Maria Elena Gutierrez
Research Coordinator
[email protected]
CONTENT
1. Long term mitigation scenarios for peru
2. NAMA initiatives in Peru
3. INDC in Peru
4. Private initiatives on mitigation
PLANCC: Long Term Mitigation Scenarios 2050
MtCO2eq
350.00
BAU 9,932 MM
300.00
Fast Sc. ↓ 10%
250.00
Savings Sc. ↓ 20%
200.00
Sustainable Sc. ↓ 41%
150.00
100.00
RBS Sc.
50.00
0.00
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Sustainable Scenario was recommended
2045
2050
Marginal Abatement Cost Curve (MACC)
Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE)
Social Accounting Matrix
(SAM)
BAU Projections
GDP and
Population
Projection
Matriz IO
Matrix,
National
Accounts
Emission
Projectios
SAM
Emission
Inventory
Emissions
General Equilibrium Model
Calibration
Mitigation Scenarios
Model
Structure
Emission
Reductions
CGE
Results
Mitigation
Measures
Socio
economic
Impacts
BAU Scenario replica
Bottom-up and top-down
methodologies
SAM 2007 with emissions
by sector
Quasi-dynamic CGE including
LULUCF sector
Scenarios
GDP in the Long Term
sustainable
In the Sustainable Scenario, the GDP would rise annually between 0.3% and
0.8% in addition to BAU projection from the year 2022 until 2050.
PlanCC: COBENEFITS
Welfare improved
of population in
the long term
2050  Urban population will
increase by 60% while their solid
waste will increase in 180%
The appropriate disposal of solid
waste will increase from 38.8% to
51% in the sustainable scenario
Decrease of travel time
in urban transport in
Lima
PlanCC and NAMAS: Comparability
PLANCC
COMPARABILITY
NAMAS and other
initiatives
PlanCC comprise wide information about different sectors, with emissions and costs estimated
annually until 2050 .
Reference for comparison/validation of similar initiatives, e.g. NAMAs.
• Construction Sector: Wastewater mitigation options (NAMA) vs PlanCC BAU
• Waste Sector: Emission comparison for use of IPCC 2006 guidelines (NAMA) vs IPCC 1996
guidelines (PlanCC)
• Forestry Sector: Deforestation – reference baseline
2. NAMAS INITIATIVES
Sector
Initiative
Executor
Status
Person
In accordance
responsible
with sectoral
formally defined
goals
Housing
Sustainable Construction Ministry of Housing
NAMA
and Construction
Proposal
Yes
High
Housing
Sustainable Buildings
NAMA
Ministry of Housing
and Construction
Proposal
Yes
High
Industry
Bricks Production NAMA
Ministry of
Production
Design
Yes
High
Industry
Cement NAMA
Ministry of
Production
Concept
Yes
High
Industry
Iron and Steel NAMA
Ministry of
Production
Concept
No
High
Energy
Bioenergy NAMA
Ministry of Energy
and Mines
Proposal
Yes
High
Energy
Energy Generation and
End Use
Ministry of Energy
and Mines
Design
Yes
High
2. IDENTIFIED NAMAS (cont.)
Sector
Initiative
Executor
Person
responsible
formally
defined
In accordance
with sectoral
goals
Negotiation (Pre
implementaction)
Yes
High
Concept
Yes
High
Design
Yes
High
Status
Transport
Transport NAMA Transfer II Project
Ministry of Transport and
Communications
Agriculture
Coffee NAMA
Ministry of Agriculture
Environment
Waste NAMA
Ministry of Environment
Agriculture
Cacao NAMA
Ministry of Agriculture
Concept
No
High
Agriculture
Palm NAMA
Ministry of Agriculture
Concept
No
High
Agriculture
Livestock NAMA
Ministry of Agriculture
Concept
No
High
3. INDC IN PERU
Considering PlanCC outputs, a new process started in July 2014 in order to propose a
national INDCs on mitigation. New data was considered, including NAMA initiatives
3. INDC IN PERU
300
BAU 1
E1 ↓4%
Emisiones (MtCO2)
250
E2 ↓14%
200
E3 ↓31%
E4 ↓42%
150
100
50
0
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Ministry of Environment released a INDC proposal for public consultation (July 2015)
71 mitigation options were taken from PlanCC.
11 additional mitigation options were included.
4. PRIVATE INITIATIVES ON MITIGATION
Climate Corporate Commitment is a private
initiative that aims to build a community of
enterprises with commitment on climate
change action.
The initiative includes a platform based on a
voluntary reporting system that allows to
identify how many enterprises are
performing actions toward a low-carbon
development, who they are, and what they
are doing.
www.7c.com.pe
http://www.planccperu.org/