THE ECONOMIC COSTS AND BENEFITS OF SECURING COMMUNITY FOREST TENURE: EVIDENCE FROM BRAZIL AND GUATEMALA ERIN GRAY, ECONOMICS CENTER, WRI MARCH 16, 2016 Image: http://news.mongabay.com/ Conducted by: World Resources Institute | A global research organization that aims to move human society to live in ways that protect Earth's environment and its capacity to provide for the needs and aspirations of current and future generations. With support from: Climate and Land Use Alliance | An alliance to support land use policies and practices that mitigate climate change, benefit people, and protect the environment.. PRESENTATION OUTLINE 1. Analysis overview 2. Results 3. Concluding remarks RESEARCH QUESTION How do the benefits compare to the costs of investing in establishing and maintaining secure community forest tenure? POLICY CHANGE FOREST COVER CHANGE Photo: Wikipedia CHANGE IN VALUE Photo: www.amazonwatch.org 1. Analysis overview MOTIVATION 1. Analysis overview RESEARCH APPROACH 1. DEVELOP A FRAMEWORK / IDENTIFY COSTS AND BENEFITS 2. COMPARE USING BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS METHODS: 1. LITERATURE REVIEW 2. EXPERT CONSULTATION 1. Analysis overview STUDY AREA: BRAZIL INDIGENOUS TERRITORIES (2015) 1. Analysis overview STUDY AREA: GUATEMALA - MAYA BIOSPHERE RESERVE 1. Analysis overview COSTS 1. Tenure security establishment 2. Community forest establishment 3. Forest management, operating, and monitoring 4. Opportunity costs 1. Analysis overview ESTIMATING FOREST COVER CHANGE: Inhibitory effect on deforestation Brazil: Nepstad et al. 2006 1. Analysis overview BENEFITS 1. ECOSYSTEM SERVICES 1. Analysis overview 2. BEHAVIORAL BENEFITS 3. SOCIAL BENEFITS BENEFIT-COST ANALYSIS 1. 20 year timeline 2. 2% and 6% discount rate (10% for sensitivity analysis) 3. Carbon price: Social Cost of Carbon 4. Forest cover change limited to avoided deforestation impact 5. Benefit data limited to carbon sequestration and timber/non-timber sales 1. Analysis overview RESULTS 2. Results RESULTS 2. Results CHALLENGES • Data, data, data…. 2. Results CONCLUDING REMARKS • Securing community forest tenure is a potential good “investment” as a solution to tackling climate change • Community forests generate a variety of economic benefits, ecosystem services and behavioral changes (conflict resolution, capacity building); need further economic analysis to show more accurate value of these • Potentially a cost-effective solution if compared to technology based solutions (comparison not developed in the paper) • Upcoming report: Original matching analysis + extension to Amazon region (Colombia & Bolivia) 3. Concluding Remarks
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