19th International Conference of the ACEI Valladolid, Spain, June 21-24, 2016 Analysis of the technical and allocative efficiency of publicly owned Spanish museums María José del BARRIO TELLADO (*) Dpto. de Economía Financiera y Contabilidad. Universidad de Valladolid (Spain) E-mail: [email protected] Luis César HERRERO PRIETO Dpto. de Economía Aplicada. Universidad de Valladolid (Spain) E-mail: [email protected] ABSTRACT The aim of this work is to evaluate the efficiency and best practices of the Spanish national network of museums. A non-parametric approach, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), is used to measure relative efficiency in these institutions, and we employ a complex production function embracing a number of inputs and outputs adapted to the various functions which museums fulfil: preservation, research, communication, and exhibition. Most of the previous studies to have explored this topic have mainly focused on determining technical efficiency, without taking into account the costs of the factors, due to the difficulty involved in having information available concerning prices and costs in this sector. We now aim to calculate overall levels of efficiency for the museums in the selected sample, distinguishing them in terms of their components of allocative efficiency and technical efficiency. To achieve this, we calculate the mean price of the factors used, taking as a guideline the data contained in the annual accounts of a group of museums considered to be a reference sample over the period analysed. Finally, we apply a two-stage approach to measure efficiency of museums in order to analyse how and how much environmental variables might determine the level of museum efficiency. In this case, we consider indicators such as reputation of the location, urban size, accessibility, tourism capacity, and model of institution management as external variables which might influence museum performance. The research findings may prove useful for management of these cultural institutions, as well as for those responsible for public resource allocation policies in the area of cultural heritage. KEY WORDS: Economics of Museums, Technical Efficiency, Allocative Efficiency, Data Envelopment Analysis, National Network of Museums in Spain (*) Corresponding Author Grupo de Investigación Reconocido en Economía de la Cultura Facultad de Comercio. Universidad de Valladolid Paseo Prado de la Magdalena s/n 47005-Valladolid Tel. +34 983 184 642 // Fax: +34 983 423 056 www.emp.uva.es/giec 1- Introduction 1 The goal of our analysis is to delve further into the evaluation of cultural institutions’ results and performance, taking as a case study the network of Spanish national museums. These institutions conduct their activity in the public sector, and are funded through the taxes collected by the state as well as by the donations made by private organisations or individuals albeit to a much smaller degree. This implies a kind of tacit contract between the state and citizens, who agree to the payment of taxes in exchange for a range of services which include cultural facilities. This by no means clear contract has aroused an interest in gaining an understanding of the use which museums make of the funds they are allocated, not only from the perspective of ensuring management common sense vis-à-vis the use thereof but also with regard to ascertaining whether the previously established objectives are achieved in an environment of dwindling resources and ever-increasing competition for available resources. As a result, there is a desire to gauge museums’ performance and to relate this to the resources used in an effort to ascertain whether the museum is efficient in its work. In the business domain, financial information proves an extremely useful tool for determining a company’s achievements given the goal of maximising profit, which may be reflected through the balance sheet. In the public sector, however, as occurs in the area of non-profits, the goals lie outside what is a purely financial framework. The aim is to achieve goals of a social nature (in the case of cultural institutions: preserving heritage, disseminating an artistic corpus, educating people, etc.), objectives which are difficult to measure in monetary terms. The financial information made publicly available in these institutions is seen as an indicator of their chances of survival or, as pointed out by Carnegie and Wolnizer (1996), of their viability, although such information proves insufficient vis-à-vis gauging their vitality, in other words, their performance. The limited public information available has spurred the development of techniques aimed at determining the performance of public institutions, and which may also be applied to non-profits. Said techniques may be grouped into two categories. The first category proposes measuring performance using tables of indicators applying varying sizes and degrees of complexity. In this line of study and, particularly in the sector of cultural institutions, are to be found such works as Jackson (1991), Weil (1995), Gilhespy (1999) and Turbide and Laurin (2009), which advocate the evaluation of the various activities undertaken by institutions through devising a series of useful indicators –whether for internal management purposes or external accreditation-, by enabling comparisons to be established between the organisations in question for the various aspects being evaluated. In a similar vein, Weinstein and Bukovinsky (2009) posit the use of a comprehensive dashboard as a tool to evaluate cultural entities and which would allow for an internal link to be established between the organisation’s strategies and its actions. Reid (2011) also points to the advantages of applying a comprehensive dashboard for the running of academic libraries as an instrument for gauging the quality of the services provided to users. A second stream of studies aims to evaluate the performance of public institutions by relating the inputs used in the products and services offered by the museums’ various activities by devising a specific production function. In this case, the aim is to delimit a frontier of optimal behaviour in the transformation process in order to determine how far away each unit lies from the optimum established by the frontier. For this purpose, estimating the efficient frontier may be accomplished by using parametric and non-parametric models (Fernández et al, 2013). The former require an explicit definition of the production function and, together with their accuracy, have the added advantage that said function is clearly defined. In the case of non-parametric models, the efficient frontier is estimated through available data, and requires a prior definition of the production function. This approach endows non-parametric models with greater flexibility, and allows them to be applied to situations involving multiple outputs. One additional advantage of these models is their functionality, since they provide information concerning each study unit which may be used to establish action guidelines for improving efficiency. Of the existing non-parametric models, Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is the most widely employed to study the efficiency of institutions, and has been used on numerous occasions to examine cultural institutions. 