Polish construction companies 2016 – Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Contents Introduction 5 Chapter 1. Financial analysis of the largest construction companies 7 1.1. List of the largest construction companies in Poland by revenue earned in 2015 8 1.2. List of the largest construction companies in Poland by operating income in 2015 1.3. List of the largest construction companies in Poland by net profit in 2015 10 12 1.4. Debt of the largest construction companies in 2015 15 1.5. Capital expenditure to sales ratio of the largest construction companies in 2015 16 1.6. Revenue of the largest construction companies by region and by type in 2015 18 1.7. 1.7.Market capitalization of the largest construction companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange 26 Chapter 2. Prospects for development of construction companies in Poland 33 2.1. Introduction 34 2.2. Key growth drivers for the construction market in Poland 36 2.3. Bankruptcies in the construction sector 38 2.4. Employment in the construction sector 39 2.5. Development prospects for construction market segments in Poland 41 2.6. Market Perspective 58 2.7. Summary 61 Chapter 3. Profiles of the largest construction companies in Poland 64 Bibliography 113 Contact us115 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Introduction Dear Sirs and Madams, We have the pleasure to present the fourth report entitled Polish Construction Companies 2016 – Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects, analysing the condition of fifteen largest construction companies in Poland, as measured by revenues, and describing market prospects for growth. Having analysed the financial data for 2015, we observed further improvement in revenues and profitability of top players in the Polish construction market. The total revenues of all the fifteen largest companies grew by PLN 3.1 billion, i.e. 11.3% compared to the 2014 figures. The revenue growth translated into higher operating profit and net profit of the top 15. At the end of 2015, market capitalization of the fifteen largest construction companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange and included in the ranking was considerably higher than a year before. Undoubtedly, further growth in 2015 resulted from the general upturn in the Polish economy and completion of works and projects carried out under the previous EU financial framework. As in previous years, large infrastructure projects in the road, railway and industrial construction sectors, in particular in the energy market, were key drivers of the industry. Still, in 2016 the construction market saw a considerable slowdown. This results from postponing key infrastructure projects carried out under the new financial perspective to 2017 and 2018. The slowdown will be particularly visible in the market of contracts for modernization of railroads. Undoubtedly, the major rescheduling of key investment projects will impede sector growth in 2016 and entail an accumulation of construction works in the following years. The second section comprises an analysis of the prospects for the industry’s short-term and mid-term growth, a discussion of possible capital expenditure in individual market segments, bankruptcy figures, and employment trends in the sector. At the end of this section, a summary of the industry’s current condition and the key growth drivers are presented from the perspective of the largest Polish construction companies and key public investors, such as PKP Polskie Linie Kolejowe S.A. and the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways. In the final part of the report, we briefly examine the characteristics of the business activity of the fifteen most important market players in 2015. We include the most crucial information concerning the scope of their activities, ownership structures and detailed financial data derived from their annual financial statements. Our report has been prepared based on publically available financial data or information provided directly by entities discussed in the report. We hope that you will find the report: Polish Construction Companies 2016 – Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects informative and that it will give you a better understanding of the current situation in the Polish construction market, including the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead of sector investors and construction companies. As always, we highly encourage you to contribute your insights and suggestions concerning any issues discussed in the report. The first part of our report presents a financial analysis of companies operating on the Polish construction sector, based on fifteen entities that have managed to build the strongest market position. It examines their revenues, sales profits, net profits, debt, geographical and revenue structure. 5 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 6 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Chapter 1. Financial analysis of the largest construction companies 7 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 1.1. List of the largest construction companies in Poland by revenue earned in 2015 In 2015, the combined revenue of the fifteen largest construction companies totalled PLN 31.1 billion, up by PLN 3.1 billion (11.3%) vs. 2014. The largest players did not change compared to the preceding year. This year’s list is again topped by Skanska Group, whose revenue reached PLN 5.5 billion, up by 8.4%. It is followed directly by Budimex Group, controlled by the Spanish company Ferrovial, with revenue totalling PLN 5.1 billion, which means a 3,7% rise year-onyear. The Austrian Strabag is the third largest construction company in Poland, whose revenue increased by 22% vs. 2014, reaching PLN 3.8 billion. It should be emphasised that the Strabag Group reported the most considerable increase in its revenue (PLN 693 million) in nominal terms among all the ranked companies. Apart from Strabag Group, the revenue of Torpol Group and Polimex Mostostal Group also rose substantially in value terms, by PLN 463 million and PLN 446 million, respectively. The most exponential increase in percentage terms (by almost 60%) was reported by Torpol Group. Consequently, it went up from the 15th place in 2014 to 12th position a year later. Apart from Strabag Group, a strong increase in revenue, exceeding 30%, was also seen by companies that are new to the ranking, i.e. Mota - Engil S.A. and Hochtief Polska S.A. Table 1.1: List of the largest construction companies in Poland by revenue (in PLN ‘000) Revenue 2015 No. Company name Revenue 2014 Change in nominal Change in terms percentage terms 1 Skanska Group 5 509 363 5 081 675 427 688 8.4% 2 Budimex Group 5 133 994 4 949 939 184 055 3.7% 3 Strabag Group** 3 835 846 3 142 849 692 997 22.0% 4 Polimex-Mostostal Group 2 548 575 2 102 197 446 378 21.2% 5 PBG Group 1 798 815 1 530 248 268 567 17.6% 6 Erbud Group 1 763 282 1 692 055 71 227 4.2% 7 Trakcja Group 1 329 180 1 601 674 -272 494 -17.0% 8 PORR Group*** 1 293 120 1 045 019 248 101 23.7% 9 Mostostal Warszawa Group* 1 275 431 1 509 524 -234 093 -15.5% 10 Unibep Group 1 242 860 1 079 703 163 157 15.1% 11 Elektrobudowa Group 1 242 830 1 108 316 134 514 12.1% 12 Torpol Group* 1 238 241 775 399 462 842 59.7% 13 Warbud S.A. 1 106 860 1 049 886 56 974 5.4% 14 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 949 576 658 133 291 443 44.3% 15 Hochtief Polska S.A. 788 488 579 348 209 140 36.1% Total 31 056 460 27 905 965 3 150 495 11.3% average 2 070 431 1 860 398 210 033 11.3% Increase Decrease No change Note: This analysis does not take account of the revenue generated by foreign branches of construction companies operating in Poland or that of special purpose vehicles established to carry out specific projects as part of consortia, as their revenue is included in the consolidated revenue of the consortium members Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 8 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects In 2015, the most considerable drop in revenue in nominal and percentage terms was reported by the Trakcja Group (PLN 272 million and 17% respectively). An equally large percentage drop was seen by the Mostostal Warszawa Group (15.5% year-onyear). report a decrease in revenue for two consecutive years. Considering the last five years, the high level of revenue in 2011 was the consequence of major infrastructure projects carried out in Poland before EURO 2012 and the accumulation of investments in the first financial perspective. Increases seen in 2014 and 2015 were attributable to the improvement of the overall economic conditions in Poland and worldwide as well as the completion of work relating to projects implemented in the first financial perspective (2007 – 2013). In 2015, the number of companies whose revenue increased did not change as compared to the preceding year (eleven). As many as 13 companies (eleven in 2014) recorded growth in 2015. The Mostostal Warszawa Group was the only entity to Diagram 1.1: Change in average revenue of the ranked companies between 2011 and 2015 (in PLN ‘000) 2 818 580 2 070 431 2 266 448 1 735 847 2011 2012 2013 1 900 183 2014 2015 Based on previous editions of reports presenting the largest construction companies in Poland (Deloitte reports: Polish Construction Companies 2011 - 2015) Source: Financial statements 2011-2015 9 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 1.2. List of the largest construction companies in Poland by operating margin in 2015 The operating margin of the largest construction companies, defined as the difference between operating revenue and cost of goods sold (excluding other operating revenue and expenses) shows that for the majority of the ranked entities increases/decreases in revenue in 2015 were correlated with increases/decreases in operating income (except Warbud and Hochtief which reported a drop in operating margin despite an increase in revenue). The average operating margin for the largest companies went up by more than PLN 52 million, which is similar to the increase seen in 2014. As in the past year, the Skanska Group reported the highest operating margin and earned operating income of PLN 664 million. Budimex Group was second, with operating margin of PLN 493 million, i.e. more than 13% more than in the previous year. Strabag Group came third with operating margin of PLN 287 million (more than twice as high as in the preceding year). For Strabag Group and Hochtief which prepare their profit and loss account by nature of expense, operating margin takes account of selling costs and general and administrative costs (as opposed to the other ranked entities) Table 1.2 Operating profit of the fifteen largest construction companies in nominal terms (in PLN ‘000) Operating margin Operating margin Change in nominal Change in 2015 2014 terms percentage terms No. Company name 1 Skanska Group 664 060 567 685 96 375 17.0% 2 Budimex Group 492 714 432 680 60 034 13.9% 3 Strabag Group** 287 052 114 632 172 420 150.4% 4 Trakcja Group 166 133 202 128 -35 995 -17.8% 5 Polimex-Mostostal Group 152 868 -201 623 354 491 175.8% 6 Erbud Group 121 701 99 242 22 459 22.6% 7 PBG Group 117 652 94 494 23 158 24.5% 8 Mostostal Warszawa Group* 110 274 121 104 -10 830 -8.9% 9 Elektrobudowa Group 109 201 73 218 35 983 49.1% 10 Warbud S.A. 106 123 136 033 -29 910 -22.0% 11 Torpol Group* 67 760 48 368 19 392 40.1% 12 Unibep Group 67 238 66 713 525 0.8% 13 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 48 949 25 791 23 157 89.8% 14 Hochtief Polska S.A. 7 153 7 826 -673 -8.6% 15 PORR Group*** no data no data no data no data Average 179 920 127 735 Average sales margin (%) 8.46% 6.66% Increase Decrease Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 10 No change Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects In 2015, ten out of the fourteen ranked companies saw an increase in their sales and four had a lower result than over the comparable period in the preceding year. The most exponential increase was reported by Polimex-Mostostal Group (more than PLN 354 million) and the most noticeable drop - by Trakcja Group (more than PLN 35 million). The list also shows that thirteen out of the fourteen ranked companies which have made their financial data available earned operating income both in 2014 and 2015. The average operating margin was 8.46% in 2015. This is an almost 2 p.p. increase vs. 2014 (6.66%). The highest operating income in percentage terms was generated by Trakcja Group, whose operating margin was 12.50%. Second place went to Skanska Group with an operating margin of 12%, whereas Budimex occupied third position with an operating margin of 9.60% together with Warbud, whose margin was 9.59%. Hochtief, whose operating margin equalled 0.91% was at the bottom of the list. As in the past year, 2015 increases in revenue were accompanied by further rises in the operating margins of the largest construction companies. 12.62% 12.50% 10.00% Average PORR Group*** Hochtief Polska S.A. Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. Unibep Group Torpol Group Polimex-Mostostal Group PBG Group Erbud Group Strabag Group** Mostostal Warszawa Group* Elektrobudowa Group Warbud S.A. Budimex Group 15.00% Skanska Group Trakcja Group Diagram 1.2: Operating margins of the largest construction companies (%) 12.96% 12.05% 11.17% 9.60% 8.74% 9.59% 8.79% 6.61% 8.65% 8.46% 8.02% 7.48% 6.90% 5.87% 6.54% 6.18% 6.00% 5.00% 6.24% 5.47% 6.66% 6.18% 5.41% 5.15% 3.92% 3.65% 0.91% 1.35% no data 0.00% -5.00% -10.00% -9.59% -15.00% 2015 2014 Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 11 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 1.3. List of the largest construction companies in Poland by net profit in 2015 Net profit is another indicator reflecting the overall condition of the largest construction companies. On average, the fourteen largest construction companies generated net profit of PLN 71 million, which means a PLN 25 million increase compared to PLN 45 million in 2014. Skanska Group reported the highest net profit (PLN 417 million), which represents a 29% increase year-onyear. On the other hand, PBG Group incurred a net loss of PLN 201 million despite a positive operating margin. As many as thirteen ranked companies reported a net profit, whereas only one incurred a loss. For comparison, in 2014 ten entities posted a net profit and the average net profit of all the ranked companies was lower. Ten companies reported a net profit both in 2014 and 2015. Second place went to Budimex Group, which generated a net profit of PLN 237 million. Strabag Group was third with a net profit of PLN 178 million. Table 1.3: Net profit/loss of the largest construction companies in nominal terms (in PLN ‘000) Net profit/loss for Net profit/loss for Change in nominal Change in 2015 2015 terms percentage terms No. Company name 1 Skanska Group 417 314 324 185 93 129 29% 2 Budimex Group 236 520 193 938 42 582 22% 3 Strabag Group** 177 987 148 981 29 006 19% 4 Polimex-Mostostal Group 68 975 -153 226 222 201 145% 5 Trakcja Group 51 758 50 391 1 367 3% 6 Elektrobudowa Group 49 965 27 015 22 950 85% 7 Warbud S.A. 35 728 48 416 -12 688 -26% 8 Mostostal Warszawa Group 32 466 -8 738 41 204 472% 9 Torpol Group* 31 954 25 009 6 945 28% 10 Erbud Group 31 689 27 892 3 797 14% 11 Hochtief Polska S.A. 29 769 22 203 7 566 34% 12 Unibep Group 23 281 20 925 2 356 11% 13 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 4 540 -12 841 17 381 135% 14 PBG Group -201 104 -80 799 -120 305 -149% 15 PORR Group*** no data no data no data no data Average 70 774 45 239 Average procentowa marża netto 3.33% 2.36% Increase Decrease Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 12 No change Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects In percentage terms, the average net profit (3.33%) in 2015 was higher than in the preceding year. The list is topped by Skanska Group with a net profit margin of 7.57%. Second place went to Strabag Group and the third to Budimex Group, with a net profit margin of 4.64% and 4.61%, respectively. These top companies recorded the highest net margins both in 2014 and in 2015. As regards the operating income, the majority of the ranked companies saw an increase in their net profit margins. Thus, events which were not directly related to their core business and the profit/loss on financing activities did not have an adverse effect on their performance, although their margins did not increase as exponentially as in the preceding year. Average PORR Group*** PBG Group Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. Erbud Group Unibep Group Mostostal Warszawa Group Torpol Group Polimex-Mostostal Group Warbud S.A. Hochtief Polska S.A. Trakcja Group Elektrobudowa Group Budimex Group 20.00% Strabag Group** Skanska Group Diagram 1.3: Net profit margins of the largest construction companies (%) 15.00% 10.00% 7.57% 6.38% 5.00% 4.64% 4.74% 4.61% 3.92% 4.02% 2.44% 3.89% 3.78% 3.15% 4.83% 4.61% 3.23% 2.71% 2.58% 3.23% 2.55% 3.33% 2.36% 1.87% 1.94% 1.80% 1.65% 0.48% 0.00% -0.58% -5.00% no data -1.95% -5.28% -7.29% -10.00% -11.18% -15.00% -20.00% 2015 2014 Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 13 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Our reports presenting the performance of largest construction companies in Poland show that 2015 was another year showing performance improvement, both in regards to gross profit margin on the core business (gross profitability) and net profit margin including other operating and financing activities. Since 2012, which saw a massive drop in the transaction volume (in 2012 the results on unprofitable infrastructure contracts carried out in the prior financial perspective announced by the European Parliament for years 2007 - 2013 were taken into account), the margins on projects and the performance of the largest construction companies have clearly been improving. Diagram 1.3.1: Change in average net and gross profit margins of the ranked companies between 2011 and 2015 (in %) 10,0% 5,0% 0,0% -5,0% -10,0% -15,0% -20,0% 2011 Gross profitability Net profitability Source: Financial statements for 2011-2015 14 2012 2013 2014 2015 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 1.4. An analysis of the debt ratios of the largest construction companies The debt ratios of the largest construction companies were relatively high both in 2014 and in 2015. The average debt weighted by revenue was 78% in 2015. In the analysed period, seven companies increased and seven reduced the share of debt capital in their funding. As in 2014, five entities used debt capital to finance at least 75% of their assets. PBG Group had the highest debt in percentage terms, which did not change as compared to 2014. At the end of 2015, the company’s total debt constituted 137% (that is, it was 37% higher than the value of its assets), and it went up by 6 p.p. vs. 2014. Having lost liquidity in 2012, the company went into bankruptcy proceedings open to composition arrangements, which was finally voted for by the creditors in August 2015. As regards the remaining entities, Skanska Group reported the most considerable increase in its debt, from 67% at the end of 2014 to 73% a year later. The debt of the other ranked companies did not increase by more than 5 p.p. in 2015. Diagram 1.4: Debt ratios between 2014 and 2015 PBG Group 1.31 0.87 0.86 Budimex Group 0.83 0.86 Mostostal Warszawa Group 0.82 0.80 Warbud S.A. 0.80 0.84 Polimex-Mostostal Group Skanska Group 0.67 0.73 0.73 0.70 Strabag Group** 0.72 0.70 Unibep Group 0.71 0.73 Erbud Group 0.71 0.70 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 0.67 Torpol Group 0.66 Hochtief Polska S.A. 0.57 Elektrobudowa Group 0.45 Trakcja Group PORR Group*** 1.37 0.73 0.74 0.63 0.53 no data 0.78 0.77 Average 0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.25 1.50 2015 2014 Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 15 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects The debt ratio of Trakcja Group (45%) was the lowest out of all the ranked companies. At the end of 2015, the average debt ratio of the largest construction companies rose by approx. 1% year-on-year. 1.5. Capital expenditure to sales ratio of the largest construction companies in 2015 Companies operating in the construction sector typically have a relatively low ratio of capital expenditure (defined as investment in fixed assets and intangible assets) to sales, due to a high volume of sales and a relatively low level of capital expenditure necessary to provide construction services. In 2015, the combined capital expenditure of the largest companies totalled almost PLN 254 million, and was PLN 54 million higher compared to 2014. It should also be emphasized that fewer than half of all the ranked companies reduced their expenditure as compared to the preceding year. Table 1.5: Capital expenditure of the fifteen largest construction companies in nominal terms (in PLN ‘000) Capital expenditure Capital expenditure Change in nominal Change in in 2015 in 2014 terms percentage terms No. Company name 1 Budimex Group 67 915 24 072 43 843 182% 2 Trakcja Group 44 309 25 674 18 635 73% 3 PBG Group 29 214 17 125 12 089 71% 4 Torpol Group 26 280 15 046 11 234 75% 5 Mostostal Warszawa Group 18 757 8 279 10 478 127% 6 Warbud S.A. 17 220 19 187 -1 967 -10% 7 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 17 182 8 328 8 854 106% 8 Elektrobudowa Group 13 838 11 489 2 349 20% 9 Erbud Group 13 318 16 077 -2 759 -17% 10 Unibep Group 2 825 3 191 -366 -11% 11 Polimex-Mostostal Group 2 480 26 869 -24 389 -91% 12 Hochtief Polska S.A. 752 450 302 67% 13 Strabag Group** no data 24 464 no data no data 14 Skanska Group no data no data no data no data 15 PORR Group*** no data no data no data no data Razem **** 254 090 175 787 78 303 45% Average 21 174 15 404 5 770 37% Increase Decrease No change **** - for the purpose of calculating the ratios of percentage and nominal change of capital expenditures, the amounts concerning Strabag Group in 2014 were excluded. Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 16 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects In 2015, Budimex Group incurred the highest capital expenditure in nominal terms (PLN 68 million up by 182% vs. 2014). Trakcja Group with total expenditure of PLN 44 million (a 73% increase year-on-year) and PBG Group with expenditure of PLN 29 million (a 71% rise year-on-year) came second and third, respectively. In 2015, the capital expenditure to sales ratio was 1.24%, which was a 0.3 p.p. yearon-year. Trakcja Group and Torpol Group reported the highest capital expenditure to sales ratios. Both these entities have a considerable share in the railway contract market. In 2015, the lowest capital expenditure to sales ratio was reported by Hochtief Polska and Polimex-Mostostal Group. Diagram 1.5: Capital expenditure to sales ratio (figures for 2015 and 2014) Trakcja Group 2.12% 1.94% Torpol Group Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 1.81% 1.27% PBG Group 1.62% 1.12% 1.56% Warbud S.A. Mostostal Warszawa Group 1.11% 1.04% 0.76% Erbud Group 0.10% 0.08% 0.10% Polimex-Mostostal Group Skanska Group 0.95% 0.23% 0.95% Unibep Group PORR Group*** 1.32% 0.98% Elektrobudowa Group Strabag Group** 1.83% 1.47% 0.55% Budimex Group Hochtief Polska S.A. 3.33% 1.60% 1.28% no data 0.78% no data no data Average 0.00% 1.03% 0.50% 1.00% 1.24% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50% 4.00% 2015 2014 Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 17 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 1.6. Revenue of the largest construction companies by region and by type in 2015 1.6.1 Revenue structure by region Large construction groups operating in Poland are also present on foreign markets. However, their sales volume generated abroad is still relatively low and Poland remains the key market on which they provide construction services. In nominal terms, the average revenue earned by the largest construction companies abroad was PLN 173 million, down by almost PLN 22 million as compared to 2014. This means an 11% drop year-on-year. Trakcja Group, which controls AB Kauno a large construction group operating in Lithuania and other Baltic states, generated the highest revenue abroad. It totalled PLN 487 million but was 14% lower than in 2014. Second place went to Polimex-Mostostal Group (same as in the preceding year), which reported revenue of PLN 443 million and a 15% increase vs. 2014. The Unibep Group, whose revenue totalled PLN 239 million, was third and reported a 25% drop compared to the preceding year. The exports of Polish construction companies focus on neighbouring markets, mainly Eastern Europe, Scandinavia and Germany. Table 1.6.1: Revenue earned by the largest construction companies abroad, in nominal terms (in PLN ‘000) Revenue from sales on foreign markets in 2015 No. Company name 1 Trakcja Group 486 978 565 884 -78 906 -14% 2 Polimex-Mostostal Group 442 622 383 978 58 644 15% 3 Unibep Group 238 590 319 497 -80 907 -25% 4 Budimex Group 206 959 195 632 11 327 6% 5 Erbud Group 158 218 195 373 -37 155 -19% 6 PBG Group 128 643 226 268 -97 625 -43% 7 Elektrobudowa Group 113 134 67 336 45 798 68% 8 Torpol Group 62 243 28 507 33 736 118% 9 PORR Group*** 48 809 10 379 38 430 370% 10 Mostostal Warszawa Group 13 172 144 453 -131 281 -91% 11 Strabag Group** 8 685 8 883 -198 -2% 12 Warbud S.A. 0 0 0 0% 13 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 0 0 0 0% 14 Hochtief Polska S.A. 0 0 0 0% 15 Skanska Group no data no data no data n/a Total 1 908 053 2 146 190 -238 137 -11% Average 173 459 195 108 -21 649 -11% Increase Decrease Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 18 Revenue from Change in nominal Change in sales on foreign terms percentage terms markets in 2014 No change Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects The average share of revenues from sales on foreign markets in the total operating revenue of the ranked companies was over 8%, down by almost 2 p.p. as compared to 2014. Foreign sales of one entity, namely the Trakcja Group, accounted for 37% of their total sales revenue. An analysis of sales by region reveals that a growing number of companies from the construction sector are looking for opportunities to fulfil contracts and find clients on foreign markets. In the longer term, searching for new markets and, consequently, the diversification of business risk, will be of crucial importance after the EU funds received in the 20142020 perspective have been used up. A number of companies have already made attempts to fulfil contracts on foreign markets (principally on the neighbouring markets and in Scandinavia), which should translate into greater regional diversity of their operations in the future. Diagram 1.6.1: Percentage share of foreign sales in total sales for the fifteen largest construction companies in 2015 40.00% 35.00% 36.64% 35.33% 30.00% 29.59% 25.00% 20.00% 19.20% 17.37% 18.27% 14.79% 15.00% 11.55% 9.57% 8.97% Mostostal Warszawa Group PORR Group*** Budimex Group Torpol Group PBG Group Erbud Group Elektrobudowa Group Polimex-Mostostal Group 0.23% 0.28% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% no data Average 0.99% 1.03% 0.00% Unibep Group 10.45% 3.95% 3.77% Skanska Group 4.03% Hochtief Polska S.A. 3.68% Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 5.03% 5.00% Trakcja Group 8.40% 7.15% 6.08% Warbud S.A. 9.10% Strabag Group** 10.00% 2015 2014 Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 19 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Diagram 1.6.2: Sales of the fifteen largest construction companies in 2015 – by region MARKETS Domestic West European East European Scandinavian Asian Other TOTAL (2015, in PLN ‘000) 842 202 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 486 978 1 329 180 Polimex-Mostostal Group 2 105 953 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 442 622 2 548 575 Unibep Group 1 004 270 29 760 Budimex Group 4 927 035 174 854 Erbud Group 1 605 064 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 158 218 1 763 282 PBG Group 1 670 172 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 128 643 1 798 815 Elektrobudowa Group 1 129 696 Torpol Group 1 175 998 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 62 243 1 238 241 PORR Group*** 1 244 311 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 48 809 1 293 120 Mostostal Warszawa Group 1 262 259 Strabag Group** 3 827 161 Warbud S.A. 1 106 860 Trakcja Group 3 367 2 359 76 804 131 868 18 476 78 460 6 848 10 112 158 1 242 860 32 105 5 133 994 5 983 701 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 9 685 1 242 830 1 275 431 3 835 846 1 106 860 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 949 576 949 576 Hochtief Polska S.A. 788 488 788 488 Skanska Group No data 5 509 363 TOTAL: Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 20 31 056 460 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Diagram 1.6.3: Sales of the fifteen largest construction companies in 2014 – by region MARKETS Domestic West European East European Scandinavian Asian Other TOTAL (2014, in PLN ‘000) Trakcja Group 1 035 790 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 565 884 1 601 674 Polimex-Mostostal Group 1 718 219 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 383 978 2 102 197 Unibep Group 760 206 22 152 Budimex Group 4 754 307 158 085 Erbud Group 1 496 682 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 195 373 1 692 055 PBG Group 1 303 980 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 226 268 1 530 248 Elektrobudowa Group 1 040 980 9 806 173 964 123 323 21 545 17 427 10 966 58 1 079 703 37 547 4 949 939 7 592 1 108 316 746 892 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 28 507 775 399 PORR Group*** 1 034 640 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 10 379 1 045 019 Mostostal Warszawa Group 1 365 071 Strabag Group** 3 133 966 Warbud S.A. 1 049 886 Torpol Group 79 701 23 090 39 959 1 703 No information about where foreign revenues are generated. Value of foreign revenues - 8 883 1 509 524 3 142 849 1 049 886 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 658 133 658 133 Hochtief Polska S.A. 579 348 579 348 Skanska Group No data 5 081 675 TOTAL: 27 905 965 Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 21 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 1.6.2 Sales by type Sales by type reflect diversification of the operations carried out by the largest construction companies in the general, energy, road and railway sectors. A material part of their revenue is also derived from the housing construction and construction engineering sectors. Diagram 1.6.2.1: Sales by type - fifteen largest companies in 2015 MARKETS General construction Polimex-Mostostal Group Housing construction 224 165 Road and railroad construction Civil engineering Energy construction Other operations 1 801 367 495 539 2 548 575 460 328 5 133 994 246 426 1 798 815 1 047 388 195 442 1 242 830 129 498 114 213 1 242 860 103 851 1 293 120 88 206 1 329 180 61 387 949 576 47 864 1 763 282 16 200 1 238 241 15 374 1 106 860 2 626 1 275 431 27 504 Budimex Group 4 673 666 PBG Group 1 552 389 Elektrobudowa Group Unibep Group PORR Group*** 999 149 1 189 268 Trakcja Group 1 240 975 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 138 385 Erbud Group 1 130 960 41 418 330 741 Torpol Group Warbud S.A. 708 385 253 717 1 222 041 1 091 486 Mostostal Warszawa Group 272 421 Hochtief Polska S.A. 614 933 1 000 384 94 605 78 838 113 TOTAL (2015, in PLN ‘000) 788 488 Skanska Group No data 5 509 363 Strabag Group** No data 3 835 846 TOTAL: Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 22 31 056 460 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Diagram 1.6.2.2: Sales by type - fifteen largest companies in 2014 MARKETS General construction Housing construction Road and railroad construction Energy construction Other operations 968 837 427 447 2 102 197 383 311 4 949 939 342 172 1 530 248 904 583 203 733 1 108 316 124 871 87 574 1 079 703 44 926 1 045 019 127 588 1 601 674 33 816 658 133 45 448 1 692 055 20 211 775 399 1 038 747 11 139 1 049 886 Mostostal Warszawa Group 317 063 3 159 1 509 524 Hochtief Polska S.A. 417 048 Polimex-Mostostal Group 239 740 466 173 Budimex Group 4 566 628 PBG Group 317 063 1 188 076 Elektrobudowa Group Unibep Group PORR Group*** 867 258 1 000 093 Trakcja Group 1 474 086 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 70 808 Erbud Group 507 332 1 397 537 46 177 160 185 Torpol Group Warbud S.A. Civil engineering 88 885 755 188 92 677 Skanska Group Strabag Group** 69 508 No data 114 TOTAL (2014, in PLN ‘000) 579 348 383 311 No data 5 081 675 3 142 849 TOTAL: 27 905 965 * General and civil engineering construction Source: Financial Statements for 2014-2015 Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 23 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Diagram 1.6.2: Other activities of the largest construction companies in 2015. Other operations 2015 No. Company name Change in nominal terms Change in percentage terms 1 Polimex-Mostostal Group 495 539 427 447 68 092 15.9% 2 Budimex Group 460 328 383 311 77 017 20.1% 3 PBG Group 246 426 342 172 -95 746 -28.0% 4 Elektrobudowa Group 195 442 203 733 -8 291 -4.1% 5 Unibep Group 114 213 87 574 26 639 30.4% 6 PORR Group*** 103 851 44 926 58 925 131.2% 7 Trakcja Group 88 206 127 588 -39 382 -30.9% 8 Mota - Engil Central Europe S.A. 61 387 33 816 27 572 81.5% 9 Erbud Group 47 864 45 448 2 416 5.3% 10 Torpol Group 16 200 20 211 -4 011 -19.8% 11 Warbud S.A. 15 374 11 139 4 235 38.0% 12 Mostostal Warszawa Group 2 626 3 159 -533 -16.9% 13 Hochtief Polska S.A. 113 114 -2 -1.7% 14 Skanska Group no data no data no data n/a 15 Strabag Group** no data no data no data n/a 1 847 569 1 730 638 116 931 Total Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 24 Other operations 2014 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects In nominal terms, the highest share of other non-construction revenue in total revenue in 2015 was reported by Polimex Group and Budimex Group (PLN 496 million and PLN 460 million, respectively). As compared to 2014, the average percentage share of other operating revenue went down from 9.6% to 9.2%. In 2015, in most cases, the share of construction and assembly services as a percentage of total sales ranged from 80% to 100%. The operations of Polimex - Mostostal Group continue to show the highest degree of diversification. The scope of the Group’s non-construction operations includes mainly assembly and manufacturing services. On the other hand, Budimex Group, which occupies second place, mainly derives its other operating revenue from property development. Out of the thirteen entities analysed above, which earned revenue from other operations, only five increased their percentage share of non-construction operations in total revenue in 2015 vs. 2014. This was mainly due to a continued increase in the value of revenue generated by the largest companies on construction and assembly services in 2015. Diagram 1.6.2.3: Share of revenue from other (non-construction) operations in total operating revenue (for 2015-2014) 20.0% 19.6% Unibep Group Polimex-Mostostal Group 19.4% 20.3% 13.7% PBG Group* Budimex Group 7.7% PORR Group*** 6.6% Mota - Engil CE S.A. 5.1% 9.0% 8.0% 4.3% Trakcja Group 8.0% 6.5% 3.4% Elektrobudowa Group 22.4% 18.4% 2.7% 2.7% Erbud Group Warbud S.A. 1.4% 1.1% Torpol Group 1.3% Mostostal Warszawa Group 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% Hochtief Polska S.A. Strabag Group** no data Skanska Group no data 9.2% 9.6% Average 0% 25% 2015 2014 Source: Financial statements for 2014-2015 25 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 1.7. Market cap of the largest construction companies whose shares are traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange 2015 was a period when the WIG Budownictwo (WIG BUD) index regained the trust of investors. The said index increased by ca. 30% year-on-year, while the main WIG index dropped by ca. 10% in 2015, compared to the end of the preceding year. A relatively low share of revenue is earned on non – construction related operations. This trend should reverse once projects receiving EU support in the second financial perspective have been finalized. It should be emphasised, though, that large construction groups have already begun to diversify their business and invest in areas which are not directly related to construction or property development operations, such as property management, supply and installation of specialist industrial equipment or construction advisory and consulting services. The shares of nine out of the fifteen largest construction companies ranked in the report were traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange, which was used as the basis for the market cap ranking. At the end of 2015, the combined market value of nine construction companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange was PLN 8 billion and was PLN 2.4 billion higher than their combined market cap at the end of 2014. In percentage terms, the combined market cap increased by 42%. The list of companies whose shares are traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange is topped by Budimex, whose share in the combined market cap is almost 60%. Nevertheless, even excluding Budimex, the increase in the market cap of the remaining entities was 50% year-on-year. At the beginning of 2016 the WIG BUD index recorded a drop caused by the limited volume of construction and assembly works in the winter season and a decrease in the volume of new building construction projects. In May 2016, there was another decrease in the index and it reached its lowest value in mid-June 2016. The significant decrease of the WIG BUD index in May and June was correlated with the general stock exchange trend, driven by the information of the potential withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union - the withdrawal was confirmed by the results of the referendum which was arranged in the UK in June 2016. Beginning Diagram 1.7: Changes in WIG and WIG-Budownictwo indices between 2014 and 2016 50000 3500 3000 48000 2500 46000 2000 44000 1500 42000 1000 40000 500 0 WIG WIG BUDOWNICTWO Source: Deloitte analysis based on data published on the website of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. 26 2016-09-09 2016-07-29 2016-06-20 2016-05-09 2016-03-24 2016-02-12 2015-12-30 38000 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects from that date we observe a reversal of the short-term downturn and an increase of the WIG BUD index which, in September 2016, came close to the high levels observed in 2015. This might confirm that, despite negative information about a considerable slowdown in the building construction sector in 2016 - which is well visible in the diagram below - investors take note that listed companies will soon reap the benefits linked with running large infrastructural contracts financed under the new EU perspective for 2014 - 2020. Diagram 1.7.1: Construction and assembly market ratis in years: 2015 - 2016 (YoY) 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% -5.00% -10.00% -15.00% -20.00% -25.00% I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI 2015 XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII 2016 Source: Deloitte analysis based on data published on the website of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. 27 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects The market value of none of the nine analysed companies decreased in 2015. Budimex, whose market cap was PLN 4,953 million (up by 37% compared to 2014), has been the unquestionable leader since 2011. The market cap of Budimex constitutes 60% of the cap value of all the analysed companies. Trakcja PRKiI was ranked second and Elektrobudowa - third (their market capitalisation was PLN 650 million and PLN 617 million, respectively). As compared with the previous year, at the end of 2015 there was a significant (42%) increase of the market cap ratio of the largest construction companies. Such a trend is consistent with the increasing revenue of the ranked companies, which was discussed above. Table 1.7: Market cap of the largest construction companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as at 31 December 2015 (in PLN ‘000) Market cap as at 31 December 2015 No. Company name 1 Budimex S.A. 2 Market cap as at 31 December 2014 Change in nominal terms Change in percentage terms 4 952 839 3 612 509 1 340 330 37% Trakcja PRKiI S.A. 650 204 390 637 259 568 66% 3 Elektrobudowa S.A. 617 189 350 373 266 816 76% 4 Polimex-Mostostal S.A. 498 924 303 166 195 758 65% 5 Unibep S.A. 378 763 288 281 90 482 31% 6 Erbud S.A. 354 376 324 153 30 223 9% 7 Torpol S.A. 285 287 229 011 56 277 25% 8 Mostostal Warszawa S.A. 260 000 120 000 140 000 117% 9 PBG S.A. 25 445 23 444 2 001 9% 8 023 028 5 641 573 2 381 455 42% Total Increase Decrease No change Diagram 1.7.1: Market cap share of the largest construction companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as at 31/12/2015 Budimex S.A. 3.24% 0.32% 3.56% Trakcja PRKiI S.A. 4.72% Elektrobudowa S.A. Erbud S.A. 6.22% Polimex-Mostostal S.A. 4.42% Unibep S.A. 7.69% 8.10% Torpol S.A. 61.73% Mostostal Warszawa S.A. PBG S.A. Source: Deloitte analysis based on data published on the website of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. 28 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Based on the financial data as at 30 June 2016, the combined capitalisation of the analysed companies fell by over 14% as compared with the end of December 2015 (the decrease is 5% higher if Budimex is excluded). As indicated above, in May and June 2016 all stock exchange indices had a considerable decrease connected with the information concerning the potential withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union, which was finally confirmed in the referendum of mid-June 2016. In the second half of the year, the most considerable increase in the market cap in percentage terms was reported by PBG, which resulted from an arrangement with its creditors and the closing of bankruptcy proceedings. On the other hand, Torpol, Elektrobudowa and Polimex-Mostostal reported the most significant decreases in their market capitalisation. Diagram 1.7.1: Market cap of the largest construction companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as at 30/06/2016 (in PLN ‘000) Market cap as at 30 Market cap as at 31 June 2016 December 2015 (in PLN '000) (in PLN '000) No. Company 1 Budimex S.A. 2 Nominal change (in PLN '000) Percentage change 2016 vs. 2015 4 386 071 4 952 839 -566 768 -11.44% Trakcja PRKiI S.A. 508 856 650 204 -141 349 -21.74% 3 Elektrobudowa S.A. 446 228 617 189 -170 961 -27.70% 4 Erbud S.A. 330 418 354 376 -23 958 -6.76% 5 Polimex-Mostostal S.A. 361 200 498 924 -137 724 -27.60% 6 Unibep S.A. 339 484 378 763 -39 279 -10.37% 7 Torpol S.A. 195 934 285 287 -89 353 -31.32% 8 Mostostal Warszawa S.A. 241 400 260 000 -18 600 -7.15% 9 PBG S.A. 34 165 25 445 8 720 34.27% 6 843 755 8 023 028 -1 179 273 -14.70% Total Source: Deloitte analysis based on data published on the website of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. 29 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects In the first half of 2016 the companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange reported a slight increase (by almost 2%) in their sales revenue year-on-year. Budimex Group with revenue of PLN 2.4 billion (a rise by more than 7% increase year-on-year) was again the major player. It should be emphasised that the average operating margin for the first six months of 2016 went up to 9.4% as compared to the corresponding period in 2015, when it was 7.74%. 2015 was a successful year for the largest construction companies. In the first half of 2016 they managed to keep the investor's trust and their revenues even slightly exceeded the turnover obtained during a comparable period in 2015. The second half of 2016 and the following years will be crucial from a sort-term perspective. The current level of the WIG BUD shows that, despite a significant decline in contract volume in 2016, investors still believe that there will be a positive impact from the infrastructure contract initiative, and that companies operating on the construction market will continue to benefit. The delay in announcing new tenders may erode this trust, because investors may decide to withdraw their capital, which in turn will result in a drop of the WIG BUD index and lower market capitalization of the analysed companies. Diagram 1.7.2: Market cap of the largest construction companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as at 30 June 2016 (in PLN ‘000) 0% Budimex S.A. 4% 3% Trakcja PRKiI S.A. 5% Elektrobudowa S.A. 5% Erbud S.A. 5% Polimex-Mostostal S.A. 7% 7% Unibep S.A. 64% Torpol S.A. Mostostal Warszawa S.A. PBG S.A. Source: Deloitte analysis based on data published on the website of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. 30 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Table 1.7.2: Revenues of companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as at 30 June 2016 and 30 June 2015. Revenue June 2016 (in PLN '000) No. Company name 1 Budimex Group 2 Revenue June 2015 (in PLN '000) Change in nominal terms Change in percentage terms 2 429 700 2 268 240 161 460 7.1% Polimex-Mostostal Group 641 952 511 049 130 903 25.6% 3 PBG Group 788 660 771 957 16 703 2.2% 4 Erbud Group 788 168 805 820 -17 652 -2.2% 5 Trakcja Group 478 829 564 772 -85 943 -15.2% 6 Mostostal Warszawa Group 732 999 569 898 163 101 28.6% 7 Unibep Group 501 551 574 787 -73 236 -12.7% 8 Elektrobudowa Group 528 228 592 901 -64 673 -10.9% 9 Torpol Group 335 960 443 379 -107 419 -24.2% Total 7 226 047 7 102 803 123 244 1.7% Average 802 894 789 200 13 693.8 1.7% Source: Deloitte analysis based on data published on the website of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. Diagram 1.8: Revenue of construction companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in the first half of 2016 (in PLN '000) 3000000 2500000 2000000 1500000 1000000 Torpol Group Elektrobudowa Group Unibep Group Mostostal Warszawa Group Trakcja Group Erbud Group PBG Group Polimex-Mostostal Group 0 Budimex Group 500000 Revenue June 2016 (in PLN million) Revenue June 2015 (in PLN million) Source: Financial statements as at 30 June 2016 * The financial data for 2014 were reconciled with the financial statements for 2015 after adjustments had been made to the opening balance. **Considering that consolidated financial statements of the Strabag Group are not available, for simplicity's sake, the financial data are comprised of the total revenue of companies: Strabag Sp. z o.o. and Strabag Infrastruktura Południe Sp. z o.o. The financial data of Strabag for 2014 were reconciled with the financial statements for 2015, after adjustments had been made to the opening balance. ***In 2015 PORR BAU GMBH acquired Bilfinger Infrastructure S.A.. Considering that consolidated financial statements of the are not available, the financial data for 2015 are presented as the aggregate of the data derived from the financial statements of PORR Polska Construction S.A. and PORR Polska Infrastructure S.A. (formerly Bilfinger Infrastructure S.A.). The data pertaining to 2014 have been derived from the financial statement of PORR Polska Construction S.A. 31 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 32 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Chapter 2. Prospects for Development of Construction Companies in Poland 33 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.1 Introduction This section of the Report includes an analysis of the factors which affect the condition of the construction industry as well as supporting data, such as bankruptcies among construction companies and employment rates in the sector. Next, key information concerning selected segments of the construction sector is presented along with an analysis of their prospects for development in the short and medium term. Finally, a summary of the current conditions and the key growth drivers in the sector are presented from the perspective of representatives of Polish construction companies. Following a period of decline in 2012 and 2013, the construction sector in Poland saw a modest recovery in 2014 and 2015. In 2015, the Polish construction sector grew by 2.9% at constant prices (growth at current prices amounted to 0.13%). In 2014, the sector grew by 4.9% in current prices (5.9% at constant prices). Considering delays in contract award procedures relating to large infrastructure projects supported in the new 2014-2020 EU perspective, the upward trend observed over the past two years will not be seen this year. The effects of the said delays have already been demonstrated in data published by the Central Statistical Office. In August, production in the construction and assembly sector dropped by 20.5% (at constant prices). It also went down (by 14.9% at current prices) in the entire period from January to August 2016. The latest data regarding bankruptcies in the enterprise sector also support that trend. After three consecutive years when construction company bankruptcies decreased in number, in the first half of 2016 they grew by 8% as compared with the corresponding period of 2015. Sold production in construction industry (in PLN bn) 12.0 17.2 10.9 10.0 8.0 7.7 7.3 7.0 7.0 6.3 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1H 2012 2H 2012 1H 2013 2H 2013 1H 2014 2H 2014 1H 2015 2H 2015 1H 2016 Source: Central Statistical Office Within the next few years we can expect many changes, because the business climate in the construction industry to a large extent depends on infrastructure projects. Beginning from 2018, the planned road and railway projects will be launched and most likely, they will accumulate, which in turn may cause a price war in the sector. Piotr Janiszewski, CEO, Skanska S.A. Delays in inviting tenders for large infrastructure projects in 2016 have had an adverse effect on the current situation in the construction sector. Nevertheless, the average pay in the industry rose in early 2016. It is also anticipated that the demand for workforce will increase due to the expectation of the launch of EU supported projects. As the level of funding from the EU perspective is known but the project timelines are still uncertain, construction companies have refrained from investing in modern fixed assets or innovative technology solutions. 