, |x|] ⊆ U . By 0 0 a similar argument pσ̂1 = pσ̂1 ∈ U and more generally pσ̂t = pσ̂t ∀t ∈ N+ . Notice that the proposal strategies in σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̂1 , xa ), x̂2 , x̂3 } coincide with the proposal strategies in σ(x̂) with x̂ = {x̂1 , x̂2 , x̂3 } on [−|xa |, |xa |], and any proposal generated by either of the two profiles is accepted; σ(x̂a ) since it constitutes an SMPE, σ(x̂) by Lemma A1 and the subsequent discussion, since we already know x̂1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 . Thus the two profiles induce identical continuation value functions on [−|xa |, |xa |], which in turn makes Lemma A3 applicable, on [−|xa |, |xa |], to the dynamic utilities induced by σ(x̂a ). Moreover, by Lemma A1, A(x|σ(x̂)) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. Since the dynamic utilities induced by σ(x̂a ) and σ(x̂) coincide on [−|xa |, |xa |], A(x|σ(x̂a )) ⊇ [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ [−|xa |, |xa |]. Step 2: x̂1 < x1 . Suppose, towards a contradiction, x̂1 > x1 . Since x̂1 6= x1 , this suffices. Because |xa | > min{x̂1 , x1 }, we have |xa | > x1 . Then, by Lemma A3, applicable on [−|xa |, |xa |] ) [−x1 , x1 ] by Lemma A6, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U10 (x1 + |σ(x̂a )) < 0 and hence p1 (x1 + |x̂1 , xa ) = x1 + ∈ / arg maxs∈A(x1 +|σ(x̂a )) U1 (s|σ(x̂a )). The following lemma implies that A(x|σ(x̂a )) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X, since x1 > x̂1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 from the preceding steps implies that the proposal strategies in σ(x̂a ) satisfy its requirements. Lemma A7. Suppose i) σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N constitutes an SMPE; ii) ∀x ∈ X, p̂2 (x) = 0 and p̂i (−|x|) = p̂i (|x|) for i ∈ {1, 3}; and iii) ∀x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X 32 such that 0 ≤ x ≤ y, 0 ≤ p̂1 (x) ≤ p̂1 (y) and 0 ≥ p̂3 (x) ≥ p̂3 (y). Then, ∀x ∈ X, A(x|σ̂) = [−|x|, |x|]. Proof. Fix σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N that constitutes an SMPE. By the symmetry of the proposal strategies about 0, U2 (−|x| |σ̂) = U2 (|x| |σ̂) ∀x ∈ X. By Proposition A1 it thus suffices to prove U2 (x|σ̂) > U2 (y|σ̂) ∀x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X such that 0 ≤ x < y. Fix x ∈ X and y ∈ X such that 0 ≤ x < y. Since u2 (x) > u2 (y), it suffices to show that V2 (x|σ̂) ≥ V2 (y|σ̂). Consider an arbitrary sequence of proposers and the resulting sequences of policies px = {px0 , px1 , . . .} and py = {py0 , py1 , . . .} starting from status-quo x and y respectively. Since p̂2 (x) = p̂2 (y) = 0, 0 ≤ p̂1 (x) ≤ p̂1 (y) and 0 ≥ p̂3 (x) ≥ p̂3 (y), |px0 | ≤ |py0 |. By a similar argument |px1 | ≤ |py1 | and more generally P P∞ t z t z 2 |pxt | ≤ |pyt | ∀t ∈ N+ . Since V2 (z|σ̂) = E[ ∞ t=0 δ u2 (pt )] = E[ t=0 −δ |pt | ] for z ∈ {x, y}, where the expectation is over proposer sequences, it follows that V2 (x|σ̂) ≥ V2 (y|σ̂). Step 3: x̂1 = x̃1 . Steps 1 and 2 imply x̂1 ≥ 0 and x̂1 ≤ x1 respectively. The remaining argument is identical to two contradictions, labelled first and second, in the proof of Proposition 1. The former, x̂1 < x̃1 , uses open neighbourhood above x̂1 , while the latter, x̂1 ∈ (x̃1 , x1 ), uses open neighbourhood above x̂1 or x̃1 , depending on whether |x̂3 | ≤ x̂1 or |x̂3 | > x̂1 . Each neighbourhood needs to be covered by Lemma A3, which is indeed the case due to Lemma A6 and |xa | > min{x̂1 , x1 } = x̂1 . Step 4: |x̂3 | > x̃1 . By Step 3, min{x̂1 , x1 } = x̃1 and thus |xa | > x̃1 . Suppose, towards a contradiction, |x̂3 | ≤ x̃1 . Since δ ∈ (0, 1) and r3 > 0, x̃1 < x1 . Then, by Lemma A3, applicable on [−|xa |, |xa |] ) [−x̃1 , x̃1 ] by Lemma A6, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U10 (x̃1 + |σ(x̂a )) > 0 and hence p1 (x̃1 + |x̃1 , xa ) = x̃1 ∈ / arg maxs∈[0,x̃1 +] U1 (s|σ(x̂a )). The following lemma is instrumental in proving Step 5 below. To understand the objects in the lemma, note that when |xa | ∈ (x̃1 , sup X), we have p1 (|xa | |x̃1 , xa ) = x̃1 and limx→|xa |+ p1 (x|x̃1 , xa ) = min{|xa |, x1 }. Lemma A8. Suppose σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x̂3 } such that |xa | ∈ (x̃1 , sup X) constitutes an SMPE. U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) = U1 (min{|xa |, x1 }|σ(x̂a )). Proof. Fix σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x̂3 } where |xa | ∈ (x̃1 , sup X) that constitutes an SMPE. Since x1 > x̃1 ≥ x̂2 = 0 ≥ x̂3 , A(x|σ(x̂a )) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X by Lemma A7. 33 When |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X), we need to show U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) = U1 (x1 |σ(x̂a )). From Definition A2 and since |xa | > x̃1 , p1 (|xa | |x̃1 , xa ) = p1 (|xa | |x̃1 ) = min{x̃1 , |xa |} = x̃1 . Moreover, since A(|xa | |σ(x̂a )) = [−|xa |, |xa |] and |xa | ≥ x1 , x1 ∈ A(|xa | |σ(x̂a )). Hence U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) ≥ U1 (x1 |σ(x̂a )) since, under status-quo |xa |, x1 would be accepted but x̃1 is proposed. At the same time, since |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X), there exists > 0 such that p1 (|xa | + |x̃1 , xa ) = p1 (|xa | + |x1 ) = min{x1 , |xa | + } = x1 and x̃1 ∈ A(|xa | + |σ(x̂a )). Hence U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) ≤ U1 (x1 |σ(x̂a )) since, under status-quo |xa | + , x̃1 would be accepted but x1 is proposed. What remains is, when |xa | ∈ (x̃1 , x1 ), U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) = U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )). U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) ≥ U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) follows since p1 (|xa | |x̃1 , xa ) = x̃1 and |xa | ∈ A(|xa | |σ(x̂a )). We now claim U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) ≤ U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )), which requires a more elaborate argument. First, notice that since σ(x̂a ) constitutes an SMPE, V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) ≤ V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )). If V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) > V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) then U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) > U1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) and there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) > U1 (|xa | + |σ(x̂a )). But then p1 (|xa | + |x̃1 , xa ) = |xa | + ∈ / arg maxs∈[0,|xa |+] U1 (s|σ(x̂a )). Second, we claim V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) = c · [U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a ))], where c > 0. Suppose |x̂3 | > |xa |. Then, since i) p2 (x|0) = 0 ∀x ∈ X; ii) p1 (|xa | |x̃1 , xa ) = x̃1 ; iii) p3 (|xa | |x̂3 ) = −|xa |; and iv) there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), p1 (|xa | + |x̃1 , xa ) = −p3 (|xa | + |x̂3 ) = |xa | + ; we have V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) = = r1 [U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a ))] (A19) + r3 [U1 (−|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (−|xa |− |σ(x̂a ))]. The term in the first square brackets rewrites as U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) = = U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) + U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) = U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) + δ[V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a ))] since U1 (x|σ(x̂a )) = u1 (x) + δV1 (x|σ(x̂a )) ∀x ∈ X and u1 is a continuous 34 function. The term in the second square brackets rewrites as U1 (−|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (−|xa |− |σ(x̂a )) = = δ[V1 (−|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − V1 (−|xa |− |σ(x̂a ))] = δ[V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a ))] since u1 is a continuous function and V1 (x|σ(x̂a )) = V1 (−x|σ(x̂a )) ∀x ∈ X. Thus (A19) rewrites as V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) = = a r1 1−δ(r1 +r3 ) [U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂ )) − U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a ))]. (A20) When |x̂3 | ≤ |xa |, the argument is similar, simpler (the term in the second square brackets in (A19) equals zero) and omitted. Third, since we have V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) ≤ V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) in an SMPE as well as V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) − V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) = c · [U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) − U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a ))] with c > 0, it must be the case that U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) ≤ U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )), which was to be shown. Step 5: |x̂3 | < |xa | and thus x̂3 = x3 . Suppose first, towards a contradiction, |xa | ≤ |x̂3 |. Since |xa | > x̃1 , by Lemma A3, applicable on [−|xa |, |xa |] by Lemma A6, U1 (x|σ(x̂a )) is continuous ∀x ∈ [x̃1 , |xa |] and U10 (x|σ(x̂a )) < 0 ∀x ∈ (x̃1 , |xa |) \ {x1 }. Thus, ∀x ∈ (x̃1 , |xa |], U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) > U1 (x|σ(x̂a )). Therefore, ∀|xa | ∈ (x̃1 , |x̂3 |], U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) > U1 (min{|xa |, x1 }|σ(x̂a )), a contradiction to Lemma A8. We now argue that x̂3 = x3 . We have x̃1 < |x̂3 | by Step 4 and |x̂3 | < |xa | just shown. Suppose, towards a first contradiction, x3 < x̂3 . Then, by Lemma A3, applicable on [−|xa |, |xa |] ) [x̂3 , −x̂3 ] by Lemma A6, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U30 (x̂3 − |σ(x̂a )) < 0 and hence p3 (x̂3 − |x̂3 ) = x̂3 ∈ / arg maxs∈[x̂3 −,0] U3 (s|σ(x̂a )). Suppose, towards a second contradiction, x̂3 < x3 . Then, by Lemma A3, applicable on [−|xa |, |xa |] ) [x3 , −x3 ] by Lemma A6, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U30 (x3 − |σ(x̂a )) > 0 and hence p3 (x3 − |x̂3 ) = x3 − ∈ / arg maxs∈[x3 −,0] U3 (s|σ(x̂a )). We remark here and use in the proof of Proposition 4 that if x̃1 > |x̃3 |, then σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } such that |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X) does not constitute an SMPE. Suppose, towards a contradiction, that σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } such that |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X) constitutes an SMPE and x̃1 > |x̃3 |. Then, by Lemma A3, applicable on [−|xa |, |xa |] ) [x̃3 , −x̃3 ] 35 by Lemma A6, there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U30 (x̃3 − |σ(x̂a )) > 0 and hence p3 (x̃3 − |x3 ) = x̃3 − ∈ / arg maxs∈[x̃3 −,0] U3 (s|σ(x̂a )). Step 6: If x1 |x3 | < T1 , then σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 }, where |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X), does not constitute an SMPE. Note that by Step 4 |x̂3 | > x̃1 and by Step 5 x̂3 = x3 . Therefore x̃1 < |x3 | and (x̃1 , |x3 |) used below is well defined. By Lemma A6, ∀x ∈ [−|xa |, |xa |], U1 (x|σ(x̂a )) = U1 (x|σ(x̂)), where x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 }. From Lemma A3, U1 (x|σ(x̂)) is continuous ∀x ∈ X, U10 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 on (x̃1 , |x3 |), U10 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 on (|x3 |, x1 ), and U10 (x|σ(x̂)) < 0 on (x1 , ∞). Moreover, proof of Proposition A2, namely (A16) and the subsequent discussion, shows that U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)). Hence, if (x̃1 , ∞) and thus U1 (x̃1 x1 |x3 | x1 |x3 | < T1 is equivalent to U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) > < T1 , then U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) > U1 (x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ |σ(x̂a )) > U1 (x|σ(x̂a )) ∀x ∈ (x̃1 , |xa |]. Therefore, ∀|xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X), U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) > U1 (min{|xa |, x1 }|σ(x̂a )), a contradiction to Lemma A8. Step 7: If x1 |x3 | > T1 , then σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 }, where |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X), constitutes an SMPE only for unique |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ). Straightforward algebra shows T1 > 1 ∀δr3 ∈ (0, 1). Hence x1 |x3 | > T1 implies x1 > |x3 | making (|x3 |, x1 ) below well defined. By the analysis of U1 (x|σ(x̂)) with x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 } in Step 6, Moreover, we have x1 |x3 | U10 (x|σ(x̂)) > T1 implies U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) < U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)). < 0 on (x̃1 , |x3 |) and U10 (x|σ(x̂)) > 0 on (|x3 |, x1 ). Thus, there exists unique x0 ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ) such that U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) = U1 (x0 |σ(x̂)), U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) > U1 (x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ (|x3 |, x0 ) and U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) < U1 (x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ (x0 , x1 ]. Since U1 (x|σ(x̂a )) = U1 (x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ [−|xa |, |xa |] by Lemma A6, |xa | = x0 as any other |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X) \ {x0 } implies U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) 6= U1 (min{|xa |, x1 }|σ(x̂a )), a contradiction to Lemma A8. Step 8: If x1 |x3 | = T1 , then σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 }, where |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X), constitutes an SMPE only for arbitrary |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X). By Steps 6 and 7, for x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 }, x1 |x3 | = T1 implies U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) = U1 (x1 |σ(x̂)) as well as U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂)) > U1 (x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ). Since U1 (x|σ(x̂a )) = U1 (x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ [−|xa |, |xa |] by Lemma A6, |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X) as any |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ) implies U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) > U1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )), a contradiction to Lemma A8. That |xa | is arbitrary, conditional on |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X), follows from Proposition 4 part 2. 