2 Our work belongs to this latter category of studies; specifically, we apply the DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) model to evaluate the museums that form part of the Spanish national network of museums, considering a function with numerous inputs and outputs. The inputs in the model are defined in terms of the different resources used. By contrast, the outputs reflect what the institution offers and are measured in terms of the activities available and public consumption. With regard to the former, the manager of the institution may act by combining the available factors more efficiently to produce the service. Nevertheless, final public consumption is not solely defined by what the institution offers but is also shaped by contextual variables, which is why our work posits calculating institutions’ technical efficiency using two different models. The former considers those output variables controlled by the managers whereas the latter takes account of output variables which are beyond managers’ control and which are shaped by certain contextual variables. Subsequently, an analysis is made of how and to what extent environmental variables may impact on a museum’s efficiency. Finally, a more restrictive measure of efficiency is posited by introducing the notion of cost efficiency, incorporating information concerning the mean price of the factors used. The study we present is structured in four parts. First, we offer a review of the previous studies carried out into museums’ performance. We then introduce the problem to be addressed, offering a description of the sample of museums used as a reference and describing the methodology. Finally, the results obtained are presented and analysed together with the main conclusions. 2- Efficiency analysis in museums: formulation and state of the art Cultural institutions in general, and museums in particular, may conduct their activity within the public or private sector. When operating in the public sector, the goal of maximising profit loses relevance compared to the social goals, whereas in the private sector there is justification for establishing performance related goals. Although there is a growing tendency towards museums becoming self-financing1, the activities they engage in (acquisition, conservation, study, staging exhibitions, dissemination) coupled with the aims which determine their very creation (study, education, recreation) make it difficult to draw comparisons with the quest for financial performance. In the business world, those contributing funds know to what extent objectives have been accomplished when they are paid, whether through performance or capital gains. By contrast, both in the case of museums operating in the public sector as well as those operating in the private sector there is a separation between those who provide the funds and those who benefit from the service, thus necessitating a specific study of the institution’s results in order to gauge to what extent the objectives initially set out have been achieved. For this reason, efficiency studies prove particularly relevant in the domain of museums; in the case of those operating in the public sector, because resources are acquired in a competitive environment –given the existing budgetary restrictions- and it would seem logical to demand efficiency; and in the case of private entities, because financial donors seek a return for their contributions through the entity’s social impact. The information which is compulsorily made available to the public is aimed at responding to the need to inform concerning the efficiency of public institutions’ performance by including a report on efficacy, efficiency and economic indicators that relate the resources used to the products obtained. This line of approach includes the works of Ames (1994) and Jackson (1994) –who propose drawing up tables of indicators to examine museums’ results- as well as the evaluations carried out by the agencies responsible for issuing accreditation for museums2. This means of assessing museums’ performance might prove useful in certain circumstances, yet it poses a restriction stemming from the fact that an indicator reflects a partial aspect of each entity’s production, 1 By way of an example, in its action plan for 2013-2016 the Prado Museum envisages as one of its main lines of action in terms of income “Enhancing the museum’s capacity to generate its own resources by implementing fresh initiatives”. One example of museum accreditation programmes, specifically the one applied by the American Association of Museums, may be found in Arroyo and Hart (2011). 2 3 whereas museums actually offer multiple products, in addition to which it proves complicated to establish a hierarchy of institutions using this technique. Another way of measuring museums’ efficiency is by calculating each museum’s distance from a frontier made up of the best practices of a given group. In this case, it is necessary to define the efficient frontier, for which parametric and non-parametric models may be used. Opting for one model or another involves analysing the characteristics of the units to be evaluated. For this purpose, it should be remembered that museums are institutions whose mission is quantified in terms of achievements that prove difficult to measure, such as the conservation of heritage, educating people or entertainment. Evaluating to what extent objectives are accomplished should therefore be performed using proxy variables such as the number of temporary exhibitions staged, the number of visitors, or the number of publications issued by the museum. Moreover, the lack of any market which sets the prices of the products offered often leads to taking as a reference a concept of efficiency which does not require valuations, such as technical efficiency, where quantities of resources and products are linked without the need to allocate any value, as opposed to the concept of allocative efficiency which seeks to pinpoint which combination of factors enables the goal to be achieved at the lowest possible cost. Nevertheless, this latter concept of efficiency provides valuable information by taking account of the cost at which units operate and not merely the consumption of resources in real terms, thus also providing a more restrictive evaluation than the notion of technical efficiency. On the other hand, the uncertainty surrounding the production technology employed by these units makes the use of more flexible techniques seem more suited to studying museums. The inflexibility involved in defining the functional form of the frontier and the need to sum up in a single