IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ANALYSIS OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE In support of the implementation of article 15 of the energy efficiency directive (2012/27/EU) Final report DG ENERGY - EUROPEAN COMMISSION | BELGIUM 18 December 2015 RESTRICTED TRACTEBEL ENGINEERING Avenue Ariane, 7 – 1200 Brussels - BELGIUM tel. +32 2 773 99 11 - fax +32 2 773 99 00 [email protected] www.tractebel-engineering-gdfsuez.com Our ref.: TECHNICAL NOTE GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 TS: Imputation: P.007629/0004 RESTRICTED Client : Project : ENER/C3/2013-423 Grid Energy Efficiency Subject : Final Report 01 16/01/12 FIN *TE TEAM *ECOFYS TEAM *CRIGEN TEAM *TE TEAM *ECOFYS TEAM *S. Rapoport 00 16/01/12 FIN *TE TEAM *ECOFYS TEAM *CRIGEN TEAM *TE TEAM *ECOFYS TEAM *S. Rapoport REV. YY/MM/DD STAT. WRITTEN VERIFIED APPROVED * This document is fully electronically signed on 14/01/2016. TRACTEBEL ENGINEERING S.A. – Registered Office: Avenue Ariane 7 – 1200 Brussels - BELGIUM VAT:BE 0412 639 681 – RPM/RPR Brussels: 0412 639 681 – Bank account - IBAN: BE74375100843707 – BIC/SWIFT: BBRUBEBB VALIDATED This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Comments: IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Identifying Energy Efficiency improvements and saving potential in energy networks, including analysis of the value of demand response, in support of the implementation of article 15 of the energy efficiency directive (2012/27/EU) December 2015 GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 3/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Final report RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Disclaimer This document has been prepared for the European Commission however it reflects the views only of the authors, and the Commission cannot be held responsible for any use This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval which may be made of the information contained therein. © Tractebel Engineering, Ecofys 2015 by order of: European Commission GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 4/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) FOREWORD This report has been prepared for the European Commission by a consortium composed of Tractebel Engineering and Ecofys. The report has been organized in two parts. The first part of the report focuses on the identification and assessment of measures to improve the efficiency of electricity and gas networks. The project has been led by Stéphane Rapoport and Vincenzo Giordano (Tractebel Engineering), with the support of Georgios Papaefthymiou (Ecofys). The core team has included Gregoire Lejeune (Tractebel), Sébastien Leyder (Tractebel), Farid Comaty (Ecofys), Rena Kuwahata (Ecofys), Amelie Bonard (CRIGEN) and Pascal Vercamer (CRIGEN). In addition to the core team valuable contributions have been made by several of our colleagues at Tractebel Engineering and Ecofys. The work has been followed by Mr Massimo Maraziti of the European Commission DG-Energy. During the study, a survey has been carried out among European DSOs, thanks to the facilitation role of European associations EURELECTRIC, CEDEC, GEODE, EDSO4SG. All conclusions are the responsibility of the analysis team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Commission, or any of the consulted stakeholders. We are very grateful for all the valuable comments and suggestions received from the DG Energy officers and the consulted organizations. Any remaining errors or omissions are the sole responsibility of the analysis team. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 5/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The second part specifically focuses on the use of demand response to improve the efficiency of electricity networks, concerning reduction of losses and optimization of grid planning and operation. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) TABLE OF CONTENTS ACRONYMS .................................................................................................................... 11 PART 1 - IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS............................................................................ 12 PART 1 - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ....................................................................................... 13 1.1. Objectives of this study .............................................................................. 17 1.2. The Energy Efficiency Directive .................................................................. 18 1.3. Reading guide to this document ................................................................. 19 1.3.1. Energy efficiency measures for electricity grids ....................................... 19 1.3.2. Energy efficiency measures for gas grids................................................ 20 2. POTENTIAL OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES ON LOSS REDUCTION IN ELECTRICITY GRIDS ................................................................................................. 21 2.1. Understanding energy losses in electricity networks ................................. 22 2.1.1. 2.1.2. 2.1.3. 2.1.4. 2.1.5. 2.1.6. 2.1.7. 2.1.8. 2.2. Energy efficiency measures in electricity networks: categorisation and potential ...................................................................................................... 29 2.2.1. 2.2.2. 2.2.3. 2.2.4. 2.2.5. 2.2.6. 2.2.7. 2.2.8. 2.2.9. 2.3. Type: Technical/non-Technical and Variable/Fixed .................................. 22 Voltage level: transmission and distribution networks .............................. 23 Components: Lines and Transformers .................................................... 24 Marginal vs Average losses ................................................................... 26 Role of DG and grid management ......................................................... 27 Reactive Losses................................................................................... 28 Imbalances......................................................................................... 29 Life cycle assessment: impact of losses on investment decisions ............... 29 Energy Efficient transformers ................................................................ 32 Increasing voltage level ....................................................................... 33 Increasing line capacity........................................................................ 33 Feed-in control.................................................................................... 34 Transformers switching ........................................................................ 36 Network reconfiguration ....................................................................... 37 Conservation voltage reduction ............................................................. 37 Voltage optimisation ............................................................................ 38 Balancing loading of lines ..................................................................... 40 Regulatory regimes to promote loss reduction in electricity grids ............ 40 GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 6/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 1. INTRODUCTION (PART 1).......................................................................................... 17 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.3.1. Regulatory incentives: basic options ...................................................... 40 2.3.2. State of play of regulatory mechanisms targeting loss reduction ............... 41 3. POTENTIAL OF MEASURES ON PLANNING/OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY IN ELECTRICITY GRIDS ................................................................................................. 44 Impact of selected energy efficiency measures on operational efficiency 45 3.1.1. 3.1.2. 3.1.3. 3.1.4. 3.1.5. 3.1.6. 3.1.7. 3.1.8. 3.1.9. 3.1.10. High efficiency transformers ................................................................. 45 Expanding line capacity........................................................................ 46 Increasing voltage level ....................................................................... 47 Demand response ............................................................................... 49 Feed-in control of distributed generation & storage ................................. 50 Network reconfiguration ....................................................................... 51 Switching off redundant transformers .................................................... 52 Voltage optimisation ............................................................................ 53 Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR)................................................... 54 Balancing 3-phase loads....................................................................... 55 4. COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES IN ELECTRICITY GRIDS ....... 56 4.1. Assessment of cost-effectiveness ............................................................... 56 4.2. Synthesis of the cost effectiveness of the measures .................................. 57 5. ASSESSMENT OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY POTENTIAL IN GAS GRIDS .......................... 61 5.1. Understanding Energy Losses in gas networks .......................................... 61 5.1.1. Mapping of losses in gas transmission network ....................................... 64 5.1.2. Mapping of losses in compression stations.............................................. 65 5.1.3. Mapping of losses in gas distribution network ......................................... 65 5.2. Energy efficiency measures in gas networks: categorisation and potential66 5.2.1. Gas transmission network: energy efficiency measures and reduction potential 67 5.2.2. Compressor stations: energy efficiency measures and reduction potential .. 68 5.2.3. Distribution grids: energy efficiency measures and reduction potential ...... 69 6. ASSESSMENT OF COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF SELECTED ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES - GAS ...................................................................................................... 71 6.1. Gas Transmission Network ......................................................................... 71 6.2. Gas Compressor Stations ............................................................................ 72 6.3. Gas Distribution Network ........................................................................... 74 PART 2 - ASSESSING THE POTENTIAL OF DEMAND RESPONSE TO INCREASE THE EFFICIENCY OF ELECTRICITY NETWORKS ................................................................... 76 GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 7/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 3.1. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) PART 2 - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ....................................................................................... 77 7. INTRODUCTION (PART 2).......................................................................................... 84 8. OVERVIEW OF DEMAND RESPONSE CHARACTERISTICS ................................................ 85 8.1. Benefits of demand response across the power system value chain ......... 85 8.2. Factors affecting the value of Demand Response ...................................... 87 8.2.1. 8.2.2. 8.2.3. 8.2.4. 8.2.5. Type of loads ...................................................................................... 87 Characteristics of demand response....................................................... 88 Activation mechanisms of demand response ........................................... 89 Price-based mechanisms (implicit DR).................................................... 89 Volume-based mechanisms (explicit DR) ................................................ 90 9.1. Value streams of demand response for distribution system operators ...... 92 9.2. Options for DSOs to procure demand response and capitalise the benefits94 9.2.1. Price-based procurement of demand response........................................ 94 9.2.2. Volume-based procurement of demand response ...................................101 9.2.3. Procurement options: Conclusions ........................................................105 10. ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE TO IMPROVE DISTRIBUTION GRID EFFICIENCY AT PLANNING AND OPERATION......................................................106 10.1. Objectives and global approach................................................................106 10.2. Building the simulation models ................................................................108 10.3. Definition of scenarios and simulation results .........................................113 10.3.1. 10.3.2. 10.3.3. 10.3.4. Base case ..........................................................................................114 Time-of-Use scenario ..........................................................................115 Demand response (volume-based) .......................................................117 Full-flex scenario ................................................................................121 10.4. Conclusions and key messages .................................................................123 11. REGULATORY EVOLUTIONS FOR DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM OPERATORS TO PROCURE AND ACTIVATE DEMAND RESPONSE ...........................................................126 11.1. Price-based approach: DSOs’ use of tariff signals ....................................126 11.2. Volume-based approach: DSOs directly procure demand response .........128 11.2.1. Evolution of DSO remuneration based on TOTEX ...................................129 GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 8/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 9. VALUE STREAMS AND PROCUREMENT OPTIONS OF DEMAND RESPONSE FOR DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM OPERATORS.......................................................................... 92 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 11.3. Role of DSO regarding ownership and use of flexibility assets ................130 11.4. Role of DSO as validator of DR transactions at distribution level ............131 11.5. Regulatory evolutions: conclusions and key messages............................134 12. BIBLIOGRAPHY........................................................................................................136 13. ANNEX I - PARAMETERS INFLUENCING THE IMPLEMENTATION AND THE COSTEFFECTIVENESS OF THE MEASURES – DETAILED ANALYSIS.........................................142 14. ANNEX II ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES IN EUROPEAN MEMBER STATES: SURVEY ..................................................................................................................153 15. ANNEX III - SURVEY - QUESTIONNAIRE FORMAT ........................................................161 17. ANNEX V- DETAILED SIMULATION RESULTS...............................................................172 GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 9/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 16. ANNEX IV - TOOL FOR RANKING MEASURES ACCORDING TO THEIR COSTEFFECTIVENESS ......................................................................................................166 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Capital Expenditure CAPEX CHP Combined Heat and Power Prosumers Consumers with local generation DR Demand Response DER Distributed Energy Resources DG Distributed Generation DMS Distribution Management System DSO Distribution System Operator EE Energy Efficiency EV Electrical Vehicle NPV Net Present Value O&M Operation and maintenance costs OMS Outage Management System OPEX Operational Expenditure PV Photo voltaic electricity generation RES Renewable Energy Sources SAIDI System Average Interruption Duration Index SCADA Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition TSO Transmission System Operator VRES Variable Renewable Energy Sources GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 11/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ACRONYMS RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval PART 1 - IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 12/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) PART 1 - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Objective of the study According to Article 15(2) of the Energy Efficiency Directive (2012/27/EU), Member States have to ensure, by the 30th June 2015, that: (a) an assessment is undertaken of the Energy Efficiency potentials of their gas and electricity infrastructure, in particular regarding transmission, distribution, load management and interoperability, and connection to energy generating installations, including access possibilities for micro energy generators; (b) concrete measures and investments are identified for the introduction of cost-effective Energy Efficiency improvements in the network infrastructure, with a timetable for their introduction. The main objective of this study is therefore to support Member States which have not yet carried out the assessment. The study also aims at defining common ground to carry out the review of the assessment reports that will be submitted by Member States to the EC. Perimeter of the study Energy savings/loss reduction. Loss reduction is an important aspect of efficiency in energy grids. To date, the electricity and gas consumption is responsible for 43% of the final energy consumption in the EU and their infrastructure losses account for 1,5% and 0.3% respectively . Losses levels vary among Members States. One key way to improve energy efficiency is to reduce energy wastage. In the electricity sector this wastage is referred to as losses and in the gas sector as shrinkage [2]. Energy efficiency potential therefore implies the minimisation of wastage in both gas and electricity transmission and distribution. The study will assess the potential of selected measures to meet this objective. Planning/Operational Efficiency - The directive also considers that, in assessing grid energy efficiency measures, planning/operational efficiency should also be considered. This entails exploring opportunities to improve the efficient operation of available energy infrastructure and reduce the need for investing in new infrastructures1. This study will particularly consider the planning/operational efficiency potential in electricity grids, where, thanks to new “Smart” measures allowing active grid management (Smart Grid assets; flexibility of distributed energy resources), a higher potential for operation efficiency is available. 1 DG ENER guidance note http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legalcontent/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52013SC0450&from=EN point 57 and 58, Chapter E GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 13/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval According to collected information at the moment of finalization of the interim report, some Member States are finalising their assessment, while others presumably are not. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) In particular, detailed analysis of the impact of demand response on energy efficiency (taking a broad view on energy efficiency and encompassing losses, and planning/operational efficiency) will be carried out in the second part of this study. Methodological approach The assessment of the energy efficiency potential in electricity and gas grids has been carried out according to the following four-step approach: 3) 4) Identification of key measures improving the energy efficiency of gas and electrical grids. Identification and discussion of the potential of those measures in term of losses reduction, through the identification the type of sources of losses in electricity and gas grids and a mapping between the sources of losses and the corresponding measures that can mitigate those losses Discussion of the potential for planning/operational efficiency of each measure, looking at aspects like investment deferral, RES hosting capacity, outage reduction, power quality Identify the factors that affect the potential of each measure (e.g. load demand, pressure level etc.) The analysis is supported by examples of the observed impacts of the measures based on literature review and a data collection survey carried out with European system operators’ associations (Eurelectric, EDSO, GEODE, CEDEC). Around 15 European distribution system operators have participated to the survey and shared their experiences and best practices (more details in ANNEX III and IV). A key outcome of the study is the definition of a step-by-step methodology to guide Member States and system operators in the definition of energy efficiency measures for electricity and gas grids. To this end an ad-hoc decision support tool has been set-up (ANNEX V).The goal of the tool is to help project promoters in selecting good candidate measures and refine their Energy Efficiency strategy before carrying out full detailed cost-benefit analyses. Some of the key outcomes and insights are summarized here below. Grid Energy Efficiency - State of play in Member States European associations report that most of their members have not yet been actively involved by Member States in addressing the provisions of article 15.2. The level of mobilization in EU Member States in the implementation of the provisions of article 15.2 (definition of investment plans to improve grid energy efficiency) appears to vary across Member States. Based on collected information, a number of Member States are working on the topic and would likely publish their official assessments in the period after the completion of this study. According to information available at the time of publication of this study, Member States seem mainly to consider loss reduction initiatives in their assessments. Starting conditions of grids (e.g. voltage level; number of transformers) and potentials for energy efficiency improvement vary widely. In particular, the level of losses varies significantly among Member States. Loss reduction is typically taken into account in grid investment decisions, however often it is not the main driver for ad-hoc investments. For electricity grids, GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 14/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 1) 2) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) - System operators generally opt for traditional investments (replacement of assets; reinforcements etc.) to improve grid energy efficiency (mainly targeting loss reduction) - Smart Grid-related EE measures (e.g. use of flexibility of DER) to pursue energy efficiency are less common; the existence of regulatory barriers hindering their viability. A detailed categorization of losses in electricity grids have been carried out to map out where and why losses occur in electricity grids. A list of factors that have a key impact on the level of losses in the system have been identified, including: - Loading (including peak demand) - Number of energized transformers - Lengths of the feeders - Level of power quality - Presence of distributed energy resources The main potential for reduction of electricity grids is at distribution level, where the majority of losses occur. The implementation of adequate metering systems at substations and at customers’ premises is an important first step to identify where losses are actually occurring in the distribution grid and to better target EE measures. Mapping of losses – gas grids A detailed mapping of losses in gas grids and compression stations has been carried out. Over 15 sources of losses have been identified. A list of factors that have a key impact on the level of losses in the system have been identified and analysed, including: - Pressure level, volume of vented pipe - Length and age of the grid, pipes and joints materials - Number and efficiency of heaters, necessity of burners - Base or peak load compressor Planning/Operational efficiency improvement potential The potential benefits of each measure in term of planning/operation efficiency have been analysed, particularly for electricity grids where a higher potential of improvement exist. The following dimensions of planning/operational efficiency have been considered: - Investment deferral - RES hosting capacity - Security of supply (reduction of outages) - Power quality The factors impacting the effectiveness of each measure and the potential cost ranges have also been analysed. The factors need to be tailored to specific grid conditions to assess the cost-effectiveness of individual measures in a given context. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 15/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Mapping of losses – electricity grids RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Drivers and regulation Measures which require the exploitation of DER flexibility have still limited diffusion in many Member States, often just at pilot level. Their implementation would require the definition of new regulatory mechanisms over how DSOs can procure and activate DER flexibility. On this topic, a specific focus on Demand Response will be carried out in the second part of the study. Energy efficiency (and particularly loss reduction) is the main driver of investments when there is the need to comply with regulatory requirements and quality standards (e.g. EcoDesign directive). In general, loss reduction is considered as one of the variables of a larger investment optimization plan, but not the main driver for investments. The incentive to pursue specific investments for loss reduction is strictly related to the presence of regulatory incentives. A wide variety of regulatory frameworks are present in European Member States, which in some cases do not explicitly support loss reduction measures. A detailed catalogue of energy efficiency measures together with an assessment of their costeffectiveness has been defined for electricity and gas grids. As the potential of these measures is very much related to the specific local grid conditions, the analysis has focused on the assessment of key factors affecting the benefits and the costs of selected measures. System operators then need to customize these factors to their specific local grid conditions. An excel tool has been set-up to guide project promoters in the assessment of the costeffectiveness of different energy efficiency measures according to their local grid conditions. The tool highlights the main factors affecting the benefits and cost of each measure and provides examples for benchmark. Cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency measures A number of factors can greatly impact the cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency measures, such as: - Monetary value of losses, i.e. the average price of wholesale electricity (the higher, the more cost-effective are energy efficiency measures) - Loss reduction is in many cases a side-benefit of investments driven by other needs. The cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency improvements should thus be analysed within the context of a larger investment plan. - Parallel grid developments (e.g. roll-out of smart meters; built-in smart functionalities in DG converters etc.) make the enabling infrastructure for certain EE measures already available, reducing their implementation costs. - Energy efficiency measures could have conflicting objectives (e.g. loss reduction and hosting capacity when implementing DG voltage optimization). - External factors outside the control of system operators can also greatly impact the potential of EE measures: e.g. the development and location of DERs. A system approach to energy efficiency A systemic approach should be adopted when assessing the impacts of the implementation of a portfolio of EE measures. This could include: GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 16/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Catalogue of measures and decision-support tool RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 1. INTRODUCTION (PART 1) 1.1. Objectives of this study According to Article 15(2) of the EE Directive (2012/27/EU), Member States have to ensure, by the 30th June 2015, that: (a) an assessment is undertaken of the Energy Efficiency potentials of their gas and electricity infrastructure, in particular regarding transmission, distribution, load management and interoperability, and connection to energy generating installations, including access possibilities for micro energy generators; (b) concrete measures and investments are identified for the introduction of cost-effective Energy Efficiency improvements in the network infrastructure, with a timetable for their introduction. According to collected information at the moment of finalization of the interim report, some Member States are finalising their assessment, while others presumably are not. The main objective of this study is therefore to support Member States which have not yet carried out the assessment. The study also aims at defining common ground to carry out the review of the assessment reports submitted by Member States to the EC. The analysis is supported by examples of the observed impacts of the measures based on literature review and a data collection survey carried out with European system operators’ associations. Finally the study aims at integrating the result of the analysis in an easy-to use decision support tool, to be used by system operators to screen most cost-effective energy efficiency investments. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 17/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval - Synergies among EE measures, i.e. consider the whole EE program rather than individual EE measures. This includes the assessment of possible negative influence of parallel implementation of measures. - Synergies with on-going parallel investments in the energy system (e.g. installation of smart converters for DGs) - Synergies with replacement/investment programs already scheduled (e.g. oversizing new lines taking into account the loss reduction potential). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 1.2. The Energy Efficiency Directive The 2012 Energy Efficiency Directive (EED) establishes a set of binding measures to help the EU reach its 20% energy efficiency target by 2020 [1]. The Directive states that 1.5% of the average final energy consumption in the period 2010-2012 needs to be saved annually from 2014 onwards till 2020. To achieve that, energy efficiency improvements throughout the whole value chain of the energy sector are required, that is from generation-transmission-distribution to consumption of any energy carrier to be delivered to the industry, building or transportation sector. Loss reduction is a key aspect of energy efficiency in energy grids. To date, the electricity and gas consumption is responsible for 43% of the final energy consumption in the EU and their infrastructure losses account for 1,5% and 0.3% respectively2. Losses levels vary among Members States. One key way to improve energy efficiency is to reduce energy wastage. In the electricity sector this wastage is referred to as losses and in the gas sector as shrinkage [2]. Energy efficiency potential therefore implies the minimisation of wastage in both gas and electricity transmission and distribution networks. Energy savings that can be provided by investing in measures aiming at reducing those grid losses can be significant, depending on the local situation. Moreover, the directive also considers that grid energy efficiency measures should go beyond loss reduction and also take into account planning/operational efficiency. This entails exploring opportunities to improve the efficient operation of available energy infrastructure and reduce the need for investing in new infrastructures3. This study will particularly consider the planning/operational efficiency in electricity grids, where, thanks to new “Smart” measures allowing active grid management, a higher potential for improvement is available. In particular, a detailed analysis of the impact of demand response on operational efficiency will be carried out in the second part of this study. 2 Ecofys analysis from EuroStat database 3 See DG ENER guidance note http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legalcontent/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52013SC0450&from=EN point 57 an d 58, Chapter E GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 18/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Article 15 of the EED targets specifically the transmission and distribution sector of electricity and gas and requires thus Member states to perform an assessment of the energy efficiency potential of their respective infrastructure. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 1.3. Reading guide to this document For sake of brevity and readability, the main text reports the key results and messages of the analysis. A more detailed description of all the analysis that has been carried out is reported in the Annexes: ANNEX I reports detailed analysis of the parameters affecting the potential and the costeffectiveness of EE measures. ANNEX II and III report the results and the questionnaire of the stakeholders’ survey. ANNEX IV describes in detail the decision support tool (excel file) that synthetises the analysis in a step-by-step methodology. 1.3.1. Energy efficiency measures for electricity grids Energy efficiency measures for electricity grids are analysed in chapters 2 and 3. Chapter 4 provides a summary of the cost-effectiveness of the selected energy efficiency measures. The study considers three categories of energy efficiency measures for electricity grids: Traditional ones (replacement/reinforcement) Network management (e.g. Smart Grid assets) Flexibility of distributed energy resources (Feed-in control). Table 1 - Perimeter of the study for energy efficiency measures in electricity grids provides a mapping of the perimeter of the study for the energy efficiency measures in electricity grids. The second part of the study carries out a dedicated focus on the feed-in control category, especially on demand response. In particular, the use of DR flexibility in planning and operation will be thoroughly explored. EE Measures for electricity grids Grid energy efficiency – electricity grids Loss reduction Planning/Operational efficiency Traditional (replacement/reinforcements) Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Smart Network Management Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Feed-in control (flexibility of distributed energy resources) Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Specific focus on Demand Response in second part of the report Table 1 - Perimeter of the study for energy efficiency measures in electricity grids GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 19/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The interim report is organized in two main parts. A first part analyses the potential and the costeffectiveness of energy efficiency measures in electricity networks, whereas the second part carries out the same analysis for gas networks. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 1.3.2. Energy efficiency measures for gas grids Energy efficiency measures for gas grids are analysed in chapters 5 and 6. Selected measures have been categorized as follows: Measures for transmission grids Measures for compression stations Measures for distribution grids The analysis has mainly focused on the potential for reduction of gas shrinkage in the gas system. EE Measures for gas grids Potential for reduction of gas shrinkage Cost-effectiveness of measures Transmission grids Chapter 5 Chapter 6 Compression stations Chapter 5 Chapter 6 Distribution grids Chapter 5 Chapter 6 Table 2 - Perimeter of the study for energy efficiency measures in gas grids GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 20/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Table 2 reports the perimeter of the study for the energy efficiency measures in gas grids. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2. POTENTIAL OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES ON LOSS REDUCTION IN ELECTRICITY GRIDS This chapter presents the qualitative and quantitative assessment of the energy efficiency potential in electricity infrastructure with particular reference to losses. 4 Figure 1 – Level of losses in electricity grids in selected EU Member States 4 Both technical and non-technical losses, based on the Ecofys analysis from EuroStat database GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 21/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Section 2.1 presents the key factors that are central to the understanding of how losses are created in electricity networks. Based on this mapping, section 2.2 presents the key measures for increasing energy efficiency, and key context indicators on how to assess their energy efficiency potential. Figure 1 reports best estimations of the level of energy losses in electricity and gas grids in a number of European Member States. The figure shows that the level of losses varies significantly among Member States, hinting that potentials for energy efficiency improvement are different and depends on local conditions (e.g. starting conditions of grids -e.g. voltage level; number of transformers- and potentials for energy efficiency improvement are different). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.1. Understanding energy losses in electricity networks Figure 2: Categorisation of losses in electricity networks: Mapping and key mechanisms [3], [2], [4] 2.1.1. Type: Technical/non-Technical and Variable/Fixed Electrical losses can be divided into technical losses, which refer to energy transformed to heat and noise during the transmission and therefore physically lost, and non-technical losses, which refer to energy delivered and consumed, but for some reason not recorded as sales (such as theft). A general rule of thumb is that technical losses can rise up to 12%. When system losses exceed this limit, they are most probably due to increased non-technical losses [5]. In general technical losses can be split into [6]: GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 22/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Energy losses in electricity grids are created through a set of parallel mechanisms which affect the different network components. In order to analyse the impacts and potential of energy efficiency measures, one should understand how losses are created through these mechanisms and how losses are mapped in electricity grids. Figure 2 presents the key factors on the mapping of losses (to allow the quantification of where losses occur in the system), and further presents the key mechanisms for losses creation (for a better understanding of how measures could lead to losses reduction). In total there are 8 key dimensions to categorize energy losses in electricity networks, presented in the following sections. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Variable losses (also referred to as load or copper losses), occur due to the heating effect of energy passing through conductors in lines and cables and also in the copper in transformers. They vary in proportion to the square of the current and in proportion to the conductor resistance. In essence, measures to reduce variable losses can be understood under these two main influencing factors and how they apply in the global system: they either aim to reduce the system power flows or to reduce the resistance of the transportation paths. In general, variable losses contribute roughly to two thirds to three quarters of the total power system technical losses. Fixed losses (also referred to as non-load or iron losses), refer to energy needed for the energisation of transformers 5 or conductors. These losses are invariant with current and depend mainly on the number of energised components. In this respect, measures to reduce fixed losses mainly aim to reduce the number of energised components or to increase their efficiency. In general they contribute to roughly one quarter to one third of the total network losses.6 Voltage level: transmission and distribution networks Electrical losses are directly affected by the voltage level: increasing the voltage level leads to a reduction of system currents and therefore of the respective energy losses. A consultation on the treatment of losses by network operators was conducted by the European Regulators’ Group for Electricity and Gas7 for fourteen EU countries in 2008 and since, no update to the study has been completed8. Table 3 illustrates the percentage of losses per system level in selected EU countries from [7]. The average losses in transmission networks (TNs) in EU vary between 1-2.6% while for distribution networks (DNs) between 2.3-13.4% [7]. This variation has mainly to do with the historical development and current state of the grids in each country with regard to age, design etc. In general, distribution networks present the highest losses and the highest energy efficiency potential and therefore are the focus of this study. 5 This refers to the energy needed for the operation of the magnetic fields that enable the operation of transformers. 6 Another source of fixed losses are corona losses, which occur in high voltage lines. They vary with the voltage level and the physical wire diameter and with weather conditions such as rain and fog and are generally a very small percentage of the overall system losses. 7 Referred to today as the Council of European Energy Regulators 8 Eurostat provides data on for total system losses for each EU country in 2014 but the breakdown of this data does not exist GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 23/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2.1.2. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Table 3: Percentage of losses in transmission and distribution networks in selected EU countries. Components: Lines and Transformers Power lines and transformers are the primary components of the infrastructure in electricity networks. A key difference is that only variable losses occur in lines, while transformers are responsible for both fixed and variable losses. Figure 3 presents how losses are distributed between these two key categories of components for the different voltage levels and different EU countries. As can be seen, the majority of losses occur close to the customer, on low voltage (LV) networks followed by medium voltage (MV) grids. A high variation in energy losses in transformers can be observed, primarily due to the age of the assets. Figure 3: Mapping of losses based on voltage level and components for different EU countries (FR: [8], [9]; GER: [10], [11], [12], [13], [14]; UK: [2], [5], [15]; EU: [16], GIS Data) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 24/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2.1.3. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Transformers are the system components presenting both fixed and variable losses. Typically a third of the total system technical losses occur in transformers while fixed losses account for about two thirds of total transformer losses. The operational efficiency of transformers depends on the loading. The peak efficiency of distribution transformers reaches 99.4% at approximately 40-50% of rated capacity [18]. In the EU the average loading of distribution transformers in electricity distribution companies is 18,9%, far below optimal, rendering their efficiency at 98.38% [18]. Since transformers run round the clock for more than 40 years, a 0.1% marginal increase in efficiency of a transformer population leads to significant loss reductions. [18] conducted a unique study in 2008 comparing the operating efficiency of newly purchased versus the existing fleet of distribution transformers in electricity distribution companies across the EU. Figure 4 illustrates the results. On average, the efficiency of distribution transformers in the E.U has the potential to increase by 0.35%. Figure 4 Efficiency of distribution sector transformer population and market [18] GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 25/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval In Figure 3, the sum of the losses of the EHV and HV grids in each country falls in the general range of transmission losses for transformers and lines expressed in the top row of the figure. For example, in Germany, transmission losses sum to 37% of the total grid losses which falls in the range of 13% and 42%. The transmission losses are specifically high in this country compared to France and the UK, both at 25%. This is due to high international transits and internal transits from north to south [17]. Similarly, the distribution of losses is not uniform across countries and depends on the specific grid conditions. For example, in France and UK line losses are higher in the MV grid compared to the LV grid, and in France, losses in LV transformers are higher than in LV lines, whereas in Germany losses are highest in LV lines. We discuss further the factors that affect the losses in each component. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Lines Power lines are the primary source of losses as indicated in Figure 3. Power line losses can be considered almost entirely as variable losses and are proportional to the conductor resistance and to the square of the current. Resistance of the line is equal to , where: L is the length of the line, thus long lines have a higher R and higher losses A is the cross sectional area , thus thicker lines lead to decreased line losses the resistivity, which depends on the material of the line (copper or aluminium) and its temperature, hence a heated line leads to higher losses The current represents the power flow fluctuation and has a quadratic effect which is discussed below. Marginal vs Average losses The currents in a system vary based on the system loading. The variable losses are the sum of the losses for all operational instances, comprising of operational instances of high loading (marginal losses) and of normal loading (average losses). Average line losses are more often used when estimating power losses, due to the fact that they are measured by meters, while measuring marginal line losses requires advanced and expensive meters [19]. Since variable losses are proportional to the square of the current, marginal losses have a much higher contribution to the total sum. This is shown as an example in Figure 5 where the losses from 3 cases of system loading are presented. In all cases the same energy is transported, but the loading profiles present a different variability. Smoother loading profiles lead to significant losses reduction, up to 20% for a flat profile. Figure 5 Impact of smoothing the system loading on the reduction of variable losses Therefore, losses increase disproportionally when the system loading is higher, which is actually when they cost more, since normally these are the cases when power prices are higher. Furthermore they create an increase in the system loading exactly at the times when there are less available generation resources. In this respect, efficiency measures that help reduce the marginal loading of the system would have a higher contribution to the reduction of system losses [20]. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 26/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2.1.4. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Role of DG and grid management In the latest years, distribution networks experience increasing penetration levels of distributed generation (DG), in the form of small-to-medium size generating units connected in medium and low voltage networks. A large share of these units consists of renewable generators, namely wind turbines, CHP or PV panels. The general expectation has been that locating generation closer to demand could reduce losses since the distance over which electricity is transported is shortened and the number of voltage transformation levels is reduced. [21] However, this is only true when the energy generated by DG and variable RES (VRES) units is consumed locally (synchronised to load, local balancing). [22] In reality, such local balancing does not occur, either due to lack of a proper operational market framework or due to the stochastic nature of the prime energy mover (in the case of VRES). This unbalanced operation can lead to increased network flows (and thus losses), often translated into reverse flows from distribution networks to transmission systems. Figure 6 presents the expected effect of increasing shares of non-synchronised DG to distribution network losses. In particular, losses are expected to decrease for low penetration levels, due to the fact that no significant reverse flows are expected but after a certain level they increase due to the increased power flows they incur to the system. For example, [23] shows a study case in a LV grid in Switzerland where grid losses reach a maximum reduction of 20% at 25% PV penetration. At a penetration level of 50%, they are equivalent to the case when there was no PV and further increase if more PV panels are installed. Figure 6: Impact of increasing DG penetration level and asynchronism of generation and demand to grid losses [12] GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 27/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2.1.5. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.1.6. Reactive Losses . Figure 7: Voltage profile of the test feeder for different generating scenarios [25] Figure 7 demonstrates that all possible load/DG scenarios need to be studied to assess the decrease of reactive losses in the system. In this specific case a 3.2 MW DG capacity synchronised with the load would lead to almost no voltage deviation, hence minimizing reactive losses. However, in reality, utilities do not have control on the allocation or the size of DG that will be installed in their distribution grid. Therefore different voltage support actions with different impacts are used. We discuss them in the next section on voltage optimisation. 9 Power factor is a ratio between the real power and apparent power flowing through a conductor. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 28/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Currents in electricity systems comprise of the vector sum of two components, active (responsible for the transmission of active power) and reactive currents (responsible for the energy alternately stored and released by inductors and/or capacitors). Reactive losses are due to the circulation of reactive currents, which are increased when the power factor9 is deviating from unity, and when voltage deviations are observed. Local voltage control actions (reactive power injection or absorption) are the most widely accepted means for supporting voltages and reducing reactive losses in distribution networks. In traditional distribution networks (comprising mainly of loads), the voltage drops at the end of the line due the consumption of reactive power by the line when it is highly loaded. The placement of capacitors for local injection of reactive power to compensate for those losses is the state of the art solution for voltage support. In [24] it is demonstrated that the use of such device reduce reactive losses by up to 45% compared to the case where reactive power is transmitted from an external grid to compensate for the voltage deviation. In distribution networks comprising of loads and DG, situations of over-voltages are observed if the DG output exceeds the load. In [25] a case study analyses the effect of DG on the voltage deviations of a 10 kV test distribution feeder with five equally distributed load of 0.5 MW each. Variable capacities of DG are connected to node 4. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.1.7. Imbalances Electricity networks comprise three phase systems which (especially in distribution grids) serve single or dual phase loads. Imbalances in the loading between the three phases lead unavoidably to increased currents in at least one phase, which increase marginal losses. Typically, imbalances occur on all parts of the low voltage network due to customers who use one or two phases with different load consumptions. In order to rebalance the network it is necessary to reconfigure phase loading to ensure that this captures the development of loads. This is normally done based on maximum customer load and cannot capture the fluctuations of load profiles over time. In this respect, some imbalance is unavoidable [3]. Life cycle assessment: impact of losses on investment decisions Losses are one key contributor to operational expenditures in power networks. Typically, optimal investment decisions translate in finding the components configuration that minimise the sum of initial investments and lifetime costs (Lifecycle costing – LCC). Due to the long lifetime of the network assets, adopting a LCC approach that includes losses can steer decision making when included in investment analysis. In the case of transformers, LCC shows that the purchase of energy efficient equipment could be optimal decision regardless of the higher initial capital costs. [18] Similarly, in the case of lines, and due to the characteristics of variable losses, a LCC optimal decision leads to increased line capacities for reduction of losses. In distribution network design, the inclusion of the cost of losses leads to much lower utilisation rates of the assets (thus higher installed capacities) in contrast to the practice of using the assets as much as possible to increase capital efficiency. [26] Consequently, there is a trade-off between the cost of financing surplus capacity and the cost of losses. 2.2. Energy efficiency measures in electricity networks: categorisation and potential Figure 8 presents the key energy efficiency measures and their categorisation in two main categories, a) the ‘traditional’ measures of component replacement, and b) measures that achieve a reduction of losses by an improved management of the power system, either by controlling the network infeeds (local balancing) or by grid management actions (such as network reconfiguration, voltage control, or elimination of imbalances). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 29/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2.1.8. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) E-EE grid Measures Component replacement System management Feed-in EE Transformers Increase Line capacity Increase Voltage level Grid Mgmt Control DG Demand Response Energy Network Storage Mgmt Trafo VRES switching Controllable (micro-chp) Network reconfiguration CVR Voltage Balance 3-ph line loading Control On Load Tap Changing Trafo Reactive power compensation (e.g. DFACTS) Figure 8: Categorisation of key energy efficiency measures in electricity networks The loss reduction potential of each measure can be in principle analysed by the factors presented in the previous section. Table 4 presents a mapping of the energy efficiency potential of each measure with respect to the categorisation of losses presented in section 2.1 (table refers to distribution networks, as they present the highest share of losses in the electricity system). As can be seen, each measure affects a set of factors and therefore the potential of each measure will depend on how losses are mapped in the specific grid. The table presents two dimensions which together map the potential, firstly the applicability of each measure on different voltage levels and secondly the effectiveness for loss reduction when the measure is applied. The combination of the two dimensions allows the estimation of the potential, e.g. measures of high effectiveness but of poor applicability would rank low on potential. Concerning variable losses, a key differentiator is the point where the measure is applied. System loading at each voltage level corresponds to the sum of the loadings from the networks in underlying voltage levels. Therefore, measures generally affect losses from the network level where applied and upwards, making energy efficiency measures that apply to lower voltage levels the most efficient. A typical example on this is demand response and demand flattening actions: applying such measure to LV networks will lead to a flattening of profiles to the higher system levels also, inducing a chain of loss reduction towards the upper levels. This also means that losses at the LV grid will only be influenced by measures at this voltage level, such as customer side demand response. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 30/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval DER Voltage control RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Table 4: Mapping of the energy efficiency potential of each measure (focus on loss reduction in electrical distribution grids) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 31/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.2.1. Energy Efficient transformers The key mechanism is the replacement of transformers with energy efficient ones 10, which in most cases are larger and with higher capital cost. As transformers are responsible for both variable and fixed losses in the system and their replacement is easier than changing cables or lines, this option presents a good loss reduction potential, and affects almost all factors of losses, as shown in Table 4. As shown in Figure 3 most losses in transformers occur in distribution grids, therefore the potential of the measure in lower voltage levels is higher. The lifetime of transformers is typically around 40 years. In many cases however, assets are still operational beyond this point, but with significantly lower efficiency levels. As shown in [18], 20% of the oldest distribution transformers (installed before 1974) are responsible for 35% of the fixed losses and 30% of the variable losses in the EU, approximately a total of 38 TWh of losses per year. Replacing them with energy efficient transformers can help reducing these losses by 80% [5], leading to an annual saving of 30TWh, equivalent to the annual electricity consumption of Denmark [27]. Furthermore, [28] quantified the impact of implementing the MEPS 11 of the Ecodesign Directive till 2025 and found that energy savings of 84 TWh could be achieved compared to a business as usual scenario. Western Power Distribution (DSO in UK) conducted a cost and benefit analysis including the values of losses to know whether their transformers needs to be replaced. [3] The outcome of the study shows that it is only beneficial to oversize their smallest units (pole or ground mounted) and to replace earlier than planned all pre-1958 ground mounted distribution transformers. The expected savings per annum reaches 2.76 GWh, 97% coming from the replacement of the old transformers. 1010 Energy efficient transformers have reduced variable and fixed losses. To reduce variable losses, the resistance of the wires needs to be decreased, which can be done by increasing the cross sectional area or by using materials with a lower resistance. To reduce fixed losses, one way is to use materials with better magnetic properties. 11 This option of the Mandatory Energy Performance Standards requires newly installed transformers to follow Top Efficient level of EN 50464-1 for Tier 1 (2015) and Least Life Cycle Cost for Tier 2 (2020). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 32/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The asset replacement strategy depends on the state of the population, characterized by the age, size and type of transformers. For an optimal investment decision the cost of losses should be taken into account in a full LCC analysis. Such LCC estimation shows that efficient transformers have a payback period of 2-13 years compared to less-efficient models when the cost of the lost energy is included to the cost of purchase [5]. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.2.2. Increasing voltage level Increasing voltage level reduces the currents required to distribute the same amount of electricity, increases current capacity of the grid and reduces substantially voltage drops and line losses. It presents further indirect benefits such as reduction of probability of short circuits, increase of quality of supply and it increases the DG hosting capacity. The measure typically applies to MV networks, where multiple voltage levels are possible (e.g. 10kV and 20kV). In cases where the insulation coordination allows both voltage levels, it can be applied by changing only the transformers. In most cases however this is not the case and a full renewal of all network components is necessary, which implies high costs. The measure is particularly interesting to aging MV networks as it comes at little extra cost to up-rate the voltage [5]. The measure was applied in large scale in Ireland for upgrading the MV rural networks from 10kV to 20kV [29]. These networks were designed in the 50’s for lower typical household consumptions and load densities, and were severely loaded and experiencing very poor voltage regulation. The costs of 20kV conversion were little more than those of rebuilding in 10kV, yet the voltage drop were halved, thermal capacity doubled and losses reduced by 75%. 2.2.3. Increasing line capacity Increasing cross-sectional area of cables leads to reduction of variable losses. Typically, doubling cable rating leads to a reduction of losses by a factor of four. However, once a cable is installed, it becomes expensive to make alterations to the cable, since civil works cost element of replacing a cable outweighs any loss reduction benefits. The key opportunity to reduce losses therefore exists at the time that the cable is initially installed or replaced [3]. An alternative approach is to make use of high-temperature superconductors (HTS) which present no resistance when they are cooled down at -180°C and can carry five times the current of a conventional cable system with the same outer dimensions. The losses from this system are due to the energy needed to operate the cooling mechanism. [30] As shown in Table 4, the applicability of cable up-rating is deemed medium, and the measure should be applied in cases on new line installations or replacements. Applicability of HTS is deemed rather low, mainly for cases of high currents that need to be transported over relatively short distances. Both measures have a high potential to reduce variable losses. A CBA conducted by Western Power Distribution showed that is beneficial to uprate all the existing MV underground cables from 6.6kV to 11 kV. The planning is to replace 700 km of cables per year and savings are estimated at 3GWh per year. The study also showed that it is not beneficial to uprate the 11kV network as these higher voltage network cables support adjacent networks in times of fault. [3] GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 33/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval As shown in Table 4, the applicability of the measure is mainly on MV grids and is deemed rather low since only a limited number of networks will fulfil the respective conditions for applying this measure. On the other hand, the potential of the method on reducing variable losses is high, in the cases this solution is chosen. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) A 1 km 10 kV HTS cable was installed in 2014 to replace several 110kV underground cables connecting two 10 kV substations in Essen Germany. The cost of the energy needed to cool the cable down to eliminate its resistance over its lifecycle is found to be 15% lower than the cost of compensating losses in conventional 110 kV cables. HTS are mentioned as the best technical and economically viable solution to avoid the necessary extension of the 110 kV grid in urban areas. [30] Feed-in control This measure refers to applying control actions for local balancing of demand and supply in distribution grids, which leads to reduction of variable losses due to two key factors, the reduction of energy transportation distance (energy is consumed locally) and the reduction of marginal losses (by a flattening of flow profiles). This local balancing can be performed by three options for control actions, of supply (DG), of demand (demand response actions) or of energy storage (can be considered as supply and demand)12. Under this measure the control of active power is considered. (Control of reactive power of DGs is analysed under the Voltage Optimisation section). The potential of this measure depends on three key factors, namely the ability for spatial and temporal matching and the underlying technical limitations. Spatial matching: it relates to the system architecture, namely DG penetration levels and relative position of dispersed supply and demand; a general rule of thumb is that the measure is more effective when supply and demand are close and when it is of similar rating. Temporal matching: it refers to the operational framework that should coordinate local balancing; such a framework is most of the times non-existent. Network losses are generally reduced for low DG penetration levels, mainly due to the fact that independent of the coordination scheme generation does not exceed demand. For higher penetration levels however, this lack of coordination translates into reverse power flows and to a gradual increase of system losses (see Figure 6). Technical limitations: refer to the specific flexibility characteristics of the technology which reveal the degree of local coordination that can be achieved. Such limitations include DG controllability, demand elasticity and potential for peak shifting/clipping and the size and flexibility of the storage devices. 12 New demand such as Electric Vehicles and Heat pumps are included in these categories, but with specific flexibility characteristics and limitations due to their primary operation. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 34/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2.2.4. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) This impact is discussed in [31], where the potential of demand response from residential customers in reducing marginal losses of a Swedish distribution network is investigated. Results show that this reduction varies from 4%, (if 10% of the peak load is shifted) to a maximum of 18%, if the load profile is flattened. The Model City Mannheim project proved effectively after having developed, installed and tested smart control systems in 1000 households that the price elasticity of customers to variable tariffs was 10% [32], which means that 10% of the demand could be shifted when the price of electricity increased by 10%. In other terms, the 4% reduction of marginal losses mentioned in [31] is feasible. This translates into annual savings of 350 MWh, equivalent to the electricity consumption of 55 households in Sweden [33]. The IMPROGRESS project analysed the impact of distributed generation on three distribution network in Germany, Spain and Netherlands [34]. The different characteristics of each area were taken account: medium and low voltage networks, urban and semi-urban areas, number of customer, shares of wind and PV and CHP and a forecast for load demand and DG penetration till 2020 was applied. The areas studied are Aranjuez in Spain (industrial, wind and CHP), Mannheim in Germany (residential, lots of PV roof and micro-CHP) and Kop van Noord (lots of wind and CHP) in the Netherlands. The feed-in control action consisted on one hand of curtailing VRES or storing the excess power in an electric heat boiler and on the other shifting the demand from periods with low DG penetration to those where most CHP units were running. The study showed that if feed-in control is practiced instead of expanding the LV grid to cope with the forecast growth of DG until 2020, 97 €/kWDG in Netherlands can be saved, 77 €/kWDG in Germany and 73 €/kWDG in Spain. The potential savings calculation includes the Net Present Value of the electrical losses that would have been caused by the increasing penetration levels of DG in each distribution grids. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 35/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval As can be seen in Table 4, although VRES are generally present in MV and LV grids, their effectiveness to perform local balancing actions is deemed rather low, mainly due to the fact that such actions translate into reduction/curtailment of active power production. Controllable DG present a medium effectiveness, since although they are technically capable, they cannot perform such actions due to lack of enabling operational framework. Demand response presents a high applicability and high effectiveness on reduction of technical losses, which however depends on the technical potential of demand (peak shifting/clipping potential). This option presents also a medium potential for reduction of non-technical losses, since they are most of the time combined to smart metering infrastructure that enables better monitoring of the creation of non-technical losses. Finally, energy storage presents a high effectiveness on local balancing but a rather low applicability due to the low implementation of storage in distribution grids. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Within [14] the German Federal Ministry of Economics (BMWi) examines various measures to improve the integration of VRES into the distribution grids. One of the key findings is that the curtailment of 1% of the annual feed-in of VRES reduces the necessary grid extensions by 30%. A curtailment of 3% of the energy annually produced by VRES would be sufficient to avoid 40% of the required grid extensions. The effectiveness of curtailment measures rapidly decreases if more than 3% of the annual feed-in of VRES is curtailed. 2.2.5. Transformers switching Fixed losses can be reduced without replacing equipment by reducing the number of energised transformers in the system. This can be achieved by eliminating transformation steps or by switching off transformers. Elimination of transformation steps could be achieved by direct coupling of higher voltage levels to lower ones without the use of intermediate transformers (use of a single transformation step). Alternatively, switching off transformers could be possible in periods of low demand for configurations where multiple transformers are required in a substation to meet peak load or for redundancy. This can be achieved via an ‘Auto Stop Start’ System that allows to periodically de-energise redundant transformers in substations. As shown in Table 4, the potential of the measure is high on reduction of fixed losses. In addition to reducing the fixed losses, this measure also reduces the variable (and marginal) losses by improving of the loading of the energised transformers. The effectiveness of the measure in different voltage levels depends on the redundancy configurations used. In this respect, the measure is especially effective in MV or LV networks where redundant transformers are often in use. Case studies show a 75% loss reduction in MV networks, equivalent to the loss reduction achieved by upgrading the 11kV network to 20 kV, however at about 1% of the upgrade cost. The project is in execution phase led by the Scottish and Southern Electric Power Distribution and will end in 2018 to validate the scale of loss reductions (640 MWh/year) and to confirm that repeated switching did not impact the asset lives and the supply security. [36]. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 36/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval In [35], energy storage is used to shift load from peak to off-peak period and the impact on reducing transmission and distribution losses is analysed. The authors developed a set of normalized charts to quantify the saved T&D losses as a function of the size of the energy storage device, its efficiency and the load shifting potential (i.e. the ratio of the off-peak to peak load). Based on an existing 1 MW battery storage system installed for shifting a peak load from 20 MW to 6 MW in a 12 kV distribution feeder in Virginia USA, the authors estimate that 1 to 3% of T&D losses could be saved which translates in 180 to 330 MWh year of energy saved including the storage losses. The authors demonstrate that it is more beneficial to distribute small size storages at different locations rather than using a big size at a single site to maximize the reduction of T&D losses. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.2.6. Network reconfiguration As shown in Table 4, the measure involves reduction of variable losses mainly in MV networks, where such configurations are employed and its potential is defined as medium. The potential depends on the reconfiguration frequency and the spatial and temporal variations of power demand. A limitation may be if the switch-disconnector equipment is designed for a limited number of operations per lifetime (e.g. 1.000) [15], which limits the applicability of control actions. Typically, for systems with high penetration levels of intermittent DG (especially wind generators), which experience higher and random spatial and temporal demand variations, higher switching frequencies are necessary. Results from field pilot projects reported in [15] show that network reconfiguration may lead to a theoretical reduction of losses of 40% for an hourly reconfiguration (which however cannot be applied due to limitations of the switching equipment), and up to 20%, 10%, 4% if the reconfiguration is made on a weekly, seasonal or yearly basis respectively. 2.2.7. Conservation voltage reduction Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) is a reduction of active power delivered to demand resulting from a reduction of feeder voltage within the operational ranges. CVR schemes typically contain two fundamental components: a) reactive power compensation, achieved through the operation of shunt capacitors in order to maintain the power factor at the substation transformer within a prescribed band, and b) voltage optimization, achieved through the operation of substation voltage regulators in order to regulate the voltage at specific end of line points within a prescribed range. In this way the peak load and the annual energy consumption are reduced. [9] When applied on LV networks, the measure can be applied by changing settings at the primary substation [3]. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 37/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The measure involves changing network topology at the distribution level dynamically by using automated switching actions. Typical implementations are Smart Feeder Switching (SFS) and Advanced Distribution Management Systems (ADMS). The configuration of the network has an effect on losses in terms of the distance the electricity is transported. MV networks are typically configured as open loops and are controlled in order to be able to isolate faults and restore power. As the demand changes spatially and in time, it is often the case that the configuration of a network is not the optimal one for the specific demand situation. There might therefore be some scope for reducing losses by reconfiguring the network, to provide shorter, more direct paths to where highest demand is situated. SFS and ADMS are typical implementation for performing automated switching actions on distribution feeder systems enabling a reduction of distribution system losses [37], [15], [38]. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) The applicability of the method depends on the type of load in the system. The method typically applies well to ‘voltage dependent’ loads such as filament lamps and resistive heating13. However, increasingly more load is ‘voltage independent’, as it is fed via a switched mode power supply, which effectively changes its impedance based on voltage (such as HF fluorescent, LED, PCs VFD fed motors). Therefore lowering voltage may not, in all circumstances, lead to the demand savings as desired and could actually increase losses. [2] Therefore, the measure is considered of low applicability and medium effectiveness, as presented in Table 4. 2.2.8. Voltage optimisation Voltage optimisation refers to reduction of reactive losses by the application of local voltage control actions (reactive power injection or absorption) aiming at local correction of the power factor. The placement of capacitors for local injection of reactive power is the state of the art solution for voltage support for passive networks (networks including mainly loads). In distribution networks comprising of loads and DGs, the fluctuating generation profiles lead to situation of over-voltages (when local generation exceeds demand) or under-voltages (in situations of high demand and no DG production). Voltage support actions should therefore be performed dynamically and react to the conditions in each operational instance in order to optimise the feeder voltage profiles. This is made possible through recent improvements in sensors, communications, control algorithms, and information processing technologies that allow monitoring voltage levels throughout the distribution system. This information is sent to devices that can adjust voltage regulating equipment and capacitor banks on distribution feeders in near-real time enabling quick adjustments in response to constantly changing load and voltage conditions. Options to perform such actions are installing smart reactive power compensation devices (e.g. D-FACTS, see [41]), using on-load tap changing (OLTC) voltage control actions at the distribution transformers [42], or by using the capabilities of converters for power factor correction [12] in the case of converterconnected DG14. 13 As the resistance of these devices is largely fixed, applying a lower voltage reduces the current drawn, less power is transferred and hence overall load is reduced. 14 Typically converters can adjust the power factor at the point of connection, by changing the injection or consumption of reactive power. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 38/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval According to [39], utilities applying CVR may expect to see 1% reductions in electricity consumption for every 1% reduction in voltage. Detailed analysis of CVR schemes in US show that they can lead to peak demand reduction of 1 to 2.5% [39] and annual energy reduction of 4% [9] Western Power Distribution is planning a voltage reduction trial in the South Wales area on their MV networks from 11.4kV to 11.3kV and anticipates reduction of 95MWh which will reduce the customer bills by a calculated €13M each year and carbon emissions by 41 000 tonnes a year. [40] RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) In [39], the results from 26 voltage optimisation programs are reported. The voltage optimisation analysis focused on CVR and on reduction of energy losses along feeders, by automated switching of capacitor banks. Results reported that for the 31 feeders under investigation half of witnessed line loss reductions in the range of 0% to 5%, and 5 feeders experienced loss reductions greater than 5%. Feeders with the worst baseline power factors (i.e., those with the highest amount of inductive loads) showed the greatest reductions in line losses. Overcompensation was observed in some feeders, which resulted in line loss increases. In [12] a study case is presented, investigating the role of reactive power compensation coming from DG on decreasing grid losses in the North of Germany. The analysis involves two MV grid areas of similar size in load and number of connected customers but with different DG penetration levels with respect to load demand (Area 1 with 45% and Area 2 with 146%). The DG mix analysed consisted of 90% wind power plants and 10% biomass plants. The results shows that grid losses would decrease by 15% in Area 1 if DG plants were adapting their power factor between a ±0,05 window but would increase by 3% in Area 2. The results confirm that the effectiveness of reactive power provision from DG plants is dependent on the grid topology and DG penetration level. In [42] a study case is presented, investigating the role of dynamically controlled OLTC on decreasing grid losses. Six additional wind generation sites of 14 MW are connected to a generic MV radial distribution system in the UK which needs to supply an annual energy demand of 215 GWh and a peak load of 38MW. If the wind generation sites are operating at a fixed unit power factor, the OLTC helps reduce grid losses annually from 2,8% to 2.3%, saving 1 GWh per year, equivalent to the average annual consumption of 240 houses in the UK [43]. [14] states that a full penetration of OLTC in Germany would reduce the average yearly grid expansion costs by 10%. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 39/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval As shown in Table 4, there are difference between the applicability and effectiveness of the options. Smart reactive power compensation devices are applied mainly on MV grids but their applicability is considered medium mainly due to cost limitations. Their effectiveness is high, since they can be applied to specific grid points. The applicability of OLTC is considered medium and their effectiveness is also deemed medium, since their operation can be limited in cases when multiple feeders are connected to the transformer (voltage control actions from OLTC affect all feeders at the same time and this may lead to conflicts). [25] DER voltage control is considered as a highly effective option with medium applicability mainly due to the fact that DER should be converter connected and because the effectiveness of controlling voltage profiles by controlling reactive power from DG is best applied to feeders with low resistance to reactance (R/X) ratio [23]. As shown in [23] reactive power control from PV panels in a LV grid (<1kV) in Switzerland would not be effective if the line diameters connecting the panels to the feeder were not larger than 50 mm2, i.e. the R/X ratio lower than 5. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.2.9. Balancing loading of lines As mentioned, imbalances are a common phenomenon in LV networks where single- or doublephase customers are connected to the three-phase system. These imbalances lead to having one phase carrying higher currents, giving rise to variable losses. The measure is to statically or dynamically transfer loads from one feeder to another to balance the total load across multiple feeders and transformers. As the demand changes in time, optimally balancing should be performed in short time periods and reacting to demand changes. [2] As discussed in [3], imbalances in the LV network can lead to neutral currents of around 35% of the phase current. The annual potential savings from imbalance correction in this respect are in the order of €70 to €110 per kilometre of LV network. An analysis of the effect of load balancing on the reduction of power losses in 12 feeders of a LV distribution power network in Russia is presented in [44]. The results show that the reduction of technical power losses after load balancing varies from 0% to 16% depending on each feeder configuration. A total of 13 MWh could be saved per year equivalent on average to the annual consumption of 100 customers. It is important to note that this specific regional power network already experienced high distribution losses of 18% in 2007. Reference [45] suggests the use of three-phase balancing PV units that are able to inject more power in one phase than in the other phases compared to single-phase PV units that inject only in one phase. The case study of typical Belgian LV network proves that the three phase balancing PV units could help decrease grid losses by 30% saving 7 GWh per year. 2.3. Regulatory regimes to promote loss reduction in electricity grids 2.3.1. Regulatory incentives: basic options Various regulatory incentives exist to motivate network operators in investing in energy efficiency (particularly loss reduction) in their networks. Some key options are reported below. 2.3.1.1. TECHNICAL STANDARDS FOR CONDUCTORS AND TRANSFORMERS A very effective measure that leads to an overall improvement in efficiency is setting mandatory standards on a European level. In such cases, the national regulatory design should allow a higher CAPEX allowance to grid operators as savings in OPEX will over-compensate them in the long run. Based on the EU Ecodesign Regulation, new power transformers installed after July 2015 need to meet a minimum energy efficiency standard. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 40/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The applicability of the measure is considered high and is limited to LV networks, as presented in Table 4. Its effectiveness is considered medium, depending on the frequency of balancing that can be achieved. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 2.3.1.2. FINANCIAL INCENTIVES In general financial incentives to increase efficiency can be of various forms, e.g. grants, loans or tax breaks. They can also be set via lower interest rates for energy-efficient investments. To further motivate and simplify investments, specific energy-efficiency budgets can be set up. Given that the transmission and distribution networks are regulated industries, the most appropriate way to deliver financial incentives would seem to be via the existing regulations. Another option regulators can use is setting individual targets for network losses for grid operators which can be a mechanism that financially penalises or rewards deviations from the target. This can be a strong incentive for grid operators to improve in operational performance while leaving them free space to decide on the most effective measure. OBLIGATION OR CERTIFICATE SCHEMES With obligations or certificates for energy efficiency and energy savings, grid operators are given specific shares of losses (and savings) that they have to meet, just like the option of financial incentives. In many schemes, there is also the option to trade certificates to meet the obligation. In case of not conforming to the obligation, penalties (financial or not) can be set to promote actions to meet the obligation which is a key difference to financial incentives. 2.3.1.4. VOLUNTARY AGREEMENTS Regulators can start by setting voluntary agreements with grid operators which would comprise non-binding guidelines e.g. for a maximum share of grid losses in power transmission and distribution. It can acquire the market participants’ attention on the issue and provide alignments on grid operation. 2.3.1.5. INFORMATION CAMPAIGNS TO OVERCOME LACK OF MOTIVATION There are two potential areas where lack of information might influence: with the regulators not understanding completely the case for energy efficiency and not setting the proper regulatory framework and with grid operators not having all the information for a business decision. An information campaign about best practices set up by the regulator can overcome such barriers. 2.3.2. State of play of regulatory mechanisms targeting loss reduction The following key insights regarding regulatory mechanisms to support grid energy efficiency measures (particularly regarding loss reduction) have been derived from the survey with European system operators carried out within this study (see ANNEX II): The incentive to pursue specific investments for loss reduction is strictly related to the presence of regulatory incentives. A wide variety of regulatory frameworks are present in European Member States, which in some cases do not explicitly support energy efficiency measures. Energy efficiency (and particularly loss reduction) is the main driver of investments when there is the need to comply with regulatory requirements and quality standards (e.g. EcoDesign directive). In general, loss reduction is considered as one of the variables of a larger investment optimization plan. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 41/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2.3.1.3. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Energy Efficiency measures which require the exploitation of DER flexibility have still limited diffusion in many Member States, often just at pilot level. Their implementation would require the definition of new regulatory mechanisms over how DSOs can procure and activate DER flexibility. Table 5 presents a synthesis of the different mechanisms in force among the respondents. Bonus/malus following the level DSOs from the Slovak Republic, Sweden (for 2016), the UK and Portugal report that they have specific incentives of losses that directly target loss reduction, in form of bonuses or penalties depending on the perfomances. Maximum loss threshold DSOs from Bulgaria, Czech Republic, France and Germany report that they have an obligation to respect a given loss threshold, overpassing them leading to audit or non-recognition of the costs. However, this gives no incentives to go further if their current loss level is under the limit. Benchmark among other DSOs DSOs from Spain report that loss reduction is addressed by a benchmarking of all Spanish DSOs on their performance to reduce losses. Table 5 - Regulatory incentives for energy efficiency measures highlighted by survey respondents More generally, it is clear that proper regulatory incentives are necessary to stimulate loss reduction investments. Absence of such regulation often brings the opposite effect, and acts as disincentive for network operators. There are two main elements in the tariff regulations which may act as an incentive or disincentive to invest in energy efficiency measures of the grid: 1) 2) the way the tariff is calculated, which determines the amount that can be charged to the consumer; and Whether there is an incentive regulation for minimising operational costs. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 42/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Cost reduction (Revenue cap DSOs from Bulgaria and The Netherlands report that they are incentivised to perform losses reductions since it is part regulation) of their costs, and since the regulation targets a general reduction of the cost. Loss reduction is therefore not a first driver if other cost reduction opportunities are found. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Tariffs are usually calculated on the basis of all relevant operational costs of transmission and distribution of electricity. In this respect, grid operators can transfer the costs for purchasing energy to make up for losses directly to the consumers. A clear disincentive to invest in loss reduction measures is typically the case when the regulatory framework does not introduce a cap to the amount of losses that can be transferred to the customer, combined to financial penalties for trespassing the limit. In such cases, infrastructure investment decisions are based on the minimisation of capital costs only, without including of the operational life cycle costs. Hence low cost, and subsequently non-energy efficient equipment is chosen over advanced efficient equipment. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 43/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 3. POTENTIAL OF MEASURES ON PLANNING/OPERATIONAL EFFICIENCY IN ELECTRICITY GRIDS In this chapter we analyse the impact of measures proposed in chapter 2 on the broader aspects of efficiency in infrastructure design and operation. In particular we consider planning/operational efficiency in terms of: In this respect, the new options offered by active grid management hold a significant potential in optimizing the long term planning process. In particular, the use of flexibility of distributed energy resources is currently being explored as an alternative to traditional grid reinforcements 15 16 . A specific focus on the use of demand flexibility to optimize grid planning decisions will be carried out in the second part of this study. Investments in assets replacements could also be optimized. Measures presented in chapter 2 can in fact contribute to decrease stressful conditions in the grid that could lead to faults of components and a reduction of their useful life. Optimization of grid operation - The reduction of losses is one important aspect of the optimization of grid operation. It has been extensively analysed in chapter 2 and will not be taken into account in this chapter. Other value streams for optimization of grid operation (OPEX reduction) include: Reduction of outage times (e.g. via implementation of network automation) Improvement of quality of supply and reduction of customer complaints Reduction of maintenance costs (e.g. by minimizing stressful operating conditions for grid assets) … In the following sections, we analyze in detail the factors affecting the cost-effectiveness of each of the proposed measures considering key aspects of planning/operational efficiency. Implementation examples and best practices collected in the stakeholder survey (ANNEX III) and in related literature are used for illustration. 15 Regulatory Recommendations for the Deployment of Flexibility, EC Smart Grid Task Force Expert Group 3, January 2015 16 Study on the effective integration of Distributed Energy Resources for providing flexibility to the electricity system, Report to The European Commission, April 2015 https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/5469759000%20Effective%20integration%20of %20DER%20Final%20ver%202_6%20April%202015.pdf GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 44/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Optimization of investment planning - Traditionally, new capacity investments (grid reinforcement or expansion) have been directly related to the increase of demand. With the growing penetration of distributed generation, increasing the hosting capacity of DG is also becoming an important driver of grid planning decisions. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 3.1. Impact of selected energy efficiency measures on operational efficiency 3.1.1. High efficiency transformers Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Assets to deploy Grid operation Technology standardization Technology standardisation Lighter weight Reduced fault rate Hardware Software Communication High efficiency Transformers Possible benefits on planning/operational efficiency Some benefits could be achieved in term of investment optimization. Indeed, limiting the number of technologies present on the grid may lead to stronger purchasing positions in the market, depending of the local market organisation, and may also lead to O&M cost reduction (less various types of operation). In case of pole-mounted transformers, lighter transformers might also reduce the need for investments in pole replacements. Enexis (The Netherlands) is replacing older MV/LV transformers with existing but more recent transformers (left over from other regular replacements, such as capacity increase). 150 transformers have been already replaced out of their 53000 MV/LV transformers, at an average cost of 5300 €/transformers. 0.1% of loss reduction is estimated to results from those replacements, which shows a significant potential since only 0.3% of the assets have been replaced. Benefits on grid operations Aging transformers might present a higher fault rate than up-to-date transformers. Replacing most problematic assets will save O&M cost. According to the economic assessment carried out by the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation [46], replacing transformers in order to comply with current performance standards leads to long-term savings, including additional operation cost saving (in each of the 20 studied countries, positive net present values were observed in their 2016-2030 plans). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 45/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Benefits on investment planning RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Assets to deploy - Investments costs The costs of a transformer have a wide range of variability depending on the power rating. In [47],a study from the Indian government, it was showed that cost differences are high between their “1 star” and the “5 star” transformers of small power rating (50% of difference for a 25 kVA transformer) but those difference get smaller at higher power (27% for a 200 kVA transformers, for a cost estimated at 3390 €17 for 5 star transformer). However, according to a study carried out in the Asia Pacific Economic Copperaiton [46], it appears that, installed capacity being equal, the cost-effectiveness of switching to higher standard is higher when replacing small transformers. Cost-effectiveness can be maximized if the measure is implemented within a planned asset replacement campaign. For instance, when replacing transformers at the end of their useful life, CEZ (DSO in Czech Republic), has found it economically convenient to opt for upper class transformers despite a 20% higher price, thanks to energy efficiency improvements. Expanding line capacity Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Standardization Assets to deploy Grid operation Reduced SAIDI Hardware Cables Software None Communication None Improve voltage quality Possible benefits on planning/operational efficiency Benefits on investment planning Some optimization of investment planning can be achieved via the limitation of the number of the cables sizes in use. In fact this can lead to standardization of equipment on the network, and thus to an average purchase price reduction. Benefits on grid operations Oversizing the conductors decreases the impedance of the line, resulting in lower voltage drop. Therefore, a positive impact on voltage quality of the grid should be obtained. 17 Change rate $ to €: 1$ = 0.894 € (11/05/2015) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 46/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 3.1.2. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) A limitation of the current flowing through the line could reduce the probability of default (and the aging of the line). Moreover, by standardizing the line type, higher standardization of field works could be achieved, reducing the overall O&M costs. It is difficult to give an accurate cost for such a measure, since it strictly depends on the implementation conditions (overhead lines or underground cables, size, voltage level, type of conductors, etc.). However, the cost of oversizing line sections can be relatively small in the case of installation works (particularly in case of cables) which are already planned. Western Power Distribution (see [3]) decided to size up their current standard LV cables to discontinue their smallest-size MV cables. The study shows that sizing up 95mm² cables to 185mm² adds a cost of 14€/m18, while excavation costs range between 70€/m and 140€/m. 3.1.3. Východoslovenská distribu ná (DSO from Slovak republic) has increased the maximal conductor section of their LV network from 70mm² to 150mm². While the first driver of this measure was to reach higher voltage quality, they expect a nominal losses reduction of up to 20% at peak load, and 5% on average (depending on the intensity of operation). The increase in investment was minimized and managed by process changes in the procurement procedure. The asset costs represent up to 10% of the project costs. However, a full roll-out was deemed to be too costly, due to costs of other grid elements such as poles. Increasing voltage level Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Grid operation Deferred capacity investment Improvement of voltage quality Life time extension Reduction of DG curtailment Technology standardisation Assets to deploy Improvement of continuity of supply Increase DG hosting capacity Hardware Fitted lines cables HV/MV substations: Transformers MV cells (protections, switches…) Rails MV/LV substations: MV cells (protections, switches…) Transformers 18 Change rate £ to €: 1£=1.3793 € (11/05/2015) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 47/180 Software None Communication None This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Assets to deploy - Investments costs RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Possible benefits on planning/operational efficiency Benefits on investment planning As shown in [49], power line aging is mainly due to its temperature profiles along its lifetime. This temperature profile depends on the ambient air, the weather, type of soil, etc. but also the temperature generated by the carried current. Generally, less heavily utilized assets present lower risks of overheating. This could extend their lifetime. A higher voltage level might also increase DG Hosting capacity. Vattenfal (Sweden) is carrying out an optimisation of voltages levels in their regional grids. The analysis is performed area per area, taking into account the network topology and the load level. 5 to 15% of loss reduction has been observed in areas where voltage increase has been adopted. Finally, reducing the number of voltage levels across the grid allows stronger standardization of network technologies. As discussed in the previous section, this can lead to benefits both in terms of CAPEX and OPEX. Benefits on grid operations A higher voltage level typically leads to better voltage quality (less significant voltage drop along the lines - for example [48] reports that a 10kV to 20kV conversion can halve the voltage drop/rise for a given power withdrawn/injected). According to [50], a decentralized grid (more small transformers closer to the consumer), beside leading to high loss reduction (47% in reported case studies), also improves the reliability of the system (failure hours/years 4-5 times lower). Assets to deploy - Investments costs The cost of this measure strictly depends on the specific implementation scenario. A detailed study must be carried out to estimate the full cost of such a measure (e.g. assessment of which additional assets need to be replaced to sustain the new voltage level etc.). A plan for voltage level increase can also be pursued by targeting a progressive increase of the share of the HV/MV grid with respect to the LV grid when undertaking new grid investments. In their replies to the survey, the system operators HEDNO (Greece) and EDP (Portugal) indicate that their plan of loss reduction foresees a progressive increase of the number of MV/LV substations. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 48/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Since increasing the voltage level reduces the current flowing through the conductors to meet the same power, networks reinforcement can be deferred. This is particularly true if only a limited number of assets need to be replaced. In their plan (see in [48]) to convert their rural 10kV network to 20kV, the Irish DSO operator ESB Networks aims to double their thermal capacity while reducing peak losses. Future investments to expand the grid could also be reduced thanks to an optimization of the number of substations. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 3.1.4. Demand response Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Grid operation Assets to deploy Hardware Software Communication Line extended lifetime SAIDI reduction Smart Meter Radio Deferred capacity investment Lower DG curtailment Sensors for feeders monitoring Optic fibre PLC Ripple control injector DG hosting capacity increase GSM Possible benefits on planning/operational efficiency The implementation of demand response allows shaving peak loads, reducing the need of grid capacity increase and possibly extending the lifetime of the assets (by reducing their utilisation). Demand response could also increase the DG hosting capacity of the grid, by allowing local balancing of DG units injection. Grid reinforcements might therefore be deferred/avoided. Detailed analysis of the impact of demand response on grid planning will be carried out in the second part of this study. Benefits on grid operations Demand response can be used to prevent loads in feeders or other assets to reach critical values that might determine asset faults. In this way, the average SAIDI can be reduced. Moreover, flexible load control synchronized with local DG units could reduce to a reduction of DG energy curtailment due to over/under voltage or to line overloading. Assets to deploy - Investments costs The on-going implementation of smart metering infrastructure in most European Member States is providing the enabling infrastructure to carry out demand response activation, increasing the cost-effectiveness of this measure for energy efficiency. Other necessary assets to deploy include grid sensors to increase the observability of the grid, particularly in terms of feeder loading, to adapt the DSOs activation of demand response to actual grid conditions. Finally, another possible option for DSOs to activate demand response consists in adopting Timeof-Use tariffs based on ripple control. In this case, DSO’s might have to invest in local ripple injectors. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 49/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Benefits on investment planning RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 3.1.5. Feed-in control of distributed generation & storage Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Line extended lifetime Grid operation Power Quality problems reduction Deferred capacity investment Voltage problems reduction Customers’ investments Lower restoration operations Assets to deploy Hardware Converter with “smart” functionalities Communication Radio Optic fibre PLC Smart Meter Storage system DG hosting capacity increase Software GSM Extra connections lines Benefits on investment planning An efficient feed-in control (including reactive power management) can lead to capacity investment deferral, by reducing the peak demand from the MV/LV substation. Reducing peak demand can also typically reduce the aging of the component. Benefits on grid operations As seen in [51], efficient DG converters might provide compensation in term of harmonics, voltage, reactive power and phase balancing control. This might reduce complaints from clients and the number of field interventions. Assets to deploy - Investments costs In the case of a control strategy with direct communication link between DG units and the DSO (for DSOs to send set-points for the DG control system), an important cost item is related to the communication infrastructure between the DG units and the DSO. ERDF (France) is studying the implementation of local voltage regulator to perform reactive power management of DG on the MV grid. The choice of the final system has been based on a trade-off between the gain on hosting capacity and the gain on voltage losses, and its optimized value of the reactive to active power ratio and a reactive power regulation based on voltage. The system is currently in implemented two cases on their MV grid. The expectation is a reduction of 2-3% in losses, and to an overall cost reduction of 5% compared to a case with no reactive power control, thanks to avoided reinforcement. OPEX reduction is also expected, since the system self-adapts when new DG are connected. It is worth mentioning that DG converters on the market are increasingly equipped with built-in Smart Functionalities, with limited cost premiums. Retrofitting costs need to be foreseen for older-generation converters to enable them for more advanced feed-in control schemes. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 50/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Possible benefits on planning/operational efficiency RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Storage system may also be coupled with DG units to provide a better feed-in control. In that case, the cost accrues to the DG owner. According to [52], storage systems could also be installed by DSOs when demand growth is uncertain, as a temporary solution to defer investment, letting time to assess which reinforcement are really needed 3.1.6. Network reconfiguration Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Deferred capacity investment Grid operation Reduced fault rate Reduced restoration time Line extended lifetime Improved voltage quality Assets to deploy Hardware Remote controlled switches and reclosers in substation Software Advance SCADA/DMS Communication Radio Optic fiber Control software PLC Possible benefits on planning/operational efficiency Benefits on investment planning The drivers of automatic grid reconfiguration are typically loss reduction and reduced number of interrupted customers. However, a better balance between the different feeders reduces the peaks on those lines, therefore potentially reducing the aging of the lines, and reducing replacement costs. Benefits on grid operations Increasing the number of remotely controlled switches reduces the number of substations to be inspected when a fault occurs. In a study ( [53]) carried out by the US Department of Energy within 5 utilities, the use of remotely controlled switches reduced the number of interrupted customer by 35%. The use of automatic control for fault management leads this number to 55%. By better balancing the load in the feeders, voltage drop can also be reduced. According to [54], a simulation of an automation algorithm to control the AES Sul grid (Brazil) showed that a 8.2% reduction of interrupted customer per year can be achieved. Moreover, the solution prevents fault occurrences by reconfiguring the grid before a critical value is reached. The benefits are particularly high in the case of rural networks. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 51/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval GSM Feeders monitoring system RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Assets to deploy - Investments costs The main cost item of the measure is the installation of remotely controlled switches and reclosers and (if not already available) of the associated communication infrastructure. According to [37], various U.S. utilities report that they have implemented this measure at a cost ranging between 18.750 € and 35.750 € per installed switch, including software, monitoring and communication system. For example, Adams-Colombia Cooperative mentioned a cost of 20.400 € for an overhead switch and 35.750 € for an underground one. Voltage level is one of the key drivers of the cost value. 3.1.7. Switching off redundant transformers Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Grid operation Asset extended lifetime Assets to deploy Hardware Remotely controlled transformers switches Software Advanced SCADA/DMS Control software Communication Radio Optic fiber PLC GSM Possible benefits on planning/operational efficiency Benefits on investment planning Switching off redundant transformers reduces their use and aging, possibly deferring needs for replacements. Assets to deploy - Investments costs Switching off/on redundant transformers can be performed manually. However, this critically increases the restoration time in case of the loss of the energized transformer. Implementation of remote and/or automatically controlled switches is thus to be preferred. The cost of transformer switches may vary significantly, depending on their power rating. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 52/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval However, it is possible to implement network reconfiguration manually, without relying on a remote communication system, and still capture interesting benefits, particularly on loss reduction. Enexis (DSO in The Netherlands) (manually) reconfigured the open points in 300 MV loops out of 44000km of their MV grid, achieving a loss reduction of 0.5%, at a reported cost of 670€/loop (according to their replies to the survey). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 3.1.8. Voltage optimisation Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Line extended lifetime Increase network capacity Increase DG hosting capacity Grid operation Power Quality problems reduction Voltage problems reduction Facilitate DG integration Assets to deploy Hardware D-Facts: MV/LV STATCOM, SSSC… Capacitor banks On-Load Tap change transformers Software Advanced SCADA/DMS Communication Radio Optic fibre Control software (centralized system) PLC GSM Voltage sensors Possible benefits on planning/operational efficiency Benefits on investment planning Optimization of reactive power flows allows better exploitation of line capacity, reducing lines loading and possibly increasing their useful life. Voltage optimisation can also compensate the voltage rise/drop due to DG injection, allowing more units to be connected on the grid. In [55], it was shown that voltage control through on-load tap changing transformer was cost-efficient to increase the grid hosting capacity, deferring expensive line reinforcement. Benefits on grid operations Reactive power management systems can be equipped to compensate harmonics injections. CEZ (Bulgaria) plans to install capacitors and harmonics filtering equipment in two 110kV/20kV substations and in one 110kV/20kV substation. CEZ estimates an investment costs 176k€/substation of expense and CEZ expects a saving of 474k€/annum, coming from less power quality problems to be compensated to the customers, less complaints over voltage fluctuation, reduction of losses, reduction of equipment overheating and their aging. By regulating the voltage level of the grid, complains due to over/under-voltage can be mitigated and DG curtailment reduced. Assets to deploy - Investments costs Different options exist to carry out voltage optimization. In a substation, On-Load Tap Changing (OLTP) transformers can be installed to keep voltage within an acceptable range while optimising the operation of the grid. This solution can be more cost-effectively pursued by foreseeing an OLTP when replacing an existing transformer. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 53/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Smart Meters RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Devices injecting or absorbing reactive power can also be installed in various places of the grid. Ideally, the best reactive power reduction and power factor correction is performed by placing compensation devices the closest to the load. However, due to installation and operation cost, a trade-off is to be found between cost, loss reduction and voltage constraints [56]. The length of the network and the voltage stability of the system are therefore key parameters. Different technologies (fixed capacitors banks, STATCOM, etc. ) can be adopted. It should be noticed that, according to [57], self-commutated compensators have the highest impact on losses while having a lower cost than synchronous condenser or static compensator technologies. Manually controlled/remote controlled capacitor banks could also be considered. The cost of the system will depend on the KVAr rating of the installed devices. To ensure more granular voltage optimisation, feeders voltage sensors or Smart Meters can also be installed to adjust the voltage regulation to the actual grid voltage profiles. Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) Planning/Operational efficiency Investment planning Increased network capacity Extended lifetime Grid operation Reduced fault rate Power Quality problems reduction Assets to deploy Hardware On-load tap changing transformers Voltage regulator Capacitors banks Software Advanced SCADA/DMS Communication Radio Optic fiber Control software (centralized system) PLC GSM Voltage sensors Smart meters Expected benefits on operational efficiency Benefits on the investment planning CVR main goal is to reduce energy consumption. Results of such a measure depend on various conditions such as consumers’ load, CVR technology used etc. On average, a peak reduction between 0.5% and 4% (depending on the feeder) can be expected, as seen in Denmark ( [58]) and in the US ( [59] [60]). With a lower peak, the utilization of the line is also reduced, possibly extending its lifetime. Benefits on grid operations As stated in the previous point, the peak reductions due to CVR reduces the utilisation of the line and its aging. In principle, the probability of default and the number of interventions could also be reduced. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 54/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 3.1.9. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Assets to deploy - Investments costs Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) exists in various forms of implementation and is highly scalable (e.g. it can be implemented feeder by feeder). [60] describes some practical cases in the US that have shown its low cost to achieve significant benefits (total energy saving cost between 0.01 and 5 cents/kWh following Bonneville Power Administration). To provide an order of magnitude, Adams-Columbia have deployed a CVR on 10 feeders (including 10 voltage regulators, 30 monitoring sensors, 10 controlled capacitors banks and 40 solid state variable capacitors) for 157k€, including software. 3.1.10. Balancing 3-phase loads Investment planning Assets to deploy Grid operation Hardware Software Line extended lifetime Reduced neutral fault rate Advanced SCADA/DMS Deferred capacity investment Power Quality improvement LV phases switches in MV/LV substation Feeders load monitoring system Communication Radio Optic fibre Control software (centralized system) PLC GSM Three-phases connections Phase switches at connections Smart meters Expected benefits on operational efficiency Benefits on the investment planning Unbalanced feeders lead to higher currents flowing in one of the single-phase lines, which might reach its limit faster than the others. Balancing phases might thus extend the lifetime of the lines. Benefits on grid operations Phase balancing reduces intervention and complaints due to Power Quality problems. Problems resulting from current in neutral lines can be reduced (up to 35% of the phase current could circulate in several lines according to [3]), since no zero current is flowing in a perfectly balanced system. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 55/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Planning/Operational efficiency RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Assets to deploy - Investments costs Various techniques can be considered to perform phase balancing. 2) 3) 4) Phase-switching between single-phase line can already be performed manually on a regular basis (seasonal for instance) to create a more balanced three-phase system, based on long term feeders load measurement. It is clearly the cheapest approach but the impact is limited. The above technique can also be performed automatically, based on load measurements to optimise the impact. Switches at connections: a more effective phase balancing can be performed by dynamically switching the phase a user is connected to, according to the user’s load. This requires to have a three-phase connection for every single-phase user, and to have Smart Meters to measure the current. This technique is however much more expensive than the previous one. Balancing DG injection: according to [61], replacing three-phase inverters by three singlephase inverters can control the injection phase by phase to balance the network. 4. COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES IN ELECTRICITY GRIDS The goal of this chapter is to analyze in detail the cost-effectiveness of Energy Efficiency for electricity grids. The excel tool described in annex IV provides a step-by-step decision support to carry out the assessment. 4.1. Assessment of cost-effectiveness Cost-effectiveness of each measure is defined as the ratio between the associated benefits and costs. This entails looking at the benefits and the implementation costs associated to each energy efficiency measure. Apart from reducing energy losses, ad discussed in previous chapters, it is considered that EE measures could also provide additional benefits in terms of reduction of OPEX (e.g. restoration time, power quality issues etc.) for the DSO and of avoidance of grid investments (CAPEX reduction). The analysis consists in individual assessment of all potential benefits and of implementation costs of energy efficiency measures. The output is a ranking of individual energy efficiency measures according to their cost-effectiveness. The proposed methodology is synthetized in Figure 9. The assessment of the cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency measures has the following characteristics: GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 56/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 1) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Ranking of EE measures Figure 9 - Methodology for assessment of cost-effectiveness of individual EE measures 4.2. Synthesis of the cost effectiveness of the measures Table 6, Table 7, Table 8 – provide a synthetic qualitative indication of levels of benefits and costs of the different measures. The assessment assumes the stand-alone implementation of a given measure (no synergies with other measures or other investments) on a per-unit basis. Clearly, as mentioned, the cost-effectiveness of each measure strongly depends on the specific grid conditions where it is implemented. Provided qualitative value are only intended to provide initial guidance in comparing the different measures. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 57/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Focus on individual EE measures – The focus is on detailed assessment of individual EE measures. The analysis does not consider the perspective of a larger investment plan which also includes a set of EE measures. Assessment of grid energy efficiency benefits according to the following key dimensions - Reduction of grid losses - Deferral/avoidance of grid investments - Increase of RES hosting capacity - Reduction of outages (security of supply) - Power Quality Analysis of implementation costs and of factors affecting costs - The assessment of the investment costs of each measure is done considering the capital and operational costs and the factors affecting them. Moreover, we also look into options for optimization of investments (e.g. replacing assets at the end of useful life). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Component replacement Measure EE Transformers Loss reduction Deferred investment ++/+++ +/0 RES hosting capacity Security of supply Power quality improvement Type Cost + + -Delta cost in case of Level Low to high planned replacement / new installation -Full cost in case of proactive replacement Oversizing line capacity +++ ++ + -Delta cost in case of Low to high planned replacement / new installation -Full cost in case of proactive replacement Increase voltage level +++ +++ ++ + -Limited adaptation (in Low to very high case of already voltage -Massive replacement of all equipment Table 6 – Efficiency & cost of component replacement measures GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 58/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval compliant equipment) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Grid management Measure Loss reduction Deferred investment ++ + Network reconfig. RES hosting capacity ++ Security of supply Power quality improvement ++ Cost Type Level -Mainly software in case Low to high of existing remote switches -Full installation of software and remote switches Transformer switching +/+++ ++ - -Labour work only in case of manual switching Very low to medium -Full installation of new remote switches Voltage opt. +++/++ + +++ +++ - Mainly software in case Medium to high -Full new equipment deployment (e.g capacitor/OLTP) CVR ++ ++ ++ ++ - Mainly software in case Medium of existing equipment -Full new equipment deployment (e.g capacitor/OLTP) Bal. 3-ph. Load ++ + + ++ -Labour work only in Low to high case of manual switching -Full installation of new remote switches Table 7 – Efficiency & cost of grid management measures Feed-in control Measure Loss reduction Deferred investment +++ +/++ Demand response DG control Security of supply +++ RES hosting capacity ++ ++ ++ ++ Power quality improvement ++ ++ Cost Type Level Depending on the regulation Low to medium Depending on the regulation Low to medium Table 8 –– Efficiency & cost of feed-in control measures GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 59/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval of existing equipment RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Factors impacting the cost of the measure X X Feed-in control & storage Voltage optimisation Conservation Voltage Regulation Balancing 3-phase load Network reconfiguration Increase voltage level X Demand response X X X Switching-off redundant transformers X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X Table 9 – Factors impacting the overall efficiency and the cost of the measures GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 60/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Factors impacting the efficiency of the measure Load rate Age of the assets Fault rate High harmonics problems Transformers power rating Grid length Voltage issues Feeders load unbalance Number of switches Average restoration time Presence of a repartition grid Number of transformers in parallel DG curtailment level Distance between DG and consumers Power factor DG penetration rate Number of voltage level Voltage level Neutral conductors issues Overhead underground grid Urban rural network Transformers accessibility Age of the assets Other replacement/expansion plans Technology standardization Asset fitted for an upper voltage Grid expansion / load growth Voltage level DG integration Penetration of the communication system Flexibility market Smart Meter roll-out plan DG incentive to customer Combination with CVR LV consumers’ density LV substation density Expanding line capacity High efficiency transformers ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 5. ASSESSMENT OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY POTENTIAL IN GAS GRIDS 5.1. Understanding Energy Losses in gas networks Table 10: Length of gas transmission and distribution pipelines in Europe (Source: Gas Infrastructure Europe) In order to ensure that natural gas remains pressurized during its transmission (and more rarely during its distribution), compression, by means of compressor stations, is required periodically along the pipelines. The following simplified diagram shows a typical natural gas transmission and distribution network. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 61/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The natural gas transmission and distribution system consists of a complex network of pipelines. As detailed in Table 10, in the European Union, it represents more than 2150 thousand kilometres of pipelines. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Figure 10: Typical natural gas transmission and distribution network Energy losses due to gas transmission and distribution have been considered in this study to be natural gas shrinkage (gas losses and own consumption) and own electricity consumption. Figure 11 reports the losses level among representative Member States. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 62/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Figure 11 – Level of losses 19 in gas grids in selected EU Member States Compressor stations are the largest sources of gas use on a gas distribution and transmission network. Electricity consumption can be important as well on compressor stations, when electricity is used to run compressors. Gas losses can arise from multiple causes. They have been grouped in three categories: Vented emissions: Direct gas releases to the atmosphere of natural gas resulting from equipment design, regular process operations, maintenance activities, or emergency releases (e.g. process designed flow to the atmosphere through seals or vent pipes, equipment blowdown for maintenance or an emergency, and direct venting of gas used to power equipment (such as pneumatic devices)). Fugitive emissions: Unintentional leaks of gas from piping and associated equipment components (e.g. leaks from valve seals, packing or leaks resulting from corrosion, faulty connections). Such emissions can occur on many different parts of the network and are very difficult to estimate. 19 Both technical and non-technical losses, based on the Ecofys analysis from EuroStat database GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 63/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Emissions due to incidents: Inadvertent damages to pipelines may also cause gas emissions. A mapping of energy losses due to gas distribution and transmission is presented in the three following sections. 5.1.1. Mapping of losses in gas transmission network Gas transmission is achieved by means of high pressure underground pipelines. These pipelines are usually made of steel that is coated and cathodically protected 20. Figure 12: Mapping of losses in gas transmission network 20 Cathodic protection is a technique of running an electric current through the pipe to prevent corrosion and rusting. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 64/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 12 reports the mapping of mechanisms leading to losses in gas transmission network. These losses can be either natural gas emissions from pipelines (vented, fugitive or caused by incidents), electricity used for pipeline cathodic protection or gas to fuel heaters at regulation stations. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 5.1.2. Mapping of losses in compression stations Along the transmission (and sometimes the distribution) networks, compressor stations are placed at regular interval. When gas enters the compressor station, it is compressed by either natural gas fuelled engines or turbines, or electric motors. Figure 13: Mapping of losses in gas compressor stations 5.1.3. Mapping of losses in gas distribution network Natural gas is distributed to residential and small industrial customers through medium to low pressure underground pipelines (distribution mains and service lines). Pipeline materials can be very different depending on the localization, the pressure and the age of the network. For example, oldest distribution mains were constructed from cast iron pipes and yarn/lead joints or unprotected steel. New materials are mainly cathodically protected steel and plastic (e.g. polyethylene). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 65/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 13 reports the mapping of mechanisms leading to losses in gas compressor stations. Fuel used to compress gas is the most important source of gas and electricity consumption. Gas losses can be due to vented emissions from compressors, valves and pneumatic-driven devices or fugitive emissions. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Figure 14: Mapping of losses in gas distribution grids 5.2. Energy efficiency measures in gas networks: categorisation and potential Energy efficiency measures in gas networks are considered in this study to be minimisation of gas losses and own gas and electricity consumption. The three following sections present various energy efficiency measures associated to transmission network, compressor stations and distribution network. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 66/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 14 reports the mapping of mechanisms leading to losses in gas transmission grids. Losses can be due to natural gas emissions and gas or electricity consumption. Gas emissions can vary widely depending on the pipeline material as fugitive emissions from older networks are much higher than more recent ones. Gas or electricity consumption can differ from one network to another, depending on situations (e.g. existence of cathodically protected steel, heaters at regulation stations). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 5.2.1. Gas transmission network: energy efficiency measures and reduction potential Table 11 reports the list of measures addressing the sources of loss in gas transmission network identified in the previous section. It also describes the reduction potential of each measure and identifies the key factors affecting this potential. Opportunities to improve energy efficiency measures in gas distribution networks are mainly related to natural gas losses. Measures to reduce vented gas during maintenance operation (e.g. allow customers to use natural gas in order to lower the pressure in the affected section of pipe or gas recompression) can potentially lead to substantial minimisation of losses. For example, a 80% reduction of gas losses can be achieved when gas is recompressed instead of vented before maintenance ( [62]). Type of losses Associated measures Qualitative potential Reduction of vented gas ++ Recompression ++ Inspection and maintenance programs + Maintenance operations Permanent losses due to age and gas grid type Natural gas losses Mapping, relation with contractors, emergency call centers… + Automatic shut-off valves + Improved burner design and avoid heating when possible + (-) (-) Third party damages Gas or electricity own consumption Fuel to heat facilities (at regulation stations) Electricity for cathodic protection Key factors Pressure level, volume of vented pipe Pressure level, volume of vented pipe Length and age of the network Length of the network, pressure level, sensitivity of the pipe area (urban or rural, works area…) Length of the network, pressure level, sensitivity of the pipe area (urban or rural, works area…) Number and efficiency of heaters, necessity of burners (-) Table 11: Mapping of energy efficiency measures –Transmission GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 67/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Category of losses RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 5.2.2. Compressor stations: energy efficiency measures and reduction potential Table 12 reports the list of measures addressing the sources of loss in compressor stations identified in the previous section. It also describes the reduction potential of each measure and identifies the key factors affecting this potential. Type of losses Compressors starts / shutdowns and blowdowns Natural gas losses Pressure safety valves and gas-driven pneumatic devices Fugitive emissions from compressors (seals…) Fugitive emissions from equipment’s not in compression service Engines (reciprocating internal combustion) Gas own consum ption Associated measures Optimal strategies for cycling on- and off-line Reduction of vented gas (no depressurizing after shutdown…) Replacement of high bleed devices Installation of compressed air/electric systems Qualitative potential Specific key factors +++ Base or peak load compressor +++ Base or peak load compressor + ++ Number of high bleed devices Number of gas-driven pneumatic devices Inspection frequency, type of seals to be replaced Inspection and maintenance and replacement of seals ++ Inspection and maintenance + Inspection frequency Optimization of equipment dispatch ++ Increased efficiency (retrofit control) ++ Replacement with a more efficient unit +++ Optimization of equipment dispatch + Replacement with a more efficient unit + Number and capacity of compressors (Pressure and flow regulation) Compressor efficiency (before and after engine retrofit) Compressor efficiency (before and after engine replacement) Number and capacity of compressors (Pressure and flow regulation) Compressor efficiency (before and after gas turbine replacement) Gas turbines Table 12: Mapping of the energy efficiency potential of each measure –Compression Measures to improve energy efficiency in compressor stations can be either technical solutions (e.g. replacement of seals) or optimized work practices (e.g. optimal strategies for cycling compressors on- and off-line). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 68/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Catego ry of losses RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Various solutions can be implemented to reduce gas losses. For example, a Marcogaz report ( [62]) describes the replacement of pneumatic actuators with devices operated by compressed air in a compressor station in Italy that enabled gas emissions to be reduced by 45%. Another example is the reduction of gas emissions when taking compressor off-line. This can be achieved by keeping compressors pressurized (estimated emission savings: around 30% for a base load compressor ( [63])). Gas and electricity consumption can be reduced when replacing old engines or gas turbines with more efficient units. Another option is to optimize equipment dispatch (e.g. optimisation of pipeline system operations in order to operate compressors at their nominal capacity and avoid as much as possible compressor starts and shutdowns). Distribution grids: energy efficiency measures and reduction potential Table 13 reports the list of measures addressing the sources of loss in gas distribution network identified in the previous section. It also describes the reduction potential of each measure and identifies the key factors affecting this potential. The most efficient way to reduce gas losses is to replace or repair/reline old grey cast iron pipes with yarn/lead joints, as they are responsible for the highest emissions. For example, a program of replacement of old pipes in the UK is expected to achieve 10 times lower emissions than previously ( [62]). Third party damages to gas distribution pipes can be another important cause of gas losses. Safety is the primary driver to reduce these gas losses. Emissions can be reduced when implementing measures to prevent damages (e.g. enhancement of the grid mapping accuracy or training and technical guidance provided to contractors in charge of digging works). For example, reduction of the number of third party damages (with gas emissions) of around 30% during the period 2010-2014 has been achieved in a French gas network (GrDF, 2015). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 69/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 5.2.3. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Associated measures Pneumatic emissions Reduction of vented gas + Reduction of vented gas + Recompression + Inspection and maintenance programs ++ Pressure management NA Permeability of materials and joints Replacement or repair/relining of old pipes +++ Third party damages Mapping, relation with contractors, emergency call centers, protection of pipes in sensitive areas, shut-off valves ++ Length of the grid, pressure level, sensitivity of the pipe area (urban or rural, works area…) Improved burner design and avoid heating when possible + Number and efficiency of heaters, necessity of burners (-) (-) (-) Maintenance operations Natural gas losses Gas or electric ity own consum ption Qualitative potential Type of losses Permanent losses due to age and gas grid type Fuel to heat facilities (at regulation stations) Electricity for cathodic protection Key factors Number of gas-driven pneumatic devices Pressure level, volume of vented pipe Pressure level, volume of vented pipe Length and age of the network Length and age of the network Length and age of the grid, pipes and joints materials Table 13: Mapping of the energy efficiency potential of each measure –Distribution network GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 70/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Catego ry of losses RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 6. ASSESSMENT OF COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF SELECTED ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES GAS In the following we analyze more in detail the cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency measures with most relevant potential at transmission, distribution and compressor station level. The excel tool described in ANNEX V provides a step-by-step decision support to carry out the assessment. Gas Transmission Network Table 14 describes the type of implementation costs and an estimation of cost levels associated to measures with a significant reduction potential in gas transmission network. Avoiding emissions during maintenance has significant energy efficiency potential. However, some measures can be quite expensive and may be not economically relevant in all cases (e.g. recompression of gas before maintenance with a mobile compressor unit). Less costly measures, with minor facility modifications, can also be implemented (e.g. use inert gases and pigs to perform pipeline purges instead of venting). Additional benefits are less greenhouse gas emissions. Category of losses Natural gas losses Type of losses Associated measures Maintenance operations Qualitative reduction potential Reduction of vented gas ++ Recompression ++ Type of costs Capital costs (minor facility modifications), operating costs (maintenance), labour costs Capital costs (pump-down compressor), labour costs Cost level + +++ Table 14: Type of implementing costs and estimated cost levels – Transmission network Examples of implementation costs are given in Table 15. These figures give an order of magnitude and should be considered with caution since situations may differ from one network to another. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 71/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 6.1. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Measure Reduction of vented gas (Use inert gases and pigs to perform pipeline purges) Reduction of vented gas (Inject blowdown gas into low pressure mains or fuel gas system) Recompression (mobile compressor unit) Capital costs estimation - Operating costs estimation $500 (for 2 miles of 10-inch diameter pipeline) ( [63],2011) $1,000 (minor facility modifications: additional piping) ( [63],2011) - 3 200,000 € (for one case with 630,000 Nm natural gas saved from venting) ( [62]) Table 15: Implementation costs of measures – Examples – Transmission network Gas Compressor Stations Table 16 describes the type of implementation costs and an estimation of cost levels associated to measures with a significant reduction potential in compressor stations. Possible measures that can be applied within compressor stations can vary widely. Some of them can be implemented with no (or nearly no) costs (e.g. avoid compressor depressurization after shutdown). Conversely, an engine replacement with a more efficient unit represents a very expensive investment. Overall, these measures can contribute to improve operational efficiency, less greenhouse gas emissions and cost savings due to reduction of gas losses and own gas consumption. Category of losses Type of losses Compressors starts / shutdowns and blowdowns Natural gas losses Pressure safety valves and gasdriven pneumatic devices Fugitive emissions from compressors (seals…) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 Qualitative reduction potential Type of costs Cost level +++ Labour costs + Reduction of vented gas (no depressurizing after shutdown…) +++ No costs (with the option: no depressurizing after shutdown) or minor capital and labour costs with other options + Installation of compressed air/electric systems ++ Capital costs (compressed air/electric systems) ++ ++ Capital costs (seals), operating costs (maintenance), labour costs ++ Associated measures Optimal strategies for cycling on- and off-line Inspection and maintenance and replacement of seals 72/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 6.2. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Category of losses Associated measures Type of losses Qualitative reduction potential Type of costs Cost level ++ Labour costs + ++ Capital costs (minor engine modification), operating costs (maintenance), labour costs ++ +++ Capital costs (new compressor), operating costs (gas or electricity + maintenance), labour costs +++ Optimization of equipment dispatch Gas own consumptio n Increased efficiency (retrofit control) Engines (reciprocating internal combustion) Replacement with a more efficient unit Table 16: Type of implementing costs and estimated cost levels – Compressor stations Examples of implementation costs are given in Table 17. These figures give an order of magnitude and should be considered with caution since situations may differ from one compressor station to another. Measure Optimal strategies for cycling onand off-line Capital costs estimation - Reduction of vented gas (no depressurizing after shutdown) Reduction of vented gas (Keep compressor pressurized and route gas to fuel system or install static seal) Installation of compressed air/electric systems Inspection and maintenance (identification of leaks and costeffective repairs) Replacement of seals (compressor rod packing system replacement) Replacement with a more efficient unit (case of an electric compressor) - Operating costs estimation Labour (very variable costs depending on available equipment and optimization possibilities) - < $5,000 for one compressor ( [63], 2006) $45,000 to $75,000 (per facility) - - $26,248 (average value, for one compressor station) ( [63], 2003) - $5,346 ($2008) (per compressor) (US EPA, 2014) $6,050,000 (per 5 reciprocating compressors replaced) (EPA Gas STAR Program, 2011) $6,200,000 (per 5 reciprocating compressors replaced) (EPA Gas STAR Program, 2011) Table 17: Implementation costs of measures – Examples – Compressor stations GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 73/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 6.3. Gas Distribution Network Table 18 describes the type of implementation costs and an estimation of cost levels associated to measures with a significant reduction potential in gas distribution network. As stated previously, replacement of grey cast iron pipes with polyethylene pipes can reduce significantly gas emissions. This measure can be very expensive, especially in urban areas. This should, however, be put in balance with associated benefits (higher safety level, less greenhouse gas emissions, cost savings due to reduced gas losses and lower repair costs over the next decades). Category of losses Qualitative reduction potential Type of losses Associated measures Permanent losses due to age and gas grid type Inspection and maintenance programs ++ Permeability of materials and joints Replacement or repair/relining of old pipes +++ Third party damages Mapping, relation with contractors, emergency call centers, protection of pipes in sensitive areas, shut-off valves Natural gas losses ++ Type of costs Operating costs (maintenance), labour costs Capital costs (new pipes or liners), operating costs (maintenance), labour costs Mainly labour costs Capital costs (for protection of pipes and shut-off valves) Cost level + +++ Variable Table 18: Type of implementing costs and estimated cost levels – Distribution network Examples of implementation costs are given in Table 19. These figures give order of magnitude estimation and should be considered with caution since situations may differ from one network to another. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 74/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Less costly measures can be implemented as well (e.g. prevention of third party damages, improvement in inspection and maintenance programs) and will contribute to a greater safety of the network, less greenhouse gas emissions and cost savings due to reduction of gas losses. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Measure Capital costs estimation Operating costs estimation Improvement in inspection and maintenance programs (increased walking survey) - $11,000 for a pipeline system of 2,900 miles (labour costs: $10,000 and additional equipment: $1,000) ( [63], 2011) Replacement of grey cast iron pipes with PE pipes Insert gas main flexible liners (for cast iron and unprotected steel) Mapping, relation with contractors, emergency call centers Shut-off valves (for service lines) 200,000 € (per km) ( [64]) > $1,000,000 (for 1 mile of cast iron main replacement) ( [65]) $10,000 (for 1 mile of cast iron main and 1 mile of unprotected steel service lines) ( [63], 2011) Mainly labour (Very variable costs depending on implemented measures) $6,300 (for 350 valves installed) ( [63], 2011) This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Table 19: Implementation costs of measures – Examples – Distribution network GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 75/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval PART 2 - ASSESSING THE POTENTIAL OF DEMAND RESPONSE TO INCREASE THE EFFICIENCY OF ELECTRICITY NETWORKS GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 76/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) PART 2 - EXECUTIVE SUMMARY As described in the interim report, this study particularly considers the planning/operational efficiency potential in electricity grids, thanks to new “Smart” measures (Smart Grid assets; flexibility of distributed energy resources). Accordingly, the focus of this second part of the report is to analyse the potential of demand response (DR) in bringing efficiency in electricity grids for Distribution System Operators (DSOs). Key messages of the analysis are grouped into the following three main domains: VALUE STREAMS AND PROCUREMENT OPTIONS OF DEMAND RESPONSE FOR DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM OPERATORS There are two main categories of DR benefits for DSOs: avoided CAPEX and avoided OPEX - Avoided capital expenditure (CAPEX): DSOs need to expand grid capacity and upgrade transformers to cope with congestions. Depending on the demand and renewable energy sources (RES-E) growth in an area, employing DR in the planning phase offer DSOs a valuable solution to asset replacement. This strategy may postpone the need to invest in infrastructure upgrades and allow using the assets for their full lifetime, reducing short-term expenditures. 21 - Avoided operational expenditure (OPEX): local balancing leads to a more balanced line loading and to a subsequent reduction of distribution grid losses which form a key operational expenditure for DSOs. Moreover, by relieving grid congestion, DR allows RES-E generation to be better integrated in the system. This means that curtailment of RES-E can be avoided, and hence compensation payments for the curtailed renewable energy are reduced (in countries where it is foreseen). It is worth mentioning that, while DR can also be used to optimise operation of the wholesale and balancing markets, DSOs cannot capitalise on these benefits, as unbundling provisions restrict their participation to these markets as flexibility provider. 21 Grid assets must be replaced at the end of their lifespan regardless of the situation. Since large part of the investment costs are related to installation, when replacing assets that have reached their lifetime, placing some larger cables brings no significant additional cost. In this respect, CAPEX benefits from DR should be considered with respect to the remaining lifetime of the assets. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 77/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval A. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) There are two main approaches for DSOs to procure demand flexibility: tariff-based (implicit) DR and volume-based (explicit) DR Tariff-based - Implicit DR Under this approach, DSOs use tariff signals to trigger demand flexibility that is in line with the needs of the distribution system. DR is implicit in the sense that a predefined volume of DR is not agreed before the DR activation, rather it results from the users’ response to the tariff signal. In this context, and throughout this report, we refer to “tariffs” as the regulated component of the final price, related to distribution grid charges. Basically the options are to vary the distribution grid tariff based on a) fixed timeframes (time of use pricing); b) changing timeframes (dynamic pricing); c) changing timeframes and location (locational dynamic pricing). The different options are best suited to different purposes. Volume-based - Explicit DR Under this approach, the DSO (financially) compensates a DR service provider to activate a specific quantity of DR. When the DSO identifies a need/potential benefit for DR in its network, it could in principle procure it by: 1) 2) 3) making a direct contract with the DR provider with customised conditions; issuing a call for tenders for the DR service required, whenever it is required; or establishing a local market for DR providers connected to the network with local price. Which option is most efficient and effective depends on the number of DR providers that are connected to the network (liquidity of the market). Forming bilateral agreements are most efficient when there are only few, and forming a local market can be efficient when there are many market players. Reliability of DR delivery should be ensured, for example by applying penalties if there is a deviation between services sold and delivered (except in an emergency). However, it must also be kept in mind that very strict reliability standards will discourage service providers from participating in such a DR scheme. The correct implementation of explicit DR requires the definition of a mechanism to verify expost that the agreed amount of DR has been actually activated. Typically this is done via the definition of a baseline which represents the load profile had the DR event not taken place. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 78/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The limit of implicit DR is that it does not provide a guarantee to DSOs regarding the actual level of DR that will be activated in response to tariff signals. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) B. ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE TO IMPROVE DISTRIBUTION GRID EFFICIENCY AT PLANNING AND OPERATION An extensive simulation analysis has been carried out to assess how the integration of DR in DSOs planning and operation could allow finding the optimal trade-off between CAPEX (investment in equipment/asset replacement and upgrade) and OPEX spending (in particular cost of thermal losses), particularly in presence of a growing pentration of distributed generation. Tool for optimization of DSOs’ planning and operation in presence of flexibility Tractebel’s proprietary tool Smart Sizing has been used for this analysis. The tool allows a global optimization of DSOs’ OPEX and CAPEX by selecting the optimal mix of traditional and flexibility-based investments. The optimization tool takes into account the following costs: OPEX: Technical losses costs Activation cost of flexibility (e.g. procurement of volume-based flexibility by the DSO) Network components (e.g. lines, substations) ICT infrastructure for activation of flexibility Grid models Four different grid models have been built, iin terms of grid configuration, load patterns and distributed generation profiles. They are intended to provide a constrasting set of operating conditions to test the robustness of the results: Distribution network in urban area located in Northern Europe; Distribution network in rural area located in Northern Europe; Distribution network in urban area located in Southern Europe; Distribution network in rural area located in Southern Europe. Scenarios representing available flexibility For each model we have run four main scenarios with growing availability of flexibility: 1) 2) 3) 4) Base case scenario – In this scenario, planning and operation rely only on traditional investments, without the option of DR. Time-of-Use scenario - In this scenario, it is assumed an (exogenous) reshaping of the load profiles in the simulation thanks to the introduction of Time of Use (ToU) tariffs. The tool does not optimize the load profiles, it just considers the reshaped load profiles as input to the simulation. Demand response scenario – In this scenario, the tool is able to arbitrate between investments in traditional assets or DR (considering associated ICT investment costs and activation costs ). Full flex scenario: Demand response and DG curtailment options– In this scenario, DSOs can opt for two competing sources of flexibility: (explicit) DR and DG Curtailment. Within each scenario a sensitivity analysis has been carried out by varying (homotetically) the penetration level of the different types of DG (PV, wind, CHP) in Low Voltage (LV) and Medium Voltage (MV). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 79/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval CAPEX RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Main messages In the following we provide a summary of the main messages resulting from the simulation analysis, which are valid on average on a given grid. Deviations are possible on specific feeders/substations depending on local specificities. Demand response is effective in reducing the total cost of the distribution grid If DSOs do not receive the right incentives to reduce losses, then the use of flexibility could mainly target CAPEX reductions (i.e. size assets to their capacity limits) and possibly lead to higher loss volumes. The simulation analysis shows that DR activation targets specifically loss reduction only if sufficiently high costs for losses are considered. Regulation needs to pay attention to the costs of losses paid by the DSOs (or to provide the right loss penalties) to avoid that DSOs have an incentive to use flexibility to downsize assets (reduction of CAPEX), even if this leads to an increase of losses. Explicit (Volume-based) Demand Response can bring higher benefits to the system compared to implicit (tariff-based) Demand Response. Both implicit and explicit DR can reduce the total cost of the system. Both approaches can also be implemented together to maximize the impact (even if the two mecanisms can be in competition with each other, as the presence of ToU reduces the amount of flexibility exploitable by explicit DR). Volume-based (explicit) DR can bring higher benefits as it can be more precisely activated according to DSO’s needs. For a volume-based flexibility market to develop, DSOs should make clearly accessible the information about their flexibility needs (present and future). This would allow to reveal the availability of flexibility resources and contribute to creation of a flexibility market. Time of Use (ToU) tariff can provide significant system benefits, but they need to be carefully tailored to specific local conditions. The impact of ToU tariffs on TOTEX depends on the level of penetration of DGs and on local conditions. In general, ToU can provide significant benefits and facilitate the integration of DG at a lower cost when the off-peak period is synchronized with DG generation. A location-based component in the ToU could help better tailor the tariff design to local conditions. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 80/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Demand response is an effective means to reduce the TOTEX (Total Expenditure) of the system (CAPEX+OPEX), when integrated in grid planning and operation: - Via reduction of direct and inverse peaks in the network and thus the need for infrastructure costs (CAPEX). - Via reduction of technical losses (OPEX) by performing a local balancing with DG and reducing the flows in the system. The reduction of TOTEX is achieved by finding the optimal balance between CAPEX and OPEX (in certain conditions, the level of technical losses could also increase, if off-set by a decrease of CAPEX). Of course, regulation should specifically incentivize DSOs to reduce TOTEX (please refer to chapter 5). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Poorly designed ToU timeframes, under certain conditions, could also have a negative effect. For example, with high DG penetration, simple day-night ToU might actually worsen the costs of DG hosting capacity. The cost/benefit ratio of Demand Response for DSOs depends on local conditions On the benefit side: A key factor affecting the business case of DR for DSOs is the availability and cost of an ICT infrastructure (smart meters). In those regions where smart meters are already being deployed (driven by policy decisions), the business case for DR is stronger both for residential and commercial/industrial customers (as DR programs do not need to include ICT infrastructure costs) In those regions where the cost of the ICT infrastructure should be borne by the DR program, it is recommended to focus on DR at MV level get most of the benefits. Demand Response is always part of the best flexibility mix to decrease the total cost of distribution grid planning and operation With limited penetration of DG, DR is the most economically viable flexibility option to drive down the system cost. (This holds on average on a given grid. Deviations are possible on specific feeders/substations depending on local specificities. For example in rural areas, with limited load, curtailment of DG could be the best flexibility option to solve congestions on specific feeders). With very high penetration of DG, reverse peak (peak of reverse power flows) becomes the main driver to size grid assets. Beyond that DG penetration level, generation curtailment becomes an economically viable option together with DR. Demand Response has typically a positive impact on grid technical losses, but reduction of losses is not the main driver for its activation Reduction of losses is typically not the main driver of the activation of DR, rather a side-effect of the activation of DR to reduce the CAPEX. Higher loss reduction level is typically achieved in rural areas, given the structure of rural grids (longer feeders, overhead lines), for which cost of losses has a higher share of the TOTEX. Demand flexibility allows an higher DG hosting capacity at lower cost DR increases the synchronicity of the demand with DG and mainly reduces CAPEX. The positive impact of DR on DG hosting capacity becomes increasingly significant after a certain DG penetration level. In fact, a limited penetration of DG, even without any flexibility, could actually decrease the TOTEX of the system compared to the case without any DG (thanks to DGs balancing local demand and reducing network flows). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 81/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The value of DR for DSOs strongly depends on the level of penetration of DG, on the consumption patterns and on the grid characteristics. Typically, the simulations shows that a limited number of activation of DR per year can already provide significant benefits for the system On the cost side: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Strong penetration of residential PV will drive more rapidly the need for flexibility A lack of variety in the types (PV, wind, CHP) and connection level (MV, LV) of DG has a negative effect on grid efficiency, driving up CAPEX (reinforcements) and OPEX (technical losses). This means that in those areas where a single source of DG is mainly present (e.g. areas with strong residential PV), demand flexibility can particularly provide positive system impact and increase grid efficiency. This is of course dependent on the availability of sufficient level of demand flexibility (in which case DG curtailment could be the main flexibility option to explore). C. REGULATORY EVOLUTIONS FOR DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM OPERATORS TO PROCURE AND ACTIVATE DEMAND RESPONSE Under an implicit (tariff-based) DR approach, the regulator should define the required changes in network tariffs to incentivise DR, by changing specific components of the tariffs (e.g. higher capacity charges), changing time intervals for ToU, introducing location-based components or allowing DSOs to adapt tariffs to grid conditions. However, since distribution grid tariffs constitute just a component of the entire electricity price paid by a consumer, in cases they are low they might fail to form an effective market signal to grid users to change their consumption to meet grid needs. DSOs can directly procure DR if DSOs remuneration is based on TOTEX Under a volume based DR approach, DSOs procure DR services and remunerate the provided service. Incentives to optimise operation need to be created by appropriate regulatory adjustments in order to allow DSOs recovering the costs of procuring DR. This can be done by allowing DSO remuneration to reflect the DSOs’ TOTEX (CAPEX+OPEX). Regulation should ensure a neutral role for DSOs in the activation of flexibility, in order to ensure market-based competition among different flexibility resources As shown in the simulation analysis, economic benefits are achieved by enabling competition between flexibility options for the provision of services at local or global level. To enable a market-based approach, transparency and neutrality of DSOs is key. In this respect policy questions are related to: whether DSO should be allowed to own flexibility assets (e.g. storage) How to address the risk that, if most of the value of flexibility is controlled directly by DSOs (e.g. ownership of storage means; direct bilateral contracts with grid users), a local flexibility market (targeting also other value streams, e.g. BRP; TSOs..) could never develop. How to ensure DSO transparency in validating flexibility transactions at local level which are driven by global market signals (e.g. flex transactions for TSOs) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 82/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Regulatory evolutions should ensure that tariff signals provide sufficient incentives to grid users to adapt their demand profiles to grid conditions RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) In case of conflicts for flexibility activation, local distribution needs should prevail over system transmission needs, unless when system security is at stake. This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Flexibilities in the distribution grid can be used for multiple purposes, a) in the system level (participation to wholesale, intra-day and balancing markets) b) in transmission network level (alleviation of transmission congestions) and c) in the distribution grid (alleviation of distribution congestions). Congestions at any network level could “block” the provision of flexibility services from the local level to the higher system levels. Respectively, conflicts on the activation of flexibility between TSO and DSO are possible. Therefore, a prioritisation between local and global requirements is needed, and local needs should prevail, unless when system security is at stake and alternative options are not viable. In this respect, DSO/TSO coordination should be applied to avoid such conflicts. To achieve this coordination a new process could be defined, the DSO congestion forecast linked to the respective process at TSO level. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 83/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 7. INTRODUCTION (PART 2) As described in the first part of the report, this study particularly considers the planning/operational efficiency potential in electricity grids, thanks to new “Smart” measures allowing active grid management (Smart Grid assets; flexibility of distributed energy resources. Accordingly, the focus of this second part of the report is to analyse the potential of demand response in bringing efficiency in electricity grids for Distribution System Operators (DSOs). The analysis has been organized in four main sections: - Brief review of benefits of demand response for the whole power system - Review of main factors affecting the value of demand response DR characteristics (pre-activation time, duration, ..) Type of consumers, type of loads etc.. - Activation mechanisms for demand response (Price-based/Implicit and volumebased/explicit) b) Synthesis of the value of DR for DSOs - Focus on the benefits of demand response specifically for DSOs - Definition of DSO’s options to procure Demand Response for their needs: tariff-based (implicit) demand response and volume-based (explicit) demand response c) Simulation analysis of DR impact on grid efficiency at planning and operation - Definition of four different network models to represent contrasted conditions (urban/rural; North/south) - For each model, definition of four different scenarios, each with a growing level of available flexibility for the DSOs in planning and operating its grid: Base case: no flexibility ToU scenario: Demand flexibility triggered by (Static) ToU tariffs Volume-based DR scenario: DSO has access to volume-based demand response Full flex scenario: DSO has access to two options of flexibility: (volume-based) demand response and DG curtailment - The goal of the simulation analysis is to assess how the integration of flexibility options can reduce the CAPEX (investment in assets) and OPEX (losses) investments of DSOs, in presence of a growing penetration of DG. d) Regulatory evolutions to promote DR, particularly for grid efficiency - Four specific regulatory matters have been analysed Evolutions of grid tariffs to trigger (price-based) demand response in line with the needs of the system at local level Enabling DSOs to integrate (volume-based) demand-response for planning and operation. This requires the introduction of suitable procurement options (local markets, tender etc) and of specific incentives to DSOs to use these options (e.g. TOTEX remuneration). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 84/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval a) Synthesis of DR drivers, characteristics and value streams RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 8. OVERVIEW OF DEMAND RESPONSE CHARACTERISTICS This chapter describes briefly the main characteristics of Demand Response (DR). The goal is to describe the general context of current DR implementations before focusing specifically on how DR can be used by system operators to increase the planning and operation efficiency of their grids. This will be the subject of the subsequent chapters. Benefits of demand response across the power system value chain There are many potential benefits arising from DR across the whole power system value chain. Figure 15 shows a wide spectrum of potential DR benefits, according to three main categories, namely benefits for the system, the society and other, non-monetized ones. Figure 15 - Classification of demand response benefits across the whole power system value chain A few examples of current valorization of DR for different system services are reported below: Ancillary services DR is contracted by system operators to provide ancillary services to the power system (e.g. frequency regulation, tertiary reserve). The capacity of DR contracted in these markets/programs is on the rise in many countries, as an alternative to the use of traditional generation resources. A few examples are reported below: France - 400MW contracted DR by RTE (French TSO) for balancing market (tertiary reserve) [66]. Since July 2014, DR can also access the frequency reserve market (10 MW minimum bid). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 85/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 8.1. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Italy - OOver 4000MW of Interruptible contracts for Sicily and Sardinia have been contracted (based on auctions) by Terna (Italian TSO) Belgium - 350 MW of DR were contracted in the ancillary reserves market in 2014 Capacity Market PJM (USA) - 10GW of DR (mainly from Commercial & Industrial –C&I- sites) have been contracted on PJM capacity market in the latest auction for 2017/2018. To provide an indication of the value associated to the DR, the flexibility service provider EnerNOC is managing 4GW of DR from C&I sites on PJM capacity market for total value of 185M$. [67] [68] Belgium – Since 2014 demand resources (with capacity larger than 50MW) are contracted with 1 year contracts for provision of strategic reserve France and the UK are also about to launch capacity markets which foresee the participation of DR resources. Distribution network The integration of DR in distribution grid operations is starting to emerge in Europe, particularly in pilot projects. In the US, particularly in regions where integrated utilities operate, DR programs are in place to solve distribution congestion issues. California (USA): in 2013, 923 MW of DR (direct load control) had been contracted by distribution utilities to address congestions at distribution level. Additionally, DR is also currently used as a resource by market actors (e.g. Balancing Responsible Parties) to balance their portfolio. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 86/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval These markets value the contribution of DR resources to meet system peak demand and thus ensure the security of supply of the system. The integration of DR resources can reduce the need for investments in generation peak units. A few examples are reported below: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 8.2. Factors affecting the value of Demand Response In the following, we describe a number of key variables affecting the potential and value of DR. 8.2.1. Type of loads Type of consumers Currently, DR comes mainly from commercial and industrial sector (lower implementation cost per MW of flexible demand). Residential DR is expected to increasingly become cost-effective with the deployment of smart meters and the introduction of smart appliances (e.g. smart thermostats) able to automatically respond to control signals, without the need for final consumers to manually adapt their consumption. Type of demand response resources The flexibility potential of prosumers/consumers depends on the type of loads and generation assets on their premises. A useful categorization is provided in [69]: 1) 2) 3) Storable load a) Battery storage b) Electric Vehicles (smart charging) c) Thermal storage (e.g. HVAC, heat pumps) d) .. Non-storable load a) Shiftable load, for example: i) Flexible industrial processes ii) Dishwashers, laundry,.. iii) .. b) Curtailable load, for example: i) Non-essential lighting ii) .. c) Base load i) Essential services/Processes ii) .. Self-generation a) Use of generation at consumers’ premises to modify net-load profile (e.g. via PV; CHP) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 87/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval DR potential vary largely among sectors: Industrial (e.g. paper, steel, chemical industries etc.), commercial (hospitals, commercial sites, ..), residential (at household level). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Load patterns Figure 16 – Example of load shapes for HVAC in office building and residential thermal loads 8.2.2. Characteristics of demand response In markets where DR is sold as a ‘product’, a number of characteristics are introduced to define its ‘quality’ and thus its corresponding value. Key parameters include: Availability (e.g. weekday; summer period) Maximum possible number of DR activations per year (e.g. maximum 10 demand response events per year) Hours of day required to respond (e.g. 10am – 18 pm) Maximum duration of DR event (e.g. 4 hours) Time to respond (e.g. 4 hours after instruction) For example, the UK TSO National Grid’s program to procure short-term balancing reserves (STOR), prescribed the following requirements for the provision of additional active power from generation and/or demand reduction [70]: 3MW or more of generation or steady demand Deliver within 4 hours from instruction Provide for at least 2 hours 20 hours recovery Ability to provide STOR at least 3 times a week GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 88/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Load patterns affect the potential to provide DR services. For example, in summer the potential for DR of residential heating is zero. Another example is reported in Figure 16, where the load patterns of a residential water heater has already been optimized to peak/off-peak tariffs (see green profile) and thus does not leave any room for additional flexibility during the day. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Figure 17 reports the requirements for different DR products (Limited DR, Extended Summer DR, Annual DR) for the PJM capacity market in the US22 [71]: 8.2.3. Activation mechanisms of demand response Activation mechanisms of demand response can be categorised into price-based (implicit) and volume-based (explicit) procurement. 8.2.4. Price-based mechanisms (implicit DR) Under price-based procurement, DR is considered “implicit”, in the sense that the activated level of flexibility is not stated in advance, but results from the response of consumers to price signals. The main parameters to consider are: Price : Variable or Fixed (known in advance) Timing slots : variable or fixed Occurrence: every day or on critical event Capacity/Energy : Charges depending on cumulated energy consumption or on power level The combinations of these parameters create a wide variety of tariff schemes. Most relevant ones are briefly described below: Inclining Block Rates Fixed tariffs are applied by trench of consumed energy, hence the xxkWh are at x€/kWh, the following yykWh at y€/kWh, etc. Time-of-Use Fixed periods of low and base tariffs all over the year. Typical example are day-night tariffs 22 DY stands for Delivery Year GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 89/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 17 - Requirements of DR products on the PJM capacity market [PJM2012] - RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Peak Time rebate The base tariff remains the same for all timeframes. However, if consumption is reduced during critical events, customers can earn rebates Critical peak pricing (CPP) A high price is applied in a predefined number of days. The days where the CPP will be applied are communicated in advance Variable peak pricing Mix of ToU and Real-Time pricing, where off- and on-peak periods are fixed, but the price of the on-peak period may vary depending on market conditions. Real Time Pricing Each pricing scheme has advantages and drawbacks. From a wider perspective, they can be ranked according to the level of Risk and Reward they provide. The higher the inherent risk, the more rewarding they can be for consumers who adapt their energy usage patterns (see Figure 18). Figure 18 - Risk/Reward levels are adaptable to consumer's risk aversion [72] 8.2.5. Volume-based mechanisms (explicit DR) Under price-based mechanisms, there is no guarantee that a predetermined amount of DR will be activated. On the other hand, in volume based DR a predetermined volume (MW) of DR is contracted. In this case, DR is considered “explicit”, in the sense that the activated level of flexibility needs to be explicitly defined in advance. A key aspect of volume-based DR is the important role that control systems should play to automatically control the load and make it “dispatchable’, in response to dispatch signals (e.g. from an aggregator). Volume-based DR products are typically contracted on centralized organized markets (capacity markets, ancillary services, energy markets etc.), depending on the specific regulation in force. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 90/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Price varies hourly or sub-hourly, on a day-ahead or hour-ahead basis. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Verification of activated DR Volume-based demand response requires the definition of a mechanism to evaluate ex-post the level of DR that has been activated. For illustration purposes, three examples are provided below related to the baseline calculation (i.e. the profile the load would have had, if the DR event had not taken place) in the PJM market (US), NEBEF market (France), STOR program (UK): PJM (USA) [71] Different approaches are used by PJM to calculate baseline of remotely metered sites. The general principle is that the error of the baseline (relative root mean square ) must be less than 20% so that the site can actually be paid for load reductions . The most commonly used baseline (about 85 % of participants) for participants in "PJM economic programs” is the average consumption measured during the same hours as those of the event during the four days 5 previous busiest days of activation. - Direct Load Control (DLC): In this case there is no need for tele-reading of meters or to use a baseline. An impact study is carried out ex-ante to assess the volume of DR activated by sending the DLC signal (i.e. testing the functioning of the load control loop) - Firm Service Level (FSL): No use of baseline is needed, the verification consists in monitoring (via remote metering) that the load has well been reduced to a predefined level. - Guaranteed Load Drop (GLD): the load must in this case be reduced by a predetermined amount (Guarantee) and a baseline must be calculated based on remote metering measurements. Adopted baselines could be based on comparable days or the day before / after STOR (UK) [70] Participants to the short term reserve program (STOR) of the UK TSO (National Grid) were typically on call roughly between 7:00-13:00; 16:00-22:00. The contribution of participating customers was judged relative to their level of consumption immediately prior to the dispatch signal. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 91/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Different methods are used for the different types of demand management capacity markets: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 9. VALUE STREAMS AND PROCUREMENT OPTIONS OF DEMAND RESPONSE FOR DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM OPERATORS This chapter focuses specifically on the use of DR by DSOs. We analyse the key DR value streams for DSOs and present the options DSOs have to procure DR and capitalise on some of these value streams. Value streams of demand response for distribution system operators From the perspective of a power system operator, DR can be a useful tool to correct imbalances between power supply and demand and to relieve congestions in the grid. Specifically, the following functions can be considered: Reduce peak power demand, thereby potentially reduce line overloads and relieve congestions Increase demand in order to complement production of renewable energy sourced electricity (RES-E) to reduce reverse power flows and avoid curtailment Influence power flow in the network (quantity and direction) to balance 3-phase loading and to eliminate the need for network reconfiguration Figure 19 shows a general overview of benefits that can be derived from DR in the power system in general, in terms of optimising operation and planning. Figure 19 – Grid efficiency value streams deriving from DR for the power system GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 92/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 9.1. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Avoided capital expenditure (CAPEX): DSOs need to expand grid capacity and upgrade transformers to cope with congestions. Depending on the demand and renewable energy sources (RES-E) growth in an area, employing DR in the planning phase offers DSOs a valuable solution to asset replacement. This strategy may postpone the need to invest in infrastructure upgrades and allow using the assets for their full lifetime, reducing short-term expenditures. 23 Avoided operational expenditure (OPEX): local balancing leads to a more balanced line loading and to a subsequent reduction of distribution grid losses which form a key operational expenditure for DSOs. Moreover, by relieving grid congestion, DR allows RES-E generation to be better integrated in the system. This means that curtailment of RES-E can be avoided, and hence compensation payments for the curtailed renewable energy are reduced (in countries where it is foreseen). It is worth mentioning that, while DR can also be used to optimise operation of the wholesale and balancing markets (as discussed in the previous chapter), DSOs cannot capitalise on these benefits, as unbundling provisions restrict their participation to these markets as flexibility providers. 23 Grid assets must be replaced at the end of their lifespan regardless of the situation. Since large part of the investment costs are related to installation, when replacing assets that have reached their lifetime, placing some larger cables brings no significant additional cost. In this respect, CAPEX benefits from DR should be considered with respect to the remaining lifetime of the assets. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 93/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval DSOs are facing a twofold challenge. On the one hand distribution grids should cope with demand growth and changing demand patterns (due to the incorporation of new demand such as electric vehicles and heat pumps as well as increasingly wholesale-price sensitive demand). On the other hand, they should be able to host increasing shares of DG and especially renewable energy sources (RES-E). DSOs are therefore faced with increased grid congestions caused either due to overloads from new demand or due to reverse power flows from increased RES-E shares. DR can provide cost effective solutions for both planning and operational purposes to relieve such grid congestions by reducing demand in case of overloads or increasing demand to counterbalance reverse power flows. In this respect, there are two main categories of DR benefits for DSOs: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 9.2. Options for DSOs to procure demand response and capitalise the benefits Figure 20 – Overview of transaction options between DSO and DR service providers 9.2.1. Price-based procurement of demand response DSOs can use price-based incentives to procure DR. This means using the regulated component of the final price which reflects distribution grid charges (hereafter denoted, “grid tariffs”) to incentivise grid users to adjust their behaviour to meet grid conditions. Figure 21 lists the options to use grid tariffs to trigger demand flexibility. Basically the options are to vary the distribution grid tariff based on a) fixed timeframes (time of use pricing); b) changing timeframes (dynamic pricing); or c) changing timeframes and location (locational dynamic pricing). The different options are best suited to different purposes. 24 It is worth stressing that when referring to “price-based” options, since we are referring to DSOs, in this context we refer to the “regulated component” of the final price for consumers (in most cases this refers to the distribution tariff component of grid tariffs). In countries where market is not yet liberalized (where retail prices are still regulated) “tariffs” refer to the whole price. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 94/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 20 shows an overview of DSOs’ options to procure DR within its control area, classified into price-based and volume-based options 24. The individual options are explained in more detail in the subsequent sections. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Figure 21 – Options on how to vary distribution grid tariffs to incentivise DR 9.2.1.1. TIME OF USE (TOU) TARIFFS ToU tariffs apply fixed price differentiation of the network charges based on time. Consumers of electricity are charged cheaper tariffs during low-demand periods (typically night time), while more expensive tariffs apply during high-demand periods. The same tariff is charged to all consumers in the DSO control area. This tariff structure is useful for reducing system peak demand, when it is known to occur regularly around the same time every day. Example of application: ToU tariffs have been used in France since 1960’s. Approximately 80% of the hot water tanks in France are programmed to start during off peak, which is estimated to shift 9 TWh of energy annually, corresponding to approximately 3 GW of installed peak load capacity. Synergy effects are reduced investment needs in the grid of more than 100 MEUR/year. [73] Potential Challenges: One observed side-effect from the example in France, was the so-called “bounce back effect,” where all DR switch on simultaneously at the beginning of the cheaper tariff period, causing a new peak. Pilot projects (e.g. NiceGrid project in France25) show that this can be successfully dealt with by using more than one off-peak period (shown in Figure 22). 25 http://www.nicegrid.fr/ GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 95/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) ToU tariffs are suited to ‘traditional’ power systems, where the daily patterns of (net) demand is well defined, and the peaks occur consistently in the same timeframe. However, increasing shares of Variable RES (VRE) in distribution systems alter the net demand patterns and the peaks do not always occur in the same timeframe. This would make the ToU tariffs ineffective, and reduce the predictability on what tariff should be applied when. The same ToU tariffs apply to all consumers in the control area by the DSO, and act to solve system peak demand. However, this does not guarantee a solution to local congestion issues. For example, if there is a local congestion within the DSO area that requires a decrease in generation output during the time when there is a system peak and instead demand reduction is encouraged, a conflict between local grid conditions and system needs arise. In that event, solving the local problem should be prioritised but this is not possible with ToU tariffs. 9.2.1.2. DYNAMIC TARIFFS Dynamic tariffs apply price differentiation based on the current operational state of the system. This means that, if the system has abundant supply, the price signal is lower to encourage more use of electricity, and if there is a supply deficiency the price signal is increased to deter the use of electricity. The difference between the time of use (ToU) tariffs and the dynamic tariffs is mainly that the ToU tariffs originate in fixed peak/off peak hours (easy to forecast even with long planning horizon) whereas the dynamic tariffs consider the current state of the system, not necessarily following the traditional peak/off-peak pattern. This makes them suitable for systems with VRE penetration where the timing of the system peaks is varying from day to day. The same tariff is charged to all consumers in the DSO control area, therefore, the price signals can be coupled with the state of the system and with global system needs, which can be defined as either: a) TSO system imbalance: Higher or lower price can be applied during timeframe where supply-demand imbalance is forecasted (i.e., high consumption or high generation); or GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 96/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 22 – Example of application of time of use tariffs by ERDF in France [74] RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) b) TSO regional imbalance: variable price can be applied when there is a foreseen transmission grid congestion, based on congestion forecasts at a regular intervals (e.g. hourly). Figure 23 – The Ecogrid EU market concept architecture: prices set by the TSO and its impact on the market actors [75] Potential Challenges: Even if the grid tariff is coupled with a price that represents the state of the system at a TSO level, (i.e., wholesale price, balancing price) and acts to solve system imbalance, it does not guarantee a solution to local congestion issues. For example, if there is a local congestion within the DSO area that requires a decrease in demand during the time when there is a system imbalance that signals the demand to increase instead, a conflict between local grid conditions and system needs arise. In such cases the local problem should be prioritised, which is not possible with this tariff system. 26 www.eu-ecogrid.net/ GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 97/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Example of application: Dynamic tariffs are proposed by the Ecogrid EU26 market concept, which is illustrated in Figure 23. In this example, when there is an imbalance (type a or b above) detected in the system, the price would be set by a “real-time market operator,” which might be the TSO or DSO (1). Therefore, depending on the state of the system, the real-time market operator will increase or decrease the tariff in order to encourage consumers in the control area of the DSO to decrease or increase electricity consumption. The price would be published and retrieved by the market actors, which include the DR service providers (2). If no imbalance or congestion exists, the real-time price will be equal to day-ahead price. The participating actors would then adjust (3) the consumption according to the price signal and thus assist in maintaining the power system balance. The “real-time market operator” can monitor the impact to verify that equilibrium was established (4). The price would be updated frequently, every 5 minutes, to utilise the potential for a dynamic response. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Distribution grid tariffs in most countries constitute a part of the whole electricity price [76]. In some cases, the impact it has on the end price-signal to customers could be limited to the point that it becomes ineffective to steer changes in consumption behaviour. 9.2.1.3. LOCATIONAL DYNAMIC TARIFFS Example of application: Locational dynamic tariffs are proposed by the Ecogrid EU market concept27, which is explained in the example in the previous sub-section. A full-scale demonstration of the concept is foreseen in a complete distribution system (Bornholm island), owned and operated by the local DSO, Østkraft, in Denmark 28. The demonstration is run in three phases, as shown in Figure 24. Basically system balancing, shown as Production & Consumption in the centre of the figure, will consider three elements, in different phases. In the first phase, the provision of global balancing services by DER and DR using energy and ancillary service price signals is demonstrated. This will use the framework for price signals as described in the example in the previous sub-section on dynamic pricing (the market perspective). In the second phase, grid supervision and management technology is added to automate the operation of the distribution system (the network perspective). In this phase, local congestions will be identified and flagged. In the third and last phase, locational pricing is developed based on the local congestion signals generated in the previous phase (combination of both market and network perspective). Flexible resources would then be solicited with price signals to alleviate grid congestion. 27 http://www.eu-ecogrid.net/ecogrid-eu/the-ecogrid-eu-market-concept 28 The Bornholm distribution system is part of the Nordic interconnected system and fully integrated in the Nordic electricity market. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 98/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Locational dynamic tariffs apply price differentiation based on time and location. This means that, dynamic pricing is applied, but the price can be different for service providers at different locations within the control area of the DSO. Therefore, a variable price is applied based on where distribution grid congestion appears. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Potential Challenges: DSO would have to anticipate local congestions and set a price signal based on that forecast. This means that DSOs should develop new tools and processes. 9.2.1.4. POWER BAND CONTRACT Power band contracts apply a price differentiation on the energy charge component based on the mean power of the peak hour. This means that the higher the power demand of the peak hour, the higher the tariff for the customer. This dictates the EUR/kWh rate that a consumer has to pay for a given period (e.g., could be applied for the entire consumption in a year, or only the hours corresponding to that peak hour). This method encourages reduction of peak power by the customer and essentially creates a dynamic link between the energy and capacity charge components. Example of application: Results from a pilot study in Finland [77] are shown in Figure 25 and Figure 26. Normally, a customer is billed based on the main fuse size. For a main fuse of 3 x 25 A, the largest power band (utilised capacity) measured as an hourly power would be approx. 17 kW (red line in Figure 25). With a flat-rate EUR/kWh tariff which is indifferent to the level of hourly consumption, there is no incentive to reduce consumption in a specific hour over another. However, if the tariff is differentiated across the coloured bands (increasing with increased power), the customer would be incentivised to minimise peaks and try to keep the hourly consumption as low and even as possible. Figure 26 shows how the consumption pattern of a customer was changed over a period of three years since their electricity bills were changed to a power band contract. It can be seen that both the mean and peak power consumption have decreased. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 99/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 24 – The Ecogrid EU demonstration phase [75] RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Figure 26 - Hourly electrical energy consumption over three consecutive years of a Finnish household with a power band contract. [77] GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 100/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 25 – Hourly electrical energy consumption of a Finnish household with a flat rate electricity tariff. Superimposed with potential power bands [modified from [77]] RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Potential Challenges: Consumer has to monitor/study his own consumption and understand when peak consumptions occurs, and how to avoid it, which complicates the applicability of the approach. 9.2.2. Volume-based procurement of demand response Figure 27 – Volume-based procurement options of DR Figure 27 lists the transaction options for DSOs to procure a certain volume of DR. When the DSO identifies a need/potential benefit for DR in its network, it can procure it by: making a direct contract (bilateral agreement) with the DR provider with customised conditions; issuing a call for tenders for the DR service required, whenever it is required; or establishing a local market for DR providers connected to the network with local price. Which option is most efficient and effective depends on the number of DR providers that are connected to the network (liquidity of the market). Forming bilateral agreements are most efficient when there are only few, and forming a local market can be efficient when there are many market players. Bilateral agreements and tenders establish a direct transaction between the DSO and local DR service provider based on pre-defined conditions and price, while a local market would mean that the DSO would source DR from a market which sells standardised products. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 101/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval DSOs can use volume-based incentives to procure DR. This means that the DSO will (financially) compensate a DR service provider to activate a specific quantity of DR. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) DSOs as regulated entities have a non-discriminatory obligation and must carefully observe market power effects. Therefore, it is important to ensure sufficient liquidity in a market. Furthermore, reliability of DR delivery should be managed, for example by applying penalties if there is a deviation between services sold and delivered (except in an emergency). However, it must also be kept in mind that very strict reliability standards will discourage service providers from participating in such a DR scheme. Once a volume-based procurement method is established, the DSO could activate the actual service in either of the following ways (see Figure 28): Figure 28 – Curtailment and re-dispatching process aggregator DSO [78] 9.2.2.1. BILATERAL AGREEMENTS Bilateral agreements are contracts signed between the DR service provider and DSO. The contract would specify the conditions when and how the DR service provider would either increase or decrease consumption. Key benefit is the ability to customise the service requirements. Such contracts may be standardised for simplicity, but should retain the freedom to formulate the terms in order to fit the needs and preferences of the involved parties, e.g., in theory they could have any time horizon or format. This is one of the benefits of bilateral contracting, compared with other procurement designs. Such flexibility allows bilateral contracts to be used for a wide range of services. One example of a standardized approach to contracts is to revise the calculation method for the fixed charge component of the distribution tariff, taking into account flexibility obligations. This would apply to users (DG and consumers) connecting to the distribution network, paid either directly to the DSO (i.e., customer has separate contracts to utility as energy supplier and DSO as connection supplier) or paid by consumers to utilities, which then pay the DSOs. Potential Challenges: The nature of the product specifications in bilateral agreements makes it hard for traded services to compare with other similar non-standardised products. Without clarity on how to develop competitive products, it could discourage liquidity in the market. Furthermore, it may be seen by the regulator as going against the transparency and market based approached directed by the EU. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 102/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Curtail, which means uncompensated automatic control of DR-assets to curtail on pro-rata across all assets; or Re-dispatch, which is a more a market based solution, to compensate DR who can offer the service at cheapest cost. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Because the products are unique and not standardised, the value of the product becomes subjective. The seller and buyer of the service need to have a good understanding of the service offered, and also have an agreement about its value. 9.2.2.2. TENDERS Call for tenders is a special procedure for generating competing offers from different bidders. The DSO would announce the framework of the service contract to all interested service providers. They would then assess the offers and offer binding service contracts to those that comply with the stated requirements. Major benefit is the ability to customise the service requirements. The framework of a contract may include the following [78]: Type of DR product (firm or optional, then notice of exercise) Volume and duration; Specified location; Condition of delivery; Invoicing and payment; Measurement; Penalties for failure to deliver; Non-performance due to force majeure, Confidentiality obligations; Governing law and arbitration. Example of application: In the United Kingdom, UK Power Networks has set-up bilateral contract following a call for tenders with aggregators Flextricity, EDF Energy and Enernoc for the provision of DR service to limit power congestions in selected distribution grid areas and avoid reinforcements [79] [80]. UK Power Network’s business plan forecasts savings of around £40 million [€52M] from DR schemes from 2015 until 2023 [81]. Potential Challenges: To some degree, the potential challenges are similar to those faced by bilateral agreements. The transparency of product description may be improved in the case of an open tender. However, the ability to customise the technical requirements means that there will be a lack of standardisation across different DSO areas. This could inhibit liquidity and competition from supply side. Furthermore, the administrative burden to manage a call for tender could be considered high for a DSO. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 103/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The content of the contracts would be similar to that of a bilateral agreement, in that it would specify the conditions when and how the DR service provider would either increase or decrease consumption. The main difference is that with a tender, the content of the contracts are more transparent compared to a bilateral agreement, due to the tendering process. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 9.2.2.3. LOCAL MARKETS National markets in the form of system-wide balancing are already used for contracting DR. However, no markets exist for solving issues from the DSO perspective only. It could be possible to make use of this existing framework and treat the activation of DR for DSO purposes as a “bonus” which is granted depending on the localisation of the flexibility and its activation according to DSO’s needs It is also possible to have local markets set up by the DSO or another regulated agent, to exchange services locally. The design of the market could be very similar to the existing wholesale markets. The local market could be obtained by applying a market splitting mechanism from the TSO level market in case of a local congestion or problem. A local market approach would be considered in the case of interconnected networks with a lot of local resources connected to them and thus possible liquidities on the market. The eTelligence project in the Cuxhaven region of Germany [82] developed and tested a complex ICT-based system to balance the intermittent feed-in from wind energy generation by integrating electricity into the grid and a regional market, while simultaneously enabling a more active participation of small end-consumers into power markets of the region. A digital energy marketplace was created, to enable small and medium-sized power-generating systems, as well as medium to large electricity consumers, to trade energy products in a fully automated way. The marketplace considers the availability of regional products under realistic conditions (grid29 and generation capacity) and links together producers, commercial consumers with flexible loads and energy service providers. A link to the wholesale market was also included, to ensure sufficient liquidity on the marketplace. Some of the market participants included EWE NETZ GmbH, various cogeneration plants and a virtual power plant consisting of a PV system, a wind farm and two refrigerated warehouses. Potential Challenges: The more local a market is the less liquid it becomes. Besides, even if a local market is created, if the DSO becomes the single service buyer, the local market would yield the same result as a call for tenders. Therefore, the choice for a DSO between a call for tender or holding his own market should be made based on the possible liquidities on the market and especially the market option should be considered if there are other actors willing to buy the DR service. The only other actor that would be willing to buy local DR services, besides the network operator, would be the producers with regulated tariffs. Furthermore, in a meshed network with interconnections between different DSOs, it would be possible for a DSO to become buyer on his neighbouring DSO. 29 In order to understand the network behaviour, network measurement data (active and reactive power, voltages, currents, frequency) was collected from 100 substations in the distribution network, saved and exported on request. The data was recorded for the participation of the network in the regional marketplace. [100] GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 104/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Example of application: Local markets at pilot level (e.g. NiceGrid project in France; Etelligence project in Germany). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) If a DSO contracts DR to solve local constraints within a short timeframe, it will have to ensure that the total balance at the point of connection with the TSO is not compromised, otherwise the power flows at the TSO level and global system balance may be disrupted. Furthermore, the administrative burden to manage a market would be considered high, especially for small DSOs. 9.2.3. Procurement options: Conclusions Dynamic tariffs require the definition of a “real-time market operator” (i.e., DSO), and this entity would have to set up a platform to send a signal to DR service providers about the tariff change in a given time interval depending on grid conditions. This setup is complicated compared to current practices, but would be fairly simple to implement from a technological point of view, which would require a one-time effort to set up the system, and then could run as an automated process. Locational dynamic tariffs, which are based on the state of the system in terms of grid congestions close to real-time, would require much more frequent forecasting and monitoring of the power flows in the system compared to current practice by TSOs and DSOs. Therefore intensive efforts would need to be invested to realise locational dynamic tariffs. Bilateral agreements and tenders establish a direct transaction between the DSO and local DR service provider based on pre-defined conditions and price, while a local market would mean that the DSO would source DR from a market which sells standardised products. However, the creation of local markets or even tendering would require liquidity in the market. Furthermore, the additional administrative burden could be difficult for small DSOs to manage. In this respect, bilateral agreements and tendering are probably the most accessible and effective options from the perspective of a DSO. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 105/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Static priced-based procurement options like the ToU tariff and power band contracts could be relatively easy to implement. ToU tariffs would be defined ex-ante by the regulator, based on an analysis of historical data about peak demand. Power band charges would be applied ex-post, and could be integrated into existing billing processes. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 10. ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE TO IMPROVE DISTRIBUTION GRID EFFICIENCY AT PLANNING AND OPERATION 10.1. Objectives and global approach The main objective of this chapter is to study, via simulation analysis, how flexibility can improve the efficiency of distribution networks, with an increasing DG penetration levels, while respecting operation rules (Min – Max voltage limits, conductors and transformers load rate, N-1 security). Figure 29 – Planning of distribution grids accounts for security constraints and OPEX/CAPEX trade-off Figure 30 summarizes the three-step approach that has been used in the analysis. Figure 30 – Followed approach for studying benefits brought by flexibility GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 106/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Specifically, we assess how the integration of DR in DSOs planning and operation could allow finding the optimal trade-off between CAPEX (investment in equipment/asset replacement and upgrade) and OPEX spending (in particular cost of thermal losses) (see Figure 29). RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Modelling approach: “Hosting capacity of existing grid” vs “Greenfield ideal network” To carry out this kind of analysis, several studies follow a classical “hosting capacity” approach. This consists in finding the maximum amount of DG that an existing grid can integrate safely without operational security violation. In this study, we follow a “greenfield” approach, which allows exploring the benefits of a complete new approach of DSO grid planning and operation which includes flexibility. It consists in designing the ideal network structure to integrate a long term target level of DG at least cost (CAPEX+OPEX), given the load, generation and grid characteristics in specific regions. This allows drawing general conclusions about the value of integrating DR into DSOs’ planning and operation. Smart sizing simulation tool Figure 31 summarizes the Smart Sizing tool. In the model, the following cost items are included: OPEX: Technical losses costs Activation cost of the flexibility (e.g. procurement of volume-based flexibility by the DSO) CAPEX Network components and installation (e.g. lines, substations) ICT infrastructure for activation of flexibility This tool allows a global optimization of OPEX and CAPEX by selecting the optimal mix of traditional and flexibility-based investments. 30 www.plangridev.eu 31 https://gredor.be GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 107/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The Smart Sizing tool, developed by Tractebel in Smart Grid pilot projects like PlanGridEV30 and Gredor31, has been used for this study. It allows modelling both technical (e.g. network components, DG) and economic aspects (CAPEX and OPEX) when planning investments in the distribution grid. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 10.2. Building the simulation models The following realistic four distribution system models have been built based on consultants’ own collected data and experience in previous assignments. Distribution network in urban area located in Northern Europe; Distribution network in rural area located in Northern Europe; Distribution network in urban area located in Southern Europe; Distribution network in rural area located in Southern Europe. These models are intended to provide a contrasting set of operating conditions to test the robustness of the simulation results. Realistic load and decentralised generation data profiles, coherent with grid characteristics and geographical locations, have been considered. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 108/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 31 - SMART SIZING TOOL: global optimization of OPEX and CAPEX RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) The modelling phase has been organized in four specific steps: a) b) c) d) Modelling the grid structure Modelling distributed generation Modelling the load Analysis of representative days of the year a) Modelling the grid structure The specificities of the grid are represented by parameters like Type of conductor (overhead/underground) Network structure (radial/meshed) Average feeder lengths Average number of feeders per substations The associated costs of the assets (e.g. cost of cables per km) have then been defined. b) Modelling the distributed generation Figure 33 summarizes the characteristics of DG in each model: the type (PV, wind, CHP) and the associated voltage level (LV, MV, connection to HV/MV substation). This repartition has been done based on the information given in [24]. Accordingly, urban areas are mainly characterised by PV connected in LV while rural areas host a larger portion of wind connected in Medium Voltage. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 109/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 32 - Four distribution systems models RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Figure 34 reports selected generation profiles, representative of local conditions (level of sun irradiation, wind speed, district heating system, and individual cogeneration system). Urban areas are mainly characterized by PV connected in LV (low voltage) and in MV (medium voltage), while rural areas are characterised mainly by wind connected in MV. Figure 35 reports the share of DG across voltage levels in the four models. Figure 34 - Characteristics of generation for each model – Generation profiles GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 110/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 33 - Characteristics of generation for each model – Peak load and share across voltage levels RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Figure 35 - Voltage level of connection of Distributed Generation c) Modelling load Figure 36 – Characteristics of load for each model – Peak load and share across voltage levels Figure 37 summarizes the different hourly load curves that have been considered to reflect the local specificities of each model (density of customers, categories of customers, economical sectors). The type of houses, heat & cooling types, thermic insulation, and seasonal variations impact the residential load pattern. The level of LV and MV commercial load depends of the area density (urban vs rural). Industrial loads are mainly located in urban areas and connected in MV. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 111/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 36 reports the characteristics of the load considered for each model, in terms of peak and load repartition across voltage levels. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) d) Modelling representative days To reduce computational complexity, simulations have been run on a sub-set of days representative of the annual behaviour of the distribution system (Figure 38). A total of 10 days (non-consecutive) have been selected. We have considered days with “typical conditions”, and days with “extreme conditions”. The latter are days in which generation and load profiles are particularly constraining for the grid in terms of peak load or reverse peak. Days with “Typical conditions” Winter weekday, summer weekday, inter-season weekday; Winter weekend, summer weekend, inter-season weekend; Days with “Extreme conditions” Total peak load (net load) and reverse peak (net load); LV peak load (net load) and LV reverse peak (net load). The probability of occurrence of the different days has then been considered to weigh the simulation results associated to the corresponding day. Figure 38 - Selection of 10 days to be representative of the annual behaviour GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 112/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 37 - Characteristics of generation for each model – Load profiles RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 10.3. Definition of scenarios and simulation results 1) 2) 3) 4) Base case scenario – In this scenario, planning and operation rely only on traditional investments, without the option of demand response. The impact of the total cost of the system is then studied for the 4 models (North Urban, South Urban, North rural, South rural) when increasing the Decentralised Generation (DG) penetration level. Time-of-Use scenario - In this scenario, it is assumed a (exogenous) reshaping of the load profiles in the simulation thanks to the introduction of ToU tariffs. The tool does not optimize the load profiles, it just considered the ToU-based load profiles as input to the simulation. Demand response scenario – In this scenario, the tool is able to arbitrate between investments in traditional assets or demand response (ICT investment costs and activation costs). Full flex scenario: Demand response and DG curtailment options– In this scenario, DSOs can opt for two competing sources of flexibility competing on a cost basis: Demand Response and Curtailment of DGs. Within each scenario, the behaviour of the system has been assessed by increasing progressively and homotetically the installed capacity of the different types of DG connected at LV and MV (Figure 39). In each scenario, DG penetration level varies from 0% to 400% of peak demand (considering with 50% increment steps). The same process is repeated for each of the four network models (North urban; North rural, South Urban; South Rural) leading to a total of 16 simulation models (Figure 40). Considering variations of parameters within each scenario (e.g. penetration level of DG), over 150 simulation cases have been analysed. Figure 39 – Simulation scenarios for each network model GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 113/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval For each network model defined in the previous section, four different scenarios have been defined according to the level of flexibility at DSOs’ disposal: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Figure 40 – Global picture of the built models and studied scenarios to study all flexibility options 10.3.1. Base case The base case does not consider any type of flexibility. The increase of DG penetration leads to reverse power flows that can lead to a reverse peak. When the reverse peak is higher than the direct peak load, it will size the system and will therefore directly impact the CAPEX (see ANNEX V for additional detailed simulation results). Figure 41 shows the evolution of the TOTEX (CAPEX + OPEX) from 0% to 400% DG penetration level. The TOTEX is expressed in percentage of the case with 0% of DG penetration of the same model (it means that by example, north rural case with generation is compared with the north rural case without generation). Key observations: The increasing penetration of DG has first a positive impact on the TOTEX up to a minimum cost value (optimal point). In fact, at first DG penetration allows to reduce flows in the distribution grid (reduction of losses and of need for reinforcements). Beyond a certain DG penetration level (break-even point) TOTEX becomes actually higher than in the case without any DG: this is due to the need to increase CAPEX to reach higher DG hosting capacity. DG penetration level corresponding to the optimal and the break-even points strongly depends on the characteristics of the load, of the share of generation and of the characteristics of the network - For example; in proposed case studies optimal cost and break-even points are reached quicker in urban areas. This is due to the fact that reverse power flows in LV (which have the highest investment impact as they affect the whole distribution system) first occur in urban areas where it is assumed that a higher share of DG is connected in LV. In rural areas, break even points are reached for a higher penetration level of DG compared to the urban cases. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 114/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Figure 41 – Evolution of the total cost for the 4 distribution systems 10.3.2. Time-of-Use scenario In the “Time of Use scenario”, three types of ToU tariffs with different on peak/off-peak time periods have been considered (Figure 42; Figure 43): Night/Day: Off-Peak from 8pm to 8am Mid-day: Off-Peak from 1pm to 4pm Multi-period: Off-Peak from 8pm to 8am and from 1pm to 4pm GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 115/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval - Rural areas are mainly characterised by overhead lines which are cheaper than underground conductors. The optimal investment strategy is thus to oversize conductors to reduce losses. - Rural grids are more loss-driven, since the losses account for a higher share of the total cost than in urban grids. The cost of losses (€/MWh) strongly affects the optimal balance between CAPEX and OPEX. With higher cost of losses, the investment decisions are steered toward oversizing the grid (thus higher CAPEX) to minimize the OPEX of losses. For a given DG penetration level, variety in the DG mix (in terms of voltage connection and type) provides positive impacts on distribution system costs compared to the case of one type of DG connected at a single voltage level (e.g. only PV connected in LV) - Single connection point: In general, DG all connected at LV determines cost impact on all upstream levels (both for CAPEX and OPEX) - Single DG type (e.g. only PV or wind): the concentration of generation in the same time periods could lead to an increase of the reverse peak and thus to higher infrastructure investments. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Midday ToU 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Load [MW] Load [MW] Night/day ToU 0 10 20 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Load without TOU Load with TOU 0 5 10 15 20 For sake of simplicity; it has been assumed that the impact of ToU tariffs lead to a transfer of 5% of the energy from the on-peak to the off-peak period. The optimized load profile is then used as an input for the Smart Sizing simulation to assess the delta TOTEX compared with the base case scenario. Key observations are: Night/day ToU (Figure 43) Positive impact on TOTEX for low penetration of DG, thanks to the reduction of peak demand and associated CAPEX investments With higher DG penetration, TOTEX starts to actually increase compared to the base case. Thi is due to the decrease of the load during the PV peak, leading to higher reverse flows Mid-day ToU (Figure 43) Reduction of TOTEX is achieved beyond a certain threshold of DG penetration, when higher peak consumption provides benefits in balancing peak DG injection. Multi-period ToU It allows combining the benefits of both Night/Day and Mid/day ToU cases in a wide variety of conditions (rural/urban, north/south, different DG penetration levels). Results are available in Annex I. Simulation results show that a well-defined ToU tariffs can indeed provide benefits in terms of CAPEX and OPEX for the distribution grid. The level of impact strongly depends on the specific characteristics of the grid and of the load/generation conditions. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 116/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 42 – Different ToU periods considered RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) A key aspect is to well design time periods in a way to incentivize a synchronization of local load and generation. Under certain conditions, ToU might actually lead to negative TOTEX impacts, due to an increase of reverse power flows to a higher level than actual peak demand. Night/day ToU Midday ToU 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% North urban 0% -1% -2% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% 400% 350% 300% 250% 200% 150% 50% 0% 100% -2% South rural 1% 0% -1% North rural 2% South urban 10.3.3. Demand response (volume-based) Under this scenario, DSOs have the option to select two types of investments: Investments in traditional grid assets Investments in Demand Response Two costs are associated to Demand Response: Demand Response CAPEX: cost of deploying the ICT infrastructure to activate Demand Response (e.g. Smart Metering infrastructure) Demand Response OPEX: cost of activation of demand response (which includes all the costs borne by aggregators to provide demand response services: e.g. energy boxes, aggregation platforms etc.) Thus, the optimization strategy aims at selecting the investments that minimize the total CAPEX (traditional assets + ICT assets) and OPEX (cost of losses + costs of DR activation). In the following we assess how the availability of DR can reduce DSOs’ system costs compared to the base case. Clearly, these benefits will strictly depend on the costs (CAPEX and OPEX) associated to DR. Therefore in the following we will carry out two different types of analysis: Case 1: Sensitivity analysis on DR activation cost (DR OPEX) DR OPEX: Analysis of 4 different activation costs for DR, DR CAPEX: Negligible ICT infrastructure costs. This corresponds to a case in which smart meters are already in place. Case 2: Sensitivity analysis on DR ICT investment cost (DR CAPEX) This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 43- TOTEX reduction with Night/Day and Mid-day ToU tariffs DR CAPEX: Use of two different ICT infrastructure costs of DR, GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 117/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) DR OPEX: Fixed activation cost of DR . The proposed two cases represent the two extreme of cost allocation of the ICT infrastructure to DR programs: in the first case DR program does not borne any cost (e.g. because smart meters are supposed to be already in place) whereas in the second case it includes the whole ICT infrastructure cost. This allows having robust results, as, depending on the conditions in different countries, intermediary cost conditions will hold. Case 1 – Demand response scenario - Sensitivity analysis on DR OPEX Nearly free 1€/MWh Equivalent to a 10% reduction 20€/MWh Equivalent to a 25% reduction 50€/MWh Equivalent to a 40% reduction (=Night tariff) 80€/MWh Equivalent to a 75% reduction 150€/MWh Table 20 - Simulated Demand Response activation cost Figure 44 reports the TOTEX variation as compared to the case without DG and without flexibility, for different DR activation costs. Key observations are: DR has always a positive effect on the TOTEX in the different grid conditions The value of DR in terms of TOTEX reduction increases with DG penetration Even in presence of relatively high DR activation cost (150€/MWh), DR brings benefits. This hints that a business case for DR services to DSOs could be reasonably pursued. DR brings more values in the urban case, where DG is mainly represented by PV connected in LV. 32 Source : https://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/statistics/market-analysis GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 118/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval In this case, the cost of DR is limited to the activation cost and does not consider investments in ICT. Several activation costs have been tested, based on an average end-user price of electricity of 200 €/MWh32 and are presented in the Table 20. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Figure 44 - TOTEX in % for different DR activation costs as compared to the case without DG and without flexibility The implementation of DR could also lead in some circumstances to an increase of the losses while providing a reduction of the TOTEX (e.g. see north-urban case in Figure 45, where the optimal investment strategy leads to privilege a minimization of CAPEX, at the expenses of a higher OPEX). With growing penetration of DGs, the benefis of DR in terms of reduction of total costs and of losses become increasingly significant (compare Figure 45 and Figure 46 which refer to a DG penetration equal to 100% of peak demand and to 400% of pea demand respectively). Figure 45 – Decrease of TOTEX and decrease of losses for different at 100% DG penetration level GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 119/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Figure 46 – Decrease of TOTEX and decrease of losses for different at 400% DG penetration level The maximum daily DR (percentage of the load affected by DR activation) increases with the DG penetration, as shown on the charts of the Figure 47. With high level of DG penetration, the maximum daily demand response level is generally higher in urban areas. Again, this is due to the different share of DGs among voltage levels and to the cost of cables (overhead /underground). Figure 47 – Maximum daily load demand response (in percentage of the total load) – results for a 80€/MWh demand response cost GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 120/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The amount of load which is shifted during the year is generally low, but it has a large impact for reducing the direct and/or the reverse peak.. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Case 2 – Demand response scenario - Sensitivity analyses on DR CAPEX In this case, we test the impact of DR for different level of ICT infrastructure costs (see Table 21) and a fixed DR activation cost of 80€/MWh . LV grid MV grid Low deployment cost 50 k€/MW 0.5 k€/MW High deployment cost 200 €/MW 2 k€/MW Table 21 - Simulated ICT deployment costs The result of the simulations is presented at the Figure 48. ICT costs seem in general to have a limited impact on overall TOTEX reduction. The ICT costs particularly influence the activation of DR at LV (residential consumers). In the “high ICT deployment cost” case, DR in LV is rarely activated. High ICT costs have a significant negative effect particularly in presence of high residential PV penetration (urban areas) as they limit the availability of DR at residential level to balance local PV generation). The decrease of ICT costs in MV has a higher positive impact on TOTEX in those cases where a large part of DG is connected in MV (rural areas) Figure 48 – TOTEX decrease as compared with the base case without flexibility for two ICT infrastructure deployment cost 10.3.4. Full-flex scenario Under this scenario, DSOs can opt for two sources of flexibility for the optimization of their planning and operation: DR and generation curtailment. The goal of the scenario is to assess the benefits of DR in a more constraining situation, where a competing source of flexibility (generation curtailment) is also at DSOs’ disposal. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 121/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Key observations are: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) The compensation cost for the curtailed energy has been set at 120€/MWh, representing 150% of the average price of the energy sold on the wholesale market (80€/MWh33). The cost hypotheses are therefore the following: DR activation cost 80€/MWh ICT investment cost LV - MV 50€/MW – 0.05€/MW Generation curtailment cost 120€/MWh Figure 49 presents the TOTEX reduction in the full-flex scenario for different level of DG penetration. 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 100% DG penetration 200% DG penetration 300% DG penetration Figure 49 - Total cost decrease in the full-flex scenario 100 80 60 40 20 0 South urban 2000 1000 Generation curtailment 0 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% Energy [MWh] Energy [MWh] South rural Demand Response % DG penetration % DG penetration Figure 50 - Use of Demand Response and generation curtailment 33 Source : https://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/statistics/market-analysis GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 122/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval TOTEX decrease (%)* Figure 50 presents the activation level of DR and generation curtailment under different DG penetration level. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Key observations are: Figure 51 – DR impact on loss reduction considering two different loss costs (80€/MWh and 120€/MWh) 10.4. Conclusions and key messages In the following we provide a summary of the main messages resulting from the simulation analysis, which are valid on average on a given grid. Deviations are possible on specific feeders/substations depending on local specificities. Demand response is effective in reducing the total cost of the distribution grid Demand response is an effective means to reduce the TOTEX (Total Expenditure) of the system (CAPEX+OPEX), when integrated in grid planning and operation: - Via reduction of direct and inverse peaks in the network and thus the need for infrastructure costs (CAPEX). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 123/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval DR is typically the preferred flexibility option: at first for reducing direct peak load and then for reducing inverse net peak load for high DG penetration levels At high level of DG penetration level, when reverse peak becomes the driver to size grid assets, generation curtailment becomes also a viable flexibility option. With low penetration of DG, DR is mainly used in MV rather than in LV for urban areas, due to the low ICT costs considered in LV. This holds until a certain level of DG penetration (high reverse flows from PV require more DR in LV) (detailed results are available in Annex I). The cost of losses strongly affects the procurement strategy of DR. The simulation analysis shows that DR activation specifically targets loss reduction only with a sufficiently high level of loss costs (see Figure 51 – DR impact on loss reduction considering two different loss costs (80€/MWh and 120€/MWh)Figure 51, where a 50% increase in loss costs per MWh has been considered). This is particularly the case in rural areas where the overall investment strategy is more loss-driven as discussed previously. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) - Via reduction of technical losses (OPEX) by performing a local balancing with DG and reducing the flows in the system. The reduction of TOTEX is achieved by finding the optimal balance between CAPEX and OPEX (in certain conditions, the level of technical losses could also increase, if off-set by a decrease of CAPEX). Of course, regulation should specifically incentivize DSOs to reduce TOTEX (please refer to subsequent chapters). If DSOs do not receive the right incentives to reduce losses, then the use of flexibility could mainly target CAPEX reductions (i.e. size assets to their capacity limits) and possibly lead to higher loss volumes. Explicit (Volume-based) Demand Response can bring higher benefits to the system compared to implicit (tariff-based) Demand Response. Both implicit and explicit DR can reduce the total cost of the system. Both approaches can also be implemented together to maximize the impact (even if the two mechanisms can be in competition with each other, as the presence of ToU reduces the amount of flexibility exploitable by explicit DR). Volume-based (explicit) DR can bring higher benefits as it can be more precisely activated according to DSO’s needs. For a volume-based flexibility market to develop, DSOs should make clearly accessible the information about their flexibility needs (present and future). This would allow revealing the availability of flexibility resources and contributing to creation of a flexibility market. Time of Use (ToU) tariff can provide significant system benefits, but they need to be carefully tailored to specific local conditions. The impact of ToU tariffs on TOTEX depends on the level of penetration of DGs and on local conditions. In general, ToU can provide significant benefits and facilitate the integration of DG at a lower cost when the off-peak period is synchronized with DG generation. A location-based component in the ToU could help better tailor the tariff design to local conditions. Poorly designed ToU timeframes, under certain conditions, could also have a negative effect. For example, with high DG penetration, simple day-night ToU might actually worsen the costs of DG hosting capacity. The cost/benefit ratio of Demand Response for DSOs depends on local conditions On the benefit side: The value of DR for DSOs strongly depends on the level of penetration of DG, on the consumption patterns and on the grid characteristics. Typically, the simulations shows that a limited number of activation of DR per year can already provide significant benefits for the system GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 124/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The simulation analysis shows that DR activation targets specifically loss reduction only if sufficiently high costs for losses are considered. Regulation needs to pay attention to the costs of losses paid by the DSOs (or to provide the right loss penalties) to avoid that DSOs have an incentive to use flexibility to downsize assets (reduction of CAPEX), even if this leads to an increase of losses. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) On the cost side: A key factor affecting the business case of DR for DSOs is the availability and cost of an ICT infrastructure (smart meters). In those regions where smart meters are already being deployed (driven by policy decisions), the business case for DR is stronger both for residential and commercial/industrial customers (as DR programs do not need to include ICT infrastructure costs) In those regions where the cost of the ICT infrastructure should be borne by the DR program, it is recommended to focus on DR at MV level get most of the benefits. With limited penetration of DG, DR is the most economically viable flexibility option to drive down the system cost. (this holds on average on a given grid. Deviations are possible on specific feeders/substations depending on localspecificities. For example in rural areas, with limited load, curtailement of DG could be the best flexibility option to solve congestions on specific feeders). With very high penetration of DG, reverse peak (peak of reverse power flows) becomes the main driver to size grid assets. Beyond that DG penetration level, generation curtailment becomes an economically viable option together with DR. Demand Response has typically a positive impact on grid technical losses, but reduction of losses is not the main driver for its activation Reduction of losses is typically not the main driver of the activation of DR, rather a side-effect of the activation of DR to reduce the CAPEX. Higher loss reduction level is typically achieved in rural areas, given the structure of rural grids (longer feeders, overhead lines), for which cost of losses has a higher share of the TOTEX. Demand flexibility allows a higher DG hosting capacity at lower cost DR increases the syncronicity of the demand with DG and mainly reduces CAPEX. The positive impact of DR on DG hosting capacity becomes increasingly significant after a certain DG penetration level. In fact, a limited penetration of DG, even without any flexibility, could actually decrease the TOTEX of the system compared to the case without any DG (thanks to DGs balancing local demand and reducing network flows). Strong penetration of residential PV will drive more rapidly the need for flexibility A lack of variety in the types (PV, wind, CHP) and connection level (MV, LV) of DG has a negative effect on grid efficiency, driving up CAPEX (reinforcements) and OPEX (technical losses). This means that in those areas where a single source of DG is mainly present (e.g. areas with strong residential PV), demand flexibility can particularly provide positive system impact and increase grid efficiency. This is of course dependent on the availability of sufficient level of demand flexibility (in which case DG curtailment could be the main flexibility option to explore). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 125/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Demand Response is always part of the best flexibility mix to decrease the total cost of distribution grid planning and operation RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 11. REGULATORY EVOLUTIONS FOR DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM OPERATORS TO PROCURE AND ACTIVATE DEMAND RESPONSE This chapter presents the key regulatory evolutions that will allow DSOs to procure and activate DR. We identify four key needed regulatory evolutions, in terms of how to: use tariff signals (price-based approach – implicit DR), directly procure DR (volume-based approach – explicit DR), avoid conflicts with use and ownership of flexibility assets and Validate transactions at distribution level. 11.1. Price-based approach: DSOs’ use of tariff signals In this section, we discuss the effectiveness of regulatory evolutions in using grid tariffs as a lever for activating DR for DSOs’ needs. Distribution grid tariffs are generally made of a number of components [83]: Fixed component : fixed payment per customer per year (covers fixed costs like metering); Capacity component : euro per kW (measured capacity) or per kVA (connection capacity); Energy component: euro per kWh (proportionate, progressive or regressive). Other components: reactive power, renewable energy charge, etc A grid tariff may consist of one or more of the above components. Figure 52 shows which components most commonly apply in European countries. As can be seen, key components are the fixed and energy charges, followed by capacity and other charges. Reactive charges are mostly not applied. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 126/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval a. b. c. d. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Under a price-based approach for DR, the regulator should define the required changes in network tariffs to incentivise DR. The following main regulatory evolutions can be considered: Regulator defines the share of the different components, e.g. by defining a higher capacity component. For example, power band contracts (see section 9.2.1, Power band contract) modify the capacity charge component, while the fixed charge component could be subject to negotiations as a contract clause in bilateral agreements. Regulator defines different time intervals for ToU tariffs: For example, by introducing time intervals which are aligned to PV production for areas with high PV penetration. Regulator allows the DSOs to dynamically change the tariff according to grid conditions: in order to pursue this option, measures should be taken to manage conflicts with participation in wholesale energy market prices (distribution congestion needs vs wholesale energy market needs). To allow demand response actions, distribution network tariffs should be able to form clear signals. However, distribution tariffs are only a component of the entire electricity tariff paid by a consumer. Figure 53 shows the distribution grid tariff component of electricity tariffs in different EU Member States. It can be seen that distribution grid tariffs constitute between 8% and 45% of the entire electricity tariff. This means that the cost component that a DSO can influence may be quite small om some cases, therefore the price signal could be insufficient to trigger DR. Where the proportion is relatively large, distribution grid tariffs could be used as an effective price signal to activate DR for DSOs’ needs. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 127/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Figure 52 – Distribution tariff components in EU countries by consumer group: Household [83] RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Figure 53 – Distribution grid tariff component of final electricity tariffs in EU Member States (2014 S2) [Ecofys analysis 34 based on data from Eurostat] 11.2. Volume-based approach: DSOs directly procure demand response In general, DSOs would be willing to pay for DR if the avoided costs are larger than the cost of contracting DR. Under a volume based procurement approach, DSOs procure directly the required amount of DR services and remunerate the provided service. There are three main value streams that could be considered for covering DR costs, which however may not be sufficient to incentivise volume-based DR for the reasons discussed below: 1) 2) Savings from avoided investment costs: these savings depend on the specific network asset conditions and system evolution. Savings from avoided payments for curtailing DG-RES to solve congestions: these payments depend on the regulatory framework and in some countries are not applicable. Due to the abovementioned reasons, in most cases, incentives to optimise operation are either insufficient or not clearly visible to DSOs in its current form. Additional regulatory adjustments could help to emphasise the incentives in optimising operation, and facilitate more freedom for DSOS on how to recover the costs of procuring DR. To incentivise DSOs to capture benefits from optimising operation and planning, an effective solution would be to allow them to capture 34 Note that data from Eurostat does not report consistently what constitutes distribution grid charge across different countries. This means that, the renewables surcharge and some form of taxes like local tax may be included in the percentage calculation for some countries. In this case, it would not correspond to the actual percentage that the DSO could steer. Detailed review of each country in terms of their distribution grid structure would be prudent, but is out of scope of this report. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 128/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) both CAPEX and OPEX savings. This can be done by allowing DSO remuneration to reflect Total Expenditure (TOTEX, which encompasses both CAPEX and OPEX).35 11.2.1. Evolution of DSO remuneration based on TOTEX Regulation based on TOTEX is suited to provide appropriate incentives for the use of “smarter” solutions. This means regulation focusing on total costs (TOTEX) rather than capital cost (CAPEX) and operational costs (OPEX) separately. Such a setup would allow more freedom to the DSO to decide on approaches that could either affect CAPEX or OPEX, such as to use DER to solve network related problems rather than investing in additional network infrastructure. Concretely, TOTEX regulation could allow DSOs to arbitrate between traditional grid investments (CAPEX) and procurement of flex-based solutions (OPEX). For example, to that end, suitable mechanisms could be the application of bonus/malus regulation for a given loss target or to explicitly encourage energy efficiency investments in the regulated asset base. Example case: UK regulation Regulation in the UK is seen as the most progressive in allowing TOTEX to be reflected in distribution grid tariffs and thus encouraging optimisation of operation as well as planning. The key characteristics are presented below: Calculation Method of Distribution Grid Tariffs Distribution Use of System Charges are calculated by applying the Common Distribution Charging Methodology (CDCM) which is approved by OFGEM. This methodology also implies a cost component for losses but does not incentivise grid operators for a loss reduction. Treatment of Losses in the price-control scheme Distribution losses are calculated by OFGEM as an allowed loss percentage on an annual basis for each distribution company. Distribution system operators are receiving a reward or penalty based on the performance against the target. In 2009 the financial incentive for the reduction of transmission losses has been 5p/kWh. 35 Another option is to allow DSOs to act as aggregators of DR, so that they can participate in wholesale and balancing markets, where benefits are generated. However this option is not allowed due to unbundling rules. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 129/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Additionally, specific incentive regulation could be foreseen to steer DSOs’ CAPEX/OPEX investment decisions toward desirable performance objectives, like reduction of losses. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Treatment of operational and capital costs The regulation of both transmission and distribution system operators is designed with a certain amount of allowed capital and operational costs for each company. Operational costs of distribution grid operators are defined by the performance of their business operations and maintaining their network. Capital costs are expenditure on investment in distribution assets with a long lifetime, such as underground cables, overhead electricity lines and substations. As a consequence, DSOs are remunerated for investments in efficient grid infrastructure as long as they are part of their forecasts in the business plans and at the same time they are incentivised to minimise operational costs. This design is an effective and efficient combination of output- and input-based components to achieve loss reductions as it also takes into account the lifetime operational costs. The overall regulatory design of the UK has incentives for loss reductions. The incentives for distribution grid operators are clear, as the regulatory authority calculates allowed loss percentages annually. DSOs are penalised or rewarded based on their performance in losses. Thus, they have strong financial incentives to improve in distribution efficiency. At the same time, they are rewarded for their announced capital costs and incentivised to minimise operational costs. This represents a combination of input- and output- based regulatory scheme. 11.3. Role of DSO regarding ownership and use of flexibility assets DSOs have the best overview of resources in its local network area. If the DSO has the option to contract DR in its area, they could be activated to manage congestions in the distribution grid. In cases when forecasted congestions do not finally take place, the DSO might be in the position to have contracted flexibility which could be used for other purposes (surplus flexibility). In this case, an option could be that the DSO sells this flexibility to other entities acting like an aggregator. From a technical point of view, the following actions could be possible: DSO can activate local DR to manage congestion in its own area, and where there is surplus flexibility, sell the service at the balancing market. DSO can activate local DR to manage congestion in its own area, and where there is surplus flexibility, it could then sell the DR service to the TSO, if the TSO is willing to pay for DR to solve congestion. Alternatively, the DSO could sell the DR service to the DG in its area, to avoid curtailment, if DG is willing to pay for DR to avoid curtailment, or DSO avoids paying compensation for curtailment to RES-DG. Since DSOs have the best overview on the grid situation, one could argue that they could make optimal use of flexibility. However, DSOs are regulated entities and their operations in terms of commercial transactions should be checked so that they do not impede competition. In this respect, in most cases DSOs shall not be able to use the surplus flexibility, since he is not allowed to trade in the market. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 130/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Conclusion RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) A solution for allowing these resources to reach the market could be that the DSO frees the specific market participants from their obligation, allowing them to reach other markets (use it or lose it concept). In this respect, the flexibility resources could further reach to additional revenues from offering services to the higher system levels. In this concept, it would be critical that the DSO is responsible for approving activation of the specific DR that are in excess. An application example where the DSO is controlling local flexibility for solving local congestions exists in Italy. In the ENEL network, electrical storage systems (ESS) have been identified as a promising flexibility resource which generates several benefits. For example, the POI project is used to demonstrate how DSOs could use flexibility to solve congestions in both the distribution grid and transmission grid, and also serves the balancing market. [84] Flexibility from DR (or generally from Distributed Energy Resources) in the distribution grid can be used for three key purposes: a) in the system level (participation to balancing markets) b) in transmission grid level (alleviation of transmission grid congestions) and c) in the distribution grid level (alleviation of distribution grid congestions). However, the way the resource is used by the different levels may result in a conflict. This is why a prioritisation process is needed to use DR for optimisation of grid operation and planning. Conflicting interests of grid and market based use of flexibilities and between DSOs and TSOs need to be identified and access rights need to be defined. Market and grid based control signals and access rights to local flexibilities Local conditions inevitably deviate from the global conditions at system level. In such cases, the local grid situation could lead to different signals for flexibility services than the global market situation,. An example of this is when the system is short of balancing power, and at the same time a congestion appears at the DSO level due to local overproduction. In this case, the global signal for DR is to reduce demand or increase generation, while the local conditions need the opposite to happen to alleviate the congestion, i.e. increase local demand or reduce local generation. In such cases, a clear prioritisation should be in place. There are different options to coordinate market and grid based signals. One option is to limit control signals, meaning that only one of either third market parties or grid operators get access to the local flexibility. Another option is to prioritise one of the control signals, meaning that both, third party marketer and the grid operator get access to local flexibility but in cases of conflicting signals, one of the signals is prioritised. The second option allows more efficient use of resources, as it is shared between two purposes, while the first option makes it mutually exclusive. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 131/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 11.4. Role of DSO as validator of DR transactions at distribution level RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) For the second option, the priority of one of the signals has to be defined in advance. To ensure secure grid operation, the alleviation of congestions has to be prioritised against market signals. 36 When there is grid congestion, the control signal of the grid operator must be prioritised and the grid operator has to remunerate the flexibilities used. TSO/DSO coordination process for accessing DR: Role of DSO as validator Conflicts can be avoided by applying the following prioritisation process, starting from local level and moving towards global (see Figure 54): 3) DSO decides to reserve or release DR flexibility based on local congestion forecast If no local congestions are foreseen, DR flexibility is handed over to TSO. This can be done by: a) DSO contracts DR reserve and sells it to TSO (however DSO in effect acts as aggregator) b) DSO lets DR providers (or aggregators) to offer directly their services to the TSO TSO decides whether to use DR to resolve congestion or system imbalance. Each step would be remunerated separately. Figure 54 - Conflict of interest in using DR in distributed networks 36 This is also due to the fact that anyway, in cases of congestions, the grid capacity does not allow power flows on the congestion direction, therefore the operation based on the conflicting market signal would anyway not be feasible (e.g. reduce local demand (or increase local generation) on a situation of local overproduction). GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 132/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 1) 2) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) The coordination process would essentially require a technical validation by DSOs (step 1 mentioned above). This means that the DSO must decide what happens with the DR if network constraints render impossible the participation to global markets. In such a case, the DR service provider should request a validation from the DSO before activation for system balancing purposes. For the case of Switzerland, [85] recommended a coordination process as depicted in Figure 55. Currently, TSOs are the only system operators that prepare congestion forecasts. Forecasts of the network status are reviewed in three time intervals, 2-days ahead of dispatch, 1-day ahead, and intraday. These activities define the need for flexibilities for a given timeframe, and can be linked with different markets in the respective timeframes in order to enable solutions. To ensure that congestions in the DSO areas are not compromised by the activities that currently exist, a new process which includes a DSO congestion forecast is proposed. For DSOs, this is a new process that consists in identification of the local grid situation and in definition of the need for local flexibilities. This process should be linked and run in parallel to the Day-ahead TSO Congestion Forecast. The DSO Congestion Forecast is a preventive action that reduces distribution grid constraints and allows the early identification of critical situations in the distribution grid. The assessment of the need for local flexibilities is based on the day-ahead and intraday market results. The process ends before the TSO Intraday Congestion Forecast. Figure 55 – DSO Congestion forecast timeline GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 133/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Example case: DSO/TSO coordination for Switzerland RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 11.5. Regulatory evolutions: conclusions and key messages 1. Regulatory evolutions should ensure that tariff signals provide sufficient incentives to grid users to adapt their demand profiles to grid conditions Under an implicit (tariff-based) DR approach, the regulator should define the required changes in network tariffs to incentivise DR, by changing specific components of the tariffs (e.g. higher capacity charges), changing time intervals for ToU introducing location-based components or allowing DSOs to adapt tariffs to grid conditions. However, since distribution grid tariffs constitute just a component of the entire electricity price paid by a consumer, in cases they are low they might fail to form an effective market signal to grid users to change their consumption to meet grid needs. DSOs can directly procure DR if DSOs remuneration accounts for it (e.g. use of TOTEX remuneration) Under a volume based DR approach, DSOs procure DR services and remunerate the provided service. Incentives to optimise operation need to be created by appropriate regulatory adjustments in order to allow DSOs recovering the costs of procuring DR. This can be done by allowing DSO remuneration to reflect the DSOs’ TOTEX (CAPEX+OPEX). 3. Regulation should ensure a neutral role for DSOs in the activation of flexibility, in order to ensure market-based competition among different flexibility resources As shown in the simulation analysis, economic benefits are achieved by enabling competition between flexibility options (DR, storage, curtailment of DG) for the provision of services at local or global level. To enable a market-based approach, transparency and neutrality of DSOs are key elements. In this respect policy questions are related to: whether DSO should be allowed to own flexibility assets (e.g. storage) How to address the risk that, if most of the value of flexibility is controlled directly by DSOs (e.g. ownership of storage means; direct bilateral contracts with grid users), a local flexibility market (targeting also other value streams, e.g. BRP; TSOs..) could never develop. How to ensure DSO transparency when taking the role of validator at local level of flexibility transactions which are driven by global market signals (e.g. flex transactions for TSOs) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 134/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 4. In case of conflicts for flexibility activation, local distribution needs should prevail over system transmission needs, unless when system security is at stake. This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Flexibilities in the distribution grid can be used for multiple purposes, a) in the system level (participation to wholesale, intra-day and balancing markets) b) in transmission network level (alleviation of transmission congestions) and c) in the distribution grid (alleviation of distribution congestions). Congestions at any network level could “block” the provision of flexibility services from the local level to the higher system levels. Respectively, conflicts on the activation of flexibility between TSO and DSO are possible. Therefore, a prioritisation between local and global requirements is needed, and local needs should prevail, unless when system security is at stake and alternative options are not viable. In this respect, DSO/TSO coordination should be applied to avoid such conflicts. 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[90] Energeia, Department of Resources, Energy and Tourism, «Energy Efficiency Opportunities in Electricity Networks - Findings of industry trials for the extension of the EEO program to network businesses,» Australian Government, 2013. [91] Operation Technology Inc., «Optimal Capacitor Placement: Cost Benefits Due to Loss Reduction,» etap.com, Irvine. This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 2015. [En ligne]. Available: http://utilityweek.co.uk/news/ukpn-saves-43m-in-upgrade- [92] H. Saboori et H. Abdi, «Application of a Grid Scale Energy Storage System to Reduce GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 140/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Distribution Network Losses,» 2010. [93] energynautics, «Kurzgutachten zur Eigenstromerzeugung in Rheinland-Pfalz,» 2014. [94] NRECA; CRN - Cooperative Research Network, «Costs and Benefits of Smart Feeder Switching - Quantifying the Operating Value of SFS - Initial Findings,» 2013. [95] PRCI, «Methods to Reduce the Greenhouse Gas Footprint from Pipeline Compressor and Pump Stations,» 2014. [96] Ecofys, «Methane from fugitive emissions,» 2009. [97] E. Lakervi et E. J. Holmes, Electricity distribution network design, 2nd edition, London: Institution of Electrical Engineers, 1995. [98] Ecogrid EU, «Ecogrid EU Market Concept,» 2011-2015. [En ligne]. [Accès le 2015]. [99] Energinet.dk, «EcoGrid EU Newsletter No1 - Power Market Oepration in Real Time,» February 2012. [En ligne]. Available: http://energinet.dk/SiteCollectionDocuments/Engelske%20dokumenter/Forskning/EcoGr [100 WattClarity, «Three sample approaches (of 173 worldwide) to integrating renewables ] into the grid,» GLOBAL ROAM PTY LTD, 15 January 2015. [En ligne]. Available: http://www.wattclarity.com.au/2015/01/three-sample-approaches-to-integratingrenewables-into-the-grid/. [Accès le 2015]. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 141/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval idEU_Newsletter_nr.%201_February%2029_2012.pdf. [Accès le 2015]. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 13. ANNEX I - PARAMETERS INFLUENCING THE IMPLEMENTATION AND THE COSTEFFECTIVENESS OF THE MEASURES – DETAILED ANALYSIS 13.1.1.1. HIGH EFFICIENCY TRANSFORMERS Factors affecting benefits Efficiency impact Transformer load rate The optimal efficiency of a transformer is reached at a loading of 30-40 of rated capacity. The potential for energy savings can therefore higher by first replacing overloaded/underloaded transformers and oversize/downsize the new ones to reach the optimal operating point (clearly, oversizing costs must be taken into account in the evaluation). Age of the transformers Old transformers are the main contributors to losses, since they had to meet less stringent efficiency standards. The study on transformer replacement carried the in the APEC ( [46]) regions show that for instance, an old efficiency standard 25kVA transformer in Russia has a 98% efficiency, compared to 98.9% for 1500 kVA. New standards allow them to reach respectively an efficiency of 99.5% and 99.7%). Transformers fault rate Regularly defective transformers can be targeted to improve the quality of supply and reduce the O&M cost. High harmonics problems If a transformer encounters non-linear loading and therefore harmonics problems, losses due to Eddy currents might appear and reduce the efficiency of the transformers (Simulations carried out in [86] on 200 kVA transformer showed an efficiency reduction from 98.1% to 96.5% due to harmonics). New transformers equipped with harmonics filters, better core structure, etc. might improve the operating efficiency. Factors affecting costs Work constraints Cost impact Transformers accessibility The conditions of installation works (outside, overhead, underground, in a private building, etc.) can have a significant impact on implementation costs. Transformer power rating According to the study made on the APEC countries [46], extra-cost related to switching to higher standards is more cost-effective with small transformers. However, in case of proactive replacement, transformers of medium power rating replacement are more cost-effective than replacing small or very large ones. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 142/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Grid Parameters RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Investment optimisation Cost impact Age of the transformer The residual value of an old transformer can be close to zero. Its replacement has thus a limited accounting impact. Other replacement plans / new transformers As already explained, transformers can be replaced for various reasons, and it is cost-effective to seize those occasions to implement low-loss transformers. Moreover, the implementation of a new transformer can be coordinated with a voltage increase plan or plan to perform voltage control (by installing on-load tap changing transformers). In general, changing the minimal requirements for all new transformers improve the long term efficiency of the asset population Technology standardization opportunities EXPANDING LINE CAPACITY Factors affecting benefits Grid Parameters Efficiency impact Age of the network The use of new cables with up-to-date technological standards can reduce the risks of defaults/malfunctioning and improve continuity of supply. Load rate Heavily loaded feeders generate higher losses. Heavily loaded feeders are also the key target of replacement plans, to increase grid capacity. From an energy efficiency perspective, the cost-effectiveness of this measure is clearly maximized when carried out within a replacement plan which aims at reducing congestions and takes also into account the minimization of losses. Fault rate When replacing lines presenting a high fault rate, due to previous faults, isolation damages, etc., oversizing of the lines can be considered. Factors affecting costs Work constraints Overhead underground grid Urban / rural areas GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Cost impact / Excavation works cost are much higher (depending on the area) than laying lines overhead. All benefits being equal, targeting the replacement of overhead lines is more cost-effective. Cables or overhead lines installation can be made more quickly and more easily in rural area, resulting in lower cost. Ed. 2015/12/18 143/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 13.1.1.2. Limiting the number of technologies present on the grid leads to O&M cost reduction (less variability in the types of operation; lower cost in maintenance and procurement) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Investment optimisation Cost impact Age of the network Targeting the replacement of old cables is more cost-effective thanks to their lower residual value. Replacement plan already scheduled As stated in the previous points, various drivers could lead to a line replacement plan. Opportunities to introduce new line size standard have to be taken into account. Synergies can here be found with an increase of the voltage level, where lines replacement may be needed to fit the new voltage level. Technology standardization opportunities Limiting the number of technologies present on the grid leads to O&M cost reduction (less various types of operation; optimization of purchasing operations) INCREASING VOLTAGE LEVEL Factors affecting benefits Grid Parameters Efficiency impact Feeders length An increase of voltage level could be particularly useful in rural areas, which typically present longer feeders. Feeders load rate Current in the conductors is directly proportional to the voltage level. Heavily loaded feeders generate the highest marginal losses and would benefit the most from a voltage increase. Fault rate Lines with higher fault rate could be firstly addressed when considering this measure. Current voltage problems If there are known local voltage problems (due to DG for instance), increasing voltage on those feeders could reduce clients complains and O&M cost. If DG injection must be curtailed due to too high voltage rise, increasing line voltage would have a mitigation effect. Factors affecting the costs Work constraints Number of fitted assets Cost impact already A key point in the cost-effectiveness of the measure is the number of assets (feeders, transformers, etc.) to be replaced. If the insulation level of the asset is sufficient to stand higher voltages, the measure can be less costly to deploy. Otherwise the measure can be highly CAPEX intensive. In LV, going from a 230V to 400V network represent more significant cost (need of a four-lines network, three-phases user installation adaptation, etc.) Underground /overhead grid If the implementation of the measure requires asset replacement (and particularly cable replacements), an underground grid will much more expensive to replace Rural /urban area Asset replacement is easier and less costly in rural area, where the GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 144/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 13.1.1.3. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Investment optimisation Cost impact Grid expansion / load growth If a grid expansion is envisaged to the future load growth, the voltage level supplying those zones has to be considered, especially if the expansion will require high feeder length. Feeders of higher voltage are cheaper (a 34.5kV feeder can be 45% cheaper than a 12.5kV lines [87]), but on the other substations equipment is more expensive. Substation density per feeder is a key point when assessing the measure. Age of the network Targeting assets at the end of their lifetime is more cost-effective thanks to their lower residual value. Technology standardization opportunities Limiting the number of technologies present on the grid leads to O&M cost reduction (less various types of operation; optimization of purchasing operations). A limitation of the number of voltages level also limits the number of transformers to be installed in the upper voltage level. Combination with transformers, substations or lines replacement plans All planned asset replacement actions represent an opportunity to increase the number of asset fitted for higher voltages DG integration plan If it is planned to invest in the grid to improve the hosting capacity of distributed generation, the opportunity to increase voltage level should be assessed. 13.1.1.4. DEMAND RESPONSE Factors affecting the benefits Grid Parameters Efficiency impact Feeder load rate Critically loaded feeders can be firstly address by such a measure. DG curtailment Feeders where the DG’s are often curtailed will benefit from an interruptible load, especially if curtailment compensation is to be paid by the grid operator. Factors affecting costs Work constraints Flexibility market GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Cost impact How the flexibility can be purchased is a key component, its price will impact the day-to-day flexibility activation Ed. 2015/12/18 145/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval accessibility of the installation is easier and where less work constraints are generally to be encountered. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Investment optimisation Cost impact Smart Meter roll-out plan When and to which extent the smart meters will be placed on the network is to take into account to define which feeders will be targeted first. Penetration of the communication system As the above, the extent to which the load can be easily controlled thanks to an existing communication tool impact the cost of measure deployment. 13.1.1.5. FEED-IN CONTROL OF DISTRIBUTED ENERGY GENERATION & STORAGE Factors affecting the benefits Efficiency impact Level of harmonics Harmonics injected in the network by consumer appliances can lead to Power Quality problems and to an increase of losses in the transformers Incentives to place efficient inverters can be made where high levels of harmonics are met. Feeder load rate Loss reduction is always most important to be performed on highly loaded feeder. However, depending on the situation, DG can sometimes increase the load rate. Storage solution could also be envisaged. Distance between DG and consumers The placement on a DG unit on a feeder can have a significant impact on the increase/decrease of losses. In [88], it has been demonstrated that, depending on the load pattern, an optimal placement on a radial feeder can lead to a loss reduction between 71% and 86%. Poor power factor Advanced inverter can enhance the Power Factor by controlling the injection/absorption of reactive power. Incentives to promote those inverters where a local poor power factor is known can be made. Voltage quality problems Following the above, good inverters can control the reactive power and therefore the voltage. Local voltage problems, especially those leading to a bad DG integration, can be solved by good inverters. Factors affecting costs Work constraints Overhead underground grid Cost impact / If extra connections works are carried out, excavation works will increase the costs. Participation to the user Depending on the local regulation, DSO can participate to the cost of the asset cost inverter to promote efficient equipment. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 146/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Grid Parameters RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Investment optimisation Cost impact Smart Meter roll-out plan With a complete access to the local consumption data, an inverter or its centralised control can make the best forecast and control. A Smart Meter roll-out is a good opportunity to improve the grid efficiency. Penetration of the communication system The choice of the control solution (stand-alone, centralised or decentralised) can be made depending on the existing communication system on the targeted grid. 13.1.1.6. NETWORK RECONFIGURATION Grid Parameters Efficiency impact Number of switches / substation on a feeder The impact in terms of reduction of losses and of restoration times highly depends on the number of remote switches which are included in the grid reconfiguration. The optimal balance between number of switches and level of benefits should be assessed depending on the specific grid conditions. According to the Synergird study [89], moving the open-point in the middle of the loop can lead to 66% of reduction compared to an end of loop openpoint on a feeder with 4 substations, but this reduction can go up to 73% in the case of 16 substations loop. Current unbalance between feeders A load repartition of 70%/30% between two feeders can lead to 1.4 times the losses in a case of a 50%/50% repartition ( [90]). This makes it clear that the first feeders to be addressed by such a measure should be feeders with strong unbalances. Current average restoration time Feeders with an high restoration time, due to the distance between switches, the accessibility of the installations, the number of switches to be controlled, etc. highly benefits from the implementation of remote switches. EnergyUnited (North Carolina – see in [37]) reduced its Customer Minutes Interrupted (CMI) of 90% on specific feeders thanks to automatically remote controlled switches. Current fault rate Feeders with a high fault rate would particularly benefit from this solution, reducing the total yearly interruption time. Presence of subtransmission / reparation grid Repartition grids carry more load and impact more consumers than the final grid on a same voltage level. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 147/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Factors affecting benefits RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Factors affecting the costs Work constraints Overhead underground grid Cost impact / Installation of switches on overhead lines does not represent major work Installation cost for underground grid would be significantly higher. Urban / rural areas Field deployment of remotely controlled switches is generally easier and less costly in a more rural area, where installations can be more easily accessible. Voltage level Higher voltage levels require switches of higher insulation, which are more expensive. Cost impact Existing assets Feeders already equipped with remotely controlled switches would mainly need software adaptation to integrate new functionalities (e.g. for balancing load; for reducing restoration time). Investment will be much lower than in the cases where the implementation and integration of new switches is to be foreseen. Substation renovation plans Old substations which must be restored can be easily targeted by such a plan. Penetration of the communication system The implementation cost of this solution could greatly be diminished if a robust communication system already exits. 13.1.1.7. SWITCHING OFF REDUNDANT TRANSFORMERS Factors affecting the benefits Grid Parameters Efficiency impact Number of transformers in parallel Substations including more than two transformers working in parallel are expected to have higher energy efficiency potential. Load rate At a certain load rate level (according to [89]), it might become more efficient in term on losses to connect both transformers to feed the load at the same time. Load pattern of one substation must be measured to assess the best transformers operation mode. Low transformers fault rate / Low SAIDI Switching off redundant transformers has the negative side effect to increase the restoration time, since the transformer needs to be magnetised before reaching its full operation mode. The measure will be more efficient in case of feeders with a low transformer fault rate and a non-critical SAIDI. In the case of manual switching, the restoration time and cost increase significantly. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 148/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Investment optimisation RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Factors affecting the costs Investment optimisation Substation plans Cost impact renovation 13.1.1.8. Transformers switches replacement will be optimised if other works are to be carried out in the targeted substation. VOLTAGE OPTIMISATION Factors affecting the benefits Grid Parameters Low power factor Efficiency impact Voltage stability problems DG penetration rate Feeders with high levels of DG injection can be affected by voltage problems and thus could represent good candidate for the implementation of the measure. Low (advanced) DG penetration rate. If DG units on the feeders already performed voltage control, CVR would be redundant. Feeders load rate Power factor correction is expected to be particularly effective on heavily loaded feeders, leading to higher benefits in terms of reduction of losses and of congestions. Number of voltage level If power factor correction is performed in an upper level of the grid, the effect will impact all the downstream levels. Implementing reactive power compensation on a few places on a sub-transmission grid can be more cost effective than implementing it in various locations at lower voltage level. Length of the network Following the above, the longer the path between the reactive consumption and the compensation device, the higher the losses. Line specific characteristic According to [23], a low R/X ratio leads to a less efficient reactive power control by DG converters. Factors affecting the costs Grid Parameters Efficiency impact Underground/Overhead grid The installation cost is significantly higher in the case of an underground grid. Installation of capacitors banks or voltage regulator on overhead lines does not involve major works. Urban / rural grid Accessibility of the installation is easier in rural condition. Moreover, long feeders in rural areas are the most subject to voltage drops. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 149/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval The lower the power factor, the higher the potential benefits of reactive power compensation. Specific analysis shall be carried out to select most suitable feeders to be targeted. Feeders where known voltage problems exist could be firstly targeted. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Voltage level Investment optimisation Efficiency impact Combination with CVR Assets for voltage optimisation at the LV level can also be leveraged to perform Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR), as presented in the following section. Smart meter-roll out plan Implementation of Smart Meters would greatly increase the observability of the grid (measures regarding voltage profile and reactive/active power flows) supporting the implementation of voltage optimization measures. Substation renovation plan Works to be carried out in substations can be opportunities to install capacitors banks. Penetration of the communication system Depending on where Volt/VAR control assets will be installed and on their number, the availability of a robust communication system is important, and must be taken into account. 13.1.1.9. CONSERVATION VOLTAGE REDUCTION Factors affecting benefits Grid Parameters Efficiency impact Feeders load rate CVR is highly scalable. Targeting only specific highly loaded feeders can already lead to a major losses reduction (the U.S. Department of Energy determined in [59] that if only 40% of all feeders would have been equipped with CVR, 80% of the target can be reached, and 37% of the objective when deployed only on 10% of the feeder). The main impact of CVR can be achieved with a limited cost. Test can be made before deploying the solution. Voltage Stability problems Feeders encountering regularly voltage problems may be the first target of a CVR deployment plan. Number of final LV customers CVR objective is to reduce the end-user consumption by reducing voltage level (while remaining in the required nominal voltage range). Therefore, the more customers are connected on the LV, the more effective the impact will be in term of losses reduction and on peak reduction, leading to customer’s peak reduction and to investments deferral. Factors affecting costs Work constraints Overhead underground grid GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Cost impact / The installation cost will be significantly higher in the case of an This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Voltage level has a significant impact on the cost of one capacitor. According to [91], purchase cost for 4.16kV capacitors is 20$/kvar and 25$/kvar at 13.8kV. underground grid. Installation of capacitors banks or voltage regulator on Ed. 2015/12/18 150/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) overhead does not represent major works. Urban / rural areas Field deployment of CVR will be facilitated in a more rural area, where installations can be easily accessible. Moreover, rural grids are usually not meshed, allowing an easier voltage control. Cost impact Existing assets Feeders already equipped with capacitors banks, feeder voltage sensors or on-load tap changing transformers only needs automation to perform CVR. Smart meter roll-out plan End-users voltage monitoring facilitates and optimizes the implementation of the measure, and limits the number of voltage sensors to deploy. Transformers replacement plan To be more effective, the first substation targeted by the measure might be ones where transformers have to be replaced. On-load tap changing transformers can therefore be installed. Penetration of the communication system In the case of centralized CVR, the implementation will be facilitated if a robust communication system already exits. 13.1.1.10. BALANCING 3-PHASE LOADS Factors affecting benefits Grid Parameters Efficiency impact Feeders load rate The higher the power demand on one feeder, the more the imbalance will have an effect on the losses and on the cable capacity. Neutral conductors load rate Current flowing in neutral conductors also results in losses in a 4-lines system, and can cause protections to work in case of overloading. Feeders with frequently overloaded neutral conductors can be firstly addressed. Neutral conductors fault rate As the above, fault related to the neutral conductors can be reduced, as no current would normally flow in it. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 151/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Investment optimisation RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Factors affecting the cost Work constraints / Installing switches and replacing connections can be made cheaper in an overhead grid. Urban / rural grid Switches installations can be cheaper if an easy access is available. LV consumers’ density The more LV consumers, the more adaptation work will be need to perform an optimal balancing. Grid with less but more important connection will require less works, but might be less accurate. LV substation density As the above, the number of LV substations is important to assess to which extend and with accuracy the measure can be implemented. Investment optimisation Cost impact LV substation renovation plan If LV substations are to be renovated, it presents an opportunity to installed phase switches. Connections replacements plan Every connection replacement is an opportunity to increase the number of three-phases connection. Smart Meters roll-out plan Phase connection balancing requires measuring the instantaneous load. If Smart Meter are to be installed, such measures will be provided. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 152/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Overhead underground grid Cost impact RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 14. ANNEX II ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES IN EUROPEAN MEMBER STATES: SURVEY In order to collect experiences and best practices from the field and to integrate the views of main stakeholders in this study, a survey was carried out among stakeholders with respect to the implementation of energy efficiency measures in gas and electricity grids. Mainly DSOs have been targeted, as most of losses occur at distribution level. European DSO associations (EURELECTRIC, GEODE, EDSO, CEDEC) have been involved to facilitate the distribution of the questionnaire Their experience with the implementation of grid energy efficiency measures The Regulatory mechanisms in place in their country to incentivise the implementation of energy efficiency measures. Their view on the list of energy efficiency measures proposed in this study The detailed description of the questions in the survey and the detailed list of respondents is reported in ANNEX I. Despite numerous attempts it was not possible to have CEER’s view on the regulatory mechanisms to incentivise energy efficiency measures and their view on the level of mobilization in the implementation of article 15.2 in their members’ countries. A total of 16 replies have been collected, providing a good geographical coverage of EU Member States. Since the great majority of respondents were electricity DSOs, in this chapter we will mainly focus on the experiences of DSOs in electricity grids. Figure 56 reports the list of respondents. Collected responses have provided very useful insights in the implementation of grid energy efficiency measures by DSOs in different Member States, facing different grid conditions. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 153/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval In particular, the survey aimed at collecting information about: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Figure 56 - Overview of respondents to the survey 14.1.1. Level of mobilization in Member States regarding the implementation of article 15.2 According to collected information, the level of mobilization in EU Member States in the implementation of the provisions of article 15.2 (definition of investment plans to improve grid energy efficiency) appears to be generally limited. European associations report that most of their members have not yet been actively involved by Member States in addressing the provisions of article 15.2. However, as was confirmed, a number of Member States are working on the topic and would likely publish their assessments in the period after the completion of this study. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 154/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Examples of available information from some Member States include: UK: The proposal for the transposed legislation was discussed and handled in the Finnish Parliament during autumn 2014 and the legislation has come in force beginning of 2015. In May 2015, the Finnish Ministry of Employment and Economy together with the Energy Authority have launched a survey on fulfilling the requirements of Article 15(2). Authorities have also invited other stakeholders (like Finnish Energy Industries and Finnish Gas Association) to join the survey. The survey is carried out by Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT) and will end in June 2015. The main topics of the survey are: - the technical losses and the overall efficiency of the system - the technical losses of the Finnish electric system are around 1%- so the focus will be more on the overall energy efficiency of the system, including distributed generation, demand response and energy storage. New technology like smart meters, smart grids and LVDC (Low Voltage Direct Current) distribution system will have a big role. - the concrete measures and investment will also be identified BELGIUM In the context of the implementation of the article 15.2 by 30th June 2015, Synergrid (federation of electricity and gas network operators in Belgium) carried out an assessment of the energy efficiency potentials of gas and electricity infrastructure, together with the energy regulators (FORBEG, Forum for Regulatory Bodies). The scope of the study considers energy efficiency in a larger sense than just the reduction of losses. In particular, the study looks at: - 1. Potential for reduced grid losses and reduced energy consumption by the network operators. - 2. Potential to improve the efficient operation of available energy infrastructure, which in turn could allow reducing the need for investing in new infrastructure Categories of measures that will be considered: - Investing measures by the network operators - Operational measures by the network operators - Changing the behaviour of the consumers, considering incentivizing Mechanisms (e.g. tariffs by Time-of-Use, or flexibility vs. capacity tariffs) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 155/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval OFGEM (UK regulator) is carrying out a study to comply with the requirements of the regulation [2]. A separate assessment of energy networks in Northern Ireland is being prepared by the Northern Ireland Authority for Utility Regulation. In this context, OFGEM has launched a survey among UK system operators to collect best practices and information to - Assess the energy efficiency potentials of the gas and electricity infrastructure of Great Britain - Identify a list of concrete measures and investments for the introduction of cost-effective energy efficiency improvements in the network infrastructure, with a timetable for their introduction. Findings have to be delivered before or on 30th June 2015 to the Secretary of State. FINLAND: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) A public (shorter) version of the report has been made available. The document will serve as support for regulator to review the investment plans from the grid operators. The Swedish Energy Agency has carried out a study to assess the energy efficiency potential of gas and electricity grid in Sweden. The energy saving potential in grid infrastructure is considered to be relative low, although not to be neglected - The main share of the loss reduction potential in electricity grids by 2030 could be obtained by changing the location of electricity generation units. This is however outside the responsibility of grid operators. - The potential that is achievable through measures conducted by the grid companies themselves is around 175GWh/year by 2020 and 400GWh/year by 2030. In relation to total losses, these potentials are quite small: 4% by 2020 and 7% by 2030. - Standards for new transformers through the EcoDesign Directive are expected to incentivise energy efficiency improvements. - Losses in gas grids are considered very limited and therefore investments in energy efficiency measures would not be justified. A key remark made by the study is that reduction of losses should not be the main driver of grid investments, as that can lead to sub-optimal solutions. It is important to adopt a systems approach for energy efficiency. In this respect, the introduction of regulatory incentives to improve more efficient network operations are expected to support investment plans which take also loss reduction into account. 14.1.2. Summary of key insights of the survey The following insights have been derived from the analysis of the survey respondents. Further literature analysis has been carried out to further validate received replies: State of play in Member States Significant differences across Member States concerning the level of losses. Starting conditions of grids (e.g. voltage level; number of transformers) and potentials for energy efficiency improvement are different. Transposition of best practices should be done with care. Drivers Energy efficiency within larger grid investment decision plans - Energy efficiency is typically taken into account in grid investment decisions, however often it is not the main driver. Energy efficiency is considered as one of the variables of a larger investment optimization plan. The importance of energy efficiency as a criterion in grid investment decisions clearly depends on the existence of regulatory incentives to reduce losses. Compliance with energy efficiency obligations: In specific cases, energy efficiency investments (particularly concerning loss reduction) are undertaken to comply with regulatory requirements and quality standards (e.g. compliance with the EcoDesign directive leading to installation of higher efficiency transformers) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 156/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval SWEDEN: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Mapping of losses Electricity losses mainly occur at distribution level The implementation of adequate metering systems at substations and at customers’ premises is an important first step to identify where losses are actually occurring in the distribution grid. The following factors have a key impact on the level of losses in the system - Loading (including peak demand) - Number of energized transformers - Lengths of the feeders and grid voltage levels - Level of power quality - Presence of distributed energy resources A variety of energy efficiency measures exist, and their potential is very much related to the specific local grid conditions. In general, system operators opt for traditional investments (replacement of assets; reinforcements etc.) to improve grid energy efficiency. Factors impacting grid energy efficiency potential outside control and responsibility of system operators Smart Grid-related EE measures (e.g. feed-in control) are less common: in many cases the right regulatory framework is not in place to make them a viable option. External factors outside the control of system operators can also greatly impact the potential of EE measures: e.g. the development and location of DERs. Cost-effectiveness In general, a number of factors can greatly impact the cost-effectiveness of energy efficiency measures, including: Monetary value of losses, i.e. the average price of wholesale electricity (the higher, the more cost-effective are EE measures) Loss reduction is a side-benefit of investments driven by other needs. Therefore the costeffectiveness of an energy efficiency measure depends on additional benefits in terms of CAPEX/OPEX reduction. When implementing EE measures, additional benefits in terms of reduction of CAPEX and OPEX should be considered. However, for some measures, a trade-off needs to be found between improvement of energy losses and other benefits (e.g. trade-off with hosting capacity for DER voltage measure). Parallel developments (e.g. roll-out of smart meters; built-in smart functionalities in DG converters etc.) make the enabling infrastructure for certain EE measure already available, reducing their implementation costs. Most adopted EE measures concern implementation of higher efficiency assets (e.g. higher capacity cable; higher efficiency transformers) within a planned asset replacement strategy. An overall investment optimization strategy is therefore key to ensure that most cost-effective energy efficiency measures are implemented. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 157/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Catalogue of energy efficiency measures RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 14.1.3. Energy efficiency measures implemented by survey respondents Figure 57 provides a brief synthesis of grid energy efficiency measures implemented by respondents. The survey results show that classical measures such as transformers replacement and line capacity increase are the most commonly adopted measures, as their implementation fits with traditional replacement programs, where old or inefficient assets are targeted. Reactive power Management is also well adopted, since voltage quality and distributed generation can also be addressed. 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Figure 57 - Grid energy efficiency measures in electricity grids adopted by survey respondents GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 158/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Number of DSO adopting the measure Number of DSOs adopting the measure RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Measures Implementation example Highlights reduction of loss High efficiency transformers VSD is replacing 100 transformers/year since 2011 – 10% have been replaced so far. CEZ Bulgaria replaced their four 110kV/20kV transformers with the highest losses. Enexis is replacing their oldest MV/LV transformers by more recent re-use transformers. VSD expects 8.5% of losses reduction. CEZ Bulgaria saved 6.7 k€/year on losses per replaced transformer. In the UK, low loss transformers appear as one the most efficient solution. Increasing line capacity VSD increase their maximum cross section of their LV lines from 70mm² to 150mm². VSD expects on average a 5% (locally up to 20%) reduction of losses, Costs Additional benefits For CEZ Czech Republic, costs increase of at least 20%. Enexis is replacing old MV/KV transformers for 5.3k€/transfo Higher quality of supply, lower overheating Higher voltage quality, lower probability of fault, increase capacity Belgian DSO’s are developing a tool to incorporate losses in the selection of the minimal cable section. Voltage optimisation / Reactive power management CEZ Bulgaria equipped three of their 110kV/1020kV substation with capacitors and harmonics filtering units. CEZ Czech Republic is conducting a pilot project where 20 synchronous generators in 110kV receive set point in voltage and reactive power. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 ErDF implemented Volt/Var control of distributed generation. 2-3% of loss reduction is reported. CEZ Czech Republic performed a loss reduction of 7% per line, leading to 2.5% overall reduction. 159/180 CEZ Bulgaria equipped 3 110kV/MV substation at a cost of 528k€ Distributed Generation integration Optimisation of the voltage profile This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Table 22 shows examples of achieved energy efficiency results thanks to implemented measures: RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Measures Implementation example Highlights reduction Increase voltage level Vattenfal is currently studying area per area at optimising the voltage level in their regional grid. Vattenfal expects a 5% to 15% loss reduction from the increase in voltage levels, with locally 25-30% Conservation Voltage Reduction Stromnetz Berlin has already conducted voltage reduction loss Costs Additional benefits HEDNO and EDP increased the number of higher voltage transformers, thus increasing the share of higher voltage portion of the grid. According to an OFGEM study, the increase share of voltage-insensitive loads is undermining the potential of this measure. Table 22 - Highlights of energy efficiency measures in electricity grids implemented by survey respondents GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 160/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval HEDNO and EDP increased the number of higher voltage transformers, thus increasing the share of higher voltage portion of the grid. of RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) ANNEX III - SURVEY - QUESTIONNAIRE FORMAT A. Project CONTEXT and goal of the QUESTIONNAIRE According to Article 15(2) of the Directive, Member States shall ensure, by 30 June 2015, that: - (a) an assessment is undertaken of the energy efficiency potentials of their gas and electricity infrastructure, in particular regarding transmission, distribution, load management and interoperability, and connection to energy generating installations, including access possibilities for micro energy generators; - (b) concrete measures and investments are identified for the introduction of costeffective energy efficiency improvements in the network infrastructure, with a timetable for their introduction. The European Commission has recently launched a study to provide support to Member States in fulfilling the requirements of article 15.2 of the Energy Efficiency Directive - The study is titled “Measures for grid energy efficiency in gas and electricity grids” - The European Commission considers that cooperation of relevant stakeholders (system operators, regulatory authorities) is a key element to maximize the pertinence and impact of the study. The goal of this questionnaire is to collect data and best practices from system operators: - Description of energy efficiency measures for electricity grids (measures for reducing technical losses) - Description of energy efficiency measures for gas grids (measures for reducing gas losses and for optimizing use of energy in grid operations) B. 1) Survey Part 1 - Energy efficiency in electricity grids Please provide a description of your specific grid conditions : Average number of customers per KM2 Average length of feeders Number of customers Number of voltage levels in the grid? Length of the network per voltage level? Number of transformers? Average age of transformers? GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 161/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 15. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Level of losses on the grid in the last five years? 2) Please provide a short description of the on-going and planned energy efficiency measures (measures for reducing technical losses): Are there any regulatory incentives to reduce grid energy losses? Which energy efficiency measures have been taken so far? Which energy efficiency measures are you planning? Please find below a proposed list of energy efficiency measures. Could you please provide your comments? This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 3) GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 162/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 4) Please provide a description, as detailed as possible, of energy efficiency measures you have implemented or are planning to implement. DESCRIPTION OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES –ELECTRICITY GRIDS Which measure? Please describe. Level of penetration of the measure? (e.g. number of impacted feeders, transformers…) Which factors have a high sensitivity on the cost-effectiveness of the measure? (e.g. age of asset, peak load,…) Additional Benefits? (reduction of CAPEX/OPEX,…) Estimation of the cost of the measure? Which lessons learned to optimize the implementation of this measure? C. 1) Survey Part 2 - Energy efficiency in gas grids Please provide a description of your specific grid conditions by filling in this table: Average number of customers per Km2 Number of customers Number of pressure levels in the grid? Length of the network per pressure level? Number of pressure reduction stations? GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 163/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Which losses reduction has been observed (%)? RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Average age of gas heaters in pressure reduction stations? Level of losses on the grid in the last five years? 2) Please provide a short description of the on-going and planned energy efficiency measures (measures for reducing gas shrinkage and for optimizing use of energy in grid operations) Are there any regulatory incentives to improve grid energy efficiency (i.e. reduction of gas losses and of use of energy)? Which energy efficiency measures are you planning? 3) Please find below a proposed list of energy efficiency measures. Could you please provide your comments? Measures for reducing energy use for grid operation (e.g. optimization of compression; pressure profiles) Gas heating Cathodic protection Quantity of gas delivered to LP users Reduce transmission needs by using decentralized generation Scheduled for operation Unscheduled (leakages) Assessment of losses GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 Increase the use of multistage regulator lines, lines insulation, heat exchanger… Use of high-efficiency gas heaters in pressure reduction stations Use of CHP Autonomous generation through solar panels Optimization of the delivered pressure Biogas plants Storage Power-to-gas Measures for reducing gas losses Lower pressure through a closed by LP-grid Optimization of the valves placed on the grid to reduce the volume to evacuate Increase the use of mobile flow interrupter Replacement of old pipes to PE pipes % of steel pipes cathodically protected Number of valves on the network Use of automatic flow-stopper on grid and connections Limitations of the operating pressure Smart Meters Frequency of leakage detections 164/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Which energy efficiency measures have been taken so far? RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 4) Please provide a description, as detailed as possible, of energy efficiency measures you have implemented or are planning to implement. Please include additional slides to describe additional measures. DESCRIPTION OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY MEASURES –ELECTRICITY GRIDS Which measure? Please describe. Level of penetration of the measure? (e.g. number of impacted pipelines/pressure stations) Which losses reduction has been observed (%)? This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Which factors have a high sensitivity on the costeffectiveness of the measure? (e.g. pressure level, age of asset,…) Additional Benefits? (reduction of CAPEX/OPEX,…) Estimation of the cost of the measure? Which lessons learned to optimize the implementation of this measure? GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 165/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 16. ANNEX IV - TOOL FOR RANKING MEASURES ACCORDING TO THEIR COST-EFFECTIVENESS An excel tool has been set-up to guide project promoters in the assessment of the costeffectiveness of different energy efficiency measures according to their local grid conditions. The tool highlights the main factors affecting the benefits and cost of each measure and provides examples for benchmark. The goal of the tool is to help project promoters in selecting good candidate measures and come up with an overall Energy Efficiency strategy. The analysis provided through the tool is divided in two mains steps: 1) 2) Measure by measure impact and cost assessment Ranking of those measure in term of efficiency and cost The figure here below shows the schematic organisation of the tool: GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 166/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval This document is the support to an Excel tool, whose goal is to help the user to make up a qualitative cost-efficiency ranking. Those forewords aim to present the general methodology behind this tool. RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE Step 1 – Measure by measure analysis The goal of this step is to assess, on one hand, the impact of one measure on the user’s specific grid losses, investment planning and grid operations, and, on the other hand, to assess the cost of its implementation. It is important to note here that all the final assessment is on the user’s hands, with strong guidelines provided by the Task 1 and 2, presented in this report. The analysis to be done for one measure is presented in figure 2. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 167/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Grid factors Loss impact Grid factors Invest. Planning impact Grid factors Grid op. impact Implementation constraints Cost assessment Planned investments The elements providing by the present report and being the guidelines of the tool are classified as follow: Grid factors: losses, CAPEX and OPEX reduction highly depends of the specific conditions of each grid, such as the current technology in use, the fault rate, the average of assets,… Implementation constraints: present the elements of the grid how influence the cost of work, such as the situation of the lines (underground/overhead), facility of access, age of the assets Planned investments: list other investments which may provide opportunities for synergies and reduce implementation costs. Asset list: list of the assets which should be implemented for the measure. Step 1.1 – Impact assessment The users will be guided in the tool following open question, based on open questions, in order to allow the user to build a complete analysis in function of his own grid factors. Each measure should be assessed independently from the others, as well as each factor, following an exhibit as presented down here: MEASURE N Loss reduction Current load rate? Open question to guide experts reflexions Expected impact GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Investment planning impact Future needs? capacity Grid operation impact Fault rate? Possible penetration? … Ed. 2015/12/18 … 168/180 … This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Assets list RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) It is important to repeat at this point that the expected impact here is a totally free judgement from the user. It will serve as basis for the ranking of the measure in the next step. Step 1.2 – Cost assessment Secondly, the cost assessment of the measure has to be performed. As for the impact assessment, open questions guide the user to assess his costs in his own case, based on the local work constraints, the asset list for a measure and the current investments already planned for the concerned assets. It is especially for this last point that the final exhibit (presented here below) of this cost assessment make a parallelism between all the measure and the planned investment, asset by asset, in order the identify replacement already in the pipe and synergies between measures. If such synergies appear, the measure list should be adapted, and a new assessment should be done, taking this time the merged measures into account. currently Measure 1 Measure 2 Asset 1 Asset 2 Asset … Step 2 – Ranking of the measures (pair-wise comparison) Based on the step 1 analysis, the user should rank the measures between them, for each KPI and for the cost. This is performed in the tool through a Multi-Criteria Analysis. The principle is the following: 1) 2) For one KPI, each measure is weighted in front of the others, between 0.1 (very low efficiency compared to the other measure) and 9 (highly efficient). A relative priority is then given for each measure (the higher the score, higher was the efficiency of the measure in front of all the others). An exemple of those two first step is given below Relative priorities Measure 1 Measure 2 Measure 3 Measure… Measure 1 1 1/3 1/2 … 0,3 Measure 2 3 1 2 … 0,17 GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 169/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval Investment planned RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Measure 3 2 0.5 1 … 0,04 Measure … … … … 1 … 2) A priority should also be given to the KPIs. A MCA comparison is also perform between each KPI. The ranking is made by taking into account the current level of losses, the targeted level, the regulatory framework, the presence of incentive aiming to reduce losses, CAPEX, OPEX… The relative priority calculated for each KPI is used to weight the different priorities given to one measure between them. The sum of the weighted priorities gives the overall ranking of the efficiency of the measures, such as showed in exhibit xxx. KPI 1 KPI 2 KPI 3 Weighted priorities KPIs weights 0,5 0,2 0,3 Measure 1 0,3 0,02 0,4 0,29 … … … … Measure 2 Measure 3 Measure … 1) Following the same rules, a ranking of the costs is performed, and is used as qualitative assessment of the costs. 2) The final cost-efficiency ranking is given by the ratio . It is important to note the results provided here are qualitative, and should only be used to identify which measure should be further investigate in more quantitative way. The graph provided here below give an exemple of the results, where “quick wins” and ‘must do” can be easily identified. GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 170/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 1) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) Balancing 3 phasesloading Final score/cost CVR Reactive power management Network reconfiguration Distributed Generation Demand response Increase of lines capacities High efficiency transformers 1,00 2,00 3,00 4,00 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 0,00 Increase of the voltage level GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 171/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE 17. ANNEX V- DETAILED SIMULATION RESULTS 17.1.1.1. REVERSE POWER FLOWS APPEAR WHEN INCREASING DG PENETRATION RATE 17.1.1.2. IMPACT OF DG PENETRATION ON OPEX AND ON CAPEX GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 172/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE 17.1.1.3. LOSSES COSTS IMPACT SIGNIFICANTLY THE SIZING OF THE INFRASTRUCTURE (CAPEX) 17.1.1.4. 100% PV CASE VS DIFFERENT DG TYPE SHARE AMONG THE VOLTAGE GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 173/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE 17.1.1.5. COST EVOLUTION WITH NIGHT/DAY TIME-OF-USE 17.1.1.6. COST EVOLUTION WITH MIDDAY TIME-OF-USE GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 174/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE 17.1.1.7. COST EVOLUTION WITH MULTIPERIOD TIME-OF-USE 17.1.1.8. LOSS REDUCTION THANKS TO A MULTIPERIOD TOU GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 175/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) LOW LEVEL OF SHIFTED ENERGY OVER THE YEAR PROVIDES ALREADY A TOTEX DECREASE This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 17.1.1.9. 17.1.1.10. GENERATION CURTAILMENT GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 176/180 RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 17.1.1.11. DETAIL COST REDUCTION WITH A MIXED FLEXIBILITY SOLUTION (CURTAILMENT + DEMAND RESPONSE) OPEX 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 4% OPEX decrease (%)* CAPEX decrease (%)* CAPEX 2% 0% -2% -4% -6% -8% -10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% North rural South_rural North_urban South_urban 100% DG penetration 200% DG penetration 300% DG penetration 17.1.1.12. PEAK REDUCTION ACHIEVED THANKS TO THE MIXED FLEXIBILITY SOLUTION GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 177/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval TOTEX decrease (%)* TOTEX RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 17.1.1.14. USE OF THE DEMAND RESPONSE BETWEEN THE VOLTAGE LEVEL GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 178/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 17.1.1.13. USE OF DEMAND RESPONSE VS CURTAILMENT RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) 17.1.1.16. REDUCTION OF LOSSES DEPENDING OF THE PRICE OF THE LOSSES GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 179/180 This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 17.1.1.15. TOTEX EVOLUTION FOR LOSSES COSTS AT 80€/MWH AND 120€/MWH RESTRICTED IDENTIFYING ENERGY EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS AND SAVING POTENTIAL IN ENERGY NETWORKS, INCLUDING ASSESSMENT OF THE VALUE OF DEMAND RESPONSE, IN SUPPORT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ARTICLE 15 OF THE ENERGY EFFICIENCY DIRECTIVE (2012/27/EU) This document is the property of Tractebel Engineering S.A. Any duplication or transmission to third parties is forbidden without prior written approval 17.1.1.17. COMPARISON OF THE TOTEX DECREASE BEWEEN THE BASE CASE AND 100% PV ONE GRIDEE/4NT/0364174/000/01 Ed. 2015/12/18 180/180 RESTRICTED A leading international engineering consultancy company, Tractebel Engineering is part of ENGIE*, an industrial group with the financial strength to address the challenges of the future. With approximately 4,400 people in 33 countries, we offer life-cycle engineering solutions for energy, water and infrastructure clients. Services include a full range of engineering assignments: Architect Engineer, Owner’s Engineer and Consulting Engineer. Our customers are private and public companies, as well as national and international institutions. *GDF SUEZ is now ENGIE TRACTEBEL ENGINEERING S.A. Avenue Ariane 7 1200 - Brussels - BELGIUM www.tractebel-engineering-gdfsuez.com Vincenzo GIORDANO tel. +32 2 773 83 92 fax +32 2 773 88 90 [email protected]
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