Electric Power Systems Research 70 (2004) 187–193 A price competition model for power and reserve market auctions Deqiang Gan a,∗ , Chen Shen b a College of Electrical Engineering, Yuquan Campus, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, PR China b Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, PR China Received 25 August 2003; received in revised form 23 November 2003; accepted 9 December 2003 Abstract In our recent work, we formulated a price competition game model for modeling oligopolistic competition in a single-period electricity market auction. An assumption made in the study is that generator marginal costs are un-identical. In this paper, we continue to study single-period auction games, with the assumption that generator marginal costs are identical. We found that the later assumption facilitates a sharper result, which states that the market clearing price (CP) at equilibrium under tight capacity constraint is unique. This assumption also permits us to obtain simpler equilibrium characterization and mathematical proofs. Furthermore, we extend the model to study the auction game in which power and reserve are auctioned simultaneously. As an application, we derive market power indices out of the suggested game-theoretic models. © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Power system; Electricity market; Reserve; Game theory; Optimization 1. Introduction As electricity markets are rapidly emerging around the world, a timely topic arises, that is, how to predict or analyze the performance of a given market design. The answer of the question can significantly influence policy-making. The mainstream approach is that of game theory. The idea of this approach is to predict market performance assuming that market players will take Nash equilibrium strategies. The micro-structure of an electricity market is typically complicated. On the other hand, to enhance the predicting power of a game model, one favors analytic, rather than, computational model. A tradeoff has to be carefully made between the modeling capability and predicting capability of a game model. These considerations have motivated our recent development of a price competition game model for modeling oligopolistic competition in electricity market auctions [1]. In a nutshell, we consider in [1] a single-period electricity market auction as a simultaneous-move, price competition, continuous game. This model works rather well if one ∗ Corresponding author. Tel.: +86-571-8795-1831; fax: +86-571-8795-2591. E-mail addresses: [email protected], [email protected] (D. Gan). 0378-7796/$ – see front matter © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.epsr.2003.12.007 is interested in analyzing the market behavior for a given load level. Related work can be found in, say [4–14]. Results of laboratory experimental studies can also be found in, for example, reference [15]. As is well-known, capacity constraints is one of the most important factors that affect bidding behavior. A key feature of the proposed game model is in its flexibility of modeling capacity constraints. An assumption required in [1] is that generator marginal costs are mutually un-identical. In this paper, we provide results under the assumption that generator marginal costs are identical. We show that equilibrium characterization with this assumption is simpler, and the main results are sharper. Furthermore, the suggested model is extended to study single-period auction games where power and reserve are auctioned simultaneously. Finally, as an application, we describe how the introduced results can be used to derive numerical market power indices. 2. Equilibrium points in energy-only markets The model is intended for single-period auction game. Unit commitment is not considered in this paper. In this section we will first describe the auction game and then provide an equilibrium characterization. 188 D. Gan, C. Shen / Electric Power Systems Research 70 (2004) 187–193 2.1. The game model The power dispatch and pricing is obtained from the following optimization problem [1]: pT P min P (1.1) πk (pk ) = (ρe − c)T P k s.t. e P − DP = 0, (1.2) 0 ≤ P ≤ P̄, (1.3) T where P̄ is the high operating limit vector, e is a vector with all ones, and DP is the total load. To solve the above problem, we form Lagrangian function as follows: T T Γ = pT P + ρ(DP − eT P) − τ P + τ (P − P̄) (2) where ρ, τ , τ are the Lagrange Multipliers. As is well-understood, the price of the last accepted generator is the market clearing price (CP), which is equal to ρ in the above setting. If the problem (1) has multiple optimal solutions, it implies that the bid prices of some units are the same and these generators set clearing price. Under such circumstances, these generators are dispatched in proportion to their capabilities. In a two-generator system, this widely accepted protocol can be described mathematically as P1 = P̄1 L̂, P̄1 + P̄2 As usual the payoff function of the game is assumed to be the profit of the player. The problem the kth player faces is to choose a price vector, pk , so as to maximize his profit, assuming that the price vectors of the other players p∗−k are given. The profit of kth player πk (pk ) is given by P2 = P̄2 L̂ P̄1 + P̄2 (3) where L̂ is the residual load that the two generators supply (Fig. 1). In a multi-generator system, the same concept applies. Assumptions. 