output all the activities undertaken by these institutions has led to a somewhat limited use of parametric models for studying museums. However, mention should be made of the works of Jackson (1988) for a sample of North-American museums, and Bishop and Brand (2003) who measure the efficiency of a group of British museums. In this instance, a simple production function is estimated and leads to the conclusion that the amount of public funding received and volunteer participation have a negative impact on mean efficiency in terms of visitor numbers. Non-parametric techniques, particularly DEA and its offshoots, have been the most widely used to study the performance of museums given the flexibility they afford when defining the frontier, and because they adapt to the situation of museums by allowing the evaluation of a group of institutions that employ different inputs to produce a series of outputs. Studies which opt for non-parametric methods to evaluate museums include Paulus (1995), who examines the technical efficiency of a group comprising 64 French museums. Analysis of the technical efficiency of a group of Belgian museums is also the subject of the works by Mairesse (1997) and Mairesse and Vanden Eeckaut (2002) where the technique applied is FDH (Free Disposal Hull), a variant of DEA that removes the need for convexity in the frontier. The work of Taalas (1998) introduces the notion of allocative efficiency for a sample of Finnish museums using the FDH model. Other works based on nonparametric models include Pignataro (2002) and Basso and Funari (2004). The former measures the efficiency and technical change of Sicilian museums, whilst the latter introduces variable returns to scale, decomposing the measurement of technical efficiency into a purely technical component, and another of returns to scale for a sample of museums located in three major tourist cities (Bologna, Florence and Venice). Finally, del Barrio, et al (2009) explore the efficiency of a sample of museums in Spain based on a prior classification thereof using multivariate techniques, and del Barrio and Herrero (2013) introduce a complex production function with multiple outputs to evaluate the performance of museums belonging to an institutional network of museums in Spain. 3- Evaluation of state-run museums 3.1- Data According to Spanish Ministry of Culture data through the Spanish Directory of Museums and Collections, there are currently over 1500 museums in the country of which 1076 are publicly 4 owned compared to 481 that are privately owned. The group of publicly owned museums encompasses institutions that cover a wide range of themes and that differ considerably in size. In an effort to select a representative and even group that will allow us to apply the method proposed, we have chosen a sample of museums run by the Ministry of Education, Culture and Sport. This is a group of 89 museums involved in areas such as archaeology and fine arts, and which merges socalled national and provincial museums set up on the basis of royal collections as well as goods seized from the church during disentailment, together with subsequent archaeological and art collections. The national museums are run directly by the Ministry of Education, Culture and Sport or, as is the case of the Prado, through a state-run independent body, whilst the provincial museums, which house the main art collections and archaeological pieces from each area, are run by the competent regional government through the corresponding regional Ministry of Culture. TABLE 1: MUSEUMS IN THE SAMPLE Museum of the National Library of Spain Prado Museum National Museum of Ceramics and Sumptuary Arts National Sculpture Museum Sephardic Museum Lázaro Galdiano Museum Álava Museum of Fine Arts Museum of Almeria Badajoz Provincial Museum of Archaeology Burgos Museum Caceres Museum Cuenca Museum Casa de los Tiros Museum in Granada Úbeda Archaeological Museum León Museum Murcia Museum of Fine Arts Palencia Museum La Rioja Museum Seville Museum of Fine Arts Soria Numancia Museum Tarragona National Archaeological Museum Santa Cruz Museum Valladolid Museum Zamora Museum From an initial group of 89 museums, those which had closed at the time the study was carried out were removed from the sample. In addition, those which operated as a dependent section of another museum were grouped into a single unit. So-called “house museums” were also removed from the study since they were felt to constitute a separate study unit. These accounted for a group of 50 museums. Based on this group of museums, useful data were finally obtained for a study of 24 museums, six of which were national and the rest provincial as can be seen in Table 1. In an effort to avoid measurement errors as well as others resulting from extreme data, and in an attempt to enhance the robustness of the subsequent statistical and econometric analysis, we posited a dynamic efficiency analysis over four years so as to delimit a database panel in which each museum is considered to be a decision unit each year. We finally obtained a total of 96 observations of 24 museums, over four years. 3.2- Methodology Based on the homogeneous group of museums in the sample, we posited efficiency analysis using DEA, which provides an individual efficiency index for each of the museums observed, by solving a mathematical optimisation programme. For this purpose, we can define the index to measure 5 technical efficiency3 of museums such as the ratio of the weighted sum of the outputs obtained (y), divided by the weighted sum of the inputs used (x). Considering that s inputs are used to obtain m outputs, the efficiency index for museum j will be defined by the following expression: hi = u1iy1i + u2iy2i + ……………………. + usiysi v1ix1i + v2iy2i + ……………………. + vmixmi where u and v represent the weightings allocated to each input and output involved in the process. DEA allows the most favourable group of weightings to be allocated to each DMU, in other words, the one which allows the highest index for the value to be achieved, creating an efficient frontier. Referring to the weighting vectors for the outputs and inputs as V and U, respectively, the group of values allocated to each DMU is obtained by solving the input oriented mathematical program4 proposed by Charnes et al. (1978) (CCR model) as follows: max U,V (U yi/Vxi) subject to: U yj/Vxi ≤1 ur, vi ≥ ξ j = 1,..., n r = 1,,…,s i = 1,…,m The model posits that no DMU may obtain a score of over 1 for the efficiency index with the weightings obtained. If the value of the index is equal to 1, the unit analysed is deemed to be efficient and is located at the frontier, whereas if the result is below 1, the unit analysed is not at the efficient frontier, since there is another DMU able to achieve the same level of outputs using fewer inputs. The second restriction posits the non-negativity of the weightings, or more strictly the positivity of the weightings, with ξ being a non-Archimedean infinitesimal5. Since this is