34 10.9 10.5 The influx of funds from the European Union will be of crucial importance to the improvement of the conditions on the infrastructure construction market in Poland in the upcoming years. The EU structural and investment funds allocated to Poland for 2014-2020 total EUR 86.6 billion, out of which EUR 0.8 billion (0.9% of the total allocated amount) had been disbursed by the European Union by May 2016. The aggregate value of applications filed under all the available operational programmes for 2014-2020 by July 2016 exceeded PLN 143.5 billion, including PLN 88 billion of EU support. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Representatives of the largest construction companies see the new EU financial perspective as a great opportunity but they also voice concerns over the delays in inviting tenders and completing the existing contract award procedures. Following the change in the government in October 2015, the new authorities have begun to revise the key infrastructure programmes, that is the National Road Building Programme and the National Railway Programme. According to the Ministry of Infrastructure, in its current version the National Road Building Programme would require additional funds of PLN 90 billion so that all the objectives defined therein could be achieved. Such conclusions have been arrived at following the verification of plans and costs assumed in the National Road Building Programme. At the beginning of August 2016, the Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction held a dialogue with road contractors, which resulted in the announcement of work on the improvement of public procurement processes. Representatives of the industry emphasized that unpredictability of the investment process was their major concern. On 2 September 2016, the Minister of Infrastructure, PKP PLK and the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways presented the road and railway construction status and plans. According to the Minister, the situation in the road segment is relatively good as opposed to that in the railway segment, where tenders that should have been invited a year ago will only be invited this and next year. This was due to a lack of documentation, which should have been prepared by the former government The housing construction segment enjoys a strong growth in the demand, which has continued uninterruptedly since 2014. In the short-term perspective this trend is expected to continue, considering that Poland has one of the lowest ratios of flats per 1,000 citizens in Europe and that government programmes intended to support housing (such as “Flats for the Young” or the “National Housing Programme”) have been launched. In addition, part of the demand is generated by investment-oriented transactions. Low interest rates, which significantly restrict the profitability of investing in deposits, along with the unfavourable situation on the Warsaw Stock Exchange which discourages investors result in an increased focus on real property investments. Nonetheless, in the mid-term, a slowdown in the housing construction segment can be expected in view of the finalization of the Flats for the Young programme in 2018 and the heightened restrictions of mortgage loan availability. In 2015, the supply on the office construction market was the highest on record. This is evidenced by an unprecedented volume of office space built (622,000 sq.m.). The demand increased as well and the overall lease transaction value was 40% higher than in 2014. According to Colliers International, over 1.5 million sq.m. of office space is being constructed at present, half of which is in Warsaw. It can be expected though that - considering the high demand that can be observed now and that is planned for the future - the unrented space ratio for the major Polish markets will be going up over the next few quarters. In the upcoming years, construction companies will, on the one hand, focus on taking advantage of the increased volume of projects (as a result of an influx of EU funds and the launch of government housing programmes), and on the other on ensuring growth in value in the long term. In order to maintain a competitive advantage after the end of the 2014-2020 EU perspective, companies continue their expansion on foreign markets, to include Western Europe, Scandinavia or the Balkans, both through exports and through development of operations in other countries. They have also been diversifying their business and developing new competences, such as modernization projects in building and facility construction or maintenance in the infrastructure segment. Additionally, managers have launched operational optimisation initiatives (such as headcount reduction or operational structure changes). The aforementioned factors show that the conditions in the construction sector vary considerably by segment. The infrastructure segment, which depends on public funding and government decisions, is faced with the most problematic situation. A slowdown in that segment may lead to an end of the upward trend observed in the construction sector for the past two years. The sector companies will have to make it through the temporary delays in the major infrastructure projects, which are caused by the launch of the 2014-2020 EU perspective and revision of the existing road and railway programmes. In this chapter we attempt to sum up the opportunities that are now available, indicate the key growth drivers and prospects for development. As the Polish construction market is expected to shrink after the end of the current EU perspective, Polish construction companies should consider international expansion now. Leszek Gołąbiecki - Chairman of the Management Board, Unibep S.A. 35 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Early 2016 saw a slowdown in the growth rate to 2.6% (January - March) as compared to a rate of 3.8% in the corresponding period in the preceding year. Initial estimates by the Central Statistical Office show that in Q2 2016 GDP went up by 3% year-on-year vs. 3.2% a year before. The slowdown results mainly from a decline in infrastructure investment accompanied by a drop in government spending in relation to the EU funding cycle. The government's forecasts as to the planned 3.8% growth were updated in the second half of August to 3.5%. However, considering the decline in infrastructure investment and the uncertainty resulting from the announcement of Brexit, it may be difficult to reach GDP growth even at the reduced level. 36 6% 5.0% 3.6% 3.3% 3.1% 3% 2% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 2020F 3.7% 2019F 4% 2018F 5% 2.9% 1.6% 1.3% 1% 2017F 2016F 2015 2014 2013 2012 0% 2011 Economic growth In 2015, the compound average growth rate in Poland was 3.6%. The growth was fuelled mainly by household consumption and a rise in exports that was attributable to improved competitiveness of Polish goods (primarily owing to depreciation of the Polish currency relative to the euro and U.S. dollar). Increase of Poland's GDP 2010 2.2. Key growth drivers for the construction market in Poland In the upcoming years, the condition of the construction sector will be determined mainly by such factors as the macroeconomic situation in Poland (primarily, its economic growth) and the use of the funds allocated to infrastructure investments in the 2014-2020 EU perspective, which will depend on the possibilities of subsidizing infrastructure projects limited by the criterion of the public debt level. Source: EIU, Country Forecast Poland, August 2015 update Geographical diversification is the strategic objective of the Trakcja PRKiI Group. The Group is present in the Lithuanian market and strives to acquire new clients in markets offering many opportunities, such as Scandinavia or the Balkans. Ultimately, the Group intends to generate 50 percent of its revenue from export sales. Jarosław Tomaszewski – Chairman of the Management Board, Trakcja PRKiI S.A. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Government debt The level of government debt largely determines the possibilities of the State and local governments to support infrastructure projects. At the end of 2015, the government debt-to-GDP ratio was 48.4%. According to the government debt management strategy for 2016-2019, as proposed by the Minister of Finance, in 2015 and 2016 the government debt-to-GDP ratio will rise to 49.0% but it will gradually decrease to 47.5% in 2019. Public debt as a GDP percentage 60% 58% 56% 54% 53.4% 53.9% 52.6% 52% 50% 47.8% 48% 48.4% 49.0% 49.0% 48.1% 47.5% 46% EU funds The influx of funds from the European Union in the 2014-2020 financial perspective is a key growth driver for the construction market, especially in the infrastructure sector. The total funds allocated to Poland under the cohesion policy is EUR 82.5 billion, including EUR 45.6 billion earmarked for grants under National Operational Programmes. Detailed allocation of funds to each Operational and National Programme was presented in the previous edition of the Report. Funds for infrastructure projects are derived mainly from the Eastern Poland programme and the Infrastructure and Environment programme. The Eastern Poland Operational Programme covers infrastructure projects on two priority axes, namely the Modern Transport Infrastructure and the SupraRegional Railway Infrastructure. In 2015, no grant applications and no contracts were signed under the 2014 2020 perspective. Likewise, no applications for payments linked with infrastructure projects were settled under the program by the end of 2015. Under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme (POIiŚ) 2014-2020, grant agreements totalling EUR 615.7 million had been signed by the end of 2015 in relation to railway infrastructure projects (core network, comprehensive network and other railways) and EUR 1.9 billion for roads and motorways (the total value of grant agreements signed under the programme as a whole was EUR 2.5 billion out of EUR 14.6 billion available). 44% 42% 40% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F Source: Ministry of Finance – “Public Finance Sector Debt Management Strategy for 2015-2018, September 2014 Allocation of EU funds under 2014-2020 perspective (in PLN bn) 1.57 3.83 1.18 4.05 1.17 4.27 1.17 4.47 1.17 4.68 1.17 4.88 1.17 5.09 6.19 6.49 6.80 7.39 5.85 7.10 5.52 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Rural Development Programmes Regional Operational Programmes National Operational Programmes Source: Ministry of Development and Infrastructure Establishing the Polish Cluster of Construction Exporters, an association of construction companies controlled by Polish investors, will help strengthen the position of Polish companies in foreign markets. Leszek Gołąbiecki - Chairman of the Management Board, Unibep S.A. 37 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Number of bankruptcies among construction contractors between 2011 and 1H 2016 2.3. Bankruptcies in the construction sector In the first half of 2016, the number of bankruptcies in the construction sector increased by 8% year-on-year, which was a consequence of a temporary lack of contracts. However, this does not fully reflect the condition of construction companies. The real drop in construction investment is almost twice as high as the increase in the number of bankruptcies in absolute terms. Companies expect that the situation will improve once infrastructure projects have been launched in the new EU perspective. The majority of entities going bankrupt are those operating in the road and water supply system infrastructure segment, while the number of bankruptcies in the housing construction segment is definitely lower. At present, the condition of companies in the housing construction segment is considered good. As the supply has a good correlation with the demand, the problem of unsold projects has disappeared. However, the medium-term outlook is less optimistic as banks are planning to reduce the number of new loans (increased pressure to match the asset and liability portfolios and the 38 27% 22% 20% 17% 20% 66 71 273 253 250 184 200 150 146 146 100 50 2015 2014 2013 0 2011 Based on the economic factors and the expected influx of EU funds we may conclude that the prospects for the construction sector are good. The statistical data concerning bankruptcy and employment (discussed below) well reflect the current situation in the sector and its prospects for the nearest future. In addition, section 2.6 of our report presents our forecast regarding the market situation from the perspective of companies, PKP PLK and the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways. 29% 1H2016 20% 300 1H2015 Share of bankruptcies in the construction sector in all bankruptcy petitions 2012 The recent decision of the UK to leave the European Union may reduce the available EU funds. Needless to say, withdrawal from the EU is a lengthy process, which will probably take several years. However, the United Kingdom is one of the largest net payers to the EU budget. Consequently, its secession may lead to a reduction in the number of investment projects and introduction of more stringent financing criteria. Source: Euler Hermes A serious challenge, from the perspective of both investors and general contractors, is to understand the changes to the Public Procurement law, namely the 40% non-price criterion. Indisputably, it is the right direction that will favour companies focused on social responsibility, innovation, security and sustainability. Piotr Janiszewski, CEO, Skanska S.A. necessity to implement more stringent credit analysis criteria). The social tenement housing programme proposed by the government may have an impact on the market in the longer term. The major threat for companies operating in the infrastructure segment is delays in contract award procedures as well as an uncertainty as to the pricing of construction materials in the case of project accumulation. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.4. Employment in the construction sector In the first half of 2016, the number of employees in the construction sector ceased to fall for the first time since 2012. According to the Polish Central Statistical Office, in the first half of 2016, the average number of employees increased by 0.2% as compared to the corresponding period in the preceding year, although a drop by 0.3% YoY was seen in the first quarter. In 2015, the average number of employees was 387,600, which means a 5,8% drop (in 2013 an 8.6% decrease was reported, followed by a 7.6% decline in 2014). With a decelerating downward trend in employment in the construction sector, the average gross monthly pay in 2015 was PLN 4,076.47, up by 4.9% year-on-year. In the first half of 2016 the average pay was PLN 4,169.37 (i.e. 2.3% more than in 2015). Considering that over the past three years the average pay in the first half of the year was ca. 2% lower than the average annual pay, a further increase in pay may be expected in the construction sector in 2016 as a whole. According to a survey conducted by the Central Statistical Office among construction companies, a shortage of qualified staff is a growing problem in the industry. In August 2016 28.1% of companies identified this factor as a barrier to business. The ratio was higher only between 2006 and 2008. As in the preceding year, employment costs were considered the heaviest financial burden. They were identified as a barrier to business by 61% of employers (vs. 62% in 2015). Average employment and gross salary in the construction sector from 2008 to 1H2016 4 300 550 4 100 478.2 446.1 443.3 3 900 4077 488.1 4169 4043 500 445.8 450 411.5 398.9 3 888 3 700 3 704 387.6 3 728 3 702 382.5 383.4 3 540 3 500 350 3 464 3 359 3 300 400 300 3 100 250 2 900 200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1Q 2016 1H 2016 Gross average pay [PLN] Average employment in year [in thousands] Source: Central Statistical Office Average gross pay in the first half of 2016 in specific construction sectors 4 500 4 400 4 300 4 200 4 169 4 100 4 393 4 000 4 121 3 900 4 018 3 800 Building construction Works linked with construction of civil and water engineering structures Specialized construction work Average pay in specific segments Average pay in construction industry Source: Central Statistical Office Significant EU funds used for financing Polish infrastructure projects and no barriers of entry on the domestic market created fierce competition for contracts and considerably reduced margins earned by general contractors. The fact that projects under the new perspective are delayed by almost three years makes us cautious, because now it is uncertain whether all investment projects planned under the National Railway Programme will be delivered and whether the PLN 66 bn will be fully used. Jarosław Tomaszewski – Chairman of the Management Board, Trakcja PRKiI S.A. 39 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Employment outlook The latest report entitled “Manpower Employment Outlook Barometer” presents the employment outlook for the economy for Q4 2016.1 The data contained in the report shows that employers in Poland are clearly optimistic about the future. The net employment outlook is positive for nine out of ten sectors surveyed. In Q4, 15% of the respondents are planning to increase the number of their employees, 75% declare that no changes will be made in this regard and 7% expect a headcount reduction. Optimism prevails also among employers in the construction sector. The net employment outlook for the analysed period is +13%, which translates into a 2 p.p. rise year-on-year. This means that 13% more companies expect that the number of their employees will increase as opposed to fall. Before the seasonal update, the net employment outlook is +12%. Considering a large number of projects to be implemented within the next 6-7 years with the support of the European Union, the number of employees in the infrastructure segment may be expected to rise over the years 2014 - 2020. Hays forecasts that the employment rate will increase mainly in the road and railway infrastructure segments and candidates for the position of site manager, contract manager and industry manager will be most frequently searched for in 2016 by general contractors. Key business challenges faced by construction companies 70% 62% 62% 61% 60% 50% 40% 34% 30% 35% 31% 30% 31% 28% 28% 19% 20% 22% 10% 0% Employment costs Insufficient demand Cots of materials Shortage of competent staff August 2014 August 2015 August 2016 Source: Central Statistical Office We are constantly developing our machinery stock. New specialized equipment will bring us a competitive advantage and it will certainly be required in domestic and Scandinavian contracts. Investments in specialized machinery stock and highly qualified staff are of key importance for further growth of the Torpol Group. Grzegorz Grabowski, Chairman of the Management Board of Torpol S.A. 1 The “net employment outlook” in the "Manpower Employment Outlook Barometer" is a percentage difference between the number of employers anticipating an increase in the total number of employees and the number of employers expecting a fall in the total number of employees in their branch in the nearest quarter. 40 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.5. Development prospects for construction market segments in Poland In 2015, the structure of construction and assembly production was similar to that reported in the preceding year. A slight increase was observed in infrastructure construction (from 38.2% to 38.6%) and in specialist construction (from 33.5% to 34.0%), to the benefit of works relating to the erection of buildings. In 2015, the Polish construction sector grew by 2.9% at constant prices (growth at current prices amounted to 0.13%). According to revised data published by the Central Statistical Office, the growth rate was considerably higher a year before, when it reached 4.9% at current prices (5.9% at constant prices). The 2016 figures reflect a slowdown resulting from the suspension of contract award procedures and delays in infrastructure investments. According to the Central Statistical Office, construction and assembly production dropped by 20.5% in August vs. July 2015, and between January and August the decrease was 14.9% (at constant prices). Considering the anticipated acceleration of infrastructure projects due to the necessity to implement government programmes and use EU funds, the construction market value may be expected to increase in the upcoming years. However, as the completion of contract award procedures and the selection of contractors will take more time and, due to the fact that a number of road and railway projects are carried out in the design-build formula, market growth will probably be seen only in 2018. The medium term objective of the Unibep Group is to grow the share of exports in total revenues. Modular construction in Scandinavia is a key element of the Group's development strategy. Leszek Gołąbiecki - Chairman of the Management Board, Unibep S.A. Structure of the construction market in Poland in 2015 100% 90% 80% 38.2% 38.6% 28.3% 27.4% 33.5% 34.0% 2014 2015 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Construction of civil and water engineering structures Building construction Specialized construction Source: Central Statistical Office Polish construction market divided into segments 2010 - 2015 [PLN bn] CAGR* -2.3% 69.1 51.4 37.7 60.6 63.2 64.1 47.0 45.5 52.9 55.5 56.4 2013 2014 2015 64.1 48.9 47.0 41.0 71.8 64.2 63.1 2010 2011 2012 Specialized construction work Construction of civil and water engineering structures Building construction * CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate Source: Central Statistical Office 41 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Despite a drop in production in the construction segment, the "WIG Budownictwo" index has been rising steadily since February 2016, after a period of slight decline in the winter, which may be attributable to an expected increase in the number of contracts on the market. Taking account of the expected increase of employment levels in the construction industry, it may be concluded that the market expects more orders in the infrastructure sector and continued optimism in the housing construction segment. WIG BUD and WIG20 for the period 31.07.2008- 16.09.2016 2015-01-02 2015-11-02 2016-09-02 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 WIG 20 WIG Budownictwo Source: stooq.pl The Torpol Group plans further business growth in the Norwegian market, where it has been winning new deals. Grzegorz Grabowski, Prezes, Torpol S.A. 42 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.5.1. Road construction In the road construction sector, 2015 was a period of transition between the 2007-2013 perspective and the new EU 2014-2020 perspective. Prior perspective projects were being completed and new perspective projects were being planned and prepared at the same time. Investments supported by the EU in the 2014-2020 perspective will be realized in accordance with the National Road Building Programme for 2014-2023 (with projections by 2025) (the “NRBP”), set by the Ministry of Infrastructure and Development in September 2015. Detailed assumptions underlying the programme were presented in the previous edition of the Report. In 2015, funds totalling PLN 11.5 billion, derived from all the available sources, were spent on road projects. In 2015, the road project spending from the National Road Fund itself went down as compared to the preceding year (PLN 8.4 billion in 2015 vs. PLN 12.8 billion in 2014), which represents a drop of 34%.1 In 2015, 24.7 kilometres of expressways and motorways were made available for use and 61.8 kilometres of national roads were rebuilt. This is slightly less than planned in the NRBP (36.0 and 66.4 kilometres, respectively). New contract award procedures were suspended for the NRBP verification period and resumed after the announcement of the "Road and Railway Investment Initiative" by the Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction on 2 September. An investment budget of more than PLN 4 bn was opened in September with 14 invitations to tender. Other tender proceedings worth PLN 8 billion will be announced by the end of the year. Following the execution of these contracts the total value of works would reach PLN 60-65 billion, i.e. 60% of the planned amount. Investment projects will accumulate primarily in the railway segment - we expect that fewer projects will be undertaken in the road segment. Wojciech Trojanowski – Member of the Management Board of Strabag Sp. z o.o. Although the resumption of road investments is a positive sign, it is still questionable whether funds necessary to implement the programme in the upcoming years will be secured, in particular if the total expenditure were to increase to PLN 198 million. In July, the Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction announced that the debt of the National Road Fund exceeded PLN 40 billion (ca. PLN 60 billion along with interest). Investments in expressways and motorways under the National Road Building Programme for 2014-2023 (with projections by 2025) – completion status after 2015 Changes made to the Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction after the establishment of a new government in 2015 have had an impact on the implementation of the road building programme. The NRBP was revised, specifically in terms of its financial assumptions. Initially, PLN 107 billion was to be secured under the NRBP to fulfil the tasks planned. Currently, the Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction estimates that PLN 198 billion will be necessary for that purpose2. It has not been decided yet whether additional funds will be secured to fulfil all the tasks and the NRBP will be updated or whether the list of investments will be verified in terms of priority and precedence. 