VALIDATION OF A DAYTIME OVER LAND ALGORITHM FOR COMPUTING CONVECTIVE CLOUD COMPOSITES OVER THE IBERIAN PENINSULA AND BALEARIC ISLANDS (SPAIN) Cesar Azorin-Molina (1,2), Sergio-M. Vicente-Serrano (3), Rafael Baena-Calatrava (4), Bernadette Connell (5) (1) Laboratory of Meteorology-Climatology, Mixed Unity CEAM-UVEG, The CEAM Foundation (Fundación Centro de Estudios Ambientales del Mediterráneo), Charles R. Darwin 14, 46980-Paterna (Valencia), Spain; [email protected] ; http://www.ceam.es/ (2) Group of Climatology, University of Barcelona (UB), Barcelona, Spain http://www.ub.edu/gc/menu.htm (3) Pyrenean Institute of Ecology, CSIC (Spanish Scientific Research Council), Department of Global Change and Environmental Processes, Zaragoza, Spain http://www.ipe.csic.es/ (4) Centro de Estudios Materiales y Control de Obra, S.A., Málaga, Spain (5) Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ Abstract In previous work (Azorin et al., 2007), a new daytime over land cloud detection algorithm, derived from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Processing scheme Over cLouds, Land and Ocean (APOLLO), was used to compute convective cloud composites over the Iberian Peninsula (IP) and Balearic Islands (BI), both in Spain. The modified scheme was used to process AVHRR HRPT data (L1B ESA SHARP; 1.1 km) from NOAA-17 (0900-1200 UTC) and NOAA-16 (1200-1500 UTC) overpasses for the 6-month study-period May-October 2004. The algorithm consists of four spectral tests to distinguish three categories: cloud, cloud-free, and snow-ice pixels. In this study, the results of the algorithm are quantitatively compared with observations using two validation techniques: (a) comparing satellite-observed earth cover with a manual subjective classification of pixels according to the aforementioned categories, and (b) comparing side by side satellite-derived cloud cover with corresponding synoptic observations of total cloud cover (TCC). For TCC, 20 stations with daily observations at 13 UTC were evaluated. These stations were more or less evenly distributed over the IP and BI. There was very good agreement between the subjective classification of pixels and satellite detection of cloud, whereas there was less agreement between ground observations and satellitederived cloud cover. It was found that AVHRR observed 16.6% less than synoptic observations, which is in accordance with previous satellite-surface comparisons. A detailed description of the cloud detection algorithm, preliminary results and other interesting aspects of the comparison are briefly presented in this short article. INTRODUCTION The spatial and temporal distribution of clouds observed from high-resolution satellite imagery constitutes a powerful data for climatological and meteorological applications (Karlsson, 2003). For instance, clouds play a complex role in the Earth´s radiation budget and therefore in long-term climate change (Arking, 1991). Consequently, new cloud analysis tools should be the subject of increasingly sophisticated research, due to the fact that they result in the observed global climate change. The International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP; http://isccp.giss.nasa.gov/index.html; Rossow and Garder, 1993) represents the international effort aimed to infer the global distribution of clouds and radiance parameters, supporting many climate and modelling studies since 1982. On the other hand, the EUMETSAT Satellite Application Facility on support to Nowcasting and Very ShortRange Forecasting (SAFNWC; http://www.nwcsaf.org; Derrien and Le Gléau, 2005) has been developing a software package to extract various products (i.e. cloud masks, cloud types, and cloud top temperatures and heights) from meteorological satellites (MSG SEVIRI and NOAA and EPS AVHRR data) since 1997. In addition to the numerous global and regional cloud products provided by the ISCCP and the SAFNWC, advanced analysis tools have also been developed during the last decade to objectively quantify cloud amounts (high-resolution regional cloud climatologies; Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch; http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/research/satellite_climatologies/ ) from satelliteregistered radiances. Most of the cloud detection algorithms have been based on the AVHRR Processing scheme Over cLouds, Land and Ocean (APOLLO), which was developed by Saunders (1986) and Saunders and Kriebel (1989). APOLLO was designed to process AVHRR HRPT data as well as Local Area Coverage (LAC) and Global Area Coverage (GAC) data over Western Europe and North Atlantic. This cloud analysis tool has been modified and extended by others (Derrien et al., 1993; Karlsson, 1996; Stowe et al., 1999; Kriebel et al., 2003). The