1. eT P̄ − DP ≥ 0. This ensures that there are feasible solutions to the auction problem. 2. Each unit has a constant marginal cost which is publicly known. 3. Bid prices are subject to a price cap c̄, that is, p ≤ c̄. Here c̄ represent the price cap which is a scalar, c̄ represents price cap vector with suitable dimension. 4. Price caps are strictly greater than costs, that is, c̄ > c. 5. A generator is allowed to bid one block only. This assumption is not essential but is helpful for explanation. 6. There are at least two players, each of which owns generators with non-zero capability. Fig. 1. Residual load when two generators bid the same price. (4) Notice that P and ρ are single-valued functions of pk Let us denote this function as P(·) and ρ(·), respectively. Now the profit maximization problem can be formulated as follows: max pk s.t. πk (pk ) = [ρ(pk )e − c]T P k (pk ) c ≤ pk ≤ c̄k , (5.1) (5.2) It is worth stating that the above problem is a bi-level optimization problem because computing P(·) and ρ(·) involves solving an optimization problem defined in Eq. (1) [16]. Apparently, the kth player’s best response, pk , is in general a function of its rival’s strategies, p∗−k . The reason is that if p∗−k changes, then the optimization solution pk changes. Let rk (·) denote this function, then pk = r k (p∗−k ). It is convenient to re-write this relationship into compact matrix form as s = r(s). The intersection of the graph of functions rk (·), k = 1, 2, . . . , Ns is Nash equilibrium, here Ns is the number of players. Mathematically, the solution of the simultaneous equations s = r(s) is Nash equilibrium. Given a strategy p∗−k , there could be as many as infinite number of best responses pk . Therefore r k (·) is in general a point to set map. It follows that pk ∈ rk (p∗−k ). The intersection(s) of the graphs of these point-to-set maps are Nash equilibrium points [1,17]. A fundamental property of Nash equilibrium is that no player has in incentive to deviate from Nash equilibrium strategy. 2.2. Equilibrium analysis When the capacity constraint is very tight, the clearing price at equilibrium is likely to be high because large players could manipulate the clearing price. This well-known wisdom must be proved. The following result serve the purpose. Lemma 1 (existence of critical load level). There exists a critical load level DP∗ such that DP > DP∗ then the auction game possesses an equilibrium at which ρ∗ = c̄. Proof. Since the objective is to prove the existence of DP∗ , it is reasonable to assume that, if one stacks up generators bids randomly, then all generators would be fully accepted except one. Let the index of this partially accepted generator be m. Consider the following configuration: (a) The mth generator bids price cap, the others bid marginal costs. Then apparently generators, i (i = m), do not have incentives to deviate from bidding their marginal cost because D. Gan, C. Shen / Electric Power Systems Research 70 (2004) 187–193 these generators are fully accepted and the clearing price reaches maximum. The mth generator’s profit above configuration is in the given by πm (DP ) = (c̄ − c) DP − j=m P̄j . Apparently, one can always find a DP∗ such that πm (DP∗ ) > 0. If the mth generator bids a price that is between c and c̄, it would profit less than πm (DP∗ ). If this generator bids a price equal to c, all generators would be dispatched in proportion to their capacity, the market clearing price would be c, the profit of the mth generator would become zero. The above demonstrates that configuration (a) is at equilibrium and ρ∗ = c̄. The proof is complete. 䊐 As an example, consider a system with three players and three generators, assume that P̄1 = 100, P̄2 = 200, P̄3 = 500. Then DP∗ = 300. The above result is of qualitative nature. Proposition 1 below provides a more specific characterization of equilibrium points of the game. Before stating the proposition, we need to prove a useful result. The idea of this result under slightly different assumptions has actually been utilized but not explicitly stated in our recent work [1]. Lemma 2 (price competition lemma). Consider a dispatch configuration (P ∗ , ρ∗ ). If the clearing price ρ∗ is set by generators owned by several players and eT P̄ − DP > 0, then the configuration is not at equilibrium. Proof. See Appendix A. 