a problem of fractional programming, it must be converted to a full form by introducing a normalisation restriction for the inputs, with the problem being set out as follows: max μ,ν μyj subject to: νx i = 1 μyj – νxj ≤ 0 μ, ν ≥ ξ j = 1,..., n Set out thus, the model measures the efficiency derived from the management or technical efficiency, ignoring the possible existence of economies of scale that can affect the performance of the DMUs. Nevertheless, it is assumed that an organisation’s efficiency is also conditioned by how it is run, by the scale in which it operates. For this reason, we consider a two-fold technological 3 Technical efficiency entails obtaining a given level of outputs using as few inputs as possible or, viewed from the other perspective, obtaining the maximum levels of outputs given a certain consumption of inputs. Technical efficiency does not introduce cost data. Allocative efficiency takes account of the market prices of the factors, seeking a combination of inputs that allows a target level of outputs to be reached at the lowest possible cost. 4 Input oriented models seek the highest proportional reduction in the input vector for a given level of outputs. By contrast, output oriented models posit the highest possible increase in outputs with a given level of inputs. We opted for input orientation, which is the most commonly chosen when applying DEA. 5 Even though the initial CCR model posits the non-negativity of the weightings, we here consider a subsequent modification put forward by Charnes et al. (1979) which demands strictly positive values so as to prevent the solution from failing to take account of all the inputs and outputs when calculating the efficiency index. 6 hypothesis: constant returns to scale and variable returns to scale. In this latter case, the CCR model, posited assuming constant returns to scale, may be modified to embrace the possibility of inefficiencies due to each unit’s different scales, by introducing a new restriction in the model: n ∑ λj = 1 j=1 This new restriction introduced by Banker et al. (1984) (BCC model) may be expressed in the following terms: e λ = 1, with e being a row vector made up of units. To analyse the results obtained by applying this technique, the most common procedure is to use the dual or enveloping formulation of this programme, expressed as follows: min θ, λ θ subject to: -yi + Y λ ≥ 0 θ xi – X λ ≥ 0 eλ=1 λj ≥ 0, j = 1,...,n As conjectured in the model, a museum will be technically efficient when it is able to obtain a given level of outputs with the lowest possible amount of inputs. If information is also available on the prices of the factors, it will prove possible to formulate the measure of efficiency in terms of costs. A unit will be cost-efficient if it is able to achieve a given level of outputs at the lowest possible cost. In this case, the following DEA model of cost minimisation can be solved in order to determine the cost-efficiency of the units studied: min λ, x, i Wi Xi* subject to: -yi + Y λ ≥ 0 Xi* – X λ ≥ 0 eλ=1 λj ≥ 0, j = 1,...,n where Wi represents the given price vector for inputs and Xi* the vector of the amounts of inputs that allow costs to be minimised with a given level of outputs yi. Efficiency in costs or overall efficiency for museum i might be calculated using the ratio linking minimum cost and observed cost: CE = Wi xi* / Wi xi Total efficiency or cost efficiency (CE) merges the notion of technical efficiency (TE) with allocative efficiency (AE). This latter term reflects a museum’s capacity to use inputs in an optimum proportion for prices of given factors. An organisation might be technically efficient yet might not be efficient in allocative terms due to its not using a combination of inputs that minimises costs given a price vector. Allocative efficiency may be determined by equality: CE = TE x AE Studies into museum efficiency usually resort to the concept of technical efficiency given the difficulty of having data available concerning the price of the factors. Nevertheless, there are various alternatives for dealing with problem, and which range from the possibility of using mean prices to introducing limits in the variations of the weightings allocated to the inputs in the optimum. In our case, we opted to use mean estimated prices for the inputs, taking as a reference the works 7 of Morey et al (1990) and Bymes and Valmanis (1994) in the domain of hospitals. We chose to use this method as a result of having available data for the accounts of a sample of these institutions that can be linked to the costs of the inputs chosen in our model: staff expenses, spending on outside services or repayment on equipment. We also observed that the inputs of these institutions were not subject to major price fluctuations over the period analysed. In order to put our study into practice, we selected the variables for the model. As measurements of the inputs, we considered three variables that are representative of the resources used by the museum: labour, museum size, and equipment. As for the variables that were representative of output, we chose the number of exhibitions staged, publications, outreach and dissemination activities undertaken by the institution and the number of visitors. It should be noted that whilst managers can take decisions which affect the value of the output variables that measure the museum’s various activities, the number of visitors variable is also determined by several external variables such as the cultural background of the target population, which is beyond the manager’s control. Furthermore, other contextual variables which might determine museums’ activities should be taken into account such as the size of the population, accessibility, or the location’s cultural potential. In this regard, a museum located in an area which has a strong appeal for tourists is likely to attract more visitors than another located off the beaten tourist track, and over which the manager is clearly powerless. As shown in Figure 1, and based on this consideration, we first conducted a complex methodological approach to measure the technical efficiency of museums in three stages. We first posited an input oriented DEA model (Managerial Model) in which three input variables are considered (labour, museum size, and equipment) so as to obtain some of a museum’s own outputs (exhibitions, publications and other activities such as lectures, concerts, etc.). In this initial model, both the input and the output are under the manager’s control. The efficiency index allocated to each museum at this stage would be a true reflection of that part of the service production process for which each manager can really be deemed responsible, thus enabling an even comparison to be drawn between the various museums analysed. At the second stage, we consider that managers can influence the number of visitors by scheduling an appealing programme of activities. We thus propose a second input oriented DEA model (Outcomes Model) where we take as intermediate inputs the outputs from the previous stage that would make up what the institution offers in cultural terms. This then allows us to obtain a single output measured through the number of visitors to the museum. Finally, we consider that in order to secure an accurate evaluation of the efficiency of the units analysed these need to be harmonised in terms of inputs, outputs and the circumstances in which they operate. Were this not the case, a negative evaluation of a DMU might be caused by the differing conditions in which it operates. In order to gauge how and to what degree the contextual variables might affect the performance of the various institutions, taking the results from the previous stages, at a third stage we measure the impact which the contextual variables have on museums’ technical efficiency using a regression analysis in which we take the previously calculated efficiency indexes as dependent variables, and the contextual variables as independent variables. The regression residuals would reflect that part of the efficiency which is not explained by the contextual variables and which, as a result, might be attributed to how well each museum is run. To conclude, we may consider that the ultimate goal these institutions pursue focuses on achieving the greatest possible impact, measured in terms of visitors, and for which the cost at which they operate proves relevant in the present. In this sense –as can be seen in Figure 1- we construct a model to measure the overall efficiency of museums, distinguishing between technical efficiency and allocative efficiency. The input variables taken in this latter part of the work are labour, size of the museum, and equipment, as opposed to a single output variable which measures the number of visitors to the museum. The prices of the factors have been calculated based on the available accounting information in the museums contained in the sample for the study period as well as other publicly available data. In the case of the labour variable, we calculated the mean cost per employee based on the staffing costs data of the statements of accounts for the period analysed. As regards the size of the museum, we calculated the mean square metre cost taking as a reference the expenditure on services outside the accounts. Finally, to determine the mean cost of the equipment, we used a report issued by the Federation of Municipalities and Provinces which 8 provides information concerning the usual equipment found in museums together with the annual maintenance cost6. FIGURE 1: METHODOLOGICAL FORMULATION Table 2 shows the descriptive statistics of the group of variables considered in the study, both those involved in the museum’s production function at each of the two previously mentioned stages and the contextual variables used at the final stage to evaluate the efficiency of the museums in the sample. The values obtained when determining mean prices were mean annual cost per worker: 41; mean annual cost per square metre: 0,2; mean annual cost of each piece of equipment 23 (in thousands of Euros). Given the small variation observed in these, the same mean value for the four years was taken. 6 9 The data evidence a major difference with regard to the number of employees, with a standard deviation of 108.59 out of an average number of 52 workers. The difference in size of the museum measured in square metres is also significant, with a standard deviation of 12 896.25 for a mean size of 6 855.88 m2. Less notable are the differences concerning the museum’s cultural offer expressed in the number of exhibitions (mean 4.01 and standard deviation 3.24), publications (mean 7.8 and standard deviation 11.48) and other activities (mean 141.71 and standard deviation 228.49). It should be pointed out that the main differences between museums emerge when counting the number of visitors: with a mean number of visitors per museum of 194 368.12 and a standard deviation of 539 606.67. This might support the idea that the number of visitors to a museum is not only determined by what the museum offers in terms of culture but also –defined by the activities carried out therein-, by another series of factors beyond the manager’s control and which we take into account at the third stage of our analysis in the following terms: number of protected heritage goods per inhabitant, number of hotels per inhabitant, whether the museum’s management depends on the central or regional government, kilometres of motorway per inhabitant, number of hotel places per inhabitant, available labour force and unemployment rate. All of them seek to ascertain whether the level of cultural and tourist reputation of the various museums’ location, the degree of urbanisation or accessibility or kind of management impact on these institutions’ efficiency. 3.3- Results The results from the first stage provide information concerning the technical efficiency of the museums analysed from a range of different perspectives: a) Stage 1: Managerial Model The first stage of the efficiency analysis seeks to determine the efficient units in terms of management. Applying the model to the available sample yields the results shown in Table 3. We considered constant returns (CCR model) and variable returns to scale (BCC model), although our conclusions were taken from the data obtained in the constant returns to scale model, since this was felt to provide a measure of the total efficiency of museums with regard to achieving their goals, added to which it is also the most commonly used guideline in efficiency analysis (Guccio et al., 2014). Choosing a variable returns to scale model might yield a more favourable evaluation of units located at the extremes as regards the scale of operations. 10 TABLE 3. MUSEUMS’ EFFICIENCY SCORES. MANAGERIAL MODEL CCR POOL MODEL National Library of Spain Museum Prado Museum González Martí National Museum of Ceramics and Sumptuary Arts National Sculpture Museum Sephardic Museum Lázaro Galdiano Museum Álava Museum of Fine Arts Almeria Museum Badajoz Provincial Archaeological Museum Burgos Museum Caceres Museum Cuenca Museum Casa de los Tiros Museum in Granada Úbeda Archaeological Museum Leon Museum Murcia Museum of Fine Arts Palencia Museum La Rioja Museum Seville Museum of Fine Arts Soria Numancia Museum Tarragona National Archaeological Museum Santa Cruz Museum Valladolid Museum Zamora Museum Mean Eff. No Mus Eff. BCC POOL MODEL 2008 33.42 14.88 2009 2010 2011 27.01 37.33 50.66 9.34 73.17 84.35 Mean 37.11 45.44 2008 2009 2010 2011 42.55 38.69 46.14 51.08 23.96 12.66 86.65 100 Mean 44.62 55.82 100 51.59 5.2 25.03 69.67 21.31 100 30.73 11.12 21.37 56.96 42.17 100 43.78 18.8 31.27 44.59 28.36 52.79 47.88 20.88 35.56 69.75 44.2 88.20 43.50 14.00 28.31 60.24 34.01 100 61.5 68.75 29.67 97.87 33.66 92.08 59.55 65.84 33.01 92.83 41.91 16.83 10.6 89.08 100 81.63 100 43.47 76.83 3.29 87.72 100 3.55 16.13 30.99 71.14 100 100 100 43.4 100 23.92 85.78 64.09 7.11 15.19 5.05 45.47 16.94 50.44 