Fundamental limits of radio interferometers: Source parameter estimation Cathryn Trott Randall Wayth Steven Tingay Curtin University International Centre for Radio Astronomy Research (ICRAR) How do the limits of the instrument and our methods impact our measurements? Deconvolution artifacts Dataset information content Fundamental limits of radio Interferometers: - dynamic range - parameter estimation Calibration Ionosphere Pointing errors Primary beam errors Image space noise correlations (Fourier transform) How do the limits of the instrument and our methods impact our measurements? Deconvolution artifacts Dataset information content Focus on estimation limits of dataset Fundamental limits of radio Interferometers: - dynamic range - parameter estimation Calibration Ionosphere Pointing errors Primary beam errors Image space noise correlations (Fourier transform) Science drives configuration: what is the impact of array layout? MWA configuration (Beardsley et al. 2012) Hypothetical 128 antenna configuration - EoR/diffuse emission - short Same longest baseline and number of antennas Science - Fine structures - long - Source localization - long How do changing observing conditions affect our ability to calibrate? Wide-field observations: sources in sidelobes, distortion at field edges Non-stationary point spread functions Low-frequency observations – ionospheric refraction of wavefront: Beam changes on short timescales (secs-mins) Cohen & Rottgering (2009) Instrument calibration on short timescales → observe bright sources, fit positions, remove from dataset (e.g., peeling) → impact?? Measurement conditions changing: require short timescale calibration Current paradigm New paradigm Small number of elements Large number of elements Moderate primary beam Wide field-of-view Stable atmosphere/ionosphere (high frequency) Varying atmosphere/ionosphere (low frequency) Long integrations Snapshot observations Few bright calibrators Highly-populated fields Dataset contains fixed amount of information – antennas, channels, time How well can we measure the parameters of a model from some data? → The Cramer-Rao bound The Fisher Information: the Information contained within a dataset - Precision on point source parameters: noise level (σ) set by Tsys, Δν, Δt - Iu, Iv, Iuv dependent on array configuration - long baselines yield more information, but all baselines important Pos'n Pos'n Flux Dataset contains fixed amount of information – antennas, channels, time How well can we measure the parameters of a model from some data? → The Cramer-Rao bound Thermal noise - Precision on point source parameters: noise level (σ) set by Tsys, Δν, Δt - Iu, Iv, Iuv dependent on array configuration - long baselines yield more information, but all baselines important Pos'n Array config Pos'n Flux Source flux Precision on source location – 8 second integration; measured data only ν = 150 MHz Tsys = 440K Precision on source location – 8 second integration; measured data only Precision on source location – 8 second integration; measured data only ν = 150 MHz Tsys = 440K Residual signal in visibilities is independent of source strength Propagate errors to visibilities → independent of source strength Example application Propagate errors to EoR power spectrum → how does this residual signal affect statistical EoR estimation? EoR power spectrum Hales et al. (1998) Sequentially peeled sources (> 1 Jy) Performed a fully-covariant error propagation Visibilities → Power spectrum MWA, PAPER What is the magnitude of this effect, compared with the thermal noise? EoR power spectrum residual signal Thermal noise Higher LOS resolution Residual signal Core + ring Higher angular resolution Uniform Trott, Wayth & Tingay (2012, submitted) How do we peel sources? What information should we use? Previous analysis assumed sequential and independent peeling of sources from the data alone... → no impact of other sources on information available in dataset → measurement dataset alone used for position estimation Open questions: → What is the balance of using the current dataset versus previous information for estimating source position? → Should we peel sequentially or simultaneously? Precision on source location – 8 second integration; measured data only Optimal balance of prior information and measured data – ionosphere ~60” variation Prior information Use dominant Data use dominant Example prior information: mean over last N measured positions Optimal balance of prior information and measured data – ionosphere ~10” variation Peeling sources: simultaneous versus sequential Two models for peeling sources: 1. Simultaneously estimate positions of all sources from measured data → non-uniqueness, correlations between sources, but Gaussian noise in visibilities 2. Subtract previous solution for all but one source, and fit each source sequentially → data non-Gaussian, corrupted by errors → Which is a better strategy from an information perspective? Future work... Summary Information content of data limits our ability to precisely measure parameters (e.g., source flux, position) Imprecise parameter estimation propagates to additional uncertainty in scientifically-relevant metrics How we observe, calibrate and estimate impact the utility of our science metrics
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