36 A5 Proof of Proposition 4 Part 1, the if part, that σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } and |xa | = x̃a constitutes an SMPE when x̃1 ≤ |x̃3 | and and x1 |x3 | x1 |x3 | > T1 , follows, when x̃1 < |x̃3 | > T1 , from Proposition A3. When x̃1 = |x̃3 | and x1 |x3 | > T1 , an argument almost identical to the one made in the proof of Proposition A3 shows that σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } and |xa | = x̃a constitutes an SMPE. The only if part, that σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } and |xa | = x̃a does not constitute an SMPE when x̃1 > |x̃3 | or x1 |x3 | ≤ T1 , follows, when x̃1 > |x̃3 |, from the remark we made after Step 5 of the proof of Proposition 3. When x1 |x3 | ≤ T1 , Definition A3 leaves x̃a undefined. In fact, by Steps 6 and 8 of the proof of Proposition 3, σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 }, when x1 |x3 | < T1 , does not constitute an SMPE for any |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X), which is the interval |xa | must belong to by Proposition 3, and, when x1 |x3 | = T1 , constitutes an SMPE only for |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X). For Part 2, we first prove the easier only if part. That σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } and |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X) does not constitute an SMPE when x̃1 > |x̃3 | or x1 |x3 | 6= T1 , follows, when x̃1 > |x̃3 |, from the remark we made after Step 5 of the proof of Proposition 3. When x1 |x3 | < T1 , by Step 6 of the proof of Proposition 3, σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } does not constitute an SMPE for any |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, sup X), which is the interval |xa | must belong to by Proposition 3. When Proposition 3, σ(x̂a ) with x̂a x1 |x3 | > T1 , by Step 7 of the proof of = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } constitutes an SMPE only for |xa | ∈ (|x3 |, x1 ). What remains to be shown is that σ(x̂a ) with x̂a = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 }, where |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X), constitutes an SMPE when x̃1 ≤ |x̃3 | and Fix x̂a x1 |x3 | = T1 . = {(x̃1 , xa ), 0, x3 } with any |xa | ∈ [x1 , sup X). First, by the symmetry of the proposal strategies, we have Vi (x|x̂a ) = Vi (−x|x̂a ) ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N . Moreover, an argument analogous to the proof of Lemma A7 shows that U2 (x|x̂a ) > U2 (y|x̂a ) ∀x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X such that 0 ≤ x < y, and thus A(x|x̂a ) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. From Definition A2, we thus have, ∀x ∈ X, p1 (x|x̃1 , xa ) ∈ A(x|x̂a ), p2 (x|0) ∈ A(x|x̂a ) and p3 (x|x3 ) ∈ A(x|x̂a ). Thus, ∀x ∈ X and ∀i ∈ N , Vi (x|x̂a ) = Vi (x|σ(x̂a )), Vi (x|x̂a ) = Vi (x|σ(x̂a )) and A(x|x̂a ) = A(x|σ(x̂a )). Second, by Lemma A6, Vi (x|σ(x̂a )) = Vi (x|σ(x̂)) ∀x ∈ [−|xa |, |xa |] and ∀i ∈ N , where x̂ = {x̃1 , 0, x3 }. Properties of the dynamic utilities 37 induced by σ(x̂) from Lemma A3 thus carry over to the dynamic utilities induced by σ(x̂a ), on [−|xa |, |xa |]. From the Proof of Proposition A2, namely (A16) and the subsequent discussion, U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) = U1 (x1 |σ(x̂a )). Since x̃1 < x1 and U2 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) > U2 (x1 |σ(x̂a )), an argument analogous to the proof of Proposition A1 implies U3 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) > U3 (x1 |σ(x̂a )). Therefore, since Vi (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) = r1 Ui (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) + r2 Ui (0|σ(x̂a )) + r3 Ui (x3 |σ(x̂a )) and Vi (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) = r1 Ui (x1 |σ(x̂a )) + r2 Ui (0|σ(x̂a )) + r3 Ui (x3 |σ(x̂a )), we have V1 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) = V1 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a ) and V3 (|xa | |σ(x̂a )) > V3 (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a ). Moreover, Vi (x|σ(x̂a )) = Vi (|xa |+ |σ(x̂a )) ∀x ∈ (|xa |, ∞) and ∀i ∈ N , since the proposal strategies are constant on (|xa |, ∞). Third, from