100 36.23 100 42.93 98.68 86.81 5.75 13.26 15.35 66.04 65.48 65.37 64.71 65.40 4.57 12.80 41.51 49.48 41.86 41.65 43.63 33.85 59.89 100 71.63 50.83 47.35 67.45 48.35 66.32 100 100 71.23 87.2 89.61 71.57 75.91 88.02 100 65.16 79.61 83.20 100 100.00 100 100 100 100 100.00 62.5 46.40 60.96 60.42 58.19 78.24 64.45 100 94.21 77.94 100 100 100 94.49 57.87 32.00 57.99 57.89 68.52 80.16 66.14 98.68 92.72 93.98 98.33 100 100 98.08 39.71 72.65 100 65.41 86.85 43.45 73.93 17.88 8.57 44.57 46.07 41.24 42.15 43.51 89.96 85.53 33.55 95.74 55.8 4 85.34 100 79.54 42.77 63.88 55.9 94.99 100 100 81.71 99.32 100 56.1 56.0 57.9 5 4 4 88.71 62.02 82.14 94.19 56.4 1 100 100 68.35 96.22 73.1 7 100 30.98 69.81 28.72 91.37 45.69 100 48.4 63.56 35.29 84.01 39.69 68.33 97.32 61.24 38.37 98.08 48.6 86.49 100 79.57 55.93 67.98 62.79 98.36 100 100 87.23 99.67 100 69.2 71.7 73.7 5 6 6 91.52 71.68 91.68 95.78 71.9 1 The data show a mean level of technical efficiency of around 57% for the museums analysed, with a small variation in range among the years considered. Broadly speaking, this would indicate that, on average, the museums in the sample could achieve similar results if reducing the amount of resources used by around 43%. It can be seen that only 20% of the museums in the sample evidence efficiency in each of the years considered. Nevertheless, it should be highlighted that there are significant differences with regard to efficiency in management in the museums analysed, with the best results being obtained in the provincial museums run by regional governments and located in middle sized cities. In sum, these are museums with sufficient inputs and which are efficient in the outputs that are under the manager’s control, whereas the less efficient could be considered oversized in terms of resources with regard to the activities they organise. b) Stage 2: Outcomes model At the second stage, an input oriented DEA model is again applied, adding the data obtained at the previous stage as the input variables (number of exhibitions, publications and other activities), and the number of visitors to the museum as the only output. The aim is to evaluate museums’ capacity to attract visitors depending on the activities they organise. Table 4 shows the results of applying a DEA model under constant returns and variable returns to scale, even though, again, we take the results with constant returns to scale as a reference in order to avoid favouring the units that operate at the extremes of the scales. 11 TABLE 4. MUSEUMS’ EFFICIENCY SCORES. OUTCOMES MODEL CCR POOL MODEL National Library of Spain Museum Prado Museum González Martí National Museum of Ceramics and Sumptuary Arts National Sculpture Museum Sephardic Museum Lázaro Galdiano Museum Álava Museum of Fine Arts Almeria Museum Badajoz Provincial Archaeological Museum Burgos Museum Caceres Museum Cuenca Museum Casa de los Tiros Museum in Granada Úbeda Archaeological Museum Leon Museum Murcia Museum of Fine Arts Palencia Museum La Rioja Museum Seville Museum of Fine Arts Soria Numancia Museum Tarragona National Archaeological Museum Santa Cruz Museum Valladolid Museum Zamora Museum Mean Eff. No Mus Eff. BCC POOL MODEL 2008 2009 2010 2011 16,68 15,08 16,87 15,56 100 100 97,02 100 Mean 16,05 99,26 2008 100 100 2009 100 100 2010 100 97,09 2011 100 100 Mean 100,00 99,27 100 62,86 57,34 100 11,13 9,41 13,97 15,44 100 91,27 73,28 78,49 6,19 6,27 6,9 9,07 4,67 5,54 5,11 7,79 12,95 16,97 12,03 10,61 80,05 12,49 85,76 7,11 5,78 13,14 100 41,38 100 31,62 98,52 46,07 93,54 34,29 100 32,92 95 58,52 83,34 100 27,91 28,16 84,21 80 42,7 41,34 91,72 88,67 49,24 47,4 94,22 32,94 91,05 37,15 93,48 50,31 8,46 6,18 32,75 3,86 12,44 25,86 13,01 10,25 3,76 7,14 60,84 96,65 13,35 7,17 30,76 3,88 15,88 30,11 15,77 22,22 4,81 9,71 36,83 46,37 10,71 6,51 31,23 3,65 14,38 29,14 13,23 16,04 3,34 8,92 47,12 73,46 100 64,26 44,56 100 69,47 100 61,29 52,46 100 65,8 60,96 100 99,44 62,96 41,61 100 71,43 100 62,74 50,64 66,79 73,48 47,15 100 100 100 42,22 100 64,37 100 63,64 38,7 78,05 64,84 45,9 100 100 100 50,43 100 66,11 100 80,95 48,44 66,29 63,9 45 76,3 99,86 81,81 44,71 100,00 67,85 100,00 67,16 47,56 77,78 67,01 49,75 94,08 18,62 19,09 18,49 18,59 100 100 81,29 76,54 7,16 11,97 11,12 10,33 8,06 8,7 4,71 7,68 31,9 30,2 26,4 28,6 4 3 0 2 18,70 89,46 10,15 7,29 29,3 0 39,02 100 97,23 77,27 77,1 8 49,23 43,46 56,76 100 89,74 100 80,6 100 94,46 77,27 73,91 77,27 74,9 74,2 75,5 7 6 8 47,12 97,44 93,07 76,43 75,4 3 9,47 6,4 30,61 3,33 17,01 27,05 12,43 14,16 2,41 8,64 46,08 100 11,57 6,29 30,8 3,51 12,17 33,53 11,69 17,54 2,37 10,19 44,74 50,82 The results evidence low levels of efficiency when it comes to attracting visitors, with a mean level of around 30% for the years analysed. Only one museum achieve above a 90% mean efficiency for the years evaluated. The data show that the museums which reach the highest values are national museums located in Madrid and in cities with the greatest tourist projection, such as Toledo, Valencia and Seville. The data confirm that taking the number of visitors as the measure of output, museums’ efficiency is determined by where they are located. Efficiency values below 10% generally correspond to museums in towns with a smaller population or which compete with other major tourist attractions to draw visitors. GRAPH 1. Efficiency rates of Management Models of Museums (First and Second Stage) Ubeda 100,00 Numantino Burgos 80,00 Sefardi 60,00 Badajoz 40,00 Lazaro G 20,00 Murcia Zamora La Rioja Tarragona Valencia 0,00 Palencia Valladolid Almeria Granada Bteca Sevilla MNE Prado Cuenca Sta Cruz Alava León CCR First stage CCR Second stage Caceres 12 Graph 1 illustrates the results obtained in the first and second stages. It can be seen that while appreciable levels of efficiency are obtained regarding the use of available resources to organise the museums’ activities (management model), the level of efficiency when attracting visitors is substantially lower. It should also be pointed out that there are differences in terms of which museums achieve notable efficiency rates at the first and second stages, reinforcing the idea that there are outputs in the museums which managers may control and which concern what the institution offers in cultural terms. In contrast, in addition to the available resources, the number of visitors to the museums is determined by other factors beyond the manager’s control, such as the museum being located in a place with a greater or lower capacity to attract tourists, competing with major tourist attractions to attract visitors, or even some museums’ star-like status which, thanks to their quality or reputation in art terms, already attract large numbers of visitors. MUSEUM TABLE 5. POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENTS IN ACHIEVEMENT OF INPUTS AND OUTPUTS BY MUSEUM MUSEUMS EXHIBITIONS SIZE EQUIPMENT EMPLOYMENT ACTIVITIES Gain (%) Gain (%) Gain (%) Gain (%) Gain (%) M.M. O.M. M.M. O.M. M.M. O.M. M.M. O.M. M.M. O.M. National Library of Spain Museum Prado