䊐 The idea of the above result is as follows. Suppose a player has a generator which ties with his rival’s generator. The player should undercut his rival’s generator. By doing so, he would increase his output though the market CP would become lower, he would gain more than he lose. Now let us state one of the main results of this paper. Proposition 1 (equilibrium under strong constraints). Suppose there exists a player A such that j∈A / P̄j < DP , then the game possesses an equilibrium at which ρ∗ = c̄. Furthermore, ρ∗ = c̄ uniquely. Proof. Consider the following configuration: Player A bids c̄ for all his generator(s), player A’s rival(s) bid c. The above configuration is an equilibrium point. The reason is as follows. First, A’s rivals do not have incentives to deviate from bidding c because by hypothesis their generators are all fully accepted and the CP is highest possible, so all of them obtain maximum payoff. Second, A does not have incentive to deviate because if A bids a price between c and c̄, A would profit less. If A bids c, A would profit zero which is lessthan what he canobtain in the above configuration, (c̄ − c) DP − j∈A / P̄j > 0. 189 Now let us prove the uniqueness part of the proposition. Apparently there does not exist equilibrium at which ρ = c. Now suppose c < ρ < c̄, consider the following possible configurations. (a) The clearing price is set by generator(s) owned by a single player. (b) The clearing price is set by generators owned by several players. Configuration (a) is not at equilibrium because no matter which generator sets clearing price, he has incentive to raise the price. To prove that configuration (b) is not at equilib䊐 rium, the readers are referred to Lemma 2. Remark. The statement “ρ∗ = c̄ uniquely” does not necessarily means that the equilibrium is unique. For example, when j P̄j = DP , there can be multiple equilibriums. In [1], we studied market equilibrium under weak capacity constraints when marginal costs are unequal. The next result characterizes equilibrium when marginal costs are identical. Proposition 2 (equilibrium under weak constraints). Let I be the indexset of all players. Suppose that for every player A, A ∈ I, j∈A / P̄ j > Dp , then there does not exist equilibrium at which ρ > c. In other words, if an equilibrium exists, then at the equilibrium ρ = c. Proof. Suppose there exists an equilibrium at which ρ > c, the following are the possible configurations. (a) The clearing price is set by generator(s) owned by a single player. (b) The clearing price is set by generators owned by several players. To show that configuration (a) is not at equilibrium, recall the hypothesis j∈A / P̄j > Dp , for every player A, A ∈ I, therefore there must be unaccepted generator(s) owned by the price-setting player’s rival. The unaccepted generator(s) have incentive to undercut the price-setting generator because ρ > c. To prove that configuration (b) is not at equilibrium, the readers are referred to Lemma 2. 䊐 The above result includes the classic Bertrand Paradigm as a special case. Consider a market with two sufficiently large generators, at the equilibrium point of the market the CP is equal to marginal cost. As a more general example, consider a market with A, B, C three generators, each is independently owned, none of the generators can serve the load independently, but two of them can always serve the load, the clearing price of the market at equilibrium is equal to marginal cost c. 190 D. Gan, C. Shen / Electric Power Systems Research 70 (2004) 187–193 generators). If the auction problem (6) has one unique solution, there can be only two marginal generators. The problem may have multiple solutions which can appear in the following forms: 3. Equilibrium points in energy and reserve markets 3.1. The game model The power/reserve dispatch and pricing are obtained from the following optimization problem [2]: pT P + r T R min P,R s.t. (6.1) eT P = DP , (6.2) eT R = DR , 0≤P and (6.3) P + R ≤ Γ = pT P + ρ(DP − eT P) T T − τ P + τ (P − P̄), (6.4) T T 0 ≤ R ≤ Γ = pT P + ρ(DP − eT P) − τ P + τ (P − R̄) (6.5) The details of the above market structure, which is essentially an abstraction of the market model of major North America electricity markets such as New England and New York, are further described in [2,3]. It is worth noting that the above reserve market structure is not necessarily the best. One piece of evidence is that these markets are often suspended when the load and reserve demands exceed or approach the available generating capacity. The reason is that under such circumstances, generators have too much market power to disturb the market. Eliminating the requirement on reserve capabilities can (greatly) help to obviate this problem, this is the innovating idea of treating reserve capabilities as insurance product, as suggested in [21]. To solve the above optimization problem, form the Lagrangian function as follows: T Γ = pT P + r T R + ρ(DP − eT P) + γ(DR − eT R) − τ P T T + τ (P + R − Γ = pT P + ρ(DP − eT P) − τ P T T + τ (P − P̄)) − τ R + τ (R − Γ T = pT P + ρ(DP − eT P) − τ P T To deal with the above solution multiplicity problem, again, we apply the proportion rule described in Eq. (3). If generators tie in reserve market, we dispatch the reserve in proportion to their reserve capability R̄. If generators tie in both power and reserve markets, we dispatch power and reserve in proportion to their power capability. Assumptions. 