1 Supreme Chamber of Control report on adherence to the government budget in 2015 (Section 39 – Transport). 2 Presentation by Jerzy Szmit, Deputy Minister of Infrastructure and Construction, at the meeting of the Parliamentary Infrastructure Committee on 11 March 2016. Completed or in progress New investments under the NRBP 2014-2023 Source: National Road Building Programme for 2014-2023 (with projections by 2025) 43 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Before the announcement of the "Initiative", in the new EU perspective under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme 2014-2020, the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways signed an agreement whereby funding would be received for 23 projects totalling PLN 30.9 bn (funding of PLN 13.2 bn) – to be carried out in the years 2015-2020. The technical condition of roads, which deteriorated both in 2014 and 2015 despite considerable investment, is a major problem for road infrastructure in Poland. At the end of 2015, 14.1% of roads were considered “in poor condition” (as compared to 13.2% at the end of 2014) and 25.3% were regarded as “unsatisfactory” (vs. 25.1% in 2014). According to the Report on the Technical Condition of National Roads as at the end of 2015, prepared by the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways, the following factors affected the deterioration of the technical condition of national roads: National road condition by region (as at the end of 2015) Good condition Unsatisfactory condition Poor condition • insufficient funds considering the identified repair needs; • adverse weather conditions – exceptionally low temperatures in winter and high in summer; • changes to the road condition assessment methodology – a longer list of parameters and the application of innovative measurement techniques; • a smaller increase in the length of new roads (in good technical condition) in 2015 as compared to 2014. • national road condition by region (as at the end of 2015). The Dangerous Road Section Management Programme (the "DRSMP") was launched earlier this year with a view to improving the condition of the existing national roads. The tasks defined in the programme are mainly aimed at improving the safety of unprotected traffic participants. In 2016, a total of 292 tasks are to be fulfilled, for which the amount of PLN 300 million has been allocated. The National Road Fund and the government budget allocated to the annual programmes implemented by the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways are the sources of funding for 44 Source: Report on the Technical Condition of National Roads as at the end of 2015 75 percent of the domestic revenue of the Strabag Group come from infrastructure projects, while the remaining 25 percent - from the construction of buildings and facilities. Wojciech Trojanowski – Member of the Management Board of Strabag Sp. z o.o. the aforementioned programme. Ultimately, PLN 600 million will be allocated to the programme annually. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Local government road network In addition to national roads (including expressways and motorways), the Polish public road network consists of local government (regional, district and municipal) roads. The Ministry of Infrastructure and Development supports local government road investments as part of the general subvention fund and the "Municipal and District Road Development Programme" for 2016-2019. The general subvention fund dates back to 1999 and is created annually in the government budget under the Act on Local Government Unit Income. In 2016, PLN 336 million was allocated as part of the general subvention to support local government road investments, with more than half earmarked for four regions, namely Mazowsze, Pomorze, Śląsk and Wielkopolska. The fund will account for 50% of the task value. Allocation of funds to each task has been presented on the website of the Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction: http://mib.gov.pl/2Rezerwasubwencjiogolnej.htm. The aggregate value of tasks to be supported under the Municipal and District Road Infrastructure Programme for 20162019 is PLN 4 billion. The list (based on priority) includes 418 projects relating to district and 938 to municipal roads. Every year ca. 2,200 km of district and municipal roads may be built, rebuilt or repaired under the programme. According to the Supreme Chamber of Control, the condition of 36% of district and municipal roads is poor as compared to only 29% whose condition is considered good or satisfactory3. Due to the fact that the current technical condition of municipal and district roads is unsatisfactory and that the local road infrastructure will not receive any considerable support in the 2014-2020, EU perspective4, the necessary funds must be provided by the State. 3 As of March 2014, considering the effects of the implementation of the National Programme for Local Road Rebuilding between 2008 and 2015. 4 Investments in provincial roads may be fiananced from Regional Operational Programmes. Polish public road categories (as at 31 December 2014) Road category Length [km] Share [%] Road administration authority* Ownership National roads 19 293 4.6% Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways State Treasury Regional roads 28 593 6.9% Central administration authority in the region Local administration authority in the region District roads 125 330 30.1% Central administration authority in the district Local administration authority in the district Municipal roads 243 810 58.5% Municipality Head (Mayor) Local administration authority in the municipality Total 417 026 100% - - *in district cities/towns, the mayor is the administration authority for all public roads, except motorways and expressways Source: Central Statistical Office, Deloitte analysis Division of general subvention fund resources łódzkie - (1%) kujawsko-pomorskie - (6%) dolnośląskie - (1%) podkarpackie - (6%) lubuskie - (2%) lubelskie - (7%) świętokrzyskie - (2%) zachodniopomorskie - (9%) warmińsko-mazurskie - (3%) wielkopolskie - (9%) opolskie - (4%) śląskie - (10%) podlaskie - (4%) pomorskie - (10%) małopolskie - (5%) mazowieckie - (21%) Source: Ministry of Development and Infrastructure 45 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.5.2. Railway Construction The scope of railway construction projects includes the modernization and development of railway and tram infrastructure. In Poland, 19,300 kilometres of railways are used at present, out of which ca. 96% are administered by PKP PLK S.A. The technical condition of the railway infrastructure is unsatisfactory. However, it has been improving steadily since 2010. The condition of 52% of the railways administered by PKP PLK is considered good, 27% satisfactory and 21% unsatisfactory. The railway investment framework has been defined in two documents, namely the Multi-Annual Railway Sector Investment Programme by 2015 (with projections by 2020), which was adopted under a resolution on 13 March 2015, the "MARSIP", and the National Railway Programme by 2023, dated 15 September 2015 (the “NRP”), which continues the MARSIP. The underlying assumptions were presented in the previous edition of the Report. In 2015, projects of PLN 7.2 billion5 were completed under the MARSIP vs. PLN 9.0 billion planned. This shows that the plan for 2015 was 80% implemented in terms of spending but the stage of completion of the construction works was 90%, which is partly attributable to cost savings realized in contract award procedures. Currently, the NRP is being updated. As at the date of this Report, the latest version of the draft programme was published on 11 July 2016. The time limit for the expression of opinions on the draft programme in a social consultation process expired on 2 September. The programme is being updated primarily with a view to making the investment plans more flexible. They previously assumed that 50% of the contract award procedures planned for a 6-year period would be completed in 2019 and 2020. 5 In 2015, the total expenditure met using individual sources of funding was PLN 7.2 billion, whereas the expenses paid by PKP PLK to contractors amounted to PLN 7.7 billion. The difference of ca. PLN 0.5 billion is a refund, which will be transferred to the accounts of PKP PLK in 2016, once it has been verified by the Centre for the EU Transport Projects. 46 Railway spending of PKP PLK (in PLN billion) 18.4 14.3 12.2 12.2 12.9 9.5 8.6 7.1 7.7 7.0 6.2 5.3 5.3 2.4 3.2 3.8 2.8 3.9 2.8 6.1 4.3 3.4 3.0 1.4 1.9 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Delivery Estimates Previous version NRP NRP forecast Source: PKP PLK reports, Multi-Annual Railway Sector Investment Programme, National Railway Programme, Deloitte analysis The updated version provides for changes in the schedule (acceleration for 2016-2017) and extension of the time limit for completion of the investment projects beyond 2020. The objective is to avoid paralysis of the railway traffic and accumulation of investments in 2019 and 2020 which could lead to delays, higher costs and financial problems of the contractors, as it did in the case of road building projects. Until now towns were using EU funds for purchases of rolling stock, but now we can expect more substantial outlays on building tram rails. Wojciech Trojanowski – Member of the Management Board of Strabag Sp. z o.o Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects By the end of September, tenders had been invited for projects with an aggregate value of PLN 18.8 billion (total investments under the NRP estimated at PLN 66 billion). PKP PLK has announced that further tenders will be invited by the end of 2016 with respect to projects of PLN 6.5 billion. In 2017, investments of PLN 5.5 billion in total are to be realized (the additional PLN 1.5 billion will be spent on purchases of materials and works performed by PKP PLK itself) and tenders will be invited for projects of ca. PLN 5.0 billion. In addition to the volume and value of investments financed by the State and EU funds, the condition of the railway construction sector is also determined by the local government activity in the field of repair and improvement of suburban rail. Such projects are financed by grants-in-aid and the Railway Fund. The annual funding limit for 2016-2019 is PLN 110 million. The scope of municipal investment plans also includes the construction and repair of tram lines. In the new EU perspective, up to PLN 13 billion may be spent on the development of tram transport (infrastructure and rolling stock). It may be estimated that about a half of that amount will be spent on infrastructure. However, the latest Multi-Annual Financial Plans for the five largest cities assume railway infrastructure spending of PLN 1.5 billion by 2020. Funding of NRP capital expenditures in 2016 - 2023 (in PLN billion) 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.4 4.8 4.6 1.6 1.2 6.1 0.9 1.3 2.6 1.8 2.1 1.1 0.1 1.0 2016 2017 3.1 2.9 2018 4.3 2019 4.6 2020 4.7 2021 4.1 1.1 0.4 0.3 2022 2023 Other RPO 2007-2013 RPO 2014-2020 PO PW POliŚ 2007-2013 POliŚ 2014-2020 CEF Source: PKP PLK reports, Multi-Annual Railway Sector Investment Programme, National Railway Programme, Deloitte analysis Railway infrastructure investments planned for 2014-2020 under the National Railway Programme vs. completed MARSIP projects Time pressure related to the deadlines for completion of railway investment projects and their final settlement in the period required by the new EU perspective is one of the major sector risks. Grzegorz Grabowski, Chairman of the Management Board of Torpol S.A. Source: Draft National Railway Programme by 2023, dated 11 July 2016 47 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.5.3. Energy construciton6 Poland has large-scale power industry investment plans. According to the Energy Regulatory Office power companies are planning to make (in aggregate) almost 16 GW of new capacity available between 2016 and 2028, the major part of which will be by the end of 2020. The total capital expenditure on new capacity, planned for 2014-2028, is estimated at PLN 55 billion. Wind farms were to account for the major part of the new investments. However, in the context of the legal changes being introduced, the investment plans will have to be revised. The Wind Farm Investment Act published in July 2016 introduced major changes to the wind power industry. Some power companies had to write off investment projects previously planned. Additionally, in 2017 changes will be made to the taxation of property where wind farms are located. Under the new act, property tax will apply not only to the structure (foundation and tower) but also to the technical components, which account for ca. 70% of the total wind farm value, and this will further reduce the return on such investments. However, the final consequences of the legal changes may not be determined at present, as new draft amendments to the act were prepared in September with a view to reducing the negative effects of such modifications to a minimum. 6 The national power industry investment plans discussed in the previous edition of the Report have not changed. 48 Planned generation capacity (MW) 4.5 3.9 4.0 3.6 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.5 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 AFTER 2021 Source: Energy Regulatory Office Newsletter No. 3 (93) of 30 September 2015 The margins on energy projects generated by technology providers and construction companies differ, with the former reporting much better performance. Antoni Józwowicz, CEO, Polimex-Mostostal S.A. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Selected key investments in the power industry (by stage of completion): Projects in progress7: 1.One Unit in Kozienice Power Plant (1075 MW; hard coal); 2.Two units in Opole Power Plant ( 2 x 900 MW; hard coal); 3.Stalowa Wola Power Plant (450; 240 MW; natural gas); 4.Włocławek Power Plant (463 MW; natural gas); 5.Turów Power Plant (450 MW; brown coal); 6.Jaworzno Power Plant (910 MW; hard coal); 7.Płock Heat and Power Plant (596 MWe; natural gas; planned to be made available for use by the end of 2017). two nuclear power plants with a total capacity of approx. 6000 MW net (4-8 nuclear power units). At present, the Ministry of Energy is working on a programme for the construction of the first nuclear power unit with a capacity of ca. 1000 MW, to be built within the next decade. According to the industry, the construction of nuclear power plants in Poland is not certain. The visions of the ministries of development and energy concerning the future of the power industry differ and nuclear power plant investment requires massive expenditure. There are new investment plans for the renewable energy sector in Poland, too. According to the Energy Regulatory Office, the installed capacity in the renewable energy sector is 82 GW (as at 30 June 2016). The Institute for Renewable Energy forecasts investments in new renewable energy sources of 15 GW (electricity) and of 9 GW (heat). According to the Energy Market Agency, the share of renewable energy in Poland should account for about 19% in 2030.8 Figure 1: Map of selected key capacity investments – in progress and planned Żarnowiec Projects planned (contract signed / pending contract award procedure / preimplementation analyses): Gąski Rajkowy Grudziądz 1.Żerań Heat and Power Plant (420-490 MW; natural gas); Płock Włocławek 2.North Power Plant (ultimately 2 x 800 MW; hard coal; a construction permit has not been obtained yet); Żerań 3.Grudziądz Power Plant (ca. 420-600 MW; natural gas; project suspended); Kozienice Puławy 4.Puławy Power Plant (ca. 400 MW; natural gas); Turów 5.Czeczott Power Plant (ca. 1000 MW). Suspended projects: 1.Łagisza Power Plant (413 MW; natural gas) – the project has been suspended by Tauron Group, which was communicated in September 2016 when the Group's Strategy for 2016-2025 was being announced. The power industry plays an important role in the draft "Responsible Growth Strategy" presented by the government in August 2016. The "Polish Nuclear Power Programme" is planned to be continued. The Programme provides for the development of 7 Above 100 MW Opole Źródło energii: Sources of energy: Łagisza Stalowa Wola Jaworzno Wola k/Pszczyny coalkamienny --hard węgiel --brown węgielcoal brunatny --natural gaz gas of nuclear powerjądrowej --considered rozważanelocations lokalizacje elektrowni plant consideration Source: Deloitte analysis 8 2030 capacity forecast assuming predefined technical and economic parameters for nuclear power plants, ARE S.A., June 2013 49 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects In addition to capacity investments, a number of projects aimed at developing the transmission and distribution networks are planned. Based on the plans adopted in 2014, total expenditure on distribution and transmission infrastructure between 2016 and 2019 is to reach ca. PLN 42 billion. Table: Total agreed capital expenditure of five distribution system operators and the transmission system operator for 2014-2019 (in PLN million). Year 2014* 2015* 2016 2017 2018 2019 Expenditure 6,482 6,680 6,361 7,617 8,199 5,246** * - delivery ** - expenditures 5 OSD (no OSP) Source: Energy Regulatory Office We believe that business diversification and undertaking projects in the energy and road segments maximize our chances of development. Jarosław Tomaszewski – Chairman of the Management Board, Trakcja PRKiI S.A. Table: Key investments realized or planned in the field of distribution and transmission systems Project Contractor Estimated expenditure (in PLN billion) Baltic Pipe (PolandDenmark) Gaz-System PLN 1.6 billion LNG FSRU Terminal Gaz-System PLN 0.5-0.9 billion Natural gas storage facility PGNiG PLN 0.9 billion EFRA Project Lotos Group PLN 2.2 billion Oil terminal construction in Gdańsk PERN PLN 0.4 billion LNG terminal development in Świnoujście Gaz-System PLN 0.7-1.7 billion GIPL gas pipeline (PolandLithuania) Gaz-System PLN 1.9 billion North-South Gas Corridor Gaz-System PLN 4.5 billion Construction of gas pipelines across Poland PGNiG PLN 8.4 billion Source: "Bezpieczeństwo warte miliardy”, the Rzeczpospolita daily, 27 May 2016 50 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects According to the draft "Development plan for the satisfaction of the current and future demand for electricity between 2016 and 2025", during the first five years PSE plans to incur capital expenditure of PLN 7.08 billion to develop the transmission network. Almost 78% of that amount will be spent on the construction of new transmission facilities, while the remaining part on modernization projects. Outlays of PLN 6.43 billion are estimated for the second half of the investment horizon. Figure 2: Transmission network map – forecast as at the end of 2025 Decisions on the implementation of projects relating to the development and modernization of transmission networks will be taken after the relevant criteria have been satisfied (to include a definition of connection conditions or execution of connection agreements). Source: PSE, Development plan for satisfaction of the current and future demand for electricity between 2016 and 2025 51 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.5.4. Environmental protection Funds allocated under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme 2014-2020 to investments in water and sewage management and in waste management total EUR 1.62 billion and EUR 0.93 billion, respectively. They will enable Poland to continue its investment programme aimed at bringing the Polish infrastructure into line with the parameters defined by the European Union. Water and sewage management Investments planned in the field of water and sewage management have been defined in the “Master Plan for the implementation of Council Directive 91/271/EEC” (the “Master Plan”) and the “National Programme for Municipal Sewage Treatment” (the “NPMST”). In May 2016, an "Update to the Master Plan" was approved by the Ministry of Environment. Currently, the fourth version of the NPMST dated 21 April 2016 is in force. At the beginning of September, work on the fifth version of the NPMST began, to be completed in March 2017. According to the latest version, the total estimated value of the projects implemented under the NPMST for 2015 is PLN 6 billion and the total estimated expenditure along with the amount to be spent in 2016 is PLN 23 billion, where almost PLN 17.5 billion is to be spent by the end of 2020. In 2015, 4,862 kilometres of sewage pipes were built and 698 kilometres modernized. As a result, the number of people using sewage management services increased by ca. 606,000. The fourth version assumes that investments will be realized in 824 treatment plants, that 16,918 kilometres of new sewage pipes will be built and a further 3,505 kilometres modernized. As a result, the number of people using sewage management services following the development and modernization of the network will increase by ca. 1.8 million. 