Museum National Museum of Ceramics and Sumptuary Arts National Sculpture Museum Sephardic Museum Lázaro Galdiano Museum Álava Museum of Fine Arts Almeria Museum Badajoz Provincial Archaeological Museum Burgos Museum Caceres Museum Cuenca Museum Casa de los Tiros Museum in Granada Úbeda Archaeological Museum Leon Museum Murcia Museum of Fine Arts Palencia Museum La Rioja Museum Seville Museum of Fine Arts Soria Numancia Museum Tarragona National Archaeological Museum Museum de Santa Cruz Valladolid Museum Zamora Museum PUBLICATIONS Gain (%) M.M. O.M. -3,1 -29,2 -60.0 0 -62,9 -54,6 -91.7 -0.8 -66,6 -81,1 -84.0 -2.1 0,0 22,9 -100.0 -2.6 0,0 0,0 -96.8 -16.2 -8,8 -17,3 -60,4 -50,4 -46,9 -76,6 -32.2 -89.9 -5.9 -91.6 -97.8 -90.1 -56,5 -86,0 -71,7 -67,4 -66,0 -87.5 -19.7 -93.0 -96.8 -93.4 -11,8 -56,5 -86,0 -71,7 -39,8 -66,0 -20.0 -87.5 -14.2 -92.9 -94.2 -86.9 0,0 109,4 -37.7 -92.1 0,0 0,0 0,0 -98.3 -100.0 -97.9 0,0 0,0 0,0 172,9 0,0 207,7 -20.0 -94.4 -58.4 -92.9 -99.0 -89.1 -88,6 -85,9 -29,2 -11,2 -93.4 -95.0 -84.3 -94.7 -84,6 -87,2 -40,1 -38,8 -92.6 -97.2 -68.8 -97.8 -84,6 -87,2 -40,1 -33,7 -89.3 -93.5 -68.8 -96.4 0,0 -98.1 0,0 -99.3 3,3 18,1 272,6 0,0 -91.0 -94.6 -68.8 -99.5 -19,3 0,0 -70,3 -5,3 -78,1 -13,0 -26,3 -88,7 -92.6 -33.0 -97 -94.6 -99.1 -97.2 -81.8 -40.6 -24,1 0,0 -59,1 -5,8 -78,2 -33,6 -27,3 -91,4 -85.6 -70.9 -91.0 -85.2 -98.5 -95.0 -52.9 -43.8 -24,1 0,0 -53,6 -5,8 -68,0 -7,3 -27,3 -91,4 -85.6 -70.9 -86.8 -84.0 -96.8 -91.1 -52.9 -40.2 0,0 0,0 0,0 1,5 -99.7 -98.7 -100.0 -99.9 0,0 6,1 -100.0 -87.3 0,7 41,5 33,5 3,5 66,2 358,3 0,0 0,0 -97.1 -71.4 -93.6 -95.7 -97.2 -92.7 -91.0 -27.2 0,0 -81.2 -61,8 -11.5 -14,5 -95.1 -12,5 -95.4 M. M. = Managerial Model; O. M. = Outcomes Model -11,3 -38,0 -17,9 -8,5 -81.3 -16.9 -89.9 -96.7 -11,3 -38,0 -17,9 -5,8 -81.3 -10.5 -89.9 -92.7 57,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 -98.1 -24.8 -98.0 -100 0,0 -97.2 0,0 0,0 0,0 -98.6 -99.6 0,0 0,0 -0,7 0,0 0,0 0,0 115,7 -98,6 -44,5 -98,4 -98,8 0,0 0,0 -94,2 -98,1 0,0 26,1 917,6 0,0 -96,2 -98,6 -93,1 -99,5 252,1 0,0 -99,0 -55,1 -96,0 To conclude, Table 5 shows the improvement which each inefficient museum must undergo if it is to become efficient from the standpoint of either reducing inputs or increasing outputs. The first three columns show the percentage reduction which the inputs consumed must achieve in order to reach the frontier where the technically efficient units are located, while the latter columns display the increase required by the outputs in percentage terms if they are to reach the efficient frontier. In the case of the Prado Museum, for example, no improvements would emerge from a change in size measured in square metres, whereas a 2.1% reduction in the number of employees and a 0.7% reduction in equipment would enable it to reach the frontier of efficient institutions. Stage 3: Analysis of conditioned efficiency The final stage of the first part aims to gauge the impact of the contextual variables on museums’ technical efficiency. To achieve this, a regression is performed taking the previously obtained 13 efficiency indexes as dependent variables, and the contextual variables that make up the area where the museum conducts its activities as the independent variables. To give an outline of the framework in which the institutions studied conduct their activities, we consider four variables: 1- Cultural relevance, measured in terms of the number of heritage goods which enjoy special protection from the authorities (cultural interest goods). 2- The location’s tourist capacity, measured through the number of hotels and hotel places. 3- Accessibility, measured through the number of kilometres of motorway. 4- Variables oriented towards measuring the size and dynamics of the city, such as the population density, labour force participation and unemployment rate. All the variables considered have been related to the number of inhabitants or the surface area of the province where each museum is located. TABLE 6. ANALYSING EXTERNAL FACTOR IMPACT ON MUSEUMS’ EFFICIENCY RATES. OLS REGRESSION Variables Heritage Sites Hotels Institution Management Motorways Beds-Hotels Labour force Unemployment Constant No. of Observations R-Square Coefficient 4.639.131 -2.898.026 1.586.976 -0.109240 -0.152085 0.956153 -405392.0 0.869534 Std. Error 1.754.065 9.687.677 8.897.630 1.266.175 0.087830 0.673301 256561.2 3.329.096 100 0.20 Coefficient Std. Error 3155082** 1.450.740 -15.67685** 8.068.568 2219890* 8.454.645 3.478.697 9.398.487 100 0.14 Note: Statistically significant at 1% level; ** statistically significant at 5% level; *** statistically significant at 10% level We proposed a regression analysis using ordinary least squares (OLS) for a combination of transversal data and time series. In other words, in an effort to gain significance in the estimations, we considered each museum for each year as a decision unit whose efficiency we are seeking to evaluate, and we obtain a total of 96 observations for 24 museums over a four-year period. The results of this analysis are shown in Table 6 and may be summed up as follows: a) There is no relation between the size of the urban area and the museum’s level of efficiency when attracting visitors. b) The availability of hotel places in the urban nucleus where the museum is located is not determinant of each institution’s capacity to attract visitors. c) By contrast, there does exist a link between the cultural potential of the location and the surrounding area, and vis-à-vis how efficient the museum is at attracting visitors. As regards how the museum is run, this relation is once again highlighted particularly through museums managed by the Ministry of Culture. To conclude, we consider that a museum’s goal is to have a social impact in terms of improvements in education, fostering a cultural identity, and designing an appealing offer that can attract tourists, etc. One common way of gauging how successfully these goals have been accomplished is through the number of visitors. In order to ascertain to what degree the funds dedicated to this purpose have been used efficiently, we devised a model for evaluating cost-efficiency which takes the number of employees, the size of the museum and the available equipment in each institution as input variables, and the number of visitors as the output variable. We introduced a mean price vector to pinpoint technical and allocative inefficiencies. Technically efficient units can use different combinations of inputs to achieve a given level of output, although not all of them will do so at the same cost, given the prices of the factors. Table 7 provides information concerning the results obtained using this model. Data concerning overall efficiency or cost-efficiency show low mean values (14.8%), with most of the inefficiency being due to technical reasons (26.2% mean efficiency 14 in the period studied) rather than inefficiency owing to service provision costs (66% mean efficiency in the period studied). Graph 2 also shows that, on the whole, provincial