validation of satellite-derived cloud data is often carried out by comparing with visually estimated cloud cover reported by observers at meteorological weather stations (Kotarba, 2009), a procedure which is crucial for studies on long-term cloud amount trends. Other approaches have used radar, lidar and photographic surface-based observations. This short paper presents the validation of a daytime over land algorithm (Azorin et al., 2007) for computing convective cloud composites over the IP and the BI (Spain) for both NOAA-17 (morning pass) and NOAA-16 (afternoon pass) AVHRR data. The satellite-derived cloud cover is compared with (a) a manual subjective classification of pixels and (b) with corresponding synoptic cloud observations (hereafter called Synops) of Total Cloud Cover (TCC). DAYTIME OVER LAND CLOUD DETECTION ALGORITHM Figure 1 shows the flow diagram of the daytime over land cloud detection algorithm (solar elevation greater than 5º), which was used to process AVHRR HRPT data (L1B ESA SHARP; 1.1 km) from NOAA-17 (0900-1200 UTC) and NOAA-16 (1200-1500 UTC) overpasses for the 6-month study-period May-October 2004. The daytime over land algorithm consists of four spectral tests applied to each pixel. The constant thresholds have been successfully tested to be functional during the 6-month study period. Therefore, the quality characteristics are the same for the entire data set (Karlsson, 2003). Figure 1: An algorithm for computing convective cloud composites applied to (a) NOAA-17 and (b) NOAA-16 AVHRR data during the daytime over land Test 1 corresponds to snow-ice detection (Figure 2). Snow can be discriminated from cloud using visible and short wave infrared channels. For NOAA-17, a quota ratio (Q1) is defined as the ratio of reflectance of 1.6 µm divided by the reflectance of 0.6 µm. Since snow is considerably less reflective at 1.6 µm, values of Q1 ≤0.2 designate a snow/ice pixel. We used a threshold brightness temperature difference (BTD) of ≤15 K between 3.7 µm and 11 µm for detecting snow-ice pixels for NOAA-16. May, June and October have snow-ice pixels over the Pyrenees, the Iberian System and the Betic mountains within the study area. (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) Figure 2: (a) Channel 3b (3.55-3.93 µm); (b) Channel 4 (10.30-11.30 µm); (c) BTD T3.7 µm -T11 µm; (d) Cloud mask BTD ≤15 K;(e) Histogram of a 50x50 pixel scene used for snow-ice detection (Test 1, NOAA-16). The black line represents the threshold value (15 K) found for computing cloud mask. (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) Figure 3: (a) Channel 5 (11.50-12.50 µm) NOAA-16, IP; (b) Channel 5 (11.50-12.50 µm) NOAA-16, BI; (c) Cloud mask T12 µm ≤290 K, IP; (d) Cloud mask T12 µm ≤290 K, BI; (e) Histogram of a 515x485 pixel scene used for cloud detection in the IP; (f) Histogram of a 33x33 pixel scene used for cloud detection in the BI. The black line represents the threshold value (290 K) found for computing cloud mask. Test 2 is the IR gross threshold test at 12 µm (Figure 3). A unique threshold of ≤290 K was used to select cloudy pixels representing all cloud types for both satellites. Diurnal convection develops under high insolation and therefore land surface temperatures during the day (LST) are >290 K even during the cooler months. Test 3 is the albedo or visible test at 0.6 µm (Figure 4). A fixed threshold reflectance of ≥20% was chosen to select cloudy pixels. (a) (b) (c) Figure 4: (a) Channel 1 (0.58-0.68 µm) NOAA-16, IP; (b) Cloud mask R0.6 µm ≥20%; (c) Histogram of a 50x50 pixel scene used for cloud detection. The black line represents the threshold value (20%) found for computing cloud mask. Test 4 is the reflectance quotient (Q2) of Near-IR (R0.9 µm) to VIS (R0.6 µm), (Figure 5). A Q2 threshold from 0.7 to 1.3 identified cloudy pixels. A supplementary IR threshold test was added to discriminate bare ground pixels from cloudy ones. We tagged as cloudy the pixels with a Q2 ratio between 0.7 and 1.3 and T12 ≤290 K. (a) (b) (c) Figure 5: (a) Q Ratio R0.9 µm/R0.6µm NOAA-16, IP; (b) Cloud mask Q 0.7-1.3 and T12µm ≤290K, IP; (c) Histogram of a 50x50 pixel scene used for cloud detection. The black line represents the threshold value found for computing cloud mask The algorithm discretizes all AVHRR data into three groups: cloud-free, cloudy and snow-ice. The algorithm identifies a pixel as cloudy if at least two tests (Test 2, 3 or 4) prove positive. The final AVHRR convective cloud mask with a 1.1 km resolution is obtained by subtracting snow-ice pixels from cloudy ones. VALIDATION OF THE CLOUD DETECTION ALGORITHM Two validation procedures were used in order to validate the daytime over land cloud detection algorithm presented here. The high resolution cloud