52 Structure of the planned expenditures, according to NPMST Wastewater treatment incl. septic sludge treatment and management 33% Construction of sewage system 52% Modernization of sewage system 15% Source: NPMST 2015 Update Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Waste management The investments planned in the field of waste management have been defined mainly in the National Waste Management Plan 2022 (the “NWMP”). The resolution to introduce the new plan was adopted on 1 July 2016 and issued on 11 August 2016. The objectives and tasks defined in the document concern the years 20162022 and the years 2023-2030 in the long term. The key objective of the NWMP is to avoid waste production and to use waste as a resource. The said objective is consistent with the measures defined in the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme with respect to municipal waste management. The planned investment projects support the plan assumptions that 50% of municipal waste should be recycled by 2020 (60% by 2025) and no more than 30% of such waste ought to be incinerated. In the 2014-2020 perspective, funds of EUR 0.93 billion have been allocated to municipal waste management under the Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme. Construction of municipal waste incineration facilities – projects in progress and planned Estimated project cost (in PLN million) Project location Capacity of Solid Waste Treatment Warsaw 40 Bydgoszcz 180 523 Additional funds form IEOP 2014-20 (in PLN million) Project formula Expected project length Existing Traditional Operating 255 Traditional Operating Kraków 220 826 372 Traditional Operating Białystok 120 333 210 Traditional Operating Konin 94 388 165 Traditional Operating Poznań 210 720 352 PPP Operating Preparatory stage Traditional Investment approx. 80% completed. Originally, it was planned to be completed by the end of 2015. The deadline was extended until 10 December 2016, but in June 2016 the contractor (Mostostal) withdrew from the contract. The process of selecting the new contractor is 1 100 Traditional MPO (City Sanitation Department) has signed an engineer's contract with the consortium Eko-Inwest, ECM Group Polska with respect to extension of the municipal waste incineration facilities in Warszawa-Targówek. The project is scheduled to be completed at the turn of 160 400 Traditional The project contractor has been selected. The project is scheduled for 2018. 92 340 PPP The procedure to select the contractor is in Szczecin 150 666 Warsaw 305 Oświęcim Koszalin 255 Gdańsk 250 400-500 PPP The provisions of the PPP contract are being negotiated with 5 preselected contractors. The construction work is scheduled for 2018 - 2020. Olsztyn 100 250 PPP "The project is at the planning stage. The project is scheduled to be completed in 2020." Rzeszów 100 285 Traditional "The construction contract has been signed. The scheduled launch date is in 2018." Legnica 120 347 Traditional No decision concerning the start of the Sosnowiec 180 480 Traditional No decision concerning the start of the Ruda Śląska 500 1 699 Traditional The stage of public consultations has ended. No decision concerning the start of the investment. Łódź 200 1 130 Project abandoned PPP The current capacity of waste incineration facilities Project abandoned. 864 thousand tons per year Capacity to be achieved in 2017: 1 014 thousand tons per year Potential capacity if all projects that are being considered are to be carried out: 2 781 thousand tons per year Source: Deloitte analysis 53 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.5.5. Construction in the commercial and service sector In 2015, the commercial space market in Poland increased by almost 650,000 sq.m. A higher supply was observed in the second half of the year, when almost two-thirds of new commercial space was made available for use. Shopping centres accounted for ca. 550,000 sq.m. and commercial warehouses represented 98,000 sq.m. At the end of the first half of 2016, more than 13.5 million sq.m. of modern commercial space was available in Poland. Structure of commercial space opened in 2015 by investment type and format 15% 2% 1% 1% 3% 21% 57% In 2015, 23 new commercial and service facilities were opened, the largest being "Zielone Arkady" in Bydgoszcz (51,000 sq.m.), "Sukcesja" in Łódz (46,000 sq.m.) and "Tarasy Zamkowe" in Lublin (38,000 sq.m.). Development of existing shopping centres accounted for more than 25% of commercial space made available for use in 2015. Fifteen facilities were extended, including "Centrum Bielany" in Wrocław (additional 35,000 sq.m. built), which thus became the largest shopping centre in Poland with a total area of 145,000 sq.m. In 2015, the vacancy rate on mature markets in the eight largest cities was 2.9% on average vs. 4.0% in regional cities. The lowest rate was recorded in Warsaw, Wrocław and Lublin (1.5%) and the highest in Bydgoszcz, Radom and Toruń (6.0%, 5.7% and 5.2%, respectively). Currently, almost 700,000 sq.m. of commercial space is being built, out of which 450,000 sq.m. is planned to be made available for use in 2016. Nonetheless, the outlook for commercial space construction companies is uncertain due to the changes in the Polish legal system and the political and economic climate in Europe. On 14 June 2016 the Polish government ratified the final version of the Act on trade tax and it is estimated that approx. 100 major commercial networks operating in Poland will become liable to that levy. The increased level of uncertainty in Europe (inter alia due to Brexit), especially in the Context of FOREX 54 New Shopping Centres Extension of Shopping Centers New Commercial Parks Extension of Commercial Parks New Outlet Centres Extension of Outlet Centres Mega Department Stores Source: Cushman&Wakefield Analyses rates, may check the inflow of foreign capital, which in turn will lead to a decrease of investment volumes in the commercial real property segment. We have great competence in the field of general and engineering construction, but we are also looking out for new areas of expertise. We plan to reinforce our footprint in the large project segment , which does not mean that we will neglect local investments. Our company increasingly relies on innovation. Delivering top-quality services and the safety of our employees at construction sites constitute our main priorities. Piotr Janiszewski, CEO, Skanska S.A. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.4.6. Housing construction The outlook for housing construction companies remains positive. The ratio of flats per 1,000 citizens in Poland is lower than in other European countries. This means a potential for further growth and an opportunity for entities active on the Polish housing construction market. Number of flats per 1000 inhabitants in 2015 700 600 500 363 375 400 300 471 486 438 448 451 455 418 436 437 532 533 543 510 512 516 522 573 295 200 In 2015, both the demand and supply on the residential property market were strong. Not only did the number of flats sold increase but the number of new flats made available on the market went up as well. According to REAS, 51,800 flats were sold in 2015 (vs. 43,000 in 2014), while 51,900 were made available for sale (as compared to 47,500 in 2014). The first half of 2016 was also exceptionally good in this regard. The number of flats sold was 29,400 and flats made available for sale was 31,400, which was a 21% and 28% rise, respectively, as compared to the first half of 2015. As regards the supply, a recovery on the housing construction market is also reflected in such statistics as the number of flats for which an occupancy permit was issued or the number of residential building construction permits issued (In 2015, 147,595,000 and 72,000, respectively). This was a 3% rise in the number of new flats vs. 2014 and a 10% increase in the number of issued construction permits. A more considerable increase in the supply was seen in the first half of 2016, when the number of flats for which an occupancy permit was issued went up by 15% and the number of construction permits issued increased by 14% year-on-year. 100 0 Source: Euromonitor International, Deloitte analysis Number of flats sold in six largest Polish cities (in thousand) 16 14 12 10 8 10.9 11 4Q 2013 1Q 2014 9.6 7.4 10.4 10.4 2Q 2014 3Q 2014 11.2 4Q 2014 1Q 2015 14.3 4Q 2015 1Q 2016 15.1 13.2 12.7 11.5 14.4 8.1 6 4 2 0 1Q 2013 2Q 2013 3Q 2013 2Q 2015 3Q 2015 2Q 2016 Source: REAS Number of flats sold in six largest Polish cities (in thousand) 180 160 153 160 136 140 145 148 143 132 120 91 100 88 85 80 76 67 65 72 60 Construction and modernization of hospital buildings can generate higher volumes of investment projects in the coming years. Wojciech Trojanowski – Member of the Management Board of Strabag Sp. z o.o 74 39 40 20 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H 2016 Number of flats placed into service Issued housing construction permits Source: Central Statistical Office 55 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Factors affecting the demand on the housing construction market In 2015, the favourable conditions on the housing construction market were additionally sustained by government programmes supporting flat purchases and the vision of more stringent requirements for home loans. Mortgages in Poland in 2010-2015 and 1H 2016 374.1 382.9 370 350.4 2 000 000 330.8 313.7 1 500 000 316.3 320 263.6 270 2,027 ,972 1,994 ,677 1,896 ,779 1,819 ,796 1,731 ,593 500 000 1,630 ,694 1 000 000 1,448 ,828 According to the National Bank of Poland report entitled "The Loan Market in Q3 2016", published in July 2016, banks imposed stricter criteria for granting home loans in Q2 2016 and announced the establishment of more demanding requirements with respect to collateral pledged by borrowers, as a result of which a drop in the demand is expected. However, in 2015 and in the first half of 2016, the demand was still considerable and at the end of Q1 2016 the overall number of active mortgage agreements administered by the Polish banking sector exceeded 2 million for the first time. 420 2 500 000 220 170 0 120 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H 2016 Number of active contracts Total indebtedness (in PLN billion) Source: Central Statistical Office One of the factors fuelling the demand for home loans was the continuation of the "Flats for the Young" programme for 20142018. The fact that the programme is limited in time and the borrowers' concerns that the funds allocated to subsidies under the "Flats for the Young" programme9 for 2017 will soon be used up contributes to good conditions on the housing market. It should also be emphasized that currently the provisions of the National Housing Programme are being drafted. The programme is also aimed at facilitating flat purchases. It provides for the establishment of the National Housing Fund, which will enable the construction of tenement houses that may later be purchased at attractive prices, without the use of State funds. The land to be used for construction purposes, to secure funds for projects implemented in other locations or for the provision of financial support, is mainly State-owned property. 9 Under the applicable regulations, where the downpayment may not be partially covered in 2016, an application may be filed with the planned subsidy payment date in 2017. 56 The objective of the programme is to increase the supply of flats and their availability and to lower rents for individuals who cannot afford their own flat or fail to satisfy the loan granting criteria. Under the programme, the spending on social tenement houses should reach PLN 157.2 million and PLN 12.8 million in 2017 and 2018, respectively, and PLN 4,730.4 million between 2019 and 2025. A total of almost 200,000 flats are planned to be built (7,000 in 2017, 13,000 in 2018 and 179,000 between 2019 and 2025). One of the objectives of the National Housing Programme is to catch up with the average number of flats per 1,000 citizens in the European Union. It is estimated that this will require the construction of 2 million flats in Poland by 2030. As in the past year, the attractiveness of investments in flats for rent was a major factor influencing the purchase of flats in the context of an uncertain outlook for the Warsaw Stock Exchange. On the one hand, it is expected that foreign investors may return to the Warsaw Stock Exchange following an outflow of investments, but on the other, the possibility that open-ended pension funds will be done away with, the fact that opinions about Poland are not particularly favourable on foreign markets and that the number of IPOs is decreasing have considerably weakened the position of the Warsaw Stock Exchange over the past few years. The future of the Warsaw Stock Exchange will depend on the economic conditions in Poland and abroad, which may not be determined at present. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.5.7. Office construction In 2015, the supply on the office construction market in Poland was the highest on record. The total modern office space available in the nine largest Polish cities (Warsaw, Kraków, Wrocław, Tricity, Katowice, Poznań, Łódź, Szczecin and Lublin) was 8.2 million sq.m. at the end of 2015. Only in 2015, 643,000 sq.m. of modern office space was constructed, out of which 278,000 sq.m. was in the capital and 366,000 sq.m. in regional markets. The demand on the office construction market was very high last year as well. The overall lease transaction value was 40% higher than in the preceding year. Nonetheless, it needs to be emphasised that the situation on the office construction market may deteriorate over the next few quarters. Access to foreign funding (due to low interest rates offered in developed countries), which contributed to the increase of the available space, may become restricted in the months to come. In addition, considering the anticipated high supply, it is to be expected that the unrented space ratio will go up in the largest Polish cities. 2.5.8. Warehouse construction The warehouse construction market grew considerably both in 2015 and in Q1 2016. At the end of March 2016, Poland had a total of 10.3 million sq.m. of modern warehouse space. Growing demand makes the market outlook even more optimistic. The transactions entered into in Q1 2016 involved 637,000 sq.m. of warehouse space, which means an 8% (45,000 sq.m.) increase year-on-year. The rise in the demand was accompanied by the increasing supply of warehouse space. Only in Q1 2016, the warehouse space resources increased by 447,000 sq.m., which represented almost a half of the supply recorded in 2015 as a whole. Additionally, the fact that the vacancy rate has again gone down shows that the supply has a good correlation with the demand. At the end of Q1 2016, the vacancy rate was 5.9% of the existing resources, i.e. ca. 0.9 p.p. less than in the corresponding period of the preceding year. Warehouse space in construction 1Q 2016 (in sq.m.) 200000 At the end of 1Q 2016 the vacancy rate in Poland equalled 12.6%, with the highest rate recorded in Szczecin (18.3%), Katowice (17.4%), Poznań (14.4%), Warsaw (14,1%) and Tricity (14%). 184,000 180000 160000 140000 120000 The National Bank of Poland points out the growing imbalance on the real property market which is a consequence of excess supply. Considering the increasing number of vacancies and the associated drop in rents, the cost-effectiveness of investing in office space will go down, which is already reflected in the valuation of investment certificates of closed investment funds investing in real property. 110,000 106,000 100000 99,000 91,000 81,000 80000 60,000 60000 44,000 40000 20000 8,000 0 Warsaw Warszawa - the city - the suburbs Central Poland Upper Silesia Poznań Wrocław Tricity Kraków Other regions Source: Cushman&Wakefield Analyses 57 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.6. Market perspective Construction industry companies emphasise that 2016 seems more challenging than expected due to delays in the performance of EU co-financed projects. The estimated revenue of entities in the infrastructure construction sector in 2016 are 50% lower than expected. The future of the energy construction industry will depend on political decisions on supporting selected sources of energy. According to contractors, simultaneous performance of three or four large projects proves disadvantageous due to the lack of a qualified workforce. Following the completion of a considerable number of contracts in 2019, considerable oversupply of workers is expected. Energy projects also differ in margins generated by technology providers and construction companies, with the former reporting much better performance. It is not certain, though, if this trend will continue in the long run. The situation in the general construction segment is considerably better, but the continued growth of supply depends on further inflow of foreign capital, which may slow down over the next few months. At present the commercial market reports growth. Contractors have recognized the potential of modernizing old shopping malls and offices and the demand for commercial and office space in towns and smaller cities. The public sector is also expected to increase the demand for general construction works in the healthcare and defence sectors. The residential construction market has seen a rapid growth. Market players mention the investment boom resulting from the expected termination of the Flat for the Young mortgage subsidy programme and limited access to mortgage loans. Property companies do not believe that the Flat Plus Programme following the government's social support policy, will considerably affect the residential construction market. This is because the flats under the programme will mainly be provided to individuals with low creditworthiness. From the viewpoint of construction companies, under this assumption, the Programme should entail many new projects. Despite delays in infrastructure projects, the expected margin pressure and fierce competition in tenders, EU funds will still drive investments in the coming years. Contractors, however, are fully aware that new strategies should be implemented now to ensure growth beyond 2020. The supply gap in infrastructure construction in 2016 results from the transition period in EU co-financed projects and amendments to the public procurement law. Still, the shift is more significant than anticipated following the change of government in 2015 and the suspension of public tender proceedings during investment programme reviews. The analysis of government programmes carried out by the Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction has shown a ca. PLN 90 billion underestimation of outlays on road construction and substantial delays in railway projects. The shortfall for road projects will be difficult to find, considering the National Road Fund already had PLN 60 billion of debt. It has not been decided yet if additional funds (and how much) will be allocated to finance all projects planned or if the projects will be reprioritized and rescheduled. In our opinion, much weight in the tendering procedure should to be attached to the quality criterion. Ideally, the price criterion weight should not exceed 40 percent, and the non-price criteria should take on added significance. At the meetings of Investment Forum working groups, working hand in hand with contractors, we have prepared a list of non-price criteria. Rejecting the lowest and the highest price bids also seems a reasonable approach in tender assessment. Another idea which is worth considering in the future is to extend the scope of the contract with the contractor to include maintenance services, e.g. for a period of 10 years after putting the infrastructure into operation. We have reviewed our investment projects and updated the schedules to prevent project accumulation in the coming years. In the last quarter of the year we intend to call for tenders with a total value of PLN 6.5 billion under the new EU perspective. Ireneusz Merchel, CEO, PKP Polskie Linie Kolejowe S.A. 58 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects According to the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways all public procurement projects are carried out in line with the schedule. An investment budget of more than PLN 4 billion was opened in September with 14 invitations to tender. Other tender proceedings worth PLN 8 billion will be announced by the end of the year. Following the execution of these contracts the total value of works would reach PLN 6065 billion, i.e. more than 60% of the planned amount. The legislators are currently working on making the soft tender appraisal criteria more detailed, but the tenders announced so far are conducted in line with the regulations binding so far, which primarily rely on the price. According to the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways, no problems with tenders for road projects are expected, even if additional State budget funds are allocated to increase capital expenditure spent under the NRBP. The situation in the railway construction sector is more complicated, though. Tenders are announced with 12 month delays, which implies that most investment projects may be carried out during the last years of the EU 2014-2020 perspective, considering the duration of the tendering processes and the designing stage. Sector participants emphasise that due to the accumulation of investment projects a considerable number of railroad sections may be closed at the same time, disrupting rail traffic. They also claim that there is a serious threat that PKP PLK will not be able to consume all allocated funds. According to the ProKolej Foundation, PKP PLK considers carrying out alternative projects involving special purpose vehicles and using the funds to construct railway stations and railway sidings. Construction companies claim, however, that this would imply shifting the burden of contribution from central to local administration. According to PKP PLK the review of the planned investment projects and their timeframe will make fund allocation more realistic in the coming years and prevent closing all railway lines in a given direction at the same time. Moreover, if purchases of materials and their financing are planned in advance, some problems with their transportation when lines are closed and the price growth effects can be avoided. The winning bid prices have been decreasing, which is perceived as a negative trend. Two years ago the winning bid price comprised ca. 70% of the investment budget, while in 2015 the share dropped to 60% and in 2016 - to 50%. According to construction company leaders, although the railway investment initiative announced by the Ministry and PKP PLK encouraged companies to purchase equipment and employ new staff, no investment boom occurred. Apart from the strong price pressure, increased competition has also been observed in tenders. Recently, the number of bidders has increased twice, and the group also includes companies from Western Europe (for instance from Portugal, Spain, Italy and Austria), which did not operate on the Polish market in previous years. Polish construction companies, however, positively assess expected changes in tender proceedings. The key change is limiting the price criterion weight to a maximum of 60%. Experts emphasise, however, that the final outcome will depend on what other nonprice criteria are applied. They also suggest that rejecting the lowest price bid could prevent spoiling the market. Moreover, they mention the Scandinavian model, where the selection of the winning bidder is based on the economic benefits produced by the offer presented. The category includes factors such as supply period, payment terms, supply terms, social and environmental impact, and quality. Market participants, however, indicate that non-price criteria are difficult to measure, they require advanced knowledge and experience. What is more, such criteria are generally avoided by authorities in fear of alleged corruption. A positive change was appointing the Council of Experts on Road Construction by the Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction. The Council is composed of contractors, clients and non-government organizations. The key responsibility of the Council of Experts is to draw up contract templates, develop guidelines on preparing descriptions of the object of the contract and guidelines on tender proceedings. Still, a discussion on contract award procedures has started among clients and contractors. It is a positive trend, as the dialogue may lead to developing solutions beneficial to the market. Grzegorz Grabowski, Chairman of the Management Board of Torpol S.A. 59 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects According to the Directorate General, for National Roads and Motorways non-price criteria should focus on the quality of works, and the warranty period should no longer constitute a selection