Improvement Strategy Dimensions The Difficulty of Identifying Customer Needs Companies often have trouble identifying customer needs because: ◦ Product developers overestimate their understanding of customer needs ◦ Try to gather information only by asking customers ◦ Do not know which target market to ask ◦ Incorrectly project their beliefs about the value of product attributes on customers ◦ Have structures and routines that inhibit information gathering ◦ Fail to recognize how needs change over time Significantly Better Benefits than Existing Products Because customers value losses more highly than gains, new products must provide benefits two to three times better than existing products or customers will not adopt them Prospect Theory Diagram Then, there is another angle…. There are Regimes of Creative Destruction and Creative Accumulation Some industries operate through: ◦ Dynamics of creative destruction: entrepreneurs enter with new firms, challenge established firms on the basis of new ideas, disrupt the old ways of production, organization, and distribution, and replace the old firms ◦ Dynamics of creative accumulation: entrepreneurs enter, challenge established firms on the basis of their new ideas. However, established firms defend their old ways of production, organization and distribution, and the new firms tend to fail Radical and Incremental Technological Change Most technological innovation is incremental, and involves small improvements to existing technologies Some technological innovation is radical, and involves fundamentally new ways of solving a problem Technology S-Curves Graphical representations of the development of a new technology Compare some measure of performance with some measure of effort The relationship between effort and performance is typically S-shaped: ◦ Initially performance improvements per unit of effort are small ◦ Once key drivers of performance are identified rapid improvement follows ◦ Diminishing returns as physical limits reached Technological improvements along an Scurve Tend to be incremental, building on prior developments, and taking place within an existing paradigm Usually done by established firms: ◦ they have existing technical, market, and organizational capabilities ◦ they have an existing customer base ◦ they have access to internal cash flow to invest Shifting S-Curves Happens when an existing technology reaches the point of diminishing returns A new technology is often developed to challenge the existing technology Initially, the new technology is usually inferior to existing technology on key dimensions But the new technology has greater potential for performance improvement Shifting S-curve example Who Shifts the S-Curve? Usually new entrants because: ◦ Incumbents have no incentive to introduce the new technology ◦ Incumbents have investments in existing technology ◦ Products based on the new technology cannibalize incumbents’ sales ◦ Managers at incumbent firms do not see the new technology as a threat ◦ Incumbent firms can improve the performance of their old technologies ◦ Incumbent firms face organizational obstacles to changing their core technologies Using Technology S-Curves as a Management Tool Incumbents can predict when to invest in a radical new technology Limitations: ◦ the inability to identify when to switch technologies ◦ the failure to incorporate all of the factors that matter to the decision to switch ◦ the need for adopters of the new technology to focus on niche markets before tackling the mainstream of the market ◦ the existence of alternative ways to respond to the introduction of new technology The Abernathy-Utterback Model Technology evolves through periods of incremental innovation, interrupted by periods of radical innovation The development of a radical innovation leads to a fluid phase, during which time many firms enter and compete on the basis of different product designs Eventually, the firms in the industry converge on a dominant design, which results in the specific phase, during which time only incremental innovation occurs After a while, the cycle repeats itself The Nature of Innovation and Competition Product innovation: when technological innovation involves the creation of new goods and services sold to customers Process innovation: when technological innovation involves problem solving that improves the method of creating or delivering a product or service Fluid phase dominated by product innovation Specific phase dominated by process innovation The Timing of Product and Process Innovation Firms in an industry New firms perform best in the fluid phase: ◦ They are better than established firms at product innovation ◦ Less important that they are worse at efficient production based on scale economies During the specific phase, a shakeout typically occurs, with approximately half of the firms exiting the industry; those firms least able to fit their operations to the dominant design tend to exit Modifications to the Abernathy and Utterback Model Tushman’s model of competence destroying and competence enhancing innovation Tushman’ Model: Competence-Enhancing and Competence-Destroying Innovation Radical new technology does not always undermine the capabilities of incumbent firms (GE from X-Rays to CAT Scans to MRIs) It is competence-enhancing if it makes use of existing knowledge, skills, abilities structure, design, production processes and plant and equipment It is competence-destroying if it undermines existing skills, structures, etc. (from traditional printing technology to digital printing technology) Established firms are able to transit to a radical technology when that technology is competenceenhancing but fail to do so when it is competencedestroying
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