22nd Annual Conference Association of Credit Union Internal Auditors June 22, 2012 “What Will NCUA Look For in 2012-13?” NCUA Hot Topics Recent Trends Risk Concentrations • Credit Risk • Interest Rate Risk Third Party Due Diligence • Credit Union Service Organizations (CUSOs) Other Examination Focus Areas 2 Recent Trends 3 Performance Snapshot December 2010 December 2011 March 2012 Number of FICUs 7,339 7,094 7,019 Total Assets $914.3 billion $961.8 billion $1,001.8 billion Total Shares $786.4 billion $827.4 billion $866.0 billion Total Loans $564.7 billion $571.5 billion $572.0 billion ROAA incl. SF Excl. SF .50% .67% .72% .88% .84% .89% Delinquency Loan Losses 1.76% 1.13% 1.60% .91% 1.44% .78% Net Worth Ratio 10.06% 10.23% 10.01% Current Members 90.5 million 91.8 million 92.5 million Strong Share Growth Loan Growth Turned 4 Positive in 2011 Improved Earnings Declining Delinquency and Losses Strong Net Worth Positive Member Growth Over $1 Trillion in Assets Net Worth (Capital) Levels 14 12 11.5 11.4 9.9 10.2 10 8 6.8 6.3 6 4 2 0 5 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Earnings Performance 1.40% 55.0% 50.2% 1.20% 45.0% 1.03% 1.00% 0.82% 0.80% 0.68% 0.60% 0.40% 0.20% 31.7% 35.0% 10.8% 9.8% -0.02% 0.00% 25.0% 15.0% 5.0% 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 -0.20% -5.0% ROA 6 % of CUs Unprofitable Credit Union Lending Activity 90 18 83.1 80 14 70 Credit unions continued to lend during the recession. 60 69.07 12 10 50 8 40 6 30 4 20 2 10 0 0 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 Loan Growth 7 16 1 2 3 Loan to Share Ratio 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 -2 Problem Credit Union Trends 6.0% 5.0% 5.6% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 4.0% 3.1% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 CAMEL 4&5 >$1B % Total Shares 8 CAMEL 4&5 CU % All Cus CAMEL 4&5 CU % Total Shares CAMEL 3 Trends 45% 40% 39.2% 35% 30% 26.1% 24.8% 25% 20% 17.5% 17.6% 15% 10% 5.0% 5% 0% 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Code 3 CU % Total Cus 9 Code 3 Shares % Total Shares NCUSIF Performance 1,100 1.30 1.20 900 700 NCUSIF Capitalized with 1% Deposit 1.00 0.80 500 Transfer to Stabilization Fund 300 0.20 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 -300 10 0.60 0.40 100 -100 1.40 0.00 -0.20 Premium/(Dividend) Equity Ratio Risk Concentrations 11 Risk Concentrations Concentration in Real Estate Assets (47%) Strong Growth in Mortgage Related Assets High Concentration of Assets and Net Worth Increasing Reliance on Volatile Funding Money Market Accounts Certificates Short term borrowing NCUA Letter to Credit Unions 10-CU-03 Establish policies, procedures and controls Establish acceptable risk limits Review reports on risk exposure regularly Establish actions to take when risk limits are reached 12 The Changing Balance Sheet Real Estate Loan Concentration (% loans) Decreasing Asset Diversity and Price Flexibility (Net Long Term Assets) Untested Balance Sheet Structure 39% 55% 23% Increase in Volatile Funding (MMA & Certs) 32% Increasing Reliance on Fee Income (May Challenge for Member Focused Competitive Edge) Growing Long Term Assets at Historically Low Rates 41% 13 Long Term Asset Concentration 12/31/00 12/31/11 48% 65% 84% Increasing Volatility of Funding Sources Growing Concentration of Real Estate Related Assets 47% Assets 459% NW 500 48% Assets 464% NW 450 400 Billions 350 300 35% Assets 317% NW 250 200 150 100 50 0 14 Participations 12/31/2004 6,277,684,561 12/31/2008 11,069,737,648 12/31/2011 13,007,806,940 MBLs 12,316,390,232 30,191,139,173 37,273,325,248 RE Mortgage Backed Investments 12,676,657,904 46,925,425,275 87,306,750,394 RE Mortgages 192,113,567,173 304,539,689,008 312,930,397,263 Credit Risk Trends 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% -0.1% 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 PLLL Exp to Avg Assets 15 Delinquency Net Charge Offs Delinquency by Loan Type 4.5% 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 1.9% 1.3% 1.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% Credit Cards Real Estate MBLs 2007 16 Indirect 2011 Participations Total Troubled Debt Restructuring New Rule Finalized May 2012 Allows calculation of past due status consistent with loan terms. made through TDR. Thus eliminates delinquency tracking burden on TDR loans. Requires policies and controls governing workout arrangements Requires credit unions discontinue interest accrual on loans past due by 90 days or more and establish requirements to return such loans to accrual. Compliance Date October 1, 2012 17 Interest Rate Risk Rule finalized January 2012 Effective September 30, 2012 Applies to: Assets $10 to $50 million if sum of first mortgage loans held and investments with maturity over five years is equal to or greater than 100% of credit union’s net worth; and All credit unions with assets over $50 million See LCU 12-CU-05 18 ≈450 bps! 19 Third Party Due Diligence 20 Third Party Due Diligence Steps involved in due diligence Background check Business Model Cash Flows Financial and Operational Control Review Contract Issues and Legal Review Accounting Considerations NCUA Guidance LCU 01-CU-20 LCU 07-CU-13 LCU 08-CU-09 21 CUSOs Expands requirements of CUSO regulation that apply to FISCUs Address accounting, financial statements and audits Address limits on “less than adequately capitalized” Adds new registration requirement All CUSOs must annually provide profile information CUSOs involved in complex or high-risk activities must provide detailed reports All subsidiary CUSOs must follow applicable laws and regulations 22 Other Examination Focus Areas 23 Audit, Internal Audit and Supervisory Committee Review Recent Material Loss Reviews emphasize importance of evaluating internal controls. Examiners will review audit, internal audit and Supervisory Committee activities during examinations. Audit workpapers. Member account verification support. Interviewing SC and or IA Department. Commensurate with size, complexity, internal control structure and risk profile of credit union. If SC or IA department performs annual audit, examiners will review audit workpapers at every examination. 24 Small Credit Union Examination Program FCUs with $10 million or less in assets with CAMEL of 1, 2, or 3. Reduces the minimum required examination scope. Supplements existing Risk Focused Examination practices. Examiners may refine and adjust scope as circumstances warrant. 25 Questions 26
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