criterion, but become a requirement. Moreover, the requirement to use your own human resources is considered a good idea. The Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways emphasises that, in response to the needs of contractors, beginning from autumn 2013 (under the new financial perspective 2014 - 2023) contracts ensure contract price adjustment using rates published by the Central Statistical Office (with the cap of 1% of the contract value). Railway construction issues are discussed by PKP PLK and contractors at working group meetings of the Investment Forum. One of the items on the agenda are tender conditions. The list of possible soft (nonprice) criteria as part of tender assessment has already been discussed. According to PKP PLK the target price criterion weight could equal 40% in procedures related to services linked with the investment process (especially the engineer, pre-investment documentation, and project documentation). Other proposed changes which are positively assessed are the introduction of advance payments, and financing purchases of materials. The maximum warranty period required by PKP PLK will be 6 years. This change is a more effective solution than a ten year warranty period, which made contractors promise the maximum warranty period, as the price still remained the decisive criterion. According to PKP PLK an interesting solution, which would be worth considering, would be a ten-year contractual maintenance period managed by the contractor after putting the railway infrastructure into operation. PKP PLK also agrees with the idea of rejecting bids with the lowest and the highest price. Learning from the experience of projects co-financed with EU funds from the previous perspective, companies carried out a number of modernisation and investment initiatives aimed at mitigating operational risk, revenue diversification, increasing efficiency and flexibility, which are essential in the changing market environment. Some companies have started optimizing processes and organizational structures and follow downsizing strategies. Still, it has not resulted in a sector headcount reduction. According to the data of the Central Statistical Office, in the first half of 2016, the average headcount increased slightly (by 0.2% YoY). Moreover, companies have diversified their portfolios in terms of operations and region. Companies gain new competencies, such as the increasingly popular construction of buildings (commercial and office space), real estate administration or "green construction". A number of companies get involved in smaller projects, i.e. the construction of local roads or the development of buildings in smaller cities and towns. Many entities follow geographical diversification strategies based on growing exports, mergers and acquisitions and establishing foreign branches. Companies focus on Scandinavia, Germany, the Baltic States and the Balkans, although Balkan investment projects involve increased political risks and challenges related to economic volatility. For the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways, the possible increase in expenditure in the next few years will not cause any organizational problems related to processing additional tendering procedures. Tendering procedures are performed as planned. In September 2016, contractors were invited to tenders with an aggregate value exceeding PLN 4 billion (according to investment budgets). By the end of the year, we are planning to invite contractors to tenders for another PLN 8 billion. The warranty period will no longer constitute a selection criterion. Non-price criteria should focus on quality. Iwona Stępień – Pilipczuk - Deputy General Director, Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways 60 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 2.7. Summary 2015 was a year of stagnation for the construction sector. Production in the construction sector went up by a symbolic 0.13%. A major trend observed in 2016 is a drop in the number of contracts in the infrastructure segment, which is the consequence of the end of the 20072013 EU perspective and delays in the implementation of government projects that will receive financial support in the 20142020 perspective. Currently, changes to the programmes are being discussed so as to improve the public procurement process and prevent the accumulation of projects during the final years of the 2014-2020 perspective, which would have an adverse effect on construction companies through a rise in the prices of materials and labour costs in addition to disturbing road and railway transport. The market players emphasize the positive aspect of the dialogue between the public side and contractors, considering the large-scale investment plans for the upcoming years and prior EU perspective experience. Table: Volume of selected planned investments, broken down by construction market segment Years Planned investment volume Expressways and motorways 2014-2025 PLN 97.5 bn Ring roads 2014-2025 PLN 9.6 bn Maintenance of the technical standard of the existing road network 2014-2025 PLN 46.8 bn Source Comments National Road Building Programme for 20142023 (with projections by 2025) Excluding expenditure on modernization of regional and municipal roads. PLN 7,2 bn General Directorate for National Roads and Motorways The amount represents the financial needs related to elimination of the unsatisfactory and poor condition of national roads. The amount that the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways is actually planning to spend on that purpose is not known. Government budget expenditure on programme implementation Road construction Road repair works Railway Construction Energy construction Environmental protection 2015 Municipal and district roads 2016-2020 PLN 4 bn Municipal and district road infrastructure programme for 20162020 Railways 2014-2023 PLN 66 bn National Railway Programme by 2023 Trams and suburban rail 2015-2020 PLN 1,5 bn Multi-Annual Financial Plans for the six largest cities in Poland Transmission and distribution networks 2014-2019 PLN 42 bn Energy Regulatory Office Capacity 2014-2028 PLN 55 bn Energy Regulatory Office Sewage systems 2014-2015 after 2015 PLN 4.1 m PLN 15.4 m NPMST Update Sewage treatment 2014-2015 after 2015 PLN 2,7 bn PLN 7.6 bn NPMST Update IV The amounts planned in the budgets of individual cities do not represent the total capital expenditure on tram networks in those cities (some will be financed by municipal tram companies). Construction of new capacity of 18 GW is planned.Excluding capital expenditures on nuclear power plant construction. 61 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Years Construction of buildings and facilities (commercial and service facilities, residential, office and warehouse buildings) Source: Deloitte analysis 62 Planned investment volume Source Comments The volume of investments in progress is high in the commercial construction segment, but an increasing imbalance of the demand and supply can be observed, which may check the growth dynamics. No forecasts as to amounts in the longer term. In the housing construction segment, the demand depends mainly on the funding available under government programmes. The demand in the segment is expected to decline following the expiry of the "Flats for the Young" programme, which is planned to be continued until 2018. The heralded "Flat Plus Programme" will be a factor influencing the housing market but its effects are difficult to predict at present. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 64 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Chapter 3. Profiles of the largest construction companies in Poland 65 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Skanska Group Skanska has been operating in Poland since the early 1970s, when it built the first Western-standard hotels: Novotel Warszawa Centrum (former Forum Hotel) and Sofitel Victoria Warszawa (former Victoria Hotel) in Warsaw in addition to a dry dock for the Gdynia Shipyard. Civil engineering Skanska S.A. builds roads and bridges in addition to carrying out hydro-technical, environmental protection, and railway projects. In 2000 Skanska acquired Exbud Group and has been continuously present on the Polish construction market. The company has a network of bituminous material production facilities, concrete production plants, road laboratories, aggregate mines, equipment bases and a steel structure manufacturing plant. Skanska Group operates on the European and North American markets where it acts as a general contractor and developer on housing and office projects. It carries out PPP projects as well As in the previous year, for the purpose of this edition of the report we have only been provided with selected consolidated financial data of Skanska Group companies operating in Poland for 2015. Skanska S.A. acts as the general contractor and thorough its units, has a footprint all over Poland. It specialises in general construction and construction engineering. It carries out both small-scale projects for local authorities and large, nationwide investments. Skanska has implemented BIM technology at the stage of offering, design, construction and post-construction measurements. In 2015, the revenue earned by Skanska Group totalled PLN 5.5 billion and its operating profit amounted to PLN 470 million. General construction The Skanska Group acts as a general contractor delivering shopping and entertainment centres, healthcare and educational facilities, offices, hotels, residential buildings, sports and industrial facilities with the accompanying infrastructure. 66 In 2015, the Group employed almost 8,000 people in Poland. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 1 437 026 340 095 597 603 322.5% Current assets 2 563 677 4 383 950 2 723 054 -41.5% Total assets 4 000 704 4 724 045 3 320 657 -15.3% Equity 1 082 656 1 577 801 1 102 756 -31.4% Total equity and liabilities 4 000 704 4 724 045 3 320 657 -15.3% 5 509 363 5 081 675 4 202 767 8.4% EBIDTA 446 174 367 908 196 253 21.3% EBIT 469 999 396 675 159 624 18.5% Net profit/loss 417 314 324 185 132 165 28.7% Equity and liabilities Profit and loss account Revenue 67 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Budimex Group Budimex S.A., previously Centrala Handlu Zagranicznego Budownictwa Budimex, was founded in 1968 in order to export construction services, mainly to developing markets in Asia and Africa, and to the Socialist block countries. In the late 1980s and the early 1990s, Budimex became a leading contractor on the Polish market. In 1992, the enterprise was privatised and two years later it was converted into a joint-stock company. Since 1995, its shares have been traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. As at 31 December 2015, the mainly shareholders of Budimex were Valivala Holdings B.V. (the Netherlands) holding 59.06% of shares (a company operating in the Spanish Ferrovial S.A. Group) and Aviva OFE Aviva BZ WBK holding 5.01% of shares. Budimex Group provides broadly defined construction and assembly services acting as a general contractor, both in Poland and abroad, it is a property developer and manager and engages in sales, manufacturing, transport and other activities. Apart from its construction operations, Budimex S.A. is an advisory, management and financial centre in the capital group. 68 In 2015, the revenue of Budimex Group went up by 3.7% year-on-year. Poland and Germany are the key markets where the Group operates. In 2015, sales revenue generated on the German market, where Budimex acts mainly as a provider of workshop services, exceeded PLN 170 million, which means a rise of more than 10% vs. 2014. Foreign market sales accounted for 4% of the total revenue generated by the Group in 2015. Construction and assembly works represented more than 91% of the total revenue earned in 2015. As compared to 2014, sales in this segment increased by 2.3% to PLN 4.6 bn. In 2015, revenue from sales of property development and management services amounted to PLN 291.4 million, which was a ca. 17% year-on-year increase. In 2015, net pre-sales of new flats was 1,918 vs. 1,685 in the preceding year. The Group’s EBIT was PLN 292.2 million, up by 18.2% year-on-year. The net profit also increased by 22%. Improvement of the Group’s performance in 2015 was attributable to a rise in sales revenue, which increased by 3.7% as compared to the preceding year. At the end of 2015, total debt increased by 12.8% vs. 2014. In 2015, capital expenditure incurred by the Group on non-financial non-current assets went up by 182% to PLN 68 million. In 2015, Budimex Group companies entered into construction contracts totalling PLN 7.1 billion, a PLN 0.8 billion increase vs. 2014. As at 31 December 2015, the Group’s contract portfolio totalled PLN 8.4 billion, which represented a ca. 38% year-on-year increase. The company’s market cap increased from PLN 3.6 billion at the end of 2014 to PLN 4.95 billion a year later. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 821 207 677 496 622 230 21.2% 3 892 157 3 178 532 3 064 523 22.5% 0 2 181 0 -100.0% 4 713 364 3 858 209 3 686 753 22.2% Equity 603 124 522 509 645 175 15.4% Provisions for liabilities 317 256 290 767 267 802 9.1% Long-term liabilities 262 535 233 460 200 309 12.5% Short-term liabilities and accruals 3 530 449 2 811 473 2 573 467 25.6% Total equity and liabilities 4 713 364 3 858 209 3 686 753 22.2% Revenue 5 133 994 4 949 939 4 749 459 3.7% Domestic sales 4 927 035 4 754 307 4 198 885 3.6% 206 959 195 632 550 574 5.8% 4 673 666 4 566 628 4 005 617 2.3% Other operations 460 328 383 311 743 842 20.1% EBIDTA 314 566 270 349 362 199 16.4% EBIT 292 218 247 318 333 306 18.2% Net profit/loss 236 520 193 938 301 300 22.0% 1 697 114 1 504 048 1 382 795 12.8% 87.2% 86.5% 82.5% 0.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 164.6% 4 952 839 3 612 509 3 369 973 37.1% Current assets Non-current assets held for sale Total assets Equity and liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap 69 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 3% 6% 4% 91% 96% Construction operations Domestic sales Property management and property development Export sales Other activities EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 400 350 PLN million 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2015 2014 2013 70 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Strabag STRABAG has been operating on the construction market since 1835. In 1985, the company launched its operations in Poland, which is its third most important market in Europe. In 2015, the company’s revenue generated in Poland amounted to PLN 3.8 billion, a 22% increase from preceding year. The core business of the Polish entities includes general construction, infrastructure construction, and bridge and railway construction. STRABAG is also present in other sectors, inter alia hydro-technical construction and power engineering, it is also active in the property development and facility management market. Its key companies in Poland are STRABAG Sp. z o.o. and Strabag Infrastruktura Południe Sp. z o.o. The financial statements of the STRABAG Group are not consolidated at the local level. STRABAG SP. Z O.O. The operations of STRABAG Sp. z o.o. focus mainly on infrastructure investments as well as general construction and construction engineering. It also carries out projects in the field of environmental protection, railway construction, modernization and construction of wharves, industrial and power engineering construction, also in relation to renewable energy. As compared to the preceding year, the company’s revenue dropped by 24.1% to PLN 3.3 billion. However, the company’s EBIT was positive and amounted to PLN 146 million and its profit totalled PLN 143 million. The company’s net debt was similar to that reported at the end of the preceding year and amounted to PLN 343 million at the end of 2015. It had been accumulated mainly through trade liabilities and measurement of contracts. STRABAG Group companies do not use any external sources of funding and participate in a cash pool system instead. 71 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 721 158 515 395 558 305 39.9% Current assets 2 384 751 1 990 207 1 673 328 19.8% Total assets 3 105 908 2 505 601 2 231 633 24.0% Equity 891 569 748 350 618 256 19.1% Provisions for liabilities 649 890 511 302 315 664 27.1% 0 0 0 0.0% Short-term liabilities and accruals 1 564 450 1 245 949 1 297 713 25.6% Total equity and liabilities 3 105 908 2 505 601 2 231 633 24.0% Revenue 3 253 370 2 620 636 2 854 633 24.1% Domestic sales 3 246 691 2 616 875 2 851 224 24% 6 679 3 761 3 409 78% Construction operations no data no data no data n/a Other operations no data no data no data n/a EBIDTA 207 640 230 188 130 125 -9.8% EBIT 146 185 152 543 38 111 -4.2% Net profit/loss 142 519 132 261 57 490 7.8% 342 854 348 274 494 567 -2% 71% 70.1% 72.3% 2% no data 0.8% 1.6% n/a Equity and liabilities Long-term liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue 72 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 350 300 PLN million 250 200 150 100 50 0 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss 2015 2014 2013 73 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Strabag Infrastruktura Południe Sp. z o.o. The Company has been active on the Polish market for 20 years and its business focuses mainly on design and construction works in the road and bridges sector, as well as airfield pavements. Until the end of 2014, it operated under the name of Heilit+ Woerner Sp. z o.o. and then changed its name to STRABAG as part of a single brand initiative. The company specializes mainly in concrete pavements. The majority of its revenue is generated in Poland. The operations of Strabag Infrastruktura Południe are not particularly diversified. The company recorded an 11.5% yearon-year increase in its revenue, from PLN 522.1 million in 2014 to PLN 582.5 million in 2015. Its EBIT and net profit amounted to PLN 40.3 million (vs. PLN 18 million in 2014) and PLN 35.5 million (vs. PLN 16.7 million in 2014), respectively. The company's operations are financed mainly with cash pool loans from related parties. 74 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014* Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013* Assets Non-current assets 64 294 45 796 27 905 40.4% Current assets 492 674 239 732 213 149 105.5% Total assets 556 968 285 528 241 054 95.1% 111 579 76 111 59 392 46.6% 80 650 80 118 69 655 0.7% 0 0 0 0 Short-term liabilities and accruals 364 738 129 299 112 007 182.1% Total equity and liabilities 556 968 285 528 241 054 95.1% Revenue 582 476 522 213 444 121 11.5% Domestic sales 580 470 517 091 441 985 12.3% 2 006 5 122 2 136 -60.8% Construction operations no data no data no data n/a Other operations no data no data no data n/a EBIDTA 44 241 22 260 22 836 98.7% EBIT 40 338 17 977 18 064 124.4% Net profit/loss 35 468 16 720 16 861 112.1% Net debt 4 522 6 117 34 139 -26.1% Debt/Balance sheet total 80.0% 73.3% 75.4% 9.0% no data 0.5% 0.4% n/a Equity and liabilities Equity Provisions for liabilities Long-term liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Other data Capital expenditure/revenue *The financial data of Strabag for 2013 and 2014 were reconciled with the financial statements for 2015 and 2014, respectively, after adjustments had been made to the opening balance. 75 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by region in 2015 1% 99% Domestic sales Export sales PLN million EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2015 2014 2013 76 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Polimex-Mostostal Group Polimex-Mostostal Group is one of the largest Polish capital groups with a construction and engineering profile, and it is an entity of strategic importance to the national economy. The history of Polimex-Mostostal S.A., which is the parent company, dates back to the early post-war era. In its current form, the company was established through a merger of PolimexCekop S.A. and Mostostal Siedlce, which took place in 2004. Polimex-Mostostal S.A. has been listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange since 1997. The Group operates in the power engineering, petrochemical and industrial construction sectors. Polimex-Mostostal is also a manufacturer of steel structures and products, which includes catwalk grids, and a provider of hot-dip galvanising services. It has built the power units in the Kozienice and Opole power plants. Apart from the parent company, in 2015, the capital group was composed of Naftoremont-Naftobudowa Sp. z o.o. Polimex Power Sp. z o.o (these are two operating companies of the Group), Polimex Opole Sp. z o.o. sp.k. (former: Polimex Projekt Opole Sp. z o.o.), PRInż – 1 Sp. z o.o., Stalfa Sp. z o.o., PolimexMostostal Ukraina SAZ, Polimex Opole Sp. z o.o. (former: Polimex Projekt Kozienice Sp. z o.o.). In 2015, the number of employees in the Group decreased by 413 to just over 5,000, which resulted from the implementation of a restructuring plan. In 2015, the Polimex-Mostostal Capital Group completed the operational restructuring process. A new organizational structure was developed to centralize the support functions; two segments, namely petrochemicals and power engineering, were separated organizationally and transferred to Naftoremont-Naftobudowa Sp. z o.o. and Polimex Power Sp. z o.o., which are separate commercial companies. In 2015, the Group's sales revenue totalled PLN 2.5 billion (up by 21% as compared to 2014). In 2015, 83% of the Group’s revenue was generated on domestic sales and 17% on export sales, mainly to European Union member states and Ukraine. As compared to 2014, the group's sales went up both on the Polish market (by 23%) and abroad (by 15%). Currently, the portfolio of contracts entered into by the Polimex-Mostostal Group, less sales to other consortium members, is worth ca. PLN 4.6 billion. In September 2015, the Polimex-Mostostal Group presented its new strategy for the years 2016-2020. The growth strategy focuses on the following areas of the Group's operations: • power engineering; • oil-gas-chemicals; • industrial construction; • production. In the preceding years, the Group reported losses but it generated a profit in 2015. EBIT totalled PLN 119.3 million, while the net profit amounted to PLN 69 million. The aforementioned improvement in the Group's performance was mainly attributable to higher contract profitability, lower costs, and fewer losses on sales and liquidation of non-current assets, a drop in general and administrative expenses and a decrease in the value of provisions recognised in 2015. As compared to the preceding year, the net debt of the Polimex-Mostostal Group went up by ca. PLN 22 million, and the debt ratio decreased by 4 p.p. vs. 2014 and reached 80.2% as at 31 December 2015. 77 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 1 164 624 908 997 1 347 640 28.1% Current assets 1 385 347 1 331 986 1 698 060 4.0% 177 818 450 614 97 476 -60.5% 2 727 789 2 691 597 3 143 176 1.3% Equity 540 851 431 558 363 202 25.3% Provisions for liabilities 303 378 328 455 177 401 -7.6% Long-term liabilities 465 473 606 814 266 342 -23.3% 1 299 696 1 058 434 2 336 231 22.8% 118 391 266 336 0 -55.5% 2 727 789 2 691 597 3 143 176 1.3% Revenue 2 548 575 2 102 197 2 362 752 21.2% Domestic sales 2 105 953 1 718 219 1 774 271 22.6% 442 622 383 978 588 481 15.3% 2 053 036 1 674 750 1 755 420 22.6% Other operations 495 539 427 447 607 332 15.9% EBIDTA 150 903 -343 685 -105 093 143.9% EBIT 119 351 -395 752 -173 607 130.2% 68 975 -153 226 -260 889 145.0% 1 560 793 1 583 006 2 276 702 -1.4% 80.2% 84.0% 88.4% -4.5% 0.1% 1.3% 1.2% -92.4% 498 924 303 166 190 758 64.6% Assets held for sale Total assets Equity and liabilities Short-term liabilities and accruals Liabilities directly related to assets held for sale Total equity and liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Net profit/loss Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap 78 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 1% Sales by region in 2015 3% 7% 17% 17% 1% 83% 71% Production Domestic sales Industry Export sales Power Engineering Infrastructure Construction Petrochemicals Other activity EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 200 100 PLN million 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 -500 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss 2015 2014 2013 79 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects PBG Group PBG Group began its operations in 1994 as a family-owned partnership under the name of Piecobiogaz s.c. Jerzy Wiśniewski, Małgorzata Wiśniewska. During the first years of its operations, the entity focused primarily on construction, modernization and maintenance of pressure reduction and metering stations, as well as the construction of steel and polyethylene pipelines for the transmission and distribution of natural gas. In 1997, Technologie Gazowe "Piecobiogaz" Sp. z o.o. was established and it took over the key part of the partnership’s business involving the construction of gas facilities. Continuous growth and implementation of innovative projects resulted in a change of the company's legal form and name to PBG S.A. (a joint-stock company). An initial public offering, which took place in mid-2004, was another important step. The IPO on the Warsaw Stock Exchange enabled the company to secure funding and establish the PBG Capital Group. Since June 2012, PBG S.A. has been in bankruptcy by arrangement. The vote on the arrangement with creditors was held in August 2015. In October 2015, the Bankruptcy Court approved the arrangement with creditors, which became final under a court judgement in June 2016. 