museums tend to be more efficient in allocative terms than national museums. These results would seem to indicate that provincial museums are able to reach a certain level of impact in their action (measured in the number of visitors) operating at a lower cost than national museums. It should not be forgotten, however, that the proposed method entails limitations, one of which concerns not taking into consideration data relating to the quality of the services and facilities provided, and only taking account of the amounts offered. Nevertheless, we could consider that visitors bear in mind qualitative factors when taking the decision to visit the museum. In this case, attracting visitors is achieved at a generally lower cost in provincial museums. G RAP H 2. Cos t E f f i c i en c y rat es , Al l oc at i ve E f f i c i en c y Rat es an d Thec n i c al E f f i c i en c y Rat es Sefardi 150,00 Valencia Cuenca Sta Cruz Bteca Prado Ubeda 100,00 Sevilla Tarragona Numantino 50,00 Palencia 0,00 León Burgos Zamora Lazaro G MNE Caceres Badajoz Valladolid Almeria Granada Alava Murcia La Rioja Mean CCR ET Mean CCR TT Mean CCR AS 15 TABLE 7. COST-EFFICIENCY TECHNICAL EFFICIENCY CCR POOL MODEL National Library of Spain Museum Prado Museum National Museum of Ceramics and Sumptuary Arts National Sculpture Museum Sephardic Museum Lázaro Galdiano Museum Álava Museum of Fine Arts Almeria Museum Badajoz Provincial Archaeological Museum Burgos Museum Caceres Museum Cuenca Museum Casa de los Tiros Museum in Granada Úbeda Archaeological Museum Leon Museum Murcia Museum of Fine Arts Palencia Museum La Rioja Museum Seville Museum of Fine Arts Soria Numancia Museum Tarragona National Archaeological Museum Santa Cruz Museum Valladolid Museum Zamora Museum Mean Eff. COST-EFFICIENCY CCR POOL MODEL ALLOCATIVE EFFICIENCY CCR POOL MODEL 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mean 2008 2009 2010 2011 Mean 2008 2009 2010 10.51 99.21 100 11.13 100 6.19 4.67 8.3 6.22 3.4 32.73 3.86 12.44 25.86 13.01 10.25 1.82 7.11 60.78 48.22 18.62 78.05 7.16 4.37 28.1 9.5 98.04 62.03 9.41 91.27 6.26 5.54 8.29 9.47 3.47 30.61 3.33 17.01 27.05 12.43 14.16 2.41 8.64 46.07 99.8 19.09 74.21 11.97 4.71 28.1 10.62 92.63 57.05 13.97 73.28 6.28 5.11 7.73 8.5 3.41 30.79 3.51 12.17 33.53 11.69 17.54 2.37 10.19 44.73 40.15 18.49 58.93 11.12 4.12 24.1 9.8 100 56.73 15.44 78.49 8.56 7.79 6.96 8.68 3.88 30.75 3.88 15.88 30.08 14.32 22.22 4.81 9.71 36.83 40.98 18.59 50.88 10.33 4.16 24.6 10.11 97.47 68.95 12.49 85.76 6.82 5.78 7.82 8.22 3.54 31.22 3.65 14.38 29.13 12.86 16.04 2.85 8.91 47.10 57.29 18.70 65.52 10.15 4.34 26.2 10 33.45 14.37 6.35 100 4.64 3.26 5.21 3.69 2.8 22.59 3.79 9.04 22.08 7.74 6.65 1.07 4.71 25.41 25.55 15.73 22.29 4.32 3.42 14.9 9.04 33.01 13.61 5.38 91.27 4.69 3.94 5.17 5.63 2.85 22.46 3.27 12.36 23.1 7.4 9.28 1.39 5.36 20.24 52.87 16.13 21.2 7.22 3.69 15.9 10.11 30.62 12.6 8.19 74.55 4.75 3.57 4.95 5.05 2.8 22.83 3.3 8.45 28.63 6.78 13.43 1.32 6.74 19.51 23.25 15.62 18.67 6.71 3.18 14.0 9.32 33.57 12.53 9.81 78.28 6.41 5.44 4.43 5.16 3.19 23.04 3.64 11.19 25.69 7.59 15.6 2.68 6.26 16.1 23.96 15.7 16.12 6.23 3.17 14.4 9.62 32.66 13.28 7.43 86.03 5.12 4.05 4.94 4.88 2.91 22.73 3.50 10.26 24.88 7.38 11.24 1.62 5.77 20.32 31.41 15.80 19.57 6.12 3.37 14.8 95.14 33.72 14.37 57.05 100 74.92 69.84 62.76 59.44 82.23 69.04 98.29 72.68 85.39 59.51 64.84 58.98 66.17 41.81 52.98 84.48 28.56 60.33 78.2 65.4 95.14 33.67 21.94 57.15 100 74.92 71.04 62.35 59.44 82.2 73.37 98.29 72.68 85.39 59.51 65.54 57.68 62.01 43.94 52.98 84.48 28.56 60.33 78.2 65.9 95.14 33.06 22.09 58.63 101.73 75.54 69.84 64.04 59.44 82.2 74.14 94.04 69.46 85.39 57.96 76.6 55.74 66.17 43.61 57.91 84.48 31.68 60.33 77.2 66.5 2011 95.14 33.57 22.09 63.52 99.72 74.92 69.84 63.6 59.44 82.2 74.94 94.04 70.47 85.39 53 70.23 55.74 64.53 43.71 58.45 84.48 31.68 60.33 76.22 66.1 16 Mean 95.14 33.51 20.12 59.09 100.36 75.08 70.14 63.19 59.44 82.21 72.87 96.17 71.32 85.39 57.50 69.30 57.04 64.72 43.27 55.58 84.48 30.12 60.33 77.46 66.0 4- Conclusions In this work, we present a methodological approach to analyse the efficiency of a homogeneous group of museums that use a series of inputs (labour, equipment, size) to achieve a set of outputs (exhibitions, publications, visitors). Given the multiplicity of inputs and outputs, and the difficulty in defining the production function in these institutions, we opted to use non-parametric DEA models to evaluate their performance. In addition, the methodological formulation has taken into account that there are outputs which are under the manager’s control –such as the number of exhibitions and publications- as opposed to others which are determined by contextual variables –as is the case of the number of visitors-. Said reflection has led us to posit a twin model to study museums’ technical efficiency. At the first stage, data on exhibitions, publications and other external activities organised by the museum have been taken as outputs, which in turn act as input variables for the following stage where performance is measured in terms of visitors to the museum. We have also sought to ascertain to what extent the results achieved are influenced by contextual variables. Finally, we put forward a model to calculate museums’ cost-efficiency, taking as values the estimated mean cost prices of the factors obtained from the data in the museums’ annual accounts. The main results to emerge from our research are as follows. First, most museums achieve a significant level of technical efficiency in the model which aims to measure performance in terms of management. In this case, it is particularly the provincial museums which reach the highest levels of efficient management. The second model indicates that few museums achieve high levels of efficiency when it comes to attracting visitors, with national museums proving more efficient in this case, since they are able to draw a larger number of visitors than provincial museums. It should be taken into account that national museums tend to be located in cities that display a high capacity to attract tourists. In this regard, we find contextual variables which can determine the levels of efficiency attained and which are related to the tourist attractions of the area in which the museum is located. As regards cost-efficiency, it can be said that provincial museums attain higher allocative efficiency levels than national museums since they are able to draw visitors using fewer resources than national museums. To conclude, it can be said that there is a group of museums whose efforts to attract visitors are restricted by the available resources. Although it is true that they arouse only limited public interest, these museums operate at a proportionally lower cost when attracting visitors. In contrast to this group, there are other museums which might be termed “stars” and which are able to draw large numbers of people, yet, which consume a larger amount of resources. 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