Strategy Development: An Overview & Practical Tips Soft Expo December 2004 Ascend World Wide, LLC OBJECTIVE To answer common questions about strategy 1. I generally know what it is, but did I miss anything? 2. How does other large and small companies develop strategies? 3. How can I quickly improve my strategy development? CONTENT What is a good strategy Key elements of a complete strategy Aspiration setting Assessing market situation & uncertainties Strategy setting Testing and planning for execution Summary and questions to ask DEFINITION Strategy: n. 1. A plan of action… intended to accomplish a specific goal. 2. The science and art of military command as applied to the overall planning and command of combat operations. ELEMENTS OF A ‘GOOD’ STRATEGY (PLAN) Aspiration based Address uncertainty Have a portfolio of options Executable Clear understanding of companies mission/vision and clear linkage to them Clearly understand key areas of uncertainties and their potential impact Prepare in advance alternatives to mitigate uncertainties and considers dynamic environment It should be clear and easily translated into detailed ‘action’ items CONTENT What is a good strategy Key elements of a complete strategy Aspiration setting Assessing market situation & uncertainties Strategy setting Testing and planning for execution Summary and questions to ask STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT PROCESS OVERVIEW Basics Advanced Set objectives Set context fo r strategy (i.e. define industry) Basics Advanced Baseline analysis company, competitors & consumers - External forces: demand, regulation & technology - Assess uncertainties - Examine industry structure, conduct and basis of competition Formally define mission/vision Set targets from mission/vision Internal economics, competitive position and customer base - Latent demand analysis; state holder analysis & technology assessment - Uncertainty tools,: game theory business dynamics, etc. ASPIRATION SETTING ASSESSING MARKET SITUATION & UNCERTAINTIES Basics Advanced Assess nature of execution challenge -Determine execution requirements -Evaluate organization per requirements Detailed analysis of drivers of execution challenges -Formal use of execution tools: KPI’s, strategic roadmaps TESTING & PLANNING FOR EXECUTION STRATEGY SETTING Basics Advanced Strategic posture - Create portfolio of strategic options - Assess robustness of portfolio qualitatively - Include uncertainty in valuation Use tools to generate options (i.e. 5c, growth horizon, strategic gameboard, etc) - Qualitative analysis of robustness - Option valuation STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT PROCESS OVERVIEW ASPIRATION SETTING ASSESSING MARKET SITUATION & UNCERTAINTIES TESTING & PLANNING FOR EXECUTION STRATEGY SETTING Know your mission and vision Particular clarity on vision Aspiration-led growth planning WHAT ARE ASPIRATIONS? Mission Vision Aspiration Statement explaining why a company exists Clarification of What the leaders want the organization to become *Force innovative, growthoriented thinking *Provide context for major decision-making *Describes an enduring reality Useful for both internal and external use “To make people happy” + *Guides development of strategy and organization *Achievable within a specific timeframe *primarily for internal use “To be the world’s premier media and entertainment company” = *Establish boundary conditions for strategy decisions *Help drive high-performance VISION HAS FOUR COMPONENTS “Become a $125 billion company by year 2000” Fundamental aim “Crush Adidas” “Become the company most known for changing the world-wide poor quality image of Japanese products” Vision Core Strengths Focus Envisioned Future “To deliver quality second to none in premium automotive market worldwide” “To be best entertainment company in Australia and the Pacific Basin” “Become the dominant player in commercial aircraft and bring the world into the jet age” EXAMPLE OF ASPIRATION – LED GROWTH: DISNEY Aspiration: “To be the world’s premiere media & entertainment company Widened the target consumer beyond children & families Widened the range of media to benefit from cross-marketing 1980 Film and theme parks company, licensing a well loved brand Better exploited the existing products and brands Increased prices at theme park Released Disney classics on video Bought Touchstone & Miramax Started Cruise line Bought sports team (Anaheim, Ducks, Hockey) Example actions Bought ABC (broadcasting co.) Opened Disney retail stores Example actions Example actions 1995 Diversified entertainment power house STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT PROCESS OVERVIEW ASPIRATION SETTING ASSESSING MARKET SITUATION & UNCERTAINTIES TESTING & PLANNING FOR EXECUTION STRATEGY SETTING Know what you are selling (features vs. benefits) Understand market differences Know the key buying factors Recognize uncertainty ASSESSING MARKET SITUATION AND UNCERTAINTIES Develop perspectives on the future Set the baseline Understand external forces Company Competitor Customers Demand Regulation Technology Assess uncertainty Levels of uncertainty Uncertainty tools (mitigation Vs. management) Examine industry structure/ conduct Traditional arm’s length Privileged relationships Co-dependant systems Define basis of competitive advantage Structural Advantages Frontline execution Insight/Foresight FEATURES VS. BENEFITS Features VS Benefits Characteristics of your product • What it does • How it looks • Specifications Resulting impact from product/services • Unmet or perceived needs resolved • Improvements from prior way of doing things • Resulting value MSF is a video compression solution that is: • 100% software • Allows up to 20 frames per sec. • Performs under ARM7 & 2.5G • MSF enables video clip downloads at reasonable quality for 2.5G & Arm7 opening new markets • In ARM9 phones, allows video streaming which gives handset owners a whole new way to enjoy their phones UNDERSTANDING MARKET DIFFERENCES SE Asia VS USA • Concentrated to 2-3 operators per market • Slow migration to 2.5G—unable to recoup investment yet • Handset manufacturers are quite independent from operators • Handsets are ‘2nd Screen’ (source of personal identity) • Wallpapers, animation popular • Pay for downloads, no access fee • Strong focus on ‘standards’ due to interoperability issues • Market neither fragmented nor concentrated • Rapid migration to 3G • Operators strongly influence H/S mfg. • Handsets are ‘3rd screen’ (high income, lots of gadgets) • Wallpaper, animation not popular • Pay for access as well as downloads • Basic graphical solutions compelling • Operators open to proprietary solution if compelling in 2.5G • Attention to handset mfg. Important • Local partner sufficient • Less likely to adopt new platform • Graphical solutions less compelling • Focus on application providing • Branded content or focus on niche • Local presence more important IT’S ALL ABOUT KBF (KEY BUYING FACTOR) KBF (operator example) • Description: The key factors (benefits) that drives customer’s purchase decision 1. Must fit within a ‘standard’ environment Has to have value proposition for 3G Service compelling to customers & likely to generate downloads Contents of high quality (brand is best) Reliable track record in US Capable of integration with existing service platform (i.e. billing) Customer service mentality (expected to quickly address issues) 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Benefits + Marketing Strategy = • Customer focus • Product positioning • Promotion types • Pricing, terms • etc. UNDERSTANDING UNCERTAINTY LEVEL Levels of uncertainty ? A Clean Future Example Entry of Microsoft into the open O/S market with windows mobile Discrete Outcomes Example Battle between operators and handset markets over the UI Range of Future Example Outcome of 3G rollout in US Highly Uncertain Example Early investment Into post-communist Russia UNCERTAINTY TOOLS Levels of Uncertainty ? Tools Traditional Toolkit Porter’s 5 Forces Cost Curves Demand Curves Scenario planning with discrete outcome Decision/Event trees Game theory Stakeholder Analysis Scenario planning with plausible outcome Game theory Business dynamics Latent demand analysis Technology forecasting “Work backwards” to what you ave to believe to support alternative strategies Use analysis/reference cases to potentially bound parameters STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT PROCESS OVERVIEW ASPIRATION SETTING ASSESSING MARKET SITUATION & UNCERTAINTIES TESTING & PLANNING FOR EXECUTION STRATEGY SETTING Determine strategic posture Strategy as a portfolio Ensure robustness FOUR DIFFERENT STRATEGIC POSTURES A.Shape the future B. Adapt the fastest Strategic posture “A choice a company makes about how the company will interact with its industry environment” C. Reserve the right to play D. Exit COMPAQ’S ADAPTER STRATEGY EXAMPLE Microsoft / Intel Web Compaq Build alliances with wet shapes - Microsoft & Intel Compaq’s adapting strategy moves Achieving easy access to new technologies -New software - New chip technology Exploited near-term product opportunities - Low cost desktop - High performance PCs Stressing product differentiation in marketing -Products for local markets - Tools for Japanese character Investment focus on near-term pay back STRATEGY AS A PORTFOLIO What it is • Set of strategic options within a business unit on business area • Thoughtful collection of choices based on assessment of industry and company situation (including uncertainties) • Portfolio of potential action with strong management commitment to implement based upon evidence. What it is NOT • Set of strategic options across business units or areas • Collection of options developed at a general level without specific consideration of industry or company situation • Range of potential choices with weak management commitment PROCESS FOR BUILDING A ROBUST STRATEGY Generate strategic Options Assemble a robust Portfolio Value the Portfolio • Categorize options • Identify synergies • Select appropriate According to level of and conflicts Risks and investment between categories Valuation approach Requirements • Test for robustness -‘Big bets’ • Check consistency - Safety nets of portfolio with - No regret overall post - Real options A B C 1 ++ O - 2 + + -- 3 - O + 4 + + + 5 + ++ + • Conduct financial Valuation SEMI-QUANTITATIVE TEST FOR ROBUSTNESS Mobile technology company examples Strategic options Scenario A: H/S makers and Operators focus only on standards Scenario B : Major market operator partner accepts tech. Scenario C : 3G rollout delayed in key regional market • M&A with a developer of standard format + O - • Develop new product line to appeal to handset makers + + -- • Partnership with major chipset makers - O + • Develop standard platform application + + + • Acquire partnership with content holders and invest in content development (no regret) + ++ + Net TESTING FOR ROBUSTNESS Does it … • Recognize conflicts and achieve synergies • Effectively manage uncertainties • Leverage existing capabilities and build new ones • Balance growth across time horizon (S,M,L) • Match with the strategic posture STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT PROCESS OVERVIEW ASPIRATION SETTING ASSESSING MARKET SITUATION & UNCERTAINTIES TESTING & PLANNING FOR EXECUTION STRATEGY SETTING Determine strategic posture Strategy as a portfolio Ensure robustness ASSESS EXECUTION REQUIREMENTS AND IDENTIFY GAPS Dimensions of execution Required Current Gaps Top management leadership Alignment and commitment among management, and they focus their energy and efforts. Front line execution Ensuring proper skills, structure, and system, for exceptional front line execution or decision-making Implementation planning Setting clear overall and interim goals, establishing Clear roles and responsibilities and resource planning Performance management Clear communications, monitoring evaluation and reward/punishment ASSESS EXECUTION REQUIREMENTS AND IDENTIFY GAPS Dimensions of execution Required Current Gaps Top management leadership Alignment and commitment among management, and they focus their energy and efforts. Front line execution Ensuring proper skills, structure, and system, for exceptional front line execution or decision-making Implementation planning Setting clear overall and interim goals, establishing Clear roles and responsibilities and resource planning Performance management Clear communications, monitoring evaluation and reward/punishment STRONG PREDICTOR OF SUCCESS ALIGNMENT ALONG THE FOUR DIMENSIONS IS A STRONG PREDICTOR OF SUCCESS High performances Weak performers Aligned on all 4 dimensions 83 Aligned on only 3 dimensions 17 Aligned on only 2 dimensions 0 Aligned on only 1 dimensions 0 Aligned on none of the dimensions 0 0 0 6 50 44 30.0 37.4 3.0 16.2 2.5 Total shareholder returns Average ROE Earnings growth Total shareholder returns Average ROE Earnings growth CONTENT What is a good strategy Key elements of a complete strategy Aspiration setting Assessing market situation & uncertainties Strategy setting Testing and planning for execution Summary and questions to ask STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT FLEXIBILITY In today's fast evolving market situation, strategy development must be flexibility Depending on urgency, scope and company culture, strategy development can be -traditional/sequential -rapid/interactive Traditional/sequential Rapid/interactive 3 + months 3-4 weeks (or less) Comprehensive/extensive Iterative (Think – Do – Check –Revise) Broader in scope Sequential and relatively exhaustive Appropriate for : long-term strategic planning on for setting up new division / business line Focused issues, threats or opportunities Appropriate for: urgent competitive threat situation or improvement of existing business lines THREE KEY INGREDIENTS TO A SUCCESSFUL TEAM Successful teams • Take full ownership of the market/customer • Provide ideas & solutions, not information & issues • Driven for tangible results Right people • Familiarity with target customer or market • Capable of developing close relationships • Creative and a problem solver Clear goals • CEO should set reasonable short-term goals based on status • Tangible, measurable and controllable Incentives • Feedback and evaluation to team members • Performance based rewards Typical issues witnessed: • Language OK, but not too shy to adopt to new culture which holds back relationship building • Lack of creative problem solving mindset (thinkers) • Objectives too high-level for employee capability • Lack of structure to problem solving • No special incentives or rewards tied to outstanding performance QUESTIONS TO SERVE AS A “CHECK LIST” 1. Aspiration setting Why does the company exist? What does the leaders want the company to become? •Fundamental aim •Core strengths •Focus •Envisioned future 2. Assessing market situation and uncertainties Is there a clear baseline of the market situation? (company, customer & competitors) What benefits are your products offering? Are market differences fully analyzed and understood? Who are the key decision-maker and what are their KBT? Is the vision clear and reasonable, and can serve as basic for planning? Is there a clear perspective on the future with key uncertainties identified? QUESTIONS TO SERVE AS A “CHECK LIST” (cont.) 3. Strategy setting What is your strategic posture? (How will you compete?) Do you have a portfolio of options based on uncertainties? Is the strategy portfolio robust? -Recognize conflicts/synergies -Manage uncertainties -Balanced over time -Leverage capabilities -Match strategic posture 4. Testing & panning for execution What are the requirements along the “Four dimensions”? -Top management leadership -Front line execution -Implementation planning -Performance management What is your current status and gaps requiring action? Do you have the right team in place to plan and lead strategy?
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