80 At the end of 2015, Jerzy Wisniewski holding 27.15% of interest in the share capital and 42.23% of the voting rights was the key shareholder of PBG S.A. is the parent company in the capital group, which acts as a general contractor on natural gas, oil and fuel facility projects as well as a provider of comprehensive project services in the power engineering sector. The business operations of PBG Group mainly focus on the Polish market, which is considered to be the key one due to current investments in the power engineering sector, planned investments in the natural gas and oil sector as well as hydro-technical projects relating to flood prevention systems. At the end of 2015, PBG Group reported an 18% increase in sales revenue year-on-year. The Group's revenue went up from PLN 1.5 billion in 2014 to PLN 1.8 billion in 2015. The Group's performance was worse in 2015. EBIT was negative and amounted to PLN 190.6 million, while the net loss totalled PLN 201.1 million. At the end of 2015, the value of PBG Group’s contract portfolio was ca. PLN 4.92 billion, out of which contracts totalling ca. PLN 1.97 billion will be fulfilled in 2016 and the remaining part in the following years. The share of contracts in the power engineering sector is the highest (94%). These include a contract for the construction of power units in the Jaworzno III Power Plant. The oil, gas and fuel segment is the second largest one with a 6% share in the Group's contract portfolio. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013* Assets Non-current assets 879 473 1 072 886 1 014 080 -18.0% 1 314 334 1 116 319 1 665 378 17.7% 2 055 75 881 3 083 -97.3% 2 193 807 2 189 205 2 679 458 0.2% -808 100 -672 757 -582 846 -20.1% Provisions for liabilities 462 577 506 213 659 880 -8.6% Long-term liabilities 188 146 139 774 135 623 34.6% Short-term liabilities and accruals 2 351 184 2 215 975 2 466 801 6.1% Total equity and liabilities 2 193 807 2 189 205 2 679 458 0.2% Revenue 1 798 815 1 530 248 1 227 600 17.6% Domestic sales 1 670 172 1 303 980 997 088 28.1% 128 643 226 268 230 512 -43.1% 1 552 389 1 188 076 774 302 30.7% Other operations 246 426 342 172 453 298 -28.0% EBIDTA -171 625 -26 397 362 569 -550.2% EBIT -190 638 -46 254 333 217 -312.2% Net profit/loss -201 104 -80 799 207 512 -148.9% 2 660 161 2 757 269 3 088 410 -3.5% 136.8% 130.7% 121.8% 4.7% 1.6% 1.1% 14.7% 45.1% 25 445 23 444 31 592 8.5% Current assets Assets held for sale Total assets Equity and liabilities Equity Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap * The financial data for 2013 was reconciled with the financial statements for 2014 after adjustments had been made to the opening balances. 81 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 1% 7% 13% 86% 93% Natural gas, oil and fuels Domestic sales Energy construction Export sales Other EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 400 300 PLN million 200 100 0 -100 -200 -300 2015 2014 2013 82 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Erbud Group Erbud Group is one of the five largest construction companies in Poland, with over 25 years experience in the industry. It was established by Eryk Grzeszczak and his son Dariusz Grzeszczak in 1990 under the name of Przedsiębiorstwo Budowlane i Usług Technicznych ERBUD. In 1993, its German subsidiary – GWI Bauunternehmung GmbH – was founded to carry on the Group's business abroad. In 1999, Józef Adam Zubelewicz became a shareholder of Erbud – his responsibility as a management board member was to develop the company’s business in Poland. Przedsiębiorstwo Budownictwa DrogowoInżynieryjnego S.A. was established. In 2012, the group purchased shares in Engorem, a company providing comprehensive investment, repair and diagnostic services to the power industry. Development of the business in the area of modernization, repair and maintenance of the existing industrial and power facilities resulted in the establishment of a new entity, Erbud Industry, in 2014. Erbud Industry comprises Engorem. As at 31 December 2015, Wolff&Müller GmbH & Co. KG holding 32.41% of the shares was the key shareholder of the company. The other shareholders are: In 2003 Erbud received a capital injection from a strategic investor – a German company Wolff&Müller GmbH & Co. KG. Since 2004, the company has been developing its independent regional branches in Poland and its Western European expansion began in 2005, to include such markets as Belgium, France, Sweden, Ireland and England. • Dariusz Grzeszczak and DGI Fundusz Inwestycyjny Zamknięty Aktywów Niepublicznych, controlled by Dariusz Grzeszczak (22.72% interest in total), In 2006, Erbud was converted into a jointstock company and in 2007 made its IPO debut on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. In 2006 Erbud took over Budlex S.A. - at present the group is in the process of selling that entity. At the end of 2007, Erbud also acquired Rembet Plus Sp. z o.o., a company operating in the road and engineering sector. Przedsiębiorstwo Robót Drogowych S.A. (PRD SA), operating in the road sector, joined the group in 2008. In 2010 the road companies belonging to the group, i.e. PRD SA and Rembet Plus Sp. z o.o. were consolidated, as a result of which Erbud Group provides general contracting and subcontracting services in the commercial, public utilities, power and residential sectors, as well as services in the area of road and engineering in Poland and other European countries (primarily Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg and the Netherlands). • Adler Properties Sp. z o.o. controlled by Józef Adam Zubelewicz 6.56% In 2015, Erbud Group earned revenue of PLN 1.8 billion and reported a4.2% increase in sales year-on-year. 91% of its sales revenue was generated in Poland, whereas 9% was derived from business carried out in Western Europe. Building construction was the key source of the group's revenue, accounting for 64% of its consolidated sales in 2015. In the analysed period, the Group's profitability increased and the consolidated EBIT was PLN 51.5 million, up by 20% vs. 2014. The net profit totalled PLN 31.7 million and was 13.6% higher than in the preceding year. In 2015, the net debt of the Group remained at a similar level to the one reported in the preceding year: PLN 529 million. At the end of 2015, the Group equity financed 28.7% of its operations. Eurbud Group employs 2,044 people. • two Open-Ended Pension Funds (ING and AVIVA) holding 19.12% of shares in the company One of the group’s priorities is its further growth in the segment of general construction, specifically office buildings, shopping centres and public utility buildings, and in the power engineering segment in Poland and abroad. 83 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 174 585 162 161 117 755 7.7% Current assets 924 304 889 284 678 175 3.9% 1 098 889 1 051 445 795 930 4.5% 315 787 287 531 266 966 9.8% Provisions for liabilities 70 510 72 944 63 556 -3.3% Long-term liabilities 98 106 94 425 19 913 3.9% 614 486 596 545 445 495 3.0% 1 098 889 1 051 445 795 930 4.5% Revenue 1 763 282 1 692 055 1 223 609 4.2% Domestic sales 1 605 064 1 496 682 1 013 873 7.2% 158 218 195 373 209 736 -19.0% 1 715 418 1 646 607 1 173 979 4.2% Other operations 47 864 45 448 49 630 5.3% EBIDTA 62 096 52 003 40 427 19.4% EBIT 51 528 43 128 32 700 19.5% Net profit/loss 31 689 27 892 18 079 13.6% 528 964 554 651 404 374 -4.6% 71.3% 72.7% 66.5% -1.9% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% -20.5% 354 376 324 153 432 167 9.3% Total assets Equity and liabilities Equity Short-term liabilities and accruals Total equity and liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap 84 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 9% 14% 19% 64% 3% 91% Construction - General Construction Domestic sales Property Development Export sales Road and engineering Energy construction EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 70 60 PLN million 50 40 30 20 10 0 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss 2015 2014 2013 85 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Trakcja Group Trakcja PRKiI S.A. is among the largest entities operating in the infrastructure construction and railway modernization sector in Poland. The company has been operating under this name since the end of 2013, but in organizational terms it continues the tradition and draws on the experience gained by its predecessors over the past 60 years (PKRE S.A., PRKiI S.A., PRK 7 S.A.). The Group fulfils a number of important contracts related to the modernization of road and railway infrastructure in Poland and abroad. It is also active in the urban rail transport, roads, bridges and power engineering sectors. The core business of its subsidiaries is the preparation of feasibility studies and project documents, provision of specialist railway infrastructure maintenance services as well as general and residential construction. The company's current status has been achieved in stages. First, as a stateowned enterprise it was restructured in 1995. Another stage of development took place in 2004, when the control of Trakcja Polska S.A., a holding company previously established, was assumed by Przedsiębiorstwo Kolejowych Robót Elektryfikacyjnych S.A. The company was privatised in 2005 through the sale of a minority interest to Comsa S.A. Spain. At the beginning of April 2008, the company made its IPO debut on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. In 2009, the company was merged with PRK-7 S.A. and in 2011 the Tiltra Group was acquired. In 2012, the company’s name was changed to Trakcja S.A. In 2013, the company continued the organizational and legal restructuring project at the Capital Group. 86 Its key aspect was the merger of Trakcja S.A. and PRKiI S.A., as a result of which Trakcja PRKiI S.A. was established. With a 28.8% interest and share in the voting rights, Comsa S.A. remains the company’s key shareholder. At present, the business of the Trakcja Group focuses specifically on the comprehensive design of railway and road infrastructure, urban rail transport with associated buildings and facilities, the construction and modernization of railways, contact lines, underground and overhead lines, power supply systems, the construction and modernization of roads, highways, utility infrastructure and engineering structures. In 2015, export sales remained at a level similar to the preceding year and accounted for 37% of total sales, which was mainly attributable to major contracts fulfilled for Lithuanian railways. PKP PLK S.A. is a key client of the Group in Poland. In 2015, the Trakcja Group employed 1,908 people and generated revenue of PLN 1.3 billion, down by 17% as compared to the preceding year. The Group's EBIT in 2015 was PLN 76.7 million vs. PLN 85.8 million in 2014, a 10.6% drop. In 2015, EBITDA was PLN 99 million and decreased by 9.6% yearon-year. The net profit for 2015 totalled PLN 51.8 million. In 2015, debt capital represented 45% of the Group's funding. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 704 278 719 867 721 913 -2.2% Current assets 623 143 725 949 776 004 -14.2% 1 327 421 1 445 816 1 497 917 -8.2% 726 291 674 503 623 372 7.7% 59 505 53 939 51 204 10.3% Long-term liabilities 106 159 119 294 80 337 -11.0% Short-term liabilities and accruals 435 466 598 080 743 004 -27.2% 1 327 421 1 445 816 1 497 917 -8.2% 1 329 180 1 601 674 1 274 222 -17.0% Domestic sales 842 202 1 035 790 811 295 -18.7% Export sales 486 978 565 884 462 926 -13.9% 1 240 974 1 474 086 1 144 184 -15.8% Other operations 88 206 127 588 130 038 -30.9% EBIDTA 98 992 109 518 63 277 -9.6% EBIT 76 726 85 844 40 591 -10.6% Net profit/loss 51 758 50 391 29 995 2.7% 349 695 709 467 790 946 -50.7% 45.3% 53.3% 58.4% -15.1% 3.3% 1.6% 1.4% 108.0% 650 204 390 637 530 443 66.4% Total assets Equity and liabilities Equity Provisions for liabilities Total equity and liabilities Profit and loss account Revenue Construction operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap 87 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 3% 2% 2% 3% 36% 25% 64% 65% Railway construction Domestic sales Road construction Export sales Bridge construction Tramway construction Production Other EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 120 PLN million 100 80 60 40 20 0 2015 2014 2013 88 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects PORR Polska Construction S.A. Established in 1869, PORR is one of the largest construction companies in Austria and in Europe. With numerous offices across Central, Eastern and SouthEastern Europe, PORR has embarked on expansion in the Middle East, mainly in Qatar. In Poland, PORR has been carrying out construction operations since 1987 and the main company in the group, PORR (Polska) S.A., (currently PORR Polska Construction S.A.) was established in 1993. PORR Polska Construction S.A. offers a wide range of construction services, specifically in the buildings and facilities segment (hotels, office buildings, residential buildings, educational facilities, shopping centres and industrial facilities). In 2015, PORR Polska Infrastructure S.A. (formerly Bilfinger Infrastructure S.A.) joined the PORR Group. PORR Polska Infrastructure S.A. is a market leader in the scope of road infrastructure in Poland. Since 2012 it has also been involved in bridge construction projects in Norway. The financial statements of PORR Group are not consolidated at the local level. PORR Polska Construction S.A. PORR Polska Construction S.A. specializes in the construction of buildings and facilities as well as railway engineering. In 2015, PORR Polska Construction S.A. generated revenue of PLN 626.9 million from its core operations, which was a 40% drop compared to the preceding year. Construction and assembly services accounted for 95% of the said revenue and the remaining 5% was earned on other operations. Additionally, 97% of the company's revenue was generated on the Polish market. 89 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2014 Revenue 626 862 1 045 019 -40.0% Domestic sales 608 600 1 034 640 -41.2% 18 262 10 379 75.95% 592 682 1 000 093 -40.7% 34 179 44 926 -23.9% Export sales Construction operations Other operations Sales by region in 2015 Sales by type in 2015 3% 5% 97% 95% 90 Construction operations Domestic sales Other operations Export sales Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects PORR Polska Infrastructure S.A. PORR Polska Infrastructure S.A. specializes in infrastructure, power engineering, civil engineering and hydro-technical construction. In 2015 PORR Polska Infrastructure S.A. generated revenue of PLN 666.2 million from its core operations, which was an 11% decrease compared to the preceding year. Construction and assembly services accounted for 90% of the said revenue and the remaining 10% was earned on other operations. Additionally, 95% of the company's revenue was generated on the Polish market. Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2014 Revenue 666 258 600 661 10.9% Domestic sales 635 711 570 126 11.5% 30 547 30 535 0. 596 586 544 177 9.6% 69 672 56 484 23.3% Export sales Construction operations Other operations Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 5% 10% 90% 95% Construction operations Domestic sales Other operations Export sales 91 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Mostostal Warszawa Group Mostostal Warszawa was founded in 1945 and its first projects consisted of reconstructing post-war Warsaw buildings. Mostostal Warszawa launched its overseas business in 1973. In 1991, the enterprise was converted into a joint-stock company and privatised. On 14 October 1993, Mostostal Warszawa made its IPO debut on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. In 1994, Mostostal Warszawa began to build its own capital group, which currently comprises more than ten design and construction companies. In 1999, the company was merged with the Spanish Acciona Group. At the end of 2015, Acciona S.A. with 50.09% of shares was the majority shareholder of Mostostal Warszawa. Otwarty Fundusz Emerytalny PZU “Złota Jesień”, an open-ended pension fund, and AVIVA PTE AVIVA BZ WBK S.A. also held a considerable interest of 18.33% and 5.09%, respectively The operations of Mostostal Warszawa can be divided into two main segments, namely engineering and industrial, and general construction. The key projects completed in 2015 were a Cultural and Congress Center in Jordanki (Toruń), the Municipal Stadium in Tychy, redevelopment of the Elbląg Canal, the Power Engineering Center of the AGH University of Science and Technology in Kraków, Szymany Airport, construction of tanks for IDS-BUD in Gdańsk, construction of an IOS facility for PKN ORLEN S.A. as well as platform module assembly at Gdańska Stocznia Remontowa. 92 The consolidated revenue generated by Mostostal Warszawa in 2015 amounted to PLN 1.3 billion and was almost entirely derived from construction operations. The majority of contracts focused on general construction as well as engineering and industrial works. The revenue earned in 2015 was lower than in the preceding year and 1% of sales revenue was generated abroad. In 2015, the Group reported a net profit of PLN 32.5 million. In 2015, EBIT was positive and amounted to PLN 49 million, which was more than double 2014 EBIT (PLN 23.9 million). In 2015, the average headcount in Mostostal Warszawa Group was 1,463, which was a 5% drop compared to 2014. The net debt ratio in 2015 was 83% and it was lower than in the preceding year, when it was 86%. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 203 859 232 100 377 088 -12.2% 1 083 276 1 135 362 1 119 610 -4.6% 0 0 113 443 n/a 1 287 135 1 367 462 1 610 141 -5.9% 223 682 193 372 212 060 15.7% 59 485 53 737 81 331 10.7% Long-term liabilities 188 253 224 102 84 101 -16.0% Short-term liabilities and accruals 815 715 896 251 1 119 211 -9.0% 0 0 113 438 n/a 1 287 135 1 367 462 1 610 141 -5.9% Revenue 1 275 431 1 509 524 1 633 363 -15.5% Domestic sales 1 262 259 1 365 071 1 219 101 -7.5% 13 172 144 453 414 262 -90.9% 1 272 805 1 506 365 1 632 383 -15.5% 2 626 3 159 980 -16.9% EBIDTA 62 132 49 579 -205 844 25.3% EBIT 49 062 23 931 -237 450 105.0% Net profit/loss 32 466 -8 738 -314 380 471.5% 710 723 971 796 1 292 591 -26.9% 82.6% 85.9% 86.8% -3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 260 000 120 000 89 800 116.7% Current assets Assets held for sale Total assets Equity and liabilities Equity Provisions for liabilities Liabilities directly related to assets held for sale Total equity and liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap 93 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 1% 21% 79% 99% Engineering and industry Domestic sales General construction Export sales Other operations EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 100 50 PLN million 0 -50 -100 -150 -200 -250 -300 -350 2015 2014 2013 94 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Unibep Group UNIBEP S.A., whose history dates back to 1950, is the parent company in the UNIBEP Capital Group. The company first operated as a state-owned enterprise and in 1998 it was converted into a limited liability company. In 1999, the company’s name was changed to UNIBUD BEP Sp. z o.o. and in 2004 it was converted into a joint-stock company. The company has been operating under its current name since 2006. From 2008 the company's shares have been traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. As at 31 December 2015, the key shareholders of UNIBEP S.A. were: Zofia Mikołuszko with 25.09% of the share capital, Zofia Stajkowska with 14.26%, Beata Skowrońska with 16.52%, AVIVA OFE AVIVA BZ WBK S.A. with 9.75% of the share capital as well as Nationale-Nederlanden OFE with 6.11%. The core business of the Unibep Group is general building construction - property development, construction and assembly services, and road and bridge building. Such works are delivered both in Poland and abroad. Unibep Group is distinguished from its competitors through its involvement in production activity. Fabryka Domów Modułowych in Bielsk Podlaski, which is the largest plant producing modular houses in Poland, produces modular buildings which are then assembled in Scandinavia (primarily in Norway). The revenue from this segment constitutes approx. 10% of the overall revenue of the Group, whereas the remaining 20% is derived from the operations carried out in the roads and bridges, and property development segments. In 2015, EBITDA amounted to PLN 31.3 million (down by 36% vs. 2014). The Group's EBIT totalled PLN 23.5 million as compared to PLN 25.1 million in 2014. The net profit for 2015 was PLN 23.3 million which was almost PLN 2.4 million higher than in the preceding year. In 2015, the share of equity in the Group’s funding was 28.3%. At the end of 2015, the contract portfolio of the UNIBEP Group totalled ca. PLN 1.3 billion, up by ca. 30% year-on-year. In 2015, UNIBEP Group employed 1,129 people and its revenue from core operations amounted to PLN 1.2 billion, which was more than 15% increase compared to the preceding year. In 2015, 81% of revenue was generated in Poland, whereas the remaining part was earned on exports, mainly to Scandinavia (especially Norway), Russia, Belarus and Germany. By market segment, 70% of revenue was generated on building and facility construction. 95 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 209 803 172 281 144 911 21.8% Current assets 556 920 494 353 409 183 12.7% 0 10 0 -100.0% 766 723 666 644 554 094 15.0% Equity 217 203 203 046 185 820 7.0% Provisions for liabilities 119 471 91 872 59 968 30.0% 96 337 68 396 63 391 40.9% Short-term liabilities and accruals 333 712 303 330 244 915 10.0% Total equity and liabilities 766 723 666 644 554 094 15.0% Revenue 1 242 860 1 079 703 905 553 15.1% Domestic sales 1 004 270 760 206 676 284 32.1% 238 590 319 497 229 269 -25.3% 1 128 648 992 129 623 640 13.8% 114 213 87 574 281 913 30.4% EBIDTA 31 349 49 299 38 773 -36.4% EBIT 23 475 25 138 24 682 -6.6% Net profit/loss 23 281 20 925 17 585 11.3% 419 611 337 530 368 452 24.3% 71.7% 69.5% 57.