the preceding discussion U2 (x|σ(x̂a )) > U2 (y|σ(x̂a )) ∀x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X such that 0 ≤ x < y and hence we have, ∀x ∈ X, p2 (x|0) = 0 ∈ arg maxs∈A(x|σ(x̂a )) U2 (s|σ(x̂a )). Fourth, from the preceding discussion U3 (x|σ(x̂a )) is continuous ∀x ∈ X \ {−|xa |, |xa |}, U3 (−|xa | |σ(x̂a ) > U3 (−|xa |− |σ(x̂a )), U30 (x|σ(x̂a )) > 0 on (−∞, −|xa |)∪(−|xa |, x3 ) and U30 (x|σ(x̂a )) < 0 on (x3 , −x̃1 )∪(−x̃1 , 0). Thus, ∀x ∈ X, p3 (x|x3 ) = max{x3 , −|x|} ∈ arg maxs∈A(x|σ(x̂a )) U3 (s|σ(x̂a )). Fifth, from the preceding discussion U1 (x|σ(x̂a )) is continuous ∀x ∈ X, U1 (x̃1 |σ(x̂a )) = U1 (x1 |σ(x̂a )), U10 (x|σ(x̂a )) > 0 on (0, x̃1 ) ∪ (x3 , x1 ) and U10 (x|σ(x̂a )) < 0 on (x̃1 , x3 ) ∪ (x1 , |xa |) ∪ (|xa |, ∞). Thus, for x ∈ [0, x̃1 ], x ∈ (x̃1 , x1 ) and x ∈ [x1 , ∞), arg maxs∈A(x|σ(x̂a )) U1 (s|σ(x̂a )) equals {x}, {x̃1 } and {x̃1 , x1 } respectively. Therefore, ∀x ∈ X, p1 (x|x̃1 , xa ) ∈ arg maxs∈A(x|σ(x̂a )) U1 (s|σ(x̂a )), which concludes the proof. A6 Consistent SMPE and all players moderating This section defines consistent strategies and shows that a consistent SMPE with all players proposing policies strictly more moderate than their static bliss point for any status-quo does not exist. The definition of a consistent proposal strategy is equivalent, modulo the notation, to the one used by Forand (2014). See his work for an insightful motivation of consistency. Definition A6. Given profile σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N , p̂i is consistent if, ∀x ∈ X and ∀x0 ∈ X, p̂i (x) ∈ A(x0 |σ̂) and p̂i (x) 6= p̂i (x0 ) implies p̂i (x0 ) ∈ / A(x|σ̂). A consistent SMPE is an SMPE in consistent proposal strategies. Proposition A4. There does not exist a consistent SMPE σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N such that i) ∀x ∈ X, p̂i (−|x|) = p̂i (|x|) for i ∈ {1, 3}; ii) ∀x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X 38 such that 0 ≤ x ≤ y, 0 ≤ p̂1 (x) ≤ p̂1 (y) and 0 ≥ p̂3 (x) ≥ p̂3 (y); and iii) supx∈X p̂1 (x) < x1 and inf x∈X p̂3 (x) > x3 . Proof. Suppose, towards a contradiction, that there exists a consistent SMPE σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N such that the three requirements of the proposition hold. By Lemma A2, p̂2 (x) = 0 ∀x ∈ X. Hence, by the first two requirements and Lemma A7, we have A(x|σ̂) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. Following lemma is the main implication of consistency. Lemma A9. Suppose i) σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N is a consistent SMPE; ii) ∀x ∈ X, p̂i (−|x|) = p̂i (|x|) for i ∈ {1, 3}; and iii) ∀x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X such that 0 ≤ x ≤ y, 0 ≤ p̂1 (x) ≤ p̂1 (y) and 0 ≥ p̂3 (x) ≥ p̂3 (y). If p̂i (x0 ) ∈ (−|x0 |, |x0 |) for some i ∈ {1, 3} and some x0 ∈ X, then p̂i (x) = p̂i (x0 ) ∀x ∈ [|p̂i (x0 )|, |x0 |]. Proof. Fix σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N that constitutes a consistent SMPE. By Lemma A2, p̂2 (x) = 0 ∀x ∈ X and thus, by Lemma A7, A(x|σ̂) = [−|x|, |x|]. Fix i ∈ {1, 3} and x0 ∈ X such that p̂i (x0 ) ∈ (−|x0 |, |x0 |), which implies |p̂i (x0 )| < |x0 | so that [|p̂i (x0 )|, |x0 |] is well defined. Fix, towards a contradiction, x ∈ [|p̂i (x0 )|, |x0 |] such that p̂i (x) 6= p̂i (x0 ). Since x ∈ [|p̂i (x0 )|, |x0 |], A(|p̂i (x0 )| |σ̂) ⊆ A(x|σ̂) ⊆ A(x0 |σ̂). Clearly p̂i (x0 ) ∈ A(|p̂i (x0 )| |σ̂) and thus p̂i (x0 ) ∈ A(x|σ̂). However, p̂i (x) ∈ A(x|σ̂) implies p̂i (x) ∈ A(x0 |σ̂), which, along with consistency and p̂i (x) 6= p̂i (x0 ), implies p̂i (x0 ) ∈ / A(x|σ̂). We proceed via a series of claims. First, we claim p̂1 (x1 ) = maxx∈X p̂1 (x) and p̂3 (x3 ) = minx∈X p̂3 (x). We prove the claim for i = 1. The argument for i = 3 is analogous and omitted. We start by showing that maxx∈X p̂1 (x) exists. When X ( R, X = [−z, z] for some z ≥ x1 and thus, since p̂1 is nondecreasing on [0, z] and symmetric about 0, maxx∈X p̂1 (x) = p̂1 (z). When X = R, if maxx∈X p̂1 (x) does not exist, for any x ∈ X, there exists y ∈ X such that p̂1 (x) < p̂1 (y). In particular, there exists y > x1 such that p̂1 (x1 ) < p̂1 (y). Since p̂1 (x1 ) 6= p̂1 (y) and p̂1 (x1 ) ∈ A(y|σ̂), by consistency, p̂1 (y) ∈ / A(x1 |σ̂) = [−x1 , x1 ] and thus p̂1 (y) > x1 , a contradiction to supx∈X p̂1 (x) < x1 . We now prove p̂1 (x1 ) = maxx∈X p̂1 (x). If X = [−x1 , x1 ], the claim is immediate, since p̂1 is non-decreasing on [0, x1 ] and symmetric about 0. If X ) [−x1 , x1 ], suppose, towards a contradiction, p̂1 (x1 ) < maxx∈X p̂1 (x). Then there exists y ∈ X such that y > x1 and p̂1 (y) > p̂(x1 ), which, by consistency, yields a contradiction to supx∈X p̂(x) < x1 . 39 Second, we claim p̂i (x) = p̂i (xi ) ∀x ∈ (−∞, −|p̂i (xi )|] ∪ [|p̂i (xi )|, ∞) and ∀i ∈ N . For i = 2 the claim writes p̂2 (x) = 0 ∀x ∈ X and holds by Lemma A2. We prove the claim for i = 1. The argument for i = 3 is analogous and omitted. By symmetry of p̂1 about 0, it suffices to show p̂1 (x) = p̂1 (x1 ) ∀x ∈ [p̂1 (x1 ), ∞). That p̂1 (x) = p̂1 (x1 ) ∀x ∈ [p̂1 (x1 ), x1 ] follows by Lemma A9 since we have p̂1 (x1 ) = maxx∈X p̂1 (x) = supx∈X p̂1 (x) < x1 . That p̂1 (x) = p̂1 (x1 ) ∀x ∈ [x1 , ∞) follows since p̂1 is non-decreasing on [0, ∞) and p̂1 (x1 ) = maxx∈X p̂1 (x). Suppose now, without loss of generality, that |p̂3 (x3 )| ≤ p̂1 (x1 ) and denote Xc = X \ (−p̂1 (x1 ), p̂1 (x1 )). By the second claim, the proposal strategies in σ̂ are constant on Xc . Hence, third, we observe V1 (x|σ̂) = V1 (p̂1 (x1 )|σ̂) ∀x ∈ Xc . Fourth, we claim that player 1 has a profitable deviation. Since V1 (x|σ̂) is constant on Xc 3 p̂1 (x1 ) and p̂1 (x1 ) < x1 , there exists ¯ > 0 such that ∀ ∈ (0, ¯), U1 (p̂1 (x1 ) + |σ̂) > U1 (p̂1 (x1 )|σ̂) and hence p̂1 (p̂1 (x1 ) + ) = p̂1 (x1 ) ∈ / arg maxs∈[−p̂1 (x1 )−,p̂1 (x1 )+] U1 (s|σ̂). Remark 1: The sole purpose of the first two requirements in Proposition A4, i) ∀x ∈ X, p̂i (−|x|) = p̂i (|x|) for i ∈ {1, 3} and ii) ∀x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X such that 0 ≤ x ≤ y, 0 ≤ p̂1 (x) ≤ p̂1 (y) and 0 ≥ p̂3 (x) ≥ p̂3 (y), is to ensure that A(x|σ̂) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. It is straightforward to show that, assuming A(x|σ̂) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X, consistency implies both i) and ii) and hence, Proposition A4 continues to hold if i) and ii) are replaced by A(x|σ̂) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X. Remark 2: Proposition A4 continues to hold with a general number of players. Extend G to n ≥ 3 players, n odd, by setting the profile of bliss points to x = {x1 , . . . , xn } and the profile of recognition probabilities to r = {r1 , . . . , rn }. The assumptions we made about x and r extend in a natural way. The SMPE definition extends naturally by setting N = {1, . . . , n}. Index players such that xi > xi+1 ∀i ∈ N \ {n}. The median is player m = n+1 2 with xm = 0. Let N+ = {1, . . . , m−1} and N− = {m+1, . . . , n}. Given a model with n players, straightforward modification of the argument leading to Proposition A4 can be used to show the following. (As for Proposition A4, the first two requirements can be replaced by A(x|σ̂) = [−|x|, |x|] ∀x ∈ X.) 40 Proposition A5. There does not exist a consistent SMPE σ̂ = ((p̂i , v̂i ))i∈N such that i) ∀x ∈ X, p̂i (−|x|) = p̂i (|x|) for i ∈ N \ {m}; ii) ∀x ∈ X and ∀y ∈ X such that 0 ≤ x ≤ y, 0 ≤ p̂i (x) ≤ p̂i (y) ∀i ∈ N+ and 0 ≥ p̂i (x) ≥ p̂i (y) ∀i ∈ N− ; and iii) supx∈X p̂i (x) < x1 ∀i ∈ N+ and inf x∈X p̂i (x) > xn ∀i ∈ N− . 41
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