1. There are feasible solutions to the auction problem. 2. Each unit has constant marginal cost which is publicly known. Reserve costs are zero. 3. Bid prices are subject to a price cap c̄, that is, p ≤ c̄, r ≤ c̄. 4. c̄ > c. 5. A generator is allowed to bid one block only. Again, this assumption is not essential but is helpful for explanation. 6. There are at least two players, each of which owns generators with non-zero power and reserve capability. The payoff function of the game is again assumed to be the profit of the player. The problem that the kth player faces is to choose a price vector, (pk , rk ), so as to maximize his profit, assuming that the price vectors of the other players (p∗−k , r ∗−k ) are given. The profit of kth player πk (pk , r k ) is given by πk (pk , rk ) = (ρe − ck)T P k + γeT Rk T + τ (P − R̄)) [0, 1] [0, 1] • Multiple generators set power CP jointly. • Multiple generators set reserve CP jointly. • Multiple generators set power and reserve CPs jointly, ρ = γ. • Multiple generators set power and reserve CPs jointly, ρ = γ. (7) where ρ, γ, τ , τ , σ , σ are the Lagrangian multipliers. At the optimum, by the Kuhn–Tucker optimality condition, we have ∂Γ = pi − ρ − τ i + τ i = 0 ∂Pi , (8) ∂Γ = ri − γi + τ i − σ i + σ i = 0 ∂Ri As in power-only market, ρ, γ are set as clearing prices for power and reserve, respectively. They equal to the bid prices of power and reserve of price-setting generators (marginal (9) Notice that P, R, ρ, and γ are single-valued functions of (pk , r k ). Let us denote this function as P(·), ρ(·), R(·) and, γ(·), respectively. Now the profit maximization problem can be formulated as follows: max pk ,rk πk = [ρ(pk , rk ) − ck ]T P k (pk , rk ) + γeT (pk , rk )Rk (pk , rk ) s.t. ck ≤ pk ≤ c̄ and 0 ≤ rk ≤ c̄ (10.1) (10.2) Again kth player’s best response, (pk , rk ), is in general a point-to-set map of its rival’s strategies, (p−k , r −k ). The intersection(s) of the graphs of these point-to-set maps are Nash equilibrium points [17]. D. Gan, C. Shen / Electric Power Systems Research 70 (2004) 187–193 3.2. Equilibrium analysis The following result, which states that the market cannot be competitive if demand level is higher than a critical value, is an immediate extension of Lemma 1. Lemma 3 (existence of critical load/reserve level). There ∗ ) such that if exists a critical load/reserve level (DP∗ , DR ∗ ∗ DP > DP , DR > DR , then the auction game possesses an equilibrium at which ρ∗ = c̄, γ ∗ = c̄. The proof of the above result is omitted. Similarly, the following result is an extension of Proposition 1. Proposition 3 (equilibrium under strong constraints). Suppose there exists player A such that j ∈A / P̄j > Dp , j ∈A / R̄j > DR , then the game possesses an equilibrium at which ρ∗ = c̄, γ ∗ = c̄. Proof. Consider the following configuration: Player A bids c̄ for energy and reserve for all his generator(s), player A’s rival(s) bid c for energy, and 0 for reserve, so ρ∗ = s̄, γ ∗ = c̄. The above configuration is at equilibrium, to prove the assertion, notice that by hypothesis generators of A’s rivals are all fully accepted in power and reserve auctions, the power and reserve CPs are highest possible, so A’s rivals already secure maximal payoff in the above configuration. On the other hand, A does not have incentive to change his power price either, because if he bids a price between c and c̄ for power, he would profit less. If he bids c, he would profit zero in power market which is less than whathe already has in the above configuration, (c̄ − c) DP − j∈A / P̄j > 0. By the same token, A does not have incentive to change his reserve price. 䊐 Naturally, one questions if the result of Proposition 2 can be extended to the situation in power/reserve combined market. The answer to this question is satisfactorily yes, as stated in Proposition 4 below. Proposition 4 (equilibrium under weak constraints). If for every A, A ∈ I, j∈A / P̄j > DP +DR , j ∈A / R̄j > DR , then there does not exist equilibrium at which ρ > c or γ > 0. Proof. Suppose there exists an equilibrium at which ρ > c or γ > 0. The following are the possible configurations. (a) Power CP is set by generator(s) owned by a single player, reserve CP is set by generator(s) owned by a single player. (b) Power CP is set by generator(s) owned by a single player, reserve CP is set by generators owned by several players. (c) Power CP is set by generators owned by several players, reserve CP is set by generator(s) owned by a single player. 191 (d) Power CP is set by generators owned by several players, reserve CP is set by generators owned by several players. We need to show that none of the above configurations is at equilibrium (sketch). To show that configuration (a) is not at equilibrium, notice that, by hypothesis there must exist a generator (say generator x owned by player X) that is not accepted in power market. Suppose X is not the price-setting player, then if x lower power bid price to undercut the price-setting generator, X could improve his profit; suppose X is the price-setting player, then if x raise its power bid price, X could improve X’s profit. To show that configuration (b) is not at equilibrium, notice that if one of the price-setting generators in the reserve market lower its reserve bid price, he could improve his profit in reserve market. This assertion is true following the argument of Lemma 2. So configuration (b) is not at equilibrium. Using the same argument, one can easily show that con䊐 figurations (c) and (d) are not at equilibrium. The above result asserts that, if equilibrium exists, then at the equilibrium ρ > c and γ > 0. As an example, consider a three-player (player X, Y, Z) market. Suppose P̄ > D , R̄j > DR , j P j∈X j∈Y P̄j > DP , j∈Z R̄j > DR , j∈Z P̄j > DP , j∈Y R̄ > D , then Proposition 4 asserts that, in this R j∈X j market, there does not exist equilibrium at which ρ > c and γ > 0. 4. Applications In our previous work, we defined a numerical index called must-run-generation [18]. This numerical index, defined for power market only, can be used to measure the price manipulation capability of market p layers. For player A, we can calculate the following indices which measure the market power of the player in power and reserve market: DP − j∈A / P̄j 1 MRRA = , 0 ≤ MRR1A ≤ 1 (11) P̄ j j∈A MRR2A DR − = j ∈A / R̄j j∈A R̄j , 0 ≤ MRR2A ≤ 1 (12) The above indices are natural extensions of must-run-ratio in power-only market. They are closely related to Supply Sufficiency Indices, which have been used in California for studying market power issue in power-only market [19,20]. The contribution of this and our previous work is to extend the idea to power and reserve combined markets, and more importantly to provide an analytical foundation for these indices which appears to be lacking in the open literature. Further work could be towards developing optimal regulation rules out of the introduced numerical market power indices. For example, the price caps could be designed as a 192 D. Gan, C. Shen / Electric Power Systems Research 70 (2004) 187–193 function of the size of the generator with highest market run ratio. Alternatively, one could argue that if must run ratio of a generator exceeds certain threshold, the generator should be required to sign long term supply contract. Now consider the situation where L̂ > P̄1 the new CP remains unchanged, the profit of C is as follows: (16) π̈ = (ρ∗ − c)P̄j + (ρ∗ − c)P̄1 j∈C,pj <ρ∗ The difference between π̇ and π̈ is then given by 5. Conclusions In this work, we studied the electricity market auction game under the assumption that generators marginal costs are identical. As described in the paper, characterizing the equilibrium points of identical cost game appears to be simpler. We show that must-run-generation is an even more important factor affecting the behavior of players in such markets, and price caps have little impact on equilibrium of such auction games. The results introduced are extended to study power and reserve simultaneous auction games as demonstrated in the paper. The numerical indices introduced in the paper are easily calculated and provide a meaningful way of estimating market performance for a wide range of market structures. Our study is motivated from the work of reference [7] but our results are different and more applicable as is demonstrated in the paper. Appendix A Proof of Lemma 2. Without loss of generality, consider the situation where two generators 1 (owned by player C) and 2 (owned by player D) set CP. Let L̂ be the residual load (refer to Fig. 1). The profit of player C is π̇ = (ρ∗ − c)P̄j + (ρ∗ − c)L̂ j∈C,pj <ρ∗ P̄1 P̄1 + P̄2 (13) The first term is the profit earned by C’s infra-marginal generators. This term could be zero. Note that L̂ can be either greater or smaller than P̄1 Now suppose the price of generator 1 is lowered to (ρ∗ − η), here η is a small positive number. Consider first that L̂ ≤ P̄1 , so the new CP becomes ρ∗ − η, the profit of C becomes π̈ = (ρ∗ − η − c)P̄j + (ρ∗ − η − c)L̂ (14) j∈C,pj <ρ∗ The difference between π̇ and π̈ is then given by P̄2 π̈ − π̇ = −η L̂ + P̄j + (ρ∗ − c)L̂ P̄ 1 + P̄2 j∈C,p <ρ∗ j (15) Since L̂ + j∈C,pj <ρ∗ P̄j > 0, and (ρ∗ −c)L̂[P̄2 /(P̄1 + P̄2 )] > 0, therefore player C can always find an (possibly small) η > 0, such that π̈ − π̇ > 0. π̈ − π̇ = (ρ∗ − c)P̄1 P̄1 + P̄2 − L >0 P̄1 + P̄2 (17) The above indicates that player C has incentive to deviate from bidding ρ∗ for generator 1. If player C has more than one generators that tie in the auction, apparently the same conclusion can be drawn. The same argument holds for player D. 䊐 References [1] D. Gan, D. Bourcier, A single-period auction game model for modeling oligopolistic competition in pool-based electricity markets, in: Proceedings of the IEEE PES Winter Meeting, New York, USA, January 2002. [2] K.W. Cheung, P. Shamsollahi, D. Sun, J. Milligan, M. 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