masks for the NOAA-16 and the NOAA-17 satellites were quantitatively compared with: (a) a manual subjective classification of pixels, and (b) 20 Synoptic stations with daily TCC made by observers at 13 UTC. COMPARING SATELLITE-OBSERVED EARTH COVER WITH SUBJECTIVE CLASSIFICATION A sample of each month was analyzed for the NOAA-16 and the NOAA-17 satellites during the 6month study period May-October 2004, and thirty random points were visually classified into two categories (clear and cloudy pixels) and compared with the cloud mask for each image. A total of 360 instantaneous visual AVHRR and cloud mask observations were used for the subjective validation. Figures 6 and 7 represent channel 1 (0.58-0.68 µm) with the corresponding cloud masks for the eastern region of the IP and BI, respectively. Most of the pixels with high reflectance in the VIS (R0.6 µm) channel were tagged as cloudy pixels by both the visual and the algorithm classification. Therefore, we found a very good match between the subjective classification of pixels and satellite detection of clouds. The statistical results of the manual validation have been tabulated in Table 1, which corresponds with a 2x2 contingency table (observation by algorithm) for (a) NOAA-17 and (b) NOAA-16 satellites. The observation and algorithm frequencies (in %) for clear-clear and cloudycloudy categories are greater than 85.0% for both satellites. In contrast, these frequencies for clearcloudy and cloudy-clear categories are lower than 15.0%. The contingency coefficient statistically confirms this good agreement for the NOAA-17 (0.609; sig.= 0.000 < α = 0.05) and the NOAA-16 (0.651; sig.= 0.000 < α = 0.05). (a) (b) (c) (d) Figure 6: (a) Channel 1 (0.58-0.68 µm); (b) Cloud mask; (c) Channel 1 (zoom); and (d) Cloud mask (zoom), Eastern of the Iberian Peninsula, NOAA-16, 17/06/2004, 1312 UTC. (a) (b) (c) (d) Figure 7: (a) Channel 1 (0.58-0.68 µm); (b) Cloud mask; (c) Channel 1 (zoom); and (d) Cloud mask (zoom), Balearic Islands, NOAA-16, 17/06/2004, 1312 UTC. (a) Algorithm Observation NOAA-17 Clear Cloudy Absolute frequency (nº) Expected frequency (nº) Frequency-Observ. (%) Frequency-Algorithm (%) Absolute frequency (nº) Expected frequency (nº) Frequency-Observ. (%) Frequency-Algorithm (%) Clear 82.0 47.5 91.1 86.3 13.0 47.5 14.4 13.7 Cloudy 8.0 42.5 8.9 9.4 77.0 42.5 85.6 90.6 Total 90.0 90.0 100.0 50.0 90.0 90.0 100.0 50.0 (b) Algorithm NOAA-16 Clear Cloudy Total Observation Absolute frequency (nº) 87.0 3.0 90.0 Expected frequency (nº) 48.5 41.5 90.0 Frequency-Observ. (%) 96.7 3.3 100.0 Frequency-Algorithm (%) 89.7 3.6 50.0 Absolute frequency (nº) 10.0 80.0 90.0 Expected frequency (nº) 48.5 41.5 90.0 Cloudy Frequency-Observ. (%) 11.1 88.9 100.0 Frequency-Algorithm (%) 10.3 96.4 50.0 Table 1: Contingency table 2x2 (observation by algorithm) for (a) NOAA-17 and (b) NOAA-16. The absolute and expected frequencies (in nº of cases) and observation and algorithm frequencies (in %) are tabulated here. Clear Figure 8 displays two discrepancies detected between both cloud detection methods. Cloud-free land reflectance depends on the atmosphere (scattering and absorption), land cover and the viewing geometry (Derrien et al., 1993). Non-vegetated pixels with reflectance values ≥20% at 0.6 µm and brightness temperatures ≤290 K at 12 µm wavelength were classified as cloudy pixels by the cloud detection algorithm, whereas the visual observation correctly tagged these barren pixels as cloud-free ones (Figures 8a and 8b). On the other hand, cloud tops with brightness temperature >290 K at 12 µm were classified as cloud-free pixels by the algorithm, whereas the visual procedure correctly detects them as cloudy ones (Figures 8c and 8d). (a) (b) (c) (d) Figure 8: (a) Channel 1 (0.58-0.68 µm), and (b) Cloud mask – NOAA17, 17/06/2004, 1124 UTC; (c) Channel 5 (11.50-12.50 µm), and (d) Cloud mask - NOAA16, 26/05/2004, 1350 UTC. COMPARING SIDE BY SIDE SATELLITE-DERIVED CLOUD COVER WITH SYNOPS OF TCC 20 Synop stations with daily observations at 13 UTC (coded on an octa scale; 0 corresponds to a clear sky and 8 to an overcast sky) were used in this second validation procedure. The Synop stations are more or less evenly distributed over the IP and the BI and cloud data were converted into fractional cloud amounts (1 octa equal to 12.5%). Synop cloud data were obtained from the homogenised data set developed by Sanchez-Lorenzo et al. (2009). AVHRR cloud amounts were calculated as a percentage of clouded pixels within a 30 km radius around the Synop stations (Kotarba, 2009), a procedure which has been applied in previous satellitesurface comparisons. This covers most low clouds that are observed but also includes some of the mid- and high-level clouds at quite distant locations that most likely also are observed at the surface station. To minimize the time discrepancy between AVHRR and Synop observations, 76 AVHRR NOAA-16 overpasses were selected for the comparison. A total of 1480 individual AVHRR-Synop cloud amount observation pairs were compared here. AVHRR overpasses differ from surface observation by no more than 01h 33’. Table 2 presents the difference states results of Synop data substracted from AVHRR. The average AVHRR-Synop difference was -16.6%, i.e. the AVHRR sensor observed less clouds than visual surface observations. The greater differences were found in May (-23.9%), October (-20.5%) and September (-17.6%), whereas the lower differences occurred in central summer months: June (14.0%), July (-14.7%) and August (-17.6%). These results agree well with those found by Meerkötter et al. (2004) who reported -15.3% for Europe during the period May-July 1990-2003. Correlations between AVHRR and Synop cloud amounts were significant at p<0.0001, with values ranging between 0.62 and 0.70, also indicating a good agreement. NOAA-16 May June July August September October Median -15.0 -12.5 -12.4 -12.5 -12.5 -14.8 Mean -23.9 -14.0 -14.7 -15.4 -17.6 -20.5 Maximum 15.6 69.5 61.4 89.7 38.8 40.7 Minimum -81.5 -87.5 -99.0 -100.0 -76.0 -87.5 St.desv. 23.9 22.0 20.6 22.7 20.4 22.5 R-Pearson 0.68* 0.69* 0.66* 0.62* 0.70* 0.68* R2 0.46 0.48 0.44 0.39 0.49 0.47 Nº of observations 140 300 380 260 240 160 Table 2: Difference states results of Synop data substracted from AVHRR. * Significant at p<0.0001 Total -12.5 -16.6 89.7 -100.0 21.9 0.68* 0.46 1480 The histogram presented in Figure 9 is clear evidence that the AVHRR sensor observed fewer clouds than Synop observations. Despite the highest difference (27.8%) occurred within the -5% to 5% range, the negative AVHRR-Synop bias dominates. For instance, 26.0% of all differences take place within the range from -5% to -15%, and 13.7% within the range from -15% to -25%. However, few Synop cloud amounts were greater than AVHRR observations: 2.9% within the range from 5% to 15% and 1.6% within the range from 15% to 25%. Figure 9: Frequency of distribution for AVHRR-Synop cloud amount differences. Differences in cloud amount were calculated by substracting Synop cloud amount from AVHRR cloud amount. Negative results mean AVHRR to report smaller cloud amount than Synop. CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION Analyses of the validation dataset reported the following main findings: (a) We detected a very good agreement between the subjective classification of pixels and satellite detection of cloud, even though different detections between both methods were noticed. (b) We found that the polar-orbiting AVHRR sensor observed 16.6% less than visual surface observations and correlations ranged between 0.62 and 0.70, which is in agreement with other seasonal mean differences. These differences are mainly controlled by the different viewing perspective of an earth-cover observed from the AVHRR or a sky-cover reported from the surface: i.e. the AVHRR sensor capability (number of spectral bands; spatial-temporal resolution); the cloud detection algorithm (cloud masks) and the amount of cloud detected by surface observers. In conclusion, the convective cloud composites (Azorin-Molina et al., 2009) derived from the new daytime over land cloud detection algorithm become a valuable tool for forecasters to use in detecting the location of convection (http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/research/satellite_climatologies/spain/ ). The cloud frequency composites obtained could have practical applications to improve convective short-term forecasting. Acknowledgements. The Fundacion CEAM is financed by the Generalitat Valenciana and BANCAIXA. This research has been undertaken in the frame of the CONSOLIDER-INGENIO 2010 Programme (GRACCIE project) and by the Torres Quevedo Program (PTQ-08-02-06762). This study was partially supported by a grant from the Aragon Regional Government GA-LC-019/2008. The authors would like to thank the INTA (CREPAD project; assistance provided by Angel Garcia-Sevilla) for AVHRR data; and to Imanol Echave from ITT (Spain) for some ENVI4.2/IDL6.2 assistance. Contributions from the fifth author were supported by NOAA Grant NA17RJ1228. REFERENCES Azorin-Molina, C., Connell, B.H., Baena-Calatrava, R., (2007) A new APOLLO daytime over land algorithm for computing convective cloud composites over the Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Islands. th th 7 EMS Annual Meeting/8 European Conference On Applications of Meteorology, El Escorial, Madrid, Spain, EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts, 4, EMS2007-A-00542. 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