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.3% 1.9% 0.0% 378 763 350 373 522 237 8.1% Assets held for sale Total assets Equity and liabilities Long-term liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap 96 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 11% 19% 9% 10% 70% 81% Construction of buildings and facilities Domestic sales Road construction Export sales Property Development Lightweight structures EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 60 PLN million 50 40 30 20 10 0 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss 2015 2014 2013 97 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Elektrobudowa Group The parent company – ELEKTROBUDOWA S.A. – was founded in 1953 as Przedsiębiorstwo Montażu Elektrycznego "Elektrobudowa”. In 1992, this stateowned enterprise was converted into a joint-stock company, and three years later the company’s IPO was executed and its shares were traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange for the first time in 1996. In 2000, a restructuring process was carried out, which affected employees, assets, marketing, organizational structure and finance. At present, ELEKTROBUDOWA S.A. Group provides comprehensive construction and assembly services for the needs of the power engineering, petrochemical, mining and public utility building construction sectors. The business activity of the Group can be divided into the following segments: At the end of 2015, the key shareholders were open-ended pension funds: AVIVA OFE AVIVA BZ WBK S.A. (10.75%), NationaleNederlanden Otwarty Fundusz Emerytalny (9.89%), PKO BP Bankowy Otwarty Fundusz Emerytalny (9.74%), AXA Otwarty Fundusz Emerytalny (9.41%), OFE PZU "Złota Jesień” (9.31%), PTE Allianz Polska SA (6.31%), MetLife Otwarty Fundusz Emerytalny (6.08%), and Generali Otwarty Fundusz Emerytalny (5.09%). • industry – complete electrical installations for the industry; 98 • power engineering – electrical installations, stations and power transmission and distribution facilities; • construction – general construction of buildings (turnkey delivery) and electrical installations; • automatic control – MV and LV indoor switchgears. In 2015, ELEKTROBUDOWA SA Group employed 2,158 people and generated revenue of PLN 1.2 billion, which was a more than 12% increase compared to the preceding year. In 2015, as much as 91% of revenue was generated in Poland. The remaining part was earned on sales of products and services, inter alia, in European Union member states, Eastern Europe and Asia, and it was 68% higher than the revenue generated abroad in 2014. In 2015, EBITDA amounted to PLN 77.7 million, up by 58% vs. 2014. The Group's EBIT for 2015 totalled PLN 63.1 million, compared to PLN 35.7 million in the preceding year. The net profit for 2015 amounted to PLN 50.0 million and increased by 85% year-on-year. In 2015, debt capital accounted for 57% of the Group's funding, down by 6 p.p. compared to the preceding year. The contract portfolio of ELEKTROBUDOWA SA totalled PLN 1.3 billion at the end of 2015. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 188 569 174 263 199 527 8.2% Current assets 709 258 737 303 576 137 -3.8% 0 246 0 -100.0% 897 827 911 812 775 664 -1.5% 386 802 338 243 326 724 14.4% 9 212 10 422 12 482 -11.6% 14 445 14 737 12 338 -2.0% Short-term liabilities and accruals 487 368 548 410 424 120 -11.1% Total equity and liabilities 897 827 911 812 775 664 -1.5% Revenue 1 242 830 1 108 316 905 553 12.1% Domestic sales 1 129 696 1 040 980 676 284 8.5% 113 134 67 336 229 269 68.0% 1 047 388 904 583 623 640 15.8% 195 442 203 733 281 913 -4.1% EBIDTA 77 739 49 299 38 773 57.7% EBIT 63 090 35 718 24 682 76.6% Net profit/loss 49 965 27 015 17 585 85.0% 404 974 511 330 368 452 -20.8% 56.9% 62.9% 57.9% -6.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 0.1% 617 189 350 373 522 237 76.2% Non-current assets held for sale Total assets Equity and liabilities Equity Provisions for liabilities Long-term liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap 99 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 14% 2% 9% 84% 91% Construction and assembly Domestic sales Electrotechnical products Export sales Other services Sales of materials EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 90 80 PLN million 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2015 2014 2013 100 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Torpol Group Torpol Sp. z o.o., the parent company, was established in 1999. In 2012, it was converted into a joint-stock company. On 1 July 2014, the shares in Torpol S.A. were allocated as part of an initial public offering, when the former shareholder, Polimex – Mostostal sold all its shares in the company. Torpol S.A. shares and allotment certificates were traded on the Warsaw Stock Exchange for the first time on 8 July 2014. The Group's EBIT, EBITDA and the net profit increased considerably. In 2015, EBIT amounted to PLN 43.3 million (up by 33%), while EBITDA totalled PLN 55.8 million (up by 29%). The net profit increased by 28% from PLN 25 million in 2014 to PLN 32 million in 2015. Debt capital accounts for 67% of the funding used by Torpol Group. The core business of the Group involves general contractor services related to the construction of roads and railways. The Group also provides general construction services relating to line distribution facilities – power and telecommunication lines, as well as design services. As at 31 December 2015, the key shareholders of Torpol S.A. were: TF Silesia Sp. z o.o. (38%), PKO TFI (8.59%), and Nationale-Nederlanden OFE (6.97%). In 2015, the Group employed more than 614 people on average. In 2015, sales revenue increased substantially (by nearly 60% compared to 2014 ) to PLN 1.2 billion. This was attributable to a rise in revenue both on the domestic and foreign markets. A major part of the Group's revenue is earned on operations carried out in the railway segment (ca. 89% of total revenue). 101 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 155 576 115 987 105 727 34.1% Current assets 520 342 648 523 373 412 -19.8% Total assets 675 918 764 510 479 139 -11.6% 222 890 203 312 123 008 9.6% Provisions for liabilities 24 288 10 262 914 136.7% Long-term liabilities 90 223 33 415 31 718 170.0% Short-term liabilities and accruals 338 517 517 521 323 499 -34.6% Total equity and liabilities 675 918 764 510 479 139 -11.6% Revenue 1 238 241 775 399 415 717 59.7% Domestic sales 1 175 998 746 892 401 790 57.5% 62 243 28 507 13 927 118.3% 1 222 041 755 188 394 033 61.8% Other operations 16 200 20 211 21 684 -19.8% EBIDTA 55 804 43 161 21 369 29.3% EBIT 43 257 32 647 10 730 32.5% Net profit/loss 31 954 25 009 4 790 27.8% 110 169 361 949 252 306 -69.6% 67.0% 73.4% 75.2% -6.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 0.2% 285 287 229 011 IPO took place on 08/07/2014 24.6% Equity and liabilities Equity Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue Market cap 102 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 Sales by region in 2015 10% 1% 5% 89% 95% Railways Domestic sales Tramways Export sales Other EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 60 PLN million 50 40 30 20 10 0 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss 2015 2014 2013 103 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Warbud Warbud has been present on the Polish market since 1989. Initially, the company operated as a private enterprise. In 1992, Warbud was converted into a joint-stock company with the participation of a French construction tycoon – now VINCI Group. VINCI Construction International Network remains the majority shareholder of the company with 99.76% of the share capital as at 31 December 2015. For several years now, VINCI Group has been a leader among the largest construction companies in Europe in terms of revenue. As it is part of the VINCI Group, Warbud may draw on the international experience of its experts in addition to enjoying stability and a strong financial position. The primary focus of Warbud is to provide services in the construction sector, mainly in the field of building and facility construction (shopping centres, office buildings, housing estates), civil engineering structures (roads, bridges), healthcare facilities (hospitals, healthcare centres, health farms), cultural facilities (theatres, concert halls, museums), environmental protection projects (sewage treatment plants, incineration plants) as well as specialised construction works and concrete production. Considering VINCI's 20-plus years experience in PPP, for several years Warbud has been popularizing public-private partnerships in respect of the development and management of public infrastructure. 104 In 2015, the company signed the first PPP contract with the Polish government to construct Regional Court in Nowy Sącz and it actively participates in many PPP tender procedures. In 2015, Warbud employed 1,042 people and its revenue from core operations amounted to PLN 1.1 billion, which was a more than 5% increase vs. 2014. Construction and assembly services accounted for 99% of the said revenue, and the remaining 1% was earned on other operations. The company's revenue was generated entirely on the Polish market. The Company's EBIT in 2015 was PLN 40.8 million, compared to PLN 48.8 million in 2014, a 16% decrease. In 2015, EBITDA was PLN 50.6 million, a 10.8% decrease compared to 2014. The net profit for 2015 totalled PLN 35.7 million and dropped by 26% year-on-year. In 2015, debt capital accounted for 82% of the company's funding, which was a 2.2 p.p. increase compared to the preceding year. The funding structure has remained virtually unchanged over the past few years. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 79 814 80 393 79 401 -0.7% Current assets 708 482 659 294 705 639 7.5% Total assets 788 296 739 687 785 040 6.6% 141 963 146 697 131 063 -3.2% Provisions for liabilities 35 259 36 583 29 830 -3.6% Long-term liabilities 97 690 103 581 114 017 -5.7% Short-term liabilities and accruals 513 384 452 826 510 130 13.4% Total equity and liabilities 788 296 739 687 785 040 6.6% Revenue 1 106 860 1 049 886 1 121 472 5.4% Domestic sales 1 106 860 1 049 886 1 121 472 5.4% Construction operations 1 091 486 1 038 747 1 107 460 5.1% Other operations 15 374 11 139 14 012 38.0% EBIDTA 50 584 56 726 43 965 -10.8% EBIT 40 786 48 775 37 022 -16.4% Net profit/loss 35 728 48 416 32 555 -26.2% 233 227 171 687 209 654 35.8% 82.0% 80.2% 83.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% -0.3% Equity and liabilities Equity Profit and loss account Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue 105 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 1% 99% Revenue from construction and assembly Revenue from other services EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 60 PLN million 50 40 30 20 10 0 2015 2014 2013 106 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Mota-Engil Central Europe S.A. Mota-Engil Central Europe S.A. is among the largest construction companies in Poland. It was established through the merger of two Polish enterprises, namely Krakowskie Przedsiębiorstwo Robót Drogowych S.A. (KPRD) and Przedsiębiorstwo Budowy Mostów w Lubartowie Sp. z o.o. (PBM), which had been present on the local market since 1949. Today, Mota-Engil Central Europe is a strong construction company drawing on more than 60 years' Polish tradition in road and bridge construction and specializing at the same time in the construction of buildings and facilities, railways, and in power engineering. Additionally, it has a mine in Górka Sobocka, where high quality aggregate is extracted for sale. Mota-Engil Central Europe has built hundreds of kilometres of roads which are of crucial importance to Poland, including the A4, A2 motorways, and the S3, S5, S8 and S17 expressways. It has also constructed residential and public utility buildings and electric power stations. Acting as the general contractor on major construction projects in Poland, Mota-Engil Central Europe employs more than 1,500 people and cooperates with hundreds of local businesses. People are the key assets of Mota-Engil Central Europe. Its success on the Polish market would not be possible without respect for long-established tradition, professionalism, know-how and the capabilities of its employees – people who work on the most innovative and ambitious projects that satisfy the highest quality standards at all times. Corporate social responsibility is one of the major elements of the strategy adopted by the company, expressed in its management style, which is ethically, socially and ecologically responsible. The company has substantial equipment resources, a network of bituminous material production facilities as well as its own boarding and scaffolding division. In 2015, the revenue earned by MotaEngil Central Europe S.A. totalled PLN 950 million, up by almost PLN 300 million versus the preceding year. Revenue from construction services accounted for almost 94% of its total revenue in 2015. Other revenue was derived from sales of materials and products (aggregate, mineral and asphalt mixtures). In 2015 EBITDA exceeded PLN 41 million, compared to ca. PLN 24 million the year before. EBIT equalled over PLN 7 million, which was a PLN 12 million yearon-year increase. In 2015, the company reported a profit of PLN 4.5 million compared to a loss of almost PLN 13 million in the preceding year. Its contract portfolio totalled PLN 2.1 billion at the end of 2015. 107 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 284 190 316 977 356 896 -10.3% Current assets 475 958 426 541 433 590 11.6% Total assets 760 147 743 518 790 486 2.2% Equity 224 153 221 246 201 745 1.3% Provisions for liabilities 113 773 81 435 83 154 39.7% 85 005 139 983 154 202 -39.3% Short-term liabilities and accruals 337 216 300 853 351 386 12.1% Total equity and liabilities 760 147 743 518 790 486 2.2% Revenue 949 576 658 133 1 166 578 44.3% Domestic sales 949 576 658 133 1 166 578 44.3% 0 0 0 - 888 188 624 317 1 140 455 42.3% Other operations 61 387 33 816 26 122 81.5% EBIDTA 35 480 23 252 37 971 52.6% EBIT 7 044 -5 132 7 376 237.3% Net profit/loss 4 540 -12 841 -11 236 135.4% 413 610 377 356 474 001 9.6% 70.5% 70.2% 74.5% 0.3% 1.8% 1.3% 1.6% 0.5% Equity and liabilities Long-term liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue 108 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 4% 6% 15% 75% Public works Real property Sanitary sewage and power supply systems Sale of products and materials EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 60 PLN million 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss 2015 2014 2013 109 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Hochtief Polska S.A. HOCHTIEF Polska is a company from the multinational HOCHTIEF construction group. The HOCHTIEF Group has more than 140 years experience and it has been present on the Polish market since 1990. HOCHTIEF Polska Sp. z o. o. launched its operations in 1996. On 31 December 2009, the company was converted into HOCHTIEF Polska S.A. All the shares in the company are held by HOCHTIEF Construction Erste Vermögensverwaltungsgesellschaft GmbH, a wholly-owned subsidiary of HOCHTIEF Infrastructure GmbH. HOCHTIEF Polska specializes in the construction of buildings and facilities, as well as infrastructure construction. The scope of its services includes mainly the construction of office facilities, residential, industrial and public utility buildings, shopping and entertainment centres, civil and water engineering structures for major infrastructure projects, construction works for waste incineration plants as well as the implementation of projects for the commercial power industry. In cooperation with HOCHTIEF PPP Solutions, the entity participates in the implementation of public-private partnership projects in the social infrastructure sector in Poland. HOCHTIEF Polska operates across Poland through its branches and offices located in Warsaw, Poznań, Kraków and Katowice. 110 In 2015, the company's sales revenue totalled PLN 788.5 million, up by 36% year-on-year. The company also managed to improve its performance considerably versus the preceding year. In 2015, its EBIDTA amounted to PLN 25.4 million, increased from PLN 19.1 million in 2014. EBIT for 2015 totalled PLN 24.3 million compared to PLN 18.1 million in the preceding year. The net profit for 2015 totalled PLN 29.8 million and increased by nearly PLN 7.5 million year-on-year. In 2015, debt capital represented 66% of the company's funding. The company employed more than 650 people in 2015. Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Key figures (PLN '000) 2015 2014 Percentage change '15 vs. '14 2013 Assets Non-current assets 92 291 79 731 69 280 15.8% Current assets 290 216 381 460 374 117 -23.9% Total assets 382 507 461 191 443 397 -17.1% 129 058 118 523 124 795 8.9% 74 993 75 258 70 731 -0.4% 0 0 0 - Short-term liabilities and accruals 178 457 267 411 247 870 -33.3% Total equity and liabilities 382 507 461 191 443 397 -17.1% Revenue 788 488 579 348 631 785 36.1% Domestic sales 788 488 579 348 631 785 36.1% 0 0 0 - 788 376 579 233 631 779 36.1% 113 114 6 -0.9% EBIDTA 25 406 19 120 20 641 32.9% EBIT 24 265 18 053 19 898 34.4% Net profit/loss 29 769 22 203 20 860 34.1% 100 071 193 754 174 602 -48.4% 66.3% 74.3% 71.9% -8.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% Equity and liabilities Equity Provisions for liabilities Long-term liabilities Profit and loss account Export sales Construction operations Other operations Other data Net debt Debt/Balance sheet total Capital expenditure/revenue 111 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Sales by type in 2015 10% 12% 78% General Construction Housing Construction Energy Construction EBIDTA, EBIT and net profit/loss in years 2013 -2015 60 PLN million 50 40 30 20 10 0 2015 2014 2013 112 EBIDTA EBIT Net profit/loss Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Bibliography 1. Public Information Bulletin of the Council of Ministers, Draft Regulation of the Council of Ministers to adopt the National Railway Programme 2014-2023, http://bip.kprm.gov.pl/kpr/form/r1259,Projekt-uchwaly-Rady-Ministrow-w-sprawie-ustanowienia-KrajowegoProgramu-Kolejow.html 1. Coface, Coface reports on bankruptcies in Poland, (http://www.coface.pl/Aktualnosci-i-Media/Biuro-prasowe) 2. Cushman and Wakefield, Industrial Market in Poland, Q1 2016 3. Deloitte, European Powers of Construction 2015, June 2016 4. Deloitte, Property Index. Overview of European Residential Markets, June 2016 5. Knight Frank, Polska Rynek Komercyjny 2015/2016, 6. Journal of Laws of the Republic of Poland, Act of 10 July 2015 amending the Railway Fund Act 7. EUI, Country Forecast Poland, August 2016 update 8. Euler Hermes, Bankruptcy reports, (http://www.eulerhermes.pl/analizy-ekonomiczne/economic-publications/) 9. Euromoney Institutional Investor, Poland Construction and Infrastructure Industry Data, 2015 10. Central Statistical Office, Economic Situation, Economic conditions in the industry, construction, commerce and services in July 2016., www.stat.gov.pl 11. Central Statistical Office, Concise Statistical Yearbook of Poland 2016, www.stat.gov.p 12. Central Statistical Office, Statistical Yearbook of the Republic of Poland 2015, www.stat.gov.p 13. Central Statistical Office, Employment and salaries in the national economy, www.stat.gov.p 14. Hays, Payroll Report 2016, Job market trends 15. Jones Lang LaSalle, Polish warehouse property market in 2015 16. National Council of Water Management, Master Plan for the implementation of Council Directive 91/271/EEC, May 2015 17. National Council of Water Management, Master Plan for the implementation of Council Directive 91/271/EEC, May 2016 18. Minister of Economy, National Action Plan for Renewal Energy Sources, 2010 19. Ministry of Finance, Public Finance Sector Debt Management Strategy for 2016-2019, September 2015 20. Ministry of Environmental Protection, National Waste Management Plan 2022, July 2016 21. Ministry of Infrastructure and Development, Infrastructure and Environment Operational Programme 2014 – 2020 22. Ministry of Infrastructure and Development, National Road Building Programme for 2011-2015, including appendices and progress reports (http://www.mir.gov.pl/transport/infrastruktura_drogowa/program_budowy_drog_krajowych/strony/start.aspx) 23. Ministry of Infrastructure and Development, National Road Building Programme for 2014-2023 (with projections by 2025) including appendices (https://www.mir.gov.pl/strony/zadania/transport/drogi/program-budowy-drog-krajowych/) 24. Ministry of Infrastructure and Development, Municipal and district road infrastructure development programme for 2016-2020 (https://www.mir.gov.pl/strony/zadania/transport/drogi/finansowanie-drog-samorzadowych/program-rozwoju-drog-gminnych-ipowiatowych/) 25. Ministry of Infrastructure and Development, National Railway Programme, (including appendices) 26. Ministry of Infrastructure and Development, Programming in the 2014 -2020 Financial Perspective, Partnership Agreement 27. ManpowerGroup, Manpower Employment Prospects Barometer Poland Q4 2015 113 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 28. Gaz System, National Ten-Year Development Plan of the Gas Transmission System for years: 2016-2025, July 2015 29. PSE, Development plan for satisfaction of the current and future demand for electricity between 2016 and 2025 30. ClientEarth, Analysis of draft amendments to the Act on renewable sources of energy, May 2016 31. Ministry of Infrastructure and Construction, National Housing Programme, June 2016 32. Polish Waste Management Chamber, National Waste Management Plan, July 2016 33. REAS, Residential Poland 2015 34. REAS, Housing market in Poland 1Q 2016 35. CIRE.pl website: http://www.rynek-energii-elektrycznej.cire.pl/st,33,335,tr,145,0,0,0,0,0,budowane-i-planowane-elektrownie.html 36. Eurostat website: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat 37. Website of the Ministry of Infrastructure and Development, dedicated to EU funds 2014-2020: https://www.funduszeeuropejskie.gov.pl/ 38. Website of the Directorate General for National Roads and Motorways, Report on the technical condition of national roads as at the end of 2015: https://www.gddkia.gov.pl/userfiles/ articles/r/raporty_18751//Raport%20stan%20na%20koniec%202015%20v11.pdf 39. PKP PLK website: http://www.plk-sa.pl 40. Website of the National Council of Water Management, dedicated to the National Sewage Treatment Programme: http://kzgw.gov.pl/pl/Krajowy-program-oczyszczania-sciekow-komunalnych.html 41. Website of the National Council of Water Management, Master Plan for the implementation of Council Directive 91/271/EEC (http://www.kzgw.gov.pl/pl/Wiadomosci/Master-Plan-dla-wdrazania-dyrektywy-Rady-91271EWG.html) 42. Website of the Energy Regulatory Office: http://www.ure.gov.pl/ 43. TechNavio, Construction Market in Poland 2015-2019 44. Energy Regulatory Office, National Report of the President of the Energy Regulatory Office 2015, July 2015 45. Multi-Annual Financial Plans for Warsaw, Kraków, Poznań, Wrocław, Gdańsk and Katowice 46. Polish Bank Association, Nationwide report on home loans and real estate transactional prices, August 2016 47. Information, press releases and websites: 48. http://mib.gov.pl/files/0/1797173/MieszkaniePlus.pdf 49. http://www.bankier.pl/wiadomosc/Program-Mieszkanie-Plus-szczegoly-7408952.html 50. http://www.polskieradio.pl/42/4393/Artykul/1481586,Zamiast-kupowac-nareszcie-bedzie-mozna-wynajac-tanio-mieszkanie 51. http://wroclaw.wyborcza.pl/wroclaw/1,35771,19620311,najczesciej-plajtuja-firmy-budowlane-ale-bankrutow-coraz-mniej.html 52. http://www.rynekbudowlany.com/aktualnosci/271291/rekordowa-podaz-na-rynku-biurowym-w-i-pol-2016/done 53. http://www.pois.gov.pl/media/18557/Zal_5_Wykaz_projektow_zidetyfikowanych_2016-04-13.pdf 54. http://www.rynek-kolejowy.pl/watki/fundusze-unijne.html 55. Article http://www.rynek-kolejowy.pl/wiadomosci/jest-pierwsza-wersja-nowego-krajowego-programu-kolejowego-76778.html 56. http://www.mg.gov.pl/Power+jadrowa elektro-innowacje.pl 57. http://odnawialnezrodlaenergii.pl/oze-aktualnosci/item/2290-wojewodztwo-podlaskie-wyda-50-mln-zl-z-ue-na-inwestycje-w-oze 114 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects Contact us Maciej Krasoń Deloitte Partner, Real Estate & Construction Group Leader in Poland, Audit Department +48 (22) 511 03 60 [email protected] Patryk Darowski Deloitte Assistant Director, Financial Advisory Services Department +48 (22) 511 04 11 [email protected] Łukasz Michorowski Deloitte Director, Audit Department +48 (22) 348 36 61 [email protected] Wojciech Kłys Deloitte Senior Manager, Audit Department +48 (22) 511 03 55 [email protected] 115 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 116 Polish construction companies 2016 | Major Players, Key Growth Drivers and Development Prospects 117 Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in 150 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and deep local expertise to help clients succeed wherever they operate. Deloitte's 225 000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence. Deloitte's professionals are unified by a collaborative culture that fosters integrity, outstanding value to markets and clients, commitment to each other, and strength from diversity. They enjoy an environment of continuous learning, challenging experiences, and enriching career opportunities. Deloitte's professionals are dedicated to strengthening corporate responsibility, building public trust, and making a positive impact in their communities. Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/pl/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. © 2016 Deloitte Poland
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz