SPEAKING OUT A War on Profit in DOD Contracting? It’s All in the Eye of the Beholder BY JAMES GILL There is a good deal of discussion as to whether there is a current war on profit by the Department of Defense (DOD). Much of the discussion depends on your perspective, and the same goes for many issues currently in vogue. The head of DOD pricing (Shay Assad) would have you believe that there is no such thing; rather there is a new attitude toward what constitutes a fair and reasonable price for DOD to pay for development and production of its major weapon systems. Industry, on the other hand, while reticent to get into a war of words with the head of DOD pricing, recognizes that profit is an area that has changed with regard to how negotiations are proceeding with DOD. They perceive that profit is often placed in a negative context when negotiations for sole-source systems have been held with DOD negotiators. So who is right? Is there a war on profit, or not? The Defense Systems Management 10 Contract Management | December 2014 ing Manufacturing Development contract from one that had been negotiated as cost plus, to one for fixed price. The level of ignorance on the part of some congressmen was that it should be easy, because once you had negotiated the target cost, all you had to do was negotiate a revised profit rate in exchange for adding a cost ceiling. College program manager’s course would have its students believe that the correct answer to this type of question should always be that “it depends,” and I agree with them regarding the “war on profit.” It depends on where your starting point is. Was the profit rate received during the Bush administration a fair one to continue through the Obama administration, or not? Historical profit rates for space systems had been in the 12–15 percent area for cost-plus (usually award or incentive fee) contracts during the turn of the century (2000) and on. Before answering the question on the profit war, let me provide some historical context. During the 1980s, a good example of U.S. Air Force profit policy could be found in the ICBM development and production programs. The contracts that were awarded for the Peacekeeper Production Program (using the associate contractor approach) were mostly for cost-plus-award-fee contracts. These were pretty standard, and leadership was hesitant to go much above the 8–9 percent limit if they hoped to get their acquisition planning documentation approved by headquarters. In the mid-80s, Congress fixated upon fixed-price contracts for development and the Air Force had to change the Peacekeeper Stage III Engineer- As hard to believe as that was in the 1980s, we have seen a revision of some of that thinking in acquisition leaders in the current administration who seem to believe that there is one target cost for either cost-plus or fixed-price contracts, so all you have to do is increase the profit when changing from cost-plus to fixed-price contracts (kind of a one-size-fits-all approach to negotiating). This approach may be somewhat sensible in the 15th or 20th production buy for a jeep (where the idea of a cost-type contract is ludicrous), but it defies logic when negotiating the second or third buy of a highly complex system such as a satellite. Satellites often take from five to 10 years to build, and thus make it difficult to project costs for third/fourth units until they are almost complete. The projected savings that should be obtained due to “efficiencies” are extremely difficult to project and any “should cost” savings are truly high risk to the contractor. The concept of “should cost” in the Better Buying Power (BBP) Initiatives is also a peripheral issue in the alleged war on profit, since it relies upon hypothetical savings, that have never been demonstrated, to reduce target cost. Since target cost is the basis upon which contract profit is based, asking contractors to accept this challenge with no accompanying increase in target profit for accepting the associated risk seems unfair and unreasonable to most contractors. SPEAKING OUT There is also no interest in DOD leadership to authorize an increase in the ceiling price for fixed-price incentive fee contracts in recognition of the acceptance of an aggressive target cost by the contractor. This reflects a philosophical shift in profit theory, as seen by the contractor community as a part of the “war on profit.” This is consistent with the history of acquisition of weapons by DOD and goes with changes in political administrations. Going from the Carter administration to the present, DOD profit expectation is reflective of the democrat and republican vision of the DOD acquisition process and the corresponding views on profit. One other aspect of the differences between the Bush and Obama administrations is that of the perception of the nature of contractor risk/reward. Under the Bush administration, in the context of a War on Terror, cost and profit became secondary to national security considerations. It was generally recognized that saving costs at the expense of mission success could result in potentially catastrophic consequences to the warfighter. Pushing the state of the art often required a contractor to accept high risk that needed recognition in profit and cost estimates. Under the Obama administration, there is a perception that contractors are using this risk excuse to negotiate unreasonably high profit and are highly motivated to drive cost and profit down. A somewhat over-the-top summary of views would have that democrats see defense business, for the most part, as greedy war profiteers who expect to have no-risk contracts, with high profit margins. Republicans, on the other hand, see defense business as merely one critical sector of the overall economy, no more, nor no less profit-oriented than other businesses in a capitalist society, but a critical element in the primary purpose of government—that of providing for the nation’s security. How do we see this new perception translated into the current administration’s reflection on profit? Obviously, the BBP Initiatives reflect current thinking on profit, so it would be a good starting place. Leaders say that they have no war on profit, and point to the language in the BBP Initiatives that states that DOD should relentlessly attack program costs in an attempt to use these reductions to fund new programs (“doing more without more”). Philosophically, the two administrations have a substantially different perception of the defense industrial base and how to deal with it. Many times during the past several years, in internal sessions, DOD leaders have claimed that the defense industry wants to have cost-plus-percentage-of-cost arrangeIn the Clinton administration, under their ments (although they are illegal). Essentially, Acquisition Reform Initiative program (called these leaders appear to be stating that con“Lightning Bolts” in the Air Force), this affordtractors are totally risk averse and therefore ability initiative was called “doing less with unwilling to have any “skin in the game.” less.” While the current administration has done much to attempt to stay away from So, if you were a part of the previous admina perception of the BBP Initiatives becomistration leadership, or if you consider the ing an “Acquisition Reform 2.0,” both are profit that you received during the previous reflective of a reduction of defense dollars administration to be “fair and reasonable,” to their budgets, and the need to use affordyou may agree that there has been a recent ability to finance necessary replenishment “war on profit” due to the perception that programs for DOD. previous contracts were both fair and reasonable and changing them by reducing profit The leadership in the Obama administration and cost does constitute a “war.” On the believe that they have a certain reasonableother hand, if you are a part of the current ness behind their contention that industry administration leadership, you may deny that was making an unfair profit rate in the perthere is any war, but rather state that there is formance of their contracts. In their minds, a movement toward a more fair and reasoncost-plus contracting offers an unreasonable able price (including profit) for product. opportunity to gouge the American public. The fundamental flaw in their logic is that there is no move by industry into the DOD business opportunities—rather, since the years of acquisition reform into the BBP Initiatives, we do not see contractors entering the defense business base, either at the prime or subcontractor/supplier level. Rather, there has been an evolving trend away from defense business throughout all sectors of DOD. It seems intuitive that if the contention that DOD contractors are making such outrageous profits, then the market would be growing, rather than shrinking, with more contractors entering the market than leaving. As with most generalizations, the “war on profit” can be denied or supported by data, and most contractors would not like to “bite the hand that feeds them.” However, the mere perception that such a thing as a “war on profit” could exist will likely contribute to the downward slide away from the defense sector within the general business community. This cannot be a good thing for those who support the acquisition of weapons needed by the troops, both today and in the future. Ultimately it is the responsibility of those in DOD acquisition to provide the best-quality systems to protect those in the service who must protect us with the systems that we buy. In order to be able to accomplish this, DOD leadership must find a way to incentivize other contractors to enter the DOD market. Unfortunately, having the perception (real or not) that there is a “war on profit” is certainly not a very effective way to accomplish this. CM ABOUT THE AUTHOR JAMES GILL is an acquisition instructor for Salient Federal Solutions and a consultant for BTAS. Contract Management | December 2014 11
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